1. a. Membuat Decision Tree dari bank-data.

arff

Akurasi = 89.83333%
 b.

INST# ACT PREDIC ER PREDIC ID 154 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12854

UAL TED ROR TION 155 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12855
12 1:? 1:YES 1 ID12712 168 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12868
18 1:? 1:YES 1 ID12718 182 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12882
27 1:? 2:NO 1 ID12727 184 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12884
42 1:? 2:NO 1 ID12742 196 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12896
55 1:? 2:NO 1 ID12755 3 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12703
56 1:? 1:YES 1 ID12756 30 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12730
61 1:? 1:YES 1 ID12761 31 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12731
75 1:? 2:NO 1 ID12775 47 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12747
110 1:? 1:YES 1 ID12810 53 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12753
142 1:? 2:NO 1 ID12842 70 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12770
167 1:? 2:NO 1 ID12867 71 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12771
169 1:? 2:NO 1 ID12869 78 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12778
198 1:? 1:YES 1 ID12898 86 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12786
6 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12706 108 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12808
8 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12708 111 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12811
10 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12710 117 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12817
16 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12716 118 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12818
21 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12721 121 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12821
23 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12723 123 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12823
41 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12741 131 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12831
43 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12743 140 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12840
44 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12744 145 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12845
45 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12745 173 1:? 1:YES 0.938 ID12873
46 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12746 2 1:? 2:NO 0.909 ID12702
60 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12760 15 1:? 2:NO 0.909 ID12715
63 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12763 34 1:? 2:NO 0.909 ID12734
64 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12764 106 1:? 2:NO 0.909 ID12806
74 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12774 127 1:? 2:NO 0.909 ID12827
81 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12781 133 1:? 2:NO 0.909 ID12833
82 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12782 152 1:? 2:NO 0.909 ID12852
84 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12784 183 1:? 2:NO 0.909 ID12883
97 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12797 185 1:? 2:NO 0.909 ID12885
98 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12798 194 1:? 2:NO 0.909 ID12894
104 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12804 19 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12719
130 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12830 20 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12720
138 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12838 22 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12722
148 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12848 25 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12725
149 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12849 26 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12726
151 1:? 1:YES 0.955 ID12851 32 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12732
 39 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12739 197 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12897
40 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12740 200 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12900
48 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12748 4 1:? 1:YES 0.902 ID12704
58 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12758 29 1:? 1:YES 0.902 ID12729
59 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12759 52 1:? 1:YES 0.902 ID12752
62 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12762 66 1:? 1:YES 0.902 ID12766
65 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12765 76 1:? 1:YES 0.902 ID12776
67 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12767 90 1:? 1:YES 0.902 ID12790
69 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12769 91 1:? 1:YES 0.902 ID12791
73 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12773 102 1:? 1:YES 0.902 ID12802
87 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12787 112 1:? 1:YES 0.902 ID12812
88 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12788 114 1:? 1:YES 0.902 ID12814
89 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12789 120 1:? 1:YES 0.902 ID12820
94 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12794 135 1:? 1:YES 0.902 ID12835
96 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12796 136 1:? 1:YES 0.902 ID12836
105 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12805 153 1:? 1:YES 0.902 ID12853
109 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12809 163 1:? 1:YES 0.902 ID12863
113 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12813 191 1:? 1:YES 0.902 ID12891
115 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12815 1 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12701
119 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12819 5 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12705
124 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12824 7 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12707
126 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12826 11 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12711
128 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12828 13 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12713
132 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12832 14 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12714
141 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12841 17 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12717
143 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12843 24 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12724
147 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12847 28 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12728
156 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12856 35 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12735
158 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12858 36 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12736
165 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12865 38 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12738
166 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12866 49 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12749
170 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12870 50 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12750
172 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12872 51 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12751
174 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12874 54 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12754
175 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12875 72 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12772
176 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12876 77 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12777
177 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12877 80 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12780
179 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12879 85 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12785
186 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12886 92 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12792
187 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12887 93 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12793
188 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12888 95 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12795
190 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12890 99 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12799
195 1:? 2:NO 0.903 ID12895 100 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12800
101 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12801 199 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12899
103 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12803 9 1:? 2:NO 0.895 ID12709
122 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12822 57 1:? 2:NO 0.895 ID12757
125 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12825 68 1:? 2:NO 0.895 ID12768
134 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12834 79 1:? 2:NO 0.895 ID12779
137 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12837 83 1:? 2:NO 0.895 ID12783
144 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12844 116 1:? 2:NO 0.895 ID12816
150 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12850 189 1:? 2:NO 0.895 ID12889
157 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12857 33 1:? 1:YES 0.88 ID12733
159 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12859 107 1:? 1:YES 0.88 ID12807
161 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12861 129 1:? 1:YES 0.88 ID12829
164 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12864 139 1:? 1:YES 0.88 ID12839
171 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12871 146 1:? 1:YES 0.88 ID12846
180 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12880 160 1:? 1:YES 0.88 ID12860
181 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12881 162 1:? 1:YES 0.88 ID12862
192 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12892 37 1:? 1:YES 0.8 ID12737
193 1:? 2:NO 0.899 ID12893 178 1:? 1:YES 0.8 ID12878

c.

2.

=== Classifier model (full training set) ===

Naive Bayes Classifier

Class
Attribute no yes
(0.61) (0.39)
=============================
Home
yes 38.0 24.0
no 25.0 17.0
[total] 63.0 41.0

Browsed
no 17.0 13.0
yes 46.0 28.0
[total] 63.0 41.0

Searched
no 34.0 25.0
yes 29.0 16.0
 [total] 63.0 41.0

Prod_A
no 34.0 15.0
yes 29.0 26.0
[total] 63.0 41.0

Prod_B
no 26.0 21.0
yes 37.0 20.0
[total] 63.0 41.0

Prod_C
no 34.0 23.0
yes 29.0 18.0
[total] 63.0 41.0

Pr( = | = ) = 18
Pr( = | = ) = 29
Pr( = ) = 41
Pr( = ) = 63
b. i.

Pr( = | )
= Pr( = | = , = , = ,
= , = , = )
= Pr( = | = ) Pr( = | = )
Pr( = | = ) Pr( = | = )
Pr( = | = ) Pr( = | = )
Pr( = )
24 13 16 15 20 23 41
=
41 41 41 41 41 41 104
= 0.002859

Pr( = | )
= Pr( = | = , = , = ,
= , = , = )
= Pr( = | = ) Pr( = | = )
Pr( = | = ) Pr( = | = )
Pr( = | = ) Pr( = | = )
Pr( = )
38 17 29 34 37 34 63
=
63 63 63 63 63 63 104
= 0.007763

0.002859
Pr( = | ) =
0.002859 + 0.007763
= 0.269158
0.007763
Pr( = | ) =
0.002859 + 0.007763
= 0.730842
ii.
Pr( = | )
= Pr( = | = , = , = ,
= , = , = )
= Pr( = | = ) Pr( = | = )
Pr( = | = ) Pr( = | = )
Pr( = | = ) Pr( = | = )
Pr( = )
24 28 25 26 21 18 41
=
41 41 41 41 41 41 104
= 0.013703

Pr( = | )
= Pr( = | = , = , = ,
= , = , = )
= Pr( = | = ) Pr( = | = )
Pr( = | = ) Pr( = | = )
Pr( = | = ) Pr( = | = )
Pr( = )
38 46 34 29 26 29 63
=
63 63 63 63 63 63 104
= 0.0012591

0.013703
Pr( = | ) =
0.013703 + 0.012591
= 0.521146
0.012591
Pr( = | ) =
0.013703 + 0.012591
= 0.478854