January Statewide Survey

MICHIGAN NOVEMBER 2018 GENERAL ELECTION VOTER SURVEY
600 SAMPLE SURVEY

JANUARY 21, 2018
Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 1

January 2018
Glengariff Group, Inc.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page Topic
2 Methodology
3 Key Findings
15 Aggregate Survey Results
29 Cross-tabulation Report
METHODOLOGY
The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a 600 sample survey of likely November 2018 Michigan General Election voters. The live
operator telephone survey has a margin of error of +/-4.0% with a 95% level of confidence. Data collection was conducted on
January 16-19, 2018. 65% of respondents were contacted via landline telephone. 35% of respondents were contacted via cell phone
telephone. This survey was commissioned by the Detroit News and WDIV Local 4.
[NOTE: All data collection for this survey was completed prior to congressional actions resulting in a shutdown of the federal
government.]

January 2018
KEY FINDINGS
Lay of the Land: Right Track/Wrong Track
 By a margin of 33.0%-54.0%, Michigan voters believe the nation is on the wrong track.
o Independent voters believe the nation is on the wrong track by a margin of 29.7%-51.0%.
 By a margin of 41.0%-37.3%, Michigan voters believe the state is on the right track.
o Independent voters believe Michigan is on the right track by a margin of 40.7%-33.1%.
 By a margin of 50.7%-18.7%, Michigan voters believe Detroit is on the right track.

o Outstate voters believe Detroit is on the right track by a margin of 35.4%-21.9%.
o But Detroit Metro voters believe Detroit is on the right track by a margin of 64.7%-15.7%.
Generic Ballot Test and Motivation to Vote: The Reinvigoration of the Center
 Voters were asked if the election were held today, would they generally vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic
candidate for State Representative. By a margin of 41.8%-31.0%, voters would choose the Democratic candidate. Democrats
have a 10.8% advantage right now in the generic ballot test.
o Independent voters currently give the generic Democratic candidate a 9.6% advantage over the Republican candidate.
o In mid-October 2016, Independent voters gave the generic Republican candidate a 6.1% advantage at 29.0%-22.9%.
o There has been a shift among Independents on the generic ballot test of 15.7% since October 2016.
 While Metro Detroit Independents favor the Democrats by a 7.3% margin, outstate Independents favor the
Democrats by a 11.8% margin.
o Men lean toward the Democratic candidate by 5.2%. But women lean toward the Democratic candidate by 16.1%.
o White voters are statistically split at 36.2% Democratic to 35.9% Republican.

January 2018
 There is a significant difference between outstate females and Metro Detroit females.
o Outstate female voters choose the generic Republican candidate by a margin of 40.7%-32.7%.
o But Metro Detroit female voters choose the Democratic candidate by a margin of 17.3%-55.6% -- a 38.3% Democratic
advantage.
 There are two different measures to gauge voters intensity:
o Are you “definitely” or “probably” going to vote.

o How motivated are you to vote on a 1-10 scale.
 70% of likely voters are definitely going to vote compared to 30.0% who say they are probably going to vote. The chart
below looks at the highest percentages that say they are DEFINITELY going to vote by party. A higher percentage of
Independent voters say they will definitely vote than Republican voters.
Party Definitely Voting

Lean Democratic 76.1%
Strong Democratic 70.9%
Independent 70.3%
Strong Republican 68.7%
Lean Republican 64.3%
 A second gauge is how motivated voters are on a 1-10 scale to vote. (The higher the score, the higher the motivation to vote.)
Overall, voters score an 8.9 in their motivation to vote – the highest level of overall motivation we have seen since. And this
level of motivation is 10 months before the election.
The chart below compares motivation to vote by party affiliation for the previous three elections, as compared to the current
climate. While the bases of each party are highly motivated to vote, what is most striking is that the MIDDLE is as highly
motivated to vote as the bases of each party.

January 2018
Independents, in particular, have gone from a 5.6 motivation to vote in October 2016 to 8.8 in January 2018. And ‘Leaning
Democrats’ have gone from 4.7 to 9.0.
The current climate marks the reinvigoration of the center’s motivation to vote.
Party ID October 2012 October 2014 October 2016 January 2018

Strong Dem 8.5 7.0 6.5 8.9
Lean Dem 7.4 6.4 4.7 9.0
Independent 6.6 5.9 5.6 8.8
Lean GOP 8.3 6.2 6.2 8.8
Strong GOP 8.4 6.9 6.5 8.9
President Trump’s First Year: Michigan Reflects the National Numbers
 Michigan voters have a sharply unfavorable view of Donald Trump by a margin of 34.8% favorable-55.8% unfavorable.
o Independent voters have an unfavorable view of Donald Trump by a margin of 28.3% favorable to 49.7% unfavorable.
o While men have an unfavorable view by a margin of 41.7%-50.3%, women have an unfavorable view of Donald
Trump by a margin of 28.5%-60.9% -- a 32.4% difference.
 Michigan voters disapprove of President Trump’s job performance by a margin of 39.5% approve to 54.3% disapprove.
o While 22.3% strongly approve of his performance, 47.3% of Michigan voters STRONGLY disapprove of his
performance.
o By a margin of 35.9%-51.1%, Independent voters disapprove of President Trump’s performance. 35.9% of

Independent voters strongly disapprove of his performance while only 14.5% strongly approve.
o Men are split on Donald Trump’s performance with 46.5% approving and 47.2% disapproving.

January 2018
o But there is no split among female voters. 33.0% of female voters approve of the President’s performance while
60.9% disapprove of his performance 53.5% of female voters STRONGLY DISAPPROVE of the President’s
performance.
 Outstate women disapprove of his performance by a margin of 44.0%-48.0%. But Metro Detroit women
disapprove of his performance by a margin of 22.8%-72.2% -- with 66.0% of Metro Detroit women
STRONGLY DISAPPROVING of the President’s performance.
 When asked to give President Trump a grade, 38.5% of voters give him an F while only 13.5% of voters give him an A.
o 33.7% of voters give President Trump and A or B. 51.7% of voters give President Trump a D or F.
Economic Approval Not Enough to Move Numbers
 Voters were asked if they approve or disapprove of the President’s performance on three key areas: the economy, health care,
and foreign affairs.
o By a margin of 49.0%-39.8%, Michigan voters approve of the job President Trump is doing on the economy.
 Independent voters approve of the President’s economic performance by a margin of 50.4%-33.1%.
o By a margin of 33.3% approve to 38.8% disapprove, Michigan voters narrowly disapprove of the recently enacted
federal tax law. While 18.8% strongly approve of the new law 31.8% strongly disapprove of the new law.
 Strong Democratic voters disapprove of the new tax law by a margin of 7.9%-72.7%
 Independent voters disapprove of the new tax law by a margin of 28.3%-33.8%.
 Strong Republican voters approve of the new tax law by a margin of 74.8%- 5.4%. 47.3% strongly approve
while 27.5% somewhat approve.

January 2018
o By a margin of 28.0%-58.0%, Michigan voters disapprove of the job the President is doing on health care. 50.7% of
voters strongly disapprove of his health care performance.
 Independent voters disapprove of the President’s health care performance by a margin of 25.5%-54.4%.
o By a margin of 30.8%-63.3%, Michigan voters disapprove of the job the President is doing on foreign affairs. 53.8%
of voters strongly disapprove of his performance on foreign affairs.
 Independent voters disapprove of the President’s foreign affairs performance by a margin of 24.9%-64.2%.
o When asked if President Trump had made American stronger, weaker or the same in the past year.
 50.3% of Michigan voters believe America is weaker today.

 28.3 of Michigan voters believe America is stronger.
 17.8% of Michigan voters believe America is the same.
 46.2% of Independent voters believe America is weaker today compared to 24.1% that say it is stronger.
 19.9% of women believe America is stronger while 57.1% believe it is weaker.
 37.5% of men believe America is stronger while 43.1% believe it is weaker.
60.2% of Michigan Voters Believe Trump Comments Were Racist
 81.3% of Michigan voters saw and heard something about President Trump’s comments last week related to immigration about
Haiti and African nations.
 19.0% of voters who heard something agreed with the President’s comments while 71.3% disagreed with the President’s
comments.

January 2018
 By a margin of 60.2%-32.2%, voters believe President Trump’s comments were racist.
o While 49.2% of men believe the comments were racist, 42.7% did not believe the comments were racist.
o But 71.7% of women believe the comments were racist compared to 21.3% of women who said the comments were not
racist.
54% Say President Trump Is Not Qualified
 Voters were asked if President Trump was or was not qualified to be President. By a margin of 41.8%-54.0%, Michigan
voters say President Trump is not qualified to be President of the United States.
o 89.1% of Democratic voters believe he is not qualified. 90.1% of Republican voters believe he is qualified.
o By a margin of 40.0%-50.3% Independent voters do not believe he is qualified to be President.
o Men are split by a margin of 48.3%-47.9% saying he is qualified.
o But women strongly believe President Trump is not qualified to be President by a margin of 35.9%-59.6%.
It’s Trump’s Party, Now
 Voters who said they vote primarily for Republican candidates were asked if they would consider themselves more a supporter
of the Republican Party or more of a supporter of Donald Trump.
 46.5% of Republican voters consider themselves more a supporter of Donald Trump.
 41.2% of Republican voters consider themselves more a supporter of the Republican Party.
 Outstate Republicans said they supported the Republican Party more than Donald Trump by a margin of 44.4%-43.5%. But
Metro Detroit Republicans said they supported Donald Trump more than the Republican Party by a margin of 50.6%-36.7%.
January 2018
 Republicans over the age of 65 years old said they were more supporters of Donald Trump than the Republican Party by a
margin of 61.5%-23.1%.
 Republicans with some post high education, but not a college degree, said they were supporters of Donald Trump more than
the Republican Party by a margin of 60.8%-25.5%.
After Seven Years, Voters Split on Snyder Performance
 By a margin of 35.8%-47.5%, Michigan voters have an unfavorable opinion of Rick Snyder.
o White voters are split on Rick Snyder by a margin of 41.1% favorable to 42.6% unfavorable. But Black voters have an
unfavorable impression by a margin of 12.0%-73.3%.
o Independent voters are narrowly split on Rick Snyder with 37.9% favorable to 42.8% unfavorable.
 By a margin of 42.5%-42.0%, Michigan voters are split on whether they approve or disapprove of Rick Snyder job
performance. While 13.5% strongly approve, 25.5% strongly disapprove.
o The gender differences that apply to President Trump’s performance do not apply to Governor Snyder.
 Men approve of Governor Snyder by a margin of 45.9%-42.4%.

 Women disapprove of Governor Snyder by a margin of 39.4%-41.7%.
 Independent voters approve of Governor Snyder by a narrow margin of 40.7%-36.6%.
 When asked if Michigan was better, worse or the same since Governor Snyder took office in 2011:
 34.5% said Michigan was better off.

 32.7% said Michigan was the same.
 26.2% said Michigan was worse off.

January 2018
Governor’s Race: Dems Have Little Name ID/ Whitmer Has Early Advantage
 Among three of the Republican candidates for Governor, Bill Schuette has the strongest name identification.
Candidate Name ID Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard Of

Bill Schuette 64.3% 20.7% 18.5% 25.2% 33.0%
Brian Calley 38.8% 12.2% 9.3% 18.3% 57.3%
Patrick Colbeck 19.5% 4.3% 3.8% 11.3% 75.3%
 Among Strong Republican voters:
o Bill Schuette has 61% name ID breaking 35.1% favorable to 1.5% unfavorable.
o Brian Calley has 42% name ID breaking 19.1% favorable to 4.6% unfavorable.
o Patrick Colbeck has 18% name ID breaking 3.1% favorable to 3.1% unfavorable.
 Among some of the Democratic candidates for Governor, the top three contenders appear to be equally matched in name
identification – with none of the three being particularly well known at this stage.
Candidate Name ID Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard Of

Gretchen Whitmer 27.9% 11.7% 5.0% 11.2% 67.3%
Abdul El-Sayed 24.7% 7.5% 5.5% 11.7% 70.5%
Shri Thenadar 24.5% 8.2% 4.3% 12.0% 70.5%
 Among Strong Democratic voters the three candidates are again equally matched in name ID.
o Gretchen Whitmer has 35.2% name ID breaking 18.8% favorable to 3.0% unfavorable.
o Abdul El-Sayed has 33.9% name ID breaking 15.2% favorable to 2.4% unfavorable.
o Shri Thenadar has 32.7% name ID breaking 15.2% favorable to 1.8% unfavorable.

January 2018
Whitmer Leads Schuette By 7%: 40%-33%
 In a head to head match up, Gretchen Whitmer holds a 40.3%-33.3% lead on Bill Schuette – an early lead of 7.0%, with 24.5%
of voters undecided.
o Whitmer leads among Strong Democrats 79.4%-3.6%. Schuette leads among Strong Republicans 87.1%-0.8%.
o But Whitmer leads among Independent voters by a margin of 32.4%-20.7%, with 43.4% undecided. Whitmer holds an
early 11.7% lead among Independent voters.
 Whitmer holds a lead among out-state Independent voters by a margin of 34.2%-17.1%. She holds a lead
among Metro Detroit Independent voters by a margin of 30.4%-24.6%.
o Among men, Whitmer and Schuette are statistically tied at 38.2%.
o But among women, Whitmer leads Schuette by a margin of 42.3%-28.8% with 27.6% undecided – a lead of 13.5%.
 There are MAJOR differences between outstate and Metro Detroit women in the Governor’s race:
 Schuette narrowly leads among out state women 38.0%-34.7%.
 But Whitmer holds a substantial 49.4%-20.4% lead among Metro Detroit women – a lead of 29.0%.
Schuette Leads El-Sayed by 4%
 In a head to head match up, Bill Schuette leads Abdul El-Sayed 37.5%-33.5% -- a lead of 4% for Bill Schuette, with 26.7%
undecided.
o El-Sayed leads among Strong Democrats 75.7%-3.6%. Schuette leads among Strong Republicans 88.6%-1.6.%
o But Schuette leads among Independent voters by a margin of 30.3%-16.5%, a Schuette lead of 13.8%.

January 2018
 Schuette leads among outstate Independents by a margin of 25.0%-17.1%, and he leads among Metro Detroit
Independents by a margin of 36.2%-15.9%.
o Among men, Schuette leads El-Sayed 42.7%-32.0% -- a 10.7% lead.
o Among women, El-Sayed holds a narrow lead of 34.9%-32.7%.
 Schuette leads among out-state women 41.3%-26.0%. El Sayed leads among Metro Detroit women 43.2%-
24.7%.
Differences Between Whitmer and El-Sayed
 Whitmer leads Schuette by 7% while El-Sayed trails by 4%. That is a 11- point difference in a general election matchup.
 Whitmer and El-Sayed essentially bring in the same percentages among Strong Democratic voters. But several key differences
occur in a comparison of the two Democrats’ general election strengths:
o Whitmer beats Schuette among soft Democratic voters by a margin of 70.4%-8.0%. But El-Sayed only beats Schuette
among those same soft Democratic voters by a margin of 51.2%-18.2%.
o The most glaring difference is among Independents. Whitmer beats Schuette 32.4%-20.7%. But Schuette beats El-
Sayed among Independent voters by a margin of 30.3%-16.5%. There is a 25-point swing among Independent voters
when Whitmer is replaced with El-Sayed.
o While Whitmer and Schuette are tied at 38% among men. Schuette takes a nearly 11% lead on El-Sayed among men.
o While Whitmer leads Schuette by 13.5% among women, El Sayed holds only a 2% lead among women.
o The key difference is the middle gravitates toward Gretchen Whitmer over Bill Schuette while it does not naturally
move to Abdul El-Sayed.

January 2018
Stabenow Above 50%/ Holds 20-Point Lead
 US. Senator Debbie Stabenow has 91.4% name identification breaking 42.2% favorable to 30.3% unfavorable.
o Independent voters have a favorable opinion of Debbie Stabenow by a margin of 39.3%-29.0%.
o While men narrowly have a favorable opinion of her by margin of 37.5%-35.1%, women overwhelmingly have a
favorable opinion of her by a margin of 46.5%-26.0%.
 Both potential Republican opponents start at the same position in terms of name identification.
o Sandy Pensler has 13.5% name identification breaking 3.7% favorable to 2.3% unfavorable.
o John James has 13.2% name identification breaking 4.3% favorable to 1.5% unfavorable.
 U.S. Senator Debbie Stabenow holds wide leads against both of her potential Republican challengers topping the important
50% mark in her re-election bid.
o Stabenow leads Sandy Pensler by a margin 50.5%-30.4%, with 17.7% undecided.
o Stabenow leads John James by a margin of 51.3%-30.0% , with 17.7% undecided.
 Stabenow holds a 14% lead among independent voters against both candidates.
 Stabenow leads among men by 10 points. Stabenow leads among women by 30 points.

January 2018
Pot Proposal at 57%
 Voters were asked if they support or oppose a November ballot proposal that would legalize marijuana use for recreational
purposes. By a margin of 56.6%-36.7%, voters would currently support the proposal. Only 6.7% of voters are undecided on
the issue. [Note: There is no official ballot wording yet that can be tested.] These numbers are consistent with past numbers
on this issue.
o While 37.8% would strongly support the proposal, 29.0% would strongly oppose the proposal.
o Party affiliation appears to bear some influence as a predictor on this proposal. The chart below compares positions by
party affiliation:
Party Support Oppose

Strong Dem 71.5% 24.3%
Lean Dem 67.0% 24.9%
Independent 51.1% 41.3%
Lean GOP 44.7% 48.4%
Strong GOP 43.5% 53.4%
 The greatest indicator on a voters’ position, however, is based on whether or not they have smoked marijuana at some point in
their life. 47.5% of voters said they have tried marijuana. 48.8% of voters said they have not tried marijuana.
o Among voters that have tried marijuana, the proposal passed by a margin of 72.7%-22.8%.
o Among voters that have not tried marijuana, the proposal fails by a margin of 40.6%-51.5%.

January 2018
MICHIGAN GENERAL ELECTION STATEWIDE SURVEY
Hello, my name is _______. I’m not selling anything. I’m doing a quick survey of opinions in our community. It should take about
five minutes.
A. Are you registered to vote at the address I am calling?
1. Yes….CONTINUE 100.0% (600)

2. No… TERMINATE
1. Thinking about the upcoming general election in November, would you say you are definitely going to vote, probably going to
vote, probably not going to vote, or definitely not going to vote?
1. Definitely going to vote….CONTINUE 70.0% (420)

2. Probably going to vote….CONTINUE 30.0% (180)
3. Probably not going to vote….TERMINATE
4. Definitely not going to vote….TERMINATE
5. Don’t Know/ Refused….TERMINATE
2. And what county do you currently live in? IF WAYNE, ASK: WOULD THAT BE IN THE CITY OF DETROIT OR
OUTSIDE OF THE CITY OF DETROIT?
1. UP/North 13.0% (78)

2. West 11.2% (67)
3. Southwest 8.3% (50)
4. Mid Michigan 8.7% (52)
5. East Central 7.7% (46)
6. Oakland 13.2% (79)
7. Macomb 8.5% (51)
8. Wayne 11.7% (70)
9. City of Detroit 6.7% (40)
10. Remainder of Detroit MSA 11.2% (67)

January 2018
3. CODE
1. UP/North, West, Southwest, Mid Michigan, East Central 48.0% (288)

2. Oakland, Macomb, Wayne, Detroit, Remainder of Det MSA 52.0% (312)
4. Generally speaking, would you say the nation is on the right track or would you say things have gotten off on the wrong track?
1. Right track 33.0% (198)

2. Wrong Track 54.0% (324)
3. Don’t Know/Refused…DO NOT OFFER 13.0% (78)
5. Would you say Michigan is on the right track or would you say things have gotten off on the wrong track?
1. Right track 41.0% (246)

2. Wrong Track 37.3% (224)
6. And what about the City of Detroit. Would you say Detroit is on the right track or would you say things have gotten off on
the wrong track?
1. Right track 50.7% (304)

2. Wrong Track 18.7% (112)
7. Generally speaking, if the election for State Representative were held today would you vote for the [ROTATE] Republican
candidate or the Democratic candidate for State Representative?
1. Republican 31.0% (186)

2. Democratic 41.8% (251)
3. Other…DO NOT OFFER 2.7% (16)
4. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 23.0% (138)
5. Refused….DO NOT OFFER 1.5% (9)

January 2018
I am going to read you a list of names. For each name that I read, please tell me if you recognize that person. If you do recognize that
name, tell me whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion. The first name is…..
8. Donald Trump NAME ID: 98.8%
1. Heard, favorable 34.8% (209)

2. Heard, unfavorable 55.8% (335)
3. Heard, no opinion 8.2% (49)
4. Never heard of 0.0% (0)
9. Rick Snyder NAME ID: 98.3%

10. Debbie Stabenow NAME ID: 91.4%


January 2018
11. Brian Calley NAME ID: 39.9%

12. Bill Schuette NAME ID: 64.3%

13. Patrick Colbeck NAME ID: 19.5%

14. Gretchen Whitmer NAME ID: 27.9%


January 2018
15. Shri Thenadar NAME ID: 24.5%

16. Abdul El-Sayed NAME ID: 24.7%

17. Sandy Penslar NAME ID: 13.5%

18. John James NAME ID: 13.2%


January 2018
19. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President of the United States? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?
1. Strongly approve 22.3% (134) APPROVE: 39.5%

2. Somewhat approve 17.2% (103)
3. Neither approve, no disapprove…DO NOT OFFER 5.2% (31)
4. Somewhat disapprove 7.0% (42)
5. Strongly disapprove 47.3% (284) DISAPPROVE: 54.3%
6. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.0% (6)
20. If you were going to give Donald Trump a grade for his first year in office of A, B, C, D or F, what grade would you give him?
1. A 13.5% (81)
2. B 20.2% (121)
3. C 14.0% (84)
4. D 13.2% (79)
5. F 38.5% (231)
21. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing on the economy? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY
APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?


January 2018
22. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing on health care? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY

23. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing on foreign relations? ASK: WOULD THAT BE
STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

24. When it comes to the United States’ standing in the world, would you say Donald Trump has made American stronger, weaker
or would you say we are the same as we were a year ago?
1. Stronger 28.3% (170)

2. Weaker 50.3% (302)
3. The Same 17.8% (107)

January 2018
25. Do you approve or disapprove of the federal tax bill that was recently passed into law? ASK: WOULD THAT BE

26. Would you say Donald Trump is or is not qualified to be President of the United States?
1. Is Qualified 41.8% (251)

2. Is Not Qualified 54.0% (324)
27. Last week, President Trump made some comments about immigration related to Haiti, El Salvador and Africa. Have you seen
or heard anything about those comments?
1. Yes, have heard….MOVE TO Q28 81.3% (488)

2. No, have not heard….MOVE TO Q30 18.7% (112)
28. And would you say you agree or disagree with his comments? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY AGREE/DISAGREE
OR JUST SOMEWHAT AGREE/DISAGREE?
1. Strongly agree 9.8% (48) AGREE: 19.0%

2. Somewhat agree 9.2% (45)
3. Neither agree, nor disagree…DO NOT OFFER 7.4% (36)
4. Somewhat disagree 9.4% (46)
5. Strongly disagree 61.9% (302) DISAGREE: 71.3%

January 2018
29. And would you say those comments are or are not racist?
1. Yes, the comments are racist 60.2% (294)

2. No, the comments are not racist 32.2% (157)
30. Now, I want to focus on Michigan. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Rick Snyder is doing as Governor of Michigan?
ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

3. Neither approve, nor disapprove…DO NOT OFFER 12.7% (76)
31. Governor Snyder took office in 2011 and will leave office at the end of the year. Would you say that things in Michigan are
better, worse or about the same in Michigan as they were when he entered office?
1. Better 34.5% (207)

2. Worse 26.2% (157)
3. Stayed the Same 32.7% (196)

January 2018
32. Now I want you to think about the November Election. If the election for Governor were held today and [ROTATE] Gretchen
Whitmer was the Democratic candidate and Bill Schuette was the Republican candidate, would you vote for Gretchen Whitmer
or Bill Schuette to be Governor?
1. Whitmer 32.5% (195) WHITMER: 40.3%

2. Lean Whitmer 7.8% (47)
3. Schuette 28.3% (170) SCHUETTE: 33.3%
4. Lean Schuette 5.0% (30)
5. Don’t Know…DO NOT OFFER 24.5% (147) DK: 24.5%
7. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.7% (4)
33. If the election for Governor were held today and [ROTATE] Abdul El-Sayed was the Democratic candidate and Bill Schuette
was the Republican candidate, would you vote for Abdul El-Sayed or Bill Schuette to be Governor?
1. El-Sayed 27.3% (164) EL-SAYED: 33.5%

2. Lean El Sayed 6.2% (37)
3. Schuette 32.8% (197) SCHUETTE: 37.5%
4. Lean Schuette 4.7% (28)
7. Refused….DO NOT OFFER 1.0% (6)
34. If the election for United States Senator were held today and [ROTATE] Debbie Stabenow was the Democratic candidate and
Sandy Pensler was the Republican candidate, would you vote for Debbie Stabenow or Sandy Pensler?
1. Stabenow 47.2% (283) STABENOW: 50.5%

2. Lean Stabenow 3.3% (20)
3. Pensler 23.2% (139) PENSLER: 30.4%
4. Lean Pensler 7.2% (43)

January 2018
35. If the election for United State Senator were held today and [ROTATE] Debbie Stabenow was the Democratic candidate and
John James was the Republican candidate, would you vote for Debbie Stabenow or John James?
1. Stabenow 46.8% (281) STABENOW: 51.3%

2. Lean Stabenow 4.3% (26)
3. James 25.0% (150) JAMES: 30.0%
4. Lean James 5.0% (30)
6. Other….DO NOT OFFER 0.7% (4)
36. Michigan voters will likely face a proposal on the November ballot on whether or not the state should legalize marijuana use
for recreational purposes. Generally speaking, would you say you support or oppose Michigan legalizing marijuana for
recreational purposes? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT
SUPPORT/OPPOSE?
1. Strongly support 37.8% (227) SUPPORT: 56.6%

2. Somewhat support 18.8% (113)
3. Somewhat oppose 7.7% (46) OPPOSE: 36.7%
4. Strongly oppose 29.0% (174)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 6.7% (40) DK: 6.7%
37. Do you think the legalization of marijuana question should be decided by the federal government or do you think every state
should be allowed to decide on its own?
1. Federal government 17.2% (103)

2. Let each state decide 77.5% (465)

January 2018
38. And would you say you have or have not used marijuana before?
1. Yes 47.5% (285)

2. No 48.8% (293)
Now just a few questions for statistical purposes.
39. Generally speaking, would you say you tend to vote mostly for Republican candidates, do you vote mostly for Democratic
candidates, or would you say that you vote equally for both Republican and Democratic candidates? IF VOTE EQUALLY
ASK: WOULD YOU SAY YOU LEAN MORE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY OR MORE TO THE REPUBLICAN
PARTY, OR WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE AN INDEPENDENT VOTER?
1. Strong Republican…MOVE TO 40 21.8% (131) GOP: 31.1%

2. Lean Republican….MOVE TO 40 9.3% (56)
3. Independent….MOVE TO 41 24.2% (145) IND: 24.2%
4. Lean Democratic….MOVE TO 41 14.7% (88)
5. Strong Democratic….MOVE TO 41 27.5% (165) DEM: 42.2%
6. Others/ Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER/MOVE TO 41 2.5% (15)
40. Would you consider yourself more a supporter of Donald Trump or more of a supporter of the Republican Party?
1. Supporter of Donald Trump 46.5% (87)

2. Supporter of the Republican Party 41.2% (77)
3. Both…DO NOT OFFER 5.3% (10)
41. And on a scale of one to ten, with one being very low and ten being very high, how motivated are you to vote in next
November’s election? You can name any number from one to ten.
SCORE: 8.9
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 DK/Ref
1.0% 0.2% 0.3% 1.2% 4.8% 5.0% 6.3% 9.0% 8.3% 63.7% 0.2%

January 2018
42. What would be the last year or schooling you completed.
1. High school graduate or less 23.0% (138)

2. Vocational Training/ Community College/ Some College 29.0% (174)
3. College Graduate 48.0% (288)
43. Could you please tell me in what year you were born?
1. 18-29 (1989-2000) 15.2% (91)

2. 30-39 (1979-1988) 20.7% (124)
3. 40-49 (1969-1978) 18.5% (111)
4. 50-64 (1954-1968) 23.5% (141)
5. 65+ (1953 and before) 21.7% (130)
44. And what is your race or ethnic background?
1. Caucasian 74.7% (448)

2. African American 12.5% (75)
3. Hispanic/ Puerto Rican/ Mexican American 2.2% (13)
4. Asian 0.8% (5)
5. Mixed Race….DO NOT OFFER 2.2% (13)
6. Native American 1.2% (7)
7. Other/ Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 6.5% (39)
45. Gender: BY OBSERVATION
1. Male 48.0% (288)

2. Female 52.0% (312)

January 2018
46. TELEPHONE: CODE
1. Cell phone 35.0% (210)

2. Landline 65.0% (390)
THANK YOU. THAT COMPLETES OUR SURVEY.

January 2018
4. Generally speaking, would you say the nation is on the right track or would you say things have gotten off on the wrong track?
Right Wrong
Outstate 38.2% 46.9%
Metro 28.2% 60.6%

Lean Dem 2.3% 83.0%
Lean GOP 69.6% 17.9%
Male 40.6% 46.5%

Female 26.0% 60.9%
White 37.3% 48.7%

Black 4.0% 88.0%
18-29 28.6% 60.4%

30-39 33.1% 48.4%
40-49 34.2% 57.7%
50-64 31.9% 58.2%
65+ 36.9% 46.2%
High 26.8% 52.2%

Some Post 36.2% 51.1%
College 34.0% 56.6%

January 2018
5. Would you say Michigan is on the right track or would you say things have gotten off on the wrong track?
Right Wrong
Metro 40.4% 40.7%

Lean Dem 23.9% 52.3%
Lean GOP 71.4% 8.9%
Male 47.2% 32.3%

Female 35.3% 42.0%
White 44.6% 33.5%

Black 22.7% 65.3%
18-29 39.6% 28.6%

30-39 38.7% 37.9%
40-49 34.2% 40.5%
50-64 48.9% 41.8%
65+ 42.3% 34.6%
High 42.0% 36.2%

Some Post 39.1% 36.8%
College

January 2018
6. And what about the City of Detroit. Would you say Detroit is on the right track or would you say things have gotten off on
the wrong track?
Right Wrong
Metro 64.7% 15.7%

Lean Dem 53.4% 18.2%
Lean GOP 51.8% 17.9%
Male 56.6% 19.1%

Female 45.2% 18.3%
White 50.9% 17.2%

Black 46.7% 28.0%
18-29 51.6% 18.7%

30-39 47.6% 18.5%
40-49 49.5% 19.8%
50-64 46.1% 20.6%
65+ 58.5% 15.4%
High 38.4% 25.4%

Some Post 44.8% 26.4%
College 60.1% 10.8%

January 2018
7. Generally speaking, if the election for State Representative were held today would you vote for the [ROTATE] Republican
candidate or the Democratic candidate for State Representative?
GOP DEM
Metro 24.4% 48.1%

Lean Dem 2.3% 75.0%
Lean GOP 67.9% 0.0%
Male 33.7% 38.9%

Female 28.5% 44.6%
White 35.9% 36.2%

Black 4.0% 77.3%
18-29 29.7% 47.3%

30-39 33.9% 32.3%
40-49 27.9% 46.8%
50-64 34.0% 40.4%
65+ 29.2% 43.8%
High 30.4% 37.7%

Some Post 29.3% 44.3%
College 32.3% 42.4%

January 2018
8. Donald Trump
Fav Unfav No Opinion Never

Outstate 41.0% 48.6% 9.0% 0.0%
Metro 29.2% 62.5% 7.4% 0.0%
Strong Dem 3.0% 93.9% 2.4% 0.0%

Lean Dem 6.8% 89.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Independent 28.3% 49.7% 21.4% 0.0%
Lean GOP 66.1% 19.6% 12.5% 0.0%
Strong GOP 88.5% 8.4% 2.3% 0.0%
Male 41.7% 50.3% 6.9% 0.0%

Female 28.5% 60.9% 9.3% 0.0%
White 40.6% 50.4% 7.8% 0.0%

Black 0.0% 90.7% 8.0% 0.0%
18-29 29.7% 63.7% 5.5% 1.1%

30-39 35.5% 49.2% 14.5% 0.8%
40-49 27.0% 64.9% 8.1% 0.0%
50-64 41.1% 53.2% 5.0% 0.7%
65+ 38.5% 50.8% 7.7% 3.1%
High 35.5% 51.4% 10.9% 2.2%

Some Post 37.9% 51.1% 9.8% 1.1%
College 32.6% 60.8% 5.9% 0.7%

January 2018
9. Rick Snyder

Outstate 37.5% 42.7% 17.0% 1.4%
Metro 34.3% 51.9% 13.1% 0.0%
Strong Dem 17.6% 74.5% 7.3% 0.0%

Lean Dem 15.9% 65.9% 15.9% 1.1%
Independent 37.9% 42.8% 16.6% 1.4%
Lean GOP 60.7% 14.3% 25.0% 0.0%
Strong GOP 62.6% 19.8% 16.0% 0.8%
Male 38.2% 47.6% 13.2% 0.3%

Female 33.7% 47.4% 16.7% 1.0%
White 41.1% 42.6% 15.0% 0.4%

Black 12.0% 73.3% 13.3% 0.0%
18-29 25.3% 51.6% 19.8% 0.0%

30-39 34.7% 42.7% 20.2% 1.6%
40-49 34.2% 54.1% 11.7% 0.0%
50-64 43.3% 51.1% 5.0% 0.0%
65+ 38.5% 38.5% 20.8% 1.5%
High 37.0% 42.0% 19.6% 0.0%

Some Post 32.2% 49.4% 15.5% 1.7%
College 37.5% 49.0% 12.5% 0.0%

January 2018
10. Debbie Stabenow

Outstate 35.4% 32.6% 22.2% 8.3%
Metro 48.4% 28.2% 15.7% 7.4%
Strong Dem 61.8% 12.1% 15.8% 9.7%

Lean Dem 64.8% 13.6% 19.3% 2.3%
Independent 39.3% 29.0% 22.8% 8.3%
Lean GOP 19.6% 48.2% 23.2% 7.1%
Strong GOP 15.3% 60.3% 16.8% 6.9%
Male 37.5% 35.1% 20.8% 5.9%

Female 46.5% 26.0% 17.0% 9.6%
White 42.0% 33.0% 18.8% 5.6%

Black 46.7% 12.0% 22.7% 17.3%
18-29 25.3% 25.3% 22.0% 27.5%

30-39 28.2% 30.6% 31.5% 9.7%
40-49 46.8% 32.4% 17.1% 3.6%
50-64 53.2% 34.0% 9.9% 2.1%
65+ 50.8% 28.5% 16.2% 2.3%
High 37.0% 28.3% 18.8% 14.5%

Some Post 33.3% 32.2% 24.1% 9.2%
College 50.0% 30.2% 15.6% 3.8%

January 2018
11. Brian Calley

Outstate 13.9% 6.6% 21.2% 55.6%
Metro 10.6% 11.9% 15.7% 59.0%
Strong Dem 3.6% 15.8% 15.2% 61.8%

Lean Dem 13.6% 9.1% 14.8% 61.4%
Independent 15.2% 9.7% 17.9% 55.2%
Lean GOP 14.3% 1.8% 33.9% 48.2%
Strong GOP 19.1% 4.6% 18.3% 54.2%
Male 12.8% 12.2% 20.8% 51.7%

Female 11.5% 6.7% 16.0% 62.5%
White 14.5% 8.0% 20.3% 54.2%

Black 4.0% 13.3% 8.0% 73.3%
18-29 2.2% 4.4% 17.6% 75.8%

30-39 10.5% 5.6% 18.5% 64.5%
40-49 14.4% 10.8% 18.0% 55.0%
50-64 13.5% 14.9% 24.8% 44.7%
65+ 17.7% 9.2% 12.3% 53.1%
High 10.9% 8.7% 13.0% 65.2%

Some Post 9.2% 6.3% 19.5% 60.9%
College 14.6% 11.5% 20.1% 51.4%

January 2018
12. Bill Schuette

Outstate 21.9% 13.9% 27.8% 34.7%
Metro 19.6% 22.8% 22.8% 31.4%
Strong Dem 7.9% 32.1% 21.2% 36.4%

Lean Dem 17.0% 22.7% 25.0% 34.1%
Independent 24.8% 20.0% 27.6% 25.5%
Lean GOP 23.2% 5.4% 33.9% 35.7%
Strong GOP 35.1% 1.5% 24.4% 35.1%
Male 24.3% 18.8% 26.0% 28.5%

Female 17.3% 18.3% 24.4% 37.2%
White 22.8% 18.5% 26.6% 29.9%

Black 9.3% 21.3% 22.7% 45.3%
18-29 5.5% 3.3% 18.7% 71.4%

30-39 15.3% 9.7% 31.5% 42.7%
40-49 23.4% 26.1% 22.5% 25.2%
50-64 28.4% 27.7% 25.5% 17.7%
65+ 26.2% 21.5% 24.6% 20.8%
High 18.1% 13.0% 23.9% 42.0%

Some Post 16.7% 14.9% 27.6% 37.4%
College 24.3% 23.3% 24.3% 26.0%

January 2018
13. Patrick Colbeck

Outstate 3.5% 2.1% 11.5% 78.5%
Metro 5.1% 5.4% 11.2% 72.4%
Strong Dem 3.6% 4.8% 8.5% 76.4%

Lean Dem 4.5% 0.0% 11.4% 83.0%
Independent 6.9% 4.8% 11.7% 72.4%
Lean GOP 3.6% 5.4% 17.9% 71.4%
Strong GOP 3.1% 3.1% 11.5% 75.6%
Male 5.2% 3.5% 12.8% 74.7%

Female 3.5% 4.2% 9.9% 76.0%
White 3.8% 3.6% 11.2% 76.6%

Black 5.3% 2.7% 14.7% 74.7%
18-29 5.5% 4.4% 12.1% 76.9%

30-39 2.4% 4.8% 15.3% 76.6%
40-49 4.5% 1.8% 10.8% 79.3%
50-64 7.1% 5.7% 11.3% 70.2%
65+ 2.3% 2.3% 7.7% 75.4%
High 2.9% 3.6% 8.0% 79.7%

Some Post 4.0% 5.2% 12.6% 74.1%
College 5.2% 3.1% 12.2% 74.0%

January 2018
14. Gretchen Whitmer

Outstate 9.0% 3.8% 11.8% 72.2%
Metro 14.1% 6.1% 10.6% 62.8%
Strong Dem 18.8% 3.0% 8.5% 64.8%

Lean Dem 17.0% 3.4% 11.4% 67.0%
Independent 14.5% 3.4% 15.9% 62.8%
Lean GOP 5.4% 10.7% 16.1% 66.1%
Strong GOP 0.0% 7.6% 6.9% 77.1%
Male 12.2% 5.6% 14.2% 63.2%

Female 11.2% 4.5% 8.3% 71.2%
White 12.5% 4.2% 10.7% 67.2%

Black 8.0% 6.7% 12.0% 72.0%
18-29 5.5% 2.2% 15.4% 75.8%

30-39 7.3% 4.0% 13.7% 74.2%
40-49 20.7% 7.2% 9.9% 59.5%
50-64 12.8% 5.7% 12.8% 62.4%
65+ 10.8% 5.4% 5.4% 66.9%
High 5.8% 2.9% 8.7% 77.5%

Some Post 6.9% 4.0% 12.6% 71.8%
College 17.4% 6.6% 11.5% 59.7%

January 2018
15. Shri Thenadar

Outstate 4.9% 2.8% 9.0% 79.5%
Metro 11.2% 5.8% 14.7% 62.2%
Strong Dem 15.2% 1.8% 10.9% 67.3%

Lean Dem 12.5% 0.0% 20.5% 65.9%
Independent 6.9% 2.8% 13.8% 72.4%
Lean GOP 5.4% 7.1% 14.3% 71.4%
Strong GOP 0.0% 10.7% 5.3% 74.8%
Male 10.8% 4.9% 13.5% 65.6%

Female 5.8% 3.8% 10.6% 75.0%
White 6.9% 4.9% 12.5% 70.3%

Black 13.3% 2.7% 9.3% 73.3%
18-29 3.3% 1.1% 7.7% 86.8%

30-39 7.3% 1.6% 16.9% 73.4%
40-49 9.0% 3.6% 12.6% 71.2%
50-64 11.3% 7.1% 12.1% 64.5%
65+ 8.5% 6.9% 9.2% 63.1%
High 6.5% 5.1% 3.6% 79.0%

Some Post 8.0% 2.9% 12.6% 70.7%
College 9.0% 4.9% 15.6% 66.3%

January 2018
16. Abdul El-Sayed

Outstate 4.9% 4.9% 12.8% 75.0%
Metro 9.9% 6.1% 10.6% 66.3%
Strong Dem 15.2% 2.4% 10.3% 66.1%

Lean Dem 9.1% 2.3% 17.0% 70.5%
Independent 6.9% 6.9% 14.5% 68.3%
Lean GOP 1.8% 1.8% 14.3% 80.4%
Strong GOP 0.8% 11.5% 6.1% 74.0%
Male 6.9% 6.3% 11.5% 70.1%

Female 8.0% 4.8% 11.9% 70.8%
White 6.3% 6.5% 11.6% 70.5%

Black 13.3% 1.3% 13.3% 70.7%
18-29 9.9% 3.3% 15.4% 70.3%

30-39 7.3% 2.4% 12.9% 76.6%
40-49 8.1% 7.2% 13.5% 67.6%
50-64 6.4% 7.8% 6.4% 74.5%
65+ 6.9% 6.2% 12.3% 63.1%
High 4.3% 5.1% 9.4% 76.8%

Some Post 7.5% 6.9% 11.5% 68.4%
College 9.0% 4.9% 12.8% 68.8%

January 2018
17. Sandy Pensler

Outstate 3.8% 1.0% 8.0% 84.0%
Metro 3.5% 3.5% 7.1% 78.8%
Strong Dem 3.6% 1.8% 4.8% 82.4%

Lean Dem 3.4% 2.3% 14.8% 77.3%
Independent 5.5% 1.4% 7.6% 82.8%
Lean GOP 3.6% 1.8% 10.7% 82.1%
Strong GOP 2.3% 3.8% 4.6% 81.7%
Male 4.5% 2.4% 8.0% 79.9%

Female 2.9% 2.2% 7.1% 82.7%
White 2.2% 2.0% 6.9% 83.5%

Black 5.3% 1.3% 9.3% 82.7%
18-29 4.4% 3.3% 5.5% 85.7%

30-39 3.2% 2.4% 8.1% 84.7%
40-49 4.5% 1.8% 9.0% 81.1%
50-64 3.5% 2.8% 7.8% 81.6%
65+ 3.1% 1.5% 6.9% 75.4%
High 3.6% 0.7% 6.5% 84.8%

Some Post 4.0% 2.9% 6.9% 80.5%
College 3.5% 2.8% 8.3% 80.2%

January 2018
18. John James

Outstate 2.8% 0.7% 8.3% 85.4%
Metro 5.8% 2.2% 6.4% 77.9%
Strong Dem 4.8% 1.2% 3.6% 82.4%

Lean Dem 3.4% 1.1% 8.0% 86.4%
Independent 2.8% 2.1% 12.4% 78.6%
Lean GOP 7.1% 0.0% 8.9% 82.1%
Strong GOP 5.3% 1.5% 5.3% 80.9%
Male 4.5% 2.1% 6.9% 81.3%

Female 4.2% 1.0% 7.7% 81.7%
White 4.2% 0.7% 6.9% 82.8%

Black 6.7% 2.7% 6.7% 82.7%
18-29 4.4% 1.1% 9.9% 83.5%

30-39 4.0% 1.6% 7.3% 86.3%
40-49 4.5% 2.7% 6.3% 82.0%
50-64 5.0% 1.4% 7.8% 80.9%
65+ 3.8% 0.8% 6.2% 76.2%
High 2.9% 1.4% 5.8% 84.8%

Some Post 4.6% 1.1% 7.5% 80.5%
College 4.9% 1.7% 8.0% 80.6%

January 2018
19. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President of the United States? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?
Strongly Somewhat Neither Somewhat Strongly

Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove
Outstate 27.4% 21.2% 5.6% 8.0% 37.5%
Metro 17.6% 13.5% 4.8% 6.1% 56.4%
Strong Dem 1.8% 3.6% 0.6% 4.8% 87.9%

Lean Dem 3.4% 8.0% 6.8% 5.7% 76.1%
Independent 14.5% 21.4% 11.7% 15.2% 35.9%
Lean GOP 39.3% 35.7% 7.1% 7.1% 10.7%
Strong GOP 64.1% 27.5% 2.3% 1.5% 4.6%
Male 27.4% 19.1% 5.2% 6.6% 40.6%

Female 17.6% 15.4% 5.1% 7.4% 53.5%
White 25.9% 20.5% 5.4% 7.4% 40.4%

Black 0.0% 2.7% 1.3% 6.7% 88.0%
18-29 15.4% 19.8% 4.4% 6.6% 53.8%

30-39 22.6% 20.2% 10.5% 8.9% 37.1%
40-49 17.1% 16.2% 5.4% 9.9% 50.5%
50-64 24.8% 17.0% 2.8% 7.1% 46.1%
65+ 29.2% 13.8% 3.1% 3.1% 50.0%
High 21.7% 15.9% 5.1% 10.1% 46.4%

Some Post 24.7% 16.1% 9.2% 8.0% 40.8%
College 21.2% 18.4% 2.8% 4.9% 51.7%

January 2018
20. If you were going to give Donald Trump a grade for his first year in office of A, B, C, D or F, what grade would you give him?
A B C D F
Outstate 16.3% 24.3% 16.0% 13.5% 29.5%
Metro 10.9% 16.3% 12.2% 12.8% 46.8%
Strong Dem 0.6% 2.4% 4.8% 17.6% 73.9%

Lean Dem 1.1% 4.5% 12.5% 22.7% 59.1%
Independent 10.3% 20.7% 22.8% 15.2% 29.0%
Lean GOP 14.3% 57.1% 14.3% 8.9% 5.4%
Strong GOP 42.7% 38.2% 13.7% 1.5% 3.8%
Male 15.3% 24.0% 14.9% 12.8% 32.6%

Female 11.9% 16.7% 13.1% 13.5% 43.9%
White 14.7% 23.9% 16.1% 12.3% 32.6%

Black 0.0% 0.0% 2.7% 22.7% 73.3%
18-29 11.0% 18.7% 15.4% 19.8% 35.2%

30-39 9.7% 25.0% 17.7% 11.3% 33.1%
40-49 8.1% 20.7% 12.6% 16.2% 42.3%
50-64 14.9% 19.9% 17.0% 10.6% 37.6%
65+ 22.3% 16.9% 7.7% 10.0% 43.1%
High 15.2% 15.9% 15.2% 11.6% 41.3%

Some Post 14.4% 23.6% 12.1% 14.4% 34.5%
College 12.2% 20.1% 14.6% 13.2% 39.6%

January 2018
21. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing on the economy? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY

Outstate 31.3% 26.4% 9.4% 8.7% 22.2%
Metro 24.7% 16.3% 8.3% 10.3% 37.8%
Strong Dem 0.6% 15.2% 6.1% 10.9% 66.1%

Lean Dem 4.5% 20.5% 18.2% 13.6% 40.9%
Independent 21.4% 29.0% 13.1% 15.9% 17.2%
Lean GOP 62.5% 19.6% 5.4% 5.4% 5.4%
Strong GOP 71.8% 20.6% 3.1% 0.0% 2.3%
Male 34.7% 21.9% 8.0% 6.9% 25.3%

Female 21.5% 20.5% 9.6% 11.9% 34.9%
White 32.1% 23.2% 8.0% 9.6% 25.0%

Black 1.3% 12.0% 12.0% 10.7% 61.3%
18-29 19.8% 23.1% 9.9% 12.1% 33.0%

30-39 29.0% 22.6% 12.1% 11.3% 24.2%
40-49 26.1% 18.9% 8.1% 11.7% 32.4%
50-64 31.9% 20.6% 7.8% 10.6% 25.5%
65+ 30.0% 21.5% 6.2% 3.1% 36.9%
High 20.3% 22.5% 6.5% 10.1% 36.2%

Some Post 32.2% 20.7% 11.5% 6.3% 28.2%
College 28.8% 20.8% 8.3% 11.1% 28.8%

January 2018
22. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing on health care? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY

Outstate 13.9% 20.8% 11.5% 8.3% 42.0%
Metro 11.2% 10.6% 9.9% 6.4% 58.7%
Strong Dem 0.6% 3.6% 1.8% 5.5% 86.1%

Lean Dem 4.5% 4.5% 6.8% 4.5% 79.5%
Independent 8.3% 17.2% 15.9% 10.3% 44.1%
Lean GOP 12.5% 30.4% 26.8% 14.3% 16.1%
Strong GOP 38.9% 29.0% 12.2% 6.1% 8.4%
Male 13.9% 16.0% 11.8% 9.0% 46.2%

Female 11.2% 15.1% 9.6% 5.8% 54.8%
White 13.8% 17.9% 11.4% 8.7% 45.1%

Black 0.0% 2.7% 5.3% 1.3% 86.7%
18-29 7.7% 19.8% 11.0% 4.4% 52.7%

30-39 12.9% 12.9% 22.6% 6.5% 43.5%
40-49 9.0% 15.3% 5.4% 10.8% 55.9%
50-64 8.5% 22.7% 6.4% 9.9% 50.4%
65+ 23.1% 7.7% 8.5% 4.6% 50.8%
High 13.8% 10.9% 9.4% 8.0% 48.6%

Some Post 14.4% 16.7% 16.7% 5.2% 46.0%
College 10.8% 17.0% 7.6% 8.3% 54.5%

January 2018
23. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing on foreign relations? ASK: WOULD THAT BE

Outstate 20.5% 15.3% 4.5% 12.5% 45.8%
Metro 14.7% 11.5% 4.2% 6.7% 61.2%
Strong Dem 1.2% 1.8% 0.0% 4.8% 91.5%

Lean Dem 3.4% 4.5% 1.1% 4.5% 86.4%
Independent 15.2% 9.7% 9.7% 16.6% 47.6%
Lean GOP 23.2% 33.9% 10.7% 14.3% 17.9%
Strong GOP 48.9% 29.0% 3.1% 9.2% 7.6%
Male 19.8% 16.0% 3.5% 10.8% 48.6%

Female 15.4% 10.9% 5.1% 8.3% 58.7%
White 20.1% 15.0% 4.5% 10.9% 48.0%

Black 0.0% 1.3% 1.3% 2.7% 94.7%
18-29 9.9% 14.3% 4.4% 9.9% 60.4%

30-39 11.3% 16.9% 5.6% 15.3% 47.6%
40-49 11.7% 16.2% 0.9% 9.0% 62.2%
50-64 24.1% 9.9% 3.5% 11.3% 48.9%
65+ 26.9% 10.8% 6.9% 2.3% 52.3%
High 19.6% 10.9% 7.2% 8.7% 52.2%

Some Post 21.3% 15.5% 4.6% 8.0% 48.3%
College 14.2% 13.2% 2.8% 10.8% 58.0%

January 2018
24. When it comes to the United States’ standing in the world, would you say Donald Trump has made American stronger, weaker
or would you say we are the same as we were a year ago?
Stronger Weaker Same

Outstate 31.9% 43.8% 19.8%
Metro 25.0% 56.4% 16.0%
Strong Dem 3.0% 86.1% 9.1%

Lean Dem 3.4% 77.3% 17.0%
Independent 24.1% 46.2% 24.8%
Lean GOP 50.0% 14.3% 26.8%
Strong GOP 73.3% 8.4% 16.0%
Male 37.5% 43.1% 16.7%

Female 19.9% 57.1% 18.9%
White 31.9% 45.8% 19.4%

Black 2.7% 84.0% 9.3%
18-29 22.0% 60.4% 16.5%

30-39 29.0% 43.5% 23.4%
40-49 21.6% 55.9% 18.9%
50-64 31.9% 44.7% 19.1%
65+ 34.6% 50.0% 11.5%
High 25.4% 50.0% 22.5%

Some Post 32.8% 42.5% 20.7%
College 27.1% 55.2% 13.9%

January 2018
25. Do you approve or disapprove of the federal tax bill that was recently passed into law? ASK: WOULD THAT BE

Outstate 21.5% 17.4% 17.4% 8.0% 24.7%
Metro 16.3% 11.9% 9.9% 9.9% 38.5%
Strong Dem 1.8% 6.1% 6.1% 10.3% 62.4%

Lean Dem 2.3% 8.0% 13.6% 18.2% 50.0%
Independent 15.2% 13.1% 20.0% 11.0% 22.8%
Lean GOP 37.5% 23.2% 17.9% 3.6% 7.1%
Strong GOP 47.3% 27.5% 13.0% 2.3% 3.1%
Male 24.0% 16.3% 11.1% 5.9% 32.3%

Female 14.1% 12.8% 15.7% 11.9% 31.4%
White 21.2% 15.4% 14.7% 9.4% 28.1%

Black 0.0% 8.0% 9.3% 10.7% 61.3%
18-29 8.8% 18.7% 8.8% 15.4% 23.1%

30-39 22.6% 18.5% 14.5% 4.8% 25.8%
40-49 14.4% 13.5% 14.4% 11.7% 35.1%
50-64 21.3% 13.5% 12.1% 9.9% 36.9%
65+ 23.8% 10.0% 16.2% 5.4% 35.4%
High 15.9% 13.0% 13.8% 6.5% 33.3%

Some Post 24.7% 16.1% 14.9% 8.0% 26.4%
College 16.7% 14.2% 12.5% 10.8% 34.4%

January 2018
26. Would you say Donald Trump is or is not qualified to be President of the United States?
Qualified Not Qualified

Metro 33.7% 62.5%

Lean Dem 14.8% 83.0%
Lean GOP 75.0% 21.4%
Male 48.3% 47.9%

Female 35.9% 59.6%
White 48.0% 48.0%

Black 2.7% 96.0%
18-29 41.8% 57.1%

30-39 46.8% 47.6%
40-49 30.6% 62.2%
50-64 46.1% 50.4%
65+ 43.1% 53.8%
High 42.8% 54.3%

Some Post 44.8% 49.4%
College 39.6% 56.6%

January 2018
27. Last week, President Trump made some comments about immigration related to Haiti, El Salvador and Africa. Have you seen
or heard anything about those comments?
Yes No
Metro 83.7% 16.3%

Lean Dem 85.2% 14.8%
Lean GOP 73.2% 26.8%
Male 86.1% 13.9%

Female 76.9% 23.1%
White 80.8% 19.2%

Black 81.3% 18.7%
18-29 71.4% 28.6%

30-39 75.8% 24.2%
40-49 85.6% 14.4%
50-64 85.1% 14.9%
65+ 85.4% 14.6%
High 73.9% 26.1%

Some Post 77.0% 23.0%
College 87.5% 12.5%

January 2018
28. And would you say you agree or disagree with his comments? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY AGREE/DISAGREE
OR JUST SOMEWHAT AGREE/DISAGREE?

Agree Agree Disagree Disagree
Outstate 11.5% 11.9% 8.4% 10.6% 54.6%
Metro 8.4% 6.9% 6.5% 8.4% 68.2%
Strong Dem 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 1.4% 97.2%

Lean Dem 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 2.7% 90.7%
Independent 11.7% 11.7% 9.0% 11.7% 53.3%
Lean GOP 9.8% 14.6% 17.1% 19.5% 31.7%
Strong GOP 27.4% 20.8% 16.0% 18.9% 15.1%
Male 15.3% 12.5% 10.1% 9.7% 51.6%

Female 4.2% 5.8% 4.6% 9.2% 72.5%
White 9.9% 10.8% 8.3% 11.6% 56.6%

Black 0.0% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 96.7%
18-29 3.1% 9.2% 6.2% 10.8% 69.2%

30-39 5.3% 14.9% 10.6% 10.6% 57.4%
40-49 4.2% 11.6% 5.3% 7.4% 67.4%
50-64 15.0% 6.7% 7.5% 10.8% 57.5%
65+ 17.1% 5.4% 7.2% 8.1% 60.4%
High 6.9% 9.8% 9.8% 7.8% 62.7%

Some Post 13.4% 11.9% 6.0% 10.4% 56.0%
College 9.1% 7.5% 7.1% 9.5% 64.7%

January 2018
29. And would you say those comments are or are not racist?
Racist Not Racist Don’t Know

Outstate 54.6% 37.9% 7.5%
Metro 65.1% 27.2% 7.7%
Strong Dem 91.0% 7.6% 1.4%

Lean Dem 82.7% 10.7% 6.7%
Independent 64.0% 31.5% 4.5%
Lean GOP 22.0% 53.7% 24.4%
Strong GOP 12.3% 75.5% 12.3%
Male 49.2% 42.7% 8.1%

Female 71.7% 21.3% 7.1%
White 54.7% 36.7% 8.6%

Black 95.1% 1.6% 3.3%
18-29 64.6% 29.2% 6.2%

30-39 58.5% 33.0% 8.5%
40-49 61.1% 29.5% 9.5%
50-64 60.0% 32.5% 7.5%
65+ 57.7% 36.0% 6.3%
High 62.7% 27.5% 9.8%

Some Post 59.0% 34.3% 6.7%
College 59.9% 32.9% 7.1%

January 2018
30. Now, I want to focus on Michigan. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Rick Snyder is doing as Governor of Michigan?
ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

Outstate 15.6% 29.9% 15.6% 14.2% 22.2%
Metro 11.5% 28.2% 9.9% 18.6% 28.5%
Strong Dem 0.6% 23.6% 6.1% 24.8% 42.4%

Lean Dem 5.7% 21.6% 14.8% 23.9% 33.0%
Independent 11.7% 29.0% 19.3% 13.8% 22.8%
Lean GOP 26.8% 39.3% 17.9% 8.9% 5.4%
Strong GOP 32.8% 36.6% 11.5% 6.9% 10.7%
Male 16.0% 29.9% 10.1% 16.0% 26.4%

Female 11.2% 28.2% 15.1% 17.0% 24.7%
White 15.4% 32.4% 12.9% 14.7% 22.5%

Black 1.3% 18.7% 9.3% 20.0% 45.3%
18-29 9.9% 25.3% 20.9% 18.7% 19.8%

30-39 12.1% 22.6% 17.7% 21.8% 21.8%
40-49 10.8% 27.9% 10.8% 20.7% 29.7%
50-64 18.4% 34.8% 5.7% 10.6% 30.5%
65+ 14.6% 32.3% 10.8% 13.1% 24.6%
High 10.1% 31.9% 10.9% 15.9% 23.9%

Some Post 10.3% 24.1% 16.7% 14.9% 31.0%
College 17.0% 30.6% 11.1% 17.7% 22.9%

January 2018
31. Governor Snyder took office in 2011 and will leave office at the end of the year. Would you say that things in Michigan are
better, worse or about the same in Michigan as they were when he entered office?
Better Worse Same

Outstate 37.2% 24.3% 30.2%
Metro 32.1% 27.9% 34.9%
Strong Dem 16.4% 46.1% 34.5%

Lean Dem 19.3% 37.5% 34.1%
Independent 36.6% 17.9% 38.6%
Lean GOP 58.9% 7.1% 26.8%
Strong GOP 56.5% 11.5% 22.9%
Male 40.3% 22.6% 32.3%

Female 29.2% 29.5% 33.0%
White 39.3% 22.8% 31.0%

Black 8.0% 46.7% 41.3%
18-29 26.4% 25.3% 34.1%

30-39 37.9% 25.8% 31.5%
40-49 36.9% 24.3% 30.6%
50-64 37.6% 29.8% 29.8%
65+ 32.3% 24.6% 37.7%
High 26.8% 26.1% 37.7%

Some Post 35.6% 30.5% 31.0%
College 37.5% 23.6% 31.3%

January 2018
32. Now I want you to think about the November Election. If the election for Governor were held today and [ROTATE] Gretchen
Whitmer was the Democratic candidate and Bill Schuette was the Republican candidate, would you vote for Gretchen Whitmer
or Bill Schuette to be Governor?
Whitmer Lean Schuette Lean Don’t Know

Outstate 26.4% 7.6% 32.3% 6.6% 25.7%
Metro 38.1% 8.0% 24.7% 3.5% 23.4%
Strong Dem 65.5% 13.9% 3.0% 0.6% 15.2%

Lean Dem 53.4% 17.0% 5.7% 2.3% 20.5%
Independent 26.2% 6.2% 15.9% 4.8% 43.4%
Lean GOP 0.0% 0.0% 53.6% 19.6% 26.8%
Strong GOP 0.8% 0.0% 80.2% 6.9% 12.2%
Male 31.9% 6.3% 33.3% 4.9% 21.2%

Female 33.0% 9.3% 23.7% 5.1% 27.6%
White 31.5% 5.6% 33.0% 5.6% 23.4%

Black 46.7% 20.0% 8.0% 0.0% 22.7%
18-29 39.6% 13.2% 15.4% 6.6% 24.2%

30-39 24.2% 5.6% 33.1% 2.4% 33.1%
40-49 39.6% 9.9% 25.2% 5.4% 17.1%
50-64 29.8% 7.8% 36.2% 5.0% 18.4%
65+ 33.1% 3.8% 27.7% 6.2% 28.5%
High 29.7% 4.3% 26.1% 5.1% 31.9%

Some Post 32.8% 10.3% 27.6% 4.0% 23.0%
College 33.7% 8.0% 29.9% 5.6% 21.9%

January 2018
33. If the election for Governor were held today and [ROTATE] Abdul El-Sayed was the Democratic candidate and Bill Schuette
was the Republican candidate, would you vote for Abdul El-Sayed or Bill Schuette to be Governor?
El-Sayed Lean Schuette Lean Don’t Know

Outstate 20.1% 6.3% 37.2% 6.6% 28.5%
Metro 34.0% 6.1% 28.8% 2.9% 25.0%
Strong Dem 66.1% 9.7% 3.0% 0.6% 18.2%

Lean Dem 36.4% 14.8% 12.5% 5.7% 27.3%
Independent 12.4% 4.1% 26.2% 4.1% 49.0%
Lean GOP 5.4% 1.8% 57.1% 12.5% 23.2%
Strong GOP 0.8% 0.8% 81.7% 6.9% 9.9%
Male 26.4% 5.6% 38.2% 4.5% 21.9%

Female 28.2% 6.7% 27.9% 4.8% 31.1%
White 23.7% 5.8% 38.4% 4.5% 26.1%

Black 48.0% 12.0% 6.7% 1.3% 29.3%
18-29 44.0% 5.5% 23.1% 4.4% 22.0%

30-39 21.0% 6.5% 33.9% 3.2% 33.1%
40-49 25.2% 10.8% 29.7% 7.2% 24.3%
50-64 26.2% 5.7% 41.8% 4.3% 19.1%
65+ 25.4% 3.1% 32.3% 4.6% 32.3%
High 24.6% 5.1% 32.6% 2.9% 30.4%

Some Post 31.0% 5.7% 31.6% 3.4% 25.3%
College 26.4% 6.9% 33.7% 6.3% 25.7%

January 2018
34. If the election for United States Senator were held today and [ROTATE] Debbie Stabenow was the Democratic candidate and
Sandy Penslar was the Republican candidate, would you vote for Debbie Stabenow or Sandy Pensler?
Stabenow Lean Pensler Lean Don’t Know

Outstate 39.2% 3.8% 26.7% 9.0% 19.4%
Metro 54.5% 2.9% 19.9% 5.4% 16.0%
Strong Dem 84.8% 2.4% 0.6% 1.2% 10.3%

Lean Dem 78.4% 9.1% 1.1% 1.1% 10.2%
Independent 36.6% 3.4% 17.2% 9.0% 31.7%
Lean GOP 14.3% 3.6% 41.1% 12.5% 25.0%
Strong GOP 7.6% 0.8% 67.2% 13.7% 9.2%
Male 42.7% 3.1% 26.7% 8.0% 18.1%

Female 51.3% 3.5% 19.9% 6.4% 17.3%
White 43.3% 3.8% 26.1% 8.3% 17.4%

Black 76.0% 2.7% 4.0% 2.7% 14.7%
18-29 45.1% 5.5% 19.8% 7.7% 20.9%

30-39 35.5% 4.8% 26.6% 5.6% 26.6%
40-49 53.2% 3.6% 21.6% 7.2% 14.4%
50-64 48.9% 2.1% 26.2% 8.5% 10.6%
65+ 51.5% 1.5% 20.8% 6.9% 17.7%
High 42.8% 1.4% 23.9% 6.5% 24.6%

Some Post 47.1% 1.7% 23.0% 9.8% 15.5%
College 49.3% 5.2% 22.9% 5.9% 15.6%

January 2018
35. If the election for United State Senator were held today and [ROTATE] Debbie Stabenow was the Democratic candidate and
John James was the Republican candidate, would you vote for Debbie Stabenow or John James?
Stabenow Lean James Lean Don’t Know

Outstate 39.2% 4.2% 29.2% 6.6% 20.1%
Metro 53.8% 4.5% 21.2% 3.5% 15.4%
Strong Dem 85.5% 4.2% 1.2% 0.6% 7.9%

Lean Dem 77.3% 8.0% 1.1% 0.0% 13.6%
Independent 34.5% 4.8% 18.6% 6.2% 33.8%
Lean GOP 14.3% 3.6% 46.4% 10.7% 23.2%
Strong GOP 7.6% 2.3% 71.0% 9.9% 8.4%
Male 42.4% 3.8% 29.2% 5.9% 18.1%

Female 51.0% 4.8% 21.2% 4.2% 17.3%
White 42.2% 4.9% 28.3% 5.6% 18.3%

Black 78.7% 1.3% 4.0% 1.3% 13.3%
18-29 46.2% 5.5% 20.9% 4.4% 19.8%

30-39 36.3% 5.6% 26.6% 4.0% 27.4%
40-49 51.4% 3.6% 27.0% 4.5% 13.5%
50-64 46.8% 3.5% 27.7% 5.7% 14.2%
65+ 52.3% 3.8% 22.3% 6.2% 14.6%
High 42.0% 3.6% 24.6% 5.8% 22.5%

Some Post 46.6% 2.3% 28.7% 5.2% 16.1%
College 49.3% 5.9% 22.9% 4.5% 16.3%

January 2018
36. Michigan voters will likely face a proposal on the November ballot on whether or not the state should legalize marijuana use
for recreational purposes. Generally speaking, would you say you support or oppose Michigan legalizing marijuana for
recreational purposes? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT
SUPPORT/OPPOSE?
Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Don’t Know

Support Support Oppose Oppose
Outstate 32.6% 19.8% 9.7% 31.3% 6.6%
Metro 42.6% 17.9% 5.8% 26.9% 6.7%
Strong Dem 53.3% 18.2% 6.7% 17.6% 4.2%

Lean Dem 40.9% 26.1% 5.7% 18.2% 9.1%
Independent 29.0% 22.1% 10.3% 31.0% 7.6%
Lean GOP 26.8% 17.9% 12.5% 35.7% 7.1%
Strong GOP 30.5% 13.0% 6.1% 47.3% 3.1%
Male 45.8% 20.8% 6.6% 21.5% 5.2%

Female 30.4% 17.0% 8.7% 35.9% 8.0%
White 35.5% 20.3% 8.5% 29.9% 5.8%

Black 40.0% 20.0% 5.3% 24.0% 10.7%
18-29 53.8% 18.7% 3.3% 18.7% 5.5%

30-39 46.8% 22.6% 7.3% 17.7% 5.6%
40-49 38.7% 21.6% 11.7% 20.7% 7.2%
50-64 35.5% 16.3% 5.7% 36.2% 6.4%
65+ 20.0% 15.4% 10.0% 46.2% 8.5%
High 29.0% 19.6% 5.1% 35.5% 10.9%

Some Post 50.0% 16.1% 6.9% 22.4% 4.6%
College 34.7% 20.1% 9.4% 29.9% 5.9%

January 2018
37. Do you think the legalization of marijuana question should be decided by the federal government or do you think every state
should be allowed to decide on its own?
Federal State Don’t Know

Outstate 16.7% 78.1% 5.2%
Metro 17.6% 76.9% 5.4%
Strong Dem 12.1% 81.2% 6.7%

Lean Dem 15.9% 77.3% 6.8%
Independent 14.5% 82.1% 3.4%
Lean GOP 17.9% 76.8% 5.4%
Strong GOP 26.7% 69.5% 3.8%
Male 18.1% 78.5% 3.5%

Female 16.3% 76.6% 7.1%
White 19.0% 75.4% 5.6%

Black 5.3% 86.7% 8.0%
18-29 13.2% 80.2% 6.6%

30-39 19.4% 76.6% 4.0%
40-49 10.8% 82.0% 7.2%
50-64 17.7% 79.4% 2.8%
65+ 22.3% 70.8% 6.9%
High 13.8% 81.2% 5.1%

Some Post 16.7% 78.7% 4.6%
College 19.1% 75.0% 5.9%

January 2018
38. And would you say you have or have not used marijuana before?
Yes No
Metro 48.1% 47.8%

Lean Dem 50.0% 46.6%
Lean GOP 41.1% 57.1%
Male 53.8% 42.7%

Female 41.7% 54.5%
White 49.1% 48.0%

Black 46.7% 52.0%
18-29 52.7% 40.7%

30-39 48.4% 48.4%
40-49 47.7% 49.5%
50-64 58.9% 38.9%
65+ 30.0% 66.2%
High 48.6% 49.3%

Some Post 55.2% 40.2%
College 42.4% 53.8%

January 2018
40. Would you consider yourself more a supporter of Donald Trump or more of a supporter of the Republican Party?
Trump Republican Both

Outstate 43.5% 44.4% 4.6%
Metro 50.6% 36.7% 6.3%
Lean GOP 44.6% 42.9% 1.8%

Strong GOP 47.3% 40.5% 6.9%
Male 51.0% 37.0% 7.0%

Female 41.4% 46.0% 3.4%
18-29 29.2% 58.3% 4.2%

30-39 38.8% 51.0% 4.1%
40-49 43.3% 40.0% 6.7%
50-64 53.3% 37.8% 4.4%
65+ 61.5% 23.1% 7.7%
High 48.7% 43.6% 5.1%

Some Post 60.8% 25.5% 7.8%
College 38.1% 48.5% 4.1%

January 2018
41. And on a scale of one to ten, with one being very low and ten being very high, how motivated are you to vote in next
November’s election? You can name any number from one to ten.
SCORE
Outstate 8.9
Metro 8.9
Strong Dem 8.9

Lean Dem 9.0
Independent 8.8
Lean GOP 8.8
Strong GOP 8.9
Male 8.9
Female 8.9
White 8.9
Black 8.9
18-29 8.4
30-39 8.5
40-49 9.0
50-64 9.2
65+ 9.2
High 8.5
Some Post 8.9
College 9.1

January 2018

January Statewide Survey

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January Statewide Survey

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MICHIGAN NOVEMBER 2018 GENERAL ELECTION VOTER SURVEY

600 SAMPLE SURVEY

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 1

15 Aggregate Survey Results

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 2

Lay of the Land: Right Track/Wrong Track

 By a margin of 50.7%-18.7%, Michigan voters believe Detroit is on the right track.

o White voters are statistically split at 36.2% Democratic to 35.9% Republican.

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 3

 There are two different measures to gauge voters intensity:

o Are you “definitely” or “probably” going to vote.

Party Definitely Voting

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 4

Party ID October 2012 October 2014 October 2016 January 2018

President Trump’s First Year: Michigan Reflects the National Numbers

o By a margin of 35.9%-51.1%, Independent voters disapprove of President Trump’s performance. 35.9% of

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 5

Economic Approval Not Enough to Move Numbers

 Independent voters approve of the President’s economic performance by a margin of 50.4%-33.1%.

 Independent voters disapprove of the new tax law by a margin of 28.3%-33.8%.

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 6

 50.3% of Michigan voters believe America is weaker today.

60.2% of Michigan Voters Believe Trump Comments Were Racist

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 7

54% Say President Trump Is Not Qualified

o By a margin of 40.0%-50.3% Independent voters do not believe he is qualified to be President.

o Men are split by a margin of 48.3%-47.9% saying he is qualified.

It’s Trump’s Party, Now

 46.5% of Republican voters consider themselves more a supporter of Donald Trump.

After Seven Years, Voters Split on Snyder Performance

 By a margin of 35.8%-47.5%, Michigan voters have an unfavorable opinion of Rick Snyder.

 Men approve of Governor Snyder by a margin of 45.9%-42.4%.

 34.5% said Michigan was better off.

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 9

Candidate Name ID Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard Of

 Among Strong Republican voters:

Candidate Name ID Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard Of

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 10

o Among men, Whitmer and Schuette are statistically tied at 38.2%.

 Schuette narrowly leads among out state women 38.0%-34.7%.

Schuette Leads El-Sayed by 4%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 11

o Among men, Schuette leads El-Sayed 42.7%-32.0% -- a 10.7% lead.

o Among women, El-Sayed holds a narrow lead of 34.9%-32.7%.

Differences Between Whitmer and El-Sayed

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 12

o Independent voters have a favorable opinion of Debbie Stabenow by a margin of 39.3%-29.0%.

o Stabenow leads Sandy Pensler by a margin 50.5%-30.4%, with 17.7% undecided.

o Stabenow leads John James by a margin of 51.3%-30.0% , with 17.7% undecided.

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 13

Party Support Oppose

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 14

A. Are you registered to vote at the address I am calling?

1. Yes….CONTINUE 100.0% (600)

1. Definitely going to vote….CONTINUE 70.0% (420)

1. UP/North 13.0% (78)

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 15

1. UP/North, West, Southwest, Mid Michigan, East Central 48.0% (288)

1. Right track 33.0% (198)

1. Right track 41.0% (246)

1. Right track 50.7% (304)

1. Republican 31.0% (186)

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 16

8. Donald Trump NAME ID: 98.8%