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Glazzard, A et al 2017 Islamist Violent Extremism: A

stability New Form of Conflict or Business as Usual? Stability:


International Journal of Security & Development,
6(1): 13, pp. 1–19, DOI: https://doi.org/10.5334/sta.503

RESEARCH ARTICLE

Islamist Violent Extremism: A New Form of


Conflict or Business as Usual?
Andrew Glazzard*, Sasha Jesperson†, Thomas Maguire‡ and
Emily Winterbotham*

Islamist violent extremist (IVE) groups are frequently involved in civil conflicts.
Indeed, some groups owe their origins to conflict, and tens of thousands of Islamists
have chosen to participate in conflicts taking place in foreign countries in the past
35 years. Increasingly, IVE groups appear to have the capacity to influence the
conflicts they are involved in, and are influenced in turn by their experiences. As a
result, for those working on conflict resolution and post-conflict reconstruction,
the involvement of IVE groups raises questions of whether traditional responses
remain adequate. Drawing on three country case studies – Nigeria, Kenya and
Iraq/Syria, this article examines the similarities and differences between IVE groups
and other conflict actors, and what this means for development, state-building and
peacebuilding responses.

Responses to conflict, particularly by developed in recent decades to prevent and


development actors, have become increas- resolve conflict are still relevant or if new tools
ingly sophisticated since the post-Cold War need to be developed. This article assesses the
interventionist phase of the 1990s. A substan- aims and objectives, ‘­factors’ for involvement,
tial toolkit has been developed with the UK social/cultural identity pull factors, organi-
Department for International Development sational structure and demographics, tactics
(DfID), often at the forefront of these and methods of IVE groups in three case
advances. Over this period however, conflict studies – Kenya, Nigeria and Iraq/Syria. These
has evolved significantly, with non-state actors groups are compared to non-Islamist groups
growing in importance. The most recent evo- in the same country to consider just how dif-
lution is the emergence of Islamist violent ferent they are, and what this means for devel-
extremist (IVE) groups. In contrast to other opment actors that are responding to conflict.
conflict actors, their nature and aims appear ‘Islamist Violent Extremism’ is a broad
to be qualitatively different. This raises the label that includes a wide range of dispa-
question of whether the tools that have been rate groups and movements, ranging from
Shia revolutionaries to popular militias to
cell-based terrorist groups such as Al Qaida.
* Royal United Services Institute, GB The motives, targets, demands, structures
St Mary’s University, Twickenham, GB
† and arenas of operations vary significantly
Kings College London, GB
‡ amongst different groups and may also
Corresponding author: Sasha Jesperson change over time (Glazzard et al. 2015). The
(sasha.jesperson@stmarys.ac.uk) article draws on debates in conflict studies,
Art. 13, page 2 of 19 Glazzard et al: Islamist Violent Extremism

terrorism studies and development ­studies modern movement emerging in the 1990s
in order to understand these factors. By when Ayman Al-Zawahiri and Usama bin
focusing on three diverse case studies, this Ladin articulated the doctrine of the ‘far
article engages with the diversity of IVE. enemy’ – the United States as hidden hand
In Kenya, this article engages with the behind Arab autocracy and the oppression
operations and supporters of Harakat of Muslims. Al Qaida’s worldview is reduced
al-Shabaab al-Mujahidin (Al Shabaab) and
­ to a ‘single narrative’ presenting a long his-
affiliated or sympathetic groups like Al tory of conflicts involving Muslims across the
Hijra, comparing them to two contempo- world as evidence of the West’s war against
rary non-Islamist groups (the armed wing of Islam stemming from its implacable fear
the Mombasa Republic Council (MRC) and and hatred. The overarching aim of Al Qaida
the Mungiki) as well as a historical group (and now ISIL) and others is therefore pre-
(the Mau Mau movement). The Nigeria sented as the continuation of a 1,400 year
case study compares Boko Haram with the struggle (Kepel and Milelli 2008) or a ‘clash
Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger of civilisations’ (Funck and Said 2004), a
Delta (MEND). Boko Haram and MEND are perception which differs from other con-
both violent movements that originated flicts. Contemporary violent Islamists have
in socially and economically marginalised extended the semantic scope of jihad beyond
regions of Nigeria, with a similar approach ‘just war theory’ in order to legitimise ter-
despite apparent ideological differences. The rorist violence, revolutionary violence, and
Iraq/Syria case study focuses on three Sunni insurgency, while promoting jihad as Islam’s
Islamist groups: Islamic State of Iraq and the ‘sixth pillar’ or ‘forgotten obligation’, and
Levant (ISIL), Jabhat Al Nusra (JaN), and Ahrar hence an individual rather than collective
al-Sham (AaS) and compares them with each duty for Muslims (Brahimi 2010; Van de
other and with Shia militant groups such as Voorde 2011).
the Badr Organisation in Iraq. ISIL’s principal aim, the expansion of the
By comparing IVE groups with n ­ on-Islamist Caliphate, is therefore presented as a state
groups in these three case studies, key simi- for ‘true’ Muslims and a bulwark against the
larities and differences have emerged in the enemy reflecting the eschatological as well
areas of consideration that have implications as the geopolitical significance of the Levant
for how development actors respond to con- (Filiu 2011). Its mission statement – ‘remain-
flict involving IVE groups. These areas are ing and expanding’ – appears to encapsulate
outlined below, followed by a discussion of this aim, while the character of the state is
what this means for development actors. implicit in al-Baghdadi’s division of human-
ity into ‘the camp of the Muslims and the
Aims and Objectives mujahidin’ and ‘the camp of the Jews, the
In contrast to conflict studies, much terror- Crusaders, their allies’ (Weiss and Hassan
ism research argues, or assumes, a sharp 2015: 1).
distinction between nationalist groups and The stated aims of Boko Haram were also
ideological groups: ideological terrorists seek initially entrenched in religious ideology.
to transform global society rather than estab- Boko Haram was founded as a rejection
lish a separate homeland. Islamist extremists of the social vices of the Nigerian state, as
may desire a new Caliphate but do not seem ‘the best thing for a devout Muslim to do
to be motivated by any particular nationalist was to “migrate” from the morally bankrupt
or ethnic identity (Fettweis 2009: 270; Piazza society to a secluded place and establish an
2009). ideal Islamic society devoid of political cor-
Salafi-jihadism is framed in religious ruption and moral deprivation’ (Onuoha
terms. However, Ranstorp (1998) and Gerges 2010: 2). Since 2011, Al Shabaab’s operations
(2009) argue that this should be seen as a in Kenya’s North–East and coast regions have
Glazzard et al: Islamist Violent Extremism Art. 13, page 3 of 19

been aimed at forming part of a broader ‘where individuals believe that the spiritual
jihadist project of ‘liberating’ surrounding payoffs outweigh the negative consequences
Muslim lands from non-Muslim ‘occupation’ of strategies in the here and now, high-
and avenging historical injustices (Botha cost/risk activism is intelligible as a rational
2014; Anderson and McKnight 2015). In choice’. Moving on from this, rather than
contrast, religious ideology has not featured seeing Islamists as grievance-stricken reac-
nearly as prominently in the planning or tionaries, recent research has reconceptual-
rhetoric of the leaders of the MRC, Mau Mau ised Islamist extremists as strategic thinkers
or Mungiki in Kenya, or MEND in Nigeria. engaged in cost-benefit calculations. Ultra-
Some argue that religion is by its nature violence and religious and cultural framing
irrational, and therefore religiously moti- of activities do not necessarily mean irration-
vated violence must also be irrational ality. Indeed, in some respects Boko Haram’s
(Smilansky 2004). Stern (2003) argues that violence has been successful, enabling it to
religiously inspired violent groups consist- conquer territory with excessive security-
ently begin with utopian aspirations, even if force responses aiding recruitment.
that is not often where they end. While the Religiously focused pronouncements may
goal of ‘purifying the world of injustice, cru- therefore be committed objectives, or sim-
elty, and all that is anti-human’ is not in itself ply rational framing devices for recruitment.
irrational, Stern (2003: 281) argues it may be Some literature draws a differentiation
motivated or accompanied by a ‘spiritual call- between jihadists and Islamist revolutionar-
ing’, which is irrational. ies and terrorists such as those fighting in
Comparing MEND and Boko Haram in Afghanistan and Bosnia which followed a
Nigeria is a good illustration of this argu- defensive, territorial programme that was
ment. Although not religious, MEND had a predicated on the belief that Muslims were
firm ideology with well defined and localised under attack or occupation (Hegghammer
aims based on a common desire for equal- 2010, 2010/11). Piazza (2009) helpfully
ity and social justice. MEND’s violent strat- disaggregates Islamist terrorists into ‘stra-
egy was consistent with its aims, resulting tegic groups’ such as Hamas, which despite
in the loss of a quarter of Nigeria’s daily oil claiming to be motivated by religious aims,
exports (Courson 2009). Its political strategy have similar aims to nationalist-separatist
was equally consistent, as it began to articu- groups and ‘abstract/universal’ groups such
late its demands to the Nigerian government as utopian Al Qaida and its affiliates. A recent
for resource control, constitutional rights, example is AaS; although cosmic in ideology,
and measures to mitigate social marginalisa- the group is adopting a ‘Syrian nationalist’
tion, political repression and environmental programme as evidenced by its signing of a
degradation. The demands of MEND were ‘covenant of honour’ in late 2014 where it
supported by international advocacy on the disavowed any global-jihadist pretensions.
damage caused by the oil industry, so their AaS’ leaders now condemn ISIL and Al Qaida
demands were seen by many as justified and for embracing fighters from a diversity of
their tactics as rational – even if there was traditions, but the group remains part of
strong disapproval of the latter. In contrast, the broader jihadist movement (Weiss and
because Boko Haram frames its programme Hassan 2015: 162). Even Al Qaida affiliates,
in religious and cultural terms, it tends to be with the exception of Al Qaida in the Arabian
perceived as irrational, uncompromising, or Peninsula (AQAP), and now ISIS, do not in
even psychopathic (Comolli 2015). reality share the same global aims.
Wiktorowicz and Kaltenthaler (2006: In other respects however, participants
295–6) challenge these claims emphasising in these conflicts, whether Islamist or not,
that this ignores the importance of beliefs appear to be broadly similar – they are con-
and ideology in individual utility calculations, cerned with defending their constituencies,
Art. 13, page 4 of 19 Glazzard et al: Islamist Violent Extremism

controlling populations, acquiring resources, some are ideological entrepreneurs who


recruiting troops and projecting their power seek to mobilise followers behind a cause.
militarily and through propaganda. Looking Ideology can be a factor for followers, but
closely at ISIS, the group’s real aims – to people in conflict situations join violent
obtain and project power – are more mun- groups for a wide range of reasons – social,
dane than its ‘cosmic ideology’ might sug- psychological and practical, as well as politi-
gest. JaN also aspires to govern territory in cal. For example, in Nigeria it is unclear how
order to create a safe haven for attacking many actively support ideals such as an
the West (Lister 2015). In contrast to ISIL, Islamic Caliphate propagated by the leaders
it does not aspire to govern a full Caliphate when at the root of the conflict and public
but a more modest emirate (Turkmani 2015). support for Boko Haram, just as it was with
Moreover, at a leadership level, the aims of MEND, is a response to deprivation and lack
the Shia militias in Syria and Iraq are at least of access to state services.
partly geopolitical. Both the Sadrist move-
ment and the Islamic Supreme Council of ‘Factors’ for Involvement
Iraq have aggressively asserted Shia identity, Although religion is important, it is often
while many have been responsible for perse- used as a rational framing device for recruit-
cuting Sunni Muslim civilians. ment. Indeed, many followers are driven by
The aims of a group can also change with grievance and may not even understand the
time. The aims of Al Shabaab’s leaders and its religious ideology propagated by the leader-
affiliates, while not entirely clear or explicit, ship. Grievances – individual and group, per-
appear to be influenced by a regional Salafi- sonal and vicarious – are important drivers of
jihadist agenda and part of a broader jihad- Islamist violence. The United States Agency
ist project. Indeed, Kenya’s 2011 incursion for International Development (USAID)
into Somalia, and battlefield successes by the (2011: 13) includes discrimination, politi-
African Union Mission to Somalia (AMISOM) cal marginalisation, a sense of ‘anger at the
forces, appear to have played a large part in perceived victimisation of fellow Muslims
hastening a shift within Al Shabaab’s leader- around the globe’, repression of human
ship from a predominantly Somali nationalist rights, and foreign occupation’ as pertinent
to a more internationalist jihadist orienta- grievances.
tion, which has had significant implications While it is widely supported that there
in terms of the tactics and operations used is a strong relationship between perceived
by the group (Bruton and Williams 2014; grievances and violent extremism (see
Bryden 2014; Menkhaus 2014; Hansen 2014; Allen et al. 2015), debate continues over
Anderson and McKnight 2015). AaS has also the nature of the relationship, particularly
been shaped by the violence of the Syrian whether grievances are the root cause of
battlefield so that it has withdrawn from its violence or are simply a mechanism to justify
initial belief in a ‘cosmic’ global-jihadist solu- that violence. For Gupta (2005), grievances
tion. In contrast to ISIL, its battlefield juris- are a necessary factor1 in violent extremism,
prudence has progressively moderated. That but they need to be instrumentalised by
it has done so while maintaining its religious charismatic individuals, labelled as ‘political
authenticity, albeit in a more pluralist form entrepreneurs’, and linked to social and
than other groups, shows that religion can psychological factors. Gurr’s (1970) Relative
be a dynamic force in conflict. Deprivation Theory, however, predicts that
The aims even within a group at a given when there is frustration about the relative
time may not be consistent. While the lead- position of individuals in terms of what they
ers may have one set of goals, different moti- have and their perceptions of what they
vating factors often drive their followers. ought to have, the likelihood of violence
Ideology is important for leaders especially; increases.
Glazzard et al: Islamist Violent Extremism Art. 13, page 5 of 19

Research in conflict studies increasingly ISIL’s ­competence goes beyond its capacity
points to grievances stemming from fail- to provide security: utilities, hospitals, food
ures of governance as a primary driver of distribution and other services are reported
violence (Howard 2014). State instability is to have improved rapidly in areas under its
frequently identified as ‘the most consistent control. While JaN does not match ISIL’s
predictor of country-level terrorist attacks’ ambitions to control all aspects of military
(Gelfand, LaFree, Fahey et al. 2013; see also and civil activity and JaN-administered areas
Piazza, 2007). When the state fails to provide in Syria do not have the ‘police state’ atmos-
human security, there are many examples phere of ISIL-controlled areas, JaN does
where religion fills the void (Ganiel 2014). In aspire to control the courts and judiciary
situations of conflict and insecurity, popula- (Turkmani 2015).
tions are willing to engage with any entity When violent extremist groups oper-
that provides stability and security, at least ate locally, particularly in conflict situa-
in the short term. As a result, many failed or tions, socio-economic discrimination and
failing states have become hubs for extrem- marginalisations appears to play a major
ist activity. role in recruitment. For instance, Islamist
In Nigeria, while MEND’s narrative was violent extremism in Kenya – including
explicitly based on grievances and Boko locally recruited Al Shabaab fighters, and
Haram has subordinated grievances to reli- Al Muhajiroun – is linked to the economic
gious and cultural opposition to the state, situation of Muslim’s in Kenya, particu-
both groups have responded to and seek to larly in the Coast and North–East provinces
correct social, political and economic griev- that are majority Muslim. Socio-economic
ances in marginalised regions far removed grievances, land-use rights, a lack of oppor-
from the centres of power. In fact, Boko tunities for youth, and ethnic or religious
Haram’s evolution into an ultra-violent ideol- hostility towards a politically and economi-
ogy is also the product of governance failure, cally dominant group in addition to repres-
as the group was radicalised by a combi- sive and discriminatory state policies and
nation of Nigeria’s excessive militarised actions rather than ideology, may be more
responses and the failure to respond to the influential with many Kenyan followers of Al
marginalisation of the northeast (Comolli Shabaab and affiliates (Berman and Lonsdale
2015). 1992; Botha 2014, 2015; ICG 2012; Rift
Flanagan (2008) and Grynkewich (2008) Valley Institute 2013; Botha 2014; Thompson
find that Islamist and non-Islamist groups 2015). Similarly, the most deprived regions of
alike are strengthened by state failures to Nigeria, such as Borno and Kano States, have
provide basic services including security become Boko Haram’s strongholds (Uzodike
and justice. ISIL has exploited areas with and Maiangwa 2012). Although the leader-
weak governance, an active war economy ship of Boko Haram has been drawn from
and ongoing conflict, seeking to improve Islamic clerics and students, professionals
the situation and take control (Weiss and and students of tertiary institutions, many
Hassan 2015). While this has benefits for recruits join for money or a lack of other
the population, the ultimate aim is to sup- opportunities. In Iraq, Shia militias are effec-
port ISIL dominance in the region. ISIL has tively in competition with the Iraqi army, and
shown competence in providing security and appear to be winning – militias offer better
governance in the areas it controls. Its lead- weapons and more generous pay, though
ers have skilfully navigated Sunni culture in they are also in competition with each other
Iraq and increasingly in Syria, providing secu- (Dodge 2012: 104; George 2014).
rity through a combination of repression, While the expanding reach of violence
effective bureaucracy, and uncompromis- by militant Islamic organisations are often
ing law enforcement (Turkmani 2015). Yet viewed through the prism of international
Art. 13, page 6 of 19 Glazzard et al: Islamist Violent Extremism

concerns about terrorism, the root causes are violent extremists have been inspired by an
more often historical grievances, the state’s ideology developed in the 1980s for a spe-
failure to address deeply-rooted marginali- cific purpose – defending Muslims from
sation and insecurity, and its use of repres- oppression and occupation – and which,
sive machinery to respond to insurgencies under the pressure of repeated participation
(Ganiel 2014; Lind and Dowd 2015). in conflicts, its adherents have adapted and
What is significant is that Islamist extrem- made more extreme. Some terrorism stud-
ism is not especially different from other reli- ies assume that ideology is a simple moti-
giously motivated or structured extremism. vating factor with some scholars going as
Economic and governance crises are funda- far as asserting (controversially) that Islam,
mental causes of violence and conflict in gen- or at least Islamism, is inherently violent
eral; Muslim-majority countries tend to be (e.g. Lewis 2002; Pipes 1989). Some politi-
particularly vulnerable because their states cal science scholars (such as Neumann 2013;
are either often failing (or have failed), are Wiktorowicz and Kaltenthaler 2006) offer
corrupt and/or repressively governed, and ideology as a causal explanation for the
are afflicted by falling living standards (Stern, onset of Islamist extremist violence and its
2003). For example, beyond religious ideol- persistence – how else can we explain why
ogy, there are other drivers of Al Shabaab and some groups resort to violence while others
affiliates’ recruitment practices at individual, do not?
communal and structural levels that are However, ideology does not explain eve-
consistent with those that have encouraged rything and there is much work that casts
participation in the MRC, Mungiki and Mau doubt on the importance of ideology in
Mau. both terrorism and conflict. Conflict stud-
ies is particularly revealing here, with Kaldor
Social/Cultural Identity Pull Factors (2006: 73) notoriously arguing that conflicts
The grievances outlined above are often ‘may take the guise of traditional national-
framed in social or cultural terms and ism, tribalism or religious fundamentalism’,
become a component of identity politics. For but are actually the result of the disinte-
example, community grievances in Kenya gration of states and structures under the
are politicised due to the fractured nature pressures of globalisation. Though Kaldor’s
of Kenyan politics along ethnic and reli- ‘new wars’ thesis has been criticised as mis-
gious lines, corruption and other systemic representing ‘small wars’ as ‘new wars’, and
facilitators (Ndungu 2010; Oloo 2010; Kenya assuming that her main case (the 1992–95
Transitional Justice Network 2013). These Bosnian War) is representative, her conclu-
grievances and perceived victimisation can sions are nonetheless recognisable in some
therefore be manipulated by leaders, which current conflicts, including in Iraq and Syria
is what proponents of the terrorism school as she suggests that new wars are most
more strongly believe. Leaders of Islamist likely to arise when centralised, authoritar-
violent extremist groups can instrumen- ian states lose legitimacy or begin to col-
talise the perceived victimisation of fel- lapse. In this reading, religion is important
low Muslims as a justification for extremist not in terms of its contribution to ideology,
violence, although the use of a narrative of but as a marker of social and political iden-
oppression to justify violence and recruit and tity in the resulting struggles for resources
motivate supporters is near-universal among or survival. Participants may frame conflicts
violent extremist groups (Allan et al. 2015). in religious (and ethnic and national) terms
A component of this is ideology. When but they are actually manifestations of some
it comes to Islamist violent extremism spe- other historical force or process – which
cifically, how important ideology is has also may not even be understood by participants
become contested and politicised. Islamist themselves.
Glazzard et al: Islamist Violent Extremism Art. 13, page 7 of 19

At the meso-level, which primarily affects Europe through a sophisticated propaganda


smaller communities and identity groups, machine. In Kenya, a small number of radical
social and cultural factors are the most prev- Kenyan clerics propagating such messages
alent, described by USAID (2011) as ‘pull’ fac- have been the primary recruiting channel
tors that encourage involvement in violent since the mid-2000s for mobilising Kenyans
extremism. Those with the strongest ‘pull’ to travel and fight in Somalia. What remains
are linked to identity, whether this is reli- unclear, however, is whether followers are
gious, ethnic or group identity. Individual attracted more by this ideological rhetoric or
and group identity has been found to be are attracted on identity grounds to the duty
most strongly expressed in religious or ethnic to defend fellow Muslims (ICG 2012; Botha
terms. Much literature outlines how impor- 2014; Botha 2015).
tant identity is for individuals to become Religious identity is too vague to meaning-
involved in violent movements, particularly fully separate from other equally significant
because radicalisation is a social process identity markers such as ethno/nationalist
(Al Raffie 2013; Vidino 2011). Humans are identity (Juergensmeyer 2003). Both religious
capable of extraordinary feats, creative and ideologues and politically-motivated ethnic
destructive, if motivated by feelings of kin- elites are able to capitalise on and engen-
ship, real or imagined – ‘people don’t simply der shared identity by promoting transna-
die and kill for a cause. They die and kill for tional networks to support insurgents in the
each other’ (Atran 2011: ix). homeland (Kaldor 2007; Yadav 2010). It is
Community also extends to the ‘imagined also important to note that while the focus
communities’ (Anderson 1982) of large iden- is currently on Salafi-jihadists, Shias in Syria
tity groups such as nations or the umma (the and Iraq employ a similar narrative to recruit
global community of Muslims) that the vio- people relying on religious but also on sectar-
lent group claims to represent. Several schol- ian divides between the Sunni and Shia com-
ars (e.g. Gleave 2014; Hegghammer 2010/11; munities. The Shia militia movement received
Maher 2015) examine this ‘imagined com- a major boost with Grand Ayatollah Ali al-
munity’ in the context of Islamist violent Sistani’s June 2014 fatwa encouraging Shia to
extremism, and agree that what emerged fight a ‘righteous jihad’ against ISIL (Stansfield
from the 1990s was an idea of transnational 2015). Following this, many Shia militias
Muslim identity that at least on the surface formed into the Hashd Shaabi – people’s
displaced alternative notions of identity militias – to combat ISIL, revealing the extent
centred on specific ethnic, cultural or geo- to which sectarian politics have become
graphical factors. In the 1980s and 1990s, entrenched in the conflict. ‘Not only does
this transnational identity was mobilised Daesh [ISIL] fight as Sunnis rather than Iraqis,
for defensive purposes, but it was not long but the Hashd is equally sectarian, fighting
before Al Qaeda and other groups trans- ISIL as Shi’as rather than Iraqis’ (Stansfield
formed it into a doctrine of global terrorism 2015). In conflict, the tactics of the Shia mili-
and revolution. Psychological research has tias supports ISIL’s narrative that the Iraqi
found that appeals to identity are essential government represents an existential threat
for encouraging, legitimising and supporting to Sunnis. The militias themselves have been
involvement in violent extremist groups. ISIL extensively accused of abuses and atrocities,
gave new impetus to this apocalyptic strain most recently against Sunnis believed to have
within jihadism, naming its English lan- collaborated with ISIL (Human Rights Watch
guage magazine Dabiq, after the site of one 2015). In parallel, their success in placing
of the most important battles in the proph- officials in positions of responsibility (George
ecies. This ‘cosmic ideology’ has enhanced 2014; Dodge 2012: 63) supports ISIL’s argu-
ISIL’s ability to recruit in Syria and Iraq, ment that the government and its security
in the wider MENA region and in Western forces are not Iraqi but Shia.
Art. 13, page 8 of 19 Glazzard et al: Islamist Violent Extremism

Organisational structure and highly contested arena, and overlooking the


demographics decision to renounce violence on the part
Aggregating diverse movements, groups of influential ideologues in Egypt, Western
and activities under the single heading governments missed opportunities to del-
­
of ­ terrorism is, according to Neumann egitimise Al Qaida in the eyes of its global
(2013), the ‘cardinal sin’ of terrorism stud- support base (Gerges 2005).
ies. However, even contributions such as The Syrian civil war and the rise of ISIL
Neumann’s own, which recognise the diver- have refocused attention on foreign fight-
sity of what we categorise as terrorism or ers, which is perceived to be a largely recent
violent extremism, are apt to conflate its phenomenon and associated especially with
Islamist manifestations into a single phenom- Islamist violent extremism (Hegghammer
enon. For instance, Berman (2009) conflates 2010). This can be attributed to both the
Hamas, Hizbollah and Al Qaida as Islamist emergence of an ideology of transnational
terrorism without acknowledging that one is participation in Islamist thinking in Saudi
Shia and the others are Sunni; two function Arabia in the 1980s, and the growing number
as active political parties and one as popular of conflicts in failed, post-colonial states with
social movements; one is backed by Iran, the Muslim majorities or significant minorities.
other two by Syria; one is a nationalist group The effect of Islamist foreign fighters on the
focused solely on Israel/Palestine while the post-2003 insurgency in Iraq is of particular
others have global ambitions and reach. With note. The leader of what became Al Qaida in
the religious inspiration discussed above, this Iraq (AQI), which ultimately mutated into
section considers the importance of organi- ISIL, was Ahmad Fadeel al-Nazal al-Khalay-
sational structure and demographics. leh, better known as al-Zarqawi, a Jordanian
There is little research that specifically who had operated his own militant training
addresses the question of the range and camp in Afghanistan before 9/11. After the
diversity of Islamist violent extremist groups. 2003 invasion al-Zarqawi found refuge in
However, there are studies of specific groups, Iraq and, with his group of mostly non-Iraqi
such as Hansen (2013) on Al Shabaab and militants, sought to change the environment
Comolli (2015) on Boko Haram, and many on to suit them and recruited additional foreign
Al Qaida (Wright 2006 and Burke 2007 are fighters (Hafez 2014: 443). Al-Zarqawi’s strat-
journalistic accounts but among the most egy was to attack Shia populations and mon-
solid). These provide fine-grained accounts uments to promote sectarian warfare, and to
of how each group developed in its own spe- use suicide bombing strategically, not just
cific historical and socio-political milieu, and tactically, in order to move the conflict from
taken together provide a corrective to sim- classic insurgency to ‘global jihad’. Instead
plistic, totalising explanations which present of the usual pattern of fighters being forced
Islamist violent extremism as monolithic or out of the territories they had fought for (as
homogenous. Scholars focusing on specific in Afghanistan or Bosnia), a sectarian jihad
groups make particular reference to the risks would create the conditions of security for
of aggregation. Holbrook (2014) is cautious the mujahideen (Al-Zarqawi’s ultimate objec-
of over-simplification of the wide range and tive) and insecurity for everyone else.
developing nature of ideological and theo- However, while the scale of the phenom-
retical perspectives amongst ‘­jihadist’ move- enon may be unprecedented, it is not in itself
ments (29–39). He suggests that the reductive new. Malet (2013) shows that foreign fight-
term ‘single n­ arrative’ ­simplistically ­combines ers have existed since at least the mid-nine-
a diverse and dynamic set of ­phenomena into teenth century, if not longer, and they are
a single analytical construct. This can also by no means confined to Islamists. Indeed,
lead to errors in c­ounter-terrorism by fail- while foreign fighters in Syria and Iraq may
ing to appreciate that radical Islamism is a now have passed the 20,000 believed to have
Glazzard et al: Islamist Violent Extremism Art. 13, page 9 of 19

joined the conflict in Afghanistan during extremism in particular has attracted signifi-
the 1980s (Neumann 2015), approximately cant attention. Terrorism studies highlighted
32,000 foreigners fought in the Spanish that one of the novelties of ‘new terrorism’
Civil War (1936–39). This however is neither includes its aim to commit mass-casualty
new nor unique to Muslim diaspora com- attacks and contained much debate after
munities. For example, the Liberation Tigers 9/11 over whether Islamist extremists were
of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) in Sri Lanka was sus- prepared or preparing to carry out mass-
tained by financial support from Tamil dias- casualty attacks using chemical/radiologi-
pora channelled through the radical World cal/biological weapons. Evidence recovered
Tamil Movement (Bell 2009). from Al Qaida laboratories in Afghanistan
Meanwhile, not all Islamist violent extrem- suggested that they were actively research-
ist groups attract foreign fighters. While ing unconventional weapons, and there
over a thousand are believed to have fought have been periodic cases (including in the
with Al Shabaab in Somalia since the mid- UK) of Al Qaida-affiliated groups planning
2000s (in declining numbers since 2012), to use chemical or radiological substances.
mainly from the Somali diaspora, far fewer There are assertions that this marks Islamist
are thought to have fought within Kenya extremists out from other groups, although
(Ford 2010; Meleagrou-Hitchens, Maher, proponents of ‘new terrorism’ theories such
and Sheehan 2012; Pantucci 2012; Hansen as Hoffman (2006) also acknowledge the use
2014). Most significantly, in its embrace of of chemical weapons by groups such as Aum
decentralised guerrilla warfare and cellular Shirinkyo in Japan.
terrorism in Kenya (unlike its more bureau- From this perspective religious extremist
cratic military operations in Somalia), Al groups have different value systems, mecha-
Shabaab have come to more closely resem- nisms of legitimisation and justification, con-
ble Mau Mau and Mungiki’s loose structures cepts of morality, and world-views, and are
and roving independent bands. This reflects ‘consequently unconstrained by the political,
the different security and conflict dynamics moral or practical constraints that may affect
present in Somalia relative to those in opera- other terrorists’ – this includes the need for
tion in Kenya – and the adaptation required popular support (Hoffman 2006: 88). The
of Al Shabaab to these diverse conditions phenomenon of suicide attacks has attracted
(Kanogo 1987; Berman and Lonsdale 1992; particular attention from academics, espe-
Rasmussen 2010; Marchal 2011; Hansen cially post-9/11, and the sharp statistical
2013; Nzes 2014; Lia 2015). Despite its ori- rise as a result of attacks in post-2003 Iraq.
gin as an offshoot of ISIL, JaN’s majority Berman (2009) argues that suicide bomb-
Syrian makeup ‘contributes to a crucial level ing is often a marker of religious violence
of social grounding’, while its ‘strict and not because of theology but the complexity
highly selective foreign fighter recruitment of the target: religiously inspired terrorists
policies have ensured an ongoing supply of may be the only ones with the commitment
high-caliber muhajireen [emigrants]’ (Lister required to survive in countries such as
2015: 18). Israel where targets have been significantly
hardened. As a result, he concludes that the
Tactics and Methods ‘threat from modern religious terrorist organ-
There are assertions that ideological terror- isations is unprecedented’ and that Islamist
ists do not seem to be constrained by rational groups are far more lethal than secular ones
strategic limitations in comparison with (Berman 2009: 8). For example, in Nigeria, in
nationalists, and search for the most destruc- comparison to Boko Haram, MEND’s choice
tive weapons available to cause high amount of targets has been more clearly instrumen-
of atrocities (Fettweis 2009). The lethality of tal: despite occasional bomb attacks in major
religiously inspired terrorism and Islamist cities, MEND primarily restricted its attacks
Art. 13, page 10 of 19 Glazzard et al: Islamist Violent Extremism

to the oil industry and the government’s Police Headquarters and UN Headquarters in
supporting infrastructure in the Delta. It
­ Abuja, presumably in emulation of Al Qaida,
has generally avoided targeting civilians with which Boko Haram was then in alliance.
(although has mounted occasional attacks on The shift has also been evident in the targets
hotels, cargo ships, and fishing vessels). It has of attacks: Muslim communities were origi-
not embraced the tactic of suicide bombing. nally forewarned if attacks were planned in
This analysis has significant flaws not least their areas, but after Yusuf’s death attacks
the fact that it overlooks the adoption of sui- became more indiscriminate. In 2011 and
cide bombing by Marxist-Leninist groups, 2012, around twenty suicide attacks were
notably the LTTE in Sri Lanka (which per- launched against religious (both Christian
petrated more suicide bombings than any and Muslim), military and other government
other group prior to 2003) but also the PKK targets (Roggio 2012). Its change in strategy
in Turkey. In fact, others argue that terrorism reflected a more militant ideology, reflected
is actually becoming less lethal, as the num- by its declarations of allegiance first to Al
ber of fatalities per 100,000 people from the Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), and
1970s to 2005 broadly decreased (Pinker then to ISIL. In Iraq and Syria particularly, Al
2011), though this misses the upsurge in Qaida-linked groups have succeeded in their
fatalities in Iraq in 2006–07 and the later aim of radicalising these conflicts. They have
upsurges in Afghanistan, Yemen, Somalia, made these conflicts more lethal by import-
and Nigeria (RAND n.d.). Tucker’s (2001) ing suicide attacks as a deliberate strategy.
‘lethality index’ for international terrorism They have made them more intractable, by
demonstrates that lethality has rested at a provoking sectarian violence on an appall-
higher plateau since the late 1970s rather ing scale. ISIL’s inducement of fear is useful
than surged ahead, adding that the ‘claim not just in a political context (i.e. as terror-
that there is a tendency toward mass-casu- ism) but also as a military strategy. It is noto-
alty attacks rests, then, on a very few cases rious for its gross human rights abuses and
compared to the total number of interna- performative violence, while broadcasting
tional terrorist attacks.’ Taking this longer media of its brutal executions has helped it
view shows that the vast majority of terror- project military power and undertake auda-
ist attacks worldwide still kill few people cious operations.
(being mostly directed against property), By examining three case studies of IVE, it
and that by 2007 the most lethal terrorist becomes clear that there are important differ-
groups were the Maoist Shining Path (Peru) ences between IVE groups and other conflict
and the Marxist-Leninist LTTE (Sri Lanka). In actors linked to ideology. However, these dif-
fact, the history of Islamist militancy since ferences do not always transpire the way we
9/11 demonstrates a relative lack of novel would expect. Ideology is important for the
techniques including in comparison to other leaders of IVE groups especially – some are
violent groups. With the exception of the ideological entrepreneurs who seek to mobi-
planning and scale of financing required lise followers behind a cause. Ideology can
for Al Shabaab’s 2013 Westgate mall attack, be a factor for followers, but people in con-
most attacks by Al Shabaab and affiliates in flict situations join violent groups for a wide
Kenya have been similar to those conducted range of reasons – social, psychological and
by non-Islamist actors in their use of small practical, as well as political. In many cases
arms, grenades and small IEDs. therefore, ideology can have a fragmenting
With that being said, there does appear to effect, as the drivers differ between leaders
be a difference in the scope and style of Salafi- and followers. Although Salafi-jihadists are
jihadist violence inspired by Al Qaida. In in many ways different – and more threaten-
Nigeria in 2011, Boko Haram mounted its first ing – than other violent groups, they express
suicide-bomb attacks targeting the National their worldview through a narrative that is
Glazzard et al: Islamist Violent Extremism Art. 13, page 11 of 19

strikingly similar to that proposed by many that ‘addressing both the manifestations of
other militant movements (religious and violent extremism and the conditions condu-
secular). cive to violent extremism is a developmental
challenge. It will require strengthening the
Implications for Development Actors fundamental building blocks of equitable
The similarities and differences for devel- development, human rights, governance
opment responses expands the debate that and the rule of law’ (European Union 2015:
began in the 1990s on how development and 3). The result has been a burgeoning indus-
conflict interact. Goodhand created a frame- try of CVE programming (Zeiger and Aly
work to map the contribution that develop- 2015). While there is no adequate measure
ment practitioners could make to conflict for the effectiveness of these programmes
resolution and post-conflict reconstruc- (Chowdhury-Fink 2015), they aim to prevent
tion. The earliest approach was conceptual- involvement in violent extremist groups.
ised ‘working around war’, as development This is seen to be particularly important
practitioners sought to continue their in countries such as Kenya, where violent
activities while avoiding direct involvement extremism has not yet escalated into all-out
(Goodhand 2001a). ‘Working around war’ war. In this context, CVE programming can
assumed conflict to be an ‘impediment or limit escalation by undermining support for
negative externality that is to be avoided’ violent extremist groups. However, it aims
(Goodhand 2001a: 61). From this per- to reduce vulnerability to radicalisation and
spective, development was understood to recruitment among those who are not yet
automatically contribute to peace, so that involved; CVE therefore tends not to address
nothing additional would be required (Uvin communities viewed as being ‘at risk’, rather
2002). than the violent groups themselves.
A later approach was ‘working in war’, Existing tools to engage with conflict can
with development agencies acknowledging also be applied to IVE groups. Particularly
a potential relationship between develop- in countries or regions where governments
ment and conflict and seeking to minimise have tended to rely on strong, securitised
their impact, but without addressing the responses, such as Nigeria and Kenya, secu-
conflict directly: ‘Agencies working in areas rity sector reform (SSR) can promote a less
of active violence have attempted to miti- violent response, and hence reduce the risk
gate war-related risks and also to minimise of violence increasing or recurring. As the
the potential for programmes to fuel or pro- Nigeria case demonstrates, if a government’s
long violence’ (Goodhand 2006a: 264). The default response is to crush dissent or target
most recent and most proactive approach is whole communities in unrefined sweeps,
‘working on war’, where development prac- there is potential to spark spin-off move-
titioners are directly engaged in peacebuild- ments that may be more violent, unpredict-
ing activities (Goodhand 2006b). Conflict able and strategic than their predecessors.
prevention and resolution becomes the pri- Violent responses by the government can
mary goal of development, which means that also increase support for violent extremist
‘policies and programmes must be justified groups.
in these terms’, including direct peacebuild- While this is unlikely to extend to reform
ing and statebuilding initiatives (Goodhand of the armed forces, at least in the response
2001b: 31). of development agencies, O’Neill and
The response of development actors to vio- Cockayne (2015) advocate programmes that
lent extremism thus far has fallen within the draw on demobilisation, disarmament and
‘working in’ category, tackling the drivers of reintegration (DDR) principles to disengage
radicalisation and recruitment. CVE program- violent extremists and reintegrate them into
ming for instance is based on the assumption mainstream society. Similarly, Jones, Lynch,
Art. 13, page 12 of 19 Glazzard et al: Islamist Violent Extremism

Marchand and Denov, and Koehler (in Zeiger The political settlement aspect of
and Aly 2015) examine the potential of dis- s­ tatebuilding is therefore exceptionally chal-
engaging, deradicalising and reintegrating lenging in this context and any intervention
fighters involved in violent extremism. These is unlikely to reconcile global Salafi-jihadist
approaches adapt interventions designed groups and their franchises. A complicating
to deal with other forms of violence, and factor is the diversity among violent Islamist
engage with the institutions and individu- groups in conflict situations and their ten-
als affected by violent conflict. Developed dency to fragment. In the Boko Haram case
in response to the decades of civil war in the there have been disagreements over core
1990s and 2000s, they have been applied to beliefs, strategy, and tactics, which have
a range of conflicts, including ethnic divi- resulted in splinter groups such as Ansaru.
sions. Because they do not engage directly Al Shabaab in Somalia has also been host to
with violent extremist groups, they do not major internal disagreements regarding sim-
need to specifically focus or respond to the ilar issues since 2011. However, the lack of
impact of ideology, or the other factors that cohesion within IVE groups may also provide
may make Islamist violent extremists differ- an opportunity for negotiation. For example,
ent from other violent extremist groups. Gerges (2003) recommended that attempts
Directly ‘working on’ violent extremism should be made to negotiate with jihadists
is much more difficult, particularly within a who do not subscribe to the Al Qaida doc-
peacebuilding and statebuilding framework. trine. This strategy can reduce the power
A key aim of statebuilding is the promotion of the most problematic Islamist groups by
of inclusive political settlements, where com- undermining their legitimacy and fragment-
peting elites are brought into decision-making ing the extremists’ support base.
on governance and economics. However, with The fact that Salafi-jihadists are irreconcil-
some Islamist violent groups, a negotiated able does not mean that promoting inclusive
political settlement is not an aspiration. For settlements to conflicts where they are active
instance, Al Shabaab’s aims in Kenya are to is fruitless. In fact, our analysis suggests
further destabilise state authority in Somalia’s that such efforts should be prioritised. First,
southern hinterland and move these areas these uncompromising groups partly derive
into the orbit of an Islamist territory based to their legitimacy from socio-political griev-
some extent on a historical ‘Greater Somalia’ ances, as in Iraq where the post-2003 set-
project, Somali irredentism, and local pan- tlement has failed to include meaningfully
Muslim sentiment. Efforts to achieve a Greater the Sunni Arab minority, and in Syria where
Somalia have been a source of conflict with a minoritarian government has lost the sup-
Somalia since Kenya’s independence. With the port of large parts of the Sunni Arab majority.
more recent overlay of Islamist extremist rhet- Addressing some of the manifold problems
oric and practice and Al Shabaab’s base being of governance in both countries would not
outside Kenya, achieving a political settlement bring ISIL and JaN to the negotiating table
with these goals at play appears highly unlikely. but would diminish their support among the
In the long term, political settlements linked disenfranchised Sunni Arabs. Second, as we
to Kenya’s recent constitutional devolution of have shown, Islamist violent extremism is far
power to the counties may redress some griev- from being a monolithic and stable move-
ances regarding autonomy and central state ment, and within the broad scope of the term
overreach if implemented in a manner that are groups that are potentially interested in
empowers local communities, thereby draw- political settlements. Attention should there-
ing some of the venom not only from Islamist fore be paid to breakaway groups, which may
violent groups but also others, such as the perceive they have more to gain from settle-
Mombasa Republican Council (MRC). ment rather than conflict, especially in the
Glazzard et al: Islamist Violent Extremism Art. 13, page 13 of 19

case of protracted civil conflicts in a situation ISIL’s success is a combination of its presence
of stalemate. in areas with weak governance, an active war
Another avenue for development actors economy and endemic violence. By bringing
to support statebuilding is in the develop- some form of order and control, even if vio-
ment of core state functions. This approach lent, ISIL presents itself as the only legitimate
assumes that increasing the capacity of the authority, with a monopoly on the use of
state to provide core functions such as secu- force. Turkmani (2015) also highlights how
rity, rule of law and macroeconomic policies this reputation for governance, based on the
will increase trust, facilitate the provision of provision of security and basic services, has
public services – including, crucially, law and played a key role in recruiting supporters and
order – and strengthen state legitimacy. This ensuring assent.
approach may have an impact on some mem- If the state is incapable or unwilling to
bers of violent Islamist groups that are driven make good these shortfalls, then there may
to join because of grievances. Addressing his- be scope for others to step in. For example,
torical grievances, and a state’s failings to Turkmani recommends that international
address deeply-rooted marginalisation and organisations promote economic measures,
insecurity in these places, could reduce the such as job-creation schemes and fuel
ability of violent Islamist groups to mobilise distribution in areas of Syria that can
and retain support. More pertinently, weak be reached. Interventions to promote
states have been shown to be more vulner- economic security in conflict-afflicted areas
able to civil war and insurgency (Tilly 2003) have the potential to reduce or at least
and also struggle to contain violent extremist contain support for the most problematic
threats. The collapse of state capacity in Iraq violent Islamists.
as a result of the 2003 invasion and occu- The overarching aim of peacebuilding is
pation is a particularly stark example: the to address the causes and consequences of
sudden transformation from police state to conflict. Achieving this requires a focus on
state of anarchy created the space for a wide the grievances, fault-lines and opportunity-
range of violent extremist groups to flour- seeking that underlie the conflict. Zaum,
ish, from Shia militants to Al Qaida. Building Gippert and Heaven (2015) consider religion
or rebuilding state capacity is, we have con- and religious extremism to be expressions
cluded, an essential pre-requisite for man- of social, economic or political grievances
aging Islamist violent extremist problems. and opportunity-seeking. This aligns with
Emphasis should be put on restoring govern- Kunovich and Hodson’s (1999) findings in
ance in opposition-controlled areas, espe- Croatia that religion is merely a social marker
cially those that are threatened by further for economic, demographic and political
Islamist extremist expansion. forces. However, other studies dispute these
A related strategy is the provision of findings and suggest instead that religion
public goods and services expected by the has the capacity to both stimulate and mobi-
population to strengthen state legitimacy lise collective action and that restrictions on
and reduce violent opposition. While those religion itself can make significant contri-
engaged in violent extremism due to griev- butions to explaining religiously motivated
ances are likely to be somewhat appeased, it violence. In this analysis, religion itself can
will have limited affect on the upper levels of be the source of grievance (Finke and Harris
Islamist violent groups. However, improved 2012, Finke and Martin 2012, Dowd 2014).
provision of public goods and services could However, focusing on religion as a source of
have a considerable impact on the ability of grievance leading to conflict and extremism
leaders to recruit from or gain the passive could mean missing the underlying causes
acceptance of the wider population. Part of and drivers of the conflict. Since there is no
Art. 13, page 14 of 19 Glazzard et al: Islamist Violent Extremism

simple link between religious ideas and violent of interventions (see Figure 1). The bottom
action – our analysis suggests that extremist layer indicates that the most significant con-
violence results from a complex combination tribution development can make is preventa-
of situational factors, social enablers, political tive, seeking to limit involvement in violent
triggers, and ­individual characteristics – the extremism by promoting good governance,
problem is seeking to understand how a situa- human rights, development and rule of law.
tion of stable coexistence breaks down to the This overlaps with the second layer, which
extent that religion (or rather religious differ- seeks to address both the grievances that
ence) can becomes a threat to security, which have driven people into violent extremism,
requires an examination of the root causes as well as the impact of violent extremism,
and an effort to address some of the most per- from the violence it causes to heavy-handed
tinent. In Iraq, for example, the exclusion of government responses. The top of the hierar-
Sunni Arabs from the post-2003 political set- chy is the most difficult and relies on careful
tlement generated grievances, which although timing. As discussed above, negotiating with
religiously expressed, are political at source. strategic groups, diminishing support for uto-
While all of the groups examined here pian groups and catching breakaway groups
show a range of drivers and motivations, each has the greatest potential for transformation.
group has been influenced by grievances to As this hierarchy brings together a range of
some extent, particularly at the lower levels. strategies that are currently applied towards
Addressing grievances will not necessarily conflict actors, it suggests that there is no dif-
resolve the conflict. If a group sees the state ference in how development actors should
as the problem or has global and utopian respond to IVE groups. While there are many
aspirations, leaders and the most commit- similarities, the differences between IVE
ted followers are unlikely to abandon their groups and other conflict actors requires a
extremist programmes. However, addressing contextualised approach that engages with
grievances may contain groups and, in time, the specific ways that groups operate, con-
reduce their support. sidering their aims and objectives, tactics and
This analysis of how development actors use of violence and recruitment and motiva-
can engage with IVE points to a hierarchy tion strategies.

•N
•Negoang with 'strategic' groups
Transformave •Diminishing support for 'utopian' groups
•D
•Catching
•C breakaway groups

•Reintegraon of fighters
•Prevenng heavy-handed government
Ameliorave response
•Addressing social and polical grievances
•Violence reducon

•CVE programmes
Preventave •Promong good governance

Figure 1: Hierarchy of Interventions.


Glazzard et al: Islamist Violent Extremism Art. 13, page 15 of 19

Note Berman, E 2009 Radical, religious, and


1 Although the term ‘drivers’ is commonly ­violent: The new economics of terrorism.
used, factors’ is more appropriate, as a Cambridge: MIT Press.
range of situational, social/cultural and Botha, A 2014 Radicalisation in Kenya
individual factors need to align. recruitment to Al-Shabaab and the
Mombasa Republican Council. Institute
­
Competing Interests for Security Studies Papers no. 265.
The research presented in this article was part Botha, A 2015 Radicalisation to t­errorism
of a project funded by the UK Department in Kenya and Uganda: A political
for International Development. ­socialisation perspective. Perspectives on
­Terrorism, 9(5): 2–14.
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How to cite this article: Glazzard, A, Jesperson, S, Maguire, T and Winterbotham, E 2017 Islamist
Violent Extremism: A New Form of Conflict or Business as Usual? Stability: International Journal of
Security & Development, 6(1): 13, pp. 1–19, DOI: https://doi.org/10.5334/sta.503

Submitted: 16 October 2016 Accepted: 02 May 2017 Published: 28 September 2017

Copyright: © 2017 The Author(s). This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the
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