A Note Plus Sample

Analyst Note Plus | April 2010
Autofacts ®
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Quarterly Forecast Update

Sailing a steadier course
autofacts@us.pwc.com
While it has not been a case of “business as usual” in the first quarter of 2010, it was a case
of “business as expected”. Thus far, none of the major automotive markets have sprung any
surprises sufficient to derail prior assumptions. Moving into Q2, the focus will shift to the
strength and sustainability of the economic recovery as stimuli are scaled back or removed.
Global Light Vehicle Assembly Outlook by Region Foremost of such concerns is the West European
2008 – 2010 (Millions) market situation. With scrappage already ended in
70 Germany, Italy, Austria, Slovakia, and Greece, and
being reduced or wound down in other notable
640k 274k 143k 123k markets, the underlying strength of the economy will
65 66.0 2.4m
65.0 be key in the second half of the year.
4.2m
60
In the US, the market has performed at or above
expectations thus far in Q1 2010. The underlying
57.2
sales environment remains weak, but judicious use
55
of OEM incentives in March boosted volume above
trend, elevating the US sales forecast to 11.5m and
50 total North America sales outlook to 13.9m in 2010.
AP
EE
SA
2008
2009
EU
2010
MEA
NA
The Brazilian economy was one of the few to post

Source: Autofacts 2010 Q2 Data Release
growth in 2009, and with stronger economic
performance expected in 2010, light vehicle sales
Global Outlook should hold up despite the withdrawal of tax
incentives. Output is forecast to be nearly 160,000
The 57.2 million light vehicles built in 2009 mark the
units higher than 2009’s record level.
lowest global total since 2002 and represents a near
9 million unit fall (-13%) from 2008. In Japan, the domestic market will be aided by the
Remarkably, this global decline occurred despite the “eco-friendly vehicle” incentive program, while export
fact that China built some 9 million vehicles more in recovery should lead to light vehicle output
2009 than 2002, thus highlighting the severity of the increasing by ~1 million units in 2010. Longer-term,
downturn in most other major markets. It could questions remain over the sustainability of Japan’s
therefore be argued that China, significantly helped manufacturing base, given domestic market
by government intervention, played as great a role in demographics and Japanese OEMs’ expanding
underpinning global output as the impact of overseas ambitions.
intervention did in many other countries. As most Finally, Russia’s outlook has been improved by the
major developed markets recover in 2010, China is scrappage scheme launched in March (see last
expected to remain the powerhouse, still supported month’s East Europe Analyst Note for details). While
by government stimulus. However, questions around the program is funded for 200k vehicles, Autofacts is
the duration and extent of support bring as much closely monitoring the likelihood of an extension, as
uncertainty to the Chinese outlook as is the case for the auto sector has become a crucial pillar of
a host of world markets this year. Russia’s developing industrial policy.
*connectedthinking PwC
North America The flip side of this development is that output will
The current automotive inflection point in North be more closely aligned to demand in 2010.
America seemingly presents a once-in-a- Additionally, scrappage schemes created a large
generation chance to allow normalised economic number of small car imports in 2009, a trend that
fundamentals to drive sales and assembly volume. will likely diminish in 2010. Conversely, exports
But the return of zero percent financing, extended are expected to recover marginally this year.
loan maturities, and lease subvention across East Europe
mainstream automakers’ portfolios is elevating the
Domestic demand growth and improved export
trajectory of 2010 sales (11.5-12.0 million units),
prospects are central to East Europe’s 2010
thereby clouding the true strength of the recovery.
development. Little short-term improvement in
Near-term sales momentum combined with a exports is expected, as destination markets in the
sequential quarter of targeted inventory correction EU suffer scrappage hangovers, but an LCV
is expected to support a 25-30% recovery in North recovery would be a welcome boost for Turkey.
America assembly volume from 2009's historic low
of 8.6m units up to ~10.9m in 2010. Longer-term, In the case of domestic demand, a more buoyant
NA assembly will likely return to the 13-15m unit Russian market should emerge in 2010 as the
range as the domestic industry drives incremental government’s long-awaited scrappage incentive
volume gains, while foreign automakers develop scheme started in March, giving a car market of
assembly strategies that balance imports with around 1.7 million units – about 300,000 units
vehicles well-suited for localised assembly. more than 2009. In Turkey, sales may fall slightly
(-10%) as the market-stimulating tax breaks of
While economic challenges persist, a meaningful 2009 are cut, but with exports recovering and new
automotive recovery is supported by a notable models in the mix, output should recover by ~10%.
equity market rebound, emerging signs of housing
price stability, anticipation of substantial QoQ GDP Developed Asia-Pacific: Japan and Korea
growth, and consumer sentiment nearing pre- Stimulus measures instituted during 2009 by the
recession levels. Additionally, historically low Japanese and South Korean governments
interest rates and modest credit growth appears generated varying results: the Japanese market
well-timed to converge with a cadence of new declined by 9% while South Korean sales rose by
high-volume, global cars and crossovers in 2010. more than 20%. While the stimulus incentives did
European Union not create a positive year-end result in Japan,
they boosted sales YoY from mid-year and
Scrappage and its aftermath dominates the 2010 spurred a dramatic shift in consumer preference
outlook. The ending of incentives in Germany will toward hybrids, increasing segment share to 10%.
significantly influence overall performance due to
an expected fall of 800-900k in new car sales YoY. On the other hand, exports for both Japan and
The UK and Italy likely also face post-scrappage South Korea declined by 46% and 20%,
falls. However, many smaller markets that were respectively. In terms of assembly, Japanese
not distorted by scrappage are now exhibiting volumes during 2009 were the lowest since 1976.
strength as the economy improves and 18 months Conversely, South Korea’s 2009 assembly
of pent-up demand hits. Likewise, light declined by ~8%, a result of slightly stronger
commercial vehicle (LCV) demand shows tentative domestic demand and the increasing popularity of
signs of recovery in some markets, after 18 Hyundai globally.
months of heavy declines. Both Japan and South Korea are expected to
Net light vehicle (LV) demand is expected to fall by regain a majority of lost assembly volumes during
1m units. Conversely, a 1% increase in output in 2010 and beyond on account of recovery in
2010 is forecast, due to a number of factors. While exports and, to a lesser extent, domestic demand.
sales fell by just 5% in 2009, output fell by 15%; Japan’s domestic sales are expected to grow by
OEMs cut output and supplied from stock, cutting 3% during 2010 before stagnating and resuming
inventory massively to conserve cash. gradual decline in 2012 and beyond. The declining
Disclaimer: The information contained in this report represents the culmination of proprietary research conducted by Autofacts, an analytical group within the PricewaterhouseCoopers Knowledge Services Organisation. All
material contained in this report was developed independently of any PricewaterhouseCoopers client relationship and does not represent the firm’s view as an auditor to any legal business entity. While every effort has been
made to ensure the quality of information provided, no representation or warranty of any kind (whether expressed or implied) is given by PricewaterhouseCoopers as to the accuracy, completeness or fitness for any purpose of
this document. As such, this document does not constitute the giving of investment advice, nor a part of any advice on investment decisions. Accordingly, regardless of the form of action, whether in contract, tort or otherwise,
and to the extent permitted by applicable law, PricewaterhouseCoopers accepts no liability of any kind and disclaims all responsibility for the consequences of any person acting or refraining from acting in reliance on this
document. “PricewaterhouseCoopers” refers to PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, a limited liability partnership or, as the context requires, other member firms of PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited, each of which is a
separate and independent legal entity. All rights reserved. Autofacts is a trademark of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP and is registered in the United States, Canada, the European Union, and the United Kingdom by
PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP. Reproduction or retransmission without prior written consent from Autofacts® is strictly prohibited.
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and aging consumer base is compounded by car genre is expected to drive sales at a CAGR of
younger citizens’ preference for urban living, 18% over the next 4 to 5 years. India’s assembly
resulting in a declining trait for Japan. will also receive a boost from exports as Renault-
Nissan models Hyundai and Suzuki’s plan to use
Stimulus driven sales during 2009 likely pulled
India as a subcompact export base. While China
ahead demand, resulting in South Korean sales
and India are expected to benefit from growing
growth of ~2% in 2010. In the mid-term, the market
export volumes, capacity limitations will moderate
is expected to regain some momentum before
exports unless additional investments are made.
stagnating in the out years. Moreover, imports are
Also, export drivers differ between the countries;
accounting for an increasing share of sales and
domestic brands will likely dominate China’s
are expected to represent ~10% of sales by 2015. exports, while India’s exports may continue to be
In the mid to long-term, both countries are led primarily by foreign-branded vehicles.
expected to lose assembly due to further overseas
assembly relocation, which is likely to accelerate South America
as automakers try to reduce currency risk, logistics The Brazilian market has enjoyed a strong start in
costs, and geopolitical issues. As a result, excess 2010 as sales easily outpaced a sluggish start in
capacity in both countries may become a key 2009 – increasing by as much as 30% YoY in
structural issue going forward. March due to consumers purchasing vehicles prior
Developing Asia-Pacific: China and India to the expiration of automotive tax breaks.
Although sales may slow temporarily after the
Compared to developed Asia-Pacific, major elimination of government incentives, a strong
automotive markets in developing Asia-Pacific not economic recovery, coupled with historically low
only buffered the impact of the financial crisis, but interest rates, should translate into a sales growth
also actually posted impressive growth during rate of at least 8% in 2010. However, Brazil was
2009. Swift and bold actions taken by the Chinese not the only South American country to experience
government in early 2009 helped China’s light strong Q1 sales, as Argentina sales finished up
vehicle market post over 50% annual growth. At 47% YTD and 37% YoY in March.
the same time, the stimulus measures
implemented in India, while lacking the firepower As sales continue to rise in Brazil and Argentina,
of those in China, helped stabilise and grow the production in both countries has likewise
domestic market by ~18%. accelerated. Brazilian light vehicle assembly is up
more than 20% YTD and should easily produce
Beijing extended its scrappage and rural vehicle 5%+ growth in 2010 as strong domestic sales
replacement schemes through the end of 2010 (coupled with rising exports) help plants run at high
while partially rolling back sales tax to provide a levels of utilisation. Argentina’s production has
softer landing for the automotive market. As a skyrocketed recently due to strong domestic and
result, China is expected to post yet another year export demand with production up over 70% YTD.
of strong growth in 2010 with light vehicle sales
Consistent with recent and long-term industry
likely to approach the 13 million unit mark.
growth in South America, multiple OEMs have
However, China’s stimulus actions came with an
announced additional capacity investments in the
unfavourable side effect – stalling industry-driven
region to meet rising domestic demand. In March,
consolidation of the highly fragmented auto sector.
PSA announced plans to double capacity in Brazil
While Beijing continues to drive consolidation
with a $780m investment by 2012. Ford also
among the ranks of large government-controlled
announced new investments in Brazil and
enterprises, many smaller and privately owned
Argentina ($281m and $250m respectively) to
entities lack the incentive to consolidate given the increase the range and volume of vehicles
buoyant market environment. produced in the region. Finally, Mitsubishi recently
In the near-term, India’s light vehicle sales and announced an investment of $450m through 2015
assembly is expected to receive a significant boost to double production capacity. With strong sales
due to mass production of the Tata Nano in 2010 demand in Brazil and increased investment
and the launch of multiple low-cost subcompacts throughout the continent, South America is
from 2011 onward. This affordable subcompact forecast to report consistent growth metrics well
into the foreseeable future.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this report represents the culmination of proprietary research conducted by Autofacts, an analytical group within the PricewaterhouseCoopers Knowledge Services Organisation. All
material contained in this report was developed independently of any PricewaterhouseCoopers client relationship and does not represent the firm’s view as an auditor to any legal business entity. While every effort has been
made to ensure the quality of information provided, no representation or warranty of any kind (whether expressed or implied) is given by PricewaterhouseCoopers as to the accuracy, completeness or fitness for any purpose of
this document. As such, this document does not constitute the giving of investment advice, nor a part of any advice on investment decisions. Accordingly, regardless of the form of action, whether in contract, tort or otherwise,
and to the extent permitted by applicable law, PricewaterhouseCoopers accepts no liability of any kind and disclaims all responsibility for the consequences of any person acting or refraining from acting in reliance on this
document. “PricewaterhouseCoopers” refers to PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, a limited liability partnership or, as the context requires, other member firms of PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited, each of which is a
separate and independent legal entity. All rights reserved. Autofacts is a trademark of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP and is registered in the United States, Canada, the European Union, and the United Kingdom by
PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP. Reproduction or retransmission without prior written consent from Autofacts® is strictly prohibited.

Autofacts Baseline Forecast Data – Global
Growth Analytics (2009-2014)

Region 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 Asia-Pacific - Developing 15,684,415 18,775,346 21,017,930 23,708,688 25,528,697 27,020,654 11,336,239 72.3% 11.5% 40.4% 1
2 European Union 14,739,901 14,879,098 15,800,948 16,799,859 17,519,242 18,077,682 3,337,781 22.6% 4.2% 11.9% 3
3 Asia-Pacific - Developed 11,002,273 12,153,892 13,026,662 13,409,096 13,451,659 13,312,482 2,310,209 21.0% 3.9% 8.2% 4
4 North America 8,566,714 10,850,689 12,480,728 13,700,878 14,418,971 14,939,600 6,372,886 74.4% 11.8% 22.7% 2
5 South America 3,684,797 3,958,937 4,441,679 4,914,159 5,236,404 5,525,160 1,840,363 49.9% 8.4% 6.6% 6
6 East Europe 1,784,196 2,423,899 2,858,942 3,266,682 3,577,003 3,879,168 2,094,972 117.4% 16.8% 7.5% 5
7 Middle East & Africa 1,688,258 1,811,593 1,901,741 2,201,769 2,337,107 2,454,299 766,041 45.4% 7.8% 2.7% 7
Global Total Assembly 57,150,554 64,853,454 71,528,630 78,001,131 82,069,083 85,209,045 28,058,491 49.1% 8.3% 100.0%
Global Capacity 86,332,136 90,312,680 94,767,204 99,184,522 100,840,681 103,118,960 16,786,824 19.4% 3.6%
Global Excess Capacity 29,187,662 25,283,719 23,230,814 21,171,141 18,772,216 17,890,058 -11,297,604 -38.7% -9.3%
Global Utilisation (% ) 66.20% 71.81% 75.48% 78.64% 81.38% 82.63%
Country ( Top 35 ) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 China 11,019,286 12,987,919 14,125,371 15,350,636 16,366,070 17,268,459 6,249,173 56.7% 9.4% 22.3% 1
2 Japan 7,409,213 8,407,188 8,976,643 9,236,161 9,217,984 9,083,392 1,674,179 22.6% 4.2% 6.0% 4
3 USA 5,622,433 7,102,701 8,491,382 9,489,257 9,963,354 10,533,472 4,911,039 87.3% 13.4% 17.5% 2
4 Germany 4,808,111 4,811,416 4,987,228 5,115,136 5,295,917 5,471,978 663,867 13.8% 2.6% 2.4% 9
5 South Korea 3,369,706 3,499,614 3,775,383 3,838,842 3,897,577 3,909,045 539,339 16.0% 3.0% 1.9% 10
6 Brazil 2,912,282 3,072,055 3,396,835 3,732,151 4,009,217 4,252,922 1,340,640 46.0% 7.9% 4.8% 7
7 India 2,368,693 2,811,680 3,366,250 4,015,443 4,603,358 5,039,736 2,671,043 112.8% 16.3% 9.5% 3
8 Spain 2,158,943 2,328,930 2,199,748 2,190,956 2,335,234 2,468,734 309,791 14.3% 2.7% 1.1% 16
9 France 2,010,267 2,094,756 2,357,002 2,437,053 2,540,774 2,537,096 526,829 26.2% 4.8% 1.9% 11
10 Canada 1,478,588 1,889,429 2,021,880 2,049,215 1,911,453 1,946,057 467,469 31.6% 5.6% 1.7% 12
11 Mexico 1,465,693 1,958,786 1,970,966 2,172,406 2,541,164 2,476,978 1,011,285 69.0% 11.1% 3.6% 8
12 Iran 1,216,731 1,268,944 1,314,008 1,366,150 1,425,595 1,468,322 251,591 20.7% 3.8% 0.9% 20
13 United Kingdom 1,079,095 1,166,446 1,250,589 1,328,012 1,469,857 1,534,876 455,781 42.2% 7.3% 1.6% 13
14 Czech Republic 932,800 922,550 985,681 1,041,790 1,045,086 1,050,330 117,530 12.6% 2.4% 0.4% 28
15 Thailand 911,283 1,328,855 1,686,819 2,339,955 2,488,671 2,544,635 1,633,352 179.2% 22.8% 5.8% 5
16 Poland 873,855 865,633 905,053 855,279 805,123 821,788 -52,067 -6.0% -1.2% -0.2% 35
17 Turkey 852,817 932,760 1,003,630 1,046,927 1,105,703 1,132,905 280,088 32.8% 5.8% 1.0% 17
18 Italy 820,242 797,184 836,065 1,162,708 1,249,795 1,232,893 412,651 50.3% 8.5% 1.5% 14
19 Russia 645,645 1,139,581 1,435,620 1,721,759 1,908,654 2,123,675 1,478,030 228.9% 26.9% 5.3% 6
20 Belgium 524,595 384,146 547,044 571,355 558,476 660,905 136,310 26.0% 4.7% 0.5% 27
21 Argentina 510,915 596,030 730,733 822,327 861,744 896,033 385,118 75.4% 11.9% 1.4% 15
22 Indonesia 465,031 576,338 644,525 673,649 688,929 727,498 262,467 56.4% 9.4% 0.9% 19
23 Malaysia 447,950 503,166 567,502 596,386 605,028 637,600 189,650 42.3% 7.3% 0.7% 22
24 Slovakia 434,771 456,456 507,927 634,542 697,002 658,402 223,631 51.4% 8.7% 0.8% 21
25 South Africa 354,866 423,697 450,019 515,655 571,321 626,149 271,283 76.4% 12.0% 1.0% 18
26 Romania 296,310 344,099 386,755 489,878 477,484 483,171 186,861 63.1% 10.3% 0.7% 23
27 Australia 223,354 247,090 274,636 334,093 336,098 320,045 96,691 43.3% 7.5% 0.3% 30
28 Taiwan 215,905 254,234 255,936 279,986 312,134 320,134 104,229 48.3% 8.2% 0.4% 29
29 Hungary 212,769 208,455 240,463 329,122 369,408 357,693 144,924 68.1% 10.9% 0.5% 25
30 Slovenia 212,698 183,521 144,546 143,786 133,958 192,389 -20,309 -9.5% -2.0% -0.1% 34
31 Uzbekistan 205,011 198,362 194,142 194,826 211,825 220,581 15,570 7.6% 1.5% 0.1% 33
32 Sweden 128,744 135,505 160,481 180,540 215,079 279,709 150,965 117.3% 16.8% 0.5% 24
33 Portugal 123,832 130,780 135,309 125,469 125,854 139,505 15,673 12.7% 2.4% 0.1% 32
34 Pakistan 113,416 137,841 179,021 253,055 253,918 256,218 142,802 125.9% 17.7% 0.5% 26
35 Venezuela 108,851 114,276 133,858 167,896 169,124 180,267 71,416 65.6% 10.6% 0.3% 31
Top 35 Total Assembly 56,534,701 64,280,423 70,639,050 76,802,401 80,767,968 83,853,592 27,318,891 48.3% 8.2% 97.4%
Top 35 ( % of Global Total ) 98.92% 99.12% 98.76% 98.46% 98.41% 98.41% 97.36%
**Rankings based on contribution to total global growth (CTG%).

Source: Autofacts Global Light Vehicle Assembly Outlook 2010 Q2 Data Release (Updated April 8, 2010)


Global Alliance Groups 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 VW-Suzuki 8,301,804 8,931,307 9,789,079 10,763,122 11,367,157 11,717,357 3,415,553 41.1% 7.1% 12.9% 1
2 Toyota Group 7,538,649 8,619,899 9,413,522 10,284,102 10,445,123 10,557,407 3,018,758 40.0% 7.0% 11.4% 4
3 GM Group 6,601,258 7,725,690 8,292,862 8,969,800 9,139,378 9,657,886 3,056,628 46.3% 7.9% 11.6% 3
4 Ford Group 5,752,422 6,364,896 6,958,709 7,524,019 7,816,885 7,958,399 2,205,977 38.3% 6.7% 8.4% 5
5 Renault-Nissan 5,468,487 6,682,921 6,965,896 7,832,246 8,466,449 8,801,129 3,332,642 60.9% 10.0% 12.6% 2
6 Hyundai Group 4,696,989 5,153,242 5,700,264 5,787,574 6,173,555 6,534,283 1,837,294 39.1% 6.8% 7.0% 8
7 Fiat Group 3,376,914 3,612,564 4,100,003 4,696,554 5,051,246 5,381,528 2,004,614 59.4% 9.8% 7.6% 6
8 PSA Group 3,093,016 3,234,704 3,545,931 3,684,889 3,875,918 3,970,380 877,364 28.4% 5.1% 3.3% 10
9 Honda Group 3,035,261 3,642,565 4,210,835 4,713,968 4,939,273 4,967,624 1,932,363 63.7% 10.4% 7.3% 7
10 BMW Group 1,269,801 1,385,216 1,472,220 1,558,071 1,807,219 1,928,781 658,980 51.9% 8.7% 2.5% 13
11 Daimler Group 1,234,255 1,376,920 1,476,782 1,604,081 1,765,989 1,823,182 588,927 47.7% 8.1% 2.2% 14
12 Chang'an Group 1,047,136 1,109,452 1,104,721 1,121,356 1,176,570 1,240,061 192,925 18.4% 3.4% 0.7% 17
13 Mitsubishi Group 728,053 970,576 1,193,539 1,397,854 1,386,666 1,398,381 670,328 92.1% 13.9% 2.5% 12
14 Chery Auto 516,498 653,734 845,756 1,023,754 1,138,243 1,251,051 734,553 142.2% 19.4% 2.8% 11
15 Tata Group 511,840 743,697 1,063,424 1,296,183 1,428,259 1,517,928 1,006,088 196.6% 24.3% 3.8% 9
16 SAIPA 476,652 469,123 396,246 371,815 374,203 401,133 -75,519 -15.8% -3.4% -0.3% 20
17 BYD Group 426,372 594,358 625,791 610,698 669,250 721,523 295,151 69.2% 11.1% 1.1% 16
18 China FAW 413,222 456,527 481,497 495,622 497,296 521,137 107,915 26.1% 4.7% 0.4% 18
19 Geely 313,902 473,395 568,827 627,398 683,253 744,780 430,878 137.3% 18.9% 1.6% 15
20 Brilliance Group 252,748 225,217 274,713 293,150 327,539 347,619 94,871 37.5% 6.6% 0.4% 19
Capacity 81,994,610 85,401,571 89,642,078 93,862,079 95,507,526 97,606,270 15,611,660 19.0% 3.5%
Excess Capacity 26,650,256 22,605,225 20,781,624 18,750,049 16,538,661 15,748,521 -10,901,735 -40.9% -10.0%
Utilisation (% ) 67.14% 73.10% 76.39% 79.54% 82.22% 83.44%
Global Platforms 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 PQ35/46 (A5) Volkswagen 2,459,575 2,568,797 2,748,843 2,790,768 2,170,086 1,431,480 -1,028,095 -41.8% -10.3% -3.9% 390
2 MC Toyota 2,220,960 2,763,804 2,891,397 3,203,880 3,161,774 3,229,261 1,008,301 45.4% 7.8% 3.8% 10
3 X85/B Renault 2,142,933 2,383,609 2,586,194 3,049,716 3,289,534 3,367,509 1,224,576 57.1% 9.5% 4.6% 7
4 CARRY Suzuki 1,353,813 1,321,369 1,286,406 1,326,216 1,376,934 1,411,970 58,157 4.3% 0.8% 0.2% 104
5 NBC Toyota 1,339,064 1,469,828 1,702,494 1,907,142 1,963,256 1,947,315 608,251 45.4% 7.8% 2.3% 20
6 HD Hyundai 1,293,003 1,797,346 2,113,896 2,030,488 2,129,419 2,162,247 869,244 67.2% 10.8% 3.3% 13
7 C1/P1 Ford 1,288,464 1,374,454 1,752,235 2,433,588 2,550,821 2,602,261 1,313,797 102.0% 15.1% 5.0% 5
8 X84/C Renault 1,171,046 1,327,180 1,344,958 1,462,916 1,702,256 1,788,573 617,527 52.7% 8.8% 2.3% 19
9 PQ24 (AO4) Volkswagen 1,125,232 995,804 1,057,827 1,075,569 1,065,843 964,962 -160,270 -14.2% -3.0% -0.6% 367
10 YP/YN Suzuki * 1,112,270 1,219,384 1,330,878 1,357,487 1,362,631 1,347,694 235,424 21.2% 3.9% 0.9% 43
11 MINICAB Mitsubishi 1,072,639 1,131,884 1,154,131 1,165,351 1,204,909 1,295,665 223,026 20.8% 3.9% 0.8% 49
12 FIAT/GM 199/4400 Fiat 1,011,048 1,256,265 1,985,688 2,465,188 2,448,492 2,453,647 1,442,599 142.7% 19.4% 5.5% 4
13 150L Toyota 1,004,808 1,126,493 1,267,092 1,262,663 1,429,474 1,469,018 464,210 46.2% 7.9% 1.8% 26
14 PF2 PSA 951,784 1,112,923 1,307,416 1,305,457 1,357,084 1,462,059 510,275 53.6% 9.0% 1.9% 22
15 MC Hyundai 896,643 898,634 622,973 556,848 445,255 157,701 -738,942 -82.4% -29.4% -2.8% 389
16 B2E Mazda 805,492 905,608 1,055,632 1,330,232 1,384,315 1,361,225 555,733 69.0% 11.1% 2.1% 21
17 PF1 PSA 790,116 809,317 851,948 962,872 1,089,595 1,016,666 226,550 28.7% 5.2% 0.9% 48
18 GSP Honda 769,606 899,455 982,596 1,022,027 1,071,138 1,152,107 382,501 49.7% 8.4% 1.4% 32
19 NF Hyundai 752,002 1,123,284 1,469,103 1,579,606 1,646,345 1,601,875 849,873 113.0% 16.3% 3.2% 14
20 EC Suzuki 716,770 747,893 817,675 805,173 913,601 926,436 209,666 29.3% 5.3% 0.8% 53


Global Brands 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 Toyota 5,814,870 6,665,962 7,281,271 8,000,470 8,173,150 8,314,536 2,499,666 43.0% 7.4% 13.2% 1
2 Volkswagen 4,161,863 4,458,542 4,964,562 5,406,233 5,662,563 5,833,260 1,671,397 40.2% 7.0% 8.8% 4
3 Ford 4,099,503 4,575,004 4,991,871 5,365,525 5,532,085 5,593,185 1,493,682 36.4% 6.4% 7.9% 6
4 Hyundai 3,147,201 3,272,256 3,667,660 3,808,661 4,098,244 4,351,625 1,204,424 38.3% 6.7% 6.4% 7
5 Honda 2,946,346 3,472,735 3,953,301 4,375,075 4,591,294 4,613,140 1,666,794 56.6% 9.4% 8.8% 5
6 Nissan 2,829,707 3,528,728 3,878,720 4,385,239 4,585,893 4,738,228 1,908,521 67.4% 10.9% 10.1% 3
7 Chevrolet 2,829,155 3,614,063 4,064,050 4,538,482 4,651,641 4,930,634 2,101,479 74.3% 11.8% 11.1% 2
8 Fiat 2,079,651 2,014,773 2,254,361 2,755,043 2,942,890 3,016,997 937,346 45.1% 7.7% 5.0% 8
9 Renault 1,777,765 1,988,861 1,946,463 2,086,786 2,338,976 2,405,398 627,633 35.3% 6.2% 3.3% 10
10 Peugeot 1,727,788 1,744,839 1,859,061 2,022,415 2,191,535 2,204,241 476,453 27.6% 5.0% 2.5% 15
11 Kia 1,549,788 1,880,986 2,032,604 1,978,913 2,075,311 2,182,658 632,870 40.8% 7.1% 3.3% 9
12 Citroen 1,364,969 1,487,972 1,686,080 1,662,474 1,684,383 1,766,139 401,170 29.4% 5.3% 2.1% 17
13 Suzuki 1,209,419 1,394,914 1,573,725 1,689,471 1,710,942 1,705,304 495,885 41.0% 7.1% 2.6% 14
14 Mazda 1,170,086 1,291,529 1,341,026 1,437,493 1,512,381 1,586,925 416,839 35.6% 6.3% 2.2% 16
15 Opel-Vauxhall 1,160,061 1,244,034 1,351,241 1,399,135 1,429,068 1,507,983 347,922 30.0% 5.4% 1.8% 18
16 Mercedes-Benz 1,113,339 1,272,133 1,378,693 1,508,243 1,625,482 1,635,138 521,799 46.9% 8.0% 2.8% 12
17 BMW 1,055,288 1,163,342 1,206,152 1,278,133 1,447,933 1,554,369 499,081 47.3% 8.1% 2.6% 13
18 Wuling 1,001,114 1,061,264 1,091,519 1,104,491 1,145,055 1,234,624 233,510 23.3% 4.3% 1.2% 19
19 Maruti 938,002 984,962 1,040,033 1,022,843 1,137,431 1,167,431 229,429 24.5% 4.5% 1.2% 20
20 Audi 926,977 1,007,543 1,138,105 1,307,069 1,349,153 1,464,802 537,825 58.0% 9.6% 2.8% 11
Global Nameplates 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 Corolla 836,892 899,811 950,073 909,091 997,783 1,024,120 187,228 22.4% 4.1% 10.0% 6
2 Fiesta 732,652 794,330 817,838 832,375 823,242 785,085 52,433 7.2% 1.4% 2.8% 13
3 Focus 718,166 730,154 861,813 1,050,272 1,058,504 1,027,822 309,656 43.1% 7.4% 16.5% 2
4 SC63/10 Series 682,744 760,213 740,485 743,598 755,470 765,382 82,638 12.1% 2.3% 4.4% 11
5 Camry 647,038 727,524 724,884 900,280 865,370 872,113 225,075 34.8% 6.2% 12.0% 4
6 Elantra/i30 620,729 646,308 706,355 601,355 591,303 588,968 -31,761 -5.1% -1.0% -1.7% 19
7 Civic 604,347 653,879 862,997 1,003,701 977,526 965,541 361,194 59.8% 9.8% 19.2% 1
8 Golf 594,631 575,371 535,284 512,584 625,421 581,311 -13,320 -2.2% -0.5% -0.7% 17
9 F-Series 566,166 645,360 712,785 761,708 787,749 799,065 232,899 41.1% 7.1% 12.4% 3
10 Sunshine 546,127 571,138 564,928 568,833 590,557 618,773 72,646 13.3% 2.5% 3.9% 12
11 Corsa 532,496 440,618 396,695 359,984 428,759 514,281 -18,215 -3.4% -0.7% -1.0% 18
12 Accord * 525,240 571,638 611,586 622,768 719,677 685,052 159,812 30.4% 5.5% 8.5% 7
13 Polo 471,625 562,247 545,002 544,111 586,264 570,068 98,443 20.9% 3.9% 5.2% 10
14 Yaris 413,187 487,528 558,634 592,985 579,758 562,977 149,790 36.3% 6.4% 8.0% 8
15 Clio 411,172 396,048 362,767 397,772 429,331 428,699 17,527 4.3% 0.8% 0.9% 15
16 Punto 405,067 360,151 324,762 390,500 442,285 414,219 9,152 2.3% 0.4% 0.5% 16
17 Prius 394,571 545,015 496,527 502,525 512,957 591,758 197,187 50.0% 8.4% 10.5% 5
18 Santro/i10 388,852 340,480 290,560 261,440 340,512 419,658 30,806 7.9% 1.5% 1.6% 14
19 CR-V 387,171 474,880 465,217 550,001 536,567 515,201 128,030 33.1% 5.9% 6.8% 9
20 207 385,433 356,334 328,783 104,793 22,828 12,278 -373,155 -96.8% -49.8% -19.9% 20

Autofacts Baseline Forecast Data – Global Powertrain

Global Engine Family 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg '09 Share '14 Share
1 EA111/112 [Volkswagen] 2,377,040 2,442,264 2,613,864 2,810,440 2,966,558 3,060,935 683,895 28.8% 14.2% 14.5%
2 EA086/153/188 [Volkswagen] 1,817,799 1,943,948 2,069,921 2,304,840 2,367,229 2,448,833 631,034 34.7% 10.9% 11.6%
3 I [Adam Opel] 1,710,985 1,914,351 1,956,673 1,695,436 1,471,268 1,321,206 -389,779 -22.8% 10.2% 6.3%
4 F [Suzuki] 1,633,559 1,526,062 1,347,373 1,228,343 1,195,665 1,222,456 -411,103 -25.2% 9.8% 5.8%
5 EA827/113/888 [Volkswagen] 1,593,242 1,665,111 1,900,357 1,946,992 2,028,397 2,083,388 490,146 30.8% 9.5% 9.9%
6 FIRE [Fiat Auto] 1,574,664 1,339,753 1,452,831 1,530,510 1,639,790 1,668,514 93,850 6.0% 9.4% 7.9%
7 MZR/DURATEC HE [Mazda] 1,547,180 1,710,605 1,923,971 2,395,160 2,589,954 2,634,760 1,087,580 70.3% 9.2% 12.5%
8 DV [PSA] 1,531,469 1,555,689 1,643,579 1,577,375 1,661,231 1,665,441 133,972 8.7% 9.1% 7.9%
9 THETA [Hyundai] 1,484,892 2,119,515 2,548,690 2,481,535 2,573,857 2,616,542 1,131,650 76.2% 8.9% 12.4%
10 ZR [Toyota] 1,468,897 1,737,666 1,833,933 1,952,129 2,169,697 2,350,242 881,345 60.0% 8.8% 11.2%
Top 10 Total Consumption 16,739,727 17,954,964 19,291,192 19,922,760 20,663,646 21,072,317 4,332,590 25.9% 100.0% 100.0%
Top 10 ( % of Global Total ) 29.29% 27.69% 26.97% 25.54% 25.18% 24.73%
Global Engine Displacement 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg '09 Share '14 Share
1 < 1000 cc 6,254,774 6,690,239 7,707,196 9,697,320 11,011,757 11,582,864 5,328,090 85.2% 10.9% 13.6%
2 1000 -1599 cc 22,462,329 24,481,072 26,754,830 28,461,663 29,967,809 31,355,608 8,893,279 39.6% 39.3% 36.8%
3 1600 - 1999 cc 12,536,233 13,904,144 15,292,024 16,414,458 16,824,222 17,246,329 4,710,096 37.6% 21.9% 20.2%
4 2000 - 2999 cc 9,692,143 12,021,183 13,153,933 14,532,883 15,726,114 15,920,568 6,228,425 64.3% 17.0% 18.7%
5 3000 - 3999 cc 3,769,479 4,926,479 5,578,900 5,710,130 5,471,630 5,651,814 1,882,335 49.9% 6.6% 6.6%
6 4000+ cc 2,433,600 2,790,058 2,907,675 2,877,212 2,654,366 2,943,447 509,847 21.0% 4.3% 3.5%
7 Electric 1,996 41,234 136,332 309,715 415,567 511,365 509,369 25519% 0.0% 0.6%
Global Total 57,150,554 64,854,409 71,530,890 78,003,381 82,071,465 85,211,995 28,061,441 49.1% 100.0% 100.0%
Global Fuel Type 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg '09 Share '14 Share
1 Gasoline 45,006,068 50,757,377 55,300,168 59,741,085 62,402,732 64,523,310 19,517,242 43.4% 78.8% 75.7%
2 Diesel 11,363,322 12,726,111 14,279,290 15,599,354 16,397,054 16,996,797 5,633,475 49.6% 19.9% 19.9%
3 Hybrid (Mild + Full) 779,068 1,325,904 1,782,223 2,255,872 2,738,422 3,010,404 2,231,336 286.4% 1.4% 3.5%
4 Electric (PEV + PHEV) 2,096 45,017 169,209 407,070 533,257 681,484 679,388 32414% 0.0% 0.8%
Total Consumption 57,150,554 64,854,409 71,530,890 78,003,381 82,071,465 85,211,995 28,061,441 49.1% 100.0% 100.0%
Global Transmission Outlook 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg '09 Share '14 Share
1 Automatic 19,279,563 22,482,042 24,280,342 25,737,010 26,253,764 26,616,571 7,337,008 38.1% 33.7% 31.2%
2 Manual 32,391,556 35,200,520 38,028,988 41,208,986 43,336,230 44,994,031 12,602,475 38.9% 56.7% 52.8%
3 CVT 4,172,692 5,515,874 6,582,940 7,190,176 7,573,070 7,896,235 3,723,543 89.2% 7.3% 9.3%
4 DCT 738,687 1,077,140 1,722,829 2,352,706 3,084,174 3,576,954 2,838,267 384.2% 1.3% 4.2%
5 AMT 566,060 534,296 761,116 1,129,075 1,323,497 1,502,862 936,802 165.5% 1.0% 1.8%
6 Electric * 1,996 44,537 154,675 385,428 500,730 625,342 623,346 31230% 0.0% 0.7%
Global Gear Outlook 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg '09 Share '14 Share
1 4 speed 9,095,834 8,967,131 8,382,289 8,186,232 7,704,739 7,815,255 -1,280,579 -14.1% 15.9% 9.2%
2 5 speed 30,919,707 32,490,212 33,267,483 34,745,456 36,449,725 37,307,245 6,387,538 20.7% 54.1% 43.8%
3 6 speed 11,819,922 16,192,154 20,960,728 24,541,432 26,343,998 27,790,700 15,970,778 135.1% 20.7% 32.6%
4 7 speed 792,996 1,078,525 1,252,982 1,591,429 1,840,531 1,941,419 1,148,423 144.8% 1.4% 2.3%
5 8 speed 30,467 302,598 675,484 1,113,913 1,416,106 1,589,449 1,558,982 5117.0% 0.1% 1.9%
6 Other 4,491,628 5,823,789 6,991,924 7,824,919 8,316,366 8,767,927 4,276,299 95.2% 7.9% 10.3%

Autofacts Regional Baseline Forecast Data – North America

NA Alliance Groups 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 GM Group 1,903,299 2,479,574 2,681,663 2,994,242 2,967,081 3,185,060 1,281,761 67.3% 10.8% 20.1% 1
2 Ford Group 1,891,014 2,324,940 2,579,503 2,760,810 2,879,523 2,909,932 1,018,918 53.9% 9.0% 16.0% 2
3 Toyota Group 1,315,548 1,529,642 1,649,060 1,754,766 1,764,816 1,854,950 539,402 41.0% 7.1% 8.5% 6
4 Honda Group 1,031,288 1,335,999 1,558,869 1,743,673 1,884,958 1,875,920 844,632 81.9% 12.7% 13.3% 3
5 Fiat Group 945,528 1,208,920 1,436,461 1,452,815 1,565,072 1,717,091 771,563 81.6% 12.7% 12.1% 4
6 Renault-Nissan 711,328 854,963 923,138 1,210,651 1,239,888 1,183,919 472,591 66.4% 10.7% 7.4% 7
7 VW-Suzuki 319,472 378,227 480,345 592,239 708,247 695,892 376,420 117.8% 16.8% 5.9% 8
8 Hyundai Group 211,039 379,779 627,843 621,040 779,576 851,323 640,284 303.4% 32.2% 10.0% 5
9 BMW Group 121,936 154,663 242,933 235,317 259,699 270,069 148,133 121.5% 17.2% 2.3% 9
10 Daimler Group 97,084 134,063 145,920 175,569 199,564 210,503 113,419 116.8% 16.7% 1.8% 10
Capacity 13,615,172 14,117,718 15,094,874 15,263,755 15,760,106 16,130,968 2,515,796 18.5% 3.4%
Excess Capacity 5,067,636 3,336,948 2,769,139 1,722,633 1,511,682 1,376,309 -3,691,327 -72.8% -22.9%
Utilisation (% ) 62.78% 76.36% 81.66% 88.71% 90.41% 91.47%
NA Platforms 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 MC Toyota 596,023 895,843 987,715 1,085,676 1,104,780 1,136,620 540,597 90.7% 13.8% 8.5% 6
2 GMT900 General Motors 484,197 576,053 672,434 773,040 146,628 0 -484,197 -100.0% -100.0% -7.6% 95
3 T1 Ford 422,799 482,805 522,591 558,384 564,284 563,111 140,312 33.2% 5.9% 2.2% 22
4 150L Toyota 378,626 239,016 217,187 213,274 202,562 237,909 -140,717 -37.2% -8.9% -2.2% 86
5 CD3 Mazda 347,934 471,785 460,373 223,148 110,025 0 -347,934 -100.0% -100.0% -5.5% 94
6 CIVIC GCP Honda 323,496 353,317 478,205 549,193 566,390 549,631 226,135 69.9% 11.2% 3.5% 14
7 ACCORD GFP Honda 317,407 409,873 462,436 259,291 55,147 24,122 -293,285 -92.4% -40.3% -4.6% 93
8 D Renault-Nissan 259,093 336,385 362,128 487,735 487,750 467,128 208,035 80.3% 12.5% 3.3% 17
9 U204 Mazda 243,126 276,430 170,418 0 0 0 -243,126 -100.0% -100.0% -3.8% 92
10 PQ35/46 (A5) Volkswagen 221,881 289,961 412,659 514,211 437,335 290,488 68,607 30.9% 5.5% 1.1% 38
Top 10 Total Assembly 3,594,582 4,331,468 4,746,146 4,663,952 3,674,901 3,269,009 -325,573 -9.1% -1.9% -5.1%
Top 10 ( % of Regional Total ) 42.0% 39.9% 38.0% 34.0% 25.5% 21.9%
NA Brands 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 Ford 1,679,060 2,048,233 2,276,071 2,400,813 2,487,874 2,527,648 848,588 50.5% 8.5% 13.3% 1
2 Chevrolet 1,318,298 1,728,185 1,920,263 2,018,966 2,004,253 2,154,998 836,700 63.5% 10.3% 13.1% 2
3 Toyota 1,168,313 1,314,838 1,422,486 1,519,946 1,531,570 1,625,037 456,724 39.1% 6.8% 7.2% 5
4 Honda 957,150 1,209,932 1,408,792 1,559,847 1,697,885 1,674,856 717,706 75.0% 11.8% 11.3% 3
5 Nissan 701,531 847,282 909,916 1,199,531 1,229,973 1,176,427 474,896 67.7% 10.9% 7.5% 4
6 Dodge 547,664 507,973 480,961 446,517 449,409 490,547 -57,117 -10.4% -2.2% -0.9% 39
7 Volkswagen * 316,676 377,801 480,345 592,239 678,624 647,520 330,844 104.5% 15.4% 5.2% 8
8 GMC 279,404 410,850 439,004 504,668 425,694 485,554 206,150 73.8% 11.7% 3.2% 10
9 Jeep 246,241 335,168 395,982 328,440 332,760 421,511 175,270 71.2% 11.3% 2.8% 13
10 Hyundai 195,539 250,081 422,291 425,408 523,726 587,417 391,878 200.4% 24.6% 6.1% 6
NA Nameplates 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 F-Series 559,373 641,243 703,288 758,220 777,877 788,144 228,771 40.9% 7.1% 3.6% 5
2 Silverado 343,435 404,476 470,888 527,483 464,695 603,661 260,226 75.8% 11.9% 4.1% 3
3 Camry 332,758 388,151 360,273 474,155 460,572 453,467 120,709 36.3% 6.4% 1.9% 13
4 Corolla 311,639 187,638 153,809 153,717 148,073 176,010 -135,629 -43.5% -10.8% -2.1% 217
5 Civic 307,686 333,878 448,523 486,922 475,644 467,686 160,000 52.0% 8.7% 2.5% 6
6 Accord 279,408 331,926 380,589 377,012 429,331 393,167 113,759 40.7% 7.1% 1.8% 16
7 Escape 208,057 232,689 189,850 227,002 221,362 215,711 7,654 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 134
8 Altima 205,637 270,795 300,442 350,439 348,781 327,250 121,613 59.1% 9.7% 1.9% 12
9 Fusion 187,052 237,777 220,768 241,103 257,130 233,804 46,752 25.0% 4.6% 0.7% 61
10 CR-V 181,298 234,661 207,992 243,664 234,481 220,297 38,999 21.5% 4.0% 0.6% 69
Top 10 Total Assembly 2,916,343 3,263,234 3,436,422 3,839,717 3,817,946 3,879,197 962,854 33.0% 5.9% 15.1%

Autofacts Regional Baseline Forecast Data – South America

SA Alliance Groups 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 VW-Suzuki 837,109 907,812 1,014,038 1,138,755 1,154,405 1,170,459 333,350 39.8% 6.9% 18.1% 1
2 Fiat Group 834,558 834,463 879,975 904,591 951,872 1,080,330 245,772 29.4% 5.3% 13.4% 2
3 GM Group 767,796 810,925 851,019 953,606 982,231 1,001,852 234,056 30.5% 5.5% 12.7% 3
4 Ford Group 440,105 457,837 503,156 539,948 569,992 573,939 133,834 30.4% 5.5% 7.3% 8
5 Renault-Nissan 223,455 250,484 254,874 259,541 380,595 404,848 181,393 81.2% 12.6% 9.9% 6
6 PSA Group 201,996 248,646 355,048 368,806 390,743 402,390 200,394 99.2% 14.8% 10.9% 5
7 Toyota Group 140,490 146,983 213,267 306,536 309,452 343,364 202,874 144.4% 19.6% 11.0% 4
8 Honda Group 135,530 157,058 197,082 239,780 264,784 272,512 136,982 101.1% 15.0% 7.4% 7
9 Mitsubishi Group 38,381 42,210 43,430 41,849 32,539 41,633 3,252 8.5% 1.6% 0.2% 14
10 Daimler Group 26,909 38,114 43,267 50,930 64,519 70,524 43,615 162.1% 21.3% 2.4% 10
Capacity 4,918,298 4,978,757 5,239,375 5,825,168 6,045,266 6,422,405
Excess Capacity 1,271,969 1,084,225 884,219 1,020,826 944,134 1,060,554
Utilisation (% ) 74.14% 78.22% 83.12% 82.48% 84.38% 83.49%
SA Platforms 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 PQ24 (AO4) Volkswagen 550,041 599,949 734,822 768,040 766,171 777,795 227,754 41.4% 7.2% 12.4% 4
2 178 Fiat 509,638 489,397 228,307 21,908 22,060 22,305 -487,333 -95.6% -46.5% -26.5% 85
3 GAMMA Adam Opel 433,319 336,976 231,763 63,867 68,838 74,474 -358,845 -82.8% -29.7% -19.5% 84
4 B3 Ford 223,205 237,447 254,446 50,648 18,787 22,693 -200,512 -89.8% -36.7% -10.9% 82
5 146 Fiat 205,272 189,666 0 0 0 0 -205,272 -100.0% -100.0% -11.2% 83
6 AB9 Volkswagen 195,791 150,464 0 0 0 0 -195,791 -100.0% -100.0% -10.6% 81
7 X85/B Renault 158,047 190,663 188,388 175,773 241,442 271,634 113,587 71.9% 11.4% 6.2% 8
8 BE1 Ford 102,327 95,004 98,493 101,007 93,449 86,561 -15,766 -15.4% -3.3% -0.9% 73
9 T1 PSA 90,624 124,508 148,515 148,461 152,593 159,930 69,306 76.5% 12.0% 3.8% 15
10 FIAT/GM 199/4400 Fiat 90,538 238,395 814,810 1,084,771 1,113,890 1,217,722 1,127,184 1245.0% 68.2% 61.2% 1
SA Brands 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 Fiat 815,762 819,793 865,103 888,789 922,833 965,588 149,826 18.4% 3.4% 8.1% 5
2 Volkswagen 812,781 885,548 988,784 1,113,674 1,130,212 1,145,440 332,659 40.9% 7.1% 18.1% 1
3 Chevrolet 767,796 810,925 851,019 953,606 982,231 1,001,852 234,056 30.5% 5.5% 12.7% 2
4 Ford 420,882 434,161 480,712 516,771 546,762 549,540 128,658 30.6% 5.5% 7.0% 7
5 Renault 205,864 233,034 225,251 222,355 342,300 364,707 158,843 77.2% 12.1% 8.6% 4
6 Toyota 140,490 146,983 213,267 306,536 309,452 343,364 202,874 144.4% 19.6% 11.0% 3
7 Honda 135,530 157,058 197,082 239,780 264,784 272,512 136,982 101.1% 15.0% 7.4% 6
*
8 Peugeot 119,542 170,291 208,098 214,128 221,699 233,471 113,929 95.3% 14.3% 6.2% 8
9 Citroen 82,454 78,355 146,950 154,678 169,044 168,919 86,465 104.9% 15.4% 4.7% 9
10 Mitsubishi 38,381 42,210 43,430 41,849 32,539 41,633 3,252 8.5% 1.6% 0.2% 20
SA Nameplates 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 Gol 362,011 379,606 403,580 421,062 419,375 415,406 53,395 14.7% 2.8% 2.9% 12
2 Palio 268,663 246,114 264,087 277,234 285,317 297,843 29,180 10.9% 2.1% 1.6% 27
3 Uno 181,489 171,178 187,233 178,518 176,852 175,673 -5,816 -3.2% -0.6% -0.3% 117
4 Fox 176,058 166,807 179,840 193,837 194,624 206,994 30,936 17.6% 3.3% 1.7% 23
5 Fiesta 151,184 160,452 165,637 181,422 204,649 204,770 53,586 35.4% 6.3% 2.9% 11
6 Celta 148,883 144,397 101,479 -148,883 -100.0% -100.0% -8.1% 138
7 Corsa 146,688 93,243 92,569 90,339 97,719 101,345 -45,343 -30.9% -7.1% -2.5% 136
8 Siena 134,762 131,158 116,068 111,122 110,419 118,566 -16,196 -12.0% -2.5% -0.9% 130
9 Voyage 103,757 107,215 101,328 104,908 103,194 107,684 3,927 3.8% 0.7% 0.2% 77
10 Ka 102,327 95,004 98,493 101,007 93,449 86,561 -15,766 -15.4% -3.3% -0.9% 129

Autofacts Regional Powertrain Summary – Americas

North America: Fuel Type and Delivery by % Share North America: Weighted Engine Displacement
2009 – 2014 2009 – 2014 (Cubic Centimeters)
100% 50% 3,500

3,400
80% 40% 3,300
60% 30% 3,200
3,100
40% 20% 3,000
2,900
20% 10%
2,800
0% 0% 2,700
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Gasoline Diesel Hybrid
Electric DI (R-Axis)
Transmission Outlook 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg '09 Share '14 Share
1 Automatic 7,170,337 8,931,558 9,938,900 10,613,336 10,857,739 11,072,064 3,901,727 54.4% 83.7% 74.1%
2 Manual 760,847 854,825 965,772 973,184 972,266 939,481 178,634 23.5% 8.9% 6.3%
3 CVT 606,508 936,251 1,142,067 1,345,828 1,389,588 1,440,088 833,580 137.4% 7.1% 9.6%
4 DCT 28,346 124,571 356,059 533,973 930,999 1,193,943 1,165,597 4112.0% 0.3% 8.0%
5 AMT 0 836 64,153 74,936 86,451 88,356 88,356 - 0.0% 0.6%
6 Electric 676 2,648 13,777 159,621 181,928 205,668 204,992 30324.3% 0.0% 1.4%
South America: Fuel Type and Delivery by % Share South America: Weighted Engine Displacement
100% 14% 1,600

12%
80% 1,550
10%
60% 8%
1,500
40% 6%
4% 1,450
20%
2%
0% 0% 1,400
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1 Automatic 194,964 223,893 294,966 335,764 331,269 336,858 141,894 72.8% 5.3% 6.1%
2 Manual 3,486,547 3,725,467 4,122,368 4,513,191 4,758,249 4,950,841 1,464,294 42.0% 94.6% 89.6%
3 CVT 3,084 3,193 4,180 5,028 16,002 25,116 22,032 714.4% 0.1% 0.5%
4 DCT 202 2,013 9,748 22,810 40,570 49,715 49,513 24511.4% 0.0% 0.9%
5 AMT 0 4,371 10,417 37,366 90,314 162,630 162,630 - 0.0% 2.9%
6 Electric 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 0.0% 0.0%

Autofacts Regional Baseline Forecast Data – European Union

EU Alliance Groups 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 VW-Suzuki 3,612,974 3,521,386 3,840,299 4,080,170 4,207,771 4,429,592 816,618 22.6% 4.2% 24.5% 1
2 PSA Group 2,127,001 2,168,246 2,302,576 2,310,382 2,443,524 2,482,758 355,757 16.7% 3.1% 10.7% 4
3 Renault-Nissan 1,824,730 1,844,427 1,767,008 1,788,126 1,851,266 1,896,785 72,055 3.9% 0.8% 2.2% 12
4 Ford Group 1,625,112 1,513,839 1,676,131 1,832,095 1,756,531 1,799,237 174,125 10.7% 2.1% 5.2% 8
5 Fiat Group 1,305,414 1,198,143 1,206,531 1,461,053 1,569,162 1,536,321 230,907 17.7% 3.3% 6.9% 6
6 GM Group 1,154,387 1,205,735 1,299,065 1,302,662 1,310,371 1,386,099 231,712 20.1% 3.7% 6.9% 5
7 BMW Group 1,039,761 1,106,799 1,105,484 1,144,424 1,320,846 1,399,785 360,024 34.6% 6.1% 10.8% 2
8 Daimler Group 1,022,878 1,075,442 1,134,453 1,215,973 1,338,087 1,378,792 355,914 34.8% 6.2% 10.7% 3
9 Toyota Group 445,277 399,118 421,682 441,933 475,245 493,726 48,449 10.9% 2.1% 1.5% 13
10 Hyundai Group 268,021 381,497 488,289 488,104 469,791 456,896 188,875 70.5% 11.3% 5.7% 7
Capacity 20,655,797 20,581,592 20,747,731 21,199,967 21,291,331 21,659,502
Excess Capacity 6,230,242 6,166,960 5,506,213 5,135,045 4,548,737 4,399,511
Utilisation (% ) 69.84% 70.04% 73.46% 75.78% 78.64% 79.69%
EU Platforms 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 PQ35/46 (A5) Volkswagen 1,889,990 1,761,500 1,712,849 1,551,704 1,028,279 632,366 -1,257,624 -66.5% -19.7% -37.7% 149
2 X85/B Renault 773,084 770,646 801,079 823,854 911,954 906,755 133,671 17.3% 3.2% 4.0% 17
3 PF2 PSA 760,039 814,722 935,657 888,816 898,977 978,014 217,975 28.7% 5.2% 6.5% 9
4 PF1 PSA 753,225 778,550 763,661 865,920 994,848 923,579 170,354 22.6% 4.2% 5.1% 13
5 FIAT/GM 199/4400 Fiat 705,295 698,436 728,107 734,096 642,838 525,994 -179,301 -25.4% -5.7% -5.4% 144
6 X84/C Renault 619,967 668,759 593,738 533,355 485,809 474,886 -145,081 -23.4% -5.2% -4.3% 142
7 169 Fiat 595,003 514,338 557,836 674,500 640,641 628,983 33,980 5.7% 1.1% 1.0% 38
8 L2 BMW 590,927 606,260 483,906 207,919 108,304 65,578 -525,349 -88.9% -35.6% -15.7% 148
9 C1/P1 Ford 557,340 532,423 582,490 785,255 752,665 734,275 176,935 31.7% 5.7% 5.3% 11
10 NBC Toyota 548,274 481,299 497,001 520,033 534,823 513,064 -35,210 -6.4% -1.3% -1.1% 124
Top 10 Total Assembly 7,793,144 7,626,933 7,656,324 7,585,452 6,999,138 6,383,494 -1,409,650 -18.1% -3.9% -42.2%
EU Brands 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 Volkswagen 1,820,995 1,750,648 1,949,804 1,901,447 1,954,441 2,041,028 220,033 12.1% 2.3% 6.6% 4
2 Ford 1,329,407 1,255,171 1,313,516 1,442,322 1,353,758 1,361,360 31,953 2.4% 0.5% 1.0% 25
3 Renault 1,158,143 1,202,790 1,104,067 1,127,147 1,157,971 1,181,999 23,856 2.1% 0.4% 0.7% 27
4 Opel-Vauxhall 1,114,539 1,131,297 1,223,177 1,242,805 1,250,549 1,323,687 209,148 18.8% 3.5% 6.3% 5
5 Peugeot 1,076,896 1,081,766 1,113,908 1,176,441 1,324,365 1,303,334 226,438 21.0% 3.9% 6.8% 3
6 Citroen 1,050,105 1,086,480 1,188,668 1,133,941 1,119,159 1,179,424 129,319 12.3% 2.3% 3.9% 10
7 Fiat * 1,032,192 909,080 855,597 1,056,808 1,137,361 1,116,018 83,826 8.1% 1.6% 2.5% 16
8 Mercedes-Benz 907,440 987,485 1,053,658 1,137,856 1,215,946 1,208,521 301,081 33.2% 5.9% 9.0% 2
9 BMW 825,248 884,925 839,416 864,486 961,560 1,025,373 200,125 24.3% 4.4% 6.0% 6
10 Audi 782,964 825,071 922,352 1,014,901 998,719 1,109,757 326,793 41.7% 7.2% 9.8% 1
EU Nameplates 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 Golf 543,146 490,704 448,113 422,572 527,405 487,055 -56,091 -10.3% -2.2% -1.7% 351
2 Fiesta 518,653 451,746 411,135 389,456 336,740 311,924 -206,729 -39.9% -9.7% -6.2% 362
3 207 385,433 353,912 323,499 93,165 10,989 -385,433 -100.0% -100.0% -11.5% 364
4 Corsa 360,074 313,031 274,965 244,752 308,585 378,291 18,217 5.1% 1.0% 0.5% 106
5 Punto 344,200 278,997 243,399 293,140 329,839 294,681 -49,519 -14.4% -3.1% -1.5% 348
6 Astra 318,420 364,489 413,752 426,491 379,299 362,598 44,178 13.9% 2.6% 1.3% 48
7 3 Series 311,630 289,648 272,833 284,153 376,161 341,149 29,519 9.5% 1.8% 0.9% 75
8 Panda 306,244 245,857 224,620 254,700 235,214 222,672 -83,572 -27.3% -6.2% -2.5% 359
9 Focus 305,979 295,045 320,941 422,430 401,537 379,917 73,938 24.2% 4.4% 2.2% 14
10 Polo 293,682 304,128 291,427 248,184 226,833 222,141 -71,541 -24.4% -5.4% -2.1% 357

Autofacts Regional Baseline Forecast Data – East Europe

EE Alliance Groups 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 Renault-Nissan 639,031 912,991 895,095 1,017,293 1,148,441 1,247,664 608,633 95.2% 14.3% 29.1% 1
2 GM Group 269,793 317,603 336,442 337,764 398,096 441,696 171,903 63.7% 10.4% 8.2% 4
3 Ford Group 213,100 265,914 272,897 247,793 269,729 273,051 59,951 28.1% 5.1% 2.9% 9
4 Fiat Group 205,951 237,818 413,186 539,088 555,464 592,960 387,009 187.9% 23.6% 18.5% 2
5 Hyundai Group 123,465 176,863 220,881 274,444 290,568 317,529 194,064 157.2% 20.8% 9.3% 3
6 PSA Group 82,081 97,748 111,940 144,386 148,867 152,268 70,187 85.5% 13.2% 3.4% 8
7 Toyota Group 80,494 90,304 144,903 187,240 216,403 233,288 152,794 189.8% 23.7% 7.3% 5
8 VW-Suzuki 51,754 126,726 162,619 173,366 182,615 188,206 136,452 263.7% 29.5% 6.5% 6
9 GAZ Group 34,871 50,826 87,360 101,552 118,593 135,206 100,335 287.7% 31.1% 4.8% 7
10 UAZ 24,994 33,810 36,727 34,102 32,935 46,235 21,241 85.0% 13.1% 1.0% 13
Capacity 4,107,290 4,344,010 4,743,133 5,204,605 5,415,447 5,417,756
Excess Capacity 2,381,756 2,033,407 2,061,083 2,147,577 2,053,736 1,789,653
Utilisation (% ) 42.01% 53.19% 56.55% 58.74% 62.08% 66.97%
EE Platforms 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 X85/B Renault 229,177 252,375 291,721 376,489 408,140 407,516 178,339 77.8% 12.2% 8.5% 3
2 FIAT/GM 199/4400 Fiat 172,896 261,965 355,434 460,701 464,434 478,527 305,631 176.8% 22.6% 14.6% 2
3 2108 AvtoVAZ 172,774 277,620 239,411 189,649 148,334 205,001 32,227 18.7% 3.5% 1.5% 23
4 T Adam Opel 90,650 81,788 84,295 0 0 0 -90,650 -100.0% -100.0% -4.3% 106
5 V184/5 Ford Werke 88,910 129,731 132,420 158,866 180,845 180,657 91,747 103.2% 15.2% 4.4% 9
6 178 Fiat Group 83,213 9,778 0 0 0 0 -83,213 -100.0% -100.0% -4.0% 105
7 C170 Ford Werke 82,823 70,175 64,075 0 0 0 -82,823 -100.0% -100.0% -4.0% 104
8 150L Toyota Motor 72,264 78,567 92,986 94,992 117,451 126,094 53,830 74.5% 11.8% 2.6% 13
9 M100 Daewoo 69,161 59,715 867 1,009 1,511 1,884 -67,277 -97.3% -51.4% -3.2% 103
10 X65 Renault 64,117 48,534 44,304 48,012 37,446 39,950 -24,167 -37.7% -9.0% -1.2% 98
EE Brands 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 Renault 327,254 366,400 363,478 377,314 401,197 409,819 82,565 25.2% 4.6% 3.9% 9
2 Lada 308,975 522,624 480,494 538,155 639,740 724,948 415,973 134.6% 18.6% 19.9% 1
3 Ford 213,100 265,914 272,897 247,793 269,729 273,051 59,951 28.1% 5.1% 2.9% 11
4 Fiat 202,700 232,367 340,953 429,717 435,936 453,547 250,847 123.8% 17.5% 12.0% 3
5 Daewoo 183,413 160,981 106,663 23,331 25,852 26,807 -156,606 -85.4% -31.9% -7.5% 42
6 Chevrolet 80,798 134,460 203,333 273,849 316,029 361,965 281,167 348.0% 35.0% 13.4% 2
7 Toyota *
80,494 90,304 144,903 187,240 216,403 233,288 152,794 189.8% 23.7% 7.3% 4
8 Hyundai 78,224 119,649 165,548 196,099 207,679 228,996 150,772 192.7% 24.0% 7.2% 5
9 Citroen 45,721 42,343 44,673 60,182 69,005 72,147 26,426 57.8% 9.6% 1.3% 19
10 Kia 45,241 57,214 55,333 78,345 82,889 88,533 43,292 95.7% 14.4% 2.1% 17
EE Nameplates 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 Clio 179,495 165,721 151,865 151,703 179,772 169,162 -10,333 -5.8% -1.2% -0.5% 173
2 Priora 91,081 141,311 121,141 93,413 0 0 -91,081 -100.0% -100.0% -4.3% 186
3 Nexia 90,650 81,788 84,295 0 0 0 -90,650 -100.0% -100.0% -4.3% 185
4 Transit 88,910 129,731 132,420 158,866 180,845 180,657 91,747 103.2% 15.2% 4.4% 5
5 Transit Connect 82,823 70,175 64,075 0 0 0 -82,823 -100.0% -100.0% -4.0% 184
6 Doblo 77,540 103,933 114,853 146,188 153,815 159,197 81,657 105.3% 15.5% 3.9% 6
7 Samara 75,787 131,174 106,366 81,375 733 0 -75,787 -100.0% -100.0% -3.6% 183
8 Fiorino 73,692 64,022 55,339 52,422 46,850 45,100 -28,592 -38.8% -9.4% -1.4% 179
9 Matiz 69,130 59,070 0 0 0 0 -69,130 -100.0% -100.0% -3.3% 182
10 Symbol 64,117 48,534 44,304 48,012 37,446 39,950 -24,167 -37.7% -9.0% -1.2% 178
Top 10 Total Assembly 893,225 995,459 874,658 731,979 599,461 594,066 -299,159 -33.5% -7.8% -14.3%

Autofacts Regional Powertrain Summary – Europe

European Union: Fuel Type and Delivery by % Share European Union: Weighted Engine Displacement
100% 100% 1,800

80% 80%
1,750
60% 60%
40% 40%
1,700
20% 20%
0% 0% 1,650
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1 Automatic 1,692,910 1,941,782 2,089,185 2,115,046 2,165,979 2,169,508 476,598 28.2% 11.5% 12.0%
2 Manual 11,674,470 11,481,509 11,898,031 12,479,405 12,741,529 12,939,281 1,264,811 10.8% 79.2% 71.6%
3 CVT 214,536 188,461 173,367 132,595 121,075 142,295 (72,241) -33.7% 1.5% 0.8%
4 DCT 621,906 787,319 1,052,672 1,337,191 1,597,448 1,756,912 1,135,006 182.5% 4.2% 9.7%
5 AMT 535,924 467,692 540,170 633,719 736,238 839,126 303,202 56.6% 3.6% 4.6%
6 Electric 155 12,335 47,523 101,903 156,973 230,560 230,405 148648.4% 0.0% 1.3%
East Europe: Fuel Type and Delivery by % Share East Europe: Weighted Engine Displacement
100% 40% 1,700

80% 38% 1,650
60% 36%
1,600
40% 34%
1,550
20% 32%
0% 30% 1,500
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1 Automatic 50,847 109,451 166,336 201,508 213,410 227,850 177,003 348.1% 2.8% 5.9%
2 Manual 1,708,938 2,262,122 2,606,214 2,952,720 3,237,367 3,504,046 1,795,108 105.0% 95.8% 90.3%
3 CVT 1,563 11,606 41,494 45,054 41,735 28,612 27,049 1730.6% 0.1% 0.7%
4 DCT 2,357 9,553 8,262 20,966 26,732 53,655 51,298 2176.4% 0.1% 1.4%
5 AMT 20,491 27,658 28,793 35,966 37,355 40,099 19,608 95.7% 1.1% 1.0%
6 Electric 3,509 7,843 10,468 20,404 24,906 24,906 - 0.0% 0.6%

Autofacts Regional Baseline Forecast Data – Developed Asia-Pacific

AP Alliance Groups 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 Toyota Group 3,796,250 4,257,688 4,451,884 4,738,578 4,651,859 4,537,618 741,368 19.5% 3.6% 32.1% 1
2 Hyundai Group 2,612,977 2,600,084 2,717,283 2,758,965 2,796,740 2,853,115 240,138 9.2% 1.8% 10.4% 4
3 Renault-Nissan 1,138,982 1,412,341 1,457,994 1,452,520 1,501,800 1,524,545 385,563 33.9% 6.0% 16.7% 2
4 Honda Group 840,924 945,975 1,062,800 1,014,350 1,044,512 980,105 139,181 16.6% 3.1% 6.0% 7
5 Ford Group 801,721 831,799 870,943 906,459 939,135 962,570 160,849 20.1% 3.7% 7.0% 6
6 VW-Suzuki 776,517 878,002 947,733 910,081 899,868 889,635 113,118 14.6% 2.8% 4.9% 8
7 GM Group 614,717 670,703 866,910 924,978 936,423 920,637 305,920 49.8% 8.4% 13.2% 3
8 Mitsubishi Group 375,161 495,289 586,058 633,911 609,058 573,030 197,869 52.7% 8.8% 8.6% 5
9 Shanghai Auto 34,703 49,274 50,367 52,779 53,389 49,878 15,175 43.7% 7.5% 0.7% 9
10 PSA Group 10,000 12,265 14,139 16,033 18,414 20,877 10,877 108.8% 15.9% 0.5% 10
Capacity 16,667,584 16,605,771 16,760,558 16,718,055 16,730,163 16,744,661
Excess Capacity 5,665,632 4,452,351 3,734,447 3,309,401 3,278,965 3,432,651
Utilisation (% ) 66.01% 73.19% 77.72% 80.20% 80.40% 79.50%
AP Platforms 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 MC Toyota 1,226,694 1,361,066 1,382,319 1,563,804 1,501,391 1,500,492 273,798 22.3% 4.1% 11.9% 4
2 HD Hyundai 736,801 926,914 946,737 935,063 913,802 924,431 187,630 25.5% 4.6% 8.1% 6
3 YP/YN Suzuki 582,755 582,876 609,914 521,517 529,195 520,460 -62,295 -10.7% -2.2% -2.7% 96
4 MC Hyundai 542,472 454,827 244,846 193,084 122,562 0 -542,472 -100.0% -100.0% -23.5% 107
5 NF Hyundai 501,352 680,000 783,926 874,146 900,585 867,810 366,458 73.1% 11.6% 15.9% 2
6 L4 Daihatsu 468,650 607,853 694,768 705,604 615,787 606,515 137,865 29.4% 5.3% 6.0% 11
7 NBC Toyota 466,901 525,708 643,550 665,666 623,600 579,729 112,828 24.2% 4.4% 4.9% 13
8 C1/P1 Ford 394,199 376,566 403,979 397,444 386,270 458,338 64,139 16.3% 3.1% 2.8% 22
9 X85/B Renault 330,059 345,657 359,000 382,486 358,209 354,434 24,375 7.4% 1.4% 1.1% 41
10 SI Fuji 309,650 319,455 283,314 290,486 378,190 356,408 46,758 15.1% 2.9% 2.0% 30
AP Brands 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 Toyota 2,452,975 2,789,481 2,835,178 2,993,752 2,924,399 2,843,880 390,905 15.9% 3.0% 16.9% 1
2 Hyundai 1,558,970 1,466,822 1,539,267 1,596,775 1,617,208 1,588,156 29,186 1.9% 0.4% 1.3% 15
3 Kia 1,054,007 1,133,262 1,178,016 1,162,190 1,179,532 1,264,959 210,952 20.0% 3.7% 9.1% 3
4 Nissan 901,855 1,066,862 1,106,071 1,097,625 1,074,130 1,110,235 208,380 23.1% 4.2% 9.0% 4
5 Honda 826,147 920,608 1,037,163 991,361 1,010,960 948,864 122,717 14.9% 2.8% 5.3% 10
6 Suzuki 776,517 878,002 947,733 910,081 899,868 889,635 113,118 14.6% 2.8% 4.9% 11
*
7 Mazda 752,917 775,767 812,109 852,003 865,647 897,646 144,729 19.2% 3.6% 6.3% 8
8 Daihatsu 652,078 669,756 689,840 720,419 647,495 648,574 -3,504 -0.5% -0.1% -0.2% 23
9 Subaru 419,318 403,888 364,377 376,371 420,327 392,234 -27,084 -6.5% -1.3% -1.2% 25
10 Mitsubishi 375,161 495,289 586,058 633,911 609,058 573,030 197,869 52.7% 8.8% 8.6% 5
AP Nameplates 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 Prius 394,374 542,550 493,746 499,437 509,656 541,394 147,020 37.3% 6.5% 6.4% 2
2 Axela 326,354 301,560 276,777 248,575 235,450 314,454 -11,900 -3.6% -0.7% -0.5% 285
3 Fit 212,718 244,375 233,951 212,334 209,842 145,330 -67,388 -31.7% -7.3% -2.9% 327
4 Forte 204,523 153,587 173,527 174,235 167,644 210,912 6,389 3.1% 0.6% 0.3% 125
5 Elantra/i30 204,385 225,746 208,159 197,257 184,338 195,206 -9,179 -4.5% -0.9% -0.4% 278
6 Wagon R 203,163 189,994 185,492 171,688 170,940 182,724 -20,439 -10.1% -2.1% -0.9% 299
7 Move 182,833 168,654 165,020 158,819 139,421 135,862 -46,971 -25.7% -5.8% -2.0% 322
8 Accent 178,783 130,540 154,480 150,449 130,872 108,925 -69,858 -39.1% -9.4% -3.0% 328
9 RAV4 175,384 149,473 125,847 213,884 140,130 108,725 -66,659 -38.0% -9.1% -2.9% 326
10 Tucson/iX35 172,241 165,650 163,184 169,118 170,340 165,110 -7,131 -4.1% -0.8% -0.3% 267

Autofacts Regional Baseline Forecast Data – Developing Asia-Pacific

AP Alliance Groups 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 VW-Suzuki 2,645,795 3,011,843 3,260,016 3,769,284 4,095,903 4,220,555 1,574,760 59.5% 9.8% 13.9% 1
2 GM Group 1,858,825 2,152,172 2,220,451 2,416,454 2,520,247 2,665,388 806,563 43.4% 7.5% 7.1% 4
3 Toyota Group 1,657,574 2,060,653 2,421,118 2,739,472 2,909,381 2,961,746 1,304,172 78.7% 12.3% 11.5% 2
4 Hyundai Group 1,436,408 1,553,054 1,571,106 1,565,998 1,737,811 1,923,393 486,985 33.9% 6.0% 4.3% 9
5 Chang'an Group 1,045,091 1,101,741 1,092,563 1,106,752 1,160,794 1,222,639 177,548 17.0% 3.2% 1.6% 17
6 Honda Group 933,672 1,042,990 1,219,721 1,455,139 1,467,617 1,555,497 621,825 66.6% 10.7% 5.5% 6
7 Renault-Nissan 783,935 1,190,237 1,423,734 1,668,752 1,880,957 2,064,405 1,280,470 163.3% 21.4% 11.3% 3
8 Ford Group 742,101 931,778 987,346 1,141,256 1,304,122 1,335,584 593,483 80.0% 12.5% 5.2% 7
9 Chery Auto 491,053 610,675 755,468 876,857 960,521 1,054,437 563,384 114.7% 16.5% 5.0% 8
10 BYD Group 426,147 590,463 621,341 605,156 663,263 714,673 288,526 67.7% 10.9% 2.5% 13
Capacity 15,420,008 17,149,127 18,621,290 20,238,093 20,849,602 21,685,976
Excess Capacity 3,399,407 2,903,521 3,048,426 2,892,973 2,148,986 1,967,659
Utilisation (% ) 77.95% 83.07% 83.63% 85.71% 89.69% 90.93%
AP Platforms 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 CARRY Suzuki 1,318,748 1,287,487 1,251,474 1,290,086 1,336,360 1,371,245 52,497 4.0% 0.8% 0.5% 63
2 MINICAB Mitsubishi 1,020,594 1,079,872 1,099,965 1,114,304 1,155,462 1,244,689 224,095 22.0% 4.0% 2.0% 18
3 EC Suzuki 696,106 738,295 805,517 790,569 897,825 909,014 212,908 30.6% 5.5% 1.9% 21
4 A2 Volkswagen 464,949 544,474 593,785 634,707 693,908 728,911 263,962 56.8% 9.4% 2.3% 14
5 X85/B Renault 442,719 534,297 594,321 709,046 773,206 824,494 381,775 86.2% 13.2% 3.4% 6
6 YP/YN Suzuki 382,163 496,845 549,709 672,617 684,128 702,197 320,034 83.7% 12.9% 2.8% 10
7 GSP Honda 375,402 420,365 449,251 448,874 441,740 508,168 132,766 35.4% 6.2% 1.2% 39
8 J3 Hyundai 368,463 301,087 221,738 121,417 3,020 3,454 -365,009 -99.1% -60.7% -3.2% 208
9 CX2 Mitsubishi 358,034 442,917 470,455 469,473 522,725 583,575 225,541 63.0% 10.3% 2.0% 17
10 IMV Toyota 357,348 472,378 553,196 592,627 622,590 622,577 265,229 74.2% 11.7% 2.3% 13
AP Brands 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 Toyota 1,424,305 1,792,659 2,132,147 2,435,486 2,598,114 2,642,526 1,218,221 85.5% 13.2% 10.7% 1
2 Hyundai 1,188,247 1,233,604 1,240,131 1,278,220 1,440,742 1,616,065 427,818 36.0% 6.3% 3.8% 8
3 Volkswagen 1,137,634 1,289,398 1,377,047 1,614,643 1,698,796 1,791,351 653,717 57.5% 9.5% 5.8% 4
4 Wuling 1,001,114 1,061,264 1,091,519 1,104,491 1,145,055 1,234,624 233,510 23.3% 4.3% 2.1% 14
5 Maruti 938,002 984,962 1,040,033 1,022,843 1,137,431 1,167,431 229,429 24.5% 4.5% 2.0% 15
6 Honda 933,672 1,026,120 1,137,901 1,323,061 1,340,263 1,433,318 499,646 53.5% 9.0% 4.4% 7
*
7 Chang'an 796,184 881,232 851,695 855,620 884,197 930,327 134,143 16.8% 3.2% 1.2% 25
8 Nissan 776,404 1,155,780 1,361,088 1,541,066 1,675,803 1,820,416 1,044,012 134.5% 18.6% 9.2% 2
9 Chery 490,486 567,571 706,490 828,244 915,306 1,013,307 522,821 106.6% 15.6% 4.6% 5
10 Buick 429,032 465,017 469,219 463,097 465,474 476,273 47,241 11.0% 2.1% 0.4% 43
AP Nameplates 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unit Diff. % Chg CAGR CTG % Rank*
1 SC63/10 Series 682,744 760,213 740,485 743,598 755,470 765,382 82,638 12.1% 2.3% 0.7% 32
2 Sunshine 546,127 571,138 564,928 568,833 590,557 618,773 72,646 13.3% 2.5% 0.6% 38
3 Elantra/i30 412,299 409,532 380,712 288,488 290,462 273,516 -138,783 -33.7% -7.9% -1.2% 496
4 Santro/i10 388,852 340,480 290,560 261,440 325,339 389,829 977 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 391
5 Corolla 306,136 330,948 411,479 366,308 424,981 416,291 110,155 36.0% 6.3% 1.0% 23
6 Alto 295,696 330,620 289,108 260,009 264,646 277,399 -18,297 -6.2% -1.3% -0.2% 482
7 F3 271,570 334,120 358,725 361,008 413,899 451,981 180,411 66.4% 10.7% 1.6% 11
8 Excelle 236,475 207,602 212,130 199,476 193,945 196,612 -39,863 -16.9% -3.6% -0.4% 490
9 City 234,582 249,558 255,153 253,552 238,340 281,348 46,766 19.9% 3.7% 0.4% 72
10 Swift 234,485 245,154 251,851 273,571 264,193 255,931 21,446 9.1% 1.8% 0.2% 161

Autofacts Regional Powertrain Summary – Asia-Pacific

Developed AP: Fuel Type and Delivery by % Share Developed AP: Weighted Engine Displacement
100% 30% 2,000

80% 25% 1,950
20% 1,900
60%
15%
40% 1,850
10%
20% 5% 1,800
0% 0% 1,750
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1 Automatic 5,123,466 5,272,391 5,231,843 5,384,345 5,173,899 4,973,302 (150,164) -2.9% 46.6% 37.4%
2 Manual 3,006,856 3,148,074 3,267,186 3,236,757 3,192,650 3,144,418 137,562 4.6% 27.3% 23.6%
3 CVT 2,855,910 3,683,366 4,408,857 4,644,016 4,917,238 5,007,682 2,151,772 75.3% 26.0% 37.6%
4 DCT 13,379 18,727 15,394 15,821 14,233 13,930 551 4.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 AMT 1,497 8,375 22,146 22,649 21,893 21,558 20,061 1340.1% 0.0% 0.2%
6 Electric 1,165 22,959 81,236 105,508 131,746 151,592 150,427 12912.2% 0.0% 1.1%
Developing AP: Fuel Type and Delivery by % Share Developing AP: Weighted Engine Displacement
100% 25% 1,700

80% 20% 1,650
60% 15%
1,600
40% 10%
1,550
20% 5%
0% 0% 1,500
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1 Automatic 4,953,713 5,902,789 6,461,922 6,962,318 7,356,659 7,672,110 2,718,397 54.9% 31.6% 28.4%
2 Manual 10,164,069 12,038,429 13,408,153 15,039,008 16,323,703 17,305,872 7,141,803 70.3% 64.8% 64.0%
3 CVT 490,978 680,073 776,599 977,203 1,043,854 1,204,281 713,303 145.3% 3.1% 4.5%
4 DCT 70,979 128,124 273,914 415,777 476,639 510,215 439,236 618.8% 0.5% 1.9%
5 AMT 4,676 22,845 93,046 306,454 318,163 315,560 310,884 6648.5% 0.0% 1.2%
6 Electric 3,086 4,296 7,928 9,679 12,616 12,616 - 0.0% 0.0%

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Analyst Note Plus | April 2010

Quarterly Forecast Update

The Brazilian economy was one of the few to post

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Autofacts Baseline Forecast Data – Global

Growth Analytics (2009-2014)

**Rankings based on contribution to total global growth (CTG%).

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Autofacts Baseline Forecast Data – Global

Growth Analytics (2009-2014)

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Autofacts Baseline Forecast Data – Global

Growth Analytics (2009-2014)

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Autofacts Baseline Forecast Data – Global Powertrain

Growth Analytics (2009-2014)

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Autofacts Regional Baseline Forecast Data – North America

Growth Analytics (2009-2014)

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Autofacts Regional Baseline Forecast Data – South America

Growth Analytics (2009-2014)

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Autofacts Regional Powertrain Summary – Americas

100% 50% 3,500

100% 14% 1,600

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Autofacts Regional Baseline Forecast Data – European Union

Growth Analytics (2009-2014)

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Autofacts Regional Baseline Forecast Data – East Europe

Growth Analytics (2009-2014)

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Autofacts Regional Powertrain Summary – Europe

100% 100% 1,800

100% 40% 1,700

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Autofacts Regional Baseline Forecast Data – Developed Asia-Pacific

Growth Analytics (2009-2014)

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Autofacts Regional Baseline Forecast Data – Developing Asia-Pacific

Growth Analytics (2009-2014)

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Autofacts Regional Powertrain Summary – Asia-Pacific

100% 30% 2,000

100% 25% 1,700

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