GENERACION DE DESCARGAS EN CUENCA

METODO PROPUESTO POR LA MISION TECNICA ALEMANA - 1980

Mtodo de la Misin Alemana

Precipitacin Media Anual: P 850.9 mm

Evaporacin Anual: ETP 1222 mm

Coeficiente de Escorrenta: C 0.28

Caractersticas Generales de la cuenca

Area de la cuenca: A 698.4

Altitud Media de la cuenca: H 3500
Pendiente Media de la cuenca 0.95
Precipitacin Media Anual: P 850.9
Evaporacin Total Anual: ETP 1222
Temperatura Media Anual: T 8.7
Dficit de Escurrimiento: D 469.1
Coeficiente de Escorrenta: C 0.45
Coeficiente de Agotamiento: a 0.0135
Relacin de Caudales (30 das): bo 0.667
Area de lagunas y acuferos 5
Gasto Mensual de Retencin: R 80.0

GENERACION DE CAUDA

PRECIPITACION MENSUAL
N P Efectiva
MES das del Total PE II PE III PE
mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes
1 2 3 4 5 6
Enero 30 169.7 48.1 144.8 96.6
Febrero* 28 174.0 49.8 148.0 99.0
Marzo 31 172.3 49.1 146.8 98.0
Abril 30 46.4 4.6 11.5 8.0
Mayo 31 12.9 1.4 3.2 2.3
Junio 30 4.6 0.5 1.1 0.8
Julio 31 3.8 0.4 0.9 0.7
Agosto 31 13.5 1.5 3.3 2.4
Setiem. 30 22.4 2.3 5.0 3.7
Octubre 31 41.3 4.0 9.6 6.8
Noviem. 30 50.6 5.2 13.3 9.2
Diciem. 31 98.4 17.1 54.5 35.8

AO 809.9 183.9 542.0 363.4

0.45 0.499 0.501 1.000

Coeficientes
C1 C2
 CALCULO DE LOS COEFIC

Qt Qt-1 PE
64.6 7.8 96.6
83.0 64.6 99.0 Resultado de la regresin
98.0 83.0 98.0
36.3 98.0 8.0 Resumen
21.2 36.3 2.3 Resumen
13.4 21.2 0.8
9.1 13.4 0.7 Estadsticas de la regresin
8.0 9.1 2.4 Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
7.4 8.0 3.7 Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
9.3 7.4 6.8 R^2 ajustado
5.2 9.3 9.2 S
7.8 5.2 35.8 Observaciones

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA

Regresin
Residuos
Total

b1
b2
b3
 CALCULO DEL COEFICIENTE DE ESCORRENTIA

Mtodo de L - Turc

Temperatura Media Anual: T

Coeficiente de Temperatura: L
Dficit de Escurrimiento: D
Coeficiente de Escorrenta: C

Coeficientes de
Clculo - Precipitacin Efectiva

Km2 Coef. Curva I

msnm a0 -0.047000
m/m a1 0.009400
mm a2 -0.000500
mm a3 0.000020
C a4 -5.00E-08
mm/ao a5 2.00E-10

El rango de aplicacin de lo
coeficientes de la ecuacin
Km2 Polinmica de la PE est
mm/ao comprendida para 0 < P < 250

NERACION DE CAUDALES MEDIOS MENSUALES PARA EL AO PROMEDIO

CONTRIBUCION DE LA RETENCION
Gasto retencion de la cuenca Abastecimiento dretencion de la cuenca
bi Gi ai Ai
mm/mes mm/mes
7 8 9 10
0.400 32.0
0.200 16.0
0.000 0.0
0.667 28.3
0.445 18.9
0.297 12.6
0.198 8.4
0.132 5.6
0.088 3.7
0.059 2.5
0.050 4.0
0.350 28.0

1.886 80.0 1.000 80.0

LCULO DE LOS COEFICIENTES DE CORRELACION PARA EL AO PROMEDIO

0.9815646911
0.9634692428
0.9553512968
7.4861933356
12

Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados Promedio de los cuadrados F

2 13302.8216341438 6651.4108170719 118.683868768
9 504.3878159276 56.0430906586
11 13807.2094500714

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad

0.4764025454 3.0996415532 0.153696012 0.8812404984
0.3569410929 0.068916287 5.1793430618 0.0005798597
0.6280838374 0.0549067794 11.4390944847 1.1564101E-06
 1
DP 4
L 300 25 T 0.05
1

P 2 2

0.9 L2

8.7 C PD
550.4 C (3)
469.1 mm/ao P
0.45

Curva II Curva III

-0.106500 -0.417700 Cuencas con agotamiento rpido.
0.147700 0.379500 Retencin entre 50 y 80 mm/ao y vegetacin poco desarrolla
-0.002900 -0.010100

a 0.00252 LnAR 0.030

0.000050 0.000200
-2.00E-07 -9.00E-07
2.00E-10 1.00E-09

de aplicacin de los
ntes de la ecuacin
mica de la PE est
da para 0 < P < 250 mm

CAUDALES
GENERADOS Ajuste de Precipitacin efectiva ha
N=
mm/mes
11 m3/s
12
Ejemplo
mesdel mtodo de Chow
64.6 17.39 Enero
83.0 23.95 Febrero
98.0 25.56 Marzo
36.3 9.79 Abril
21.2 5.53 Mayo
13.4 3.61 Junio
9.1 2.36 Julio
8.0 2.09 Agosto
7.4 1.99 Setiem.
9.3 2.43 Octubre
5.2 1.41 Noviem.
7.8 2.04 Diciem.

363.4 8.18
 Valor crtico de F
3.4037999983E-07

Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%

-6.5354737819 7.4882788727 -6.5354737819 7.4882788727
0.2010416209 0.5128405648 0.2010416209 0.5128405648
0.5038760733 0.7522916014 0.5038760733 0.7522916014
 300 25 T 0.05 (T ) 3 4a

agotamiento rpido.
egetacin poco desarrollada (puna):

AR 0.030 (12 .2)

te de Precipitacin efectiva hasta obtener la escorentia historica anual (mm)

73
mplo del mtodoPP
de(mm)
Chow Pe (mm)

169.7 93 12.66
174.0 96.7 5.162
172.3 95.2 8.056
46.4 6.3 3.048
12.9 0.4 3.681
4.6 2.5 2.809
3.8 2.8 4.612
13.5 0.3 4.433
22.4 0.1 12.66
41.3 4.3 6.346
50.6 8.1 1.288
98.4 36.5 0.443
346.2 65.2
 PRECIPITACION EFECTIVA GENERADA EN CUENCA INTEGRAL

Ao Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago. Set. Oct.
1969 59.4 72 45.9 11 2.3 1.7 3.1 0.5 2.4 12.1
1970 106 85.4 101.2 2 0.1 2.1 1.7 2.5 10.9 6.7
1971 92.1 115.9 56.4 12.6 3.2 0.6 4.6 0.2 0.5 2.7
1972 246.5 161.2 178.7 2.7 2.7 4.1 0 1.9 3.9 13.9
1973 190.3 123.4 117.2 33.2 1 2.6 0.2 0.1 15.2 0.9
1974 209.3 217.9 116.5 46.1 1.9 1.1 1.9 41.8 19.1 1.2
1975 99.3 115.7 136.4 2.3 1.4 2.9 4.7 0.5 0.2 2.2
1976 110.3 84.6 116 2.9 0.2 0.1 2.8 0.2 68.5 3.7
1977 14.5 165.2 85.4 1.4 4.7 4.7 0.2 4.3 1.1 3.6
1978 133.8 22.3 25 1.7 0.4 0.3 3.4 3 0 7.1
Fi gur a ##: Por c i n d e Pr e ci pi t aci n Ef e ct i va Seg n Bur eao O f Re cl am at i on

1979 6.2 45.7 41.4 6.2 2.5 3.5 1.9 0.5 0.7 0.9
1980 27.2 9.8 113.8 1.2 2.4 4.3 2.2 3.8 3.2 50.5
1981 122.9 191.2 30 35 2.4 2.7 4.5 26 3.9 4.6
1982 55.2 48.3 48.8 1 4.6 0.9 4.7 1.7 4 34.7
1983 7.2 5.8 4.1 0.2 3.3 3.8 3.9 1.9 0.8 0.6
1984 73.9 65.1 53.9 5.4 1.4 2.3 2.5 0 1.5 2.2
1985 86.1 76.1 63.4 7.2 1.1 2.2 2.3 0.1 2.3 3.2
1986 61.3 108 73.1 17.2 0 4.7 1.3 0.4 2.7 0
1987 165.8 9.9 78.5 0 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.7 4 6.9
1988 176.1 36 49.8 35.7 0.8 4.7 0.1 2.4 0.7 1.5
1989 217.8 196.5 169 32.4 0 0.8 0.9 4.2 15.8 19.2
1990 104.8 93.2 78.2 10.2 0.9 1.9 2.1 0.3 3.7 4.9
1991 97.7 86.7 72.6 9 1 2 2.1 0.2 3.1 4.2
1992 108.7 96.7 81.3 10.8 0.8 1.9 2 0.4 4 5.3
1993 165 148.1 126.3 21.3 0.3 1.2 1.4 1.9 9.5 11.9
1994 105.2 93.5 78.5 10.2 0.9 3.6 2.1 0.3 1.3 0
1995 117.6 38.5 40.3 1.2 3 4.7 4.7 2.4 2.3 0.4
1996 105.1 219.7 77.6 61.8 4.7 4.1 2.5 3.3 2.2 5
1997 133.9 145.7 56.5 3.4 0.1 4.7 4.1 30 15.7 0
1998 160.2 35.7 55.6 1 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 1.3
1999 97.6 205.3 118.7 31.8 1.8 4.7 2.1 0.1 10.5 26.6
2000 190.1 186.4 151 9.3 0.9 0.1 2.1 0.1 0.8 6.3
2001 224.9 151.9 137.8 21.6 3.4 3.7 1 2.2 0.1 20.2
2002 75.6 119.6 104 15.2 1.8 2.4 26.5 0.1 1.5 32.9
2003 59.8 65.6 175.6 3.3 0.1 4.7 2.6 0.3 0.5 1.8
2004 51.7 138.7 53.2 7.7 4 0.1 2.3 0 3.3 0.4
2005 88.4 55.5 24.7 3.5 4.7 4.7 2.3 1.3 10.4 0.1
2006 121.9 136.5 144.1 12.3 4.7 4.7 4.7 0.1 2.8 25.5
2007 66.4 75 163.5 4 2.4 4.7 2.7 4.7 0.2 0.5
2008 141.2 155.7 30.3 2.1 4.3 0.4 4.7 3.1 4.7 3
MAX. 246.5 219.7 178.7 61.8 4.7 4.7 26.5 41.8 68.5 50.5
MED. 111.9 105.1 86.9 12.4 2.0 2.7 3.1 3.8 6.1 8.2
MIN. 6.2 5.8 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.EST 59.7 60.3 46.4 14.4 1.6 1.7 4.1 8.6 11.3 11.5

NUMEROS ALEATORIOS GENERADOS

Ao Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago. Set. Oct.
1969 -0.190 -0.419 -0.581 0.704 -1.077 0.206 -0.898 -0.077 -1.303 -0.335
1970 0.366 -0.998 -0.949 1.006 0.862 0.092 -0.541 2.364 1.470 -1.175
 1971 -0.637 0.599 1.319 0.047 -1.391 -1.006 0.061 -0.116 -0.708 1.105
1972 -0.322 1.013 0.735 -0.705 1.184 0.819 0.274 0.695 -0.661 0.345
1973 -0.458 0.702 0.455 -0.356 -0.687 -0.214 1.276 -1.374 -1.674 -0.115
1974 0.295 -0.999 -0.333 0.279 -1.601 -1.142 0.016 0.506 0.632 1.514
1975 -1.803 0.530 -1.324 -0.795 0.554 -0.531 -0.012 0.264 -0.256 -2.566
1976 -0.786 -0.689 0.652 -0.757 -1.295 -1.543 2.247 -0.605 0.422 -0.478
1977 -0.493 1.256 -1.179 -1.019 -1.437 -0.883 2.694 0.337 -0.796 0.571
1978 -1.870 0.374 -1.517 -1.198 0.113 -0.541 -0.434 -0.062 1.111 0.446
1979 1.178 -0.466 -0.363 -0.092 0.129 -1.303 1.226 0.202 0.584 1.080
1980 -0.702 1.456 1.793 0.134 0.526 -1.124 0.296 0.179 1.236 0.123
1981 -1.870 0.263 0.001 -0.376 -0.102 0.876 1.093 -0.031 -1.268 -0.088
1982 0.281 0.976 0.120 -1.097 0.830 -1.724 -0.067 1.425 0.424 0.451
1983 -0.480 0.502 -0.021 -0.055 -0.150 -0.103 -0.512 0.664 -0.049 0.596
1984 -0.732 -1.785 0.760 -0.315 -0.658 -1.217 -1.485 -0.298 0.297 1.668
1985 0.641 1.111 -0.244 0.089 0.326 1.625 -0.338 -0.899 1.986 0.081
1986 0.347 -0.989 0.089 2.219 0.054 -0.389 -1.909 0.097 0.736 -0.929
1987 1.693 0.770 -1.879 2.647 1.121 -0.464 0.257 0.973 0.804 -0.502
1988 0.581 0.706 2.032 0.957 -1.228 -1.252 0.536 1.705 1.419 0.036
1989 -1.008 -2.395 -1.708 0.273 0.540 -0.285 0.075 0.696 -0.577 -0.610
1990 -1.690 -0.507 -1.119 -0.878 0.432 1.495 -0.409 -1.077 -0.357 -0.683
1991 1.659 -2.059 0.427 -0.243 -0.660 0.004 0.586 0.966 0.475 2.124
1992 0.274 -1.221 -0.485 1.457 -0.257 0.073 -0.909 -0.614 0.718 0.931
1993 0.126 -0.506 -0.114 -1.187 -0.184 0.118 -1.383 -0.648 0.847 0.793
1994 -0.171 0.563 0.623 1.709 -0.012 -0.436 -0.409 0.303 0.526 -0.057
1995 -0.684 -0.638 0.732 -0.896 0.664 0.312 0.865 -0.283 -1.347 0.612
1996 -0.275 1.768 -1.688 -0.823 -0.557 1.379 -0.614 -0.631 -1.487 -1.743
1997 0.590 -1.010 -0.084 -0.565 -0.123 2.187 -0.942 1.609 -0.762 -0.269
1998 -0.041 -0.233 -1.002 3.301 1.899 0.911 0.640 0.840 -0.938 1.823
1999 -0.8 -0.941856 1.26986 -0.5511 -1.2077 -0.7842 -0.6969 1.506 -0.05948 -0.49345
2000 2.4 1.269648 -0.07839 1.9498 -0.7626 -1.0903 1.1448 -0.4843 -0.41661 0.59158
2001 0.5 -0.668934 -0.55902 0.7719 -0.8665 1.3832 -0.1504 -0.3424 2.01542 -1.79496
2002 0.5 -0.274821 0.35822 0.7041 -0.0614 -1.115 0.1544 -0.9147 1.0831 -0.12119
2003 -0.5 0.037084 -1.35443 -0.1198 0.2551 -0.2494 -0.2867 1.9537 -1.07534 0.31864
2004 -1.7 0.056935 -1.40935 -1.3044 -0.0432 -0.9396 0.3779 0.859 -1.12376 2.02777
2005 -0.8 -1.182835 0.7054 -1.2706 -0.806 1.3457 -1.0016 0.4062 1.04784 -1.03787
2006 -0.8 0.316258 1.93135 0.1601 0.4726 0.4334 -0.1228 0.544 -2.14167 -1.88035
2007 -0.2 -0.635759 1.0214 -0.1547 0.8248 0.2034 1.0301 -1.798 0.08906 -0.25571
2008 0.5 0.874766 0.08921 -1.071 -1.9709 1.153 0.9561 -0.4154 -0.6348 0.94972
MAX. 2.433 1.456 2.032 2.647 1.184 1.625 2.694 2.364 1.986 2.124
MED. -0.239 -0.105 -0.077 0.057 -0.126 -0.316 0.081 0.196 0.174 0.183
MIN. -1.870 -2.395 -1.879 -1.198 -1.601 -1.724 -1.909 -1.374 -1.674 -2.566
D.EST 0.965 1.057 1.014 1.043 0.825 0.866 1.050 0.846 0.965 0.970

DESCARGAS MEDIAS MENSUALES GENERADAS (mm)

Coeficientes de Regresin Mltiple: b1 0.4764 b2 0.35694 b3

Modelo Matemtico: Qt = b1 + b2*Qt-1 + b3*PEt + Z*S*(1 - R^2)^0.5

Ao Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago. Set. Oct.
Prom. 64.6 83.0 98.0 36.3 21.2 13.4 9.1 8.0 7.4 9.3
1969 40.4 59.7 50.0 26.0 10.1 5.4 3.4 1.9 1.3 8.2
1970 80.1 81.7 92.2 35.7 14.2 6.9 3.5 5.7 10.8 7.4
1971 64.1 96.7 71.8 34.1 13.2 4.6 5.1 2.3 0.9 3.6
1972 168.3 162.8 171.6 62.7 25.8 13.1 5.4 4.3 3.8 10.9
1973 123.0 122.6 118.3 63.2 23.0 10.1 5.5 1.1 8.7 4.0
1974 140.8 186.6 139.9 79.7 28.5 10.2 5.3 29.1 23.5 11.2
1975 69.6 98.5 120.0 43.9 17.6 8.0 6.3 3.3 1.5 -0.2
1976 87.8 84.3 104.1 38.7 13.1 3.6 5.8 2.1 44.7 18.3
1977 13.5 110.3 92.3 33.3 13.8 7.5 6.0 5.7 2.4 4.2
1978 87.7 46.2 31.1 11.4 4.9 1.9 2.8 3.3 2.8 6.4
1979 21.3 36.3 39.1 18.2 8.7 4.4 4.5 2.6 2.4 3.0
1980 23.3 16.4 79.6 29.8 13.2 6.7 4.6 4.7 5.4 34.3
1981 80.0 149.4 72.6 48.0 19.0 9.8 7.9 19.6 8.6 6.4
1982 53.5 50.9 49.4 17.6 10.5 3.0 4.4 4.6 5.1 24.5
1983 7.6 7.4 5.7 2.6 3.3 3.9 3.8 3.7 2.3 2.3
1984 46.9 56.3 55.2 23.2 9.0 3.9 1.9 0.9 2.0 4.3
1985 59.7 70.7 65.3 28.4 11.6 7.7 4.3 1.2 4.4 4.1
1986 46.2 83.8 76.4 40.8 15.1 8.4 2.4 1.7 3.5 0.8
1987 117.1 49.3 65.5 26.5 11.2 4.2 2.7 2.9 4.8 6.0
1988 112.6 64.0 56.7 44.1 15.5 7.7 3.8 5.1 4.2 2.9
1989 145.0 173.2 166.7 80.6 29.8 11.3 5.2 5.7 11.8 16.1
1990 85.5 89.0 80.2 34.6 13.8 8.1 4.3 1.1 2.8 3.9
1991 72.4 78.7 74.6 32.5 12.0 6.0 4.5 3.2 4.1 6.7
1992 76.5 87.3 82.2 38.1 14.3 6.9 3.3 1.3 4.2 6.2
1993 113.2 133.4 127.3 58.1 21.2 8.9 3.1 2.1 8.1 11.6
1994 80.4 88.5 82.0 37.9 14.6 7.5 4.1 2.4 2.7 1.4
1995 81.3 53.0 45.5 16.5 8.9 6.9 6.8 4.1 2.0 2.1
1996 69.0 164.9 106.4 76.4 30.1 15.2 6.9 4.4 1.9 2.5
1997 93.7 124.4 80.3 30.7 11.4 9.7 5.6 22.9 17.8 6.5
1998 109.4 61.7 56.4 24.6 14.1 9.4 7.4 6.9 5.0 4.9
1999 83.1 158.1 132.8 67.3 24.4 11.3 5.1 3.9 8.4 19.7
2000 137.5 167.9 155.2 63.7 23.0 7.6 5.7 2.1 1.3 5.5
2001 152.6 149.7 139.9 64.8 24.8 13.1 5.6 3.5 3.8 12.7
2002 52.3 94.0 99.7 46.3 18.1 7.3 19.9 6.7 4.9 22.8
2003 49.3 59.3 130.6 49.0 18.3 9.7 5.3 4.5 1.3 2.4
2004 43.6 103.2 69.3 28.7 13.2 4.3 3.8 2.7 2.4 3.6
2005 59.6 55.4 36.5 14.4 7.8 7.6 3.6 3.0 9.1 2.7
2006 99.1 121.9 136.5 57.1 24.3 12.5 7.8 3.9 1.4 15.1
2007 53.2 65.9 127.7 48.4 20.1 10.8 7.1 4.1 2.2 1.3
2008 95.5 133.3 67.2 24.7 10.0 5.5 6.4 4.3 4.3 4.9
MAX. 168.3 186.6 171.6 80.6 30.1 15.2 19.9 29.1 44.7 34.3
MED. 79.9 94.9 88.8 40.1 15.9 7.8 5.3 5.0 6.1 7.9
MIN. 7.6 7.4 5.7 2.6 3.3 1.9 1.9 0.9 0.9 -0.2
D.EST 38.4 45.4 39.5 19.4 6.7 3.1 2.8 5.8 7.8 7.4

DESCARGAS MEDIAS MENSUALES GENERADAS (m3

Area 698.4 Km2

Ao Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago. Set. Oct.
30 28 31 30 31 30 31 31 30 31
1969 10.88 17.23 13.04 6.99 2.63 1.44 0.89 0.50 0.36 2.14
1970 21.59 23.59 24.05 9.61 3.69 1.87 0.91 1.48 2.92 1.92
1971 17.26 27.93 18.72 9.18 3.45 1.23 1.32 0.60 0.24 0.94
1972 45.36 47.01 44.74 16.89 6.72 3.52 1.41 1.12 1.02 2.85
1973 33.14 35.39 30.85 17.03 5.99 2.72 1.43 0.29 2.35 1.05
1974 37.94 53.87 36.48 21.46 7.42 2.74 1.39 7.60 6.34 2.91
1975 18.74 28.44 31.28 11.84 4.59 2.17 1.64 0.86 0.41 -0.05
1976 23.66 24.32 27.14 10.42 3.41 0.98 1.52 0.54 12.04 4.76
1977 3.65 31.86 24.07 8.96 3.61 2.01 1.57 1.48 0.64 1.09
1978 23.64 13.33 8.11 3.08 1.28 0.50 0.74 0.86 0.75 1.66
1979 5.75 10.49 10.19 4.91 2.26 1.20 1.17 0.68 0.66 0.78
1980 6.29 4.75 20.77 8.03 3.43 1.81 1.19 1.22 1.46 8.93
1981 21.55 43.12 18.94 12.93 4.96 2.65 2.07 5.11 2.33 1.66
1982 14.41 14.69 12.89 4.75 2.74 0.82 1.16 1.19 1.36 6.40
1983 2.06 2.12 1.47 0.69 0.86 1.06 0.99 0.97 0.61 0.59
1984 12.64 16.25 14.39 6.26 2.34 1.05 0.50 0.22 0.55 1.12
1985 16.10 20.42 17.03 7.65 3.03 2.06 1.12 0.30 1.17 1.08
1986 12.43 24.19 19.92 10.99 3.94 2.27 0.62 0.44 0.95 0.21
1987 31.55 14.22 17.07 7.15 2.92 1.13 0.70 0.75 1.30 1.57
1988 30.35 18.48 14.78 11.88 4.03 2.07 1.00 1.33 1.12 0.77
1989 39.07 50.01 43.47 21.72 7.77 3.05 1.35 1.48 3.19 4.21
1990 23.03 25.70 20.92 9.33 3.61 2.19 1.12 0.29 0.76 1.01
1991 19.52 22.72 19.45 8.76 3.14 1.63 1.18 0.84 1.09 1.75
1992 20.62 25.20 21.44 10.26 3.73 1.85 0.85 0.33 1.12 1.63
1993 30.50 38.51 33.19 15.65 5.53 2.40 0.82 0.56 2.17 3.03
1994 21.68 25.55 21.38 10.21 3.79 2.02 1.06 0.63 0.73 0.36
1995 21.90 15.31 11.85 4.46 2.33 1.87 1.77 1.07 0.54 0.54
1996 18.59 47.60 27.73 20.59 7.86 4.10 1.79 1.14 0.51 0.66
1997 25.24 35.91 20.93 8.27 2.96 2.62 1.45 5.98 4.78 1.71
1998 29.47 17.81 14.71 6.63 3.69 2.53 1.94 1.81 1.33 1.28
1999 22.38 45.65 34.62 18.13 6.36 3.06 1.34 1.02 2.26 5.13
2000 37.04 48.47 40.46 17.16 6.00 2.06 1.48 0.54 0.35 1.43
2001 41.13 43.21 36.48 17.45 6.48 3.52 1.47 0.92 1.04 3.31
2002 14.10 27.14 26.00 12.48 4.71 1.97 5.19 1.75 1.32 5.94
2003 13.29 17.13 34.05 13.21 4.77 2.62 1.38 1.18 0.35 0.63
2004 11.74 29.79 18.07 7.74 3.44 1.16 1.00 0.71 0.64 0.95
2005 16.06 16.00 9.51 3.88 2.02 2.04 0.94 0.78 2.46 0.72
2006 26.71 35.20 35.58 15.38 6.33 3.38 2.03 1.01 0.39 3.94
2007 14.34 19.03 33.31 13.05 5.24 2.91 1.85 1.08 0.58 0.34
2008 25.74 38.47 17.51 6.65 2.60 1.47 1.66 1.11 1.16 1.27
MAX. 45.36 53.87 44.74 21.72 7.86 4.10 5.19 7.60 12.04 8.93
MED. 21.529 27.402 23.165 10.793 4.142 2.094 1.374 1.294 1.634 2.055
MIN. 2.056 2.123 1.475 0.691 0.864 0.505 0.502 0.225 0.239 -0.054
D.EST 10.343 13.094 10.295 5.214 1.752 0.824 0.730 1.506 2.091 1.943

Figura6.2:Vari cinMensual delaDescargapar CuatroNivel sdePersi tencia-RoMuylo

 PRECIPITACION MEDIA AREAL EN CUENCA INTEGRAL

n= 73
Nov. Dic. Tot. Ao Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago. Set. Oct.
9.4 45.6 265.4 1969 128.8 144.5 111.3 56.9 5.1 7.1 3.3 12.2 35.1 59.2
4.8 23.9 347.3 1970 184.8 160.8 179.2 33.6 22.4 5.9 6.9 4.8 56.6 47.5
0.8 56.8 346.4 1971 168.6 196.0 125.1 60.2 3.0 11.8 0.1 14.8 12.4 36.3
10.7 12.9 639.2 1972 337.9 246.5 265.5 36.3 4.2 1.1 17.5 6.3 40.0 62.6
16.5 31.9 532.5 1973 278.1 204.6 197.6 93.7 9.4 4.5 15.0 21.6 65.0 28.6
5 31.9 693.7 1974 298.4 307.6 196.8 111.6 6.3 29.3 6.3 105.7 71.8 29.9
0.3 81.6 447.5 1975 177.0 195.8 219.2 34.6 31.1 3.8 0.0 12.5 23.6 34.2
1.1 11.7 402.1 1976 189.7 159.8 196.2 36.8 14.3 16.0 4.0 23.7 140.2 2.0
52.4 4.5 342.0 1977 63.7 250.9 160.8 31.2 0.0 0.0 14.4 0.8 29.6 39.1
34 56.5 287.5 1978 216.3 77.1 81.4 32.3 12.8 13.8 2.5 3.5 19.0 48.4
3.2 25.5 138.2 1979 46.3 111.0 105.3 46.3 4.6 2.3 6.4 25.7 10.8 28.2
13 7.4 238.8 1980 84.8 54.5 193.7 30.2 4.9 0.8 5.5 1.7 37.8 117.4
30.6 69.8 523.6 1981 204.0 279.0 88.9 96.3 5.0 4.2 0.3 82.9 39.9 42.1
14.5 2.6 221.0 1982 123.5 114.4 115.1 28.9 0.2 28.5 0.0 32.2 40.1 95.9
0.4 0.3 32.3 1983 48.7 45.1 40.4 14.7 2.7 1.7 1.6 6.5 10.5 11.4
3.8 20 232.0 1984 146.8 136.0 121.8 44.2 8.1 5.1 4.7 19.5 31.5 34.3
5.2 24.6 273.8 1985 161.5 149.6 134.0 48.6 9.0 5.6 5.2 21.4 34.7 37.8
1.5 47.7 317.9 1986 131.3 187.1 146.0 68.4 18.5 0.0 8.3 25.4 36.2 17.5
5.9 0.1 273.0 1987 251.6 54.7 152.5 20.8 22.8 13.7 11.2 10.8 1.3 47.9
7.7 36.5 352.0 1988 262.7 97.6 116.5 97.3 28.0 0.0 16.4 4.9 27.0 31.6
26.2 79.4 762.2 1989 307.4 284.7 255.0 92.5 17.1 10.6 9.9 40.8 66.0 71.9
7.6 31.8 339.6 1990 183.4 169.9 152.1 55.2 10.2 6.3 5.9 24.3 39.4 42.9
6.7 29 314.3 1991 175.2 162.2 145.3 52.7 9.7 6.1 5.6 23.2 37.6 41.0
8.2 33.3 353.4 1992 187.8 174.0 155.8 56.5 10.4 6.5 6.0 24.9 40.3 43.9
16.8 56.5 560.2 1993 250.6 232.1 207.8 75.4 13.9 8.7 8.0 33.3 53.8 58.6
6.1 31 332.7 1994 183.9 170.3 152.5 55.3 10.2 2.2 5.9 24.4 30.3 20.8
3.9 9.9 228.9 1995 198.0 101.2 103.7 30.2 3.5 0.0 0.0 4.9 34.5 25.0
7.7 31.9 525.6 1996 183.8 309.5 151.4 131.9 0.0 1.1 4.6 38.3 34.4 43.0
22.9 27.4 444.4 1997 216.4 229.4 125.2 38.5 21.6 0.0 1.1 88.9 65.8 17.6
0.1 97.3 374.7 1998 245.4 97.3 124.1 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 30.5
0.1 60.3 559.6 1999 175.0 294.1 199.3 91.7 6.7 0.0 5.9 15.5 55.8 83.8
3.6 42.2 592.9 2000 277.9 273.9 235.3 53.4 10.2 15.5 5.9 22.1 10.3 46.4
4.7 11.7 583.2 2001 315.0 236.3 220.7 76.0 38.4 1.9 29.2 34.2 21.8 73.6
28.9 39 447.5 2002 148.9 200.2 182.4 65.0 6.5 5.0 83.7 16.3 31.4 93.2
2.8 52.6 369.7 2003 129.4 136.7 262.2 38.1 15.5 0.0 4.4 24.1 26.0 32.6
5.8 19.6 286.8 2004 119.0 221.7 121.0 49.8 1.2 15.4 34.7 17.6 38.1 25.3
0.1 100.4 296.1 2005 164.3 124.0 80.8 38.7 0.0 0.0 5.1 8.4 55.6 22.1
60.7 22.7 540.7 2006 202.9 219.3 227.7 59.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.8 4.0 82.2
0.9 23.6 348.6 2007 137.7 148.3 249.0 40.4 5.0 0.0 4.2 0.0 23.1 11.9
0.1 15.4 365.0 2008 224.5 240.5 89.5 34.1 0.8 12.8 0.0 3.2 0.0 37.0
60.7 100.4 762.2 MAX. 337.9 309.5 265.5 131.9 38.4 29.3 83.7 105.7 140.2 117.4
10.9 35.2 388.3 MED. 188.3 180.0 159.7 54.2 9.8 6.2 8.7 22.4 35.8 43.9
0.1 0.1 32.3 MIN. 46.3 45.1 40.4 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
13.9 25.4 153.0 D.EST 70.6 72.1 56.2 27.3 9.2 7.3 14.2 23.1 25.2 25.1

ADOS CUADRO N ##: NUMEROS ALEATORIOS ENTRE 0 Y 1 CON DISTRIBUCION UNIFORME

Nov. Dic. Ao Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago. Set. Oct.
0.451 2.974 1969 -0.27 -0.60 -0.87 -0.30 1.05 1.45 -0.88 -0.51 0.84 0.72
-0.688 0.464 1970 -1.75 1.79 -0.34 -0.52 -0.19 -1.20 -0.91 -0.47 0.08 -0.81
 2.094 -0.277 1971 -0.25 0.55 -1.30 0.47 -0.35 0.43 -2.54 -0.03 -0.96 0.70
0.424 -2.951 1972 -0.19 -0.63 -0.79 0.58 -1.48 -1.36 -0.82 -0.65 -0.17 1.42
0.296 -0.926 1973 0.61 -0.43 -0.30 -0.05 -1.41 -0.73 -0.48 -0.68 0.53 0.27
-1.787 1.347 1974 -1.63 -1.04 -0.96 -0.77 0.99 -0.81 -0.28 1.34 -0.78 -0.67
-1.713 1.447 1975 0.66 -0.19 0.18 0.53 2.19 0.27 0.26 0.40 -1.59 0.19
-1.210 2.347 1976 2.71 0.20 -1.27 -0.69 1.04 -1.52 -0.18 0.46 -0.59 -0.43
-2.433 -0.499 1977 1.68 -1.35 -0.86 -1.24 1.93 1.28 0.30 0.08 1.55 -0.51
-0.320 -0.247 1978 0.74 0.86 -1.92 1.54 -0.46 1.62 -0.34 -0.62 -0.86 -1.84
-0.691 0.688 1979 2.06 -0.58 0.43 0.39 -0.27 -0.54 0.51 0.69 -0.50 0.73
-1.467 -0.262 1980 1.30 0.61 -0.59 -1.92 0.42 0.03 1.38 0.08 -0.23 1.10
0.879 -1.837 1981 1.09 -0.73 0.08 0.46 0.29 -0.39 0.75 0.20 -0.99 -0.20
0.401 -0.059 1982 1.98 0.24 -1.60 -0.20 -1.74 1.36 0.20 -1.17 0.14 -0.20
-0.699 1.160 1983 -0.30 0.63 -0.50 -0.27 0.32 -0.97 1.67 -0.21 0.79 -0.60
-2.015 -1.132 1984 0.61 0.89 0.52 0.33 -1.18 -0.20 0.42 -0.24 -0.85 0.48
0.023 1.289 1985 0.12 -0.16 1.08 0.65 -2.91 0.62 1.38 0.13 0.20 1.21
0.227 -0.957 1986 -2.05 1.49 1.46 -1.78 -0.34 -1.74 0.22 0.89 1.13 0.25
-0.003 -0.105 1987 -0.07 0.74 1.06 0.52 -1.52 1.48 1.32 0.50 -0.53 -1.16
-0.079 -1.098 1988 0.50 -0.68 -0.51 0.50 2.42 -1.44 -0.70 0.10 -1.15 1.12
0.103 0.069 1989 0.36 -2.28 -0.05 -2.18 -1.13 -1.15 -0.30 0.29 1.00 -0.13
0.545 1.909 1990 -0.47 0.43 -1.32 0.32 -0.16 -1.16 -0.26 0.05 1.95 -0.70
-0.589 0.059 1991 1.39 -2.37 -0.99 1.08 -0.29 0.16 0.95 -0.86 -0.16 0.47
1.089 0.514 1992 1.34 -2.42 -0.22 1.57 0.98 -0.41 -1.53 0.53 -0.91 -0.07
-0.961 -1.590 1993 -0.29 0.41 -0.42 0.45 0.13 -0.60 0.84 2.12 -0.77 -0.08
0.130 -0.316 1994 0.52 0.60 0.64 -0.12 -1.33 0.20 0.59 -0.90 -1.23 0.79
0.367 -0.301 1995 -0.23 0.80 -0.40 -2.36 -0.01 0.41 -0.77 -2.59 -1.15 -0.15
1.829 0.363 1996 -0.72 1.05 0.41 0.07 -0.09 0.08 -1.94 -0.85 -0.17 0.03
0.086 -0.528 1997 0.91 2.11 -0.80 0.43 0.95 -1.27 -0.85 -1.69 0.92 0.79
0.033 -0.630 1998 -0.72 -0.85 -1.40 0.98 0.03 -1.05 1.41 1.20 1.31 -0.44
-1.69092 1.861273 1999 -0.09 0.91 1.64 -1.39 1.14 0.66 1.70 1.12 0.63 0.17
-0.13347 0.556885 -1.63 0.23 -0.27 1.94 3.97 -0.03 0.48 -0.99 -0.74 1.85
-1.49226 0.638436 -0.40 0.37 0.67 0.48 -1.97 -1.19 -0.08 -0.32 0.32 -0.77
1.040561 -1.819103 0.35 -0.97 -0.41 2.33 -2.24 -0.64 0.61 -0.37 -0.06 0.15
-0.34879 -0.025517 1.16 0.13 -0.15 0.49 0.60 0.79 0.32 0.65 1.04 -0.71
-0.08745 -2.210734 -1.04 -1.04 0.86 -1.27 -0.51 -0.57 -1.63 0.07 0.32 -2.02
-0.57234 0.300836 -0.07 0.89 0.37 0.05 -0.27 0.50 -0.43 -0.50 0.14 0.30
-0.62767 1.163293 -1.22 -1.40 0.89 -0.27 0.64 -1.82 1.04 1.60 -1.06 -1.77
0.355786 0.351924 -0.55 0.93 1.11 0.04 -0.48 -0.88 2.03 -1.13 0.18 -0.94
-1.77413 -1.053827 0.21 -1.86 -0.53 -1.15 0.05 0.83 -0.90 -0.49 0.17 0.45
2.094 2.974 MAX. 2.7136 1.7912 1.4637 1.5729 2.4234 1.6237 1.6734 2.1213 1.9471 1.4216
-0.282 0.063 MED. 0.3775 -0.1191 -0.3617 -0.1118 -0.1119 -0.1814 0.0302 -0.0392 -0.1928 0.0710
-2.433 -2.951 MIN. -2.0532 -2.4246 -1.9230 -2.3592 -2.9139 -1.7438 -2.5445 -2.5861 -1.5912 -1.8385
1.035 1.320 D.EST 1.1448 1.1024 0.8461 1.0466 1.2669 1.0179 0.9675 0.8785 0.9248 0.7817

S (mm)

0.628084 S 7.486193 R^2 0.9816

1 - R^2)^0.5

Nov. Dic. Tot.

5.2 7.8 363.4
 9.8 35.6 251.8
5.4 17.9 361.5
4.4 37.4 338.1
11.5 9.7 649.9
12.6 24.1 516.2
5.8 23.9 684.5
-1.2 52.8 420.2
6.5 12.5 421.3
32.4 14.4 335.8
23.8 44.2 266.6
2.9 18.2 161.7
19.4 11.8 249.2
22.9 50.6 494.9
18.7 8.7 251.1
0.8 2.1 45.5
2.3 12.7 218.7
5.2 19.1 281.8
1.9 30.2 311.0
6.3 2.7 299.2
6.3 24.5 347.4
22.8 58.6 726.8
7.2 25.0 355.5
6.5 21.1 322.4
9.0 25.1 354.3
14.2 39.4 540.7
4.9 21.4 347.7
4.0 7.8 239.0
8.1 23.8 509.5
17.3 23.3 443.5
2.3 61.8 364.0
5.8 42.3 562.2
4.6 29.2 603.2
6.4 10.8 587.8
27.8 33.1 432.9
2.7 34.5 367.0
5.3 12.4 292.6
0.9 64.2 264.8
43.4 31.4 554.3
1.9 16.3 359.1
0.5 9.2 365.6
43.4 64.2 726.8
9.8 26.1 387.5
-1.2 2.1 45.5
9.8 16.0 147.4

S GENERADAS (m3/s)

Nov. Dic. Prom. Set.

30 31 (m3/s)
2.63 9.29 5.671 69-70 0.36
1.46 4.67 8.147 2.92
1.18 9.76 7.650 0.24
3.10 2.53 14.690 1.02 Oct. Nov. Dic. Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun.
3.39 6.27 11.659 2.35
 1.56 6.24 15.496 6.34 2.14 2.63 9.29 21.59 23.59 24.05 9.61 3.69 1.87
-0.31 13.76 9.447 0.41 1.92 1.46 4.67 17.26 27.93 18.72 9.18 3.45 1.23
1.74 3.26 9.482 12.04 0.94 1.18 9.76 45.36 47.01 44.74 16.89 6.72 3.52
8.73 3.74 7.617 0.64 2.85 3.10 2.53 33.14 35.39 30.85 17.03 5.99 2.72
6.41 11.53 5.993 0.75 1.05 3.39 6.27 37.94 53.87 36.48 21.46 7.42 2.74
0.77 4.75 3.635 0.66 2.91 1.56 6.24 18.74 28.44 31.28 11.84 4.59 2.17
5.22 3.07 5.514 1.46 -0.05 -0.31 13.76 23.66 24.32 27.14 10.42 3.41 0.98
6.16 13.20 11.223 2.33 4.76 1.74 3.26 3.65 31.86 24.07 8.96 3.61 2.01
5.05 2.28 5.645 1.36 1.09 8.73 3.74 23.64 13.33 8.11 3.08 1.28 0.50
0.22 0.56 1.017 0.61 1.66 6.41 11.53 5.75 10.49 10.19 4.91 2.26 1.20
0.63 3.32 4.940 0.55 0.78 0.77 4.75 6.29 4.75 20.77 8.03 3.43 1.81
1.41 4.98 6.364 1.17 8.93 5.22 3.07 21.55 43.12 18.94 12.93 4.96 2.65
0.52 7.86 7.027 0.95 1.66 6.16 13.20 14.41 14.69 12.89 4.75 2.74 0.82
1.71 0.70 6.731 1.30 6.40 5.05 2.28 2.06 2.12 1.47 0.69 0.86 1.06
1.69 6.40 7.824 1.12 0.59 0.22 0.56 12.64 16.25 14.39 6.26 2.34 1.05
6.14 15.27 16.393 3.19 1.12 0.63 3.32 16.10 20.42 17.03 7.65 3.03 2.06
1.94 6.51 8.033 0.76 1.08 1.41 4.98 12.43 24.19 19.92 10.99 3.94 2.27
1.75 5.49 7.276 1.09 0.21 0.52 7.86 31.55 14.22 17.07 7.15 2.92 1.13
2.41 6.55 7.999 1.12 1.57 1.71 0.70 30.35 18.48 14.78 11.88 4.03 2.07
3.83 10.28 12.206 2.17 0.77 1.69 6.40 39.07 50.01 43.47 21.72 7.77 3.05
1.33 5.58 7.859 0.73 4.21 6.14 15.27 23.03 25.70 20.92 9.33 3.61 2.19
1.09 2.04 5.398 0.54 1.01 1.94 6.51 19.52 22.72 19.45 8.76 3.14 1.63
2.18 6.20 11.578 0.51 1.75 1.75 5.49 20.62 25.20 21.44 10.26 3.73 1.85
4.66 6.08 10.049 4.78 1.63 2.41 6.55 30.50 38.51 33.19 15.65 5.53 2.40
0.63 16.11 8.161 1.33 3.03 3.83 10.28 21.68 25.55 21.38 10.21 3.79 2.02
1.58 11.04 12.713 2.26 0.36 1.33 5.58 21.90 15.31 11.85 4.46 2.33 1.87
1.23 7.61 13.653 0.35 0.54 1.09 2.04 18.59 47.60 27.73 20.59 7.86 4.10
1.74 2.81 13.296 1.04 0.66 2.18 6.20 25.24 35.91 20.93 8.27 2.96 2.62
7.49 8.62 9.726 1.32 1.71 4.66 6.08 29.47 17.81 14.71 6.63 3.69 2.53
0.74 8.99 8.194 0.35 1.28 0.63 16.11 22.38 45.65 34.62 18.13 6.36 3.06
1.44 3.24 6.660 0.64 5.13 1.58 11.04 37.04 48.47 40.46 17.16 6.00 2.06
0.25 16.73 5.950 2.46 1.43 1.23 7.61 41.13 43.21 36.48 17.45 6.48 3.52
11.68 8.19 12.483 0.39 3.31 1.74 2.81 14.10 27.14 26.00 12.48 4.71 1.97
0.50 4.26 8.041 2007-08 0.58 5.94 7.49 8.62 13.29 17.13 34.05 13.21 4.77 2.62
0.13 2.41 8.349 0.63 0.74 8.99 11.74 29.79 18.07 7.74 3.44 1.16
11.68 16.73 16.39 0.95 1.44 3.24 16.06 16.00 9.51 3.88 2.02 2.04
2.650 6.804 8.745 0.72 0.25 16.73 26.71 35.20 35.58 15.38 6.33 3.38
-0.310 0.558 1.017 3.94 11.68 8.19 14.34 19.03 33.31 13.05 5.24 2.91
2.634 4.183 3.339 0.34 0.50 4.26 25.74 38.47 17.51 6.65 2.60 1.47

Figura6.2:Vari cinMensual delaDescargapar CuatroNivel sdePersi tencia-RoMuylo

 0.45

Nov. Dic. Tot.

53.6 110.9 728.0
42.6 79.6 824.7
10.4 125.6 764.3
56.3 60.6 1134.7
67.3 91.8 1077.2
43.0 91.8 1298.5
23.8 156.1 911.6
9.1 58.4 850.1
119.9 41.8 752.1
94.9 125.2 727.2
37.8 82.0 506.9
60.9 49.1 641.3
89.8 141.9 1074.3
63.6 35.8 678.3
13.2 24.3 220.8
39.7 73.3 665.2
43.7 80.7 731.7
31.6 113.7 783.9
45.6 22.3 655.2
49.8 98.4 830.2
83.2 153.5 1392.6
49.6 91.6 830.9
47.4 87.5 793.4
50.8 93.8 850.9
67.8 125.1 1135.1
46.0 90.4 792.2
40.0 54.6 595.7
49.8 91.8 1039.5
78.1 85.0 967.5
15.3 174.7 696.9
15.5 130.0 1073.3
38.9 106.3 1096.0
42.2 58.4 1147.6
87.2 101.8 1021.8
36.5 120.2 825.7
45.3 72.5 761.6
15.4 178.4 692.7
130.5 77.6 1019.4
28.6 79.1 727.2
16.1 65.3 723.8
130.5 178.4 1392.6
49.5 92.5 851.0
9.1 22.3 220.8
28.2 37.6 223.9

Nov. Dic. Tot.

-1.56 -2.40 0.42
1.73 -0.87 -1.03
 0.67 -0.31 0.19
-1.20 -0.48 -1.95
-0.12 0.40 0.83
-0.17 -0.79 -0.26
-1.13 -0.32 -1.72
-1.23 2.23 -1.89
0.47 0.22 -0.55
0.76 -0.87 -1.50
-0.30 -0.17 0.69
-0.68 -1.27 0.47
-0.99 1.09 -0.43
1.77 -1.44 -0.75
0.05 -0.75 0.05
0.53 -1.92 1.09
0.49 -0.61 0.19
0.16 0.54 -1.13
0.46 0.27 0.83
0.72 -0.68 0.36
0.59 -0.72 0.74
-0.56 0.61 -0.11
0.68 -1.08 0.19
1.16 0.87 -0.25
-0.56 1.39 -0.53
0.55 1.40 -0.77
-0.87 -0.22 -1.04
-0.33 1.21 0.53
-0.50 -1.65 0.66
-1.64 0.08 0.43
-1.60 1.47 -2.12
-1.07 0.92 0.45
0.25 0.07 0.22
0.32 0.00 -0.11
-1.34 0.12 0.44
-2.41 1.08 -0.37
0.45 -0.20 1.37
0.83 2.46 0.82
-0.45 -0.04 2.26
-0.67 0.32 0.65
1.7747 2.2269 1.090
0.0527 -0.2180 -0.804
-1.5584 -2.4040 -1.952
0.8914 1.0628 0.877
Jul. Ago.
0.91 1.48
1.32 0.60
1.41 1.12
1.43 0.29
1.39 7.60
1.64 0.86
1.52 0.54
1.57 1.48
0.74 0.86
1.17 0.68
1.19 1.22
2.07 5.11
1.16 1.19
0.99 0.97
0.50 0.22
1.12 0.30
0.62 0.44
0.70 0.75
1.00 1.33
1.35 1.48
1.12 0.29
1.18 0.84
0.85 0.33
0.82 0.56
1.06 0.63
1.77 1.07
1.79 1.14
1.45 5.98
1.94 1.81
1.34 1.02
1.48 0.54
1.47 0.92
5.19 1.75
1.38 1.18
1.00 0.71
0.94 0.78
2.03 1.01
1.85 1.08
1.66 1.11
 GENERACION DE DESCARGAS EN CUENCA TOTAL MOLLEBAMBA
METODO PROPUESTO POR LA MISION TECNICA ALEMANA - 1980

Cuadro N 6.1: Precipitacin Efectiva

segn el Bureao of Reclamation

Precip itaci n Efectiva (m m )

P P. Efectiva: PE (mm)
mm Curva I Curva II Curva III
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 Figura 6.1: Porcin de Precipitacin Efectiva Segn B
20.0 0.0 2.0 4.0
30.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 140.0

40.0 0.5 4.0 8.0

120.0
50.0 1.0 6.0 11.0
60.0 1.5 8.0 14.0 100.0
70.0 3.0 10.0 18.0
80.0
80.0 4.0 14.0 24.0
90.0 5.5 18.0 30.0 60.0
100.0 8.0 23.0 39.0
110.0 11.0 29.0 48.0 40.0

120.0 15.0 36.0 58.0

20.0
130.0 19.0 43.0 68.0
140.0 24.0 52.0 78.0 0.0
150.0 30.0 60.0 88.0 0.0 20.0 40.0 60

160.0 37.0 69.0 98.0 Precipit

170.0 45.0 79.0 108.0
Curv
180.0 55.0 89.0 118.0

Cuadro N 6.2: Clculo del Coeficiente de Escorrenta

Mtodo de la Misin Alemana

Precipitacin Media Anual: P 850.9 mm Temperatura Media Anual: T

Evaporacin Total Anual: ETP 1222 mm Coeficiente de Temperatura: L
Dficit de Escurrimiento: D
Coeficiente de Escorrenta: C 0.28 Coeficiente de Escorrenta:

Cuadro N 6.3: Caractersticas Generales de la Microcuenca

Area de la cuenca: A 698.4 Km2

Altitud Media de la Microcuenca: H 3500 msnm
Pendiente Media de la Microcuenca 0.95 m/m

Precipitacin Media Anual: P 850.9 mm

Evaporacin Total Anual: ETP 1222 mm
Temperatura Media Anual: T 8.7 C
Dficit de Escurrimiento: D 469.1 mm/ao
Coeficiente de Escorrenta: C 0.45
Coeficiente de Agotamiento: a 0.0135
Relacin de Caudales (30 das): bo 0.667
Area de lagunas y acuferos 5 Km2
Gasto Mensual de Retencin: R 80.0 mm/ao

CUADRO N 6.5: GENERACION DE CAUDALES MEDIOS MENSUALES PARA EL AO PROMEDIO

PRECIPITACION MENSUAL CONTRIBUCION DE LA RETEN

N P Efectiva Gasto
MES das del Total PE II PE III PE bi
mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Enero 30 190.7 104.1 93.0 89.8
Febrero 28 184.0 97.6 99.2 99.6
Marzo 31 182.3 95.9 100.2 101.5
Abril 30 46.4 5.2 9.7 11.0 0.667
Mayo 31 12.9 1.4 3.0 3.4 0.445
Junio 30 4.6 0.6 1.2 1.3 0.297
Julio 31 3.8 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.198
Agosto 31 13.5 1.5 3.1 3.6 0.132
Setiem. 30 22.4 2.3 4.7 5.4 0.088
Octubre 31 41.3 4.5 8.4 9.6 0.059
Noviem. 30 50.6 6.0 10.9 12.4
Diciem. 31 98.4 23.4 38.6 43.0

AO 850.9 342.9 373.0 381.8 1.886

Coeficientes 0.45 -0.292 1.292 1.000

Fuente: Elaboracin propia

CUADRO N 6.6: CALCULO DE LOS COEFICIENTES DE CORRELACION PARA EL AO PROMEDIO

Qt Qt-1 PE
57.8 15.0 89.8
83.6 57.8 99.6 Resultado de la regresin
101.5 83.6 101.5
39.3 101.5 11.0 Resumen
22.3 39.3 3.4 Resumen
13.9 22.3 1.3
9.5 13.9 1.1 Estadsticas de la regresin
9.2 9.5 3.6 Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple 0.9815646911
9.2 9.2 5.4 Coeficiente de determinacin R^2 0.9634692428
12.1 9.2 9.6 R^2 ajustado 0.9553512968
8.4 12.1 12.4 Error tpico 7.4861933356
15.0 8.4 43.0 Observaciones 12
Fuente: Elaboracin propia
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresin 2
Residuos 9
Total 11

Coeficientes
Intercepcin 0.4764025454
Variable X 1 0.3569410929
Variable X 2 0.6280838374
recipitacin Efectiva Segn Bureao Of Reclamation

40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 160.0 180.0

Precipitacin Mensual (mm)

Curva I Curva II Curva III

1
DP 1
Mtodo de L - Turc
P 2 2

0. 9
mperatura Media Anual: T 8.7 C L2
eficiente de Temperatura: L 550.4
icit de Escurrimiento: D 469.1 mm/ao
eficiente de Escorrenta: C 0.45

Cuadro N 6.4: Coeficientes de

Clculo - Precipitacin Efectiva

Coef. Curva I Curva II Curva III

a0 -0.018 -0.021 -0.028
a1 -0.0185 0.1358 0.2756

a2 0.001105 -0.002296 -0.004103

a3 -1.20E-05 4.35E-05 5.53E-05
a4 1.44E-07 -8.90E-08 1.24E-07
a5 -2.85E-10 -8.79E-11 -1.42E-09
0.15 0.30 0.45
El rango de aplicacin de los
 coeficientes de la ecuacin
Polinmica de la PE est
comprendida para 0 < P < 250 mm

NTRIBUCION DE LA RETENCION CAUDALES

Gasto Abastecimiento GENERADOS
Gi ai Ai
mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes m3/s
8 9 10 11 12
0.400 32.0 57.8 15.57
0.200 16.0 83.6 24.14
0.000 0.0 101.5 26.46
28.3 39.3 10.60
18.9 22.3 5.81
12.6 13.9 3.75
8.4 9.5 2.48
5.6 9.2 2.39
3.7 9.2 2.47
2.5 12.1 3.15
0.050 4.0 8.4 2.26
0.350 28.0 15.0 3.92

80.0 1.000 80.0 381.8 8.58

Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crtico de F
13302.8216 6651.41081707 118.6838687678 3.403799998E-07
504.387816 56.0430906586
13807.2095

Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95.0%
3.09964155 0.153696012 0.8812404984 -6.5354737819 7.4882788727 -6.5354737819
0.06891629 5.1793430618 0.0005798597 0.2010416209 0.5128405648 0.2010416209
0.05490678 11.4390944847 1.15641007E-06 0.5038760733 0.7522916014 0.5038760733
 180.0

1
P 4
L 300 25 T 0.05 (T ) 3 4a
1

P 2 2

0.9 L2

PD
C (3)
P

Cuencas con agotamiento rpido.

Retencin entre 50 y 80 mm/ao y vegetacin poco desarrollada (puna):

a 0.00252 LnAR 0.030 (12.2)

En este caso II y
III
 Ajuste de Precipitacin efectiva hasta obtener la escorentia historica anual (mm)
N= 73
Ejemplo del mtodo de Chow
mes PP (mm) Pe (mm)
Enero 190.7 111.1
Febrero 184.0 105.3
Marzo 182.3 103.8
Abril 46.4 6.3
Mayo 12.9 0.4
Junio 4.6 2.5
Julio 3.8 2.8
Agosto 13.5 0.3
Setiem. 22.4 0.1
Octubre 41.3 4.3
Noviem. 50.6 8.1
Diciem. 98.4 36.5
381.5

Caudal promedio mensual en Mollebamba

Cuenca
SET OCT NOV DIC ENE FEB MAR ABR
PE (mm) 3.7 6.8 9.3 36.0 105.0 103.6 103.0 8.1
LE (mm) 7.4 9.3 5.3 8.0 73.0 87.6 103.0 36.4
Caudal (m3/s) 2.0 2.4 1.4 2.1 19.7 25.3 26.9 9.8

Qavenidas 18.5
Qestiaje 4.0 4.648

Superior 95.0%
7.4882788727
0.5128405648
0.7522916014
en Mollebamba
ANUAL
MAY JUN JUL AGO
2.3 0.8 0.7 2.4 381.8
21.2 13.4 9.1 8.0 381.8
5.5 3.6 2.4 2.1 8.6
 Porcion de la precipitacin
Aprovecpor las Planta( mm ) Dficito Escurri (mm)
I II III IV V VI VII I II III IV V VI VII
25.4 25.4 22.9 20.4 17.9 15.4 12.9 10.4 0 2.5 5 7.5 10 12.5 15
50.8 49.5 44.5 38.1 28 17.9 15.4 10.4 1.3 6.3 12.7 22.8 32.9 35.4 40.4
76.2 72.4 63.5 49.5 30.5 20.4 15.4 10.4 3.8 12.7 26.7 45.7 55.8 60.8 65.8
101.6 92.7 76.2 54.6 33 20.4 15.4 10.4 8.9 25.4 47 68.6 81.2 86.2 91.2
127 107.9 83.8 57.1 33 20.4 15.4 10.4 19.1 43.2 69.9 94 106.6 111.6 116.6
152.4 118.1 86.4 57.1 33 20.4 15.4 10.4 34.3 66 95.3 119.4 132 137 142
177.8 120.6 86.4 57.1 33 20.4 15.4 10.4 57.2 91.4 120.7 144.8 157.4 162.4 167.4
C 0.15 0.3 0.45 0.6 0.75 0.9 1

Chart Title
180

160

140

120

100

80

60

40

20

0
25.4 50.8 76.2 101.6 127
 Chart Title

Column I
Column J
Column K
Column L
Column M
Column N
Column O

101.6 127 152.4 177.8