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A STUDY

ON

“SYSTEMATIC RISK ASSESSMENT OF SELECTED BANKING SCRIPS”


With reference to

MOTILAL OSWAL SECURITIES Ltd

“SUBMITTED TO OSMANIA UNIVERSITY IN PARTIAL FULFILMENT OF THE


REQUIREMENT FOR THE AWARD OF THE DEGREE”

MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION

Submitted BY

RAMBABU PALADUGU

H.T.NO:098-060-156

ST.PAUL’S. P.G. COLLEGE


(Affiliated to Osmania University)
Thurkyamjal (V),Hayathnagar(M),
R.R. District.
2006 – 2008

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DECLARATION

I here by declare that the project work titled “SYSTEMATIC RISK ASSESSMENT OF

SELECTED BANKING SCRIPS” submitted by me in partial fulfillment of the award of the

degree of “MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION” in Finance is my original work and it

was not submitted to any university or institution or published any time before.

Name and Address of the Student  Signature of the Student

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ACKNOELEDGEMENT

It is indeed a pleasant task to thank all the people who have contributed towards the

successful completion of this project. I express my sincere gratitude to Mr.PRASANNA ,

for his able supervision during the course of the project.

I express my sincere gratitude to, faculty, Mrs.UMA RANI Department of Business

Management, ST.PAUL’S. P.G. COLLEGE for her valuable suggestions during the course of the

project.

I express my sincere gratitude to Mr.VISWANATH SHARMA faculty and internal guide,

Department of Business Management, ST.PAUL’S. P.G. COLLEGE for her kind cooperation and

who as my guide helped me in completing my project work.

Place: (RAMBABU PALADUGU)

Date:

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CONTENTS

Topic Page no.

1. Introduction........................................................................................................................................5

1.a Objectives....................................................................................................................................9

1.b Data Collection Methods...........................................................................................................10

1.c Time Period................................................................................................................................10

2. Literature Review............................................................................................................................10

About Beta – Definition, Theory.....................................................................................................11

3. Company Profile..............................................................................................................................15

3.a Introduction to Motilal Oswal Company...................................................................................16

3.b Introduction to HDFC Bank......................................................................................................18

3.c Introduction to ICICI Bank.......................................................................................................20

3.d Introduction to ING VYSYA Bank............................................................................................22

3.e Introduction to NSE...................................................................................................................24

4. Data Analysis...................................................................................................................................34

Tables and charts with Interpretation...............................................................................................34

5. Conclusion & Suggestion................................................................................................................77

6. Limitations.......................................................................................................................................78

7. Methodology....................................................................................................................................79

8. Bibliography....................................................................................................................................80

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1. Introduction

Introduction to banking sector

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is India's central bank. Though the banking industry is
currently dominated by public sector banks, numerous private and foreign banks exist. India's
government-owned banks dominate the market. Their performance has been mixed, with a few being
consistently profitable. Several public sector banks are being restructured, and in some the
government either already has or will reduce its ownership.

Private and foreign banks

The RBI has granted operating approval to a few privately owned domestic banks; of these many
commenced banking business. Foreign banks operate more than 150 branches in India. The entry of
foreign banks is based on reciprocity, economic and political bilateral relations. An inter-
departmental committee approves applications for entry and expansion.

Capital adequacy norm

Foreign banks were required to achieve an 8 percent capital adequacy norm by March 1993, while
Indian banks with overseas branches had until March 1995 to meet that target. All other banks had to
do so by March 1996. The banking sector is to be used as a model for opening up of India's
insurance sector to private domestic and foreign participants, while keeping the national insurance
companies in operation.

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Banking

India has an extensive banking network, in both urban and rural areas. All large Indian banks are
nationalized, and all Indian financial institutions are in the public sector.

RBI banking

The Reserve Bank of India is the central banking institution. It is the sole authority for issuing bank
notes and the supervisory body for banking operations in India . It supervises and administers
exchange control and banking regulations, and administers the government's monetary policy. It is
also responsible for granting licenses for new bank branches. 25 foreign banks operate in India with
full banking licenses. Several licenses for private banks have been approved. Despite fairly broad
banking coverage nationwide, the financial system remains inaccessible to the poorest people in
India.

Indian banking system

The banking system has three tiers. These are the scheduled commercial banks; the regional rural
banks which operate in rural areas not covered by the scheduled banks; and the cooperative and
special purpose rural banks.

Scheduled and non scheduled banks

There are approximately 80 scheduled commercial banks, Indian and foreign; almost 200 regional
rural banks; more than 350 central cooperative banks, 20 land development banks; and a number of
primary agricultural credit societies. In terms of business, the public sector banks, namely the State
Bank of India and the nationalized banks, dominate the banking sector.

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India has an extensive banking network, in both urban and rural areas. All large Indian banks are
nationalized, and all Indian financial institutions are in the public sector.

The Reserve Bank of India is the central banking institution. It is the sole authority for issuing bank
notes and the supervisory body for banking operations in India . It supervises and administers
exchange control and banking regulations, and administers the government's monetary policy. It is
also responsible for granting licenses for new bank branches. 25 foreign banks operate in India with
full banking licenses. Several licenses for private banks have been approved. Despite fairly broad
banking coverage nationwide, the financial system remains inaccessible to the poorest people in
India.

The banking system has three tiers. These are the scheduled commercial banks; the regional rural
banks which operate in rural areas not covered by the scheduled banks; and the cooperative and
special purpose rural banks.

There are approximately 80 scheduled commercial banks, Indian and foreign; almost 200 regional
rural banks; more than 350 central cooperative banks, 20 land development banks; and a number of
primary agricultural credit societies. In terms of business, the public sector banks, namely the State
Bank of India and the nationalized banks, dominate the banking sector.

Local financing

All sources of local financing are available to foreign-participation companies incorporated in India,
regardless of the extent of foreign participation. Under foreign exchange regulations, foreigners and
non-residents, including foreign companies, require the permission of the Reserve Bank of India to
borrow from a person or company resident in India.

Regulations on Foreign Banks

Foreign banks in India are subject to the same regulations as scheduled banks. They are permitted to
accept deposits and provide credit in accordance with the banking laws and RBI regulations.

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Currently about 25 foreign banks are licensed to operate in India. Foreign bank branches in India
finance trade through their global networks.

RBI restrictions

The Reserve Bank of India lays down restrictions on bank lending and other activities with large
companies. These restrictions, popularly known as "consortium guidelines" seem to have outlived
their usefulness, because they hinder the availability of credit to the non-food sector and at the same
time do not foster competition between banks.

Indian vs. Foreign banks

Most Indian banks are well behind foreign banks in the areas of customer funds transfer and clearing
systems. They are hugely over-staffed and are unlikely to be able to compete with the new private
banks that are now entering the market. While these new banks and foreign banks still face
restrictions in their activities, they are well-capitalized, use modern equipment and attract high-
caliber employees.

Government and RBI regulations

All commercial banks face stiff restrictions on the use of both their assets and liabilities. Forty
percent of loans must be directed to "priority sectors" and the high liquidity ratio and cash reserve
requirements severely limit the availability of deposits for lending. The RBI requires that domestic
Indian banks make 40 percent of their loans at concessional rates to priority sectors' selected by the
government. These sectors consist largely of agriculture, exporters, and small businesses. Since July
1993, foreign banks have been required to make 32 percent of their loans to these priority sector.
Within the target of 32 percent, two sub-targets for loans to the small scale sector (minimum of 10
percent) and exports (minimum of 12 percent) have been fixed.

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Foreign banks, however, are not required to open branches in rural areas, or to make loans to the
agricultural sector. Commercial banks lent dols 8 billion in the Indian financial year (IFY, April-
March) 1997/98, up sharply from dols 4.4 billion in the previous year.

Grey future

one more reason being the opacity of the The Reserve Bank of India. This does not mean a forecast
of doom for the Indian banking sector the kind that has washed out south East Asia. And also not
because Indian banks are healthy. We still have no clue about the real non-performing assets of
financial institutions and banks. Many banks are now listed. That puts additional responsibility of
sharing information. It is now clear that it was the financial sector that caused the sensational
meltdown of some Asian nations. India is not Thailand, Indonesia and Korea. Borrowed investment
in property in India is low and property prices have already fallen, letting out steam gently. Our
micro-meltdown has already been happening.

Conclusion

Still, there are several other worries about the banking sector, mainly confusion over ownership and
control. Sometime soon India will be forced to apply the norms of developed countries and many
banks (including some of the biggest) will show very poor return ratios and dozens of banks will be
bankrupt. When that happens the two popular reasons to defend bad banks will disappear. These are:
one, to save face in the remote hope of those fortunes will revive' and two, some banks are too big to
be allowed to fail, fearing social upheaval.

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1. a Objectives

• To measure the comparative beta analysis of selected Indian banks.

• To evaluate the correlation between Nifty returns and ICICI bank returns.

• To evaluate the correlation between Nifty returns and HDFC returns.

• To evaluate the correlation between Nifty and ING Vysya bank returns.

1.b Data Collection Methods

For the purpose of the study was collected through secondary source of data collection method.
Major source of data are published stock prices of HDFC, ING Vysya, ICICI Bank AND NIFTY.

1.c Time Period:

I collected daily prices of HDFC, ICICI, ING VYSYA BANKS and NIFTY for the period of
OCT-2006 to SEP-2007.

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2. Literature Review

About Beta – Definition, Theory

Definitions of BETA

1. A quantitative measure of the volatility of a given stock, mutual fund, or portfolio, relative to the
overall market, usually the S&P 500. Specifically, the performance the stock, fund or portfolio has
experienced in the last 5 years as the S&P moved 1% up or down. A beta above 1 is more volatile
than the overall market, while a beta below 1 is less volatile.

2. A measure of securities or portfolio's volatility, or systematic risk, in comparison to the market as


a whole. Also known as "Beta coefficient."

Notes:
Beta is calculated using regression analysis, and you can think of beta as the tendency of a security's
returns to respond to swings in the market. A beta of 1 indicates that the security's price will move
with the market. A beta less than 1 means the security will be less volatile than the market. A beta
greater than 1 indicates that the security's price will be more volatile than the market. For example, if
a stock's beta is 1.2 it's theoretically 20% more volatile than the market.

Many utilities stocks have a beta of less than 1. Conversely most high-tech NASDAQ-based stocks
have a beta greater than 1, offering the possibility of a higher rate of return but also posing more risk.

BETA

Beta describes the relationship between the stocks return and the market index returns. This can be
positive and negative. It is the percentage change in the price of the stock regressed (or related) to
the percentage change in the market index. If beta is 1, a one percentage change in market index will
lead to one percentage change in price of the stock. If beta is 0, stock price is unrelated to the market

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index and if the market goes up by a +1%, the stock price will fall by 1% beta measures the
systematic market related risk, which cannot be eliminated by diversification. If the portfolio is
efficient, beta measures the systematic risk effectively. On the other hand alpha and epsilon measures
the unsystematic risk, which can be reduced by efficient diversification. More details of beta are
discussed else where in the book.

Beta measures no diversifiable risk. Beta show how the price of a security responds to market forces.
In effect, of more responsive the price of a security is to changes in the market, the higher will be its
beta. Beta is calculated by relating the returns on a security with the returns for the market. Market
returns is measured by the averages returns of a large sample of stocks, such as the S&P 500 stock
index. The beta for the overall market is equal to 1.00 and other betas are viewed in relation to this
value.

Betas can be positive or negative. However, nearly all betas are positive and most betas lie
somewhere between 0.4 and 1.9. Listed in Table 3-3 are the betas for some stocks, as reported by
value line in late 1993

Beta Coefficient on Selected Stocks

Company Beta

Avon products 1.4


Bausch & Lomb 1.25
Benguer Corp, 0.12
Black & Decker 1.65
California Water 0.5
Campbell Soap 1
Chrysler Corp. 1.25
Club Med 1.05
Coca-Cola 1.15
Compaq-Computer 1.45
Delta Air Lines 1.15
Disney 1.25

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Goodyear Tire 1.05
Hecla Mining 0.35
Idaho Power 0.6
IBM 0.95
Kellogg 1.1
Laquinta Inns 0.8
Mattel 1.45
McDonald's 0.86
Merrill Lynch 1.75
Newmont Mining 0.35
Pespi Co. 1.15
Peidmont Natural Gas 0.6
Quaker State Corp. 0.9
Reebok, Intl/ 1.6
Smucker, J.M. 0.9
Texaco 0.6
Tootsie Roll 0.8
Toys 'R' Us 1.45
Wendy's Intl. 1.1

Many large brokerage firms (such as Merrill Lynch) as well as subscription services (such as value
line) publish betas for a large number of stocks.

Investors will find beta helpful in assessing systematic risk and understanding the impact of market
movement can have on the return expected from a share turn over the next year, a stock having a
beta of 1.80 would be expected to provide a 10 percent to experiences an increase in returns of
approximately 18 percent (1.80*10%) over the same period. This particular stock is much more
volatile than the market as a whole.

Decreases in market return are translated into decrease security returns and this where the risk lies.
In the preceding example, if the market is expected to experiences a negative return 10 percent, then

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the stock with a beta of 1.8 should experience a 18 percent decrease [1.8 times – 10]. Stocks having
betas of less than 1 will, of course be less responsive to changing returns in the market, and therefore
are considered less risky.

A quantitative measure of the volatility of a given stock, mutual fund, or portfolio, relative to the
overall market, usually the S&P 500. Specifically, the performance the stock, fund or portfolio has
experienced in the last 5 years as the S&P moved 1% up or down. A beta above 1 is more volatile
than the overall market, while a beta below 1 is less volatile.

A measure of a security's or portfolio's volatility, or systematic risk, in comparison to the market as a


whole. Also known as "beta coefficient."

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3.a Introduction to Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd.

Motilal Oswal Financial Services is a well diversified financial services group having businesses
in securities, commodities, investment banking and venture capital. With 1300 business locations
and more than 3,85,000 customers in over 425 cities, Motilal Oswal is well suited to handle all
your wealth creation and wealth management needs. The company has in the last year placed
9.48% with two leading private equity investors - New Vernon Private Equity Limited and
Bessemer Venture Partners at post money company valuation of Rs. 1345 crore. (Rs. 13.45
billion).
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd., consists of four companies.
Motilal Oswal Investment Advisors Pvt. Ltd. is our Investment Banking arm with collective
experience of over 100 years in investment banking/corporate banking and advisory services
Motilal Oswal Commodities Broker (P) Ltd. has been providing commodity trading facilities
and related products and services since 2004.
Motilal Oswal Venture Capital Advisors Private Limited has launched the India Business
Excellence Fund (IBEF), a US$100 mn India focused Private Equity Fund.
Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd. (MOSt) is a leading research and advisory based stock broking
house of India, with a dominant position in both institutional equities and wealth management.
Our services include equities, derivatives, e-broking, portfolio management, mutual funds,
commodities, IPOs and depository services.
In March 2006, AQ Research, a firm that analyses the accuracy of a broker’s research call,
declared Motilal Oswal Securities the best research house for Indian stocks.

Research is the solid foundation on which Motilal Oswal Securities advice is based. Almost 10%
of revenue is invested on equity research and we hire and train the best resources to become
advisors. At present we have 24 equity analysts researching over 26 sectors. From a fundamental,
technical and derivatives research perspective; Motilal Oswal's research reports have received
wide coverage in the media (over a 1000 mentions last year).

Motilal Oswal Securities has witnessed rapid organic growth due to favorable market conditions
as well as efforts put in by the company itself. FY05 and FY06 saw the company grow

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inorganically through acquisition of three significant regional broking firms from Karnataka,
Kerala and UP. Over a period of time many more regional broking firms may be acquired to gain
solid footing in various regions of India.
The company has also established a base in the UAE to address the needs of the overseas
audience.

Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd. was founded in 1987 as a small sub-broking unit, with just two
people running the show. Focus on customer-first-attitude, ethical and transparent business
practices, respect for professionalism, research-based value investing and implementation of
cutting-edge technology have enabled us to blossom into an almost two thousand-member team.

Our institutional business unit has relationships with almost all leading foreign institutional
investors (FIIs) in the US, UK, Hong Kong and Singapore.

The retail business unit provides equity investment solutions to more than 3,85,000 investors
through 1300 Business locations spanning over 425 cities. These solutions are provided by a
force of over 2000 employees and over 808 Business Associates. We provide advice-based
broking (equities and derivatives), portfolio management services (PMS), e-Broking, depository
services, commodities trading, IPO and mutual fund investment advisory services.

Our Value Portfolio has demonstrated very strong performance backed by our single-minded
focus on research-based value investing and the experience and management of Mr. Raamdeo
Agrawal – an acknowledged expert in value investing.

Our unique Wealth Creation Study, authored by Mr. Raamdeo Agrawal, Managing Director, is
now in its eleventh year. Investors keenly await this annual study for the wealth of information it
has on how companies created wealth during the preceding five years.

The organization finds its strength in its team of young, talented and confident individuals.
Qualified professionals carry out different functions under the able leadership of its promoters,
Mr. Motilal Oswal and Mr. Raamdeo Agrawal. Stringent employee selection process, focus on
continuous training and adoption of best management practices drive the quest to achieving our
Core Purpose and Values

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3.b Introduction to HDFC Bank

Housing Finance Sector

Against the milieu of rapid urbanization and a changing socio-economic scenario, the demand for
housing has grown explosively. The importance of the housing sector in the economy can be
illustrated by a few key statistics. According to the National Building Organization (NBO), the
total demand for housing is estimated at 2 million units per year and the total housing shortfall is
estimated to be 19.4 million units, of which 12.76 million units is from rural areas and 6.64
million units from urban areas. The housing industry is the second largest employment generator
in the country. It is estimated that the budgeted 2 million units would lead to the creation of an
additional 10 million man-years of direct employment and another 15 million man-years of
indirect employment.

Having identified housing as a priority area in the Ninth Five Year Plan (1997-2002), the
National Housing Policy has envisaged an investment target of Rs. 1,500 billion for this sector. In
order to achieve this investment target, the Government needs to make low cost funds easily
available and enforce legal and regulatory reforms.

Background

HDFC was incorporated in 1977 with the primary objective of meeting a social need – that of
promoting home ownership by providing long-term finance to households for their housing
needs. HDFC was promoted with an initial share capital of Rs. 100 million.

Business Objectives

The primary objective of HDFC is to enhance residential housing stock in the country through
the provision of housing finance in a systematic and professional manner, and to promote home

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ownership. Another objective is to increase the flow of resources to the housing sector by
integrating the housing finance sector with the overall domestic financial markets..

Organizational Goals

HDFC’s main goals are to

a) Develop close relationships with individual households,


b) Maintain its position as the premier housing finance institution
in the country,
c) Transform ideas into viable and creative solutions,
d) Provide consistently high returns to shareholders.

e) To grow through diversification by leveraging off the existing


client base.

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3.c Introduction to ICICI Bank

ICICI Bank is India's second-largest bank with total assets of about Rs. 2,513.89 bn (US$ 56.3
bn) at March 31, 2006 and profit after tax of Rs. 25.40 bn (US$ 569 mn) for the year ended
March 31, 2006 (Rs. 20.05 bn (US$ 449 mn) for the year ended March 31, 2005). ICICI Bank
has a network of 741 branches (including 48 extension counters) and over 3300 ATMs in India
and presence in 30 International locations. ICICI Bank offers a wide range of banking products
and financial services to corporate and retail customers through a variety of delivery channels
and through its specialized subsidiaries and affiliates in the areas of investment banking, life and
non-life insurance, venture capital and asset management. ICICI Bank set up its international
banking group in fiscal 2002 to cater to the cross border needs of clients and leverage on its
domestic banking strengths to offer products internationally. ICICI Bank currently has
subsidiaries in the United Kingdom, Russia and Canada, branches in Singapore, Bahrain, Hong
Kong, Sri Lanka and Dubai International Finance Centre and representative offices in the United
States, United Arab Emirates, China, South Africa and Bangladesh. Our UK subsidiary has
established a branch in Belgium. ICICI Bank is the most valuable bank in India in terms of
market capitalization.

ICICI Bank's equity shares are listed in India on the Bombay Stock Exchange and the National
Stock Exchange of India Limited and its American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) are listed on the
New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).

ICICI Bank has formulated a Code of Business Conduct and Ethics for its directors and
employees.

ICICI Bank was originally promoted in 1994 by ICICI Limited, an Indian financial institution,
and was its wholly-owned subsidiary. ICICI's shareholding in ICICI Bank was reduced to 46%
through a public offering of shares in India in fiscal 1998, an equity offering in the form of ADRs
listed on the NYSE in fiscal 2000, ICICI Bank's acquisition of Bank of Madura Limited in an all-
stock amalgamation in fiscal 2001, and secondary market sales by ICICI to institutional investors
in fiscal 2001 and fiscal 2002. ICICI was formed in 1955 at the initiative of the World Bank, the
Government of India and representatives of Indian industry. The principal objective was to create
a development financial institution for providing medium-term and long-term project financing
to Indian businesses. In the 1990s, ICICI transformed its business from a development financial
institution offering only project finance to a diversified financial services group offering a wide

20
variety of products and services, both directly and through a number of subsidiaries and affiliates
like ICICI Bank. In 1999, ICICI become the first Indian company and the first bank or financial
institution from non-Japan Asia to be listed on the NYSE.

After consideration of various corporate structuring alternatives in the context of the emerging
competitive scenario in the Indian banking industry, and the move towards universal banking, the
managements of ICICI and ICICI Bank formed the view that the merger of ICICI with ICICI
Bank would be the optimal strategic alternative for both entities, and would create the optimal
legal structure for the ICICI group's universal banking strategy. The merger would enhance value
for ICICI shareholders through the merged entity's access to low-cost deposits, greater
opportunities for earning fee-based income and the ability to participate in the payments system
and provide transaction-banking services. The merger would enhance value for ICICI Bank
shareholders through a large capital base and scale of operations, seamless access to ICICI's
strong corporate relationships built up over five decades, entry into new business segments,
higher market share in various business segments, particularly fee-based services, and access to
the vast talent pool of ICICI and its subsidiaries. In October 2001, the Boards of Directors of
ICICI and ICICI Bank approved the merger of ICICI and two of its wholly-owned retail finance
subsidiaries, ICICI Personal Financial Services Limited and ICICI Capital Services Limited, with
ICICI Bank. The merger was approved by shareholders of ICICI and ICICI Bank in January
2002, by the High Court of Gujarat at Ahmedabad in March 2002, and by the High Court of
Judicature at Mumbai and the Reserve Bank of India in April 2002. Consequent to the merger,
the ICICI group's financing and banking operations, both wholesale and retail, have been
integrated in a single entity.

*Free float holding excludes all promoter holdings, strategic investments and cross holdings
among public sector entities.

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3.d Introduction to ING Vysya

ING Vysya Bank Ltd., is an entity formed with the coming together of erstwhile, Vysya Bank
Ltd, a premier bank in the Indian Private Sector and a global financial powerhouse, ING of Dutch
origin, during Oct 2002.

The origin of the erstwhile Vysya Bank was pretty humble. It was in the year 1930 that a team of
visionaries came together to found a bank that would extend a helping hand to those who weren't
privileged enough to enjoy banking services.

It's been a long journey since then and the Bank has grown in size and stature to encompass
every area of present-day banking activity and has carved a distinct identity of being India's
Premier Private Sector Bank.

In 1980, the Bank completed fifty years of service to the nation and post 1985; the Bank made
rapid strides to reach the coveted position of being the number one private sector bank. In 1990,
the bank completed its Diamond Jubilee year. At the Diamond Jubilee Celebrations, the then
Finance Minister Prof. Madhu Dandavate, had termed the performance of the bank ‘Stupendous’.
The 75th anniversary, the Platinum Jubilee of the bank was celebrated during 2005.

The origin of ING Group


On the other hand, ING group originated in 1990 from the merger between Nationale –
Nederlanden NV the largest Dutch Insurance Company and NMB Post Bank Groep NV.
Combining roots and ambitions, the newly formed company called “Internationale Nederlanden
Group”. Market circles soon abbreviated the name to I-N-G. The company followed suit by
changing the statutory name to “ING Group N.V.”.

Profile
ING has gained recognition for its integrated approach of banking, insurance and asset
management. Furthermore, the company differentiates itself from other financial service

22
providers by successfully establishing life insurance companies in countries with emerging
economies, such as Korea, Taiwan, Hungary, Poland, Mexico and Chile. Another specialisation is
ING Direct, an Internet and direct marketing concept with which ING is rapidly winning retail
market share in mature markets. Finally, ING distinguishes itself internationally as a provider of
‘employee benefits’, i.e. arrangements of nonwage benefits, such as pension plans for companies
and their employees.
Mission
ING`s mission is to be a leading, global, client-focused, innovative and low-cost provider of
financial services through the distribution channels of the client’s preference in markets where
ING can create value.

Vision
To be a dominant player in the Indian mutual fund space, recognized for its high levels of
ethical and professional conduct and a commitment towards enhancing investor interests.

23
3.e Introduction to NSE

The NSE was incorporated in Nov 1992 with an equity capital of Rs.25 Crores. The International
securities constancy (ISC) of Hong Kong has helped in setting up NSE. ISC has prepared the
detailed business plans and installation of hard ware and software system. The promotion of
NSE were financial institution, insurance’s, companies, banks and SEBI capital market Ltd.
Infrastructure leasing and financial service limited. And stock Holding Corporation limited.

It has been set up to strength the move towards professionalisation of capital market as well as
provides nation wide securities trading facilities to investors.

NSE exchange in traditional sense was brokers own and manages the exchange. A two tier
administrative set up involving a company board and a governing aboard of exchange is
envisaged.

NSE is a national market of share PSU bonds, debentures and government securities since
infrastructure and trading facilities are provided.

NSE-NIFTY:

The NSE on April 22, 1996 launched a new equity Index. The NSE-50. The new Index which
replaces the existing NSE –100 Index is expected to serve as an appropriate Index for new
segment of futures and options.

“Fifty” means National Index for Fifty Stock.

The NSE-50 comprises 50 companies that represent 20 board industry groups with a aggregate
market capitalization of around Rs.170, 000 crores. All company included in the Index have a
market capitalization in excess of Rs.500 crores each and should have traded for 85% of trading
day at an impact cost of less then 1.5%.

The base period for the index is the close of prices on November 3, 1995, which makes one year
of completion of operations on NSE capital market segment. The base value of Index is set at
1000.

24
NSE-MIDCAP INDEX:

The NSE madcap Index or the Junior Nifty comprises fifty stocks that represents 21 board
industries group and will provide proper representation of madcap segment of Indian Capital
Market. All stocks in a index should have market capitalization off greater then Rs.200 crores and
should have 85% of trading days at impact cost of less than 2.5%.

The base period for the index is November 4th, 1996, which signifies 2 years of completion of
operations of the capital market segment the operations. The base value of index has been at
1000. Average daily turnover of the present scenario 258212 (laces) and number of average daily
trades d2160 (laces).

India is a land of many cultures and languages. Its vibrancy and quest for growth throws up as
many questions as it throws up new answers.

With globalization people are constantly seeking broader horizon of knowledge and information.
How much has the country prospered? How well is the economy doing? Nifty is the platform on
which India finds these answers.

The Nifty Index is a composite of the top 50 stocks listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE).
It is a simplified tool that helps investors and ordinary people alike, to understand what is
happening in the stock market and by extension, the economy. If the Nifty Index performs well, it
is a signal that companies in India are performing well and consequently that the country is doing
well.

An upbeat economy is usually reflected in a strong performance of the Nifty Index. A rising
index is also indicative that the investors are gung-ho about the future.

The Nifty Index is based upon solid economic research. It is internationally respected and
recognized as a pioneering effort in providing simpler understanding of stock market
complexities.

Nifty is the flagship index of NSE, the 3rd largest stock exchange in the world in terms of
number of transactions (Stock Futures).

*Nifty has been used to represent S&P CNX Nifty, owned and managed by India Index Services
and Products Ltd. (IISL), a joint venture between NSE and CRISIL.

25
• Nifty index can be used by individuals to track market movements and compare performance
of individual companies’ vis-à-vis market performance.

• Shareholders evaluation of management decisions - performance of a company vis-à-vis the


market generally reflects the perception of the investor.

• Assist traders and market intermediaries to evaluate performance and sentiments across the
market.

• Index funds can replicate Nifty indices to earn market returns.

• Derivative trading - Investors can use Nifty indices for hedging their exposures in the equity
markets.

• Benchmarking NAV performances - Nifty is the benchmark for performance of open ended
and close ended funds.

NSE Nifty Junior Index

The next rung of liquid securities after S&P CNX Nifty is the CNX Nifty Junior index. It may be
useful to think of the S&P CNX Nifty and the CNX Nifty Junior as making up the 100 most
liquid stocks in India.

As with the S&P CNX Nifty, stocks in the CNX Nifty Junior are filtered for liquidity, so they are
the most liquid of the stocks excluded from the S&P CNX Nifty.

The maintenance of the S&P CNX Nifty and the CNX Nifty Junior are synchronized so that the
two indexes will always be disjoint sets; i.e. a stock will never appear in both indexes at the same
time. Hence it is always meaningful to pool the S&P CNX Nifty and the CNX Nifty Junior into a
composite 100 stock indexes or portfolio.

The main features of the CNX Nifty Junior Index are:

• CNX Nifty Junior represents about 10% of the total market capitalization as on August 31,
2004

• The average traded value for the last six months of all Junior Nifty stocks is approximately
8% of the traded value of all stocks on the NSE

26
• Impact cost for CNX Nifty Junior for a portfolio size of Rs.2.50 million is 0.30%

CONSTITUENTS LIST OF CNX NIFTY JUNIOR

Company Industry ISN Code

Automobiles - 2 and 3
TVS Motor Company Ltd. INE494B01023
wheelers
Ashok Leyland Ltd. Automobiles - 4 wheelers INE208A01029

Punjab Tractors Ltd. Automobiles - 4 wheelers INE170A01013

Andhra Bank Banks INE434A01013

Bank of Baroda Banks INE028A01013

Bank of India Banks INE084A01016

Canara Bank Banks INE476A01014

Corporation Bank Banks INE112A01015

Indian Overseas Bank Banks INE565A01014


Industrial Development Bank of India
Banks INE008A01015
Ltd.
ING Vysya Bank Ltd. Banks INE166A01011

Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. Banks INE237A01010

Syndicate Bank Banks INE667A01018

Union Bank of India Banks INE692A01016

UTI Bank Ltd. Banks INE238A01026

Vijaya Bank Banks INE705A01016

Bharat Forge Ltd. Castings/forgings INE465A01025

Ingersoll Rand (India) Ltd. Compressors / pumps INE177A01018

Moser Baer India Ltd. Computers - hardware INE739A01015

27
I-Flex Solutions Ltd. Computers - software INE881D01027

Mphasis BFL Ltd. Computers - software INE356A01018

Patni Computer Systems Ltd. Computers - software INE660F01012

Polaris Software Lab Ltd. Computers - software INE763A01023

Jaiprakash Associates Ltd. Construction INE455F01017

Nirma Ltd. Detergents INE091A01011

Cummins India Ltd. Diesel engines INE298A01020

Bharat Electronics Ltd. Electronics - industrial INE263A01016

Reliance Capital Ltd. Finance INE013A01015

LIC Housing Finance Ltd. Finance - housing INE115A01018

IFCI Ltd. Financial institution INE039A01010


Infrastructure Devlopment Finance Co.
Financial institution INE043D01016
Ltd.
Indian Hotels Co. Ltd. Hotels INE053A01029

Sterlite Industries (India) Ltd. Metals INE268A01031

Container Corporation of India Ltd. Miscellaneous INE111A01017

Asian Paints Ltd. Paints INE021A01018

Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. Pharmaceuticals INE406A01029

Aventis Pharma Ltd. Pharmaceuticals INE058A01010

Biocon Ltd. Pharmaceuticals INE376G01013

Cadila Healthcare Ltd. Pharmaceuticals INE010B01019

Lupin Ltd. Pharmaceuticals INE326A01029

Nicholas Piramal India Ltd. Pharmaceuticals INE140A01024

Pfizer Ltd. Pharmaceuticals INE182A01018

28
Wockhardt Ltd. Pharmaceuticals INE049B01025
Bongaigaon Refinery & Petrochemicals
Refineries INE241A01012
Ltd.
Chennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd. Refineries INE178A01016

IBP Co. Ltd. Refineries INE261A01010

Reliance Petroleum Ltd. Refineries INE475H01011

Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd. Telecommunication - services INE517B01013

Raymond Ltd. Textile products INE301A01014

Apollo Tyres Ltd. Tyres INE438A01014


Automobiles - 2 and 3
TVS Motor Company Ltd. INE494B01023
wheelers

NSE NIFTY 50 INDEX

S&P CNX Nifty is a well diversified 50 stock index accounting for 22 sectors of the economy. It
is used for a variety of purposes such as benchmarking fund portfolios, index based derivatives
and index funds.

S&P CNX Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products Ltd. (IISL), which
is a joint venture between NSE and CRISIL. IISL is India's first specialised company focused
upon the index as a core product. IISL have a consulting and licensing agreement with Standard
& Poor's (S&P), who are world leaders in index services.

• The average total traded value for the last six months of all Nifty stocks is approximately
45.24% of the traded value of all stocks on the NSE

• Nifty stocks represent about 57.92% of the total market capitalization as on April 10, 2007.

• Impact cost of the S&P CNX Nifty for a portfolio size of Rs.5 million is 0.08%

• S&P CNX Nifty is professionally maintained and is ideal for derivatives trading

29
Company Industry ISN Code

ABB Ltd. Electrical equipment INE117A01014


Cement and cement
ACC Ltd. INE012A01025
products
Automobiles - 2 and 3
Bajaj Auto Ltd. INE118A01012
wheelers
Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. Electrical equipment INE257A01018
Bharat Petroleum Corporation
Refineries INE029A01011
Ltd.
Telecommunication -
Bharti Airtel Ltd. INE397D01016
services
Cipla Ltd. Pharmaceuticals INE059A01026

Dabur India Ltd. Personal care INE016A01026

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd. Pharmaceuticals INE089A01023

GAIL (India) Ltd. Gas INE129A01019


Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals
Pharmaceuticals INE159A01016
Ltd.
Cement and cement
Grasim Industries Ltd. INE047A01013
products
Cement and cement
Gujarat Ambuja Cements Ltd. INE079A01024
products
HCL Technologies Ltd. Computers - software INE860A01027

HDFC Bank Ltd. Banks INE040A01018


Automobiles - 2 and 3
Hero Honda Motors Ltd. INE158A01026
wheelers
Hindalco Industries Ltd. Aluminium INE038A01020

Hindustan Lever Ltd. Diversified INE030A01027


Hindustan Petroleum Corporation
Refineries INE094A01015
Ltd.
Housing Development Finance
Finance - housing INE001A01028
Corporation Ltd.
I T C Ltd. Cigarettes INE154A01025

30
ICICI Bank Ltd. Banks INE090A01013
Indian Petrochemicals
Petrochemicals INE006A01019
Corporation Ltd.
Infosys Technologies Ltd. Computers - software INE009A01021

Larsen & Toubro Ltd. Engineering INE018A01030


Telecommunication -
Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd. INE153A01019
services
Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. Automobiles - 4 wheelers INE101A01018

Maruti Udyog Ltd. Automobiles - 4 wheelers INE585B01010

National Aluminium Co. Ltd. Aluminium INE139A01026


Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
Oil exploration/production INE213A01011
Ltd.
Punjab National Bank Banks INE160A01014

Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd. Pharmaceuticals INE015A01028


Telecommunication -
Reliance Communications Ltd. INE330H01018
services
Reliance Energy Ltd. Power INE036A01016

Reliance Industries Ltd. Refineries INE002A01018

Reliance Petroleum Ltd. Refineries INE475H01011

Satyam Computer Services Ltd. Computers - software INE275A01028

Siemens Ltd. Electrical equipment INE003A01024

State Bank of India Banks INE062A01012

Steel Authority of India Ltd. Steel and steel products INE114A01011

Sterlite Industries (India) Ltd. Metals INE268A01031


Sun Pharmaceutical Industries
Pharmaceuticals INE044A01028
Ltd.
Suzlon Energy Ltd. Electrical equipment INE040H01013

Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. Computers - software INE467B01029

31
Tata Motors Ltd. Automobiles - 4 wheelers INE155A01014

Tata Power Co. Ltd. Power INE245A01013

Tata Steel Ltd. Steel and steel products INE081A01012


Telecommunication -
Videsh Sanchar Nigam Ltd. INE151A01013
services
Wipro Ltd. Computers - software INE075A01022
Zee Entertainment Enterprises
Media & entertainment INE256A01028
Ltd.

32
33
RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF HDFC BANK FOR
THE MONTH OF APR-2007

Close
s.no Date Price return (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD
1 2-Apr-07 901.35 -5.96 -6.28 39.43
2 3-Apr-07 914.2 1.43 1.11 1.23
3 4-Apr-07 925.05 1.19 0.87 0.75
4 5-Apr-07 942.6 1.9 1.58 2.50
5 9-Apr-07 971.15 3.03 2.71 7.34
6 10-Apr-07 991.95 2.14 1.82 3.31
7 11-Apr-07 979.35 -1.27 -1.59 2.52
8 12-Apr-07 958.35 -2.14 -2.46 6.05
9 13-Apr-07 981.2 2.38 2.06 4.24
10 16-Apr-07 974.95 -0.64 -0.96 0.92
11 17-Apr-07 978.05 0.32 0 0
12 18-Apr-07 980.4 0.24 -0.08 0.00
13 19-Apr-07 982.45 0.21 -0.11 0.01
14 20-Apr-07 994.6 1.24 0.92 0.84
15 23-Apr-07 986.8 -0.78 -1.1 1.21
16 24-Apr-07 1013.75 2.73 2.41 5.80
17 25-Apr-07 1031 1.7 1.38 1.90
18 26-Apr-07 1034.45 0.33 0.01 0.00
19 27-Apr-07 1014.6 -1.92 -2.24 5.01
mean 0.32 variance 4.37 2.10

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


HDFC BANK FOR THE MONTH OF APR-2007

4
2
0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-2 Series1
-4
-6
-8

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of HDFC bank, it reveals that it started with
negative return and there is continuous rise and fall in the stock prices; here the average return is
0.32 with a price variation of 4.37 and risk factor 2.10. Thus we can say that the risk is very high
when compared to returns.

34
RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF HDFC BANK FOR
THE MONTH OF MAY-2007

Close
s.no Date Price return (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD
1 3-May-07 1004.6 -0.99 -1.64 2.68
2 4-May-07 1007.75 0.31 -0.34 0.11
3 7-May-07 1000.05 -0.76 -1.41 1.98
4 8-May-07 991.3 -0.87 -1.52 2.31
5 9-May-07 994.7 0.34 -0.31 0.10
6 10-May-07 1011.8 1.72 1.07 1.14
7 11-May-07 992.6 -1.9 -2.55 6.50
8 14-May-07 995.9 0.33 -0.32 0.10
9 15-May-07 1011.05 1.52 0.87 0.75
10 16-May-07 1035.45 2.41 1.76 3.10
11 17-May-07 1042.05 0.64 -0.01 0.00
12 18-May-07 1070.3 2.71 2.06 4.24
13 21-May-07 1106.8 3.41 2.76 7.61
14 22-May-07 1115.1 0.75 0.1 0.01
15 23-May-07 1114.65 -0.04 -0.69 0.47
16 24-May-07 1091.15 -2.11 -2.76 7.61
17 25-May-07 1069.2 -2.01 -2.66 7.07
18 28-May-07 1127.15 5.42 4.77 22.75
19 29-May-07 1144.4 1.53 0.88 0.77
mean 0.65 variance 3.65 1.91

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


HDFC BANK FOR THE MONTH OF MAY-2007

6
5
4
3
2 Series1
1
0
-1 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-2
-3

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of HDFC bank, it reveals that there is
continuous rise and fall in the stock prices; here the average return is 0.65 with a price variation
of 3.65 and risk factor 1.91. Thus we can say that the risk is very high when compared to returns.

35
RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF HDFC BANK FOR
THE MONTH OF JUN-2007

Close
s.no Date Price return (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD
1 1-Jun-07 1153.45 0.79 1.04 1.08
2 4-Jun-07 1168.4 1.3 1.55 2.40
3 5-Jun-07 1159.6 -0.75 -0.5 0.25
4 6-Jun-07 1127.2 -2.79 -2.54 6.45
5 7-Jun-07 1105.55 -1.92 -1.67 2.78
6 8-Jun-07 1090.95 -1.32 -1.07 1.14
7 11-Jun-07 1097.35 0.59 0.84 0.70
8 12-Jun-07 1088.15 -0.84 -0.59 0.34
9 13-Jun-07 1082.9 -0.48 -0.23 0.05
10 14-Jun-07 1096.4 1.25 1.5 2.25
11 15-Jun-07 1110.35 1.27 1.52 2.31
12 18-Jun-07 1088.45 -1.97 -1.72 2.95
13 19-Jun-07 1099.95 1.06 1.31 1.71
14 20-Jun-07 1100.05 0.01 0.26 0.06
15 21-Jun-07 1101.8 0.16 0.41 0.16
16 22-Jun-07 1103 0.11 0.36 0.12
17 25-Jun-07 1099.8 -0.29 -0.04 0.00
18 26-Jun-07 1098.7 -0.1 0.15 0.02
19 27-Jun-07 1090.35 -0.76 -0.51 0.26
mean -0.25 variance 1.32 1.14

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


HDFC BANK FOR THE MONTH OF JUN-2007

0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 Series1
-2

-4

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of HDFC bank, it reveals that there is
continuous rise and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is -0.25 with a price variation
of 1.32 and risk factor 1.44.Here the risk is very high when compared to returns why because the
average return is negative.

36
RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF HDFC BANK FOR
THE MONTH OF JUL-2007

Close
s.no Date Price return (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD
1 2-Jul-07 1147.55 5.25 4.65 21.62
2 3-Jul-07 1150.5 0.26 -0.34 0.11
3 4-Jul-07 1150.75 0.02 -0.58 0.33
4 5-Jul-07 1129.1 -1.88 -2.48 6.15
5 6-Jul-07 1158.3 2.59 1.99 3.96
6 9-Jul-07 1167.6 0.8 0.2 0.04
7 10-Jul-07 1149.3 -1.57 -2.17 4.70
8 11-Jul-07 1148.75 -0.05 -0.65 0.42
9 12-Jul-07 1201.45 4.59 3.99 15.92
10 13-Jul-07 1226.4 2.08 1.48 2.19
11 16-Jul-07 1217.65 -0.71 -1.31 1.71
12 17-Jul-07 1199.3 -1.51 -2.11 4.45
13 18-Jul-07 1200.05 0.06 -0.54 0.29
14 19-Jul-07 1209.25 0.77 0.17 0.02
15 20-Jul-07 1200.9 -0.69 -1.29 1.66
16 23-Jul-07 1230.3 2.45 1.85 3.42
17 24-Jul-07 1248.9 1.51 0.91 0.82
18 25-Jul-07 1239.05 -0.79 -1.39 1.93
19 26-Jul-07 1217.25 -1.76 -2.36 5.56
mean 0.6 variance 3.96 2.00

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS


OF HDFC BANK FOR THE MONTH OF JUN-2007
6
4
2
Series1
0
-2 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-4

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of HDFC bank, it reveals that there is
continuous rise and fall in the stock prices; here the average return is 0.6 with a price variation of
3.96 and risk factor 2.00.Here the risk factor is more than the average returns, then we can say
that the risk is very high.
RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF HDFC BANK FOR
THE MONTH OF AUG-2007

37
Close
s.no Date Price return (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD
1 1-Aug-07 1161.35 -4.59 -4.32 18.66
2 2-Aug-07 1152.4 -0.77 -0.5 0.25
3 3-Aug-07 1155 0.23 0.5 0.25
4 6-Aug-07 1132.5 -1.95 -1.68 2.82
5 7-Aug-07 1141.4 0.79 1.06 1.12
6 8-Aug-07 1171.75 2.66 2.93 8.58
7 9-Aug-07 1155.65 -1.37 -1.1 1.21
8 10-Aug-07 1130.5 -2.18 -1.91 3.64
9 13-Aug-07 1135.65 0.46 0.73 0.53
10 14-Aug-07 1147.65 1.06 1.33 1.76
11 16-Aug-07 1094 -4.67 -4.4 19.36
12 17-Aug-07 1068.1 -2.37 -2.1 4.41
13 20-Aug-07 1110.9 4.01 4.28 18.31
14 21-Aug-07 1103.95 -0.63 -0.36 0.12
15 22-Aug-07 1117.4 1.22 1.49 2.22
16 23-Aug-07 1100.15 -1.54 -1.27 1.61
17 24-Aug-07 1097.7 -0.22 0.05 0.00
18 27-Aug-07 1119.6 2 2.27 5.15
19 28-Aug-07 1150.6 2.77 3.04 9.24
mean -0.27 variance 5.22 2.28

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS


OF HDFC BANK FOR THE MONTH OF AUG-2007

6
4
2
0 Series1
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-2
-4
-6

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of HDFC bank, it reveals that there is
continuous rise and fall in the stock prices; here the average return is -0.27 with a price variation
of 5.22 and risk factor 2.28. Here average return is negative, thus we can say that the risk is very
high when compared to returns.
RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF HDFC BANK FOR
THE MONTH OF SEP-2007

38
Close
s.no Date Price return (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD
1 3-Sep-07 1176.4 2.24 1.06 1.12
2 4-Sep-07 1176.45 0 -1.18 1.39
3 5-Sep-07 1172.45 -0.34 -1.52 2.31
4 6-Sep-07 1184.6 1.04 -0.14 0.01
5 7-Sep-07 1196.55 1.01 -0.17 0.02
6 10-Sep-07 1196.1 -0.04 -1.22 1.48
7 11-Sep-07 1187.8 -0.69 -1.87 3.49
8 12-Sep-07 1182.15 -0.48 -1.66 2.75
9 13-Sep-07 1213.5 2.65 1.47 2.16
10 14-Sep-07 1232.7 1.58 0.4 0.16
11 17-Sep-07 1226.15 -0.53 -1.71 2.92
12 18-Sep-07 1231.15 0.41 -0.77 0.59
13 19-Sep-07 1324.3 7.57 6.39 40.83
14 20-Sep-07 1326.2 0.14 -1.04 1.08
15 21-Sep-07 1318.45 -0.58 -1.76 3.09
16 24-Sep-07 1346.5 2.13 0.95 0.90
17 25-Sep-07 1396.35 3.7 2.52 6.35
18 26-Sep-07 1375.7 -1.48 -2.66 7.07
19 27-Sep-07 1433 4.17 2.99 8.94
mean 1.18 variance 4.56 2.13

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS


OF HDFC BANK FOR THE MONTH OF SEP-2007
10

5
Series1
0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-5

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of HDFC bank, it reveals that there is
continuous rise and fall in the stock prices; here the average return is 1.18 with a price variation
of 4.56 and risk factor 2.13. Thus we can say that the risk is high when compared to returns.

RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF ICICI BANK FOR


THE MONTH OF APR-2007

s.no Date Close return (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD

39
Price
1 2-Apr-07 803.95 -7.65 -7.92 62.88
2 3-Apr-07 830 3.24 2.97 8.76
3 4-Apr-07 807.9 -2.66 -2.94 8.64
4 5-Apr-07 820.95 1.62 1.34 1.80
5 9-Apr-07 850 3.54 3.27 10.63
6 10-Apr-07 841.3 -1.02 -1.30 1.69
7 11-Apr-07 838.65 -0.31 -0.59 0.35
8 12-Apr-07 858.25 2.34 2.06 4.24
9 13-Apr-07 880 2.53 2.26 5.06
10 16-Apr-07 857.75 -2.53 -2.80 7.90
11 17-Apr-07 859.5 0.20 -0.07 0.01
12 18-Apr-07 849.25 -1.19 -1.47 2.16
13 19-Apr-07 875 3.03 2.76 7.56
14 20-Apr-07 873.45 -0.18 -0.45 0.21
15 23-Apr-07 890 1.89 1.62 2.59
16 24-Apr-07 888.25 -0.20 -0.47 0.23
17 25-Apr-07 894 0.65 0.37 0.14
18 26-Apr-07 898.95 0.55 0.28 0.07
19 27-Apr-07 911 1.34 1.07 1.12
mean 0.27 variance 6.64 2.58

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of ICICI bank, it reveals that returns start
with negative and there is continuous rise and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is
0.27 with a price variation of 6.64 and risk factor 2.58. Thus we can say that the risk is very high
when compared to returns

RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF ICICI BANK FOR


THE MONTH OF MAY-2007

40
Close
s.no Date Price return (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD
1 3-May-07 869.9 -5.11 -5.33 27.77
2 4-May-07 875 0.59 0.37 0.18
3 7-May-07 855.85 -2.19 -2.40 5.52
4 8-May-07 855 -0.10 -0.32 0.07
5 9-May-07 843.75 -1.32 -1.53 2.19
6 10-May-07 850 0.74 0.52 0.34
7 11-May-07 839.8 -1.20 -1.42 1.85
8 14-May-07 849.35 1.14 0.92 0.96
9 15-May-07 842 -0.87 -1.08 1.06
10 16-May-07 842.95 0.11 -0.10 0.00
11 17-May-07 848.45 0.65 0.44 0.24
12 18-May-07 875 3.13 2.91 8.82
13 21-May-07 870.4 -0.53 -0.74 0.48
14 22-May-07 886.85 1.89 1.67 2.99
15 23-May-07 918.6 3.58 3.36 11.70
16 24-May-07 908 -1.15 -1.37 1.72
17 25-May-07 946 4.19 3.97 16.24
18 28-May-07 938.05 -0.84 -1.06 1.00
19 29-May-07 951.15 1.40 1.18 1.54
mean 0.22 variance 4.45 2.11

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of ICICI bank, it reveals that there is
continuous rise and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is 0.22 with a price variation
of 4.45 and risk factor 2.11. Thus we can say that the risk is very high when compared to returns

RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF ICICI BANK FOR


THE MONTH OF JUN-2007

41
Close
s.no Date Price return (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD
1 1-Jun-07 930.45 -1.33 -1.38 1.93
2 4-Jun-07 933.35 0.31 0.26 9.18
3 5-Jun-07 939.05 0.61 0.56 11.09
4 6-Jun-07 911.2 -2.97 -3.02 0.06
5 7-Jun-07 909.1 -0.23 -0.28 6.20
6 8-Jun-07 903.45 -0.62 -0.67 4.41
7 11-Jun-07 911 0.84 0.79 12.67
8 12-Jun-07 901.95 -0.99 -1.04 2.99
9 13-Jun-07 917 1.67 1.62 19.27
10 14-Jun-07 919.35 0.26 0.21 8.88
11 15-Jun-07 913.95 -0.59 -0.64 4.54
12 18-Jun-07 915 0.11 0.06 8.01
13 19-Jun-07 905.85 -1.00 -1.05 2.96
14 20-Jun-07 925 2.11 2.06 23.33
15 21-Jun-07 908.7 -1.76 -1.81 0.92
16 22-Jun-07 918.75 1.11 1.06 14.67
17 25-Jun-07 945.15 2.87 2.82 31.25
18 26-Jun-07 948.15 0.32 0.27 9.24
19 27-Jun-07 949.95 0.19 0.14 8.47
mean 0.05 variance 1.82 1.35

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of ICICI bank, it reveals that there is
continuous rise and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is 0.05 with a price variation
of 1.82 and risk factor 1.35. Thus we can say that the risk is very high when compared to returns
RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF ICICI BANK FOR
THE MONTH OF JUL-2007

s.no Date Close return (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD

42
Price
1 2-Jul-07 950.2 -1.53 -1.65 2.79
2 3-Jul-07 966.7 1.74 1.62 2.56
3 4-Jul-07 985.95 1.99 1.87 3.42
4 5-Jul-07 1003.65 1.80 1.68 2.76
5 6-Jul-07 981.5 -2.21 -2.33 5.52
6 9-Jul-07 996.55 1.53 1.41 1.93
7 10-Jul-07 970.7 -2.59 -2.71 7.45
8 11-Jul-07 981.5 1.11 0.99 0.94
9 12-Jul-07 985.5 0.41 0.29 0.07
10 13-Jul-07 963.95 -2.19 -2.31 5.43
11 16-Jul-07 973 0.94 0.82 0.64
12 17-Jul-07 953.55 -2.00 -2.12 4.58
13 18-Jul-07 980 2.77 2.65 6.92
14 19-Jul-07 967.65 -1.26 -1.38 1.96
15 20-Jul-07 1001 3.45 3.33 10.96
16 23-Jul-07 972.5 -2.85 -2.97 8.94
17 24-Jul-07 970.9 -0.16 -0.28 0.09
18 25-Jul-07 973.7 0.29 0.17 0.02
19 26-Jul-07 983.35 0.99 0.87 0.72
mean 0.12 variance 3.56 1.89

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of ICICI bank, it reveals that there is
continuous rise and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is 0.12 with a price variation
of 3.56 and risk factor 1.89. Thus we can say that the risk is very high when compared to returns

RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF ICICI BANK FOR


THE MONTH OF AUG-2007

s.no Date Close return (X-Xbar) (X- SD

43
Price Xbar)2
1 1-Aug-07 897 -9.36 -8.49 72.13
2 2-Aug-07 891 -0.67 0.20 0.04
3 3-Aug-07 901.4 1.17 2.03 4.14
4 6-Aug-07 915.5 1.56 2.43 5.91
5 7-Aug-07 886.9 -3.12 -2.26 5.09
6 8-Aug-07 851 -4.05 -3.18 10.12
7 9-Aug-07 871 2.35 3.22 10.35
8 10-Aug-07 869.9 -0.13 0.74 0.55
9 13-Aug-07 884 1.62 2.49 6.19
10 14-Aug-07 883 -0.11 0.75 0.57
11 16-Aug-07 889.7 0.76 1.63 2.64
12 17-Aug-07 912 2.51 3.37 11.38
13 20-Aug-07 864.1 -5.25 -4.38 19.23
14 21-Aug-07 873.85 1.13 2.00 3.98
15 22-Aug-07 875 0.13 1.00 1.00
16 23-Aug-07 878.65 0.42 1.28 1.65
17 24-Aug-07 832.15 -5.29 -4.42 19.58
18 27-Aug-07 830 -0.26 0.61 0.37
19 28-Aug-07 831 0.12 0.99 0.98
mean -0.87 variance 9.26 3.04

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of ICICI bank, it reveals that there is
continuous rise and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is -0.87 with a price variation
of 9.26 and risk factor 3.04.Thus we can say that the risk is very high when compared to returns,
why because the average return is negative.

RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF ICICI BANK FOR


THE MONTH OF SEP-2007

s.no Date Close return (X-Xbar) (X- SD

44
Price Xbar)2
1 3-Sep-07 907.9 2.05 1.95 3.79
2 4-Sep-07 900 -0.87 -0.97 0.95
3 5-Sep-07 905 0.56 0.45 0.21
4 6-Sep-07 908.6 0.40 0.30 0.09
5 7-Sep-07 915.4 0.75 0.65 0.42
6 10-Sep-07 912 -0.37 -0.47 0.22
7 11-Sep-07 918 0.66 0.56 0.31
8 12-Sep-07 920.9 0.32 0.21 0.05
9 13-Sep-07 925 0.45 0.34 0.12
10 14-Sep-07 920.05 -0.54 -0.64 0.41
11 17-Sep-07 910.9 -0.99 -1.10 1.20
12 18-Sep-07 912.5 0.18 0.07 0.01
13 19-Sep-07 916.3 0.42 0.31 0.10
14 20-Sep-07 901.55 -1.61 -1.71 2.93
15 21-Sep-07 906.2 0.52 0.41 0.17
16 24-Sep-07 885.35 -2.30 -2.40 5.78
17 25-Sep-07 884.05 -0.15 -0.25 0.06
18 26-Sep-07 898 1.58 1.48 2.18
19 27-Sep-07 906.3 0.92 0.82 0.67
mean 0.10 variance 1.03 1.02

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of ICICI bank, it reveals that there is
continuous rise and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is 0.10 with a price variation
of 1.03and risk factor 1.02, finally we can say that the risk is very high when compared to returns

RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF ING VYSYA BANK


FOR THE MONTH OF APR-2007

Close
s.no Date Price return (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD
1 2-Apr-07 168.2 -2.91 -3.31 10.95

45
2 3-Apr-07 167.05 -0.68 -1.08 1.16
3 4-Apr-07 169.3 1.35 0.95 0.90
4 5-Apr-07 168.2 -0.65 -1.05 1.10
5 9-Apr-07 167.3 -0.54 -0.94 0.88
6 10-Apr-07 168.05 0.45 0.05 0.00
7 11-Apr-07 174.1 3.6 3.2 10.24
8 12-Apr-07 170.1 -2.3 -2.7 7.29
9 13-Apr-07 176 3.47 3.07 9.42
10 16-Apr-07 180.25 2.41 2.01 4.04
11 17-Apr-07 184.75 2.5 2.1 4.41
12 18-Apr-07 186 0.68 0.28 0.07
13 19-Apr-07 181.8 -2.26 -2.66 7.07
14 20-Apr-07 180.95 -0.47 -0.87 0.75
15 23-Apr-07 183.55 1.44 1.04 1.08
16 24-Apr-07 185.35 0.98 0.58 0.33
17 25-Apr-07 186.35 0.54 0.14 0.01
18 26-Apr-07 186.65 0.16 -0.24 0.05
19 27-Apr-07 186.4 -0.13 -0.53 0.28
mean 0.4 variance 3.16 1.77

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


ING VYSYA BANK FOR THE MONTH OF APR-2007

4
3
2
1
0 Series1
-1 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-2
-3
-4

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of ING VYSYA bank, it reveals that there is
continuous rise and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is 0.4 with a price variation of
3.16 and risk factor 1.77. Thus we can say that the risk is very high when compared to returns

RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF ING VYSYA BANK


FOR THE MONTH OF MAY-2007

Close
s.no Date Price return (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD

46
1 3-May-07 199.95 7.27 5.43 29.48
2 4-May-07 205.1 2.58 0.74 0.54
3 7-May-07 208.55 1.68 -0.16 0.02
4 8-May-07 207.75 -0.38 -2.22 4.92
5 9-May-07 204.25 -1.68 -3.52 12.40
6 10-May-07 210.15 2.89 1.05 1.10
7 11-May-07 221.65 5.47 3.63 13.17
8 14-May-07 226.95 2.39 0.55 0.30
9 15-May-07 233.95 3.08 1.24 1.53
10 16-May-07 239.4 2.33 0.49 0.24
11 17-May-07 239.95 0.23 -1.61 2.60
12 18-May-07 236.95 -1.25 -3.09 9.54
13 21-May-07 237.55 0.25 -1.59 2.52
14 22-May-07 239.95 1.01 -0.83 0.68
15 23-May-07 239.4 -0.23 -2.07 4.28
16 24-May-07 250.7 4.72 2.88 8.30
17 25-May-07 264 5.31 3.47 12.04
18 28-May-07 266.1 0.8 -1.04 1.08
19 29-May-07 262 -1.54 -3.38 11.42
mean 1.84 variance 6.11 2.47

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


ING VYSYA BANK FOR THE MONTH OF MAY-2007

8
6
4
2 Series1
0
-2 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-4

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of ING VYSYA bank, it reveals that there is
continuous rise and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is 1.84 with a price variation
of 6.11 and risk factor 2.47. Thus we can say that the risk is very high when compared to returns

RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF ING VYSYA BANK


FOR THE MONTH OF JUN-2007

Close
s.no Date Price return (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD
1 1-Jun-07 252.7 -3.55 -3.57 12.74
47
2 4-Jun-07 242.35 -4.1 -4.12 16.97
3 5-Jun-07 246.9 1.88 1.86 3.45
4 6-Jun-07 238.65 -3.34 -3.36 11.28
5 7-Jun-07 232.55 -2.56 -2.58 6.65
6 8-Jun-07 231.6 -0.41 -0.43 0.18
7 11-Jun-07 236.05 1.92 1.9 3.61
8 12-Jun-07 234.5 -0.66 -0.68 0.46
9 13-Jun-07 236.6 0.9 0.88 0.77
10 14-Jun-07 240.4 1.61 1.59 2.52
11 15-Jun-07 252.4 4.99 4.97 24.70
12 18-Jun-07 256.8 1.74 1.72 2.95
13 19-Jun-07 259.95 1.23 1.21 1.46
14 20-Jun-07 265.2 2.02 2 4
15 21-Jun-07 268.05 1.07 1.05 1.10
16 22-Jun-07 263.4 -1.73 -1.75 3.06
17 25-Jun-07 256.55 -2.6 -2.62 6.86
18 26-Jun-07 261.15 1.79 1.77 3.13
19 27-Jun-07 261.6 0.17 0.15 0.02
mean 0.02 variance 5.57 2.36

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


ING VYSYA BANK FOR THE MONTH OF JUN-2007

6
4
2
0 Series1
-2 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-4
-6

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of ING VYSYA bank, it reveals that there is
continuous rise and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is 0.02 with a price variation
of 5.57 and risk factor 2.36. Thus we can say that the risk is very high when compared to returns

RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF ING VYSYA BANK


FOR THE MONTH OF JUL-2007

Close
s.no Date Price return (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD
1 2-Jul-07 258.55 -1.17 -1.23 1.51

48
2 3-Jul-07 259.65 0.43 0.37 0.13
3 4-Jul-07 261.4 0.67 0.61 0.37
4 5-Jul-07 251.5 -3.79 -3.85 14.82
5 6-Jul-07 252.55 0.42 0.36 0.12
6 9-Jul-07 270.85 7.25 7.19 51.70
7 10-Jul-07 268.25 -0.96 -1.02 1.04
8 11-Jul-07 262.3 -2.22 -2.28 5.20
9 12-Jul-07 259.6 -1.03 -1.09 1.18
10 13-Jul-07 259.45 -0.06 -0.12 0.01
11 16-Jul-07 257.15 -0.89 -0.95 0.90
12 17-Jul-07 249.6 -2.94 -3 9
13 18-Jul-07 254.15 1.82 1.76 3.10
14 19-Jul-07 255.15 0.39 0.33 0.10
15 20-Jul-07 257.1 0.76 0.7 0.50
16 23-Jul-07 257.85 0.29 0.23 0.05
17 24-Jul-07 254.7 -1.22 -1.28 1.63
18 25-Jul-07 254.9 0.08 0.02 0.00
19 26-Jul-07 263.25 3.28 3.22 10.36
mean 0.06 variance 5.35 2.31

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


ING VYSYA BANK FOR THE MONTH OF JUL-2007

8
6
4
2
Series1
0
-2 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-4
-6

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of ING VYSYA bank, it reveals that there is
continuous rise and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is 0.06 with a price variation
of 5.35 and risk factor 2.31. Thus we can say that the risk is very high when compared to returns

RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF ING VYSYA BANK


FOR THE MONTH OF AUG-2007

Close
s.no Date Price return (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD
1 1-Aug-07 241.9 -8.11 -7.71 59.44

49
2 2-Aug-07 240.5 -0.58 -0.18 0.03
3 3-Aug-07 246.4 2.45 2.85 8.12
4 6-Aug-07 243.45 -1.2 -0.8 0.64
5 7-Aug-07 240.55 -1.19 -0.79 0.62
6 8-Aug-07 261.8 8.83 9.23 85.20
7 9-Aug-07 250.2 -4.43 -4.03 16.24
8 10-Aug-07 243.1 -2.84 -2.44 5.95
9 13-Aug-07 243.1 0 0.4 0.16
10 14-Aug-07 241.85 -0.51 -0.11 0.01
11 16-Aug-07 237.9 -1.63 -1.23 1.51
12 17-Aug-07 233.25 -1.95 -1.55 2.40
13 20-Aug-07 232.6 -0.28 0.12 0.01
14 21-Aug-07 228.7 -1.68 -1.28 1.63
15 22-Aug-07 227.35 -0.59 -0.19 0.03
16 23-Aug-07 237.1 4.29 4.69 22.00
17 24-Aug-07 228.2 -3.75 -3.35 11.22
18 27-Aug-07 235.8 3.33 3.73 13.91
19 28-Aug-07 240.9 2.16 2.56 6.55
mean -0.4 variance 12.40 3.52

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


ING VYSYA BANK FOR THE MONTH OF AUG-2007

10

0 Series1
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-5

-10

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of ING VYSYA bank, it reveals that there is
continuous rise and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is -0.4 with a price variation
of 12.40 and risk factor 3.52. Thus we can say that the risk is very high when compared to returns

RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF ING VYSYA BANK


FOR THE MONTH OF SEP-2007

Close
s.no Date Price return (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD
1 3-Sep-07 249.8 3.69 3.51 12.32
2 4-Sep-07 246.3 -1.4 -1.58 2.50
3 5-Sep-07 241.8 -1.83 -2.01 4.04

50
4 6-Sep-07 246.6 1.99 1.81 3.27
5 7-Sep-07 244.45 -0.87 -1.05 1.10
6 10-Sep-07 240.85 -1.47 -1.65 2.72
7 11-Sep-07 241.1 0.1 -0.08 0.00
8 12-Sep-07 242.45 0.56 0.38 0.14
9 13-Sep-07 242.55 0.04 -0.14 0.01
10 14-Sep-07 246.8 1.75 1.57 2.46
11 17-Sep-07 241.65 -2.09 -2.27 5.15
12 18-Sep-07 244.9 1.34 1.16 1.34
13 19-Sep-07 244.25 -0.27 -0.45 0.20
14 20-Sep-07 244 -0.1 -0.28 0.07
15 21-Sep-07 246.4 0.98 0.8 0.64
16 24-Sep-07 262.1 6.37 6.19 38.31
17 25-Sep-07 246.85 -5.82 -6 36
18 26-Sep-07 245.05 -0.73 -0.91 0.82
19 27-Sep-07 248.1 1.24 1.06 1.12
mean 0.18 variance 5.90 2.43

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


ING VYSYA BANK FOR THE MONTH OF SEP-2007

8
6
4
2
0 Series1
-2 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-4
-6
-8

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of ING VYSYA bank, it reveals that there is
continuous rise and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is 0.18 with a price variation
of 5.90 and risk factor 2.43. Thus we can say that the risk is very high when compared to returns

RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF NSE FOR THE


MONTH OF APR-2007

s.no Date closing price returns (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD


1 2-Apr-07 4379.37 -3.39 -3.84 14.77
2 3-Apr-07 4448.12 1.57 1.12 1.25
3 4-Apr-07 4499.91 1.16 0.71 0.51
4 5-Apr-07 4522.51 0.50 0.05 0.00

51
5 9-Apr-07 4632.80 2.44 1.99 3.94
6 10-Apr-07 4638.41 0.12 -0.33 0.11
7 11-Apr-07 4655.88 0.38 -0.08 0.01
8 12-Apr-07 4616.35 -0.85 -1.30 1.70
9 13-Apr-07 4721.82 2.28 1.83 3.35
10 16-Apr-07 4837.53 2.45 2.00 3.99
11 17-Apr-07 4803.30 -0.71 -1.16 1.35
12 18-Apr-07 4835.42 0.67 0.22 0.05
13 19-Apr-07 4818.61 -0.35 -0.80 0.64
14 20-Apr-07 4923.47 2.18 1.72 2.97
15 23-Apr-07 4931.08 0.15 -0.30 0.09
16 24-Apr-07 4999.52 1.39 0.93 0.87
17 25-Apr-07 5030.30 0.62 0.16 0.03
18 26-Apr-07 5043.03 0.25 -0.20 0.04
19 27-Apr-07 4929.15 -2.26 -2.71 7.35
mean 0.45 variance 2.26 1.50

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS


OF NSE FOR THE MONTH OF APR-2007

4
2
0 Series1
-2 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19

-4

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of NSE, it reveals that there is continuous rise
and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is 0.45 with a price variation of 2.26 and risk
factor 1.50. Thus we can say that the risk is high when compared to returns

52
RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF NSE FOR THE
MONTH OF MAY-2007

s.no Date closing price returns (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD


1 3-May-07 5010.44 1.65 1.38 1.91
2 4-May-07 4970.00 -0.81 -1.07 1.16
3 7-May-07 4962.52 -0.15 -0.42 0.18
4 8-May-07 4921.30 -0.83 -1.10 1.21
5 9-May-07 4924.08 0.06 -0.21 0.04
6 10-May-07 4908.99 -0.31 -0.57 0.33
7 11-May-07 4920.88 0.24 -0.03 0.00
8 14-May-07 4990.55 1.42 1.15 1.32
9 15-May-07 4973.65 -0.34 -0.61 0.37
10 16-May-07 5034.79 1.23 0.96 0.92
11 17-May-07 5093.90 1.17 0.91 0.82
12 18-May-07 5087.80 -0.12 -0.39 0.15
13 21-May-07 5143.81 1.10 0.83 0.69
14 22-May-07 5164.58 0.40 0.14 0.02
15 23-May-07 5126.07 -0.75 -1.01 1.03
16 24-May-07 5076.21 -0.97 -1.24 1.54
17 25-May-07 5128.42 1.03 0.76 0.58
18 28-May-07 5138.56 0.20 -0.07 0.00
19 29-May-07 5182.87 0.86 0.59 0.35
mean 0.27 variance 0.66 0.81

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS


OF NSE FOR THE MONTH OF MAY-2007

1
0 Series1
-1 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19

-2

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of NSE, it reveals that there is continuous rise
and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is 0.27 with a price variation of 0.66 and risk
factor 0.81. Thus we can say that the risk is high when compared to returns

53
RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF NSE FOR THE
MONTH OF JUN-2007

s.no Date closing price returns (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD


1 1-Jun-07 5188.58 0.11 0.13 0.02
2 4-Jun-07 5152.36 -0.70 -0.67 0.46
3 5-Jun-07 5173.61 0.41 0.44 0.19
4 6-Jun-07 5069.99 -2.00 -1.98 3.92
5 7-Jun-07 5047.71 -0.44 -0.42 0.17
6 8-Jun-07 5007.87 -0.79 -0.77 0.59
7 11-Jun-07 5008.59 0.01 0.04 0.00
8 12-Jun-07 5021.28 0.25 0.28 0.08
9 13-Jun-07 4971.76 -0.99 -0.96 0.93
10 14-Jun-07 5042.38 1.42 1.44 2.08
11 15-Jun-07 5044.90 0.05 0.07 0.01
12 18-Jun-07 5015.45 -0.58 -0.56 0.31
13 19-Jun-07 5096.72 1.62 1.64 2.70
14 20-Jun-07 5138.26 0.82 0.84 0.70
15 21-Jun-07 5160.94 0.44 0.46 0.22
16 22-Jun-07 5142.38 -0.36 -0.34 0.11
17 25-Jun-07 5151.26 0.17 0.20 0.04
18 26-Jun-07 5183.07 0.62 0.64 0.41
19 27-Jun-07 5156.77 -0.51 -0.48 0.23
mean -0.02 variance 0.69 0.83

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS


OF NSE FOR THE MONTH OF JUN-2007

2
1
0
Series1
-1 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-2
-3

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of NSE, it reveals that there is continuous rise
and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is -0.02 with a price variation of 0.69 and risk
factor 0.83. Here the average return is negative then, we can say that the risk is very high.

54
RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF NSE FOR THE
MONTH OF JUL-2007

s.no Date closing price returns (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD


1 2-Jul-07 5218.32 1.19 0.76 0.58
2 3-Jul-07 5271.30 1.02 0.58 0.34
3 4-Jul-07 5273.42 0.04 -0.39 0.15
4 5-Jul-07 5267.33 -0.12 -0.55 0.30
5 6-Jul-07 5304.84 0.71 0.28 0.08
6 9-Jul-07 5346.64 0.79 0.36 0.13
7 10-Jul-07 5331.14 -0.29 -0.72 0.52
8 11-Jul-07 5308.27 -0.43 -0.86 0.74
9 12-Jul-07 5379.66 1.34 0.91 0.84
10 13-Jul-07 5450.57 1.32 0.89 0.79
11 16-Jul-07 5462.01 0.21 -0.22 0.05
12 17-Jul-07 5443.84 -0.33 -0.76 0.58
13 18-Jul-07 5447.23 0.06 -0.37 0.14
14 19-Jul-07 5522.95 1.39 0.96 0.92
15 20-Jul-07 5527.74 0.09 -0.34 0.12
16 23-Jul-07 5592.26 1.17 0.74 0.54
17 24-Jul-07 5593.96 0.03 -0.40 0.16
18 25-Jul-07 5555.16 -0.69 -1.12 1.26
19 26-Jul-07 5592.81 0.68 0.25 0.06
mean 0.43 variance 0.44 0.66

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS


OF NSE FOR THE MONTH OF JUL-2007

1.50
1.00
0.50
Series1
0.00
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-0.50
-1.00

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of NSE, it reveals that there is continuous rise
and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is 0.43 with a price variation of 0.44 and risk
factor 0.66. Thus we can say that the risk is low when compared to returns

55
RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF NSE FOR THE
MONTH OF AUG-2007

s.no Date closing price returns (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD


1 1-Aug-07 5261.69 -5.92 -5.60 31.38
2 2-Aug-07 5274.76 0.25 0.57 0.32
3 3-Aug-07 5330.23 1.05 1.37 1.88
4 6-Aug-07 5255.08 -1.41 -1.09 1.19
5 7-Aug-07 5276.76 0.41 0.73 0.53
6 8-Aug-07 5406.51 2.46 2.78 7.71
7 9-Aug-07 5335.14 -1.32 -1.00 1.00
8 10-Aug-07 5250.51 -1.59 -1.27 1.61
9 13-Aug-07 5299.34 0.93 1.25 1.56
10 14-Aug-07 5295.27 -0.08 0.24 0.06
11 16-Aug-07 5063.42 -4.38 -4.06 16.48
12 17-Aug-07 4978.73 -1.67 -1.35 1.83
13 20-Aug-07 5101.10 2.46 2.78 7.71
14 21-Aug-07 4938.51 -3.19 -2.87 8.23
15 22-Aug-07 5033.64 1.93 2.24 5.04
16 23-Aug-07 4987.63 -0.91 -0.60 0.35
17 24-Aug-07 5078.77 1.83 2.15 4.60
18 27-Aug-07 5215.11 2.68 3.00 9.02
19 28-Aug-07 5237.01 0.42 0.74 0.55
mean -0.32 variance 5.32 2.30

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS


OF NSE FOR THE MONTH OF AUG-2007

0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 Series1
-5

-10

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of NSE, it reveals that there is continuous rise
and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is negative that is -0.32 with a price variation
of 5.32 and risk factor 2.30. Thus we can say that the risk is very high when compared to returns

56
RETURNS, MEAN, VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF NSE FOR THE
MONTH OF SEP-2007

s.no Date closing price returns (X-Xbar) (X-Xbar)2 SD


1 3-Sep-07 5424.33 3.58 2.79 7.79
2 4-Sep-07 5430.49 0.11 -0.67 0.45
3 5-Sep-07 5426.37 -0.08 -0.86 0.74
4 6-Sep-07 5478.17 0.95 0.17 0.03
5 7-Sep-07 5467.13 -0.20 -0.99 0.98
6 10-Sep-07 5470.46 0.06 -0.73 0.53
7 11-Sep-07 5457.35 -0.24 -1.03 1.05
8 12-Sep-07 5457.12 0.00 -0.79 0.63
9 13-Sep-07 5496.07 0.71 -0.07 0.01
10 14-Sep-07 5483.09 -0.24 -1.02 1.05
11 17-Sep-07 5454.74 -0.52 -1.30 1.70
12 18-Sep-07 5517.33 1.15 0.36 0.13
13 19-Sep-07 5743.32 4.10 3.31 10.95
14 20-Sep-07 5761.77 0.32 -0.47 0.22
15 21-Sep-07 5871.00 1.90 1.11 1.23
16 24-Sep-07 5985.91 1.96 1.17 1.37
17 25-Sep-07 5993.99 0.13 -0.65 0.42
18 26-Sep-07 5995.94 0.03 -0.75 0.57
19 27-Sep-07 6068.83 1.22 0.43 0.18
mean 0.79 variance 1.58 1.25

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS


OF NSE FOR THE MONTH OF SEP-2007

2 Series1

-2 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19

The above table and graph shows the daily returns of NSE, it reveals that there is continuous rise
and fall in the stock prices, here the average return is 0.79 with a price variation of 1.58 and risk
factor 1.25. Thus we can say that the risk is very high when compared to returns

57
CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND HDFC BANK FOR
THE MONTH OF APR-2007

Apr-07
returns of return of
s.no NSE(X) HDFC(Y) XY X2
1 -3.39 -5.96 20.20 11.49
2 1.57 1.43 2.24 2.46
3 1.16 1.19 1.39 1.36 ∑x 8.61
4 0.50 1.9 0.95 0.25 ∑y 6.13
5 2.44 3.03 7.39 5.95 ∑x∑y 52.79
6 0.12 2.14 0.26 0.01 ∑x2 46.91
7 0.38 -1.27 -0.48 0.14 ∑Xy 49.34
8 -0.85 -2.14 1.82 0.72 N∑x2 891.28
9 2.28 2.38 5.44 5.22 (∑x)2 74.17
10 2.45 -0.64 -1.57 6.01 N∑Xy 937.42
11 -0.71 0.32 -0.23 0.50
12 0.67 0.24 0.16 0.45 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y 884.63
13 -0.35 0.21 -0.07 0.12 N∑X2-(∑X)2 817.12
14 2.18 1.24 2.70 4.74
15 0.15 -0.78 -0.12 0.02 ß 1.08
16 1.39 2.73 3.79 1.93
17 0.62 1.7 1.05 0.38
18 0.25 0.33 0.08 0.06
19 -2.26 -1.92 4.34 5.10

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


NSE AND HDFC BANK FOR THE MONTH OF APR-2007

5.00
Returns of
0.00 NSE(X)
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-5.00 Return of
HDFC(Y)
-10.00

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and HDFC bank,
here the beta value is 1.08, means stock price theoretically 8% more volatile than the market.
Thus we can say that, almost all the stock price moves with market. Here the impact of increase
or decrease in market will affect the stock price by 1.08 points.

58
CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND HDFC BANK FOR
THE MONTH OF MAY-2007

May-07
returns of return of
s.no NSE(x) HDFC(y) XY X2
1 1.65 -0.99 -1.63 2.72
2 -0.81 0.31 -0.25 0.65
3 -0.15 -0.76 0.11 0.02 ∑x 5.09
4 -0.83 -0.87 0.72 0.69 ∑y 12.41
5 0.06 0.34 0.02 0.00 ∑x∑y 63.15
6 -0.31 1.72 -0.53 0.09 ∑x2 13.98
7 0.24 -1.9 -0.46 0.06 ∑Xy 7.79
8 1.42 0.33 0.47 2.00 N∑x2 265.62
9 -0.34 1.52 -0.51 0.11 (∑x)2 25.90
10 1.23 2.41 2.96 1.51 N∑Xy 148.02
11 1.17 0.64 0.75 1.38
12 -0.12 2.71 -0.32 0.01 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y 84.87
13 1.10 3.41 3.75 1.21 N∑X2-(∑X)2 239.73
14 0.40 0.75 0.30 0.16
15 -0.75 -0.04 0.03 0.56 ß 0.35
16 -0.97 -2.11 2.05 0.95
17 1.03 -2.01 -2.07 1.06
18 0.20 5.42 1.07 0.04
19 0.86 1.53 1.32 0.74

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


NSE AND HDFC BANK FOR THE MONTH OF MAY-2007

10.00
5.00 Returns of NSE(x)
0.00 Return of HDFC(y)
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-5.00

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and HDFC bank.
Here the beta value is 0.35, means the stock price is less volatile then the market. Here the stock
moves less than the market. The impact of increase or decrease in market will affect the stock
price by 0.35 points.

59
CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND HDFC BANK FOR
THE MONTH OF JUN-2007

Jun-07
returns of return of
s.no NSE(x) HDFC(y) XY X2
1 0.11 0.79 0.09 0.01
2 -0.70 1.3 -0.91 0.49
3 0.41 -0.75 -0.31 0.17 ∑x -0.44
4 -2.00 -2.79 5.59 4.01 ∑y -4.68
5 -0.44 -1.92 0.84 0.19 ∑x∑y 2.05
6 -0.79 -1.32 1.04 0.62 ∑x2 13.18
7 0.01 0.59 0.01 0.00 ∑Xy 11.63
8 0.25 -0.84 -0.21 0.06 N∑x2 250.38
9 -0.99 -0.48 0.47 0.97 (∑x)2 0.19
10 1.42 1.25 1.78 2.02 N∑Xy 221.02
11 0.05 1.27 0.06 0.00
12 -0.58 -1.97 1.15 0.34 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y 218.96
13 1.62 1.06 1.72 2.63 N∑X2-(∑X)2 250.18
14 0.82 0.01 0.01 0.66
15 0.44 0.16 0.07 0.19 ß 0.88
16 -0.36 0.11 -0.04 0.13
17 0.17 -0.29 -0.05 0.03
18 0.62 -0.1 -0.06 0.38
19 -0.51 -0.76 0.39 0.26

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


NSE AND HDFC BANK FOR THE MONTH OF JUN-2007

2.00
Returns of
0.00 NSE(x)
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-2.00 Return of
HDFC(y)
-4.00

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and HDFC bank,
here the beta value is 0.88.Here the beta value is less than 1, and it indicates stock moves less
than the market. Here the impact of increase or decrease in market will affect the stock price by
0.88 points.

60
CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND HDFC BANK FOR
THE MONTH OF JUL-2007

Jul-07
returns of return of
s.no NSE(x) HDFC(y) XY X2
1 1.19 5.25 6.27 1.42
2 1.02 0.26 0.26 1.03
3 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00 ∑x 8.18
4 -0.12 -1.88 0.22 0.01 ∑y 11.42
5 0.71 2.59 1.84 0.51 ∑x∑y 93.37
6 0.79 0.8 0.63 0.62 ∑x2 11.81
7 -0.29 -1.57 0.46 0.08 ∑Xy 22.24
8 -0.43 -0.05 0.02 0.18 N∑x2 224.48
9 1.34 4.59 6.17 1.81 (∑x)2 66.84
10 1.32 2.08 2.74 1.74 N∑Xy 422.61
11 0.21 -0.71 -0.15 0.04
12 -0.33 -1.51 0.50 0.11 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y 329.24
13 0.06 0.06 0.00 0.00 N∑X2-(∑X)2 157.64
14 1.39 0.77 1.07 1.93
15 0.09 -0.69 -0.06 0.01 ß 2.09
16 1.17 2.45 2.86 1.36
17 0.03 1.51 0.05 0.00
18 -0.69 -0.79 0.55 0.48
19 0.68 -1.76 -1.19 0.46

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


NSE AND HDFC BANK FOR THE MONTH OF JUL-2007

6.00
4.00
Returns of
2.00 NSE(x)
0.00 Return of
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 HDFC(y)
-2.00
-4.00

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and HDFC bank,
here the beta value is 2.09.Thus an increase in NSE which is market indicator will have a double
impact on the stock price. Here the impact of increase or decrease in market will affect the stock
price by 2.09 points.

61
CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND HDFC BANK FOR
THE MONTH OF AUG-2007

Aug-07
returns of return of
s.no NSE(x) HDFC(y) XY X2
1 -5.92 -4.59 27.17 35.05
2 0.25 -0.77 -0.19 0.06
3 1.05 0.23 0.24 1.11 ∑x -6.05
4 -1.41 -1.95 2.75 1.99 ∑y -5.09
5 0.41 0.79 0.33 0.17 ∑x∑y 30.79
6 2.46 2.66 6.54 6.05 ∑x2 102.99
7 -1.32 -1.37 1.81 1.74 ∑Xy 88.62
8 -1.59 -2.18 3.46 2.52 N∑x2 1956.81
9 0.93 0.46 0.43 0.86 (∑x)2 36.58
10 -0.08 1.06 -0.08 0.01 N∑Xy 1683.73
11 -4.38 -4.67 20.45 19.17
12 -1.67 -2.37 3.96 2.80 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y 1652.95
13 2.46 4.01 9.86 6.04 N∑X2-(∑X)2 1920.22
14 -3.19 -0.63 2.01 10.16
15 1.93 1.22 2.35 3.71 ß 0.86
16 -0.91 -1.54 1.41 0.84
17 1.83 -0.22 -0.40 3.34
18 2.68 2 5.37 7.21
19 0.42 2.77 1.16 0.18

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


NSE AND HDFC BANK FOR THE MONTH OF JUL-2007
5

0
Returns of NSE(X)
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
Return of HDFC(Y)
-5

-10

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and HDFC bank,
here the beta value is 0.86.Here the beta is less than 1, and it indicates that securities moves less
than the market. Here the impact of increase or decrease in market will affect the stock price by
0.86 points.

62
CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND HDFC BANK FOR
THE MONTH OF SEP-2007

Sep-07
returns of return of
s.no NSE(X) HDFC(Y) XY X2
1 3.58 2.24 8.01 12.79
2 0.11 0 0.00 0.01
3 -0.08 -0.34 0.03 0.01 ∑x 14.95
4 0.95 1.04 0.99 0.91 ∑y 22.50
5 -0.20 1.01 -0.20 0.04 ∑x∑y 336.29
6 0.06 -0.04 0.00 0.00 ∑x2 41.78
7 -0.24 -0.69 0.17 0.06 ∑Xy 50.90
8 0.00 -0.48 0.00 0.00 N∑x2 793.76
9 0.71 2.65 1.89 0.51 (∑x)2 223.39
10 -0.24 1.58 -0.37 0.06 N∑Xy 967.03
11 -0.52 -0.53 0.27 0.27
12 1.15 0.41 0.47 1.32 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y 630.75
13 4.10 7.57 31.01 16.78 N∑X2-(∑X)2 570.38
14 0.32 0.14 0.04 0.10
15 1.90 -0.58 -1.10 3.59 ß 1.11
16 1.96 2.13 4.17 3.83
17 0.13 3.7 0.50 0.02
18 0.03 -1.48 -0.05 0.00
19 1.22 4.17 5.07 1.48

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


NSE AND HDFC BANK FOR THE MONTH OF SEP-2007

10.00
Returns of
5.00 NSE(X)
0.00 Return of
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 HDFC(Y)
-5.00

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and HDFC bank,
here the beta value is 1.11.If an increase in NSE, the stock price will have 11% more increase
than the market. Here the impact of increase or decrease in market will affect the stock price by
1.11 points.

63
CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND ICICI BANK FOR
THE MONTH OF APR-2007

Apr-07
returns of return of
s.no NSE(X) ICICI(Y) XY X2
1 -3.39 -7.65 25.93 11.49
2 1.57 3.24 5.09 2.46
3 1.16 -2.66 -3.10 1.36 ∑x 8.61
4 0.50 1.62 0.81 0.25 ∑y 5.19
5 2.44 3.54 8.63 5.95 ∑x∑y 44.70
6 0.12 -1.02 -0.12 0.01 ∑x2 46.91
7 0.38 -0.31 -0.12 0.14 ∑Xy 29.87
8 -0.85 2.34 -1.99 0.72 N∑x2 891.28
9 2.28 2.53 5.78 5.22 (∑x)2 74.17
10 2.45 -2.53 -6.20 6.01 N∑Xy 567.47
11 -0.71 0.2 -0.14 0.50
12 0.67 -1.19 -0.80 0.45 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y 522.77
13 -0.35 3.03 -1.05 0.12 N∑X2-(∑X)2 817.12
14 2.18 -0.18 -0.39 4.74
15 0.15 1.89 0.29 0.02 ß 0.64
16 1.39 -0.2 -0.28 1.93
17 0.62 0.65 0.40 0.38
18 0.25 0.55 0.14 0.06
19 -2.26 1.34 -3.03 5.10

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


NSE AND ICICI BANK FOR THE MONTH OF APR-2007

5.00

0.00
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 Returns of NSE(X)
Return of ICICI(Y)
-5.00

-10.00

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and ICICI bank,
here the beta value is 0.64.Here beta is less than 1, it means the security will be less volatile than
the market.

64
CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND ICICI BANK FOR
THE MONTH OF MAY-2007

May-07
returns of return of
s.no NSE(X) ICICI(Y) XY X2
1 1.65 -5.11 -8.43 2.72
2 -0.81 0.59 -0.48 0.65
3 -0.15 -2.19 0.33 0.02 ∑x 5.09
4 -0.83 -0.1 0.08 0.69 ∑y 4.11
5 0.06 -1.32 -0.07 0.00 ∑x∑y 20.91
6 -0.31 0.74 -0.23 0.09 ∑x2 13.98
7 0.24 -1.2 -0.29 0.06 ∑Xy -2.67
8 1.42 1.14 1.61 2.00 N∑x2 265.62
9 -0.34 -0.87 0.29 0.11 (∑x)2 25.90
10 1.23 0.11 0.14 1.51 N∑Xy -50.75
11 1.17 0.65 0.76 1.38
12 -0.12 3.13 -0.37 0.01 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y -71.67
13 1.10 -0.53 -0.58 1.21 N∑X2-(∑X)2 239.73
14 0.40 1.89 0.76 0.16
15 -0.75 3.58 -2.67 0.56 ß -0.30
16 -0.97 -1.15 1.12 0.95
17 1.03 4.19 4.31 1.06
18 0.20 -0.84 -0.17 0.04
19 0.86 1.4 1.21 0.74

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


NSE AND ICICI BANK FOR THE MONTH OF MAY-2007

5
Returns of
0 NSE(X)
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 Return of
-5
ICICI(Y)
-10

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and ICICI bank,
here the beta value is -0.30.Here the beta is negative it means the stock inversely follows the
market. The stock generally decreases in the value if market goes up.

65
CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND ICICI BANK FOR
THE MONTH OF JUN-2007

Jun-07
returns of return of
s.no NSE(X) ICICI(Y) XY X2
1 0.11 -1.33 -0.15 0.01
2 -0.70 0.31 -0.22 0.49
3 0.41 0.61 0.25 0.17 ∑x -0.44
4 -2.00 -2.97 5.95 4.01 ∑y 0.91
5 -0.44 -0.23 0.10 0.19 ∑x∑y -0.40
6 -0.79 -0.62 0.49 0.62 ∑x2 13.18
7 0.01 0.84 0.01 0.00 ∑Xy 4.34
8 0.25 -0.99 -0.25 0.06 N∑x2 250.38
9 -0.99 1.67 -1.65 0.97 (∑x)2 0.19
10 1.42 0.26 0.37 2.02 N∑Xy 82.41
11 0.05 -0.59 -0.03 0.00
12 -0.58 0.11 -0.06 0.34 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y 82.81
13 1.62 -1 -1.62 2.63 N∑X2-(∑X)2 250.18
14 0.82 2.11 1.72 0.66
15 0.44 -1.76 -0.78 0.19 ß 0.33
16 -0.36 1.11 -0.40 0.13
17 0.17 2.87 0.50 0.03
18 0.62 0.32 0.20 0.38
19 -0.51 0.19 -0.10 0.26

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


NSE AND ICICI BANK FOR THE MONTH OF JUN-2007

4.00
2.00 Returns of
NSE(X)
0.00
Return of
-2.00 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
ICICI(Y)
-4.00

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and ICICI bank,
here the beta value is 0.33.Here the beta value is less than 1, it indicates that the stock moves less
than the market. Here the impact of increase or decrease in market will affect the stock price by
0.33 points.

66
CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND ICICI BANK FOR
THE MONTH OF JUL-2007

Jul-07
returns of return of
s.no NSE(X) ICICI(Y) XY X2
1 1.19 -1.53 -1.83 1.42
2 1.02 1.74 1.77 1.03
3 0.04 1.99 0.08 0.00 ∑x 8.18
4 -0.12 1.8 -0.21 0.01 ∑y 2.23
5 0.71 -2.21 -1.57 0.51 ∑x∑y 18.23
6 0.79 1.53 1.21 0.62 ∑x2 11.81
7 -0.29 -2.59 0.75 0.08 ∑Xy -5.89
8 -0.43 1.11 -0.48 0.18 N∑x2 224.48
9 1.34 0.41 0.55 1.81 (∑x)2 66.84
10 1.32 -2.19 -2.89 1.74 N∑Xy -112.00
11 0.21 0.94 0.20 0.04
12 -0.33 -2 0.67 0.11 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y -130.24
13 0.06 2.77 0.17 0.00 N∑X2-(∑X)2 157.64
14 1.39 -1.26 -1.75 1.93
15 0.09 3.45 0.30 0.01 ß -0.83
16 1.17 -2.85 -3.33 1.36
17 0.03 -0.16 0.00 0.00
18 -0.69 0.29 -0.20 0.48
19 0.68 0.99 0.67 0.46

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


NSE AND ICICI BANK FOR THE MONTH OF JUL-2007

4.00
2.00 Returns of
NSE(X)
0.00
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 Return of
-2.00 ICICI(Y)
-4.00

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and ICICI bank,
here the beta value is -0.83.Here the beta value is negative it means the stock moves in the
opposite direction of the market. Here the risk is very high.

CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND ICICI BANK FOR


THE MONTH OF AUG-2007

67
Aug-07
Returns of Returns of
S.no NSE(X) ICICI(Y) XY X2
1 0.73 -9.36 -6.83 0.53
2 -1.52 -0.67 1.02 2.31
3 1.41 1.17 1.65 1.99 ∑x 6.28
4 0.13 1.56 0.21 0.02 ∑y -16.48
5 -0.07 -3.12 0.22 0.01 ∑x∑y -103.52
6 0.11 -4.05 -0.44 0.01 ∑x2 17.19
7 -0.35 2.35 -0.82 0.12 ∑Xy -2.36
8 1.76 -0.13 -0.22 3.08 N∑x2 326.68
9 1.52 1.62 2.46 2.31 (∑x)2 39.47
10 1.30 -0.11 -0.15 1.70 N∑Xy -44.76
11 -0.24 0.76 -0.18 0.06
12 -0.12 2.51 -0.29 0.01 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y 58.76
13 -0.87 -5.25 4.58 0.76 N∑X2-(∑X)2 287.21
14 -0.02 1.13 -0.02 0.00
15 0.18 0.13 0.02 0.03 ß 0.20
16 -0.70 0.42 -0.29 0.49
17 0.55 -5.29 -2.93 0.31
18 1.68 -0.26 -0.43 2.82
19 0.80 0.12 0.10 0.63

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and ICICI bank,
here the beta value is 0.20.Thus. Here the beta is less than 1, it means stock moves less than the
market. Here the impact of increase or decrease in market will affect the stock price by 0.20
points.

CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND ICICI BANK FOR


THE MONTH OF SEP-2007

68
Sep-07
Returns of Returns of
S.no NSE(X) ICICI(Y) XY X2
1 -0.05 2.05 -0.11 0.00
2 0.65 -0.87 -0.57 0.43
3 0.38 0.56 0.21 0.14 ∑x 5.22
4 0.10 0.40 0.04 0.01 ∑y 1.95
5 -0.28 0.75 -0.21 0.08 ∑x∑y 10.20
6 -0.56 -0.37 0.21 0.32 ∑x2 6.89
7 0.51 0.66 0.33 0.26 ∑Xy -0.90
8 1.01 0.32 0.32 1.02 N∑x2 130.99
9 0.63 0.45 0.28 0.39 (∑x)2 27.27
10 0.19 -0.54 -0.10 0.03 N∑Xy -17.14
11 0.27 -0.99 -0.27 0.07
12 0.01 0.18 0.00 0.00 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y -27.33
13 -0.62 0.42 -0.26 0.38 N∑X2-(∑X)2 103.72
14 0.09 -1.61 -0.14 0.01
15 1.61 0.52 0.83 2.59 ß -0.26
16 0.93 -2.30 -2.14 0.87
17 -0.24 -0.15 0.03 0.06
18 0.14 1.58 0.22 0.02
19 0.46 0.92 0.42 0.21

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF


NSE AND ICICI BANK FOR THE MONTH OF SEP-2007

5.00
Returns of NSE(X)
0.00
Returns of
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 ICICI(Y)
-5.00

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and ICICI bank,
here the beta value is -0.26.Here the beta is negative, in this case risk is very high because stock
moves in the opposite direction of the market.

CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND ING VYSYA BANK


FOR THE MONTH OF APR-2007

69
Apr-07
returns of return of
s.no NSE(X) ING(Y) XY X2
1 -3.39 -2.91 9.86 11.49
2 1.57 -0.68 -1.07 2.46
3 1.16 1.35 1.57 1.36 ∑x 8.61
4 0.50 -0.65 -0.33 0.25 ∑y 7.64
5 2.44 -0.54 -1.32 5.95 ∑x∑y 65.80
6 0.12 0.45 0.05 0.01 ∑x2 46.91
7 0.38 3.6 1.36 0.14 ∑Xy 26.62
8 -0.85 -2.3 1.95 0.72 N∑x2 891.28
9 2.28 3.47 7.93 5.22 (∑x)2 74.17
10 2.45 2.41 5.91 6.01 N∑Xy 505.78
11 -0.71 2.5 -1.77 0.50
12 0.67 0.68 0.45 0.45 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y 439.99
13 -0.35 -2.26 0.79 0.12 N∑X2-(∑X)2 817.12
14 2.18 -0.47 -1.02 4.74
15 0.15 1.44 0.22 0.02 ß 0.54
16 1.39 0.98 1.36 1.93
17 0.62 0.54 0.33 0.38
18 0.25 0.16 0.04 0.06
19 -2.26 -0.13 0.29 5.10

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF NSE


AND ING VYSYA BANK FOR THE MONTH OF APR-2007

4.00
2.00
Returns of NSE(X)
0.00 Return of ING(Y)
-2.00 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-4.00

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and ING VYSYA
bank, here the beta value is 0.54 and stock swings less than the market. Here the impact of
increase or decrease in market will affect the stock price by 0.54 points.

70
CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND ING VYSYA BANK
FOR THE MONTH OF MAY-2007

May-07
returns of return of
s.no NSE(X) ING(Y) XY X2
1 1.65 7.27 11.99 2.72
2 -0.81 2.58 -2.08 0.65
3 -0.15 1.68 -0.25 0.02 ∑x 5.09
4 -0.83 -0.38 0.32 0.69 ∑y 34.93
5 0.06 -1.68 -0.09 0.00 ∑x∑y 177.75
6 -0.31 2.89 -0.89 0.09 ∑x2 13.98
7 0.24 5.47 1.32 0.06 ∑Xy 16.49
8 1.42 2.39 3.38 2.00 N∑x2 265.62
9 -0.34 3.08 -1.04 0.11 (∑x)2 25.90
10 1.23 2.33 2.86 1.51 N∑Xy 313.39
11 1.17 0.23 0.27 1.38
12 -0.12 -1.25 0.15 0.01 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y 135.64
13 1.10 0.25 0.28 1.21 N∑X2-(∑X)2 239.73
14 0.40 1.01 0.41 0.16
15 -0.75 -0.23 0.17 0.56 ß 0.57
16 -0.97 4.72 -4.59 0.95
17 1.03 5.31 5.46 1.06
18 0.20 0.8 0.16 0.04
19 0.86 -1.54 -1.33 0.74

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF NSE


AND ING VYSYA BANK FOR THE MONTH OF MAY-2007

8.00
6.00
4.00 Returns of
NSE(X)
2.00
Return of ING(Y)
0.00
-2.00 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-4.00

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and ING VYSYA
bank, here the beta value is 0.57.Here the stock moves all most all 50% less than the market.
Here the impact of increase or decrease in market will affect the stock price by 0.57 points.

71
CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND ING VYSYA BANK
FOR THE MONTH OF JUN-2007

Jun-07
returns of return of
s.no NSE(X) ING(Y) XY X2
1 0.11 -3.55 -0.39 0.01
2 -0.70 -4.1 2.86 0.49
3 0.41 1.88 0.78 0.17 ∑x -0.44
4 -2.00 -3.34 6.69 4.01 ∑y 0.37
5 -0.44 -2.56 1.12 0.19 ∑x∑y -0.16
6 -0.79 -0.41 0.32 0.62 ∑x2 13.18
7 0.01 1.92 0.03 0.00 ∑Xy 17.18
8 0.25 -0.66 -0.17 0.06 N∑x2 250.38
9 -0.99 0.9 -0.89 0.97 (∑x)2 0.19
10 1.42 1.61 2.29 2.02 N∑Xy 326.45
11 0.05 4.99 0.25 0.00
12 -0.58 1.74 -1.02 0.34 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y 326.62
13 1.62 1.23 1.99 2.63 N∑X2-(∑X)2 250.18
14 0.82 2.02 1.65 0.66
15 0.44 1.07 0.47 0.19 ß 1.31
16 -0.36 -1.73 0.62 0.13
17 0.17 -2.6 -0.45 0.03
18 0.62 1.79 1.11 0.38
19 -0.51 0.17 -0.09 0.26

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF NSE


AND ING VYSYA BANK FOR THE MONTH OF JUN -2007

10.00
Returns of
5.00 NSE(X)
0.00 Returns of ING(Y)
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
-5.00

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and ING VYSYA
bank, here the beta value is 1.31.Here the beta is greater than 1,it indicates that the securitiy’s
price will be more volatile than the market, it’s theoretically 31% more volatile than the market.

72
CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND ING VYSYA BANK
FOR THE MONTH OF JUL-2007

Jul-07
returns of return of
s.no NSE(X) ING(Y) XY X2
1 1.19 -1.17 -1.40 1.42
2 1.02 0.43 0.44 1.03
3 0.04 0.67 0.03 0.00 ∑x 8.18
4 -0.12 -3.79 0.44 0.01 ∑y 1.11
5 0.71 0.42 0.30 0.51 ∑x∑y 9.08
6 0.79 7.25 5.71 0.62 ∑x2 11.81
7 -0.29 -0.96 0.28 0.08 ∑Xy 9.26
8 -0.43 -2.22 0.95 0.18 N∑x2 224.48
9 1.34 -1.03 -1.39 1.81 (∑x)2 66.84
10 1.32 -0.06 -0.08 1.74 N∑Xy 176.02
11 0.21 -0.89 -0.19 0.04
12 -0.33 -2.94 0.98 0.11 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y 166.95
13 0.06 1.82 0.11 0.00 N∑X2-(∑X)2 157.64
14 1.39 0.39 0.54 1.93
15 0.09 0.76 0.07 0.01 ß 1.06
16 1.17 0.29 0.34 1.36
17 0.03 -1.22 -0.04 0.00
18 -0.69 0.08 -0.06 0.48
19 0.68 3.28 2.22 0.46

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF NSE


AND ING VYSYA BANK FOR THE MONTH OF JUL -2007

10
5 Returns of NSE(X)
0 Return of ING(Y)
-5 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and ING VYSYA
bank, here the beta value is 1.06.Here beta is nearly equal to 1, in this situation the stock can
moves with the market.

73
CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND ING VYSYA BANK
FOR THE MONTH OF AUG-2007

Aug-07
returns of return of
s.no NSE(X) ING(Y) XY X2
1 -5.92 -8.11 48.01 35.05
2 0.25 -0.58 -0.14 0.06
3 1.05 2.45 2.58 1.11 ∑x -6.05
4 -1.41 -1.2 1.69 1.99 ∑y -7.68
5 0.41 -1.19 -0.49 0.17 ∑x∑y 46.45
6 2.46 8.83 21.71 6.05 ∑x2 102.99
7 -1.32 -4.43 5.85 1.74 ∑Xy 96.75
8 -1.59 -2.84 4.51 2.52 N∑x2 1956.81
9 0.93 0 0.00 0.86 (∑x)2 36.58
10 -0.08 -0.51 0.04 0.01 N∑Xy 1838.32
11 -4.38 -1.63 7.14 19.17
12 -1.67 -1.95 3.26 2.80 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y 1791.86
13 2.46 -0.28 -0.69 6.04 N∑X2-(∑X)2 1920.22
14 -3.19 -1.68 5.35 10.16
15 1.93 -0.59 -1.14 3.71 ß 0.93
16 -0.91 4.29 -3.92 0.84
17 1.83 -3.75 -6.85 3.34
18 2.68 3.33 8.94 7.21
19 0.42 2.16 0.91 0.18

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF NSE


AND ING VYSYA BANK FOR THE MONTH OF AUG-2007

10
5 Returns of
NSE(X)
0
Return of
-5 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
ING(Y)
-10

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and ING VYSYA
bank, here the beta value is 0.93.Here the stock swings less than the market. Here the impact of
increase or decrease in market will affect the stock price by 0.93 points.

74
CALCULATION OF RISK ANALYSIS ( ß ) BETWEEN NSE AND ING VYSYA BANK
FOR THE MONTH OF SEP-2007

Sep-07
returns of return of
s.no NSE(X) ING(Y) XY X2
1 3.58 3.69 13.20 12.79
2 0.11 -1.4 -0.16 0.01
3 -0.08 -1.83 0.14 0.01 ∑x 14.95
4 0.95 1.99 1.90 0.91 ∑y 3.48
5 -0.20 -0.87 0.18 0.04 ∑x∑y 52.01
6 0.06 -1.47 -0.09 0.00 ∑x2 41.78
7 -0.24 0.1 -0.02 0.06 ∑Xy 31.26
8 0.00 0.56 0.00 0.00 N∑x2 793.76
9 0.71 0.04 0.03 0.51 (∑x)2 223.39
10 -0.24 1.75 -0.41 0.06 N∑Xy 593.87
11 -0.52 -2.09 1.08 0.27
12 1.15 1.34 1.54 1.32 N∑Xy-∑X∑Y 541.86
13 4.10 -0.27 -1.11 16.78 N∑X2-(∑X)2 570.38
14 0.32 -0.1 -0.03 0.10
15 1.90 0.98 1.86 3.59 ß 0.95
16 1.96 6.37 12.47 3.83
17 0.13 -5.82 -0.79 0.02
18 0.03 -0.73 -0.02 0.00
19 1.22 1.24 1.51 1.48

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF RETURNS OF NSE


AND ING VYSYA BANK FOR THE MONTH OF SEP -2007

10.00
5.00
Returns of NSE(X)
0.00
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 Return of ING(Y)
-5.00
-10.00

The above table and graph represents the beta (systematic risk) between NSE and ING VYSYA
bank, here the beta value is 0.95.Here the beta value is nearly equal to 1, thus it indicate stock
moves with the market.

75
BETA VALUES

MONTH HDFC ICICI ING VYSYA


Apr 1.08 0.64 0.54
May 0.35 -0.30 0.57
Jun 0.88 0.33 1.31
Jul 2.09 -0.83 1.06
Aug 0.86 0.20 0.93
Sep 1.11 -0.26 0.95
Average 1.06 -0.03 0.89

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION

The above table and graph show the beta values of HDFC, ICICI and ING Vysya banks. Here the
average BETA of HDFC bank is 1.06; it means stock moves with the market. The average beta of
The ICICI bank is -0.33, here beta is negative it indicates the stock inversely follows the market,
in this situation generally stock price decreases if the market goes up. The average beta of ING
Vysya bank is 0.89; it indicates that security’s price will be less volatile than the market; it means
stock moves less than the market.

76
Conclusion

1. During this period, the HDFC bank is moves with the NSE

2. During this period, ICICI bank having average beta is negative beta, it means the stock
moves in the opposite direction of the market. There is a high risk in this case.

3. During this period, the ING Vysya bank security’s less volatile than the market, here the
stock moves less than the market.

4. During this period, there is more validity in Returns of Stock and Market.

77
Limitations

1. The data collected is only from secondary source.

2. The data which is collected for doing this report from Internet Websites where there can be
some hitches.

3. The Time period for doing the data analysis has been taken from Apr-2007 to Sep-2007.

78
Methodology

Current Close – Previous Close


Returns = x 100
Previous Close

N ∑xy - ∑x∑y
Beta =
N ∑x2 – (∑x) 2

Where,

N = No. of Days

X = Market Returns (NSE Nifty)

Y = Stock Returns (HDFC, ICICI, ING Vysya bank)


Bibliography

1. Security Analysis & Portfolio Management by PRASANNA


CHANDRA.

2. Security Analysis & Portfolio Management by FISHER D.E. &


JORDAN

3. Investment Analysis by V.K.BALLA.

4. Investment Analysis by V.A.AVADHANI.

Visited Websites:

www.hseindia.org

www.investopedia.com

www.beindia.com

www.nseindia.com

www.economictimes.com

www.nil.com

www.capitalamount.com

www.delalstreet.com

www.moneycontrol.com

www.mediantolinc.com

www.sebi.gov.in

80

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