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AL PROG RA
Corporate finance
Economics, Management, Finance
and the Social Sciences
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Examination papers and Examiners reports 2003
Question 2
a. The expected return of the market portfolio is 16.7% and the standard deviation of
the market portfolios returns is 24.6%. The equation of the CML is hence
(E(r) - rF)/ = (E(rM) - rF)/M = 6.7%/24.6%.
b. The expected return of Share A is 11.3%. The standard deviation of Share As
returns is 36.1%. Share A does not therefore lie on the CML as the equation
derived in the previous question is not satised.
The expected return of Share B is 15.6%. The standard deviation of Share Bs
returns is 25.4%. Share B does not therefore lie on the CML as the equation
derived in the previous question is not satised.
There is no reason for Share A and Share B to lie on the CML in the rst place.
c. The beta of a given share is dened as cov(r, rM)/var(rM). Given the information
provided, the beta of Share A is equal to 0.3 and the beta of Share B is equal to
0.9.
d. In equilibrium, all securities must lie on the Security Market Line (SML). The
expected returns for Shares A and B are inconsistent with the SML, whose
equation is (E(r) - r )/ = (E(r ) - r )/ = 6.7%. Prices of Shares A and B are
F M F M
therefore expected to adjust until A and B lie on the SML.
Question 3
a. This part requires a brief description of the fact that all comovements in returns
comes though the two factors (all the securities load positively on the rst factor
and, as such, will move in the same direction in response to this factor).
b. To nd the portfolios that track the factors, students were expected to write up the
set of equalities to solve:
2xA + 4xB + xC S 1, - xA - 2xB - xC S 0, xA + xB + xC S 1
xA = 3, xB= -1, xC=-1
E[r1] = 0.1*3 0.08 0.05 = 17%.
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92 Corporate finance
Question 4
a. Consider the following strategies:
SX SX
P1 Call Option 0 S-X
P2 Share S S
P2 Share S S
P2 Borrow PV(X) X X
S-X S-X
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Examination papers and Examiners reports 2003
Section B
Question 5
a. 2 marks for making the following statement:
A market is said to be efcient with respect to a given information set if no agent can
make economic prot through the use of a trading rule based on the information set,
where economic prot is dened as the return after costs adjusted for risk.
1 mark for the denition of each information set (weak, semi-strong, strong).
1 mark for elaborating on each information set (further comments, examples).
b. The diagram shows how the information about the earnings announcement fully
leaks before the announcement. This is probably a market that is efcient in the
strong form; the information is incorporated in the price even before the
announcement takes place. The degree to which this market is efcient in the
strong form depends on whether there were agents that knew about the increase in
earnings before it was leaked or not. One way to check if this market is fully
efcient in the strong form would be to see if agents that are likely to have better
access to private information made abnormal prots. That is, if they bought the
shares before the earnings announcement started to leak. After the announcement,
there is no further reaction of the price (the diagram is almost at); this means that
the market is also semi-strong efcient: all the information is incorporated after
the announcement. The previous results imply that the market is efcient of the
weak form too: that is, all past public information is incorporated in the prices.
2 marks for consistency with semi-strong form.
2 marks for stating that the information is fully leaked before the earnings
announcement.
2 marks for elaborating on the reasons for the leakage (announcements made by
competitors, nancial analysts forecasts, quarterly earnings announcements).
2 marks for suggesting that the diagram is also potentially consistent with the
strong-form of market efciency.
2 marks for potential tests of the strong form.
c. If all the information is already incorporated in prices, there is no incentive to
gather any further information, as no further prot can be made out of this
information. The paradox arises because if all the agents decided not to gather this
information, then there is no reason why markets should be strong form efcient
at all.
3 marks for the explanation of the paradox (facts).
3 marks for clarity of exposition and the implication that one has to assume that
markets are never fully efcient to give incentives to some agents to gather
information.
1 mark for citing Grossman-Stiglitz.
Question 6
a. Column 3 (No investment):
Total CF: 1 mark
Equity: 1.5 mark
Debt: 1.5 mark
Firm value: 1 mark
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92 Corporate finance
b.
No investment Project A Project B
boom crisis expected boom crisis expected boom crisis expected
total CF 120 60 90 140 80 90 160 0 80
(cash+projects)
Value of debt 80 60 70 80 80 80 80 0 40
Value of equity 40 0 20 60 0 30 80 0 40
Total value 90 110 80
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Examination papers and Examiners reports 2003