Absolut

e
Values
of
Errors
Divided
by
Absolute Value Square of Actual
Period Actual Forecast Error of Error Error Values.
t At Ft At -Ft | At -Ft| ( At -Ft)^2| (At -Ft)/At|
1 27.580 27.580 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.0000
2 25.950 26.765 -0.815 0.815 0.664 0.0314
3 26.080 26.015 0.065 0.065 0.004 0.0025
4 26.360 26.220 0.140 0.140 0.020 0.0053
5 27.990 27.175 0.815 0.815 0.664 0.0291
6 29.610 28.800 0.810 0.810 0.656 0.0274
7 28.850 29.230 -0.380 0.380 0.144 0.0132
8 29.430 29.140 0.290 0.290 0.084 0.0099
9 29.670 29.550 0.120 0.120 0.014 0.0040
10 30.190 29.930 0.260 0.260 0.068 0.0086
11 31.790 30.990 0.800 0.800 0.640 0.0252
12 31.980 31.885 0.095 0.095 0.009 0.0030
Totals 2.200 4.590 2.968 0.160
n 12
MAD 0.383
MSE 0.247
RMSE 0.497
MAPE 1.33

YEAR DISK DRIVES: Period Actual

t At
x y x2 xy
1 142 1 142 1 142
2 156 4 312 2 156
 3 184 9 552 3 184
4 200 16 800 4 200
5 220 25 1100 5 220
Sx=15 Sy=902 Sx2=55 Sxy=2906
15 902 55 2906 Totals
n= 5 n=
b1= 20
MSE= ( At
bo= 120.4 RMSE=MSE
MAPE = (|
Y=120.4+20x

y=120.4+20*6= 240.4

YEAR DISK DRIVES:

x y x2
1 142 1
2 156 4
3 184 9
4 200 16
5 220 25
Sx=15 Sy=902 Sx2=55

n= 5
b1= 20

bo= 120.4

Y=120.4+20x

y=120.4+20*6= 240.4
 Absolute Values
Absolute of Errors
Value of Square Divided by
Forecast Error Error of Error Actual Values.
Ft At -Ft | At -Ft| ( At -Ft)^2 | (At -Ft)/At|

140.4 1.6 1.6 2.56 0.01

160.4 -4.4 4.4 19.36 0.03
 180.4 3.6 3.6 12.96 0.02
200.4 -0.4 0.4 0.16 0.00
220.4 -0.4 0.4 0.16 0.00

0.0 10.4 35.2 0.06

5

7.04
2.6532998
1.2571227

xy
142
312
552
800
1100
Sxy=2906