Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Effective managerial decision making is the process of arriving at the best solution to a problem. If only
one solution is possible, then no decision problem exists.
1. Optimal Decisions
When alternative courses of action are available, the decision that produces a result most consistent with
managerial objectives is the optimal decision.
- Recognize all available choices and portray them in terms of appropriate costs and benefits.
- Characterize the desirability of decision alternatives in terms of the objectives of the organization.
- Use managerial economics tools for analyzing and evaluating decision alternatives.
- Use Economic concepts and methodology to select the optimal course of action in terms of
available options and objectives.
Principles of economic analysis form the basis for describing demand, cost, and profit relations. Once
basic economic relations are understood, the tools and techniques of optimization can be applied to find
the best course of action.
For profit maximization, we need to increase total revenue and minimizer total cost.
Total profit function= Total revenue- Total cost
The first derivative of total profit function should be zero and second derivative should be negative.
So, the decision process, whether it is applied to fully integrated or partial optimization problems, involves
two steps.
- First, important economic relations must be expressed in analytical terms.
- Second, various optimization techniques must be applied to determine the best, or optimal,
solution in the light of managerial objectives.
2. Maximizing the Value of the Firm
In managerial economics, the primary objective of management is assumed to be maximization of the
value of the firm. This value maximization objective in Equation
Maximizing Equation is a complex task that involves consideration of future revenues, costs, and discount
rates. Value maximization requires serving customers efficiently.
- What do customers want?
- How can customers’ best be served?
Expressing Economic Relation
Tables:
- A table is a list of economic data.
- When the underlying relation between economic data is simple, tables offer a compact means for
data description.
- In such instance, a simple graph or visual presentation of the data can provide valuable insight.
Equations:
- An equation is an expression of the functional relationship or connection among economic variables.
- When the underlying relation between economic data is complex, equation are helpful because they
allow mathematical and statistical analysis to be used.
Example:
Consider the relation between output, Q and total revenue, TR.
TR= f (Q)……… (1)
This equation is read, ‘Total revenue is a function of output’. The value of the dependent variable (total
revenue) is determined by the independent variable (Output)
The following equation provides a more precise expression of this functional relation.
1
TR= P x Q, where P represents the price at which each unit of Q is sold.
If price is constant a $1.50, the relation between quantity sold and total revenue is
TR= 1.50Q…….. (2)
Data in the following table are specified by equation (2) and graphically illustrated in the figure.
2 $3.00
3 $4.50
4 $6.00
5 $7.50
6 $8.00
• When marginal revenue is positive total revenue increases & when marginal revenue is negative
total revenue decreases.
• Marginal revenue is less than average revenue, and so average revenue decreases.
2
Marginal as the derivative of function
Marginal Concept:
A marginal value is the change in a dependent variable associated with a 1unit change in an independent
variable. Consider the general function
Y= f(X)
The change in the value of the independent variable, X is denoted by ΔX and the change in the
dependent variable, Y, by ΔY.
The ratio ΔY/ ΔX is a general specification of the
marginal concept:
Marginal Y= ΔY/ ΔX
It indicates the change in the dependent variable
associated with a 1 unit change in the value of X.
In the figure (1),
For values of X close to the origin, a relatively small
change in X provides a large change in Y. Thus the
value of ΔY/ ΔX = (Y2-Y1)/(X2-X1) is relatively large.
Similarly a large increase in X (from X3 to X4)
produces only a small increase in Y (from Y3 to Y4),
so ΔY/ ΔX is small.
- When the curve is relatively steep the
dependent variable Y is highly responsive to
changes in the independent variable
- When the curve is relatively flat, Y does not
respond as notable to change in X
Derivative Concept:
A derivative is a precise specification of the marginal relation. Consider the general function
Y= f(X)
The change in the value of the independent variable, X is denoted by ΔX and the change in the
dependent variable, Y, by ΔY.
Finding a derivative involves finding the value of the ratio ΔY/ ΔX for extremely small change in X. The
mathematical notation for a derivative is:
3
Similarly
Derivative of total cost is marginal cost and
Derivative of total profit is marginal profit.
Marginal Analysis in Decision making
Finding Maximums or Minimums
- Maximization or minimization of a function occurs where its derivative or marginal value is equal
to zero.
To illustrate consider the following function:
Here, "π" is total profit and Q is output in units.
If output is zero, the firms incurs a $10000 loss (fixed costs are $10000), but as output rises, profit also
rises.
Breakeven points are output levels where profit is zero. And these output levels are 29 units and 171
units.
By calculating the value of function at a number of outputs, we found the profit maximizing output is 100
units where profit is maximized at $10000 and declines thereafter.
Marginal profit
Setting the marginal profit
equal to zero results in
$400-$4Q=0
$4Q=$400
Q=100 units
Distinguishing Maximums
from Minimums:
The first derivative of a total
function indicates whether the
function is rising or falling at
any point.
Setting the marginal relation
equal to zero indicates
inflection points or points of
maximum or minimum slope.
Because the marginal value (or derivatives) is zero for both maximum and minimum values of a function.
To distinguish maximums from minimums along a function, the concept of second derivative is used. The
second derivative is the derivative of a marginal relation.
The first derivative measures the slop of the total profit function, the second derivative measures the
slope of first derivative or in this case, the slope of marginal profit curve.
- Maximum is where first derivative is zero, second derivative is negative.
- Minimum is where first derivative is zero, second derivative is positive.
In our example, the second derivative of the total profit function is the derivative of the marginal profit
function:
= -$4
4
Since the second derivative is negative, therefore, when Q=100, marginal profit is zero and total profit is
at maximum.
Beyond Q=100, marginal profit is negative and total profit is decreasing.
Beyond Qb, the slope of the cost curve is greater than the slope of the revenue curve. That means
marginal cost is greater than marginal revenue. So the distance is decreasing and total profit declines.
Note that,
- Marginal revenue is zero at the point of revenue maximization, as long as total revenue is falling
beyond that point.
- Average cost minimization occurs when marginal and average cost are equal and average cost is
increasing as output expands.
Incremental Concept
5
Marginal v. Incremental Concept
Both approaches can be used in business financial decision-making and can be applied to different
economic concepts such as cost, revenue, utility.
Incremental Profit:
Incremental profit is the profit- gain or loss associated with a given managerial decision.
Total profit increases when incremental profit is positive. When incremental profit is negative, total
profit declines.
Similarly, incremental profit is positive (and total profit increases) if the incremental revenue
associated with a decision exceeds the incremental cost.
Incremental decisions involve a time dimension that simply cannot be ignored. Not only all current
revenues and cost associated with a given decision must be considered, but any future revenues and
costs also bust be incorporated in the analysis.
KUMKUM SULTANA
Department Of Management (26th Batch)
Session 2012-13
University of Chittagong
6