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Decision Analysis & Modeling

1. Even though there are many auto rickshaw manufactures, two companies Bajaj
and M&M, control the market in Maharashtra. If both the companies make similar
design changes in their auto rickshaws in a year, their market shares will remain
unchanged. Similarly if neither of them goes for any changes, then also their
market shares will remain constant. But if incase one company goes for a design
change and other doesnt then the market shares are going to change, the payoff
matrix for increase or decrease in market share under different possible scenarios is
given below:

Bajaj
No Small Major
changes changes Changes
No changes 0 -4 -10
M&M
Small changes 3 0 5
Major
Changes 8 1 0
Find the value of the game. What changes should M&M consider if this
information is only available to it?

2. Using suitable examples discuss the difference between simple linear regression
and logistic regression.

3. To assemble a Drone, Mukesh has laid out the seven major activities involved.
The activities are labeled as A through G in the following table, which also shows
their various completion times (in Hrs) and immediate predecessor of each activity.

Most Most
optimistic Most likely pessimistic immediate
Activity time time time predecessor
A 1 2 3 -
B 2 3 4 -
C 4 5 6 A
D 8 9 10 B
E 2 5 8 C,D
F 4 5 6 D
G 1 2 3 E

a. Determine the expected time and variance for each activity.

b. Determine the critical path for the project. What is the probability of completing
the project in less than 25 hours?

Need Answer Sheet of this Question paper

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Email ID: smu.assignment@gmail.com
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