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CHAPTER 7
Hypothesis Testing
Type II: decide the mean is ≤ 42 (customers not satisfied) when it is really > 42
b. Type I: decide µ > 15 (shut down) when µ ≤ 15 (water is cool enough, no shutdown
needed)
Type II: decide µ ≤ 15 (do not shut down) when µ > 15 (water is too warm, shutdown
needed)
7.11 [LO3]
18 − 20
a. z= = −2
7
49
b.
d. Since .0228 is less than .10 and .05, but not less than .01 and 001, reject H 0 at α = .10
and .05, but not at α = .01 or .001.
e. Since p-value = .0228 is less than .05, there is strong evidence against H 0 .
a. H 0 : µ ≤ 42 versus H a : µ > 42
b.
Reject Points
z.10 = 1.28
z.05 = 1.645
z.01 = 2.33
z.001 = 3.09
Since 1.28<1.645<2.33<2.91<3.09, reject H 0 with α =.10, .05, .01, but not with .001.
Since p-value=.0018 is less than .10, .05, and .01, reject H 0 at those levels of α, but not
with α =.001.
d. Since p-value = .0018 is less than .01, there is very strong evidence against H 0 .
b.
Since 2.41 > 1.645 we reject H 0 for α = 0.05. p-value = 1 – 0.9920 = 0.0080 and since
0.0080 < 0.05 we draw the same conclusion so the plant should be shut down and the
cooling system repaired.
7.17 [LO3]
reject point = 1.645, p-value = 1 – 0.9990 = 0.001 so we reject H 0 and we conclude the plant
should be shut down and the cooling system repaired.
p-value = 2(1 – .9918) = .0164, not less than .01, do not reject H 0 , do not readjust.
p-value=2(1 – .8849) = .2302, not less than .01, do not reject H 0 , do not readjust.
H 0 : p = .3 versus H a : p ≠ .3.
.2 −.3
z= = −2.18
a. .3(.7)
100
− z .01 / 2 = − z .005 = −2.575
Since –2.575 < –2.18, do not reject H 0 .
146
b. pˆ = = .365
400
z.001 = 3.09
Since 5.31 > 3.09, reject H 0 at α = .10, .05, .01, .001; extremely strong evidence.
c. p-value = P(z > 5.31) = 0.0000 is less than .001; reject H 0 at all given values of α.
Since -3.81 < -3.090 or since 0.00007 < 0.001, there is extremely strong evidence that p < 0.5.
316
b. pˆ = = .79
400
.79 −.95
z= = −14.68
.95(.05)
400
Reject H 0 at each value of α; extremely strong evidence.
7.33 [LO5]
5−0
a. z= = 10 and z.05 = 1.645
.5
Reject H 0 at α = .05 . Conclude µ1 > µ 2 .
5−4
b. z= = 2 and z.05 = 1.645
.5
p-value = P(z > 2) = .0228
Reject H 0 at α =.10, .05 , but not at α = .01 or .001.
− 10.4 − 0
b. z= = −2.0967 and − z.05 = −1.645
4.96
Reject H 0 ; conclude µ 1 < µ 2 .
a. H 0 : µ1 − µ 2 ≤ 0 versus H a : µ1 − µ 2 > 0 .
.13 − 0
b. z= = 1.41 and z.05 = 1.645
.092
Do not reject H 0 at α = .05. Cannot conclude µ1 > µ 2 .
a. H 0 : µ1 − µ 2 = 0 versus H a : µ1 − µ 2 ≠ 0 .
8.2 − 7.3
b. z= = 5.06
(1.6) 2 (1.4) 2
+
125 175
z .025 = 1.96
Since 5.06 > 1.96, reject H 0 at α = .05. Conclude µ1 and µ 2 differ.
c. p-value = 2P(z > 5.06) is less than .001. Reject H 0 at each of the given values of α ;
extremely strong evidence.
a. H 0 : p1 − p2 = 0 versus H a : p1 − p2 ≠ 0
25 9 25 + 9
b. pˆ1 = = .179, pˆ 2 = = .15, pˆ = = .17
140 60 140 + 60
1 1
s pˆ 1 − pˆ 2 = (.17)(.83) + = .058
140 60
.179 − .15
z= = .50
.058
p-value = 2P(z > .5) = 2(.5 – .1915) = .617 > α = .10
Do not reject H 0 at any of the α-values; little or no evidence that p1 and p2 differ.
7.47 [LO6]
(a)
Canada is more positive about the economy than either the US or Britain. Canada and
Australia are equally positive about their respective economies.
(b)
All three countries are significantly more optimistic about the future than would seem to be
warranted by their enthusiasm for their economy…
µ = 15.1
μ β
15.2 .8315
15.3 .6772
15.4 .4840
15.5 .2946
15.6 .1492
15.7 .0618
15.8 .0207
15.9 .0055
16.0 .0012
H 0 : µ ≤ 15 versus H a : µ ≥ 15, µ 0 = 15
α = .025 and β = .025 for µ a = 15.5.
z* = zα = z.025 = 1.96
z β = z.025 = 1.96
7.61 [LO8]
The effect size is actually a medium-sized effect, suggesting that, all things being equal, the
effect would have been demonstrated to be statistically significant, had you had enough
individuals within your division.
7.63 [LO8]
18
b. pˆ = = .0288
625
.0288 − .05
z= = −2.43
(.05)(.95)
625
− z.01 = −2.33,− z.001 = −3.09
Since –3.09 < –2.43 ≤ –2.33, reject H 0 at α = .10, .05, .01, but not at α = .001;
very strong evidence.
d. Probably
7.67 [LO3]
a. Since p-value = .0139, we reject H 0 for α = .1 and .05, but not at α = .01 and .001.
b. Strong evidence.
Since 2.33 < 2.58 < 3.09, Reject H 0 at α = .10, .05, .01, but not at .001, very strong evidence
7.71 [LO6]
a.
Reject at all α.
Reject at all α.
Reject at all α.
Reject at all α.
Reject at all α.