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Outline
1. Financial System Function, Structure, Instruments
2. Function of Financial Intermediaries: Indirect Finance
3. How the Banks Managed?
4. Why does the Regulation of Financial System play such a crucial role?
Outline
How important Direct finance and Indirect finance
What are the main basic facts of financial structure throughout the world
Transaction Costs
Financial intermediaries have evolved to reduce transaction costs
Economies of scale
Expertise
Basic Banking
T-account is a simplified balance sheet, with lines in the form of a T, that lists only
the changes that occur in balance sheet. each operation always affects two items of
the balance sheet
Basic Banking: Cash Deposit
The bank has no reserves and thus also not the required reserves that are at 9
million (10% of 90 million)! To eliminate this shortfall, the bank has 4 basic options
Fundamental roles of maintaining a healthy level of liquidity:
1. Reduces costs associated with deposit outflows and the subsequent need to
quickly replenish reserves when initially insufficiently large reserves were held
(may be (very) costly)
2. Reduces the probability of bank runs or bank panics (link to financial regulation)
3. With sufficiently large excess reserves, new clients can immediately be given a
loan
2. Asset Management
Three main goals:
a) Seek the highest possible returns on loans and securities
b) Reduce risk
c) Have adequate liquidity (liquidity has different meanings: in the first lecture
liquidity referred to the ability to quickly turn assets into cash without incurring
large value losses )
Four main tools:
a) Find borrowers who pay high interest rates and have low default risk (default
= halting interest payments and/or payment of the borrowed amount)
b) Purchase securities with high returns and low risk (diversifying between
different types of securities)
c) Lower credit (default) and interest-rate risk
3. Liability Management
a. Acquire funds at low cost
b. Banks no longer primarily depend on sight and time deposits as primary
bank funds, i.e. have increasingly also access to other sources of funding
c. When banks see lending opportunities, they may borrow from other banks
in the interbank market and/or issue CDs to raise additional funds
d. Banks manage the asset and the liability sides of the balance sheet (Asset-
Liability Management - ALM)
e. Goal: Minimize cost funding (mainly deposits and own borrowing)
4. Capital Adequacy Management
Gap Analysis
The gap analysis focusses on the effect of interest rate changes on profits.
Assume: i 5%-points:
GAP = (rate-sensitive assets) (rate-sensitive liabilities) = 20 50 = 30
million
1. Income on assets = + 1 million (= 5% x 20m)
2. Costs of liabilities = + 2.5 million (= 5% x 50m)
3. Profits = 1m 2.5m = 1.5m = 5% x ( 20m 50m) = 5% x (GAP)
Profits = i x GAP
Duration Analysis
The duration analysis focusses on the effect of interest rate changes on the
balance sheet
Duration = average lifetime of a securitys stream of payments
Duration analysis: measures sensitivity of the market value of banks total assets
and liabilities to changes in interest rates. Reason: Changes in the market value
of assets and liabilities affects the capital of bank
(Remember: the longer the maturity of an asset or liability, the stronger its market
value changes with interest rate changes)
% change in market value of security (-%point change in interest rate) x (duration
in years)
Example
E.g. Assume that the duration of assets = 3 years and that the duration of liabilities =
2 years
% change in market value of assets = -5% x 3 = -15% % change in market value of
liabilities = -5% x 2 = -10%
Assets value declines by 15 millions (-15% x 100 million), whereas liabilities
value declines by 9 million (-10% x 90 million)
bank capital declines by 6 million
Application: Strategies for Managing Interest-Rate Risk
Gap and duration analyses are useful tools to assess the degree of exposure to interest-
rate risk
E.g. If a bank has more rate-sensitive liabilities than assets, a rise in interest rates will
reduce bank profits and a decline in interest rates will raise bank profits
Strategies to Manage Interest-rate Risk
a. Rearrange the balance sheet in order to have a balance between rate-
sensitive assets and liabilities (gap analysis) and/or ensure that assets and
liabilities have the same duration (duration analysis)
b. Use financial derivatives (e.g. interest-rate swaps, options, forwards and
futures)
Off-Balance-Sheet Activities
Trading financial instruments and generating income from fees and loan sales (affect
bank profits but not visible on balance sheet)
Generation of profits from activities that do not appear on the balance sheet:
o Loan sales (with guarantees)
o Fees from specialized services linked to securitization, derivatives and foreign-
exchange transactions, guarantees of securities and backup credit lines, etc.
Expose banks to increased risk, banks must pay attention to:
a. Risk management procedures
i. Financial futures, options for debt instruments, interest rate swaps,
transactions in the foreign exchange market and speculation.
ii. Principal-agent problem arise
b. Internal controls to restrict employees from taking on too much risk
i. Separation of trading activities and bookkeeping
ii. Limits on exposure
iii. Value-at-risk
iv. Stress testing
Regulation
Regulation: setting of specific rules of behavior that financial firms have to abide
Financial markets are regulated for two main reasons:
1. Increasing information available to investors
Reduce AS and MH problems
2. Ensuring soundness of financial intermediaries
Prevents financial panics (e.g. bank runs) and potential crises
Basel II (2004)
Basel II addresses the major shortcomings of Basel I by, for instance, reducing the
scope for regulatory arbitrage:
- i.e. of strategies that reduce a banks capital requirements without bringing a
corresponding reduction in risk exposure. Regulatory arbitrage is moving the
credit from a category with high capital requirements to a category with lower
capital requirements.
Basel II is based on three pillars
Pillar I
This pillar sets the minimum capital requirements
Calculation of RWA (the denominator of the capital ratio) is more sophisticated to
better reflect the risk
Standardised approach: use credit ratings instead of working with crude
borrower categories.
Example: using the credit rating of IBM for loans to IBM
Internal ratings-based approach: the bank itself assesses, for instance, the
probability of default, the loss given default and the correlation to systemic
risk.
Advantage: improved sophistication and degree of detail within this
self-assessment.
Disadvantage: the risk of underestimation of the banks risk exposure
Pillar II
The definition of regulatory capital (the numerator) remains basically unchanged
The general minimum capital requirement (at least 8% of RWA) remains unchanged
It focuses on strengthening the supervisory process
o Step 1: The bank assesses capital adequacy on the basis of its own internal
risk management methodology
o Step 2: National supervisors review whether the capital of the bank is
consistent with its overall risk profile. This step, of course, increases the
relevance of consistent supervisory practices across countries in order to
ensure a level playing field and to prevent undue compliance burden. This
also requires that national supervisors possess sufficient expertise and
integrity.
Pillar III
It focuses on improving market discipline
Increased disclosure of information: The market thus obtains detailed qualitative
and quantitative information concerning the banks credit exposure, reserves,
capital, etc.
This should enable more effective market disciplining. Indeed, it is argued that
market participants then obtain more information on the risk profile of other banks
such that they can avoid dealing with overly risky counterparties
Weak Points
1. Complexity and implementation costs: leading to entry barriers for bank
2. Reliability of credit ratings: standardized approach based on credit ratings which (if
available) must not always be reliable
3. Pro-cyclicality in lending: during bad (good) times, the probability of default and the
expected losses are higher (lower), and Basel II will require more (less) capital and
that could lead to a reduction (increase) in lending (credit crunch): see tutorials
Basel III
Basel II did not prevent the problems in the banking sector in 2007-2008. Supervision
and regulation thus were to be strengthened. Some emergency measures were
already taken in July 2009
Higher risk weights for securitization exposures to better reflect the risk inherent in
these products
Stricter rules on off-balance sheet operations
Banks are required to conduct more rigorous credit analyses of externally-rated
securitization exposures
The three-pillar framework of Basel II will be upheld, but strengthened:
o E.g. minimum common equity increases from 2% to 4.5% and the overall 8%
will gradually be increased to at least 10.5% in 2019
o Tougher (new) rules on maximum leverage (ratio of capital to total assets)
and liquidity (should cover the normal outflow of 30 days)
o Identification of so-called global systemically important banks (e.g. ING in
NL) for which tougher rules apply (basis: the moral hazard and too-big-to-fail
arguments)
o Reducing the problem of pro-cyclicality in lending through the minimum
requirements via for instance using longer-term horizons for the estimation
of probability of default