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30 October 2017
Indices Current % %
Value 1D YTD Government may table new consumer law in parliaments winter session
Sensex 33157 0.03 24.53
Nifty
Asian stocks are trading mixed as investors await earnings
10323 (0.20) 26.11
BSE Mid Cap 16380 0.28 36.14 releases from the region. Nikkei was trading lower by 0.08%,
BSE Sml Cap 17304 0.27 43.64 Hang Seng was trading higher by 0.02% and Shanghai was
SGX Nifty Fut 10393 0.21 26.98 trading lower by 1.17%. The domestic markets are expected to
Sectors Performance (BSE)
open higher and focus will key quarterly earnings
Healthcare 14141 1.61 (3.98)
announcements for further directions. Sgx Nifty is trading higher
Auto 25306 0.85 24.92
Consumer Dur 17898 0.28 59.27 by 0.21%.
Oil & Gas 16366 (1.16) 34.68 The U.S. markets ended higher as investor sentiments were boosted on
Bankex 28096 (0.82) 35.41 strong earnings declared by technology companies viz. Amazon,
Teck 5973 (0.75) 8.62
Microsoft and Google-parent Alphabet. The Dow Jones gained 33 points,
or 0.14%, to close at 23,434 while NASDAQ gained 144 points or 2.20% to
Index FY17E FY18E FY19E
close at 6,701.
SensexEPS 1440 1564 1897
P/E 23.03 21.20 17.48 What to watch
NiftyEPS 454 527 629
Results Today: HDFC, Lupin, Tata Steel , Bharat Electronics, Bharti
P/E 22.74 19.59 16.41
Infratel, Astra Microwave, Central Bank of India, EIH, IDFC, Kajaria
FII Trading activities in Cash Ceramics, KPR Mill, Lakshmi Machine Works, LIC Housing Finance,
Date Net MTD CYTD Mahindra Lifespace Developers, Marico, Reliance Home Finance,
FII 27/10 (641) (7109) (22853) Supreme Industries, UPL , Wockhardt
DII 27/10 57 9354 72712
Government may table new consumer law in parliaments winter
Figs. in Rs Cr., Source: Bloomberg.
session
Railways to invest over Rs 9.7 lakh cr, in five years,
Current % %
Global Indices Forex Reserves Fall $375.8m to $399.9b in a Week to Oct. 20
Value 1D YTD
Dow Jones 23434 0.14 18.58 Frances Dassault will invest more than 100m Euros in India
Nasdaq 6701 2.20 24.49 Corporate
DAX 13218 0.64 15.12
Nikkei 225 21990 (0.08) 15.05 Cadila Healthcare has obtained USFDA approval for for generic
FTSE 100 7505 0.25 5.07 tamoxifen citrate tablets.
Hang Seng 28451 0.04 29.32
Maruti Suzuki India has earmarked Rs 1,000 cr in the current fiscal to
Shanghai A Sha 3377 (1.16) 8.81
Bovespa 75976 0.10 26.15 buy land parcels for new dealerships as part of its network expansion
Strait Times 3379 (0.21) 17.31
strategy.
Source: Bloomberg; As on 8.30 am IST
Tata Sons, will invest Rs 30,000 cr more into its telecom
Clariant and U.S. group Huntsman called off their $20 billion merger
deal post a win for activist investors who fought against the deal.
30 October 2017 For private circulation only
Trading Insights
30 October 2017 2
Investment Picks
Target Target
Target Target
Company CMP Price/ Company CMP Price/
Price Price
CMP (%) CMP (%)
ABB 1690 1403 20% Indusind Bank 1920 1627 18%
Note : Selection criteria based on Potential upside ranging from 5 to 50%. Source: Axis Direct.
30 October 2017 3
Technical View (Equity)
Weekly call
Index CMP % up/dn S2 S1 P R1 R2
Nifty 10,323.05 -0.20% 10280 10300 10335 10355 10390
Sensex 33157.22 +0.03% 33005 33080 33185 33260 33360
Comments:
Nifty started the week with an upward gap and buying momentum for most part of the week led it to close in
positive territory. Nifty closed at 10323 with a gain of 177 points on a weekly basis.
On the weekly chart the index has formed a sizable bullish candle forming higher High-Low formation compare to
previous week and has closed above previous weeks high indicating positive bias ahead. The index is moving in a
Higher Top and Higher Bottom formation on the daily as well as on weekly chart indicating sustained up trend.
The chart pattern suggests that if Nifty crosses and sustains above 10370 level it would witness buying which
would lead the index towards 10410-10500 levels. However if index breaks below its short term support zone of
10290 level it would witness some profit booking which would take the index towards 10250-10180 levels. Nifty is
trading above 20 , 50 and 100 day SMA's which is important short term moving average, indicating positive bias in
the short term. Nifty continues to remain in an uptrend in the medium term, so buying on dips continues to be
our preferred strategy. For the week, we expect Nifty to trade in the range of 10250-10410 with a positive bias.
The weekly strength indicator RSI and momentum oscillator Stochastic have both turned positive and are above
their respective reference lines indicating positive bias
The trend deciding level for the day is 10335. If NIFTY trades above this level then we may witness a further rally
up to 10355-10390-10410 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below 10335 levels then we may see some profit
booking initiating in the market, which may correct up to 10300-10280-10245 levels
Stocks to focus for intraday Long Wockpharma, Tataglobal, Niittech, Rkforge, PTC,
Sunpharma, Suntv, Tatamot.
30 October 2017 4
Technical View (Currency)
Daily call
Index CMP % up/dn S2 S1 P R1 R2
USD/INR
65.07 0.34% 64.84 64.95 65.07 65.18 65.30
(Future)
Comments:
USDINR opened on a flat note and buying momentum from opening tick led it close near day's high. USDINR
closed at 65.07 with a gain of 0.34 %.
On the daily chart USDINR has formed a sizable bullish candle forming higher High-Low compare to previous
session indicating positive bias. Since past nine trading sessions USDINR continue to consolidate within 65.45-64.95
levels indicating short term sideways trend. Currently USDINR is sustaining above its 20 day SMA which support
bullish sentiments in near term.
The chart pattern suggests that if USDINR crosses and sustains above 65.10 level it would witness buying which
would lead USDINR towards 65.30-65.52 levels. However if index breaks below 65 level it would witness selling
which would take USDINR towards 64.90-64.80 levels.
The daily strength indicator RSI is moving upwards and above its reference line indicating positive bias. However
momentum oscillator Stochastic has turned negative from the overbought zone indicating a possible consolidation
or a down move in the near term
30 October 2017 5
Daily Support/ Resistance of Nifty Companies
30 October 2017 6
Last Week Calls
LTP
Buy / Avg
Issue Date Stock Call Type SL Target Category (Close Status Remarks
Sell Buy
Rate)
Derivative
23-Oct-2017 BUY ADANIPORTS Positional 407.00 401.00 418.50 408.00 Closed close @ 408
Desk
Derivative
23-Oct-2017 BUY GRASIM Positional 1,143.00 1,126.00 1,176.00 1,176.00 Closed 1st Tgt
Desk
Derivative
23-Oct-2017 BUY CROMPTON Positional 218.00 215.00 225.00 224.50 Closed Book profits
Desk
Derivative
23-Oct-2017 BUY QUICKHEAL Positional 187.00 184.00 193.00 193.00 Closed 1st Tgt
Desk
Derivative
23-Oct-2017 BUY CUMMINSIND Intraday 899.00 877.00 912.00 900.00 Closed CLOSED @ 900
Desk
Derivative
23-Oct-2017 BUY ANDHRASUGAR Positional 513.00 505.00 528.00 528.00 Closed 1st Tgt
Desk
Technical
23-Oct-2017 BUY VGAURD Positional 192.50 189.00 200.00 199.90 Closed Book profits
Desk
Derivative
23-Oct-2017 BUY GAIL Intraday 439.00 435.00 444.00 435.00 Closed Stoploss Triggered
Desk
Derivative
23-Oct-2017 BUY ULTRACEMCO Intraday 4,130.00 4,095.00 4,170.00 4,171.00 Closed 1st Tgt
Desk
Derivative
23-Oct-2017 SELL UPL Intraday 786.00 792.00 777.50 778.00 Closed Book profits
Desk
Derivative
23-Oct-2017 BUY COROMANDEL E-margin 478.50 471.00 495.00 499.00 Closed 1st Tgt
Desk
Derivative
23-Oct-2017 BUY VOLTAS BTST 544.50 539.50 550.00 539.50 Closed Stoploss Triggered
Desk
Derivative
23-Oct-2017 BUY PFC BTST 132.50 130.00 135.00 137.00 Closed 2nd Tgt
Desk
Technical
23-Oct-2017 BUY MOTHERSUMI BTST 358.00 355.00 363.00 363.00 Closed 1st Tgt
Desk
Derivative
24-Oct-2017 BUY SBIN Intraday 248.00 245.00 252.00 254.00 Closed 2nd Tgt
Desk
Derivative
24-Oct-2017 BUY BFUTILITIES E-margin 410.00 403.00 426.00 403.00 Closed Stoploss Triggered
Desk
Technical
24-Oct-2017 BUY ABAN Intraday 186.50 184.50 188.50 188.50 Closed 1st Tgt
Desk
ADVENENZYME Technical
24-Oct-2017 BUY Positional 264.00 261.00 271.50 265.00 OPEN Technical call
S Desk
Derivative
24-Oct-2017 BUY CHAMBALFERT E-margin 148.75 146.00 155.00 155.00 Closed 1st Tgt
Desk
Derivative
24-Oct-2017 BUY HDFC Intraday 1,725.00 1,715.00 1,737.00 1,725.50 Closed closed @ 1725.50
Desk
Derivative
25-Oct-2017 BUY WIPRO Intraday 300.00 297.00 303.50 300.75 Closed CLOSE @ 300.75
Desk
Derivative
25-Oct-2017 BUY INFRATEL Intraday 462.00 457.50 467.00 457.00 Closed Stoploss Triggered
Desk
Derivative
25-Oct-2017 BUY RAMCOCEM Intraday 715.00 708.00 723.00 727.00 Closed 2nd Tgt
Desk
Derivative
25-Oct-2017 BUY HEROMOTOCO Intraday 3,755.00 3,720.00 3,790.00 3,756.00 Closed CLOSED @ 3756
Desk
Derivative
25-Oct-2017 BUY SYNGENE E-margin 509.50 501.00 530.00 501.00 Closed Stoploss Triggered
Desk
Derivative
25-Oct-2017 BUY CENTURYTEX BTST 1,363.00 1,350.00 1,377.00 1,377.00 Closed 1st Tgt
Desk
Derivative
25-Oct-2017 BUY BHARATFORG BTST 650.00 643.50 657.00 657.00 Closed 1st Tgt
Desk
Derivative
25-Oct-2017 BUY ACC BTST 1,805.00 1,790.00 1,820.00 1,790.00 Closed CLOSED @ 1790
Desk
Derivative
25-Oct-2017 BUY DABUR BTST 325.00 322.00 328.50 323.60 Closed CLOSED @ 323.60
Desk
Derivative
26-Oct-2017 BUY COX&KINGS E-margin 271.50 267.00 280.00 267.00 Closed Stoploss Triggered
Desk
Derivative
26-Oct-2017 BUY TVSMOTOR Intraday 700.00 693.00 707.50 707.50 Closed 1st Tgt
Desk
Derivative
26-Oct-2017 BUY TATASPONGE Intraday 934.00 924.50 944.00 937.00 Closed CLOSED @ 937
Desk
Derivative
26-Oct-2017 BUY SIEMENS Positional 1,265.00 1,260.00 1,225.00 1,271.00 OPEN Derivative Call
Desk
30 October 2017 7
Call Tracker & Strike Rate
LTP
Buy / Avg
Issue Date Stock Call Type SL Target Category (Close Status Remarks
Sell Buy
Rate)
Derivative
26-Oct-2017 BUY BANKNIFTY Intraday 25,110.00 25,050.00 25,250.00 25,050.00 Closed Stoploss Triggered
Desk
Technical
26-Oct-2017 BUY UPL Positional 803.00 795.00 819.00 827.00 Closed 2nd Tgt
Desk
Technical
26-Oct-2017 BUY CONCOR Positional 1,371.00 1,357.00 1,385.30 1,385.30 Closed 1st Tgt
Desk
Technical
26-Oct-2017 BUY JUSTDIAL Positional 410.00 404.00 426.00 411.00 OPEN Technical call
Desk
Technical
26-Oct-2017 BUY DLF Intraday 183.00 180.00 186.00 183.40 Closed CLOSED @ 183.40
Desk
Technical
26-Oct-2017 BUY COLPAL BTST 1,061.00 1,051.00 1,073.00 1,063.00 Closed closed @ 1063
Desk
Derivative
26-Oct-2017 BUY KSCL BTST 583.00 577.00 589.00 577.00 Closed Stoploss Triggered
Desk
Derivative
27-Oct-2017 BUY ITC Positional 270.00 266.00 280.00 271.00 OPEN Derivative Call
Desk
Derivative
27-Oct-2017 BUY NBCC Intraday 261.00 258.50 264.00 258.50 Closed Stoploss Triggered
Desk
Technical
27-Oct-2017 BUY WOCKPHARMA Intraday 639.00 632.00 646.00 650.00 Closed 2nd Tgt
Desk
Derivative
27-Oct-2017 BUY M&M Intraday 1,385.00 1,372.00 1,398.00 1,397.00 Closed Book profits
Desk
Derivative
27-Oct-2017 BUY GLENMARK Positional 606.00 597.00 624.00 607.00 OPEN Derivative Call
Desk
Technical
27-Oct-2017 BUY AJANTPHARM E-margin 1,206.50 1,180.00 1,260.00 1,207.00 OPEN Technical call
Desk
Technical
27-Oct-2017 BUY CADILAHC Intraday 500.00 495.00 508.00 495.00 Closed Stoploss Triggered
Desk
Technical
27-Oct-2017 BUY BFUTILITIES Intraday 412.00 408.00 416.50 421.10 Closed 1st Tgt
Desk
Derivative
27-Oct-2017 BUY HEROMOTOCO Intraday 3,810.00 3,780.00 3,850.00 3,820.00 Closed CLOSED @ 3820
Desk
Derivative
27-Oct-2017 SELL KOTAKBANK STBT 1,040.00 1,051.00 1,038.00 1,039.00 OPEN Derivative Call
Desk
Technical
27-Oct-2017 BUY VOLTAS BTST 548.00 543.00 555.00 549.00 OPEN Technical call
Desk
30 October 2017 8
Events Calendar
Events Calendar
Time
Event Day Region Period Survey Actual Prior Revised
(IST)
Personal Income Monday 08:30 US Sep 0.40% -- 0.20% --
Personal Spending Monday 08:30 US Sep 0.80% -- 0.10% --
Real Personal Spending Monday 08:30 US Sep 0.40% -- -0.10% --
PCE Deflator MoM Monday 08:30 US Sep 0.40% -- 0.20% --
PCE Deflator YoY Monday 08:30 US Sep 1.70% -- 1.40% --
PCE Core MoM Monday 08:30 US Sep 0.10% -- 0.10% --
PCE Core YoY Monday 08:30 US Sep 1.30% -- 1.30% --
Dallas Fed Manf. Activity Monday 10:30 US Oct 21 -- 21.3 --
Manufacturing PMI Monday 21:00 CH Oct 52.2 -- 52.4 --
Non-manufacturing PMI Monday 21:00 CH Oct -- -- 55.4 --
Employment Cost Index Tuesday 08:30 US 3Q 0.70% -- 0.50% --
S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City MoM SA Tuesday 09:00 US Aug -- -- 0.35% --
S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City YoY NSA Tuesday 09:00 US Aug -- -- 5.81% --
S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City NSA Index Tuesday 09:00 US Aug -- -- 201.99 --
S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI YoY NSA Tuesday 09:00 US Aug -- -- 5.94% --
S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI NSA Index Tuesday 09:00 US Aug -- -- 194.1 --
Chicago Purchasing Manager Tuesday 09:45 US Oct 60 -- 65.2 --
Conf. Board Consumer Confidence Tuesday 10:00 US Oct 121 -- 119.8 --
Conf. Board Present Situation Tuesday 10:00 US Oct -- -- 146.1 --
Conf. Board Expectations Tuesday 10:00 US Oct -- -- 102.2 --
Caixin China PMI Mfg Tuesday 21:45 CH Oct 51 -- 51 --
Fiscal Deficit INR Crore Tuesday 07:00 IN Sep -- -- 20149 --
Eight Infrastructure Industries Tuesday 08:00 IN Sep -- -- 4.90% --
MBA Mortgage Applications Wednesday 07:00 US Oct-27 -- -- -4.60% --
ADP Employment Change Wednesday 08:15 US Oct 190k -- 135k --
Markit US Manufacturing PMI Wednesday 09:45 US Oct F 54.5 -- 54.5 --
ISM Manufacturing Wednesday 10:00 US Oct 59.1 -- 60.8 --
ISM Prices Paid Wednesday 10:00 US Oct 67.5 -- 71.5 --
ISM New Orders Wednesday 10:00 US Oct -- -- 64.6 --
ISM Employment Wednesday 10:00 US Oct -- -- 60.3 --
Construction Spending MoM Wednesday 10:00 US Sep -0.30% -- 0.50% --
FOMC Rate Decision (Upper Bound) Wednesday 14:00 US Nov-01 1.25% -- 1.25% --
FOMC Rate Decision (Lower Bound) Wednesday 14:00 US Nov-01 1.00% -- 1.00% --
Wards Total Vehicle Sales Wednesday US Oct 17.30m -- 18.47m --
Wards Domestic Vehicle Sales Wednesday US Oct -- -- 14.33m --
Nikkei India PMI Mfg Wednesday 01:00 IN Oct -- -- 51.2 --
Challenger Job Cuts YoY Thursday 07:30 US Oct -- -- -27.00% --
Initial Jobless Claims Thursday 08:30 US Oct-28 -- -- 233k --
Continuing Claims Thursday 08:30 US Oct-21 -- -- 1893k --
Nonfarm Productivity Thursday 08:30 US 3Q P 1.90% -- 1.50% --
Unit Labor Costs Thursday 08:30 US 3Q P 0.50% -- 0.20% --
Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Thursday 09:45 US Oct-29 -- -- 51 --
Caixin China PMI Composite Thursday 21:45 CH Oct -- -- 51.4 --
Caixin China PMI Services Thursday 21:45 CH Oct -- -- 50.6 --
Change in Nonfarm Payrolls Friday 08:30 US Oct 310k -- -33k --
Two-Month Payroll Net Revision Friday 08:30 US Oct -- -- -38k --
Change in Private Payrolls Friday 08:30 US Oct 285k -- -40k --
Change in Manufact. Payrolls Friday 08:30 US Oct 18k -- -1k --
Unemployment Rate Friday 08:30 US Oct 4.20% -- 4.20% --
Average Hourly Earnings MoM Friday 08:30 US Oct 0.20% -- 0.50% --
Average Hourly Earnings YoY Friday 08:30 US Oct 2.70% -- 2.90% --
Average Weekly Hours All Employees Friday 08:30 US Oct 34.4 -- 34.4 --
Labor Force Participation Rate Friday 08:30 US Oct -- -- 63.10% --
Underemployment Rate Friday 08:30 US Oct -- -- 8.30% --
Trade Balance Friday 08:30 US Sep -$43.5b -- -$42.4b --
ISM Non-Manf. Composite Friday 10:00 US Oct 58 -- 59.8 --
Factory Orders Friday 10:00 US Sep 1.00% -- 1.20% --
Factory Orders Ex Trans Friday 10:00 US Sep -- -- 0.40% --
Durable Goods Orders Friday 10:00 US Sep F -- -- 2.20% --
Durables Ex Transportation Friday 10:00 US Sep F -- -- 0.70% --
Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air Friday 10:00 US Sep F -- -- 1.30% --
Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air Friday 10:00 US Sep F -- -- 0.70% --
Markit US Services PMI Friday 10:45 US Oct F -- -- 55.9 --
Markit US Composite PMI Friday 10:45 US Oct F -- -- 55.7 --
Nikkei India PMI Services Friday 01:00 IN Oct -- -- 50.7 --
Nikkei India PMI Composite Friday 01:00 IN Oct -- -- 51.1 --
30 October 2017 9
WEEKLY DERIVATIVES 30 October 2017
with Futures
Stock 33 - Long Build Up Market Indsite:
Stock Futures - Short Build Up
of 17
WEEKLY DERIVATIVES
Stock OI Data
Disclosures:
The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the
Regulations).
1. Axis Securities Ltd. (ASL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000297. ASL, the Research Entity (RE)
as defined in the Regulations, is engaged in the business of providing Stock broking services, Depository participant services &
distribution of various financial products. ASL is a subsidiary company of Axis Bank Ltd. Axis Bank Ltd. is a listed public company
and one of Indias largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of Asset management, NBFC,
Merchant Banking, Trusteeship, Venture Capital, Stock Broking, the details in respect of which are available on www.axisbank.com.
2. ASL is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) for its stock broking & Depository participant business activities
and with the Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products and also registered with IRDA as a
corporate agent for insurance business activity.
3. ASL has no material adverse disciplinary history as on the date of publication of this report.
4. I/We, authors (Research team) and the name/s subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research
report accurately reflect my/our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. I/We also certify that no part of my/our compensation
was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. I/we or my/our relative or
ASL does not have any financial interest in the subject company. Also I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its Associates may have
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Research Team
Sr. No Name Designation E-mail
1 Rajesh Palviya Technical & Derivative Analyst - (Head) rajesh.palviya@axissecurities.in
2 Vaishnavi Jagtap Technical Analyst vaishnavi.jagtap@axissecurities.in
3 Kruti Shah Derivative Analyst kruti.shah@axissecurities.in
4 Soni Patnaik Derivative Analyst soni.patnaik@axissecurities.in
5 Hiren Trivedi Research Associate hiren.trivedi@axissecurities.in
6 Kiran Gawle Associate kiran.gawle@axissecurities.in
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30 October 2017 10
Disclosures
Disclaimer:
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Worli, Mumbai 400 025. Compliance Officer: Anand Shaha, Email: compliance.officer@axisdirect.in, Tel No: 022-42671582. SEBI-Portfolio
Manager Reg. No. INP000000654
Axis Securities Limited, SEBI Reg. No.- NSE-INB/INF/INE 231481632, BSE- INB/INF 011481638,MSEI-INB/INF/INE 261481635, ARN No.
64610, CDSL-IN-DP-CDSL-693-2013, SEBI-Research Analyst Reg. No. INH 000000297,SEBI Portfolio Manager Reg. No-
INP000000654, Main/Dealing off.- Unit No. 2, Phoenix Market City, 15, LBS Road, Near Kamani Junction, Kurla (west), Mumbai-
400070, Tel No. 18002100808, Reg. off.- Axis House, 8th Floor, Wadia International Centre, Pandurang Budhkar Marg, Worli,
Mumbai 400 025.Compliance Officer: Anand Shaha, E-Mail ID: compliance.officer@axisdirect.in,Tel No: 022-42671582.
Mutual Funds Investments are subject to market risk. Please read the offer and scheme related documents carefully before investing.