Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
1. COURSE IDENTIFICATION
The academic course consists of three (3) academic credits, whose field of training is
the discipline and has a professional nature- elective in the program of industrial
engineering that offer the UNAD; in addition, it is theoretical. After you understand and
internalize the knowledge of the three preliminary courses of operations research
(linear programming methods deterministic, probabilistic methods) and the support in
the acquired knowledge in statistics and probability and Statistical Inference, the
student is able to start the course of decision theory, where it seeks to understand the
methods, operations and definitions on the different techniques of application in the
decisions that depend on the type and quality of the information obtained.
The evaluation will be carried out in 8 phases with a learning strategy based on
problems. The Phase 1, belongs to the time of initial evaluation, at stages 3, 5 and 7
activities will be carried out type automatic qualification quiz. The phases 2, 4 and 6
are presented as collaborative work of the Units 1, 2 and 3, respectively, and in Phase
8, a project belonging to the final evaluation of the course.
1. FORMATION INTENTIONALITIES
Generate in the student the ability for the interpretation of the results obtained in
the development of the algorithms of the decision-making process, through the
proposed algorithms for low certainty, risk and/or uncertainty.
The student identifies the basic concepts in the decision-making process, allowing
you to identify and implement the appropriate methods in the decisions under an
environment of risk or certainty.
The student appropriate methods of expected value, decision trees, and utility
theory in the decision-making under risk, obtaining solutions to problems
presented in the professional field.
The student uses the decisions under uncertainty, game theory and Markov chains
to put it into practice with several competitors and rivals, using technological tools
to develop an approximate simulation that allows solving various problems in the
professional environment.
2. COURSE CONTENT
1. Expected value:
a. The criteria for assessing the Sanderson, C. (2006). Analytical Models for
possible solutions. Decision Making. New York, USA: McGraw-
b. The research design in the Hill Education Editorial. Retrieved from:
market. http://bibliotecavirtual.unad.edu.co:2051/lo
c. The expected value of sample gin.aspx?direct=true&db=nlebk&AN=23409
information. 8&lang=es&site=eds-live
d. Expected value of perfect
information.
e. Criterion level of acceptance.
Gilboa, I. (2001). A Theory of Case-Based
Decisions. Camdridge, UK: Cambridge
University Press Editorial. Retrieved from:
http://bibliotecavirtual.unad.edu.co:2051/lo
gin.aspx?direct=true&db=nlebk&AN=72982
&lang=es&site=eds-live
2. Decision Trees:
a. Basic concepts of decision trees. Rokach, L. (2008). Data Mining With Decision
b. Elements of decision trees. Trees: Theory And Applications, Bern,
c. Bayes rule and decision trees. Switzerland: H. Bunke, University Bern,
d. Troubleshooting decision tree. Switzerland. Retrieved from:
e. Polietapicas solutions. http://bibliotecavirtual.unad.edu.co:2051/lo
gin.aspx?direct=true&db=nlebk&AN=23603
7&lang=es&site=eds-live
3. Utility Theory:
a. The criteria for assessing the Joyce, J. (1999). The Foundations of Causal
possible solutions. Decision Theory. Camdridge, UK: Cambridge
b. Criterion of Laplace. University Press Editorial. Retrieved from:
c. The criterion of minimum value. http://bibliotecavirtual.unad.edu.co:2051/lo
d. Criterion of Savage. gin.aspx?direct=true&db=nlebk&AN=22816
e. Hurwicz criterion. 7&lang=es&site=eds-live
5. Game Theory:
Aven, T. (2008). Risk Analysis : The Risk Analysis Process: Chichester, UK: john wiley
& sons editorial. Retrieved from:
http://bibliotecavirtual.unad.edu.co:2048/login?url=http://search.ebscohost.com/logi
n.aspx?direct=true&db=nlebk&AN=323407&lang=es&site=ehost-live
Unit 2. Decisions in an environment of uncertainty
Kelly, A. (2003). Decision Making Using Game Theory: An Introduction for Managers:
Camdridge, UK: Cambridge University Press Editorial. Retrieved from:
http://bibliotecavirtual.unad.edu.co:2051/login.aspx?direct=true&db=nlebk&AN=120
445&lang=es&site=eds-live
Narahari, Y. (2014). Game Theory And Mechanism Design. New Jersey, USA: IISc
Lecture Notes Series. Retrieved from:
http://bibliotecavirtual.unad.edu.co:2051/login.aspx?direct=true&db=nlebk&AN=752
585&lang=es&site=eds-live
3. LEARNING STRATEGY
The educational exercise to distance and virtual learning environments requires a sound
process of planning in front of the activities suggested for the students. In this sense, the
work items that require the joint participation of the members of the group, the need
arises to articulate the strategy of problem based learning (PBL and to facilitate the
process of formation of the student. This approach emphasize the self-learning and self-
training, processes that facilitated by the dynamics of the constructivist approach and
eclectic.
In the PBL approach promotes cognitive autonomy, is taught and learned from problems
that have meaning for students, the error is used as an opportunity to learn and not to
punish and gives an important value to the self-evaluation and qualitative formative
assessment, and individualized.
For this exercise, it is important to consider aspects such as the execution time of the
activity and the resources required for the solution of the problems found approximately
Knowledge. Any time you have considered these aspects can then begin to develop the
phases corresponding to the individual and collaborative work of the course.
4. DISTRIBUTION OF THE ACADEMIC ACTIVITIES OF THE COURSE
Units 1, 2 and 3.
Decisions under risk Phase 8. Present the results of the proposed
15 - 16
environments, problems in the final project.
uncertainty and Markov
5. ACCOMPANYING STRATEGIES TEACHING
Digital Teaching Strategies, which make reference to the way in which the teacher
teaches and provides training or effective teaching, so that, from a variety of virtual
information aid, the student understands through actions and formalizations the true
teaching applied to the activities of the Course.
Accompaniment In-Situ and online, under the circles of interaction and Academic
and Social Participation - SCERP and accompaniment asynchronous via Skype will
ensure the continued attention of students to facilitate the development of the
proposed activities, work in small groups and individually.
6. COURSE EVALUATION PLAN