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Page 2
Global Oil Demand and Supply
(courtesy to World Oil Sand Magazine & EIA Sep 2017)
Page 3
OPEC Production Capacity Forecast
(courtesy to EIA Sep 2017)
Page 4
World Bank Oil Prices Forecast
(courtesy to World Bank Latest Released Forecasts)
90 36
80 32
70 28
60 24
US$, Coal & Oil
US$, Gas
50 20
40 16
30 12
20 8
10 4
0 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2030
Coal, Australia ($/mt) Crude Oil, avg ($/b) Natural Gas, Europe ($/mmbtu)
Natural Gas, US ($/mmbtu) Natural Gas LNG, Japan ($/mmbtu)
Page 5
Short-Term Oil Trend Outlook
(courtesy to EIA Sep 2017)
Page 7
Offshore Rigs Utilization
(courtesy to HIS Markit Sep 2017)
Page 8
Rigs Utilization
(courtesy to McKinsey Insights Sep 2017)
Onshore rig counts revival persists, while offshore counts start to grow:
Page 10
Offshore Rig Demand (USA)
(courtesy to McKinsey Insights Dec 2016)
Falling to a low point in terms of demand in early 2017, the jack-up rig sector is
expected to gently recover, although its longer term resurgence will depend on
oversupply continuing to be mitigated.
Page 11
Oil Price Geopolitical Risks
(courtesy to BCG Sep 2017)
Page 12
Rig Market Status
(courtesy to RIGZONE June 2017)
Looking forward, the price of oil will clearly dictate what level of activity takes place. So far,
the OPEC production cuts have not resulted in a higher sustained oil price, so much so that
some are revising price forecasts down. Should the price fall to and remain in the low $40s
or worse, there will be little, if any, increase in activity and utilization and day rates will
remain in the doldrums. In addition, continued survival for some companies will become
questionable. However, with a stable price that is in the mid $40s to low $50s, the few bright
spots that have occurred should become more frequent and visible.
Page 13
5 Year Copper Prices
(courtesy to InvestmentMine Oct 2017)
Page 13
5 Year Nickel Prices
(courtesy to InvestmentMine Oct 2017)
Page 14
5 Year Silver Prices
(courtesy to InvestmentMine Oct 2017)
Page 15
5 Year Zinc Prices
(courtesy to InvestmentMine Oct 2017)
Page 16
5 Year Lead Prices
(courtesy to InvestmentMine Oct 2017)
Page 17
5 Year Aluminium Prices
(courtesy to InvestmentMine Oct 2017)
Page 18
5 Year Tin Prices
(courtesy to InvestmentMine Oct 2017)
Page 19
Steel Historical Prices
(courtesy to FOCUSECONIMICS 2017)
Steel (USA) Historical Price Chart Steel (Europe) Historical Price Chart
Page 20
Thank you...