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From: Anniken Williams, Public Policy Polling


To: Interested Parties


Subject: Democrat Cordray Nearly Tied With DeWine in Ohio Governors Race;
Trump Underwater in Ohio


Date: January 24, 2018

A new Public Policy Polling survey finds that the 2018 election for Governor in Ohio
could be a toss-up as Democrat Richard Cordray is almost even with Republican Mike
DeWine. In a hypothetical matchup, Cordray receives 44% of the vote while DeWine is
only 1 point ahead at 45%. Democrat Dennis Kucinich receives 37% of the vote while
DeWine gets 48%. Similar results emerge from the matchup between Democrat Connie
Pillich, who gets 35% of the vote, and DeWine who leads at 47%. DeWine being below
50% against all 3 potential challengers is a troubling sign for someone who’s spent decades
on the ballot in Ohio.

Hypothetical 2018 Matchup


44% 45%
45%

34%

23%

11%

0%
! Richard Cordray Mike DeWine

One big reason the political climate in Ohio is the best for Democrats it’s been in several
years is that a majority of Ohio voters (54%) have a somewhat or very unfavorable opinion
of President Trump while just 46% have a somewhat or very favorable opinion of him.

PPP surveyed 585 Ohio voters from January 22-23, 2018. The margin of error for the poll
is +/- 4.1%. This poll was conducted by automated telephone interviews for the Ohio
Democratic Party.

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Public Policy Polling® Phone: 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com
Raleigh, NC 27604 Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com
Ohio Survey Results

Q1 Do you have a very favorable, somewhat Q5 Do you usually vote in Democratic primary
favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very elections, Republican primary elections, or do
unfavorable opinion of President Donald you not usually vote in primary elections?
Trump
Democratic primary elections ........................ 42%
Very favorable .............................................. 35%
Republican primary elections......................... 40%
Somewhat favorable..................................... 11%
Don't usually vote in primary elections ........... 17%
Somewhat unfavorable ................................. 10% Q6 In the election for President did you vote for
Very unfavorable .......................................... 44% Republican Donald Trump, Democrat Hillary
Clinton, someone else, or did you not vote?
Not sure ....................................................... 0%
Donald Trump............................................... 47%
Q2 If the candidates for Governor this November
were Democrat Richard Cordray and Hillary Clinton................................................ 40%
Republican Mike DeWine, who would you vote
Someone else / Did not vote ......................... 13%
for?
Q7 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Richard Cordray ........................................... 44%
Woman ........................................................ 53%
Mike DeWine................................................ 45%
Man.............................................................. 47%
Not sure ....................................................... 11%
Q8 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a
Q3 If the candidates for Governor this November Republican, press 2. If you are an
were Democrat Dennis Kucinich and independent, press 3.
Republican Mike DeWine, who would you vote
for? Democrat ..................................................... 38%

Dennis Kucinich ............................................ 37% Republican ................................................... 38%

Mike DeWine................................................ 48% Independent ................................................. 24%


Q9 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
Not sure ....................................................... 14%
press 2. If other, press 3.
Q4 If the candidates for Governor this November
were Democrat Connie Pillich and Republican White ........................................................... 84%
Mike DeWine, who would you vote for? African-American .......................................... 11%
Connie Pillich ................................................ 35% Other............................................................ 5%
Mike DeWine................................................ 47% Q10 If you are 18-45 years old, press 1. If 46-65,
press 2. If older than 65, press 3.
Not sure ....................................................... 18%
18 to 45........................................................ 31%
46 to 65........................................................ 39%
Older than 65 ............................................... 31%

January 22-23, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Survey of 585 Ohio voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
2016 Vote 2016 Vote
Donald Hillary Someone else Donald Hillary Someone else
Base Trump Clinton / Did not vote Base Trump Clinton / Did not vote
Trump Favorability Cordray / DeWine
Very favorable 35% 72% 1% 6% Richard Cordray 44% 14% 80% 36%
Somewhat favorable 11% 14% 3% 24% Mike DeWine 45% 78% 12% 30%
Somewhat unfavorable 10% 6% 11% 18% Not sure 11% 8% 8% 34%
Very unfavorable 44% 7% 85% 52%
Not sure 0% 0% 1% -

2016 Vote 2016 Vote


Donald Hillary Someone else Donald Hillary Someone else
Base Trump Clinton / Did not vote Base Trump Clinton / Did not vote
Kucinich / DeWine Pillich / DeWine
Dennis Kucinich 37% 8% 71% 42% Connie Pillich 35% 10% 74% 11%
Mike DeWine 48% 83% 14% 31% Mike DeWine 47% 80% 12% 33%
Not sure 14% 9% 16% 27% Not sure 18% 11% 14% 56%

2016 Vote Gender


Donald Hillary Someone else Base Woman Man
Base Trump Clinton / Did not vote
Trump Favorability
Party Primary Vote
Very favorable 35% 33% 36%
Democratic primary 42% 14% 75% 42%
elections Somewhat favorable 11% 11% 11%

Republican primary 40% 70% 9% 29% Somewhat unfavorable 10% 12% 7%


elections Very unfavorable 44% 43% 46%
Don't usually vote in 17% 16% 15% 29% Not sure 0% 1% 0%
primary elections

January 22-23, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 585 Ohio voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Gender Gender
Base Woman Man Base Woman Man
Cordray / DeWine Kucinich / DeWine
Richard Cordray 44% 40% 47% Dennis Kucinich 37% 39% 35%
Mike DeWine 45% 47% 43% Mike DeWine 48% 47% 50%
Not sure 11% 13% 10% Not sure 14% 13% 15%

Gender Gender
Base Woman Man Base Woman Man
Pillich / DeWine Party Primary Vote
Connie Pillich 35% 37% 34% Democratic primary 42% 48% 36%
elections
Mike DeWine 47% 45% 49%
Republican primary 40% 40% 41%
Not sure 18% 18% 17% elections
Don't usually vote in 17% 12% 23%
primary elections

Party Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent Base Democrat Republican Independent
Trump Favorability Cordray / DeWine
Very favorable 35% 12% 61% 30% Richard Cordray 44% 72% 18% 40%
Somewhat favorable 11% 5% 12% 18% Mike DeWine 45% 17% 75% 43%
Somewhat unfavorable 10% 16% 6% 5% Not sure 11% 11% 8% 17%
Very unfavorable 44% 66% 21% 47%
Not sure 0% 1% 1% -

January 22-23, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 585 Ohio voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Party Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent Base Democrat Republican Independent
Kucinich / DeWine Pillich / DeWine
Dennis Kucinich 37% 61% 16% 35% Connie Pillich 35% 65% 8% 32%
Mike DeWine 48% 21% 76% 47% Mike DeWine 47% 17% 79% 43%
Not sure 14% 18% 8% 18% Not sure 18% 18% 13% 25%

Party Race
Base Democrat Republican Independent African-
Party Primary Vote Base White American Other
Democratic primary 42% 90% 3% 29% Trump Favorability
elections
Very favorable 35% 40% 1% 18%
Republican primary 40% 2% 81% 37%
elections Somewhat favorable 11% 12% 5% 4%
Don't usually vote in 17% 8% 16% 34% Somewhat unfavorable 10% 10% 9% 6%
primary elections
Very unfavorable 44% 37% 85% 72%
Not sure 0% 0% - -

Race Race
African- African-
Base White American Other Base White American Other
Cordray / DeWine Kucinich / DeWine
Richard Cordray 44% 39% 69% 64% Dennis Kucinich 37% 32% 74% 46%
Mike DeWine 45% 51% 10% 28% Mike DeWine 48% 54% 12% 37%
Not sure 11% 10% 21% 8% Not sure 14% 14% 14% 17%

January 22-23, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 585 Ohio voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Race Race
African- African-
Base White American Other Base White American Other
Pillich / DeWine Party Primary Vote
Connie Pillich 35% 33% 50% 51% Democratic primary 42% 39% 67% 44%
elections
Mike DeWine 47% 53% 8% 25%
Republican primary 40% 45% 12% 35%
Not sure 18% 14% 42% 24% elections
Don't usually vote in 17% 17% 21% 21%
primary elections

Age Age
18 to 46 to Older 18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65 Base 45 65 than 65
Trump Favorability Cordray / DeWine
Very favorable 35% 24% 41% 38% Richard Cordray 44% 57% 36% 40%
Somewhat favorable 11% 11% 12% 10% Mike DeWine 45% 26% 55% 52%
Somewhat unfavorable 10% 12% 7% 10% Not sure 11% 17% 10% 9%
Very unfavorable 44% 54% 39% 41%
Not sure 0% - 0% 1%

Age Age
18 to 46 to Older 18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65 Base 45 65 than 65
Kucinich / DeWine Pillich / DeWine
Dennis Kucinich 37% 49% 31% 34% Connie Pillich 35% 40% 33% 33%
Mike DeWine 48% 36% 53% 54% Mike DeWine 47% 34% 51% 55%
Not sure 14% 15% 15% 12% Not sure 18% 26% 16% 12%

January 22-23, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 585 Ohio voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Party Primary Vote
Democratic primary 42% 47% 37% 44%
elections
Republican primary 40% 26% 50% 44%
elections
Don't usually vote in 17% 27% 14% 12%
primary elections

January 22-23, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 585 Ohio voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988