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Mojca Marc
Todays lecture
2 analytical tools to help you make decisions:
2) Break-even analysis
1
A big order!
In early November, Malea gets an offer from Winter Explorers
specialty-clothing store who want to order 150 units for the
Christmas season and pay 100 per jacket. Malea can make 50
jackets per month (after school, weekends) and she already
started to produce the 50 jackets for the hotel.
Cost of materials no problem, the store will bill only for the fabric
and zippers that shell use, the surplus can be returned.
A big order!
When Malea was alone, all the costs were variable (20 per
jacket). If the price was higher than 20 (the cost per jacket),
Malea made profit with each jacket.
2
Contribution margin
Lets prepare a scenario analysis for Malea:
Revenues
- Materials
- Francescas salary
= Profit
Total contribution
= Revenues Variable Costs = TR-VC
margin (CM)
Contribution margin
per unit (CMunit) = Price per unit Variable Costs per unit = P-VCunit
3
How to calculate contribution margin?
Lets calculate the contribution margin in all three ways for
Malea! We will assume she will sell 150 jackets by Christmas
at a price of 100 and variable cost of 20 per jacket.
4
What can you tell from contribution
margin?
1) Total CM indicates how much the company generates
before having to pay for fixed costs.
Calculate the contribution margin of each product (total and ratio). Prepare an
analysis of contribution margin based on the template below.
Which of the two products is more attractive for the company?
How much is the profit of the company?
If sales increase by 100,000, how much would you expect profit to increase?
What are your assumptions?
5
Exercise 12 - solution
Vanilla stars % Chocolate stars % Total %
minus VC
Contribution margin
minus FC
Profit
Break-even analysis
But what if Francesca does not perform as well as Malea
hopes? Lets analyze two other scenarios:
Revenues
- Materials
- Francescas salary
= Profit
6
Break-even analysis
How many jackets must MFD produce and sell in 2 months so
that Malea can pay for Francescas salary?
Cost of material 20
If Malea sells more than 50 jackets, she will have profit. If she
sells less than 50 jackets, she will have a loss.
7
How to calculate the break-even point?
1) With contribution margin
TR=TC
TR=FC+VC
QP=FC+QVCunit
(QP)-(QVCunit)=FC
Q (P-VCunit)=FC
8
How to calculate break-even point?
3. Graphical method: break-even where TR=TCzero profit
8000
7000 TR
6000 Profit
TC
5000
Revenues
4000 FC Fixed costs
Total costs
3000
Loss
2000
1000
Loss Profit
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Number of jackets produced/sold
This is the
break-even
point
9
How to use break-even for decisons?
1) Gives a minimum sales target that need to be exceeded
to generate profit.
Malea needs to sell at least 50 jackets per two-month period to break-even, she
will have profit if she sells more than 50 jackets within the next two-months.
Operational/financial decisions:
1) Investing in a new production line
2) Building a new plant
3) Outsourcing the production of a specific item.
10
Example: Break-even analysis for MFD
Francesca suggested 2 alternative compensation models for
her salary. What is the break-even for each of the proposals?
Alternative 1: Alternative 2:
Fixed costs Fixed costs
Fixed salary 3,200 Fixed salary 2,400
Variable costs Variable costs
Variable salary 10 per jacket Variable salary 20 per jacket
Cost of material 20 per jacket Cost of material 20 per jacket
11
Exercise 14 changes in BE
Suppose the variable costs for MFD increase or decrease by 5
per unit (to 25 or 15 per unit). How would that affect the
break-even point? Plot the relevant graph. (MFD, Ch. 1 12)
Exercise 15 changes in BE
Suppose Francesca demands a fixed salary of 5,000 for the
eight week period remaining until Christmas. How does it
impact the break-even point? Plot the relevant graph. (MFD,
Ch. 1 13)
12
Exercise 16 changes in BE
Suppose Francesca agrees to a fixed salary of 4,000 for two
months, but Malea is thinking about changing the price of a
jacket. How would an increase or decrease in the price by
10 affect the break-even point? Plot the relevant graph.
Key points
1) How to calculate contribution margin in three ways (total,
per unit, ratio).
2) How to use contribution margin: expected increase in profits
3) How to calculate break-even (units, sold, graphical).
4) How break-even changes if P, VCunit, or FC change.
13
Homework
14