(Mewtwo must survive Extremespeed for !!!these!!!

to happen)

"Then what about the argument I was making to begin with: Will-o-wisp?"
Well, here's the thing. Arceus gets the first hit in at full power. With Leftovers
you may get just enough HP to survive Silk Scarf long enough to finish it (assuming
Will-o-wisp doesn't miss...). The Silk Scarf scenario is the first scenario in
which Mewtwo, if holding Leftovers, has a real chance of coming out on top, as long
as Arceus isn't holding a Choice Band and doesn't use Swords Dance on the first
turn. If Arceus is holding a Life Orb, it's a draw - both of them die on turn 3,
100% of the time. With Swords Dance, Mewtwo gets noped in the Silk Scarf scenario
and Arceus has a miniscule chance of surviving in the Life Orb scenario (5 HP,
tops).
With a Choice Band? Pffft. Best case scenario, Mewtwo SURVIVES the second turn and
manages to land a single hit.
__________________________

252+ Atk / 252 HP / 4 SpD Arceus: 444 HP

252+ SpA / Mewtwo: 353 HP

Scenario 1: SILK SCARF vs LEFTOVERS

------
TURN 1
Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 178-210
Mewtwo Will-o-wisp vs. Arceus

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 143 - 175
Arceus: 444 - 444

Mewtwo +22 from Leftovers

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 165 - 197
Arceus: 389 - 389
------
TURN 2
Burned Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 89-105
Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. Arceus: 186-220

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 60 - 118
Arceus: 169 - 203

Mewtwo +22 from Leftovers

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 82 - 130
Arceus: 114 - 148
------
TURN 3 - THIS TURN DECIDES IT
Burned Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 89-105
!!!Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. Arceus: 186-220!!!

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 0 - 41
Arceus: !!!0!!! OR 114 - 148
!!!Mewtwo +22 from Leftovers!!!
Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: !!!23 - 63!!! OR 0
Arceus: !!!0!!! OR 59 - 93
__________________________

Scenario 2: LIFE ORB vs LEFTOVERS, NO SWORDS DANCE

TURN 1
Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 192-227
Arceus -44 from Life Orb
Mewtwo Will-o-wisp vs. Arceus

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 126 - 161
Arceus: 400 - 400

Mewtwo +22 from Leftovers

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 148 - 183
Arceus: 345 - 345
------
TURN 2
Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. Arceus: 186-220
Burned Arceus Shadow Claw vs. Mewtwo: 113-134
Arceus -44 from Life Orb

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 14 - 70
Arceus: 81 - 115

Mewtwo +22 from Leftovers

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 36 - 92
Arceus: 26 - 60
------
TURN 3 - MUTUAL DESTRUCTION ASSURED
Burned Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 96-113
Arceus -44 from Life Orb

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 0
Arceus: 0 - 16

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 0
Arceus: 0
__________________________

Scenario 3: SILK SCARF vs LEFTOVERS, WITH SWORDS DANCE

TURN 1
Mewtwo Will-o-wisp vs. Arceus
Arceus Swords Dance

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 353 - 353
Arceus: 444 - 353

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 353 - 353
Arceus: 389 - 389
------
TURN 2

+2 Burned Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 177-209

Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. Arceus: 186-220

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 61 - 119
Arceus: 169 - 203

Mewtwo +22 from Leftovers

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 83 - 131
Arceus: 114 - 148
------
TURN 3 - NOPE

+2 Burned Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 177-209

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 0
Arceus: 114 - 148

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 0
Arceus: 59 - 93
__________________________

Scenario 4: LIFE ORB vs LEFTOVERS, WITH SWORDS DANCE

TURN 1
Mewtwo Will-o-wisp vs. Arceus
Arceus Swords Dance

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 353 - 353
Arceus: 444 - 444

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 353 - 353
Arceus: 389 - 389
------
TURN 2
Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. Arceus: 186-220
+2 Burned Arceus Shadow Claw vs. Mewtwo: 225-265
Arceus -44 from Life Orb

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 88 - 128
Arceus: 125 - 159

Mewtwo +22 from Leftovers

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 110 - 140
Arceus: 70 - 104
------
TURN 3 - MUTUAL DESTRUCTION NOT ASSURED
+2 Burned Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 192-226
Arceus -44 from Life Orb

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 0
Arceus: 26 - 60

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 0
Arceus: 0 - 5
__________________________

Scenario 5: CHOICE BAND vs LEFTOVERS

TURN 1
Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 222-262
Mewtwo Will-o-wisp vs. Arceus

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 91 - 131
Arceus: 444 - 444

Mewtwo +22 from Leftovers

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 113 - 153
Arceus: 389 - 389
------
TURN 2 - POTENTIAL 2 TURN LOSS
Burned Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 111-131
!!!Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. Arceus: 186-220!!!

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 0 - 42
Arceus: !!!169 - 203!!! OR 389 - 389

!!!Mewtwo +22 from Leftovers!!!

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: !!!23 - 55!!! OR 0
Arceus: !!!114 - 148!!! OR 334 - 334
------
!!!TURN 3 - REKT!!!
Burned Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 111-131

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 0
Arceus: 114 - 148

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 0
Arceus: 59 - 93
__________________________

"But what about bulky Mewtwo?"

Oh boy, now we're REALLY getting into overspecialization. Keep in mind that
sacrificing all Speed investment to take on a single threat is a bad idea when it
means you get outsped by other things that you have to worry about. I've already
spent well over 2 hours on this, but if you insist... 252 HP EVs turns the Silk
Scarf matchup from a "maybe" to a "definitely", marking Mewtwo's first guaranteed
win scenario. The Life Orb scenario is either a draw or just barely Mewtwo's
victory. Ironically, the SD Silk Scarf scenario is a complete reversal of fortune -
instead of a guaranteed loss, this is a guaranteed win. The SD Life Orb scenario is
very nearly a guaranteed win for Mewtwo, and even if Mewtwo faints, Arceus is
almost certainly going to faint afterwards, but there is a chance, however slim,
that Arceus may survive the third turn. Mewtwo has a chance in the Choice Band
scenario, but not a very good one. If he's taken more than 4 past the minimum
damage, he is not guaranteed survival, and if he's got less than 112 HP, he loses,
period.
__________________________

252+ Atk / 252 HP / 4 SpD Arceus: 444 HP

252+ SpA / 252 HP / 0 Def Mewtwo: 416 HP

Scenario 1: SILK SCARF vs LEFTOVERS

------
TURN 1
Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 178-210
Mewtwo Will-o-wisp vs. Arceus

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 206 - 238
Arceus: 444 - 444

Mewtwo +26 from Leftovers

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 232 - 264
Arceus: 389 - 389
------
TURN 2
Burned Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 89-105
Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. Arceus: 186-220

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 127 - 175
Arceus: 169 - 203

Mewtwo +26 from Leftovers

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 153 - 201
Arceus: 114 - 148
------
TURN 3 - THE FIRST GUARANTEED WIN
Burned Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 89-105
Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. Arceus: 186-220

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 48 - 112
Arceus: 0

Mewtwo +26 from Leftovers

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 74 - 138
Arceus: 0
__________________________

Scenario 2: LIFE ORB vs LEFTOVERS, NO SWORDS DANCE

TURN 1
Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 192-227
Arceus -44 from Life Orb
Mewtwo Will-o-wisp vs. Arceus

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 189 - 224
Arceus: 400 - 400

Mewtwo +26 from Leftovers

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 215 - 250
Arceus: 345 - 345
------
TURN 2
Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. Arceus: 186-220
Burned Arceus Shadow Claw vs. Mewtwo: 113-134
Arceus -44 from Life Orb

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 81 - 137
Arceus: 81 - 115

Mewtwo +26 from Leftovers

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 107 - 163
Arceus: 26 - 60
------
TURN 3 - BETTER ODDS THAN LAST TIME
Burned Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 96-113
Arceus -44 from Life Orb
Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. Arceus: 186-220

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 0 - 67
Arceus: !!!0!!! OR 0 - 16

!!!Mewtwo +26 from Leftovers!!!

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 0 OR !!!27 - 93!!!
Arceus: 0
__________________________

Scenario 3: SILK SCARF vs LEFTOVERS, WITH SWORDS DANCE

TURN 1
Mewtwo Will-o-wisp vs. Arceus
Arceus Swords Dance

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 416 - 416
Arceus: 444 - 444

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 416 - 416
Arceus: 389 - 389
------
TURN 2

+2 Burned Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 177-209

Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. Arceus: 186-220

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 207 - 239
Arceus: 169 - 203

Mewtwo +26 from Leftovers

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 233 - 265
Arceus: 114 - 148
------
TURN 3 - REVERSAL OF FORTUNE

+2 Burned Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 177-209

Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. Arceus: 186-220

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 24 - 88
Arceus: 0

Mewtwo +26 from Leftovers

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 50 - 114
Arceus: 0
__________________________

Scenario 4: LIFE ORB vs LEFTOVERS, WITH SWORDS DANCE

TURN 1
Mewtwo Will-o-wisp vs. Arceus
Arceus Swords Dance

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 416 - 416
Arceus: 444 - 353

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 416 - 416
Arceus: 389 - 389
------
TURN 2
Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. Arceus: 186-220
+2 Burned Arceus Shadow Claw vs. Mewtwo: 225-265
Arceus -44 from Life Orb

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 196 - 230
Arceus: 125 - 159

Mewtwo +26 from Leftovers

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 222 - 256
Arceus: 70 - 104
------
TURN 3 - 5 HP SHORT OF GUARANTEED WIN
+2 Burned Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 192-226
Arceus -44 from Life Orb
!!!Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. Arceus: 186-220!!!

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 0 - 64
Arceus: !!!0!!! OR 26 - 60

!!!Mewtwo +26 from Leftovers!!!

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: !!!27 - 90!!! OR 0
Arceus: !!!0!!! OR 0 - 5
__________________________

Scenario 5: CHOICE BAND vs LEFTOVERS

TURN 1
Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 222-262
Mewtwo Will-o-wisp vs. Arceus

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 154 - 194
Arceus: 444 - 444

Mewtwo +26 from Leftovers

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 180 - 220
Arceus: 389 - 389
------
TURN 2
Burned Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 111-131
Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. Arceus: 186-220

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 49 - 109
Arceus: 169 - 203

Mewtwo +26 from Leftovers

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: 75 - 135
Arceus: 114 - 148
------
TURN 3 - ODDS ARE STILL AGAINST MEWTWO
Burned Arceus Extreme Speed vs. Mewtwo: 111-131
!!!Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. Arceus: 186-220!!!

SUBTOTALS:
Mewtwo: 0 - 24
Arceus: !!!0!!! OR 114 - 148

!!!Mewtwo +26 from Leftovers!!!

Arceus -55 from Burn

TOTALS:
Mewtwo: !!!27 - 50!!! OR 0
Arceus: !!!0!!! OR 59 - 93