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b. Primary markets are the markets in which newly issued securities are
sold for the first time. Secondary markets are where securities are
resold after initial issue in the primary market. The New York Stock
Exchange is a secondary market.
d. Derivatives are claims whose value depends on what happens to the value
of some other asset. Futures and options are two important types of
derivatives, and their values depend on what happens to the prices of
other assets, say IBM stock, Japanese yen, or pork bellies. Therefore,
the value of a derivative security is derived from the value of an
underlying real asset.
g. A mutual fund is a corporation that sells shares in the fund and uses
the proceeds to buy stocks, long-term bonds, or short-term debt
instruments. The resulting dividends, interest, and capital gains are
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2002 by Harcourt, Inc. Answers and Solutions: 5 - 1
distributed to the fund’s shareholders after the deduction of operating
expenses. Different funds are designed to meet different objectives.
Money market funds are mutual funds which invest in short-term debt
instruments and offer their shareholders check writing privileges;
thus, they are essentially interest-bearing checking accounts.
j. The real risk-free rate is that interest rate which equalizes the
aggregate supply of, and demand for, riskless securities in an economy
with zero inflation. The real risk-free rate could also be called the
pure rate of interest since it is the rate of interest that would exist
on very short-term, default-free U.S. Treasury securities if the
expected rate of inflation were zero. It has been estimated that this
rate of interest, denoted by k*, has fluctuated in recent years in the
United States in the range of 2 to 4 percent. The nominal risk-free
rate of interest, denoted by kRF, is the real risk-free rate plus a
premium for expected inflation. The short-term nominal risk-free rate
is usually approximated by the U.S. Treasury bill rate, while the long-
term nominal risk-free rate is approximated by the rate on U.S.
Treasury bonds. Note that while T-bonds are free of default and
liquidity risks, they are subject to risks due to changes in the
general level of interest rates.
k. The inflation premium is the premium added to the real risk-free rate
of interest to compensate for the expected loss of purchasing power.
The inflation premium is the average rate of inflation expected over
the life of the security.
l. Default risk is the risk that a borrower will not pay the interest
and/or principal on a loan as they become due. Thus, a default risk
premium (DRP) is added to the real risk-free rate to compensate
investors for bearing default risk.
Answers and Solutions: 5 - 2 Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2002 by Harcourt, Inc.
m. Liquidity refers to a firm’s cash and marketable securities position,
and to its ability to meet maturing obligations. A liquid asset is any
asset that can be quickly sold and converted to cash at its “fair”
value. Active markets provide liquidity. A liquidity premium is added
to the real risk-free rate of interest, in addition to other premiums,
if a security is not liquid.
n. Interest rate risk arises from the fact that bond prices decline when
interest rates rise. Under these circumstances, selling a bond prior
to maturity will result in a capital loss, and the longer the term to
maturity, the larger the loss. Thus, a maturity risk premium must be
added to the real risk-free rate of interest to compensate for interest
rate risk.
r. The expectations theory states that the slope of the yield curve
depends on expectations about future inflation rates and interest
rates. Thus, if the annual rate of inflation and future interest rates
are expected to increase, the yield curve will be upward sloping,
whereas the curve will be downward sloping if the annual rates are
expected to decrease.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2002 by Harcourt, Inc. Answers and Solutions: 5 - 3
financial intermediation, resources are allocated more effectively, and
the real output of the economy is thereby increased.
5-5 The prices of goods and services must cover their costs. Costs include
labor, materials, and capital. Capital costs to a borrower include a
return to the saver who supplied the capital, plus a mark-up (called a
“spread”) for the financial intermediary which brings the saver and the
borrower together. The more efficient the financial system, the lower the
costs of intermediation, the lower the costs to the borrower, and, hence,
the lower the prices of goods and services to consumers.
5-6 Short-term rates are more volatile because (1) the Fed operates mainly in
the short-term sector, hence Federal Reserve intervention has its major
effect here, and (2) long-term rates reflect the average expected
inflation rate over the next 20 to 30 years, and this average does not
change as radically as year-to-year expectations.
5-7 Interest rates will fall as the recession takes hold because (1) business
borrowings will decrease and (2) the Fed will increase the money supply to
stimulate the economy. Thus, it would be better to borrow short-term now,
and then to convert to long-term when rates have reached a cyclical low.
Note, though, that this answer requires interest rate forecasting, which
is extremely difficult to do with better than 50 percent accuracy.
5-8 a. If transfers between the two markets are costly, interest rates would
be different in the two areas. Area Y, with the relatively young
population, would have less in savings accumulation and stronger loan
demand. Area O, with the relatively old population, would have more
savings accumulation and weaker loan demand as the members of the older
population have already purchased their houses and are less consumption
oriented. Thus, supply/demand equilibrium would be at a higher rate of
interest in Area Y.
Answers and Solutions: 5 - 4 Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2002 by Harcourt, Inc.
b. Yes. Nationwide branching, and so forth, would reduce the cost of
financial transfers between the areas. Thus, funds would flow from
Area O with excess relative supply to Area Y with excess relative
demand. This flow would increase the interest rate in Area O and
decrease the interest rate in Y until the rates were roughly equal, the
difference being the transfer cost.
5-10 a. The immediate effect on the yield curve would be to lower interest
rates in the short-term end of the market, since the Fed deals
primarily in that market segment. However, people would expect higher
future inflation, which would raise long-term rates. The result would
be a much steeper yield curve.
5-11 a. S&Ls would have a higher level of net income with a “normal” yield
curve. In this situation their liabilities (deposits), which are
short-term, would have a lower cost than the returns being generated by
their assets (mortgages), which are long-term. Thus they would have a
positive “spread.”
5-12 Treasury bonds, along with all other bonds, are available to investors as
an alternative investment to common stocks. An increase in the return on
Treasury bonds would increase the appeal of these bonds relative to common
stocks, and some investors would sell their stocks to buy T-bonds. This
would cause stock prices, in general, to fall. Another way to view this
is that a relatively riskless investment (T-bonds) has increased its
return by 7 percentage points. The return demanded on riskier investments
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(stocks) would also increase, thus driving down stock prices. The exact
relationship will be discussed in Chapters 5 (with respect to risk) and 8
and 9 (with respect to price).
Answers and Solutions: 5 - 6 Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2002 by Harcourt, Inc.
SOLUTIONS TO END-OF-CHAPTER PROBLEMS
k = k* + IP + DRP + LP + MRP.
kT-2 = k* + IP2
IP2 = (2% + 4%)/2 = 3%
kT-2 = 3% + 3% = 6%.
kT-3 = k* + IP3
IP3 = (2% + 4% + 4%)/3 = 3.33%
kT-3 = 3% + 3.33% = 6.33%.
k = k* + IP + DRP + LP + MRP.
Because both bonds are 10-year bonds the inflation premium and maturity
risk premium on both bonds are equal. The only difference between them is
the liquidity and default risk premiums.
5% + 6%
kT-2 = = 5.5%.
2
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5-5 Let x equal the yield on 1-year securities 1 year from now:
(5.6% + x)/2 = 6%
5.6% + x = 12%
x = 6.4%.
5-6 Let x equal the yield on 2-year securities 4 years from now:
3% + k1 in Year 2
k2 = = 4.5%,
2
b. For riskless bonds under the expectations theory, the interest rate for
a bond of any maturity is kn = k* + average inflation over n years. If
k* = 1%, we can solve for IPn:
Year 1: k1 = 1% + I1 = 3%;
I1 = expected inflation = 3% - 1% = 2%.
Year 2: k1 = 1% + I2 = 6%;
I2 = expected inflation = 6% - 1% = 5%.
Note also that the average inflation rate is (2% + 5%)/2 = 3.5%,
which, when added to k* = 1%, produces the yield on a 2-year bond,
4.5%. Therefore, all of our results are consistent.
Alternative solution: Solve for the inflation rates in Year 1 and Year
2 first:
kRF = k* + IP
Answers and Solutions: 5 - 8 Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2002 by Harcourt, Inc.
Year 1: 3% = 1% + IP1; IP1 = 2%, thus I1 = 2%.
Then solve for the yield on the one-year bond in the second year:
Year 2: k1 = 1% + 5% = 6%.
k1 = 5%; k2 = 7%.
k1 + k1 in Year 2
k2 = ,
2
5% + k1 in Year 2
7% = ,
2
9% = k1 in Year 2.
k1 in Year 2 = k* + I2,
9% = 2% + I2
7% = I2.
The average interest rate during the 2-year period differs from the 1-year
interest rate expected for Year 2 because of the inflation rate reflected
in the two interest rates. The inflation rate reflected in the interest
rate on any security is the average rate of inflation expected over the
security’s life.
5-10 First, note that we will use the equation kt = 3% + IPt + MRPt. We have
the data needed to find the IPs:
8% + 5% + 4% + 4% + 4% 25%
IP5 = = = 5%.
5 5
8% + 5%
IP2 = = 6.5%.
2
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2002 by Harcourt, Inc. Answers and Solutions: 5 - 9
Now we can solve for the MRPs, and find the difference:
IP3 = 7% - 2% = 5%.
5-12 a. Real
Years to Risk-Free
Maturity Rate (k*) IP** MRP kT = k* + IP + MRP
1 2% 7.00% 0.2% 9.20%
2 2 6.00 0.4 8.40
3 2 5.00 0.6 7.60
4 2 4.50 0.8 7.30
5 2 4.20 1.0 7.20
10 2 3.60 1.0 6.60
20 2 3.30 1.0 6.30
Answers and Solutions: 5 - 10 Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2002 by Harcourt, Inc.
**The computation of the inflation premium is as follows:
Expected Average
Year Inflation Expected Inflation
1 7% 7.00%
2 5 6.00
3 3 5.00
4 3 4.50
5 3 4.20
10 3 3.60
20 3 3.30
7% + 5% + 3%
= 5.00%.
3
Thus, the yield curve would be as follows:
Interest Rate
(%)
11.0
10.5
10.0
9.5
9.0
8.5
LILCO
8.0
7.5
Exxon
7.0
6.5
T-bonds
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Years to Maturity
b. The interest rate on the Exxon bonds has the same components as the
Treasury securities, except that the Exxon bonds have default risk, so
a default risk premium must be included. Therefore,
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For a strong company such as Exxon, the default risk premium is
virtually zero for short-term bonds. However, as time to maturity
increases, the probability of default, although still small, is suffi-
cient to warrant a default premium. Thus, the yield risk curve for the
Exxon bonds will rise above the yield curve for the Treasury
securities. In the graph, the default risk premium was assumed to be
1.0 percentage point on the 20-year Exxon bonds. The return should
equal 6.3% + 1% = 7.3%.
c. LILCO bonds would have significantly more default risk than either
Treasury securities or Exxon bonds, and the risk of default would
increase over time due to possible financial deterioration. In this
example, the default risk premium was assumed to be 1.0 percentage
point on the 1-year LILCO bonds and 2.0 percentage points on the 20-
year bonds. The 20-year return should equal 6.3% + 2% = 8.3%.
Answers and Solutions: 5 - 12 Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2002 by Harcourt, Inc.