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Introduction to
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C
Introduction to economics and finance
Contents
Page
Question and Answers Index v
Questions
Section A Multiple choice questions 1
Section B Objective test and long-form questions 27
Answers
Section C Multiple choice answers 55
Section B Objective test and long-form answers 65
I
Introduction to economics and finance
CHAPTER 2 – MICROECONOMICS
2.3 MOVEMENT 29 70
QUESTION ANSWER
PAGE PAGE
PROPORTIONATE OR PERCENTAGE
3.12 31 82
METHOD
4.3 CONCEPTS 32 89
QUESTION ANSWER
PAGE PAGE
QUESTION ANSWER
PAGE PAGE
MACROECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM:
6.8 40 122
RECESSION - KEYNESIAN
MACROECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM:
6.9 40 124
INFLATIONARY GAP
QUESTION ANSWER
PAGE PAGE
CHAPTER 11 – MONEY
CHAPTER 13 – CREDIT
QUESTION ANSWER
PAGE PAGE
A
Introduction to economics and finance
SECTION
Multiple choice questions
4 Which of the following are regarded as withdrawals from the circular flow of income?
A Saving and taxation
B Export and import
C Investment and saving
CHAPTER 2 - MICROECONOMICS
7 All of the following are determinants of supply except:
A price
B income level
C level of technology
D objectives of the firms
9 The supply curve of a factor for a firm that is in perfect competition in the input market
is:
A elastic
B inelastic
C perfectly elastic
D perfectly inelastic
10 Which ONE of the following will cause the demand curve for a good to move to the
right (outwards from the origin)?
A A decrease in the costs of producing the good
B A fall in the price of the good
C An increase in the price of a complementary good
D An increase in the price of a close substitute good
12 When the price of a good is held above the equilibrium price, the result will be
A excess demand
B a shortage of the good
C a surplus of the good
D an increase in demand
13 The demand for and supply of a good are in equilibrium. An indirect tax is levied on
the good. Which one of the following will show the new equilibrium?
A A shift in the supply curve to the right
B A shift in the demand curve to the right
C A shift in the supply curve to the left
D A shift in the demand curve to the left
14 A shift to the right in the supply curve of a good, the demand remaining unchanged,
will reduce its price to a greater degree
A the more elastic the demand curve
B the less elastic the demand curve
C the nearer the elasticity of demand to unity
D the more elastic the supply curve
18 If the market price of a product increases from Rs. 35 to Rs. 40 and in response, the
quantity demanded decreases from 1400 units to 1200 units, the value of its price
elasticity of demand is:
A 0.9
B 1
C 1.1
D 1.2
19 Which of the following is NOT a method for the measurement of price elasticity of
demand?
A Total outlay
B Total savings
C Point method
D Arc method
20 If the price of a good fell by 10% and, as a result, total expenditure on the good FELL
by 10%, the demand for the good would be described as
A perfectly inelastic
B perfectly elastic
C unitary elastic
D elastic
21 Which one of the following statements about the elasticity of supply is not true?
A It tends to vary with time.
B It is a measure of the responsiveness of supply to changes in price.
C It is a measure of changes in supply due to greater efficiency.
D It tends to be higher for manufactured goods than for primary products.
22 If the demand for a good is price inelastic, which ONE of the following statements is
correct?
A If the price of the good rises, the total revenue earned by the producer
increases.
B If the price of the good rises, the total revenue earned by the producer falls.
C If the price of the good falls, the total revenue earned by the producer increases.
D If the price of the good falls, the total revenue earned by the producer is
unaffected.
24 A business, currently selling 10,000 units of its product per month, plans to reduce
the retail price from £1 to £0.90. It knows from previous experience that the price
elasticity of demand for this product is -1.5.
Assuming no other changes, the sales which the business can now expect will be
A 8,500 units
B 9,000 units
C 11,000 units
D 11,500 units
25 If the demand for a good is price elastic, a fall in price will lead to
(i) a rise in sales
(ii) a fall in sales
(iii) a rise in total expenditure on the good
(iv) a fall in total expenditure on the good
Which of the above are correct?
A (i) and (iii) only
B (i) and (iv) only
C (ii) and (iii) only
D (ii) and (iv) only
27 Price elasticity coefficient of 0.2 implies that the %age change in quantity for a 5%
change in price will be:
A 0.2
B 2.5
C 5
D 1
28 Assume that a fall in price of a commodity form Rs10 to Rs.9 per unit results in an
increase in weekly sales from 100 units to 110 units. Price elasticity of demand would
be:
A 1.9
B Unity
C 2
D Zero
E 0.9
F 0.1
29 Very small or zero Co-efficient of price elasticity of demand means that the good is:
A a necessity
B a comfort
C a luxury
D any of the above
E none of the above.
31 The income elasticity of demand for an income inferior good has an arithmetic sign.
A Positive
B Zero
C Negative
D No sign
32 From the demand schedule below, the price elasticity of demand following a fall in
price from Rs 25 to Rs. 20 is:
Price (Rs.) Quantity (units)
30 15
25 20
20 25
15 30
A -1
B -1.25
C -1.50
D -1.75
33 If the price of a good fell by 20% but total expenditure on the good remained the
same, the demand curve could be described as
A Perfectly elastic
B Elastic
C Perfectly inelastic
D Unitary elasticity
37 With the principle of diminishing marginal utility in effect, increasing consumption will:
A lower total utility
B produce negative total utility
C lower marginal utility, and therefore total utility
D lower marginal utility, but may increase total utility
50 As its output increases, a firm’s short-run marginal cost will eventually increase
because of:
A diseconomies of scale
B a lower product price
C the firm’s need to break even
D diminishing returns
51 A firm that breaks even after all the economic costs are paid, is earning:
A economic profit
B no profit
C normal profit
D super normal profit
52 When diminishing returns begin to operate, the total variable cost curve will start to
A fall at an increasing rate
B rise at a decreasing rate
C fall at a decreasing rate
D rise at an increasing rate
55 Which of the following always rise when a manufacturing business increases its
output?
(i) fixed costs
(ii) marginal cost
(iii) average variable cost
(iv) total costs
A (i) and (ii) only
B (ii) and (iii) only
C (iii) and (iv) only
D (iv) only
56 The minimum price needed for a firm to remain in production in the short run is equal
to
A average fixed cost
B average variable cost
C average total cost
D marginal cost
57 A business employs 11 workers at a wage of £24 per day. To attract one more worker
it raises the wages to £25 per day.
The marginal cost of employing the extra worker is
A £1
B £12
C £25
D £36
58 The long-run average cost curve for a business will eventually rise because of
A the law of diminishing returns
B increasing competition in the industry
C limits to the size of the market for the good
D diseconomies of scale
59 Economies of scale
A can be gained only by monopoly firms
B are possible only if there is a sufficient demand for the product
C do not necessarily reduce unit costs of production
D depend on the efficiency of management
60 If the total cost curve is plotted, marginal cost curve can be illustrated by:
A U shapes curve cutting the total cost curve from its minimum point.
B a straight line cutting the curve at its lowest point.
C a straight line cutting the curve at its lowest point
D the slope of a tangent to the curve at any given output.
62 The long term shape of the average cost curve is due to:
A economies of scale
B variable proportions
C change in technology
D imperfect competition
E diseconomies of the scale
F a and e
G b and d
H none of the above
63 In a diminishing cost industry, an increase in industry output causes the Average total
cost curve of a typical firm to shift:
A Upward
B Downward
C To the right
D To the left
64 In an increasing cost industry, an increase in output causes the Average total cost
curve of a typical firm to shift.
A To the left
B To the right
C Downward
D Upward
69 Which of the following distinguishes oligopoly market from other forms of market
organization?
A Interdependence of producers
B Differentiated products
C Many firms in a small market
D Firms are price takers
E Price discrimination
81 Which of the following represent withdrawals from the circular flow of national
income?
(i) Distributed profits
(ii) Interest paid on bank loans
(iii) Income tax payments
(iv) Imports
A (i) and (ii) only
B (ii) and (iii) only
C (i) and (iii) only
D (iii) and (iv) only
82 An isolated island community produces only one good, fish. In a typical week the
island's fishermen manage to earn £800 selling their catch to the island's fish
wholesaler. She, in turn, sells the catch to the island's two fish shops for a total of
£1,200. To make a profit and pay wages to their employees the two shopkeepers sell
the fish to the island's population for £1,500.
What will be the value of the island's output over the course of a year (52 weeks)?
A £140,400
B £182,000
C £78,000
D £36,400
84 Which ONE of the following would cause a fall in the level of aggregate demand in an
economy?
A A decrease in the level of imports
B A fall in the propensity to save
C A decrease in government expenditure
D A decrease in the level of income tax
87 Which of the following is likely to shift the marginal efficiency of capital (MEC)
schedule to the right?
(1) An increase in the supply of funds available
(2) Introduction of cost reducing technology
(3) A reduction of government subsidies on investment
A l only
B 2 only
C 3 only
D l and 2 only
88 Which of the following statements does not reflect the Keynesian view of the
economy?
A The economy will naturally settle at a level of output that ensures full
employment
B Government can move the economy towards full employment by managing
aggregate demand
C Measures to stimulate private consumption will raise the level of income
D The level of aggregate monetary demand will affect the level of income
89 Which of the following describes the effect of improved technology on the marginal
efficiency of capital curve?
A It will shift it to the left
B It will shift to the right
C The curve will be unaffected
D The curve will become more inelastic
92 In an economy where, out of every extra £100 of national income, £25 is paid in tax,
£10 is spent on imports and £15 is saved, the value of the multiplier will be
A 2
B 2.5
C 5
D 10
93 Which of the following is the basic concept which underlies the accelerator theory of
investment?
A Investment depends on the level of savings
B Investment is inversely related to the rate of interest
C Investment is determined by the volume of commercial bank lending
D Investment rises when there is an increase in the rate of growth of demand in
the economy
102 The difference between total expenditure and total amount of receipts is referred to
as
A Primary deficit
B Revenue deficit
C Budget deficit
D Fiscal deficit
CHAPTER 11 – MONEY
108 Money does NOT function as a:
A medium of exchange
B hedge against inflation
C store of value
D measure of value
111 Which of the following is not one a Keynesian motive for holding money?
A Investment motive
B Precautionary motive
C Speculative motive
D Transaction motive
114 In the Keynesian theory of demand for money, the transactions demand for money is
determined by:
A the rate of interest
B the level of consumers’ income
C expected changes in consumer prices
D the amount of money in circulation
117 Which of the following is most likely to lead to a fall in the money supply?
A A fall in interest rates
B Purchases of government securities by the central bank
C Sales of government securities by the central bank
D A rise in the amount of cash held by commercial banks
118 According to Keynesian liquidity preference theory, an increase in the money supply
will
(i) raise the price of financial assets
(ii) reduce the price of financial assets
(iii) lower the rate of interest
(iv) increase the quantity of money people are willing to hold
123 If the Reserve Ratio is 40%, and Rs.10,000 is deposited in a commercial bank, what
is the final outcome for the economy?
A Rs. 4,000
B Rs. 10,000
C Rs. 25,000
D Rs. 40,000
A decrease prices
B reduce inflation
C control lending
D all the above
CHAPTER 13 – CREDIT
128 Which of the following is most likely to be affected by a change in interest rates?
A Consumer spending
B Investment spending
C Government spending
D Exports
129 A stimulative fiscal policy combined with a restrictive monetary policy will necessarily
cause:
130 The government makes a new issue of bonds and sells them on the open market,
where they are bought by private investors using cheques drawn on their banks.
Which of the following describes the effect this has on the commercial banks?
A They can raise lending because their cash base will rise.
133 Which of the following measures would immediately increase the cost of imports?
A Tariff
B Quota
C Embargo
D Subsidies
135 Which ONE of the following would appear as a DEBIT item on the current account of
the balance of payments?
A Payment of interest on debts owed to overseas commercial banks
B Expenditure by tourists visiting the country
C Overseas capital investment by domestic companies
D Repayment of debts to overseas central banks
136 Which of the following is most likely to cause a country's balance of payments to
move towards a deficit?
A A devaluation of that country's currency
B An expansionary fiscal policy
C A contractionary fiscal policy
D A rise in the rate of domestic saving
137 The 'current account' of the balance of payments includes all the following items
EXCEPT which ONE?
A The inflow of capital investment by multinational companies
B Exports of manufactured goods
C Interest payments on overseas debts
D Expenditure in the country by overseas visitors
140 Other things being equal, all of the following would lead to a rise in share prices
EXCEPT which ONE?
A A rise in interest rates
B A reduction in corporation tax
C A rise in company profits
D A decline in the number of new share issues
141 Which of the following does not engage in the buying and selling of shares in other
companies?
A Investment trusts
B Stock exchanges
C Insurance companies
D Pension funds
B
Audit and Assurance
SECTION
Objective test and
long-form questions
CHAPTER 2 - MICROECONOMICS
2.1 TYPES OF GOODS
Differentiate between substitute goods, complimentary goods and independent goods.
Give two examples of each.
2.3 MOVEMENT
Explain what is Movement along the Demand Curve and Shift in the Demand Curve
highlighting the difference between these two concepts. Also illustrate the difference by
means of diagrams.
4.3 CONCEPTS
Explain the following concepts with reference to consumer behaviour, using
appropriate diagrams:
Price effect
Substitution effect
Income effect
Using both your knowledge of economic theory and the passage above:
(a) explain how economies of scale may be achieved
(b) using a diagram to illustrate your answer, what determines the optimum scale of
the firm in the long run?
(c) explain the different economies of scale that may occur, if a firm grows by merger
or take-over
(d) why might firms of very large size be justified?
(v) The shape of the SRAC curves in the diagram is based on the law of
diminishing returns (also known as the law of variable proportions).
The law states that……
Your answer must not exceed 50 words
(vi) The behaviour of LRAC beyond output level Q2 is due to what economists
call….
Your answer must not exceed 4 words
(vii) State two specific examples of the phenomenon you identified in (vi) above:
Your answer must not exceed 50 words
(ii) Assume that, at the profit maximising level of output, the profit earned is
£20,000, average cost is £15 and average revenue is £25. Calculate the
profit maximising level of output:
(b) State whether each of the following statements about monopoly is true or false:
In a monopolistic market:
(i) normal profits are likely in the long run
True or False
(ii) although the firm in perfect competition will, in the long run, produce at the
lowest possible average cost, it will not necessarily produce more cheaply
than a monopolistic firm
True or False
(iii) output in a market is likely to be lower if the market is monopolistic rather
than perfectly competitive
True or False
(iv) economies of scale may allow a monopolist to produce a larger output at
lower cost than would be possible if the market is perfectly competitive
True or False
(c) Complete the diagram below to show the long run position for a firm in a perfectly
competitive market:
(c) Calculate the price elasticity of demand for the good for a price fall from £25 to
£23.
(d) Identify the factors which might explain the value of the elasticity of demand for
this good.
(e) Explain how you would expect the demand curve for this firm to vary if the
number of firms in the industry were to rise.
(a) Calculate the marginal revenue for the firm and state which sort of market it is
operating in.
(b) Calculate the firm's fixed costs and the marginal cost at each level of output.
(c) What level of output will the firm aim to produce and what amount of profit will it
make at this level?
(d) Describe and explain the effect on the firm's output and profits of the entry of
new producers into the industry.
B Households E
F
C
D I
A Firms G
Requirements:
(a) State which of the lettered flows in the diagram refer to:
(i) a government purchase of computer equipment from a UK producer;
(ii) households' transfer incomes;
(iii) corporation tax;
(iv) reinvestment of business profits to finance capital investment;
(v) a UK firm's sales of goods to a firm in Japan.
8.2 MULTIPLIER 1
Output determination occurs when the savings of all of the households in an economy
are equal to the desired investment opportunities.
The diagram shows an economy in equilibrium.
8.3 MULTIPLIER 2
(a) Fill in this description of the multiplier: “the consumption of one person becomes
the ___ ___ ___”
(b) Explain, with the help of separate diagrams, why Keynes believed it was
necessary to boost AD during a Depression, and not AS.
(c) Explain three limitations to the effectiveness of the multiplier.
Change in business
Change in Gross investment Level of interest
Domestic rates
(excluding
Product from dwellings) (London Inter-Bank
previous year Rate)
from previous year
CHAPTER 11 - MONEY
11.1 THE MONEY SUPPLY
(a) Explain what is meant by the term 'the money supply'.
(b) Why do governments believe that it is important to control the growth of the
money supply?
(c) Describe the methods by which the government can attempt to control the money
supply.
Requirements:
Using BOTH your knowledge of economic theory AND material contained in the table,
(a) Describe the apparent relationship between the money supply (M0) and the rate
of inflation.
(b) Explain the quantity theory of money.
(c) Describe the extent to which the data given are in line with the predictions of the
quantity theory of money.
(d) Explain how the effects of a change in the money supply might differ between the
short run and the long run.
11.4 UNEMPLOYMENT
(a) Explain the relationship between Inflation and Unemployment with the help of a
Phillips Curve.
(b) Full Employment is achieved when the rate of Unemployment reaches zero.
Discuss.
(c) Identify and briefly describe various types of Unemployment.
CHAPTER 13 – CREDIT
13.1 CREDIT
All businesses rely to some extent on credit, in at least a few of its forms. Short
term, as well as medium and long term credit, provide sources of finance to enable a
business to expand or survive the problems of economic recession. The length of
the credit term chosen depends on the life of the asset or project for which the
funding is to be used. Credit also has an effect on the economy as it contributes to
money supply, which can be inflationary, and so the government has a responsibility
to keep it under control.
Using both your knowledge of economic theory and the passage above:
(a) give two examples of short term credit, medium term credit and long term
credit, available to business.
(b) give two examples of consumer credit and explain how this may be of benefit
to a firm.
(c) explain why a firm may choose to use long term credit rather than issue
shares.
(d) explain how credit can contribute to the money supply and the ways in which
the government may try to control its growth.
13.2 BANKS
Commercial banks are an essential part of the business infrastructure. They act as
financial intermediaries, providers of all forms of finance and enable the payment of
debts but at the same time are in business to make profits for their shareholders.
Their position is so strong that they are unlikely to fail to make a profit.
Using both your knowledge of economic theory and the passage above:
(a) explain the term 'financial intermediary'.
(b) explain how banks can create credit and the limitations of this ability.
(c) explain how and why banks can combine the aims of liquidity, profitability and
security when advancing money to customers.
14.4 DISEQUILIBRIUM
(a) Briefly describe the main causes of disequilibrium in the balance of payments.
(b) State the measures for rectifying disequilibrium in the balance of payments.
15.2 DERIVATIVES
(a) Briefly explain what differentiates a derivative instrument from other financial
instruments. For example a share, and a call option based upon a share price.
(b) What are the two ways that an investor can buy a derivative product? Explain
how they differ, and what the benefits and drawbacks of each are.
C
Introduction to economics and finance
SECTION
Multiple choice answers
CHAPTER 2 - MICROECONOMICS
7 B
8 D
9 C
10 D
A is not relevant as this affects the supply curve for the good. A fall in the price of the
good will result in a movement along the curve not a shift of the whole curve, hence B
is not correct. An increase in the price of a complementary good is likely to shift the
whole demand curve to the left i.e., inwards towards the origin, hence C is not correct.
11 D
A consumer will not change the amount normally demanded of a good even if its price
changes provided that it does not affect significantly his or her overall spending pattern.
12 C
When the price of a good is held above the equilibrium price supply will exceed
demand which will cause a surplus of the good, therefore C.
13 C
Indirect taxes such as VAT shift a producer's supply curve to the left. At each price the
producers supply less because part of sales income goes in tax to the government.
14 B
21 C
A, B and D are all true statements about the elasticity of supply. C is to do with
productivity.
22 A
If a good is price inelastic then the ratio of the percentage change in quantity
demanded to the percentage change in price is less than one. In other words the
proportionate change in quantity demanded is less than the proportionate change in
price so an increase in price will increase total revenue and a fall in price will reduce
total revenue. Hence only A is correct.
23 B
B is the correct answer since the definition of an inferior good is one where less is
purchased as income increases.
A is incorrect as this would imply that as incomes rose so would the consumption of the
good, although to a lower extent than the increase in income.
C is incorrect as this implies that more is purchased in line with the rise in income.
D is incorrect as in this case any change in income would have no effect on the amount
purchased.
24 D
Percentage change in quantity demanded
Price elasticity of demand =
Percentage change in price
x
1.5 = (Price has dropped by 10% from £1 to
10 %
£0.90)
x = 15%
As x is positive it means the quantity demanded has risen by 15%. Hence 10,000 units
plus 15% = 11,500.
25 A
If a good is price elastic then its sensitivity to price changes is high, hence a certain
change in price will give rise to a greater percentage change in quantity demanded.
The correct response is therefore A.
26 B
27 D
28 B
29 B
30 B
31 C
32 B
33 D
34 D
58 A
The traditional theory of the firm is based on the premise that the objective of a firm is
to maximise profits and will thus strive to achieve this situation by producing at the
equilibrium position where marginal cost equals marginal revenue.
59 B
A is not true, any firm can benefit from economies of scale providing they are of
sufficient size to obtain such economies. C is not true by definition. D is not true,
management can generally be inefficient and still make some good decisions.
60 D
61 C
62 F
63 B
64 D
65 D
66 A
67 D
68 D
69 A
70 D
71 A
72 A
73 A
Answer B is wrong because output has been double counted. Answer A ignores the
contribution of the fishermen and double counts the remainder. Answer D ignores the
contribution of the fishermen.
83 B
The inflationary gap is a Keynesian concept which describes a situation where demand
exceeds the level required to bring about full employment.
84 C
A decrease in the level of imports, a fall in the propensity to save and a decrease in the
level of income tax are all injections into the circular flow of funds and will thus tend to
increase the level of aggregate demand in an economy.
A proportion is bound to be saved. Thus the multiplier is defined as 1 over MPS, the
marginal propensity to save. But other leakages can occur which will make the
multiplier smaller. In the example given these are taxation defined as the marginal
propensity to taxation (MPT) and imports defined as the marginal propensity to import
(MPM). Thus we have :
1 1 1 1
2
MPT + MPM + MPS 1
4 1
10 3
20
10
20
1
2
93 D
The accelerator theory emphasises the importance of changes in consumer demand or
National Income in investment decisions. A, B and C are thus incorrect as the theory
has nothing directly to say about the level of savings, rates of interest or volumes of
commercial bank lending.
94 B
1
The multiplier is calculated as:
rate of leakage
The rate of leakage is made up of:
Taxes 30%
Imports 10%
Saving 20% as this represents the balance after deducting taxes, import
spending and domestic consumption.
1
Hence the multiplier is = 1 23
0.3 0.1 0.2
CHAPTER 11 – MONEY
108 B
109 D
110 C
111 A
112 C
113 A
114 B
115 B
116 A
117 C
Only C takes money out of the economy since balances have to be drawn down to pay
for the securities. A reduced quantity of money, other things remaining equal, will lead
to a reduction in the money supply. It should be noted that a sale of government
securities will only have this effect if they are sold to the non-bank public and the
question should perhaps have made this clear, although it would have also made the
answer more obvious.
118 B
CHAPTER 13 - CREDIT
128 B
129 D
130 C
As private investors pay for the bonds, using funds in their bank accounts, the cash
position of the commercial banks will be squeezed. As a result they may be forced to
cut their lending portfolio to maintain an adequate relationship between cash and loans.
D
Introduction to economics and finance
SECTION
Objective test and
long-form answers
For the purpose of simplicity the curve is based on two products only i.e. X and Y
and we assume that all the resources are allocated for producing the two goods
only. The curve indicates that the economy can produce a number of
combinations such as 60 units of X and 100 units of Y or 90 units of X and 60
units of Y and so on.
The cost of an item measured in terms of the alternatives forgone is called its
opportunity cost. Thus, if an economy produces 60 units of X and 100 units of Y
(point H) instead of producing 90 units of X and 60 units of Y (point J), then the
opportunity cost of producing (100-60) more units of Y would be the lost
production of (90-60) units of X.
If the economy produces lesser quantities, it would not be utilizing the full
resources whereas quantities in excess of those represented by the curve cannot
be produced on account of limited resources.
CHAPTER 2 – MICROECONOMICS
2.1 TYPES OF GOODS
Substitute goods
Goods are substitutes if an increase in the price of one, increases the demand for
the other.
Example: Petrol and Diesel, Beef and Mutton
Complimentary goods
Goods are compliments if an increase in the price of one decreases the demand for
the other.
Example: Automobile and fuel, Electricity and electrical appliances
Independent goods
Goods are independent if the price change for one has no effect on the demand for
the other.
Example: Beef and text books; shoes and computers.
Price Expectation
Suppliers’ expectation of future prices affects current supply. An optimistic future
expectation encourages the supplier to reduce the supply and vice versa.
Supply of Related Goods
Increase in supply of one product may increase the supply of its related product,
e.g. increase in supply of meat from goats or cows may result in the increase of
supply of leather.
Nature of Goods
Durable goods have greater supply whereas perishable goods have less supply.
2.3 MOVEMENT
Movement along the demand curve shows the relationship between quantity
demanded and the price of a product. The movement indicates the number of units
that the consumers are willing and able to buy at different price levels during a
specific period of time. It is also indicative of the fact that less quantities of a
product would be demanded at relatively high prices and more quantities would be
demanded at relatively low prices during a specified period.
Shift in the Demand Curve takes place when the demand for a product increases or
decreases due to changes in:
(i) size of the population
(ii) income levels of the consumers
(iii) tastes and preferences of the consumers, or
(iv) prices of substitute products.
If the consumers want to purchase more of a product at a given price than they
wanted previously, then there is a shift in the demand curve. An increase in
demand is portrayed by an outward or right movement i.e. shift of the demand
curve. If the consumers purchase less quantities of a product at any given price,
then the demand curve would shift inwards or towards the left.
Movement along the Demand Curve and Shift in the Demand Curve are illustrated
in the following diagrams.
The demand curve is drawn on the assumption that, other things being equal,
more televisions will be demanded at a lower price than at a higher price; and
the supply curve on the assumption that more will be supplied by television
producers at a higher price than at a lower price. Now if demand exceeds
supply as at price P1 then producers seeing the shortage respond by raising
price and producing more. Price adjusts to its equilibrium P2, supply increases
from Q1, demand contracts from Q3 and the quantity bought and sold rises to
Q2. In the opposite situation of excess supply, stocks of televisions would build
up, and producers would let price fall in order to sell more. This fall in price
would bring about a rise in demand, a contraction of supply and a
reconciliation of production and consumption plans at Q2 with price P2.
Diagram 2
with, for example, merit goods like health facilities. Hence the existence of
externalities can lead to a sub-optimal allocation of resources.
A fourth issue is that the distribution of income produced is likely to be highly
unequal. Those who own sought after property and whose labour commands
a high price do well. But at the other extreme those with no property and who
remain out of employment get nothing from the market system.
A final matter is that the market allocative mechanism guarantees neither full
employment, low inflation nor a sound balance of payments. All are the
concern of government intervention, indeed as are all the other problems of
the market cited above.
(b) Since the total revenue received by a company is the price of the product
multiplied by the quantity sold, the elasticity of demand will determine the
effect of an increase in price on the total revenue. It follows that the principal
importance of PED is in assessing the effect of changes in price on the total
revenue of a company and hence on the size of that company. This
information will be of significance to the managers within a business who will
use the information in deciding whether, or to what extent, price should be
raised or lowered. It should be noted, however, that the effect on costs is also
significant, since the firm should be maximising profits rather than revenue.
Manager in associated markets (e.g. suppliers of raw materials or
components) and suppliers of factors of production will also be interested in
the PED of the product as known or predicted price changes in the principal
market will determine the demand from that market for parts, labour etc.
Once again, as with PED, business people can use the YED for a product to
help sales and production planning as they can use the information to forecast
the impact of changes in income upon demand for individual products. As an
economy grows and incomes rise firms need to be producing goods which
have a high YED in order to ensure the business grows and sales increase.
This may entail a switching of resources from the production of goods which
have a low YED to those with a high YED. Alternatively, existing products
may be graded to give them a higher YED. Knowledge of YED is therefore
very important for a business when deciding on its future product range.
Demand is unitary elastic when the percent change in the quantity demanded is the
same as the percent change in price. In case of unitary elastic demand, a decrease
in price from Po to P1 would result in increase in the quantity demanded from qo to
q1. However, the total expenditure would remain unchanged as the area marked A
is equal to the area marked B.
Demand is relatively elastic when the percent change in the quantity demanded is
greater than percentage change in price. In case of relatively elastic demand, a
decrease in price from Po to P1 would result in increase in the quantity demanded
from qo to q1 The area marked A is less and area B is more showing that the
decrease in price will result in increase in the quantity demanded and also an
increase in the total expenditure.
Price
S1
D S
P1
P
S1
D
S
Q1 Q
Qua
antity
© Emile W
Woolf International 78 The Institute of Chartereed Accountants of Pakistan
Answer bank: Objective test and long-form answers
Elastic Demand
Inelastic Demand
Time in the long run, firms can adjust all factor inputs to change supply
easily
Capacity if labor and capital are underused, supplies can be changed easily
Factor mobility if resources can move in and out of the industry, supplies can be
changed easily
If X.E.D. is negative, the two goods are in joint demand i.e., complements.
If X.E.D. is zero, the two products are unrelated i.e. independent goods.
P1 A P2 K
...................... .....................
......................................................................................................
..
B .... . .......................................................
. .. ............. .. . . .
P2 ................................................................................................. P1
J
.............................................................................. .
. . . . . . . . ...... D1
.............................................................................................
. ..... ..... .
............................................................................................... D2
. . . . .................
.......................................
.. .. . .. Q Q
Q1 Q2 Q2 Q1
(a) (b)
Figure (a) Elastic demand and revenue. Since the price decrease results in a
proportionately larger increase in quantity demanded, revenue rises. (b) elastic
demand and revenue. Since the price increase results in a proportionately smaller
decrease in quantity demanded, revenue rises.
ΔQ P
PED = .
ΔP Q
Q = –16 P = 10
P =2 Qd = 96
–16 10
PED = 2 x 96 = – 0.83 or inelastic
Q1 Q 0 P1 P0
Elasticity = x
Q1 Q 0 P1 P0
Where Q0 is the original quantity demanded and Q1 is the new quantity demanded.
P0 is the original price and P1 is the new price.
If following is the schedule of demand, elasticity of demand can be measured
with the help of above formula.
5 – P1 300 - Q1
300 – 100 5 + 10
E = 300 + 100 5 – 10 = - 1.5 or elastic
Note: Point elasticity of demand is measured on a single point on a demand curve while arc
elasticity of demand is measured between two points on a demand curve.
B
D y
nit
n, u
er tha
at
gre
RA =
= B
E R
Price D R it y
n un
th a
l ess
ES =
D
S E= S
O qd A C
Fig. 2
RA
Elasticity at point 'R' is (-) RB and it is clear that lower portion is greater so elasticity
SC
is greater than unity and elasticity at 'S' is (-) SD and it is clear that lower portion is
smaller than the upper portion so elasticity is less than unity.
The formula for determining elasticity utilizes the percentage change, not the absolute
change, in quantity demanded relative to price. In the upper half of the price range
(the lower half of the range of quantity), any decrease in price is bound to be relatively
small in percentage terms because the base price is relatively high. By the same
token, the corresponding increase in quantity must be relatively high in percentage
terms because the base quantities from which the percentage is calculated are
relatively low. This is illustrated in Figure, which shows that the upper half of the
demand line is elastic, whereas the lower half is inelastic. At the half point, the
demand is unitary elastic. In fact, as long as the demand is a straight line, as in
Figure, we can state that it will have an elastic half and an inelastic half with unitary
elasticity occurring right in the middle. If the demand curve is not linear, then the
relationship between range of prices and elasticity does not hold.
Figure
Price
Elastic (E > 1)
E=
P
Inelastic (E < 1)
O Q Quantity
3. Price discrimination
A monopolist charges higher price from those persons whose income is high
and elasticity of demand is elastic while charges low price from poor.
4. Determination of fare
The concept of elasticity of demand is kept in view while determining
transportation fares e.g. Pakistan Railways charges fares at different rates
from different persons depending upon demand elasticity of the passengers.
5. Joint demand
in case of goods which are sold, purchased or used jointly, higher price is
charged for goods having inelastic demand and lower price is charged for
goods having elastic demand.
6. For exporters
Exporters are charging high prices for goods having inelastic demand and
lower price for goods having elastic demand.
7. Increasing returns industry
When industry is subject to increasing returns, expansion in production lowers
the average cost of the product. If at the same time the demand of such
product is elastic, the producer can raise his profit by slightly reducing the
price and producing larger quantity.
8. Wages
If the demand for a particular type of labor is inelastic, the labor union can
easily get higher wages from the entrepreneurs for the workers.
9. Paradox of poverty in plenty
If the demand for a product is inelastic, its increased production may result in
less profit. Take an example of potatoes. Suppose their demand is inelastic at
a certain period of time. Now if farmers grow more potatoes, their total income
will decrease rather than increase. So, for them, plenty of potatoes mean
poverty.
10. The government
1. Knowledge of price elasticity of demand would be useful to the
government and the policy making authorities in general. It might be
useful to the government in assessing cost or the likely effectiveness
of price support schemes such as those common in agriculture.
2. Similarly, knowledge of price elasticity of demand would be useful if it
was decided to influence consumption through the use of taxes or
subsidies. For example taxes might be used to discourage the use of
demerit goods, while subsidies might be used to encourage the
consumption of merit goods. Again, knowledge of price elasticity of
demand would provide an indication of how successful the policy is
likely to be and, in the case of subsidies it would be useful in providing
an estimate of likely cost of the subsidy.
3. For any government considering devaluation/revaluation of its
currency, knowledge of price elasticity of demand is essential in order
to predict the changes in import expenditure and export revenue
following devaluation/revaluation.
(i) The price line facing the consumer is AM, given a certain amount of money he
has to spend on products A and B and their prices in the market.
(ii) Since his income and the relative prices of the two goods to be purchased are
shown by the price-income line AM, his equilibrium must be on some point on
this line. That is why this line is called the price- opportunity line.
(It is the line that contains all the possible opportunities of combining the two
goods that are open to our hypothetical consumer.)
4.3 CONCEPTS
Price Effect:
The effect on a consumer’s indifference curve resulting from a change in the
relative price of good A if the price of good B and the consumer’s income remains
the same, is known as Price Effect.
If the price of good A falls then the indifference curve will shift upwards, meaning
that the consumer can buy more of both product A and B with the same income.
Price Effect
Substitution Effect:
Substitution effect means the effect on the indifference curve due to change in
quantity of goods purchased due to change in relative prices with no change in
income.
If the price of good A increases and the price of good B falls, the consumer will
decrease the consumption of good A and increase the consumption of good B.
Substitution Effect
Income Effect
(1)
Substitute goods
A
Units of Commodity Y
E1
E2 PCC
IC1 IC2
x1 B x2 B1
Units of Commodity X
Y (2)
Y (1) (2) When Com X(3)and Com Y
Com
Com X andX Com
and Com Y are
Y are When Com X and Y are complimentary
unrelated goods
are complimentary
goods
goods
Unit of Commodity Y
Unit of Commodity Y
(independent goods) PCC
y1 E3
E1 E 2 E3 y2 E2 IC3
PCC y3 IC2
E1
IC2 IC 3 IC1
IC1
x1 x2 x3 x1 x2 x3 X
O X O
Unit of Commodity X Unit of Commodity X
C F (1)
Y I.C.C.
A
Commodity Y
E3
E2
IC 3
E1
IC2
IC1
x1 x2 x3 X
O B D G
Commodity X
Y (2) Y (iv)(3)
(iii)
Commodity Y is an Commodity X is an
Commodity Y iscommodity
a I.C.C.
inferior inferior
inferior commodity
inferior
commodity
Commodity Y
Commodity Y
commodity
E3
E 2 IC 3
E
E1 E 2 3
I.C.C. E1
IC2
IC 3
IC1 IC 2 IC 1
O B D GX O B D G X
Commodity X Commodity X
Product y
Y1 E1 PCC
E2
Y2 E3 IC2
IC1
X1 X3 X2 Product - X
In the figure x1, x2, is price effect and x1 x3 is the substitution effect.
(d) The point at which a consumer can maximize his level of satisfaction can be
demonstrated by means of Indifference Curve diagram as shown below:
(i) The price line facing the consumer is AM, given the amount of money
the individual has to spend on products A and B at the prices prevailing
in the market.
(ii) This line is called the price-opportunity line as it contains all the
possible options of combining the two goods that are open to the
consumer. Since income and the relative prices of the two goods are
shown by the price-income line AM, the equilibrium must be on some
point on this line.
(iii) The level of satisfaction increases as the individual moves from lower
indifference curve to higher indifference curve i.e. the individual is at a
lower level of satisfaction at the combinations represented by IC1 and at
a higher level of satisfaction when on IC2 and so on.
(iv) IC3 is the highest indifference curve to which the individual can go,
given the money and the prices of the goods in the market. The price
line is tangent to the indifference curve at point P which is the point of
maximum satisfaction.
(v) Thus the consumer will be in equilibrium at the point P, i.e., when the
individual purchases OH quantities of product A and OJ quantities of
product B.
(i) AM is the consumer’s price line. Each point on the line represents a
combination of quantities of products A and B which the consumer
can buy at the prevailing prices, given the amount of money the
individual has to spend on the two products. Hence the equilibrium
must be on some point on this line.
(iii) The level of satisfaction increases as the individual moves from a
lower indifference curve to a higher indifference curve i.e. the
individual is at a lower level of satisfaction at the combinations
represented by IC1 and at a higher level of satisfaction when on IC2
and so on.
(iv) IC3 is the highest indifference curve to which the individual can go,
given the money and the prices of the goods in the market. The price
line is tangent to the indifference curve at point P which is the point of
maximum satisfaction because all other points on the curve are
beyond the budget line.
(v) Thus the consumer will be in equilibrium when the individual
purchases OH quantities of product A and OJ quantities of product
B.
4.9 INDIFFERENCE CURVES 2
(a) Indifference curve is the curve on which the consumer is indifferent. An
indifference curve is a locus of points where each point represents a
combination of two goods and each combination gives equal satisfaction to
the consumer.
Or
An indifference curve represents satisfaction of a consumer from two goods. It
is drawn on the assumption that for all possible points on an indifference
curve, the total satisfaction remains the same.
An indifference curve may be called as an ISO (same) utility curve. The s lope
of indifference curve shows the marginal rate of substitution.
Community Y
rate of substitution of commodity ‘X’ for c
commodity ‘Y’ is falling that is why this b
curve represents the indifference curve. e MRS is falling
d
f g
i
h
k
j
1C 1
O Community X X
(i) If an indifference curve is a straight line with a downward slope as shown in the
figure.
Y
Indifference curve which is a straight line
slopping downward, the vertical distance of
a MRS is constant
ab, cd and ef are equal which show that
marginal rate of substitution is constant which
is unnatural because for every next unit of c
Community Y
b
commodity ‘X’, marginal rate of substitution
must diminish. Therefore, it cannot be e
d
indifference curve.
d
f
1C
O Community X X
(ii) Suppose that indifference curve is concave
Y
It is clear from the figure that vertical MRS
distances are increasing with more units of a c is increasing
b e
commodity ‘X’. The distance ‘ji’ is greater d g
f
Community Y
(c):
The main property of the indifference
curves is that Indifference curves do
not intersect each other. Suppose Y
that there are two indifference curves
IC1 and IC2 intersecting each other
Community Y
as shown in the figure. IC2 is higher
indifference curve, IC1, is lower
Indifference curve. Therefore, it can A
be concluded from the intersection of C
indifference curves . 1C1
Units of Units of
commodity commodity Marginal Rate of
Combinations
Substitution
(X) (Y)
A 1 16 –
B 2 8 8:1
C 3 5 3:1
D 4 4 1:1
Above table shows that MRS is diminishing from 8:1 to 1:1. It can also be explained
with the help of a figure.
Community Y
A´ B
are consumed, less and y2 8
less units of commodity
‘Y’ are sacrificed by the B´ C
y3
consumer. y4 4 C´
D
O X
x1 x2 x3 x4
Community X
Y2Y1 AA
MRS = or =
X 2 X1 A B
The Marginal Rate of Substitution at point C is:
Y3Y2 BB /
MRS = X X = /
3 2 B C
The marginal rate of substitution at D is:
Y4Y3 CC´
MRS = =X X = C´D
4 3
Note: Negative sign is by convention shows that downward slopping indifference curve.
MC = Marginal cost
MR = Marginal revenue
AC = Average cost
The reason for the MC and AC curves to be ‘dish shaped’ is explained by the law of
returns which describes three phases of the curve:
1. Increasing returns (MC goes down)
As output begins to increase, the large manufacturing processes/equipment still not
fully utilised means that TC only increases slightly. The additional labour can be
productive as they can always use the equipment to its full potential, for example.
As such the MC is relatively low.
2. Constant returns (MC goes sideward)
At this point, labour is producing its optimal output per unit. The marginal cost is
therefore at its lowest.
3. Diminishing returns (MC goes up)
The more labour is employed, the less marginal output they are able to produce.
This could be a result of too many people to efficiently operate/ rotate use of
machinery. The cost increases more and more to generate an extra unit of output,
because of labour exhibiting diminishing returns in the short run.
(b)
Explanation:
Under perfect competition the firm can sell as much as it wants without
affecting the price, therefore MR=AR of the product.
Therefore, under perfect competition, the firm keeps on producing as long as
MR is greater than MC.
When the MC exceeds MR the profit will start declining.
Therefore, the profit will maximize when MR = MC.
The productivity of the variable factor will vary. This will cause the shape of the cost
curves to change from being linear to being curvi-linear.
As the firm expands its size, in the long run, it is able to take advantage of
economies of scale and average cost falls. After a certain level of output is
reached all economies of scale have been achieved and this point on the
average cost curve is called minimum efficient scale. Further output beyond
this point can result in the same average cost per unit, but eventually average
cost will start to rise, as diseconomies of scale are produced. Diseconomies
of scale are essentially the result of communication problems as the firm
grows too large. In addition, the larger the organisation becomes, the more
difficult it becomes to co-ordinate the activities of all of the people involved.
This will result in the duplication and omission of work due to confusion over
areas of responsibility. Finally, the larger the organisation, the greater the
difficulty for management to ensure that subordinates are carrying out the
tasks allocated to them.
The level of output at which minimum efficient scale is reached will vary with
different industries. Where very large output quantity is needed to achieve
minimum efficient scale, the number of firms in the industry would be few, for
example, coal mining. In industries where minimum efficient scale can be
achieved with relatively small output quantity, the number of firms can be
much greater, for example, hairdressing.
(c) Merger tends to imply that firms have joined amicably whereas take-over
implies that one firm has absorbed another against its wishes. However, the
result is the same in that two firms have become one.
Merged firms may produce different products or the same product at a
different stage of the production process (vertical integration). In either case,
technical and trading economies may not be available. However, in horizontal
mergers, where both firms are involved in producing the same good at the
same stage of production such economies may well be available.
In all cases, firms may obtain economies by reducing staff in centralised
functions, such as accounting, personnel or human resource functions and
computer or systems functions. All firms may also benefit from financial
economies as the larger firm has more assets to use as security, reducing
interest rates and increasing the sources from which funds may be obtained.
(d) Large size firms may have monopoly power within a domestic Economy which
may appear to be against the public interest. But such size may be needed to
enable the firm to compete on a global basis. In such cases, the domestic
economy can benefit from employment and the taxation of profits, which can
be used for the benefit of the whole economy. In addition, there are
circumstances where a large firm can produce more cheaply, and offer a lower
price, than a number of smaller competing firms. This is the case when there
are heavy capital costs involved in setting up in business; hence, it would be
less cost effective to have two competing rail networks in the UK. This is
known as a natural monopoly.
In which case, a relatively small change in price will have a big impact on
disposable incomes available to purchase the good. Lastly the time period
over which these changes occur is relevant since demand elasticity rises over
time as consumers have time to consider and then alter their purchasing
habits following a price rise.
(e) If the number of firms in the industry rose there would be a twofold effect on
the demand curve for this firm. Firstly more firms would mean more
alternatives for consumers to consider, and the more substitute goods
available the more elastic the demand curve would become for this individual
firm within the industry.
Secondly, it is likely that the extra firms would result in a smaller market share
for each firm. A fall in demand means that less is now demanded at each and
every price, hence this firm's demand curve will move inwards from right to
left.
(d) There are no barriers to entry in a perfect market and so new producers can
come in. They will do so, however, only if there is enough profit to attract them
in i.e., only if the existing firm (or firms) is making a supernormal profit. The
industry will be in equilibrium, i.e. new firms will stop entering, when all firms
are making a normal profit. Normal profit is that amount of profit which will just
keep a firm in business and it is earned when the firm covers all its costs,
including the opportunity cost of giving up the next best alternative
employment.
The entry of new producers will reduce the supernormal profit being earned by
the existing firm and will also cause its output to fall. This can be illustrated
graphically.
When new firms enter the market, the industry supply curve increases i.e.
shifts to the right. The new supply curve S2 interacts with the original demand
curve and causes market price to fall from P1 to P2. Each firm therefore
receives a lower price and average and marginal revenue curves fall from AR1
to AR2 and from MR1 to MR2. The firm's output is reduced from Q1 to Q2.
Output and price will continue to fall as new firms continue to enter until all
firms are earning just normal profit - there is now no further incentive for any
more firms to join the industry.
In conclusion, the firm's output and profits will both fall as new producers enter
the market.
Units ATC =
TFC TC=(TFC AFC=TFC/Q
of AFC +
+ TVC) AFC AVC=TVC/Q AVC
Output TVC MC
AVC
Q
1 30 30 60 30 30 60 30
2 30 40 70 15 20 35 10
3 30 45 75 10 15 25 5
4 30 50 80 7.5 12.5 20 5
5 30 60 90 6 12 18 10
6 30 72 102 5 12 17 12
7 30 89 119 4.3 12.7 17 17
8 30 110 140 3.75 13.75 17.5 21
9 30 135 165 3.3 15 18.3 25
10 30 170 200 3 17 20 35
It is clear from the above schedule that the fixed cost is unchanged throughout that is
30 but Average Fixed Cost is diminishing because when output increases, the fixed
costs spread over the total output and hence, Average Fixed Cost is diminishing due
to law of increasing returns.
3. Average variable cost is increasing from 7th to 10th unit and marginal cost is
also increasing but marginal cost is increasing at a faster rate than the
Average Variable Cost.
(a) Consumption goods are products and services that are directly consumed by
the customer himself, and are not bought with the purpose of either reselling
or using in production of products/services to sell.
Q P Q P
Price elasticity =
Q P Q P
∆P Change in Price P1 P2 12 11 1
- 12,000 12 - 12,000 - 12
Price Elasticity = 12 3
48,000 1 48,000 4
(c) The equilibrium of a firm under perfect competition and in the long run is
depicted by the following diagram:
Under conditions of perfect competition, the same price prevails in the market
and hence sale of each additional unit produces the same revenue and
therefore MR=AR=P(Price) . PL is the line which represents MR as well as
AR. LRMC is the marginal cost curve which depicts the increase in cost on
account of production of each additional unit. With the sale of each additional
unit the total profit of the firm would increase till such time that the LRMC
remains below the Marginal Revenue Curve i.e. PL. The profit will be
maximum when the LRMC Curve cuts PL from below at which stage LRMC
would be equal to Marginal Revenue. At this stage the firm would be
producing OM units.
In the long run, the firms are able to increase/decrease their output by varying
their equipment. Therefore, in the long run no firm is in a position to earn
super normal profits. If price increases and the firms start earning super
profits, other firms enter the market or present firms increase their output. If
price decreases and there are below normal profits, firms exit the market.
Therefore, in the long run, the price always reverts back to the position where
all firms are earning normal profits.
In the above diagram, there is only one price P at which the quantity
demanded and the quantity supplied is equal and this is the point where the
market is deemed to be in equilibrium. Thus Q is the equilibrium quantity and
P is the equilibrium price.
At prices and quantities other than the equilibrium, either demand exceeds
supply or supply exceeds demand.
For instance at price P1 supply exceeds demand resulting in unsold stocks.
The reaction of suppliers would be to accept lower prices than P1 to
encourage sales. This reduction in price will lead to a contraction in supply
and an expansion in demand until equilibrium is reached at price P.
Conversely, at price P2 demand exceeds supply resulting in a shortage. This
excess demand will lead to an increase in market price. As a result the
demand will contract and supply will expand until equilibrium is reached at
price P.
(b) Short-run average cost curve is U shaped:
The average cost is made up of an average fixed cost per unit plus an
average variable cost per unit.
Average fixed cost will fall as the level of output rises. Spreading fixed costs
over a larger amount of output is a major reason why (short-run) average
costs per unit fall as output increases.
The standard assumption about the variable costs is that up to a certain level
of output, the variable cost per unit is more or less constant (e.g. wages costs
and materials costs per unit of output are unchanged).
Nevertheless, there is evidence that average variable costs rise when output
increases beyond a normal capacity level.
Average variable costs will therefore begin to rise at some point, even
assuming that there are no overtime payments or use of more skilled labour.
As variable costs per unit rise, the average total cost per unit will rise too.
Hence the curve falls on account of spread of fixed costs and rises when the
variable costs start rising after a certain level, thus giving the curve a U
shape.
(iii) The output method is found by summing all the totals of value added by
each business and industry sector and the various sectors of public
health, education, administration etc.
All three methods should produce the same total figure however in practice
this is not usually the case mainly due to the enormity of the number of
transactions being aggregated.
(b) There are many difficulties involved in producing accurate national income
figures. The major problem comprises that of double counting. For instance
using the output method, outputs of some firms become inputs of others. For
example, the output from a factory making electrical components will be used
as inputs in the motor industry. If the total value of both industries' output were
included in the aggregate then the value of the components used in the motor
industry would be included twice. To avoid this problem only the value added
at each stage of production is added. Double counting also becomes a
problem when using the income method. The sum of all factor incomes is not
the same as the sum of all personal incomes as these also include transfer
incomes, which are subsistence payments for no actual productive process. In
the UK these mainly include social security payments. In essence these
payments are purely transfers from tax payers who provide the money to other
persons such as the unemployed or disabled and thus should not be included
twice as two forms of income.
Another major problem is that of self-provided services. Some goods and
services are not actually traded through the market sector and are not
therefore included as part of the aggregate output figure although they do form
part of the country's output. Examples include repair and improvement work
done on a DIY basis or housework carried out at home. There is no market
measurement of the value of the output and thus it is not included. In some
cases an imputed value is used for instance the value of owner occupied
housing where the market rents of similar properties are used as guidelines.
A problem using the income method is the non-distribution of some factor
incomes to factors of production. Companies as well as the government may
retain profits and surpluses and thus an allowance has to be made in the
national income figures to account for these undistributed amounts. A similar
problem arises when using the expenditure method due to the distortion in the
figures which indirect taxes and subsidies make and for which an adjustment
must be made. Indirect taxes increase the total expenditure on goods and
services compared to the amount received by the factors of production and
vice versa for subsidies. The expenditure total is therefore adjusted to factor
cost by deducting indirect taxes and adding back subsidies. Finally still more
adjustments are necessary for changes in stock levels, for exports net of
imports and an allowance for depreciation to allow for the capital used up in
the production process.
In addition to all the specific problem already mentioned there is the added
problem of accuracy of the figures which affects all three measurements.
(b) WITHDRAWALS
A withdrawal is where money exits the circular flow of income, and is no longer
passed between agents.
Savings – Households do not spend all their income and save a certain portion.
These savings are withdrawals from the Circular Flow of Income
Taxation – The amount of taxes paid to the government is not available for
spending by the households and is therefore considered as withdrawals from
the Circular Flow of Income
Imports – The expenditures incurred on the purchase of imported goods and
services accrue to firms in foreign countries and therefore constitute withdrawals
from a country’s Circular Flow of Income.
INJECTIONS
An injection is where money enters the circular flow of income from an external
source, meaning that it can then be passed between agents.
Investments - Investments in capital goods are a form of spending on future
output which is addition to the expenditure and are therefore considered as
injection of funds into the Circular Flow of Income
Government Spending - The funds spent by the government are injections in
the Circular Flow of Income. The funds may be raised by way of taxes or
borrowings by the government.
Exports – The goods and services produced by the firms in the country and
exported, result in income from abroad and are therefore injections in the
Circular Flow of Income.
Figure 1 shows that in simplistic terms, the behaviour of the national economy
is determined by the circular flow of income between two principal agencies,
households and firms. Households will spend their income on things
purchased from firms, this is consumption. Firms, however, will spend all their
income on hiring factors of production i.e., land, labour, capital and
entrepreneurship from households. Hence, what households spend on
consumption is in fact what firms have paid out to them in terms of factor
rewards. Thus total sales revenue of firms should equal total consumption of
households, assuming all income is spent. Clearly this is not the case.
Households do not spend all their income on consumptions, some is disposed
of by way of savings, taxation and payments for imported goods. These are
the withdrawals from the circular flow. Conversely, there are inflows into the
circular flow in the form of capital investment undertaken by firms, government
expenditure and payments made by foreigners in order to purchase UK goods
i.e. exports. These are known as injections.
If withdrawals and injections are equal, the circular flow will remain in
equilibrium and there will be no change in the level of national income.
However, if for instance, injections rise and thus spending exceeds available
output, national incomes will rise. Producers will react by increasing output in
the following period to meet the increased demand. As the national income
grows, so too will withdrawals as households choose to save some of their
increase in income or spend on imports. When the increase in withdrawals
finally matches the original increase in injections, national income will be
restored to an equilibrium level albeit a higher one.
(b) Savings represent a withdrawal from the circular flow of income. If households
choose to increase their rate of saving it would mean less expenditure on
goods and services provided by firms and thus a reduction in their revenue. As
a consequence of this in the following period firms will reduce their output
since stock levels will be higher as not all production will have been sold and
to take account of the reduced consumer spending level.
The initial fall in output experienced by the business sector will in fact be
magnified due to the multiplier process. The fall in output will eventually lead
to a fall in employment and income and hence to a further fall in consumer
spending. The equilibrium level of national income will only be restored if and
The shift from SRAS1 to SRAS2 shows an increase in aggregate supply at each
price level
(c) The following are reasons for a backward shift in SRAS. Other answers that
refer to a change in SRAS are acceptable, as long as it doesn’t refer to a
movement along the curve
i. Decrease in factor productivity of both labour and capital
I: Investment spending
G: Government spending
X: Level of exports
M: Level of imports
This asserts that agents in an economy will only make expenditures with a
percentage of their income, rather than an assumption that if the economy is
in the long run, all income could possibly be used to fuel aggregate demand.
(b)
The key point to note is that the level of output increases proportionately more
than the price level. In a deep recession/ depression the price level won’t
increase at all.
(c) Important here is to show that there is an SRAS and an LRAS, rather than one
supply curve.
Equilibrium in both cases should be to the left of the LRAS
An increase in AD leads to an increase in output, but also to an increase in the
price level.
(c) The key point is that after a while, the SRAS shifts upwards and equilibrium is
restored on the LRAS, however at a higher price level.
Have a diagram similar to below:
The gap between actual level of national income and national income at full
employment is called a deflationary gap. Prices are fairly constant and real
output changes as aggregate demand varies.
IMPORTANT NOTES
Note NO. 1
Note NO. 2
GNP at market prices = GDP at market prices (+) Net property income earned from
abroad.
Note NO. 3
Note NO. 4
GNP at factor cost = GDP at factor cost + Net property income earned from
abroad.
Note NO. 5
Total 41,790
Total 41,760
Total 51,435
42,525
(c) GNP at market prices = GDP at market prices + Net property income earned
from abroad.
(d) GNP at factors cost= GDP at factor cost + net property income from
abroad.
(e) National income at factor cost= GNP at factor cost () Capital Consumption
government spending
investment
taxation
savings
(c) (i) An increase in household savings increases the pool of funds available
for investment. This may lead to a fall in interest rates but also reduces
the spending of households (due to interdependence of consumption
and saving) and therefore demand for the goods and services produced
by firms.
The MEC schedule shows the total level of investment which will take place in
the economy at each level of the interest rate.
(b) Governments are more likely to undertake autonomous investment:
investment that is motivated by the wellbeing to society that it delivers
This is independent of the profit it may bring, as it is not carried out for that
purpose.
This type of investment is ordinarily undertaken by public bodies, or private
organisations not pursuing profit
Examples of autonomous investment include: construction of highways, street
lighting and other infrastructure projects
Private firms are more likely to undertake induced investment: investment that
is motivated by the margin of profit that it delivers
The greater the margin, the more will be invested until the economic gains no
longer outweigh the costs.
This type of investment is associated with private enterprise in pursuit of
maximising profit.
Examples of this include: improvements to machinery, human capital (i.e. staff
training that will generate an economic return) and new assets
(c) “Discounted yield” & “cost of the project”
(d) The MEC curve can shift outwards if the expected rate of return increases.
This could be due to:
an increase in business confidence (future demand for goods will
increase)
an expectation that interest rates will decrease
(a) The government can influence the level of private investment in several ways:
(i) Control interest rates: By keeping interest rates low, for example, the
government might encourage a higher volume of investments, whereas
by allowing interest rates to rise, the government would probably cause
the volume of investment to fall. Government can influence interest rates.
(a) Multiplier is the ratio of the increase in Total National Income to the Initial
increase in National Income that brought about the change.
∆Y
Formula of Multiplier
=
∆I
(ii) Regular Investment: the value of the multiplier will also depend on
regular repeated investments. A steadily increasing level of investment
is essential to maintain the momentum of economic activity.
(iii) Leakages: Leakages from the circular flow of income would make the
value of multiplier very low and extra spending in the economy would
have nominal effect, particularly where there is a high marginal
propensity for imports.
8.2 MULTIPLIER 1
(a) There is a simple process for savings becoming investment in an economy:
Rich households don’t wish to consume all of their capital
Entrepreneurs require capital to invest in projects
An agreement is made between household and entrepreneur
Therefore savings become used for investment
This process is usually facilitated by banks
(b) Planned.
There is a time lag between when investment decisions are made, and the
eventual change in output.
It will not necessarily follow that agents in the economy will follow this level,
however it is the intent that is important.
8.3 MULTIPLIER 2
(a) “income of another”
(b) If aggregate demand is boosted
When the economy was in a deep depression, Keynes argued that the AS
curve would be flat. There would be so much spare capacity for firms that an
increase in production wouldn’t lead to an increase in price.
For example, if there is high unemployment, if a firm needs to hire more
workers to increase supply, then the cost to the firm will be comparatively low,
compared to if the economy was at full employment, and wages would be
high.
The increase in AD has caused output to increase from Y1 to Y2 , but the price
level remains unchanged.
This shows how a boost in AD has the effect of increasing output, thereby
helping the economy move out of depression.
The increase in AS has had no effect on the equilibrium output because the AS
curve remains horizontal at that stage.
(b)
Example:
Year Y Stock of Net Depreciation Gross
(=Output) capital investment [3] investment
[1] [2] [4]
(0) (200) (600)
1 200 600 0 60 60
2 220 660 180 60 240
3 240 720 180 66 246
4 250 750 90 72 162
5 250 750 0 75 75
[1]: Capital : output ratio = 3:1
[2]: Net investment = 3*change in output compared to previous year
[3]: Depreciation = 0.1*Stock of previous year’s capital
[4]: Gross investment = Net investment + depreciation
(c)
Example:
Year Y % change in Y Gross % change in
(=Output) investment gross
investment
(0) (200)
1 200 0 60
2 220 10 240 300
3 240 9.1 246 2.5
4 250 4.17 162 -34.1
5 250 0 75 -53.7
(d) There is a disparity in the rates of change of output and gross investment.
When % change in Y increases, the %change in gross investment increases
quickly
When % change in Y begins to slow, the % change in gross investment falls
dramatically.
Stable price levels are essential as wide fluctuations in the prices of different
factor inputs, consumer and capital goods and services can have far-reaching
consequences for the levels of production, living standards of people and
distribution of wealth. Inflationary pressures have serious adverse
consequences on the citizens, particularly for the poor segments of the
population.
(b) A major shift from direct taxation to indirect taxation will affect a business in
terms of its cost structure and the demand for its products. Lower direct
taxation will reduce a company’s corporation tax charge, thus raising its profits
after tax. If the company then retains these profits and invest them is say new
technology, the company will inevitably become more efficient and thus
reduce its costs of production. Unit costs are also likely to fall due to lower
employment costs; employer’s National Insurance contribution are a form of
direct taxation, if these are reduced, companies may hire more labour or just
incorporate the lower labour cost into their price, making their products more
competitive.
Direct taxation is often argued to be a form of tax which discourages hard
work and enterprise. Lower direct taxation could act therefore, as a spur of
firms to become more innovative, developing new techniques and new
products.
Having looked at the way a reduction in direct taxation is likely to affect a
business, we can now consider the impact of an increase in indirect taxation
on the same business.
A production, or indirect, tax is a tax on goods and services. The effects of
indirect tax in the market place will depend upon the relative elasticities of
demand and supply and the extent of the tax charge.
As far as supply and demand analysis is concerned the imposition of a
production tax is treated as an increase in business costs. This is because
the firms in the market now incur an additional ‘expenditure’ each time they
sell extra units, this ‘expenditure; being the amount of tax which has to be
passed to government. At first consideration it might appear that a simple
solution of passing the entire amount of the tax on to the consumer would be
appropriate. However, the extent to which firms are able to do this depends
upon the relative elasticities of demand and supply. The following diagram
indicates the effects of this.
Diagram 1 – the imposition of an indirect tax
As the diagram shows, the effect of the tax increase is indicated by a leftward
shift of the supply curve. This signifies that the firms in the market have
incurred an increase in costs, in this instance arising from the government
demand that tax should be raised on the sales of the goods in question. As
can be seen, the equilibrium price increases from P1 to P2 which results in a
contraction in demand from Q1 to Q2. The proportion of the tax paid by the
consumers is the increase in price attributable to the tax change. Obviously
this is the difference between P1 and P2. However, the consumers do not bear
the entire burden of the tax. As shown on the diagram the total tax increase is
indicated by the vertical distance between the two supply curves marked as
ab. Thus, if the consumers are contributing P2 – P1 (or ac) the producers are
contributing the rest, shown as cb.
The extent to which firms can pass on the tax increase depends upon the
elasticity of demand in relation to the elasticity of supply. For example, if
demand is perfectly inelastic it is possible to pass on the entire tax burden
because consumers will be prepared to purchase the good at any price.
However, if this is not the case then the burden must be shared. In diagram 1
demand is more inelastic than supply, and it can be seen that the consumer
bears a large proportion of the tax burden. However, in the diagram below
demand is relatively elastic, and supply less so, resulting in the opposite
outcome.
As the diagram shows the consumers bear a small proportion of the tax
increase (ac), while the producers bear a much larger proportion (cb).
Thus, although the elasticity of demand is an important determinant of the
incidence or burden of an indirect tax, we cannot ignore the elasticity of
supply.
If demand is more inelastic, the consumer shoulders the major part of the
burden. If supply is more inelastic, the producer bears the lion's share of the
burden.
Note also that the larger the elasticities of demand and supply for a good, the
greater will be the reduction in output following a rise in indirect taxation on
that good. For, if the combined elasticities are high, not only will the firm have
to absorb most of the tax increase itself but output will also fall resulting in a
fall in total revenue. This represents an additional burden on the producer.
The data given in the question illustrates the trade cycle scenario. The
downswing starts in 1979 with only a 2.8% change in GDP compared with
3.5% the previous year. The decline continues until 1982 when the rate of
growth of GDP starts to rise again; the recovery period peaks in 1998 (apart
from a blip year in 1984) when the downswing starts again bottoming out in
1992 with recovery showing in 1993.
(b) The accelerator principle suggests that changes in the level of demand are a
more important determinant of investment than the rate of interest. The
principle stresses the relationship between the level of net investment (i.e.,
investment over and above that necessary to maintain the present productive
capacity) and changes in National Income which determines aggregate
demand. This can be summarised using the formula:
Net Investment (I) = VY
where V = the accelerator coefficient, a fixed capital output ratio ie, it
is the amount of investment necessary to produce an
extra unit of output.
Y = change in demand
As an example let us assume an accelerator coefficient of 2.
Year Y Y I (excluding replacement)
1 100 0 0
2 110 10 20
3 150 40 80
4 175 25 50
5 185 10 20
6 185 0 0
The example illustrates that net investment depends on the rate of growth of
demand not the absolute level, and that changes in the rate of growth of
demand produce magnified changes in investment, and when the rate of
increase of demand falls the absolute level of net investment falls. The data
for the UK appears to support the accelerator principle. The falls in investment
in 1980/81 and 1990/93 were significantly greater than the falls in GDP for the
same years, whilst the high positive changes in investment in 1978, 1982,
1984, 1987, 1988 and 1994 were much higher than the growth in GDP in the
same years.
Unfortunately all policies appear to have some negative side effects, through
policy conflicts and trade-offs. Using fiscal policy alone has proved in the past
to be ineffective in simultaneously achieving all the main government
macroeconomic objectives.
In the diagram, Aggregate Supply is shown by the line AS. Aggregate supply
means the total supply of goods and services in the economy.
The aggregate supply curve will be upward sloping, an increasing price level
implies that many firms will be receiving higher prices for their products and will
increase their output.
In the economy as a whole, supply will at some point reach a labour constraint,
when the entire labour force is employed. When there is full employment, and
firms cannot find extra labour to hire, they cannot produce more even when price
rise, unless there is some technical progress in production methods. The
aggregate supply curve will therefore rise vertically when the full employment level
of output is reached (AS in the diagram).
Aggregate demand (AD) is total desired demand in the economy, for consumer
goods and services, and also for capital goods, no matter whether the buyers are
households, firms or government.
The AD curve will be downward sloping as quantities demanded will increase
when the price falls.
A national economy will reach equilibrium where the aggregate demand curve and
aggregate supply curve intersect i.e. at Y (as shown in the diagram). Price levels
will be at P. Y therefore represents the level of satisfied demand in the economy.
CHAPTER 11 – MONEY
11.1 THE MONEY SUPPLY
(a) An important distinction when considering money, is that to be made between
'real' or 'true' money and 'quasi-money' or 'near money' and this distinction is
connected with the idea of liquidity. Liquidity is the extent to which an asset
can be realised quickly for full value i.e., without capital loss. The general
acceptability which is a vital attribute of money makes it the most liquid of all
assets. Money is completely liquid and immediately and always exchangeable
for full value for goods and services. At the other end of the range of liquidity is
an asset such as land, the seller of which will have to pay marketing costs and
may have to wait for some time before a buyer appears. Closer to the liquid
end of the range are certain financial assets which are defined as 'near-
money' or 'quasi-money' because they can be held with little loss of liquidity.
National Savings Bank Ordinary Accounts, for example, cannot be regarded
as money because they are not generally acceptable in paying debts i.e., they
do not perform the medium of exchange function. However, they are a good
store of value since they have a rate of interest paid on them and usually they
can be easily and quickly turned into 'real' or 'true' money - specified as notes,
coin and current accounts - without loss and so are highly liquid assets.
Official statistics of the money supply have traditionally been based on money
defined as notes, coin and bank deposits, by far the most significant of these
three components being bank deposits. The banks can create money in the
The assumptions are firstly that V, which is the frequency with which the
money stock is spent, is determined by the transactions demand for money
and empirically has been shown to be relatively stable and predictable.
Secondly, T, the number of transactions which take place in the economy,
essentially depends on the number of goods available for purchase. This is
fixed by the productive capacity of the economy which can only change slowly
over time.
Hence it follows that if V and T are constant any change in the money stock
will result in a proportionate change in the price level.
(c) The predictions of the quantity theory of changes in the money supply
resulting in changes in the price level do not seem to be born out directly by
this data. A fairly tenuous relationship can be shown where changes in the
money supply are coupled with changes in the rate of inflation after a two-year
time lag. This occurs for instance, in 1977, 1978, 1983, 1988 and 1993 where
an acceleration in M0 is followed by an increase in the rate of inflation in 1979,
1980, 1985, 1990 and 1995. This relationship does not seem to hold in
reverse however. When the slowdown in the growth in M0 occurs in 1985,
1987 and 1992 it is not complemented by a de-acceleration in the price level
in 1987, 1989 and 1994.
(d) The effects of a change in the money supply in the short and long run will vary
depending on whether a Keynesian or a Monetarist view is being used.
Keynesian theory suggests, taking an increase in the money supply as an
example, that an increase in expenditure on financial assets will result and
hence a fall in interest rates (an increase in the demand for bonds
automatically results in a fall in the rate of interest.) This fall in interest rates
will stimulate the demand for consumption and investment goods although in a
relatively small way as, according to Keynes, expenditure is interest rate
inelastic. The lower rates will however mean consumers will have more money
to spend on goods and services as the cost of mortgages and other domestic
loans decrease. In the short run the increase in demand will be met by spare
capacity in the economy, so prices will remain steady. In the long run
however, if all the spare capacity is used up and if productivity has not
improved the increase in demand could cause prices to rise.
Monetarists believe that increases in the money supply will lead to a rise in
demand for all goods and services. In the short run this extra spending can
lead to a rise in prices, but producers will expand output as a response to the
higher demand. In the long run producers will realise that in real terms they
are no better off and output will return to the level it was before the rise in the
money supply. This is known as the natural unemployment level of national
income. If there are further money supply increases prices alone will rise
without any increase in output.
11.4 UNEMPLOYMENT
(a) Phillips curve depicts a relationship whereby unemployment falls when the
inflation rises and vice versa. The curve is shown in the following diagram:
(i) The curve crosses the horizontal axis at a positive value for the
unemployment rate. This means that zero inflation will be associated
with some unemployment; it is not possible to achieve zero inflation
and zero unemployment at the same time.
(ii) The shape of the curve shows that at a lower level of unemployment,
a slight decrease in unemployment will be accompanied by a high rate
of increase in inflation.
(b) The term full employment refers to a situation where the rate of
unemployment is at the minimum level which an economy can expect
to achieve. The rate of unemployment can never be equal to zero as
there would always be a certain minimum rate of unemployment on
account of various natural reasons.
(c) The various types of unemployment are as under:
Frictional unemployment:
Even when there are enough jobs some unemployment is inevitable
as workers move from one job to another. Such unemployment
occurs when there is a shortage of a particular type of workers at one
place and similar type of workers are in surplus at some other place.
Such unemployment is usually temporary.
Seasonal unemployment:
Such unemployment takes place in Industries/businesses where
demand is seasonal, like in agricultural sector or in tourism industry,
etc.
Cyclical unemployment
Such unemployment increases in recession when aggregate demand
and prices are falling and decreases in boom period when aggregate
demand and prices are on the rise.
Structural unemployment:
When an economy undergoes structural changes for example when
the economy moves from one sector to another or from primary goods
to value added goods etc. re-adjustments are needed. In such
situations those workers who are unable to acquire the new skills or
are otherwise reluctant to change their jobs become unemployed.
Technological unemployment:
Due to technological development machines replace labour resulting
in unemployment of this sort. However when the productivity
increases it generates demand for other types of goods and the
unemployment starts reducing as the workers acquire newer skills.
At point A, the trade off between inflation and unemployment is great, because
resources are near full capacity.
At point B though, there is more spare capacity in the economy, meaning that the
level of wage inflation is low.
(c) The argument that Friedman put forward was that each SRPC was based
upon a fixed expectation of inflation. If there was an increase in the
expectation of inflation, then this would cause the SRPC to shift higher.
In his opinion, boosting AD would only have a short run effect on
unemployment. In the long run, people would adjust their expectations to
account for higher inflation, and a new SRPC curve would form.
This can be shown in the diagram below:
This means that in the short run, a trade off may occur, however in the long run,
it is not possible to expand beyond the LRPC.
Speculative motive – The holding of money has an opportunity cost in the form of
income foregone by not using the money to purchase an income bearing asset e.g.
a bond. When interest rates are high, individuals will hold lesser amounts for
speculative purposes and therefore have low liquidity preference. When the interest
rates tend to be low, individuals will retain large amounts in anticipation of increase
in interest rates and would have high liquidity preference.
The bank also has responsibility for administering the gold and foreign
exchange reserves of the nation. This is done through the Exchange
Equalisation Account where the bank buys and sells currency in order to
influence the exchange rate. If the government considers the exchange rate is
too high, the bank will sell sterling and vice versa if it is too low.
A further role of the bank is as banker to the commercial banks, who keep
their operational deposits with the bank and, from these, they settle daily inter-
bank indebtedness arising from cheque transactions. The bank's relationship
with the commercial banks also helps it in its role of administering government
policy. It can request them to control their lending or, if desired, it could re-
introduce reserve requirements or order the placing of special-deposits with
the bank.
The bank acts as a lender of last resort to the banking system as a whole via
the discount houses. If the banks become short of liquid funds, for example, at
times of the year when large tax payments are made, the bank will relieve the
shortage by either buying bills from the banks in the normal way or the banks
would call in money at call with the discount houses. In turn the discount
houses may choose to call upon the bank to act as lender of last resort to
them. The bank always stands ready to come to the assistance of the banking
system in times when it is threatened by cash shortage in order to avoid any
confidence crisis.
(b) A major function of a central bank is the supervision and regulation of the
banking system. Supervision of the banking system has been much discussed
in recent years following the collapse of BCC1 and the Barings Bank and
measures have been adopted to try and ensure such problems do not reoccur.
Firstly, banks have to adhere to capital adequacy rules to ensure they are
covered against any possible bad debts. The adequacy of a bank's capital is
determined by reference to its risk assets, which are weighted by category.
The weighting is decided by the status of the borrower and the collateral given
on the loans. The Bank of England will set a minimum for a bank's capital
base having calculated its weighted risk assets. Shareholders' capital and
accumulated profits must account for at least half of the capital requirement,
the remainder typically being loan stocks and general provisions against
losses. Secondly, banks must have adequate liquidity to meet day-to-day
transactions. The Bank of England discusses with each bank on an individual
basis its liquidity requirements and advises on changes where it considers
necessary.
Thirdly, the banks' bad and doubtful debt provisions are monitored by The
Bank of England. Banks have to report large exposures to a single borrower or
to a particular sector such as property. Also, a bank is disallowed from lending
more than 10% of its capital base to a single borrower. It has produced
guidelines for banks to rank their debtors' ability to repay against a list of
financial and other economic factors.
Lastly, the Bank of England plays a supervisory role in terms of the banks'
senior positions. Directors, managers and large shareholders must satisfy the
Bank that they are 'fit and proper' people to hold such positions. It also
requires banks to make periodic reports on controls and procedures and the
reporting accountants must supply assurances that the Bank's guidelines have
been observed. They also provide the Bank with statistical data which forms
part of its monitoring system.
b) The main drawback is that by issuing too much credit, a bank may not be able
to fulfil all of the demands placed on it by its depositors.
It can also lead to inflation in the economy, if too much money is circulating.
For this reason, a number of safeguards are put in place to ward off this risk
Total amount of cash: firstly, the amount of credit is dependent on the
initial size of the money supply. The larger this is, the more credit can be
created
Size of reserve ratio: the lower the ratio requirements are, the more
credit can be created. In many countries, there is a minimum level
(usually 20%) that banks must adhere to, so that there isn’t too much
credit within the economy
Liquidity Preferences: how much cash people want to hold. If, say,
there is high inflation, then people may not wish to hold their money in
banks where the real value is set to diminish
Central Bank policies: the central bank may utilise a number of
instruments to control how much credit is created by banks
Availability of quality securities: banks will not issue credit to
everyone – they will only issue if they can receive a high value asset in
return from the borrower. If this does not exist, then credit will not be
created as readily
CHAPTER 13 – CREDIT
13.1 CREDIT
(a) Issue of ordinary shares involves giving away part of the ownership of the firm
as each ordinary share carries 1 vote. This means that the ownership
proportion of each existing shareholder is diluted, unless it is maintained by
the purchase of a corresponding number of shares from the new issue. The
issue of debentures by a public limited company gives the holder liquidity, as
such loan stock can be sold on the Stock Exchange, but does not give a share
of ownership. Such stock may be preferred by lenders as it can be secured
on the assets of the company, giving a degree of protection in the case of non
payment of interest or capital.
Loan stock normally carries a fixed rate of interest, which means that the cost
of the borrowing is predictable. If interest rates rise in the future, it can be low
cost borrowing. If the firm is successful in the future, shareholders may
demand an increase in dividends paid, but loan stock holders are restricted to
the fixed rate of interest.
(b) Money supply can be measured in a number of ways and broader definitions
include consumer credit as it increase the purchasing power of the population.
Much of this credit is created by banks. As banks lend money to their
customers, they create new deposits, increasing the supply of money in the
economy. An increase in money supply and therefore demand in the
economy can lead to inflationary pressure.
Governments may try to control money supply by increasing rates of interest
to make borrowing more expensive or by direct credit controls such as
minimum deposit percentages. The rate of interest is the most likely option for
present governments but its effect depends on the interest elasticity of
demand. In the housing market interest is not the major consideration of
buyers and it is therefore interest inelastic. Other markets may react more
quickly to interest rate increases, for example consumer electrical goods, often
considered to be luxuries. The monetary authorities can also attempt to
influence interest rates and the money supply through open market
operations. The Bank of England can sell securities on behalf of the
government, directly to the 'non-bank' private sector; i.e. the public. Most
people will withdraw funds from their bank accounts to pay for the securities,
reducing banks' liquidity, and thus their overall ability to make loans and create
credit money. So, as long as the funds are retained by the government, the
growth of the money supply will be slowed.
Excessive government spending leading to heavy borrowing by the
government from the banking system, has been blamed for inflation in the
past. If the government is forced to borrow from the banking system to fund
the PSBR, this has the effect of increasing the liquidity and the lending
capacity of the banks, allowing them to bring about an increase in credit
creation and the money supply. Monetarist economists, who have championed
this view in the last 20 years or so, argue for cuts in government spending and
a reduction in the PSBR to avoid the inflationary effects of an overly rapid
growth of the money supply. (Note: the PSBR is now known as the Public
Sector Net Cash Requirement – PSNCR).
13.2 BANKS
(a) Financial intermediaries are institutions, such as banks or building societies,
which provide funds for lending long term, by borrowing from other groups of
people, on a short term basis. Short-term borrowing provides a pool of funds
from which those borrowers can maintain liquidity, should they need it, and a
pool from which long-term lending can be given. The building society instant
access account provides a secure home for small amounts of savings, with
interest, from a large number of savers. This money can be lent long-term to
house buyers, at a slightly higher rate of interest, for periods of 20 or 30 years.
The large number of savers provides protection for those wishing to withdraw
money and the long-term loans.
(b) Commercial banks operate on a fractional reserve system which means that
only a small proportion of cash needs to be available at any time to maintain
the confidence of depositors. The remainder of their assets can be made up
of advances or loans to customers, which is a profitable investment.
Credit creation can be illustrated by an example which assumes that there is
only one bank in the system and that all money is re-deposited in the bank.
A deposit of £100 will create a liability for the bank, as the money is repayable
to the depositor, and an asset of cash.
If the bank works on a 10% fractional reserve system, it will need to keep 10%
of its assets as cash, leaving it free to create advances of up to 90% of its total
assets. The borrower can spend the advance as the bank will honour the
cheque, and as the cheque is deposited in the bank, liabilities will again equal
assets. The Balance Sheet would appear as follows:
Assets £ Liabilities £
Cash 100 Depositor A 100
Advance to B (90% of £1,000) 900 Depositor B 900
______ ______
1,000 1,000
______ ______
The limitation on credit creation consists fundamentally of the need to exercise
prudence. Whereas the more lending a bank can do, the more money it is
likely to make, it must take care not to overextend its lending activities and
face the potentially disastrous consequences of running short of cash.
Fractional reserve banking depends on the continuing confidence of the
bank's customers, who must believe that cash will be available at any time at
which they require it.
From time to time in the past, government has imposed limitations on the
ability of banks to create credit, but this has not been an influencing factor in
recent years.
Finally, banks have been able to be more aggressive in their lending over
recent years, as the population increasingly uses payment methods, from
cheques to credit cards, which do not rely on the everyday use of cash.
ability to create credit will be reduced, while demand will also fall in
response to the high interest rate policy.
Secondly, there are open market operations. This is where the central
bank sells government securities on the open market. The buyer will pay
for these securities with cheques drawn on their commercial bank
accounts. The central bank will settle these claims against the
commercial banks by deducting the appropriate amount from their
operational deposits which they have to keep at the Bank. This therefore
reduces the commercial banks' cash reserves, and thus with less
liquidity the banks must restrain their credit creation.
A further control upon credit creation relates to the size of the cash base
established by the central bank, i.e., direct quantitative controls. To
ensure that a minimum amount of liquidity is retained by commercial
banks they can be required to deposit, without interest, a percentage of
their balances with the central bank, and these deposits, known as
'Special Deposits', cannot be counted for credit creation purposes.
Finally, the central bank can issue non-obligatory directives to the
commercial banks to encourage them in the direction they would like
their credit creation to follow.
Balance of payment
Balance of trade
(iv) Increase domestic interest rate to attract deposits from foreign countries.
(vi) Exchange control regulations to restrict outflow of funds from the home
country.
14.4 DISEQUILIBRIUM
(a) Following are some causes of disequilibrium in balance of payment:
Natural factors
Natural calamities like drought or flood may easily cause disequilibrium in
balance of payments. These natural calamities can adversely affect
agricultural and industrial production. Exports may decline and imports may go
up, causing a setback in the country’s balance of payment.
Trade cycles
Business fluctuations caused by the operation of trade cycles may also result
in disequilibrium in country’s balance of payments. For instance, if there
occurs a recession in foreign countries, it may induce a fall in the exports and
exchange earning of the country concerned, hence resulting in a
disequilibrium in the balance of payments.
Political instability
Political instability results in disrupting the productive potential within the
country, thereby causing a decline in exports and an increase in imports.
Relatively high rate of inflation
High rate of inflation as compared to other countries makes the goods
produced by that country relatively expensive. As a result, its exports decline
and the balance of payment runs into a deficit.
Trade restrictions by other countries
Sometimes other countries impose heavy custom duties or fix quotas or ban
imports from a country. It results in lower exports of that country.
Inelastic demand for machinery and industrial goods
The demand for these goods by less developed countries is inelastic because
these less developed countries have no choice since there is shortage of such
goods in these countries and to increase their growth rate they are going to
need such goods. Hence their imports remain high.
(b) The following measures are usually taken to correct a disequilibrium in the
Balance of Payments:
(i) Depreciation or devaluation of the home currency which makes the
imports costlier and uncompetitive, whereas exports become more
competitive.
(ii) Protectionist measures resulting in either partial restriction or complete
ban on imports or increase in cost of imports.
(iii) Domestic deflation by reducing the supply of money and thereby
aggregate domestic demand so that the quantity of imported goods
decreases.
(iv) Increase in domestic interest rate to attract deposits from foreign
countries.
(v) Import substitution to reduce the overall quantity of imports.
(vi) Exchange control regulations to restrict outflows of funds from the
home country.
(vii) Stimulating exports by providing subsidies and tax holidays to export-
oriented industries.
The domestic price (where domestic supply equals domestic demand) is higher
than the world price (Wp).
The level of imports is determined by the supply and demand for goods at
different price levels.
At Wp, Qd – Qs must be imported.
With the addition of a tariff, the world price increases, and as such a smaller
amount is needed to be imported (Qd1 – Qs1)
This therefore improves the current account deficit
(c)
Quotas: a government may fix a permanent amount of a good that may
be imported into a country. Restricting the quantity decreases the level
of imports, thereby improving the current account deficit
Export promotion: a government can help exporters sell their goods
and services on the international market through organising exhibitions
and trade fairs, as well as striking diplomatic deals
Import substitution: a country can reduce the level of imports that buy,
by becoming more self-reliant and producing these goods and services
domestically. This can be done through providing specialist training,
subsidies and tax assistance.
This shows how, starting from Point A, the deficit increases before swinging up
and going into a surplus as time goes on
15.2 DERIVATIVES
(a) An instrument whose price is dependent on one or more underlying asset(s). It
is merely a contract between two parties. Changes in the underlying asset(s)
can cause great fluctuations in the price of the derivative.
Share: not a derivative. An investor will see profits rise and fall in direct
correlation with the share price
Option: is a derivative. Though there will be some correlation with the share
price, the value of the derivative will still retain value even in if the share price
falls.
(b) Over the counter and through an Exchange: OTC vs. ETD.
OTC derivatives
The conditions for establishing and trading an OTC derivative are much less
strict than exchange traded derivatives (ETDs).
The issue and trade of each instrument is on an individual basis, meaning a
financial intermediary (usually investment bank) will ‘make a market’ between
buyers and sellers.
Benefits: greater flexibility with regard to the terms of the deal.
Drawbacks: the level of risk is much higher as counter parties can be affected
if the trade loses a lot of money
ETDs
A derivative must meet certain strict criteria to be traded on an exchange.
There are variables (maturity length, credit rating etc) that can be controlled
for to allow a derivative to be traded on an exchange.
Benefits: ETDs reduce the risk involved with a transaction by ensuring that
whenever a party goes “long” (i.e. will see reward if the underlying price
increases) there is another party that is “short”.
The fact that these two positions are equalled off (“net zero”) means the
overall risk is reduced if the underlying price moves drastically. Performing the
trade through an official exchange also reduces the level of counterparty risk,
as trades are done through a clearing house.
Drawbacks: reduces the quantity of derivative products that can be traded if
they don’t meet the criteria
Corporations mainly use capital markets to fund long term projects that they
wish to undertake. They use a commercial bank to deal with the mechanics of
taking their offering to the market, which usually happens on a stock
exchange. It is then investors who, using commercial banks again, will
purchase the instruments that are being sold.
(c) The sums of money necessary to trade on the capital markets means it is
rarely possible for an individual investor can gain access.
However, it is possible to do so through a mutual fund investment vehicle.
This is where many investors pool their resources together to be invested in a
variety of financial instruments that we have laid out above. They are operated
by professional money managers who have specialist knowledge of the
money, and capital markets.
The investment objectives of each mutual fund are explained in the investment
prospectus, and investors choose ones that best fits their profile.
The main advantage of a mutual fund is that it gives individual investors
access to the market. A mutual fund portfolio can be constructed to be
diversified, and across a range of securities. For an investor with a small
amount of capital, this would be near impossible to replicate.
However, by becoming a shareholder in a mutual fund, the investor can
participate in the gains or losses of the fund. Each share in a mutual fund can
often be sold or purchased at the Net Asset Value (NAV) of the fund.
The rates of return are formed on a much more individual basis, and
there is more emphasis on the forces of supply and demand, rather than
pegging to an official rate of interest.
(c) The way in which a government would utilise the capital markets is on the debt
side, as they do not have equity themselves that they can sell off.
The two main instruments that are available to them are:
Debentures: A debt instrument where there is no physical asset used as
collateral. Instead, a government or firm’s creditworthiness is used by
investors to adjudicate the risk involved.
Bonds: An investor will buy debt from a government or corporation in
exchange for a fixed return at various points of time, and then the principal
(amount paid for it). There are two features that determine the price of a bond:
credit quality and duration.
A longer held bond will have a higher interest rate returned, due to the time
value of money. A bond issued by a riskier institution will also yield a higher
interest rate, as there is less of a chance that the amount can be paid back.
Sovereign bonds are also an acceptable answer
The considerations for the government are:
Rate of interest that needs to be paid to investors
Length of time to pay back
The risk factor of them not returning money to investors
Alternative methods of raising capital (increasing taxes etc.)