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Contents
4. A note on the transitions between different regimes17
I. A brief history of traffic flow theory 2
B. Correlations between traffic flow characteristics17
II. Microscopic traffic flow characteristics 3
A. Vehicle related variables 3 1. The historic origin of the fundamental diagram17
B. Traffic flow characteristics 3
2. The general shape of a fundamental diagram18
III. Macroscopic traffic flow characteristics 4
3. Empirical measurements 21
A. Density 5
C. Capacity drop and the hysteresis phenomenon 22
1. Mathematical formulation 5
D. Kerner’s three-phase theory 23
2. Passenger car units 6
1. Free flow, synchronised flow, and wide-moving jam23
B. Flow 6
1. Mathematical formulation 6
2. Fundamental hypothesis of three-phase traffic theory24
2. Oblique cumulative plots 7
C. Occupancy 8
3. Transitions towards a wide-moving jam 24
D. Mean speed 9
4. From descriptions to simulations 25
1. Mathematical formulation 9
E. Theories of traffic breakdown 25
2. Fundamental relation of traffic flow theory 10
E. Moving observer method and floating car data 11 VI. Conclusions 27
hsi
Considering individual vehicles, we can say that each ve-
hicle i in a lane of a traffic stream has the following in- FIG. 1: Two consecutive vehicles (a follower i at position xi
formational variables: and a leader i + 1 at position xi+1 ) in the same lane in a traffic
stream. The follower has a certain space headway hsi to its
• a length, denoted by li , leader, equal to the sum of the vehicle’s space gap gsi and its
length li .
• a longitudinal position, denoted by xi ,
dxi Analogously to equation (1), each vehicle also has a time
• a speed, denoted by vi = , headway hti (expressed in seconds), consisting of a time
dt gap gti and an occupancy time ρi :
dvi d2 xi
• and an acceleration, denoted by ai = = .
dt dt2
hti = gti + ρi . (2)
Note that the position xi of a vehicle is typically taken
to be the position of its rear bumper. In this first ap- Both space and time headways can be visualised in a
proach, a vehicle’s other spatial characteristics (i.e., its time-space diagram, such as the one in Fig. 2. Here,
width, height, and lane number) are neglected. And in we have shown the two vehicles i and i + 1 as they are
spite of our narrow focus on the vehicle itself, the above driving. Their positions xi and xi+1 can be plotted with
list of variables is also complemented with a driver’s re- respect to time, tracing out two vehicle trajectories. As
action time, denoted by τi . the time direction is horizontal and the space direction
With respect to the acceleration characteristics, it should is vertical, the vehicles’ respective speeds can be derived
be noted that these are in fact not only dependent on the by taking the tangents of the trajectories (for simplicity,
vehicle’s engine, but also on e.g., the road’s inclination, we have assumed that both vehicles travel at the same
being a non-negligible factor that plays an important role constant speed, resulting in parallel linear trajectories).
space trajectories would suddenly appear or vanish at the point
where a lane change occurred.
xi+1
In some traffic flow literature, other nomenclature is
(i + 1) gsi
used: space for the space headway, distance or clear-
hsi ance for the space gap, and headway for the time
li headway. Because this terminology is confusing, we
propose to use the unambiguously defined terms as
xi hti described in this section.
(i)
g ti ρi
III. MACROSCOPIC TRAFFIC FLOW
CHARACTERISTICS
ti+1 ti time
When considering many vehicles simultaneously, the
FIG. 2: A time-space diagram showing two vehicle trajectories time-space diagram mentioned in section II B can be used
i and i + 1, as well as the space and time headway hsi and to faithfully represent all traffic. In Fig. 3 we show the
hti of vehicle i. Both headways are composed of the space evolution of the system, as we have traced the trajecto-
gap gsi and the vehicle length li , and the time gap gti and the
ries of all the individual vehicles’ movements. This time-
occupancy time ρi , respectively. The time headway can be seen
as the difference in time instants between the passing of both space diagram therefore provides a complete picture of
vehicles, respectively at ti+1 and ti (diagram based on [74]). all traffic operations that are taking place (accelerations,
decelerations, . . . ).
x
Accelerating vehicles have steep inclining trajectories,
whereas those of stopped vehicles are horizontal. Rt,s
N
k= , (4)
With respect to the size of these measurement regions, K
some caution is advised: a too large measurement region with N the number of vehicles present on the road seg-
can mask certain effects of traffic flows, possibly ignoring ment. If we consider multi-lane traffic, we have to sum
some of the dynamic properties, whereas a too small mea- the partial densities kl of each of the L lanes as follows:
surement region may obstruct a continuous treatment, as
the discrete, microscopic nature of traffic flows becomes
L
X L
apparent. 1 X
k= kl = Nl , (5)
K
Using these different methods of observation, we now l=1 l=1
discuss the measurement of four important macroscopic
in which Nl now denotes the number of vehicles present
traffic flow characteristics: density, flow, occupancy, and
in lane l (equation (5) is not the same as averaging over
mean speed. We furthermore give a short discussion on
the partial densities of each lane)[122].
the moving observer method and the use of floating car
data. In general, density can be defined as the total time spent
by all the vehicles in the measurement region, divided by
the area of this region [27, 36]. This generalisation al-
With respect to some naming conventions on road- lows us to compute the density at a point using the mea-
ways, two different ‘standards’ exist for some of the surement region Rt :
encountered terminology, namely the American and
the British standard. Examples are: the classic multi-
N
X
lane high-speed road with on- and off-ramps, which
is called a freeway or a super highway (American), or Ti N N
i=1 1 X
dx
1 X 1
an arterial or motorway (British). A main road with k= = = , (6)
intersections is called an urban highway (American) Tmp dx
dx
Tmp vi Tmp vi
i=1 i=1
or a carriageway (British). In this dissertation, we
have chosen to adopt the British standard. Finally, in with Ti the travel time and vi the speed of the ith vehicle.
contrast to Great Britain and Australia, we assume Extending the previous derivation to multi-lane traffic is
that for low-density traffic, everybody drives on the done straightforward using equation (5):
right instead of the left lane.
L Nl
1 XX 1
k= , (7)
Tmp vi,l
l=1 i=1
A. Density with now vi,l denoting the speed of the ith vehicle in lane
l.
As we now can obtain the density in both spatial and tem-
The macroscopic characteristic called density allows us poral regions, Rs and Rt respectively, it would seem a
to get an idea of how crowded a certain section of a road logical extension to find the density in the region Rt,s .
is. It is typically expressed in number of vehicles per In order to do this, however, we need to know the travel
kilometre (or mile). Note that the concept of density to- times Ti of the individual vehicles, as can be seen in equa-
tally ignores the effects of traffic composition and vehicle tion (6). Because this information is not always available,
lengths, as it only considers the abstract quantity ‘number and in most cases rather difficult to measure, we use a dif-
of vehicles’. ferent approach, corresponding to the temporal average
of the density. Assuming that at each time step t, during
Because density can only be measured in a certain spatial a certain time period Tmp , the density k(t) is known in
region (e.g., Rs in Fig. 3), it is computed for temporal re- consecutive regions Rs , the generalised definition leads
gions such as region Rt in Fig. 3. When density can not to the following formulation:
be exactly measured or computed, or when density mea-
surements are faulty, it has to be estimated. To this end,
Z Tmp
several available techniques exist e.g., based on explicit 1
k(t) dt (continuous),
simulation using a traffic flow propagation model [90],
Tmp t=0
based on a vehicle reidentification system [21], based
k= (8)
on a complete traffic state estimator using an extended
Tmp
Kalman filter [114], or based on a non-linear adaptive ob-
1 X
T k(t) (discrete).
server [3], . . . mp
t=1
For multi-lane traffic, combining equations (5) and (8) 1. Mathematical formulation
results in the following formula for computing the density
in region Rt,s using measurements in discrete time:
Measuring the flow q in region Rt for single-lane traffic,
is done using the following equation, which is based on
Tmp L raw vehicle counts:
1 X X
k= Nl (t), (9)
Tmp K
t=1 l=1
N
q= , (11)
Tmp
where Nl (t) denotes the number of vehicles present in
lane l at time t.
with N the number of vehicles that has passed the detec-
There exists a relation between the macroscopic traffic tor’s site. For multi-lane traffic, we sum the partial flows
flow characteristics and those microscopic characteristics of each of the L lanes:
defined in section II B. For the density k, this relation is
based on the average space headway hs [27, 115]:
L
X L
1 X
q= ql = Nl , (12)
N N 1 1 Tmp
k= = N = = , (10) l=1 l=1
K X N
X hs
1
hsi hsi
N with now Nl denoting the number of vehicles that passed
i=1 i=1
the detector’s site in lane l. Note that we assume that each
lane has its own detector, otherwise we would be dealing
−1
with hs the reciprocal of the average space headway. with an average flow across all the lanes.
Generally speaking, flow can defined as the total distance
travelled by all the vehicles in the measurement region,
2. Passenger car units divided by the area of this region [27, 36]. In analogy
with equation (6), this generalisation allows us to com-
pute the flow using the spatial measurement region Rs :
When considering heterogeneous traffic flows (i.e.,
traffic streams composed of different types of vehicles),
operating agencies usually don’t express the macroscopic N
X
traffic flow characteristics using the raw number of vehi- Xi N N
cles, but rather employ the notion of passenger car units i=1 1 X 1 X
(PCU). These PCUs, sometimes also called passenger q= = dt =
vi vi , (13)
K dt Kdt K
car equivalents (PCE), try to take into account the spatial i=1 i=1
differences between vehicle types. For example, by
denoting one average passenger car as 1 PCU, a truck in with now Xi the distance travelled by the ith vehicle dur-
the same traffic stream can be considered as 2 PCUs (or ing the infinitesimal time interval dt. The extension to
even higher and fractional values for trailer trucks). multi-lane traffic is straightforward:
Tmp L Nl (t) 4
1 X XX
q= vi,l (t), (16)
Cumulative N(t)
Tmp K
t=1 l=1 i=1 3
where vi,l (t) denotes the speed of the ith vehicle in lane l 2
at time t.
In analogy with equation (10), there exists a relation 1
q= = N = = , (17) incident
Tmp X N
X ht
1 −4000
hti hti
−1
with ht the reciprocal of the average time headway. −6000
−7000
−9000
0
08:00 09:30 11:00 12:30 14:00 15:30 17:00 18:30 20:00
Time
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 In its original form, the fundamental diagram repre-
Density [vehicles/km]
sents an equilibrium relation between flow and den-
FIG. 6: Greenshields’ original linear relation between the den- sity, denoted by qe (k). But note that, because of the
sity and the mean speed. Note that the regression line is based fundamental relation of traffic flow theory (see sec-
on only seven measurements points, and that artificial flattening tion III D 2), is it equally justified to talk about the
of its upper-left part (figure based on [72] and [39]). v se (k) or the v se (q) fundamental diagrams. Due
to this equilibrium property, the traffic states (i.e.,
the density, flow, and space-mean speed) can be
Although Greenshields’ derivation of the linear relation
thought of as ‘moving’ over the fundamental dia-
between density and space-mean speed appears elegant
grams’ curves.
and simple, it should nevertheless be taken with a grain
of salt. The fact of the matter is that his hypothesis is, as
can be seen in Fig. 6, based on only seven measurement
points, which comprise aerial observations taken on 2. The general shape of a fundamental diagram
September 3rd (Monday, Labor Day), 1934 [79]. One of
the problems is that these observations are not indepen-
dent. An even more serious problem is that six of these We now give an overview of some of the qualitative
observations were obtained for free-flow conditions, features of the different possible fundamental diagrams,
whereas the one single point that indicates congested representing the equilibrium relations between density,
space-mean speed, and average space headway, and flow. jam density is reached (i.e., all vehicles are stand-
Note that in each example, we consider a possible fun- ing nearly bumper to bumper),
damental diagram, as they can take on many (functional)
shapes. • as the average space headway increases, its inverse
(the density) decreases, and the space-mean speed
Space-mean speed versus density
increases,
We start our discussion based on the equilibrium relation
between space-mean speed and density, i.e., the v se (k) • the space-mean speed continues to rise with an in-
fundamental diagram. The main reason for starting here, creasing average space headway, until it reaches
is the fact that this diagram is the easiest to understand in- the maximum average speed, i.e., the free-flow
tuitively. Complementary to the example of Greenshields speed v ff ; this happens at the inverse of the criti-
in Fig. 6, we give a small overview of its most prominent cal density kc−1 ,
features:
• from then on, the space-mean speed remains con-
• the density is restricted between 0 and the maxi- stant with increasing average space headway.
mum density, i.e., the jam density kj ,
• the space-mean speed is restricted between 0 and The above features can be understood intuitively: at
the maximum average speed, i.e., the free-flow large average space headways, a driver experiences no
speed v ff , influence from its direct frontal leader. However, there
exists a point at which the driver comes ‘close enough’ to
• as density increases, the space-mean speed mono- this leader (i.e., in crowded traffic), so that its speed will
tonically decreases, decrease. This slowing down will continue to persist as
traffic gets more dense (this the same reasoning behind
• there exists a small range of low densities, in which Greenshields’ derivation in section V B 1).
the space-mean speed remains unaffected and cor-
responds more or less to the free-flow speed,
Flow versus density
• and finally, the flow (equal to density times space- Probably the most encountered form of a fundamental di-
mean speed), can be derived as the area demarcated agram, is that of flow versus density. Its origins date back
by a rectangle who’s lower-left and upper-right cor- to the seminal work of Lighthill and Whitham who, as
ners are the origin and a point on the fundamental described earlier, referred to it as the flow-concentration
diagram, respectively. curve. An example of the qe (k) fundamental diagram is
depicted in Fig. 8.
Space-mean speed versus average space headway
Microscopic and macroscopic traffic flow characteristics free-flow congested
are related to each other by means of equations (10) and q
(17). According to the former, density k is inversely pro-
w
portional to the average space headway hs . We can there- qcap
fore derive a fundamental diagram, similar to the pre-
vious one, by substituting the density with the average
space headway. As as result, the abscissa gets ‘inverted’,
resulting in the fundamental diagram as shown in Fig. 7.
vs
vs
v ff
0 kc kj k
100 100
100
Flow [vehicles/hour]
5000
80
4000 As a final note, we remark that the distribution of the
60
3000 cloud-like data points of the diagrams in Fig. 10, is a re-
40
2000
sult of various kinds of phenomena. First and foremost,
1000 20
there is the heterogeneity in the traffic composition (fast
0 0
0 50 100 150
Density [vehicles/km]
200 0 2000 4000
Flow [vehicles/hour]
6000 passenger cars, slow trailer trucks, . . . ). Secondly, as al-
ready mentioned, the non-stationary behaviour of traffic
FIG. 10: Illustrative scatter plots of the relations between traffic introduces a significant amount of scatter in the congested
flow characteristics as measured by video camera CLO3 located regime. Thirdly, each scatter plot is dependent on the type
at the E17 three-lane motorway near Linkeroever, Belgium. The of road, and the time of day at which the measurements
measured occupancies were converted into densities, the time- were collected. In this respect, the influence of (chang-
mean speed remained unchanged. Shown are scatter plots of a ing) weather conditions is not to be underestimated (e.g.,
(k,v t ) diagram (top-left), a (hs ,v t ) diagram (top-right), a (k,q) rain fall results in different diagrams). In conclusion, it
diagram (bottom-left), and a (q,vt ) diagram (bottom-right). is clear that if we want these scatter plots to better fit the
fundamental diagrams, all data points should be collected
As the dimension of time is removed in these scatter under similar conditions. Even more so, the relative lo-
plots, Daganzo calls them time-independent models [27]. cation on the road at which the data points were recorded
It is important to understand that these scatter plots are plays a significant role: e.g., a jam that propagates up-
not fundamental diagrams, because the latter represent stream, passing an on-ramp will show different effects,
depending on where the observations were gathered (up- at qcap is destroyed, due to a sudden decrease
stream, right at, or downstream of the on-ramp) and on of the flow, called the capacity drop.
whether or not the particular bottleneck was active [79]. (3) In order to recover from the congested
to the free-flow regime, the traffic density
has to be reduced substantially (in compari-
C. Capacity drop and the hysteresis phenomenon son with the reverse transition), i.e., well be-
low the critical density kc . After this recov-
ery, the flow will not be equal to qcap , but to
In the early sixties, traffic engineers frequently observed a
qout ≪ qcap , which is called the outflow from
discontinuity in the measurements near the capacity flow.
a jam or the queue discharge capacity.
To this end, Edie proposed a two-regime model that in-
cluded such a discontinuity at the critical density [35].
The above sequence signifies a hysteresis loop in the flow
Nowadays, this typical form of the qe (k) fundamental di-
versus density fundamental diagram: going from the free-
agram is known as a reversed lambda shape (the name
flow to the congested regime occurs via the capacity flow,
was originally suggested by Koshi et al. [67]).
but the reverse transition proceeds via another way. The
An example of such a reversed λ fundamental diagram, phenomenon was first observed by Treiterer and Meyers,
is shown in the left part of Fig. 11. Note however, that who used aerial photography to calculate densities and
the depicted discontinuity apparently leads to overlap- space-mean speeds, extracted from a platoon of moving
ping branches of the free-flow and congested regimes, re- vehicles [110]. Hall et al. later observed a similar phe-
sulting in a multi-valued fundamental diagram. nomenon [46].
q 7000 The right part of Fig. 11 shows a (k,q) diagram, obtained
07:15
qcap 6000 with empirical data collected at Monday September 10th,
(2) 5000
08:00
2001. The data was recorded by video camera CLO3,
qout (1)
Flow [vehicles/hour]
4000
06:30
at the E17 three-lane motorway near Linkeroever, Bel-
3000 09:30
gium. The small dots represent minute-based measure-
(3)
2000
ments, whereas the thick solid line represents the time-
1000
Central to Kerner’s theory, is the fundamental hypothesis with T the time gap in congested traffic flows; it is used
of three-phase traffic theory, which basically states that to tune the outflow from a jam. Because wide-moving
hypothetical steady states of synchronised flow, cover a jams travel undisturbed, their outflow — caused by vehi-
two-dimensional region in a flow versus density diagram cles that leave the downstream front — can be either free
(as opposed to the classic notion of a one-dimensional flow or synchronised flow. Typical values for this outflow
equilibrium relation). An example of such a diagram can range from 1500 to 2000 vehicles/hour/lane [55]. The av-
be seen in Fig. 12. erage flow rate within such a wide-moving jam can be al-
most zero, meaning that vehicles continuously encounter
q stop-and-go waves.
qcap Related to the wild scatter in the (k,q) diagram of three-
F phase traffic theory, is the microscopic behaviour of in-
qout dividual vehicles. The explanation given by Kerner and
S Klenov, is that vehicles in synchronised flow do not as-
sume a fixed preferred distance to their direct frontal
J leader, but rather accept a certain range of distances.
Within this range, drivers have both the tendency to over-
accelerate when they think there is the ability to overtake,
and the tendency for drivers to adjust their speed to that
of their leader, when this overtaking can not be fulfilled
0 kout kc kj k [55, 58].
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urkruisenplein 20, 2020 Antwerpen. MINDAT – Data-