ES 303 (04) STATISTICAL METHODS FOR ENGINEERS

2017-1 Fall Semester

(Section 3)
Prof. Dr. Ayen Tezcaner
Office: MM-702, Phone: 2104452

Catalog Description: Descriptive statistics, histograms, central tendency, dispersion and

correlation measures. Basic probability concepts, random variables, probability density and
mass functions. Hypothesis testing, confidence intervals. Law of large numbers and central limit
theorem. Regression analysis. Applications in engineering.

Textbook: Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers. D.C. Montgomery and G.C.
Runger. John Wiley & Sons, 2011, 5th ed.

Schedule (Section 1): Monday: 13:40-15:30, MM125, Thursday: 14:40-15:30, MM125

Exams and Grading Policy:

MDT I: 25 %, MDT II: 25%, Final: 35%, Quizzes 10%, Attendance: 5%,
All materials will be closed during exams. Relevant Statistical Tables and formula sheet will be
distributed during the exam when needed.
Students should take their exams and quizzes in their sections. There will be no make-up exam
for the quizzes. If you miss a quiz, you will get zero.
Scientific calculators should be brought to the classroom for class activities.
Make up Exam can be given after the final exams. It will be given only to those qualifying
students with a valid excuse (Please see academic rules and regulations). A student can take
only one make up exam. Valid excuse should be given to the instructor within one week of the
exam. Only one make up exam can be taken by the student. It will cover all of the topics covered
during the semester.

Important Dates:
Quiz 1 09.11.2017
Midterm 1 13.11.2017
Quiz 2 14.12.2017
Midterm 2 18.12.2017
Quiz 3 04.01.2018
 COURSE OUTLINE

Weeks Subject

Weeks 1-2 Introduction to probability and statistical concepts: uncertainties, and

randomness in engineering, course goals. Definitions of basic probability and
statistics concepts: population, sample, event, variable, counting methods etc.
Axioms of probability, conditional probability, probability of independent
events, total probability and Bayes theorems. (Chapters 1 and 2)

Weeks 3-5 Types of Random variables and their probability distributions, density and
cumulative probability functions. Example distributions: Uniform, Binomial,
Negative Binomial, Poisson, Geometric, Hypergeometric, Normal-Lognormal,
and Exponential. (Chapter 3-4)

Weeks 6-7 Multivariate distributions: joint density and cumulative probability

distributions, marginal distributions. Independence, covariance, correlation,
conditional probabilities for joint distributions. (Chapter 5)

Week 8 Descriptive statistics: organization and description of data, histograms,

frequency, bar diagrams, box plots, stem and leaf diagrams. Measures of
location and variability (Chapter 6)

Week 9-11 Statistical inferences: estimation of parameters, properties of estimators,

central limit theorem, interval estimation for the mean and variance,
Hypothesis testing for the mean and variance; T-Distribution, Chi-Square
distribution, testing validity of assumed distribution: goodness of fit,
nonparametric test procedures. (Chapters 7.1, 7.2, 8, 9)

Weeks 12-13 Introduction to regression and correlation analysis: Simple linear regression.
(Chapter 11)

Week 14 One way Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) (Chapter 13)