Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
TH ID
SG 6% 11%
37% MY Huge international reserve has
20%
made Singapore fearless to
exchange rate turbulences. No
wonder, it was confident to
lead the market.
PH
Source:ADB;own calculation 26%
ID MY PH SG TH
Source:ADB
Corp
Govt
ID MY PH SG TH
GOVERNMENT BONDS SNAPSHOT
Source: ADB
Jan-01
Jan-02
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Local Currency Bond Return Index:
The Performance
Average Std.Deviation
Not really. Although it could
perform better, it contained
huge risk. By calculating its
ratio, we found that
Singapore is the “Star”.
ID SG MY TH PH
Source:ADB;own calculation
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Jul-08
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Source:ADB
REGIONAL FOCUS : ASEAN-5
On average, Philippines
generated the biggest real
yield. Nevertheless, Thailand
produces the most stable one.
Jul-03
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Jul-08
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
2
Source: Central Banks;own calculation
Recent Development: The Convergence
Real Interest Rate
4 out of 5 economies tended
to move with the same
direction. But what happened
Jul-08
Jan-08
Sep-08
Jan-09
Mar-08
May-08
Nov-08
to Malaysia? According to my
ID
calculation, it performed as
SG the most stable inflation rate
economy.
GOVERNMENT BONDS SNAPSHOT
MY
TH
PH Source:ADB; own calculation
Index Volatility:
Exchange Rate Against US Dollar
1000
Spread: Policy Interest Rate & Fed Fund Rate
Sep-08
Jan-09
Nov-08
Mar-08
May-08
-200
Source:Central Banks;own calculation
REGIONAL FOCUS : ASEAN-5
Member like Indonesia -and Philippines- must realize that it will take a lot of
effort to narrow the gap.
Moreover, in the era of turbulences like recent days, members must enhance
their policy coordination.
Around October to November 2008, quite massive amount of money flew from
Indonesia to Malaysia and Singapore, causing Indonesian rupiah dropped.
4
GOVERNMENT BONDS SNAPSHOT