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ABSTRACT: Crude oil characterization by infrared (IR) spectroscopy and whole oil gas chromatography (GC) has been used
to provide data for establishing multivariate prediction models for physical properties of crude oils. The parameters of interest are
used in multiphase flowmeters (MFMs) for monitoring production and transport of petroleum fluids, and permittivity
parameters are of special interest. Data for 20 crude oils and condensates has been acquired and modeled using partial least
squares (PLS) modeling. Good quality predictions were obtained for density, velocity of sound, and static and high frequency
permittivity. Biodegradation of crude oil is the main cause of variation in the modeled variables. The data required are obtained in
standard analytical procedures, and thus the approach has a considerable potential for use in on-site quality assurance.
© 2012 American Chemical Society 5679 dx.doi.org/10.1021/ef300620r | Energy Fuels 2012, 26, 5679−5688
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(PLS) is used to establish the multivariate calibration models.16 assessment are based on the Norwegian Standard Oil (NSO-1),18
The quality of the models is determined by evaluating the in which the compounds have been identified in a GC-MS, and by
accuracy of the prediction of samples not included in the manual inspection, the compounds in the chromatograms have
initially modeled data. Simple data pretreatment is applied to been identified and quantified for all the oils, assuming a constant
make the data set internally comparable. response factor. The quantified values for two gas chromatograms
for each oil are averaged, giving the quantified values used in the
2. MATERIAL AND METHODS modeling.
2.1. Crude Oil Samples. Twenty crude oils, originating 2.4. Velocity of Sound. The velocity of sound of the oils
mainly from the North Sea, have been analyzed for physical and was measured by the technique described by Bjørndal et al.
electrical properties and chemical composition. The types of (2008),19 where the measurement cell was modified to include
measurements performed and the number of variables pro- a pressure seal and a pressure transmitter. As eq 1 shows, the
duced are specified in Table 1. The data have also previously velocity is dependent on the density of the given fluid.
By doing this, the origin of the coordinate system is placed at Equation 4: Regression model for PLS modeling. N is the total
the center of gravity in the data set. amount of variables in the model. B0 is the starting point, B1,
N B2, ..., BN are regression coefficients for variable 1, 2, ..., N. X1,
1 X2, ..., XN is variable 1, 2, ..., N.
Xcentred(i , j) = X(i , j) − ∑ x(i , j)
N i=1 (3) By evaluating the regression coefficients for a given model,
you can detect which variables have the most significant effect
Equation 3: Centring of the data set. X = full matrix, i = column on the model, be it positive or negative effect and, hence, which
in matrix, j = row in matrix, N = total number of objects. variables are most important for the variation in the model.
Pretreatment of GC Data. When injecting samples onto the Nevertheless, the effect of the total amount of coefficients usually
GC column, it is not certain that the amount of sample is is more important than the effect of one single coefficient.
exactly the same in every injection. To eliminate any effects In the modeling stage, the goal was to find the models that
from this, the quantified amounts have been normalized to
gave as low deviations as possible for the validation objects. The
constant sum. This is done by dividing the selected variables of
number of latent variables (LVs) giving the lowest deviations is
each object with the sum of the objects to obtain the relative
chosen for each model. Based on this, the number of LVs in the
distribution of the variables in each object. This procedure is
normal for GC.22,23 For models based on GC, the data sets has different models is not necessarily the same, causing some of
been centered and normalized to constant sum. the models to be more robust than the others. The number of
Pretreatment of IR Data. For the models based on FTIR, LVs has been chosen bearing in mind that if too many LVs are
the raw data has been centered, but no further pretreatment has chosen, there is a possibility that noise is modeled as well as the
been done. significant signal, causing the model to give poor predictions for
3.2. Modeling. Multivariate data analysis has been unknown samples. Also, if too few LVs are chosen, there is a
performed using the SIRIUS program package, version 7.0.24 possibility that some of the significant information remains
PLS models have been built, based on GC and FTIR data, in unmodeled and gets categorized as noise, also causing the
order to investigate the possibility of predicting the other physical model to give poor predictions for unknown samples.
and electrical properties that have been measured.
The data sets are first investigated as PCA models to deter- 4. RESULTS
mine the degree of systematic variation in the data. The prin-
4.1. Initial Data Evaluation. The ranges for the measured
cipal components (PCs) provide a system of orthogonal axes
physical properties for all the oils are given in Table 2. The
that each describe a maximum of the systematic variation
remaining in the data set. measurements span a reasonable range of values for most of the
The PLS models are then established. PLS models generate parameters, with the exception of τ, dielectric relaxation time,
Latent Variables (LVs) that are orthogonal and describe the and σ, finite conductivity, where the value is zero for 3 and 10
maximum covariation between the independent data matrix (the of the samples, respectively. This lack of variation can represent
analytical data) and the dependent data (the predicted properties). a problem for establishing robust models. The uncertainty in α
Each model is based on 17 of the 20 oils in the data sets. and τ is high because they are based on the curve fit of the
Three oils in each data set have been omitted from the models Cole−Cole model, while σ is close to zero for oils in general.
in order to use them as validation objects. It is important to This means that, among the parameters extracted from the
balance the number of validation objects against the total number Cole−Cole model, static permittivity and high frequency
of samples, as the model might be less robust if too many oils are permittivity are easier to determine than α, τ, and σ.
omitted from the model building. The predictive quality of the The standard deviations in Table 2 are based on replicate
models can be examined by testing the apparently unknown experiments. For the permittivity variables, the standard devia-
objects against the models. For each model, one biodegraded oil, tion is based on two replicates, density is based on three repli-
one nonbiodegraded oil, and one condensate has been omitted cates, while for velocity of sound no replicates were measured.
from the data set, as these oils in general are chemically different. The experimental uncertainty in Table 2 is the standard
These validation objects have been chosen based on their values deviation multiplied by 2, as ±1.96 of the standard deviation
for each variable; for each model, there is one validation object about the mean marks the range within which, when a sample
with high value, one validation object with low value, and one vali- exists, there is a 95% chance that it is a part of the population.
dation object with medium value. This is done in order to validate Standard deviations for σ and velocity of sound could not be
the predictive quality of the model, given unknown samples with obtained because of the insufficient number of measurements.
high, low, and medium values of the modeled variable. The standard deviation for τ is given in %, as the standard
When building a PLS model, you get a model in the form of deviation varies relatively with size.
eq 4. PCA performed on GC data of the sample set of crude oils
show that three groupings occur, separating biodegraded oils,
Y = B0 + B1 × X1 + B2 × X2 + B3 × X3
nonbiodegraded oils and condensates, as shown in Figure 1.The
+ ...BN × XN (4) two first PCs explain 67.6% of the total variance in the data set,
5681 dx.doi.org/10.1021/ef300620r | Energy Fuels 2012, 26, 5679−5688
Energy & Fuels Article
high frequency permvar e_inf 2.04 2.03 0.01 2.14 2.12 0.02 2.22 2.24 −0.02 0.02 0.04
permittivity
α permvar a 0.33 0.26 0.07 0.51 0.43 0.08 0.72 0.62 0.1 0.08 0.06
τ permvar t 0 −2.79 × 10−7 2.79 × 10−7 4.20 × 10−9 9.24 × 10−8 −8.82 × 10−8 4.24 × 10−7 2.54 × 10−7 1.7 × 10−7 1.79 × 10−7
σ permvar s 0 7.70 × 10−9 7.70 × 10−9 9.80 × 10−9 4.30 × 10−9 5.5 × 10−9 7.70 × 10−8 6.75 × 10−8 9.5 × 10−9 7.57 × 10−9
density density 0.766 0.762 0.004 0.824 0.833 −0.009 0.926 0.940 −0.14 0.009 0.013
velocity of sound velocity of sound 1266 1268 −2 1347 1344 3 1398 1397 1 2
a
Average deviation of the validation objects. bStandard deviation for measured values (see Table 2) multiplied with 2, as ±1.96 of the standard deviation about the mean marks the range within which,
when a sample exists, there is a 95% chance that it is a part of the population.
5683
Table 5. Overview of the Quantitative Predictive Quality of the Established Models for GC
low value object medium value object High value object
avg. dev. val. exptl.
modeled variable coding meas. pred. dev. meas. pred. dev. meas. pred. dev. obj.a unc.b
static permittivity permvar e_st 2.08 2.05 0.03 2.22 2.22 0 2.43 2.41 0.02 0.02 0.05
high frequency permvar e_inf 2.04 2.05 −0.01 2.14 2.14 0 2.22 2.22 0 0.003 0.04
permittivity
α permvar a 0.27 0.42 −0.15 0.50 0.48 0.02 0.59 0.68 −0.09 0.09 0.06
τ permvar t 0 −9.00 × 10−10 9.00 × 10−10 4.00 × 10−9 4.20 × 10−9 −2 × 10−10 7.70 × 10−9 8.60 × 10−9 −9 × 10−10 3.37 × 10−9
σ permvar s 0 1.92 × 10−8 −1.92 × 10−8 9.70 × 10−9 3.16 × 10−8 −2.19 × 10−8 7.70 × 10−8 6.24 × 10−8 1.46 × 10−8 1.86 × 10−8
density density 0.766 0.788 −0.022 0.824 0.847 −0.023 0.904 0.902 0.002 0.016 0.013
velocity of sound velocity of 1157 1189 −32 1324 1329 −5 1423 1387 36 24
sound
a
Average deviation of the validation objects. bStandard deviation for measured values multiplied with 2, as ±1.96 of the standard deviation about the mean marks the range within which, when a sample
exists, there is a 95% chance that it is a part of the population.
Article
Figure 3. Predicted value plotted against measured for (a) density based on GC, (b) velocity of sound based on GC, (c) static permittivity (e_st)
based on IR data, (d) high frequency permittivity (e_inf) based on IR data, (e) density based on IR data, (f) velocity of sound based on IR data.
Brown squares = biodegraded oils. Blue squares = nonbiodegraded oils. Light blue squares = condensates. Red squares = validation objects.
either OK for distinguishing between high and low value, or evaluated based on a modeling perspective. As clearly shown in
OK, depending on how close to the experimental uncertainty Figure 3e and f, the validation objects do not stand out in
the prediction errors are. comparison to the model objects, and with a maximum error of
The number of LVs for the different models are also given in 0.22% for the model for IR, it is difficult to argue against the
Table 3. statement that the model is very good. However, since no
Figure 3 shows modeling results for density and velocity of replicate measurements of velocity of sound are done, this
sound based on GC data, and static permittivity, high frequency cannot be verified completely.
permittivity, density, and velocity of sound based on IR data, all 4.3. Chemical Significance of the Models. Figure 4a−f
presented as predicted value plotted against measured value. shows the regression coefficients for the same set of models,
These figures represent the best modeling results for each giving an overview of which variables are important for building
variable for GC and IR. As the models for the permittivity the model, and therefore, the most important variables when
variables α, τ, and σ at best give “OK” results, the results for looking at variation in the different properties.
these models are not shown here. In addition, the modeling Figure 4 shows that positive effect on the model for density
for static and high frequency permittivity based on GC data based on GC data originates almost exclusively from branched
give good quality models, which already have been presented alkanes and the higher molecular weight straight chained alkanes,
in ref 9. while negative effect originates almost exclusively from low to
Figure 3a and b shows that prediction of density and velocity medium molecular weight straight chained alkanes. This indi-
of sound based on GC data are possible with good results cates that biodegradation of crude oil has an important effect
within the range of oil compositions represented in the data. on the variance of density in crude oils, since the smallest
Figure 3c−f shows that prediction of static permittivity, high straight chained alkanes are the first to be removed or altered
frequency permittivity, density, and velocity of sound, all based during biodegradation.17
on IR data, are possible with good results within the range of oil Similar trends are observed for the model for velocity of
compositions represented in the data. No standard deviation is sound, as shown in Figure 4b. Positive effects on the model
obtained for velocity of sound, since there was only made one originate almost exclusively from branched alkanes and the
measurement for each oil, so the quality of these models is higher molecular weight straight chained alkanes, while negative
5684 dx.doi.org/10.1021/ef300620r | Energy Fuels 2012, 26, 5679−5688
Energy & Fuels Article
Figure 4. Regression coefficients for model for (a) density based on GC data, (b) velocity of sound based on GC data, (c) static permittivity (e_st)
based on IR data, (d) high frequency permittivity based on IR data, (e) density based on IR data. The biodegradation effect is more evident for the
model for density than for the models for static and high frequency permittivity, as there are fewer effects that might be considered as noise. (f)
Regression coefficients for the model for velocity of sound based on IR data. Coding for the variables is given in Appendix 1.
effects originate almost exclusively from small to medium The coefficients for high frequency permittivity looks very
molecular weight straight chained alkanes. Thus, biodegrada- similar as for static permittivity, with a positive effect from
tion has an important effect also on the variance of the velocity CH3, both stretch and bend, and a negative effect from CH2
of sound in crude oils. stretch. In addition, there is a negative effect from CH2 bend at
For static permittivity modeled from IR, the area between around 1465 cm−1, enhancing the indication that biodegrada-
2800 cm−1, which corresponds to the signals originating from tion is the most important effect on the model.
CH3 stretch, have a positive effect, while signals originating For velocity of sound, the same trends for CH3 and CH2 as
from CH2 stretch have a negative effect. This is an indication of for the models for density and e_inf are present, but there are
biodegradation, as a high amount of CH3 indicates a high also a lot of effects that looks like noise. However, the predic-
amount of branched alkanes and a high amount of CH2 tive quality of the model is very good.
indicates a high amount of straight chained alkanes.4 As straight 4.4. Precision of Prediction. Figure 5 shows the predicted
chained alkanes are the first compounds to be attacked during and measured values for the three validation objects for the
biodegradation, the branched alkanes will dominate the models for static permittivity, high frequency permittivity, per-
composition increasingly. Other regions having a positive effect mittivity variable α, and density, all based on IR data, and Table 3
are the CH3 bend at around 1375 cm−1 and CO at around summarizes the quantitative modeling results. It is clear that the
1450 cm−1; these signals also indicate biodegradation, as the deviations are small for most of the models and validation
CO might origin from carboxylic acids formed during bio- objects. Exceptions are the permittivity variables α, τ, and σ,
degradation.4 From 800 cm−1 to 694 cm−1, there are signals where α is considered to give the best results of these three
having both positive and negative effects, these signals are in variables.
the fingerprint region and are not very easy to assess, but it is For the variables static permittivity and α, all validation ob-
likely that they originate from C−H bonds in aromatic com- jects are predicted with a value that is lower than the measured.
pounds. The positive effects are due to the fact that bio- It is not possible using PLS to determine whether this is a bias
degraded oils have more absorbance in these regions. or due to the choice of validation objects. A larger data set
5685 dx.doi.org/10.1021/ef300620r | Energy Fuels 2012, 26, 5679−5688
Energy & Fuels Article
Figure 5. Predicted and measured values for PLS models for static
permittivity, high frequency permittivity, permittivity variable α, and
density based on IR data. (a) High value validation objects; (b) Figure 6. Predicted and measured values for PLS models for static
medium value validation objects; (c) low value validation objects. permittivity, high frequency permittivity, permittivity variable α, and
density based on GC data. (a) High value validation objects; (b)
medium value validation objects; (c) low value validation objects.
might clarify this, as more validation objects can be used in the
model validation.
Compared to the deviations that Satya et al.1 achieved for 5. DISCUSSION
density based on NIR spectral data, we see that the results are As Figures 3−6 and Tables 4 and 5 show, PLS calibration
somewhat better; Satya et al. achieved deviations of 1.6% and models for prediction of several properties of crude oil based
5.3% for their two validation objects, while the three validation on both GC data and IR data can be built with good results.
objects in this work have deviations of 0.5%, 1.1%, and 1.5%. The results are comparable or even better in some cases than
Figure 6 shows the predicted and measured values for the previously established models.1 The reason for the improved
three validation objects for the models for static permittivity, quality of the models in this work is uncertain, as the basis for
high frequency permittivity, permittivity variable α, and density, the models in Satya et al.1 is not possible to identify precisely.
all based on GC data, and Table 4 summarizes the quantitative The improvement may be due to more consistent experimental
modeling results. It is clear that the deviations are small for data, since all measurements were performed by one operator
most of the models and validation objects. Exceptions are the during a short time period. The sample quality may also be
permittivity variables α, τ, and σ, where α is considered to give relevant. In addition, the distribution of the sample properties
the best results of the three variables. over a reasonable range may contribute, since the sample sets are
Compared to the deviations that Satya et al.1 achieved for not very large.
their model of density based on NIR, we see that the deviations Overall, the values estimated for the experimental uncertainties
for the model for density based on GC in this work are in the and the model uncertainties lie in the same range, indicating that
same range; Satya et al. achieved deviations of 1.6% and 5.3% the data give a good basis for accurate predictions.
for their two validation objects, while the three validation The model for velocity of sound based on IR data is in fact
objects in this work have deviations of 2.9%, 2.8%, and 0.3%. very good, at least from a modeling perspective, with an average
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Table A1. Variable Coding and Variable Names for the GC Data
variable coding variable name variable coding variable name
iC5 iso-pentane nC8 n-octane
nC5 n-pentane e-cyC6 ethylcyclohexane
22dm-C4 2,2-dimethylbutane i-C9 iso-nonane
cyC5 cyclopentane e-benzene ethylbenzene
23dm-C4 2,3-dimethylbutane m-xylene meta-xylene
2 m-C5 2-methylpentane p-xylene para-xylene
3 m-C5 3-methylpentane 4 m-C8 4-methyloctane
nC6 n-hexane 2 m-C8 2-methyloctane
22dm-C5 2,2-dimethylpentane 3 m-C8 3-methyloctane
m-cyC5 methylcyclopentane o-xylene orto-xylene
24dm-C5 2,4-dimethylpentane nC9 n-nonane
223tm-C4 2,2,3-trimethylbutane i-C10 iso-decane
benzene benzene nC10 n-decane
33dm-C5 3,3-dimethylpentane i-C11 iso-undecane
cyC6 cyclohexane nC11 n-undecane
2 m-C6 2-methylhexane nC12 n-dodecane
23dm-C5 2,3-dimethylpentane i-C13 iso-tridecane
11dm-cyC5 1,1-dimethylcyclopentane i-C14 iso-tetradecane
3 m-C6 3-methylhexane nC13 n-tridecane
1c.3dm-cyC5 cis-1−3-dimethylcyclopentane i-C15 iso-pentadecane
1t.3dm-cyC5 trans-1−3-dimethylcyclopentane nC14 n-tetradecane
1t.2dm-cyC5 trans-1−2-dimethylcyclopentane i-C16 iso-hexadecane
nC7 n-heptane nC15 n-pentadecane
m-cyC6 methylcyclohexane nC16 n-hexadecane
113tm-cyC5 1,1,3-trimethylcyclopentane i-C18 iso-octadecane
e-cyC5 ethylcyclopentane nC17 n-heptadecane
25dm-C6 2,5-dimethylhexane pristane pristane
223tm-C5/24dm-C6 2,2,3-trimethylpentane/2,4-dimethylhexane nC18 n-octadecane
1c.2t.4tm-cyC5 cis-1-trans-2−4-trimethylcyclopentane phytane phytane
33dmC6 3,3-dimethylhexane nC19 n-nonadecane
1t.2c.3tm-cyC5 trans-1-cis-2−3-methylcyclopentane nC20 n-icosane
234tm-C5 2,3,4-trimethylpentane nC21 n-henicaosane
Toluen/233tm-C5 toluene/2,3,3-trimethylpentane nC22 n-docosane
23dm-C6 2,3-dimethylhexane nC23 n-tricosane
2 m-C7 2-methylheptane nC24 n-tetracosane
4 m-C7 4-methylheptane nC25 n-pentacosane
3 m-C7 3-methylheptane nC26 n-hexacosane
1.c3dm-cyC6 cis-1−3-dimethylcyclohexane nC27 n-heptacosane
1.14dm-cyC6 trans-1−4-dimethylcyclohexane nC28 n-octacosane
11dm-cyC6 1,1-dimethylcyclohexane nC29 n-nonacosane
1t.2dm-cyC6 trans-1−2-dimethylcyclohexane nC30 n-triacontane
error of 0.12% for the validation objects, while the models for τ biodegradation, the branched and large molecular weight straight
(dielectric relaxation) and σ (conductivity) are more inaccurate. chained alkanes will have a proportionally higher relative
For quality assurance purposes for the flowmeters, the abundance in the crude oil mixture. The small to medium mole-
models for static permittivity, high frequency permittivity, cular weight alkanes are mostly negative contributors, further
density, and velocity of sound, based on GC and IR, respec- supporting that biodegradation is the main cause of variation in
tively, are considered precise enough to be useful. As a minimum, the modeled variables.
the prediction of significantly different values than used in the The permittivity of a pure compound increases with increas-
initial calibration of the MFM will indicate that a new calibration ing number of carbon atoms in the compound;25 hence, biode-
of the system is required. graded oils generally have a higher permittivity than non-
The models also give information on the chemical basis for biodegraded oils, since they have a higher relative abundance of
the variations in the sample set. higher molecular weight straight chained alkanes. This is also
For most of the models, the regression coefficients that build observed in the measurements for this data set.
up most of the models, both for GC and IR, strongly indicate For the models based on IR, the biodegradation effect is also
that biodegradation of crude oils is the main cause of variation in observed since significant values for the regression coefficients
the modeled variables. For models based on GC, the main tend to originate from areas in the IR spectra that are
positive contributors to the model are branched alkanes and long, influenced by the biodegradation process. For all models, CH3
straight chained alkanes. As low to medium molecular weight stretch regions are positive contributors, while CH2 stretch
straight chained alkanes are the first molecules to be depleted by regions are negative contributors, reflecting that biodegraded
5687 dx.doi.org/10.1021/ef300620r | Energy Fuels 2012, 26, 5679−5688
Energy & Fuels Article
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■
Liquids, Circular 514; United States Department of Commerce,
AUTHOR INFORMATION National Bureau of Standards: Washington, DC, 1951.
Corresponding Author
*E-mail: andreas.tomren@kj.uib.no.
Notes
The authors declare no competing financial interest.
■ ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The funding for this work comes from the Norwegian Research
Council through the Michelsen Centre for Research Based
Innovation and from Norwegian industrial partner Roxar.
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