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September 2, 2010 – Stock Straddle Monthly Levels after Strong September Start.
The yield on the 10-Year US Treasury rose to my new monthly pivot at 2.562 on Wednesday.
Gold’s all time high at $1266.5 set on June 21st is being blocked by my semiannual and monthly
risky levels at $1260.8 and $1263.8. Crude oil tested my new monthly pivot at $74.45 on
Wednesday. The euro alleviated an oversold condition on its daily chart. The Dow climbed
above my new monthly pivot at 10,164. The S&P 500 is above my monthly pivot at 1074.9. Still
to be tested are monthly risky levels at 2196 for the NASDAQ and 4364 on the Dow Transports.
The SOX tested its monthly level at 317.72, but the Russell 2000 is shy of its monthly risky level
at 652.82. Straddling monthly levels is the net overall neutral zone for stocks.
10-Year Note – (2.577) My weekly value level is 2.648 with monthly, quarterly and daily pivots at
2.562, 2.495 and 2.491 and my semiannual risky level at 2.249. My annual value levels are 2.813 and
2.999. Note that the decline in yield is no longer overdone on the daily chart.
Nymex Crude Oil – ($73.96) My daily pivot is $72.50 with a monthly pivot at $74.45, and annual,
weekly and semiannual risky levels at $77.05, $81.35 and $83.94. Note that crude oil is no longer
oversold on the daily chart profile.
Daily Dow: (10,269) Daily and quarterly value levels are 10,003 and 7,812 with a monthly pivot at
10,164, and annual, semiannual, weekly and annual risky levels at 10,379, 10,558, 10,904 and
11,235. My annual risky level at 11,235 was tested at the April 26th high of 11,258.01. The 50-day
simple moving average is 10,260 with the 21-day and 200-day simple moving averages as
resistances at 10,317 and 10,451.
Richard Suttmeier
Chief Market Strategist
ValuEngine.com
(800) 381-5576
Send your comments and questions to Rsuttmeier@Gmail.com. For more information on our products
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