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ACS POWER TRANSFORMERS

Fleet Strategy

Document TP.FS 20.01


November 2013

ACS POWER TRANSFORMERS FLEET STRATEGY


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ACS Power Transformers Fleet Strategy
TP.FS 20.01
Issue 1
November 2013

COPYRIGHT © 2013 TR ANSPOW ER NEW ZEAL AND LIMITED. ALL RIGHTS


RESERVED
This document is protected by copyright vested in Transpower New Zealand Limited (‘Transpower’). No part of the document may be
reproduced or transmitted in any form by any means including, without limitation, electronic, photocopying, recording or otherwise,
without the prior written permission of Transpower. No information embodied in the documents which is not already in the public
domain shall be communicated in any manner whatsoever to any third party without the prior written consent of Transpower.
Any breach of the above obligations may be restrained by legal proceedings seeking remedies including injunctions, damages and costs.

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Table of Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...................................................................................................................... 4
SUMMARY OF STRATEGIES .............................................................................................................. 7
1 INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................... 8
1.1 Purpose ................................................................................................................................. 8
1.2 Scope .................................................................................................................................... 8
1.3 Stakeholders ......................................................................................................................... 8
1.4 Strategic Alignment ............................................................................................................... 8
1.5 Document Structure .............................................................................................................. 9
2 ASSET FLEET ........................................................................................................................ 10
2.1 Asset Statistics .................................................................................................................... 10
2.2 Asset Characteristics .......................................................................................................... 14
2.3 Asset Performance .............................................................................................................. 26
3 OBJECTIVES .......................................................................................................................... 39
3.1 Safety .................................................................................................................................. 39
3.2 Service Performance ........................................................................................................... 39
3.3 Cost Performance ............................................................................................................... 40
3.4 New Zealand Communities ................................................................................................. 40
3.5 Asset Management Capability ............................................................................................ 41
4 STRATEGIES.......................................................................................................................... 43
4.1 Planning .............................................................................................................................. 43
4.2 Delivery ............................................................................................................................... 51
4.3 Operation............................................................................................................................. 57
4.4 Maintenance ........................................................................................................................ 60
4.5 Preventive Maintenance ...................................................................................................... 60
4.6 Disposal and Divestment .................................................................................................... 67
4.7 Asset Management Capability ............................................................................................ 68
4.8 Summary of RCP2 Fleet Strategies .................................................................................... 72
APPENDICES ..................................................................................................................................... 74
A POWER TRANSFORMER IMAGES ....................................................................................... 75
B ADDITIONAL COSTING INFORMATION ............................................................................... 76
C ADDITIONAL BENCHMARKING RESULTS .......................................................................... 77
D TRANSFORMER ASSET STRATEGY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS, 2010 ................................. 80
E POWER TRANSFORMER WINDING FAILURE HISTORY ................................................... 93
F HISTORIC TRANSFORMER ‘MID-LIFE’ OVERHAULS ......................................................... 96

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Introduction
Power transformers play an essential role within the transmission network by enabling the
transfer of energy between different voltage levels of the Grid. The performance of power
transformers is critical to maintaining reliability of supply to customers.
Our asset management approach for power transformers seeks to achieve a high level of
reliability for this essential equipment, to mitigate safety hazards and to achieve least whole-
of-life cost.

Asset fleet and condition assessment


As at June 2013 we had 352 power transformers in service.1 The main power transformer
fleet comprises supply transformers and interconnector transformers. The two main
configurations are three-phase transformers, and banks comprising a set of three single-
phase transformer units.
The average age of the 132 banks of single-phase transformers is 51 years. There are 211
three-phase transformers, with an average age of 20 years. We also have 9 traction
transformers, with an average age of 20 years.
Long-term reliable performance of power transformers depends mostly on the quality of the
original design and manufacture, together with competent operation and maintenance.
Many older power transformers on the network are known to be of poor design and
manufacture. In particular, the transformers manufactured in the 1970s and 1980s are
considered to be high risk.
Our transformer fleet as a whole currently suffers from a high rate of forced and fault
outages. This high rate leads to increased risk of interruptions to customers. We would need
to cut this outage rate in half, just to be an average performer among our peers.
The single-phase transformers make a disproportionate contribution to the high rate of
forced and fault outages. The tap changers and bushings of aged single-phase transformers
are a particular cause of unreliability.
Our rate of major failures of power transformers also exceeds that of comparable
international benchmarks. Major failures lead to significant risks to the reliability of service
to customers, high costs of restoration and recovery, and can have potentially severe safety
and environmental consequences.
Most of the causes of the defects, poor performance and major failure risks in the older
transformers are related to their design and manufacture. These risk factors cannot be fully
mitigated through maintenance. However, some specific risks and modes of failures are
being addressed, through programmes of work to improve tap changer performance and
replace high-risk bushings.
Our approach to procuring power transformers changed markedly from around 1992, in
response to the high rate of power transformer failures we had experienced, and the
associated risks and costs. From that point, we applied a much more demanding technical

1
For the purposes of this population count, we classify a three-phase set of single-phase transformers as one
transformer bank.

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specification, and took a range of steps to ensure greatly improved quality in design and
manufacture. Our current population of power transformers may now be divided into two
main categories – those manufactured after 1992 that are of high-quality design and
manufacture (about 40% at present), and those from earlier periods.
The performance to date of the 125 transformers we have purchased since 1992 has been
good, with only one of these transformers suffering a major failure in service. This
performance is significantly better than relevant international benchmarks, and a marked
improvement on the performance of the legacy fleet.
We have developed an initial model of asset health for the transformer fleet. This model
makes use of an economic analysis of optimum age for transformer replacement, and
incorporates learnings from our operating experience over the past 20 years. The model
shows that 11% of the fleet are now due for replacement.

Power transformer strategies


Our strategy for improving power transformer reliability is to progressively replace the
population of transformers that have the worst asset health, are the worst performers, and
are the most likely to suffer major failures.
Increasing customer demand at Grid Exit Points (GXPs) has often led to the replacement of
older power transformers, as part of providing increased capacity. However, in 2009 we
commenced a specific programme to identify and replace ageing power transformers, based
on their condition and risk factors. Since 2005, we have replaced approximately 30 older
power transformers, either for capacity enhancement or on the basis of condition and risk.
This replacement programme is continuing through the RCP1 period.
We have also purchased a range of strategic spare three-phase power transformers to
improve our ability to restore security in a timely manner, following the major failure of an
in-service unit. Several of these strategic spares have already been deployed following the
failure of an in-service unit, and allowed us to promptly restore security and minimise the
risk of interruptions to customers. We now also have a mobile substation that can be used at
small N security sites to enable extended outages for maintenance, and to facilitate the
restoration of supply after a major failure.
The benefits of our transformer replacement and strategic spares programme to date
include reductions in risk of interruptions to customers, reduced maintenance costs, and
reduced environmental impact of acoustic noise and oil leaks. The replacement transformers
also have significantly lower energy losses, compared with the original units.
Our long-term strategy is to replace the entire population of single-phase power
transformers. We expect that this will take approximately 20 years to complete.
During the RCP2 period, we propose to replace 30 aged and high-risk power transformers at
a total estimated cost of $106m. This replacement programme has been established after
applying resource constraints.
As a consequence of the replacements planned in RCP1 and RCP2, the overall health of the
transformer fleet is forecast to improve significantly over the period. Based on the current
asset health model, it is forecast that the percentage of the fleet that is due for replacement
will reduce from the current 11% to 4% by 2020. This improvement in forecast asset health
will lead to a significant reduction in the risk to customers resulting from transformer forced
and fault outages and major failures.

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Improvements
In our planning for the RCP2 period we have made a number of improvements to the asset
management of power transformers, including:
 developing a prototype asset health forecasting model
 using a customised estimate process to improve the scope and cost estimates
 using network criticality to improve the prioritisation of works.
Further improvements will include:
 refining the asset health model
 refining the criticality framework.

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SUMMARY OF STRATEGIES
The following summary lists the main strategy and its respective costs during the RCP2
period (2015–2020).

Capital expenditure (Capex)

Replace Unreliable Power Transformers RCP2 Cost $106.2m

Our strategy is to replace 30 unreliable transformers with modern equivalents over the
RCP2 period. This includes the replacement of five transformers at Kinleith Substation as
part of a large-scale project at that site. The replacement programme for the
30 transformers has been prioritised taking into account asset health, criticality, the
coverage provided by national spares and the mobile substation, and integrated works
planning considerations.
The cost estimates for these transformer replacements have been developed using a
customised estimating process. The total forecast cost of the replacement programme
during RCP2 is $106.2m.

Chapter 4 has further detail on this strategy and a discussion of the remaining strategies.

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1 INTRODUCTION
Chapter 1 introduces the purpose, scope, stakeholders, and strategic alignment of the power
transformer asset fleet strategy.

1.1 Purpose
The purpose of this strategy is to describe our approach to lifecycle management of our
power transformer asset fleet. This includes a description of the asset fleet, objectives for
future performance and strategies being adopted to achieve these objectives.
The strategy sets the high-level direction for fleet asset management activities across the
lifecycle of the asset fleet. These activities include Planning, Delivery, Operations, and
Maintenance.
This document has been developed based on good practice guidance from internationally
recognised sources, including BSI PAS 55:2008.

1.2 Scope
The scope of this asset strategy encompasses the fleet of supply and interconnector
transformers including single-phase and three-phase types. It excludes transformers in the
HVDC system, as their management is described in the HVDC Fleet Strategy.

1.3 Stakeholders
Power transformer assets are important components of the transmission system. Correct
operation and maintenance of these assets enables the reliable operation of the power
system. Key stakeholders for these assets include:
 relevant Transpower Groups: Grid Development, Performance and Projects
 regulatory bodies: Commerce Commission, Electricity Authority, and the
Environmental Protection Authority
 customers, including distribution network businesses and industrial plants and
generators that are directly connected
 local residents.

1.4 Strategic Alignment


A good asset management system shows clear hierarchical connectivity or ‘line of sight’
between the high-level organisation policy and strategic plan, and the daily activities of
managing the assets.
This document forms part of that hierarchical connectivity by setting out our strategy for
managing our power transformer assets to deliver our overall Asset Management Strategy.
This fleet strategy directly informs the Power Transformer Asset Management Plan, which
includes more detail on the timing of specific capital and operating works.
This hierarchical connectivity is represented graphically in Figure 1. It indicates where this
fleet strategy and plans fit within our asset management system.

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Corporate Objectives & Strategy

Asset Management Policy

Asset Management Strategy

Lifecycle Strategies

Planning Delivery Operations Maintenance Disposal

Power Transformer Strategy

Power Transformer Plan

Figure 1: The Power Transformer Asset Strategy within the Asset Management Hierarchy

1.5 Document Structure


The rest of this document is structured as follows.
Chapter 2 provides an overview of the existing power transformer fleet including fleet
statistics, characteristics and their historical performance.
Chapter 3 sets out asset management-related objectives for the power transformer asset
fleet. These objectives have been aligned with the corporate and asset management
policies, and with higher-level asset management objectives and targets.
Chapter 4 sets out the fleet specific strategies for the management of the power
transformer asset fleet. These strategies provide medium-term to long-term guidance and
direction for asset management decisions to support the achievement of the objectives in
chapter 3.
Appendices are included that provide further detailed information to supplement the fleet
strategy.

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2 ASSET FLEET
Chapter 2 provides a high-level description of the power transformer asset fleet, including:
 Asset statistics: including population, diversity, age profile, and spares
 Asset characteristics: including safety and environmental considerations, asset
criticality, asset condition, asset health, maintenance requirements and interaction
with other assets
 Asset performance: including reliability, safety and environmental and risks and
issues.
The two main classes of power transformers considered in this fleet strategy are supply
transformers and interconnecting transformers.
 Supply transformers: These transformers connect between the main
transmission/distribution network (220 kV or 110 kV or 66 kV) and supply networks
(33 kV, 22 kV or 11 kV).
 Interconnecting transformers: These transformers interconnect between the main
transmission network (220 kV) and the regional transmission and sub-transmission
network (110 kV or 66 kV).
Our fleet of power transformers also includes small transformers that provide local service
and earthing functions. These small transformers are not given significant coverage in this
fleet strategy because they typically have only minor impact on overall service, and we have
spares that can be deployed promptly in the event of failure.2
Traction transformers (dedicated to supply KiwiRail) are not specifically covered in strategies
in this document, but are dealt with on a case-by-case basis. There are spares to cover the
traction transformer units in service.

2.1 Asset Statistics


This section describes the power transformer asset fleet population, along with their
diversity and age profiles.

2.1.1 Asset Population


As at June 2013, we have 352 power transformers in service.
Some transformers are sets of three single-phase units grouped to form a bank. These banks
of single-phase units currently make up approximately 40% of the transformer fleet.

2
The replacement of two aged local service transformers of unusual rating at Islington is planned during RCP2 as part of
a major upgrade of the local service supply system, as described in the Fleet Strategy – ACS Other.

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The composition of the fleet is shown in Table 1.3
66 kV &
Type 220 kV 110 kV Total
below
Interconnecting – three-phase units 31 1 32
Interconnecting – 3 x single-phase units 22 1 23
Supply – 3 phase units 65 85 29 179
Supply – 3 x single- phase units 16 82 11 109
Traction 9 9
Total 143 169 40 352
Table 1: Power transformer fleet population

As at June 2013, we have 355 ‘other’ transformers in service, including local service,
earthing, and regulators, as shown in Table 2.
66 kV &
Type 220 kV 110 kV Total
below
Local Service 2 0 213 215
Earthing 0 0 137 137
Regulators 0 0 3 3
Total 2 0 353 355
Table 2: Other power transformer fleet population

2.1.2 Fleet Diversity


Asset fleet diversity is an important asset management consideration, and there is
significant diversity in our transformer asset fleet – in terms of type and manufacturer.

Power transformers
Our main system voltages are 220 kV, 110 kV, 66 kV, 50 kV, 33 kV, 22 kV and 11 kV. In
addition to these, there are a few other supply and local service voltages to suit particular
applications such as HVDC, SVCs, railway traction, distribution companies and industry
requirements. Figure 2 shows the diversity of our power transformers.

POWER TRANSFORMER - DIVERSITY

INTERCONNECTING - THREE PH UNITS (10%)

INTERCONNECTING - SINGLE PH UNITS (6%)

SUPPLY - THREE PH UNITS (51%)

SUPPLY - SINGLE PH UNITS (33%)

Figure 2: Power Transformers – Asset Type Diversity

The transformer fleet originates from 57 different manufacturers and is highly diverse. Our
transformers are generally ‘bespoke’. Each unit was specified, designed and built to meet
site specific operational, seismic, and customer requirements. Only a very small number of

3
The voltages shown on the tables are the highest transformer voltage. We note that this may not necessarily mean that
it is the primary voltage of the transformer.

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identical units were built for each design (often only one bank). Our strategies for reducing
fleet diversity are described in detail in subsections 4.2.1 and 4.2.2.
There is a clear division in technical standards of our power transformers purchased prior to
and after 1992. Power transformers purchased after 1992 are to a much higher technical
standard than those purchased before 1992 (see subsection 2.2.3 for more details). Power
transformers purchased after 1998 also have a much higher degree of component
standardisation than those purchased before 1998. This includes components such as
radiators, bushings, on-load tap changers, pumps, fans and control equipment.

Tap changers
As mentioned above, our transformer fleet consists of a diverse range of makes and models.
Our fleet has about 200 different models and types of tap changers. Although many tap
changers are from broadly similar families, the diversity in the fleet presents significant
challenges for maintenance, as discussed further in subsection 2.3.4.

2.1.3 Age Profile


About half of our present power transformer fleet was installed during the period of
significant expansion of the Grid between 1950 and 1970. Until the early 1970s, almost all
transformer installations used single-phase power transformers. From the late 1970s, new
transformers have been three-phase units, with the exception of those required for special
applications in HVDC and SVC projects. The transition from single-phase banks to
three-phase transformers is reflected in the age profile shown in Figure 3.

Transformer age profile

POWER TRANSFORMER - AGE PROFILE


INTERCONNECTING - THREE PH UNITS INTERCONNECTING - SINGLE PH UNITS
SUPPLY - THREE PH UNITS SUPPLY - SINGLE PH UNITS
30

25

20

15

10

0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60+
AGE (YEARS)

Figure 3: Power Transformers – Age Profile

The average age for the 132 banks of single-phase transformers is 51 years and 20 years for
the 211 three-phase transformers.
Table 3 illustrates the effect on the age profile of the transition from purchasing mainly
single-phase to purchasing mainly three-phase transformers during the 1970s. The table
shows the average age of different transformer types in the fleet and compares the number

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and percentage of those that are more than 50 years old. The table shows that currently no
three-phase units are more than 50 years old.4
Type Average Age Number over 50 years % over 50 years
Interconnecting – three-phase 15 0 0%

Interconnecting – single-phase 50 14 19%

Supply – three-phase 20 0 0%

Supply – single- phase 51 60 81%


Table 3: Transformer average age breakdown by supply and interconnecting types as of 2013

2.1.4 Spares
Our contingency planning aims to respond promptly in the event of a transformer failure, to
minimise the risk that a further failure of a parallel transformer will lead to significant
interruptions of service for customers. Our objective is to restore full security within one
calendar month of a transformer failure occurring, as outlined in subsection 4.3.2. Achieving
this objective depends on the availability of spare transformers. The transformer spares
holdings are dominated by single-phase units, as set out in Table 4.
66 kV
Type 220 kV 110 kV Total
& below
Interconnecting: three-phase units 3 1 0 4
Interconnecting: single-phase units 13 1 0 14
Supply: three-phase units 4 5 3 12
Supply: single-phase units 11 52 9 72
Total 31 59 12 102
Table 4: Transformer spares by type and voltage

The progressive replacement of single-phase transformers with modern higher-rated three-


phase units over the period to 2010 created a growing number of in-service transformers
that could not be replaced by a spare transformer in the event of a major failure. To mitigate
the increasing risk, a range of strategic spare three-phase power transformers were
procured.
The spares holdings are discussed in more detail below.

Spares – single phase transformers


On-site spares are provided at most sites where single-phase transformers are installed. A
typical supply substation with N-1 security consists of six single-phase transformers
(described as two single-phase banks) and a seventh spare single-phase unit maintained on
site as an operational spare.
In addition to the single-phase spares at substations, a number of spare units are stored in
warehouses. Many of the old single-phase spares at warehouses would require extensive
remedial work to restore them to operational condition. However, they still have significant
value as backups for second contingencies.
Many of the older single-phase banks fitted with on-load tap changers have a common drive
mechanism that connects the three single-phase transformers. The transformer tap

4
Fifty years in itself has no special significance, but it is close to the nominal life expectancy for power transformers
adopted in some jurisdictions.

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changers and tap changer drive mechanism are not interchangeable between different
models of transformers even if the rating is the same. So if one of the single-phase units
should fail and there is no matching single-phase spare, it may, depending on the tap
changer, be necessary to replace the entire bank with a strategic three-phase spare to
maintain full operational capability.

Spares – three-phase transformers


No major spares were held for three-phase units were held until procurement of strategic
spares commenced in September 2008. Sixteen strategic spares now provide coverage for
98% of our entire present and expected future three-phase fleet. Two of these units are in
manufacture at the time of writing:
 1 off three-phase 110/33-22-11 kV, 15 MVA supply spare is due for delivery to
New Zealand in February 2014
 1 off three-phase 220/66/11 kV, 250 MVA interconnecting spare is due for delivery to
New Zealand in June 2014.

Spares – bushings
A number of spare standard bushings have been purchased and are in store at Otahuhu,
Bunnythorpe and Addington. Yet many of these spares are not interchangeable between
different transformer makes and models. We are currently assessing the condition of all
spare bushings and the extent of coverage that they provide.

2.2 Asset Characteristics


The power transformer asset fleet can be characterised according to:
 safety and environmental considerations
 asset criticality
 asset condition
 maintenance requirements
 interactions with other assets.
These characteristics and the associated risks are discussed in the following subsections.

2.2.1 Safety and Environmental Considerations


Safety and the environment are key considerations because minimising safety and
environmental impacts is a key part of our commitment to New Zealand communities. These
risks can also require costly mitigation if not considered early in asset management planning.

Safety considerations
The most significant safety considerations for the power transformer fleet are set out below.

Bushing explosion
Bushing failures are a serious safety risk because many of the old transformer bushings are
made of porcelain. An explosive failure may result in sharp shards of porcelain being
propelled into the surrounding environment.

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Oil
Oil is hazardous, and personnel are required to wear protective gear when working with oil.
Transformer oil fires are a low probability event, but the consequence can be severe. A
major transformer oil fire, even if fully contained in the bunded area, may take days to
extinguish. There is potential for serious harm to personnel, and there may be damage to
adjacent equipment.

Working at heights
Work at heights is a safety issue for transformers, because maintenance and repair works
are often carried out at the top of the transformer, a substantial height above ground.

Manual operation of on load tap changers


Some older transformers in the fleet require manual operation of motor-driven tap changers
in the control cubicle with the transformer still energised. This is a significant safety risk as
there is a chance that the tap changer or transformer can fail while the operator is next to
the control cubicle/transformer.

Environmental considerations
We are committed to managing environmental impacts associated with the transmission
network and will proactively protect, enhance and respect the environment. In this respect
there are a number of issues with the power transformer fleet.

Insulating oil
All power transformers are filled with insulating oil which is classed as an environmental
hazard. Some of our larger transformers contain more than 50,000 litres of oil. It is
important to prevent and contain spillage when filling, treating or emptying the transformer
oil. Power transformers are installed within a bunded area that will catch all oil spillage and
oil contaminated storm-water and direct this to an oil interceptor which will separate the oil
and water. The captured oil is pumped into a storage container and the water discharged
into a storm-water drain.
We occasionally undertake oil treatment on site for some of our transformers. The oil
treatment process involves using ‘fuller’s earth’ to filter oil of moisture and other
contaminants. The contaminated ‘fuller’s earth’ must be disposed of appropriately to ensure
that the waste does not have a harmful effect on the environment.

Noise emissions
Acoustic noise emissions can be a significant concern depending on the neighbouring
environment. A few sites have been fitted with sound walls to block the transformer noise
reaching residential areas. Modern three-phase transformers feature improved
environmental characteristics, including lower acoustic noise emissions than single-phase
units. Our strategy to replace older units with three-phase units will therefore improve the
environmental impact of the transformer fleet. This aspect is discussed in more detail in
chapter 4.

2.2.2 Asset Criticality


We have derived a methodology that assesses the impact of the failure of busbars and
circuits on the reliability of each customers point of service. ‘Circuits’ in this context includes
transformers. All busbars and circuits are assigned a criticality of either high, medium or low

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impact, depending on the effect on customers if those network elements are taken out of
service.
These ‘network’ criticalities have been considered in conjunction with asset health indicators
to provide an indication of which transformers present our greatest risk. However, the
criticality framework is at an early stage of development. Currently it does not consider
factors such as contingency arrangements, spares availability and site access issues, all of
which play a role in identifying the best investment option for the transformer fleet.
The chart in Figure 4 sets out the proportion of power transformers in each criticality
category.

POWER TRANSFORMER - CRITICALITY

LOW (87%)

MEDIUM (12%)

HIGH (2%)

Figure 4: Power Transformers – Criticality

2.2.3 Asset Condition


In this subsection, we describe the overall condition of transformers and their major
components separately. The reason for this is that transformer components have a
significant effect on the individual transformer asset health, and to an extent its condition.
The asset health model is described in more detail in subsection 2.2.4.
We undertake regular condition assessments on our power transformer fleet, but we do not
rely on condition assessment as the only basis for risk assessment and forecasting. Based on
our own experience and understanding of historic major failures, it can be observed that the
condition assessments prior to failure have not usually indicated any warning signs. For a
more detailed breakdown of historic transformer major failures, see Appendix E.

Transformer procurement before and after the early 1990s


The root cause of the majority of our historic major transformer failures has been attributed
to defects in design and manufacture. The lessons from these major failures indicated the
need for a significant change in our approach to specifying and purchasing power
transformers, to ensure greatly improved quality in design and manufacture.
A major change in procurement practice occurred in the early 1990s. As a consequence, our
transformer population may now be divided into two main categories – those manufactured
after 1992 and those from earlier periods.
The transformers procured after 1992 are deemed to be of high-quality design and
manufacture (approximately 40% of the fleet population at present) as they were subjected
to a high level of specification, stringent design reviews, manufacturing inspections and
witnessed tests. The transformer purchase specification has been further improved over the
last few years so that standardised components such as tap changers, bushings, radiators,
fans and pumps, temperature monitors, Buchholz and pressure relief devices are purchased.
To further reduce fleet diversity and enhance standardisation, these transformers were only
tendered to 2–3 pre-selected transformer manufacturers.

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The transformers procured before 1992 are deemed to be at significantly increased risk of
failure. Further details of these transformers are discussed in the following sections.

Single-phase transformers
The ageing fleet of single-phase transformers poses some maintenance concerns.
Approximately 85% to 90% of the older single-phase transformers have been overhauled
over the last 25 years to address generic problems such as:
 broken winding support blocks
 loose, damaged, wet and deteriorated windings, leads and barrier insulation
 wet and damaged bushings
 misaligned and worn on-load and off-load tap changers
 badly corroded radiators.
The mid-life overhaul of these transformers has helped to ensure reliable operation. There
have been few significant failures of transformers that have previously undergone major
overhaul.
The remaining 10% to 15% of single-phase transformers have not been overhauled. These
units are considered to be uneconomic for overhaul, but may require more frequent
maintenance than overhauled units, and are at greater risk of major failure. The majority of
the additional maintenance requirement is associated with high moisture levels and
replacement of aged ancillary components.

Three-phase transformers
As discussed in subsection 2.1.3, our three-phase transformer fleet is generally much
younger than the single-phase units and is in good condition overall. This is reflected in the
much lower forced and fault outage rates of three-phase transformers compared with
single-phase units (see subsection 2.3.1).
Three-phase transformers purchased up to the early 1990s were built to the older
standards, and are vulnerable to failure as a result of original design and manufacturing
defects. We do not intend to undertake mid-life major overhauls on these transformers, and
these factors combined means that the older three-phase units have an increased risk of
major failure when compared with their modern equivalents.

Tap changers
Mechanically ganged tap changers
Many of the older single-phase transformers use mechanically ganged tap changers which
suffer from deterioration in the drive shafts and internal diverter componentry. Typically,
these types of tap changers require extensive maintenance to the drive shafts, bushings and
gears as these wear very easily compared to other types of tap changers. We have 40
transformers with this type of tap changer still in service.

Known defective tap changer types


Poorly designed mechanical cubicles
We have identified 20 transformers with tap changers as having poorly designed mechanical
cubicles. The designs are poor in the sense that the drive shafts and seals get corroded very

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easily and require frequent/costly maintenance to address. Two transformer manufacturer
types are associated with poor mechanical cubicle design: Fuji and Mitsubishi.
Tap changers requiring design updates
We have reviewed all tap changers in our fleet, to identify performance issues and risks
experienced by other utilities with those same makes and models.5 The purpose of this
investigation is to help us identify and anticipate risks and issues that may arise from our tap
changers and plan for appropriate maintenance.
The review highlighted a number of specific tap changer makes/models with modes of
failure that include:
 significant gear wheel spindle wear that leads to one or more phases failing to
operate during a tap change
 roller contacts may fail to tap and cause significant arcing
 fixing screws on drive shaft seals and motor mountings may break due to hydrogen
embrittlement.
These issues are well known to the original manufacturers (or their successors), and
upgrades for tap changer mechanisms have been developed to mitigate risks. Yet the
vulnerabilities of these tap changers and the availability of upgrades have not been well
communicated.
Three transformer tap changer makes are affected: ATL, Ferranti, and AEI. We are currently
developing a programme of work for the tap changers identified as requiring an upgrade.

Bushings
Modern condenser type transformer bushings have test taps that enable straightforward
measurement of bushing condition. However, most of the old transformer bushings do not
have test taps hence it is difficult to assess the condition of the bushings without removing
the entire bushing from the transformer. Also, in the past, some bushings have suffered
from deteriorating seals and caused oil leaks.
Resin bonded paper bushings were also widely used in transformer design in the early 1950s
through to the 1980s. These types of bushings have a high failure rate and are no longer
used in modern designs. Unfortunately our original records do not allow us to determine
which of our transformers have resin bonded paper bushings. The only way to determine
this is to take suspect transformers out of service to remove the bushings for inspection.
Our single-phase and three-phase transformers generally require significant bushing repair
or replacement at 30 years of age. The components that may fail after 30 years are:
 bushing oil seals, leading to risk of electrical insulation failure
 oil sight glasses (which become blocked and impossible to read, preventing the
identification of low oil levels that can lead to failure).
In some severe cases, it is more cost-effective to replace the entire bushing rather than
repair oil seals that have failed – especially if the bushing internal components have
deteriorated due to moisture ingress as a result of the failed oil seals.

5
Based on Energy Networks Association’s ‘National Equipment Defect Reports, June 2013’ and on recommendations
from Brush (as the successor of ATL).

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A broken or damaged insulator shed (due to an external flashover or foreign object impact)
will also usually require complete replacement of the bushing, rather than repair.
If the bushing is well maintained, the internal electrical components should last as long as
the transformer core and windings (that is, 50 years or more).
The strategies to address the failure risk of all existing and new bushings are presented in
section 4.4 and subsection 4.2.2.

Control systems
Deterioration of control system components is commonly observed in transformers after
about 30 years in service, and can lead to forced and fault outages. The components that are
typically most at risk of age-related failure include:
 cooling control relays
 oil and winding temperature monitors and probes6
 fans, fan motors and pump relays
 tap changer motor drive control relays
 cubicle weather seals.
Our single-phase and three-phase transformers generally require significant control system
repair or replacement at around 30 years of age to ensure reliable performance.

Cooling systems
Cooling systems comprise radiators, fans and circulating oil pumps.
The older single-phase units are cooled by radiators alone (comprised of tubes or plates).
The plates are formed of thin sheets of mild steel and are prone to rusting around the welds,
internally and externally, necessitating major repairs or replacement.
Modern plate radiators are made from thicker sheet steel and shaped to eliminate internal
deposits and then thoroughly washed and coated to prevent corrosion. The outer surface is
galvanised and then painted to provide a rust resistant coating.
In some recent projects we have introduced stainless steel radiators, to mitigate site-specific
pollution factors such as the presence of hydrogen sulphide (H2S) in geothermal areas. We
have limited operating experience with stainless steel radiators to date and are not yet able
to draw firm conclusions about their long-term performance.
Our operating experience with transformer cooling fans has shown that they typically have
to be replaced two or three times during the lifetime of the transformer. Fitting of improved
temperature controls has reduced the number of fan start/stop operations and the length of
fan running times.

2.2.4 Asset Health


Asset Health Indices (AHI) is an asset management tool used to provide a systematic
approach to prioritisation of asset management interventions, based on a range of factors
including asset condition. In our model, the health of an asset is expressed as a forecast of

6
We note that modern electronic temperature monitors provide improved features and performance, but are likely to
require lifecycle replacement within a 20-year period rather than the typical 30-year life of the older electromechanical
monitoring devices.

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remaining useful life. We use the asset health model to make a prediction of the year when
the asset will no longer be considered fit to remain in service. The AHI forecast of remaining
useful life is based on modelling deterioration or risk that cannot be addressed by normal
maintenance (where maintenance to address the deterioration or risk is not
possible/practical, or is uneconomic). At this point major intervention is required, such as
total replacement of the asset or refurbishment that significantly extends the original design
life.
Asset health indicators provide a proxy for the probability of failure in asset risk
management analysis.
Asset health indicators are also used in conjunction with asset criticality to assign priority
within asset management planning processes.
The AHI is calculated using factors including:
 the current condition of the asset
 the operating environment
 economically optimal replacement age assumption (see Appendix D for more details)
 the age of the asset (relative to nominal expected life)
 the typical degradation path of transformers
 any model/type or usage factors that affect the risk or rate of degradation, such as
known defects or failure modes, or exceptionally good historic performance.
We are still at a relatively early stage in the development and application of AHI. More
details on our asset health methodology are set out in the document ‘Asset Risk
Management – Asset Health Framework’.
An asset health indicator for power transformers could theoretically be calculated based on
performance data such as whole-of-life cost, failure rate, condition, hazard functions and
unplanned outage costs. However, our relatively small and diverse population base makes it
difficult to define an asset health model based entirely on statistics.
We are also not able to rely heavily on using data available from international sources,
because of the particular characteristics of our fleet. Data on the critical period in an asset’s
life, following the manufacturer’s design life, is usually not available, as utilities have
typically replaced assets by this time.
Our approach to developing an asset health model has been based on assessment of a
number of key factors for our power transformer fleet. For each of these factors, we have
developed a standard approach to calculating the impact on asset health. These factors and
their corresponding remaining life adjustments and commentary are shown in Table 5.

Adjustment to
Factors Commentary
remaining life
As outlined in subsection 2.2.3, we have improved our transformer
Manufactured <1992 – Base design specification since 1992. Only one of the transformers
life of 60 years manufactured after 1992 has had a winding failure. We expect this
Base life type of transformer to have a longer base life than those
Manufactured >1992 – Base manufactured before 1992. The base life of transformers
life of 70 years manufactured before 1992 is established from the economic
analysis for optimal age for replacement, as detailed in Appendix D.

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Adjustment to
Factors Commentary
remaining life

Single-phase units that have We have completed a programme of major overhaul on most single-
undergone major overhaul – phase transformers in our fleet. As these overhauled transformers
Major overhaul
remaining life is adjusted by have not yet had a major failure or intervention, we expect them to
an increase of 10 years be fit to remain in service for at least another 10 years.

We have experienced a high rate of failure of a particular type of


Specific makes and models
Winding design or 220 kV interconnecting transformer. The cause of the failure has
to have their remaining life
manufacturing been attributed to generic winding design defects. The remaining life
adjusted by a decrease of 15
defects adjustment is based on a simple engineering statistical analysis
years
comparing the specific makes/models with the rest of the entire fleet.

Mechanically ganged tap


changers – remaining life
adjusted by a decrease of 10
years As discussed in subsection 2.2.3, components such as tap changers
Tap changer generic design and bushings contribute to a significant portion of failures and
Transformer defects – remaining life unplanned outages. We have identified specific makes and models
components adjusted by a decrease of 10 of these transformer components and have assigned the respective
years remaining life adjustments based on simple engineering
Bushing generic design analysis/judgement.
defects – remaining life
adjusted by a decrease of 5
years

Technically, poor external condition is not a driver for replacement.


Poor external condition -
Poor external Even so, the remaining life adjustment made for it is a proxy for
remaining life adjusted by a
condition whole-of-life costs (that is, increased maintenance cost or
decrease of 5 years
environmental oil leak costs).

High moisture content -


remaining life adjusted by a
decrease of 10 years Oil tests of moisture content, dissolved gases and Furans can
Poor internal
indicate failure risk. We have identified individual transformers that
condition High DGA/Furans – have a ‘high’ reading and assigned the adjustments to them.
remaining life adjusted by a
decrease of 10 years
Table 5: Power transformer factors and asset health

We allocate power transformers into AHI bands of ‘now due’, 0–2 years, 2–7 years, 7–12
years, and 12+ years. The distribution of asset health for the power transformer fleet as at
2013 is set out in the chart in Figure 5.

POWER TRANSFORMERS -
ASSET HEALTH (12/13)
12+ YRS (76%)
7-12 YRS (8%)
2-7 YRS (4%)
0-2 YRS (1%)
NOW DUE (11%)

Figure 5: Power Transformers – Asset Health as at 2013

The AHI shows that a significant number of transformers are ‘now due’ or have a remaining
life between 0 and 2 years. Our strategy for improving asset health is set out in
subsection 4.1.2.

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2.2.5 Maintenance Requirements
This subsection describes the maintenance requirements of power transformer assets.
These requirements have informed the maintenance strategies discussed in chapter 4.
The most common types of maintenance carried out on power transformers are:
 preventive maintenance, including:
- condition assessments
- servicing
 corrective maintenance, including:
- fault response
- repairs
 maintenance projects.
The Maintenance Lifecycle Strategy provides further details on our approach to the above
maintenance works, and the specific maintenance requirements are included in the relevant
service specification documents.

Preventive
Condition assessments
The internal condition of power transformers cannot be directly observed and this presents
a challenge in quantifying their failure risk. There are many transformer tests used for
condition assessments such as Dissolved Gas Analysis (DGA), furans and Degree of
Polymerisation (DP) tests (these are described in detail below).
These tests can help us understand how the transformer ages and indicate if there are any
systemic issues. However, these condition assessment techniques only provide inferences
about actual transformer condition, and standard techniques are unable to identify many
factors that contribute to transformer failure.
In some cases, testing may indicate the need for more intensive monitoring using on-line
DGA monitors. Our experience is that these online monitors are helpful, but are often more
useful in identifying the cause of failure after the fact, than in preventing failures.
Our condition monitoring tests and inspections are as shown in Table 6.

Frequency Activities

Monthly: An in-service visual and audible noise level 1 inspection during routine station inspection
Yearly: An in-service level 2 inspection is carried out, which is more comprehensive than the level 1
inspection and includes operational checks.
A thermo-graphic survey is carried out during a survey of the station.
Oil screen tests.
Dissolved gas analysis of oil samples.
Two yearly: Tests of inhibitor levels in oil samples.
Four yearly: An out-of-service diagnostic inspection of the transformer and all of its components.
Out-of-service diagnostic tests, including winding insulation resistance and polarisation index, and
tests of bushing insulation.
Tests of levels of furans in oil samples.
A high-level condition assessment on which to base major work such as refurbishment, repair or
replacement.

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Frequency Activities

Two, four or Major service of on-load tap changer (interval depends on make, type and operating duty).
six yearly:
Table 6: Condition-monitoring tests and inspections

We also use other condition assessment techniques on power transformers, including:


 tests such as furan analysis, and direct measurement of paper insulation samples to
assess the physical deterioration of the insulation paper
 sweep frequency response analysis (SFRA) to assess winding displacement and other
anomalies that may result from the transformer being exposed to severe through-
faults
 power factor tests to determine the moisture and contaminants within the cellulose
insulation
 hot collar tests to assess the condition of the dielectric in older bushings (see
subsection 2.3.4 for more details of the risks associated with older bushings).
The following subsections explain the monitoring undertaken as part of our regular asset
condition assessments.
Dissolved gases
Oil samples are taken manually from all power transformers for laboratory analysis, typically
on an annual basis, to assess levels of dissolved gas, and other condition indicators. Power
transformers are also equipped with Buchholz relays which catch any free gas from internal
incipient faults and initiate an alarm when gas levels reach a threshold level.
A small number of power transformers are equipped with on-line dissolved gas monitoring
(which raises an alarm if gas levels or rate of gas generation exceed set levels). Gas level
trends are indicative of certain types of faults and can provide information to determine if
the transformer has to be removed from service immediately or requires monitoring more
closely.
Transformer core, windings and cellulose insulation
The effective life of transformer windings is based on the condition of the winding, core and
cellulose insulation (which deteriorates mechanically and, to a lesser extent electrically, due
to heat, acids, water and other compounds in the insulating oil). The average condition of
the cellulose can be monitored by furan tests of the oil and Degree of Polymerisation (DP)
tests on cellulose samples can provide useful indications of deterioration.
Transformers must be removed from service to carry out DP tests on samples of cellulose in
the oil. The DP measures the mechanical strength of the cellulose insulation, which is a
direct measure of the transformer windings’ ability to withstand short-circuit faults. A
transformer may have windings with a low (end of life) DP reading, but it may survive in
service in this condition for many years, provided it does not suffer any significant damage
through short-circuit faults on the network.
We note that DP samples can usually only be taken of the insulation on leads, or the
outermost parts of the windings, and may not indicate the true state of deterioration of
inner parts of the winding.
The degradation of the cellulose generates a number of furanic compounds that dissolve in
the oil, and these can be measured by testing the oil. Particular furans and the level of
furans are indicative of the average level of deterioration of the cellulose. Transformer cores

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generally last well over 50 years, and while they may develop internal defects that generate
elevated levels of dissolved gases these defects generally do not adversely affect the
transformer’s ability to remain in service. Older transformers (single-phase and three-phase)
typically have multiple internal earthing connections for the core, end frame and main tank
that can cause continuous internal electrical discharges. This results in elevated internal oil
gas activity that may mask more serious developing faults in the windings from being
detected during routine oil Dissolved Gas Analysis (DGA) tests.

Servicing
Transformer tap changers
On-load tap changers operate in response to voltage regulation requirements. The
frequency of operation can vary from several operations each day to more than 20 each day.
As with all mechanical equipment, the bearings and gears wear, locking pins loosen, limit
switches move, grease and lubricants harden and thicken hampering operation of tap
changers. Modern tap changer manufacturers have improved the designs of their tap
changers, reducing maintenance requirements (and improving reliability). Some
maintenance is still required, but is non-invasive.
On-load tap changer contacts wear out due to arcing during normal on-load tap changer
operation. The drive mechanisms of on-load tap changers ultimately wear out as a result of
normal operation. The oil qualities of on-load tap changers deteriorate due to oil breakdown
products generated during normal arcing operation. Off-load tap changers can fail due to oil
carbonisation around tap changer contact surfaces.
Tap changers can fail if they are improperly repaired or re-assembled. Recent on-load tap
changer problems are attributable to limited experience and knowledge of the tap changer
maintainers.
Our single-phase and three-phase transformers generally require routine servicing every 4
years and significant tap changer servicing at 10–30 years of age. The actual time period
depends on the number of tap operations and the loadings at which tap changing occurs.
The components that require repair or replacement during servicing are:
 on-load tap changer motors, springs, bearings and gear mechanisms
 on-load tap changer contacts
 off-load tap changer contacts.

Corrective
Fault response
The main causes of power transformer events requiring a call out fault response are:
 older tap changer-drive mechanisms (that are badly worn causing alignment
problems with subsequent jamming)
 bushing failure due to moisture ingress and overheated terminations
 cooling system and instrumentation faults.

Repairs
The most common repairs required for power transformers are:
 oil leak repairs

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 overhaul and reconditioning of tap changer drive mechanisms
 radiator repairs
 bushing replacements
 treatment of corrosion on metalwork and painting.
Oil leak repairs
Our single-phase and three-phase transformers generally require significant oil leak repairs
between 15 and 40 years of age. We specify that all our new transformers have high-
temperature gaskets and O-rings (typically made of Viton). Most existing older transformers
have low-temperature non-Viton gaskets that deteriorate due to thermal ageing, weather
conditions and hidden corrosion on mated metal surfaces. Viton gaskets on more recent
transformers may also deteriorate prematurely due to (imperfect) original manufacture,
incorrect installation procedures or hidden corrosion on mated metal surfaces.
Transformer radiators may also develop oil leaks due to continued thermal expansion and
contraction that may cause the welded metal seams to fail after a period of time. The
radiators may be repaired or replaced on site depending on the severity of the oil leaks and
the general corrosion condition of the external and internal metal surfaces.
Corrosion control
Our single-phase and three-phase transformers typically require significant external
corrosion repair at 15 years of age. We specify that all our new transformers have paint
systems that meet the severe marine requirements of the AS/NZS 2312 Standard, which has
a design life of 15 years to first maintenance.
Often the 15-year design life of the paint system is not achieved due to less-than-perfect
application of the paint system when new, and undetected physical damage that may occur
to the painted surfaces during installation. The undetected damage to mated metal surfaces
during installation is a common cause of premature corrosion. In addition, some painted
surfaces may not be cleaned effectively by rainfall and this can shorten the paint life to less
than 15 years in a severe marine environment.

Historic spend – maintenance


We normally spend between $3m and $4m a year on transformer maintenance. We have
spent about $1m to $1.5m on preventive maintenance and about $2m to $2.5m on
corrective maintenance each year over the last 5 years.

Maintenance projects
Maintenance projects typically consist of relatively high-value planned repairs or
replacements of components of larger assets. Maintenance projects would not be expected
to increase the original design life of the larger assets. Maintenance jobs are typically run as
a project where there are operational and financial efficiencies from doing so.
Maintenance projects are usually planned at least 12 months in advance, and are usually
part of a long-term strategy for a particular fleet of assets. Maintenance projects are
included in the Integrated Works Planning (IWP) process and are supported by individual
business cases.
Historically, we have spent approximately $6m a year over the last 5 years, and the
predominant work was a programme of major overhauls on our single-phase transformer
fleet. See Appendix F for more information.

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2.2.6 Interaction with Other Assets
An IWP allows for coordination between transformer works and associated assets and
equipment to minimise disruption and reduce costs. When undertaking power transformer
works, we take the following factors into account:
 supply transformer replacement works are to be undertaken in conjunction with
outdoor 33 kV to indoor switchgear conversion projects where possible
 transformer replacement work should be coordinated with major customer project
works
 coordination of other protection upgrade work with transformer protection works.
Optimal management of the transformer asset fleet needs to consider the
interdependencies and interactions with other asset fleets. Operational restrictions limit the
periods for maintenance outages, and consequently associated equipment in the same
branch is usually maintained in conjunction with the power transformer. This may include
outdoor or indoor switchgear, cables, terminations, gantries, insulators, protection
equipment, and so on.

2.3 Asset Performance


This section describes the historic performance of the power transformer fleet together with
any associated risks and issues.

2.3.1 Reliability Performance


Achieving an appropriate level of reliability for our asset fleets is a key objective as it directly
affects the services received by our customers. Reliability is measured primarily by the
frequency and length of outages.
Most transformer installations have been provided with N-1 security. This is achieved with
two power transformers, each capable of carrying the maximum substation load in the event
of a short-term outage7 of one transformer.
Redundancy is a particularly important for transformer performance. A transformer failure
at a station with N-1 security (that is, a backup transformer) will have a smaller impact than
a transformer failure at a station with N security (that is, where there is no redundancy),
which would cause an immediate and prolonged interruption to customers. Redundancy at a
site typically reflects customer choice and the impacts of asset failure. N security sites are
typically smaller stations and generation sites.

Major failures
Australia/NZ CIGRE surveys show a probability for total major and minor failure of power
transformers of approximately 1.0% a year for each transformer. This increases to 1.5% each
year for transformers greater than 30 years of age. The probability of a major (winding)
failure is approximately 1/3 of the total failure rate. Our annual rate of major 220 kV
transformer failures is comparatively poor, with a winding failure rate of around 0.83% each
year (for banks, rather than units). The average major failure rate for the entire population is

7
Most transformers are able to carry the maximum substation load on a cyclic basis until the security is restored by the
return to service of the original transformer following the outage, or the mobilisation and commissioning of a strategic
spare. This may take up to a month.

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one winding failure every 10 months (based on our winding failure history over the past 37
years). The 220 kV transformer winding failure rate each year over 37 years is more than 3
times that of the 110 kV transformers. The average age of the 220 kV transformers
experiencing winding failures is fairly low, at 24 years.

Winding failures
The distribution of winding failures (from 2007 to 2012) by primary voltage is illustrated in
Table 7. A detailed list of winding failures can be found in Appendix E.
Fault type 220 kV 110 kV 66 kV 50 kV 33 kV 11 kV Total
Winding Failure 4 2 0 0 0 0 6
Table 7: Power Transformers – Winding Failures

Table 7 shows there are more winding failures for the 220 kV transformer fleet. High-voltage
stresses are likely to contribute to winding failures.
Analysis of the root cause of major failures indicates that in almost every case the failure is
attributable to design and/or manufacturing errors. They would not have been predicted
through routine CA techniques.8
Improvements in the design, procurement, and commissioning of transformers since the
1990s has improved their performance. Yet 56 220 kV transformers dating from the 1970s to
the 1980s are still in service. These units present a higher risk of winding failure (resulting
from design and manufacturing defects) than their modern equivalents.

Tap changer failures


From 2007 to 2012, tap changers have caused 26 forced and fault outages. The main
recorded type of tap changer failure is incomplete or incorrect operation. Others include tap
changers being jammed, overheated, broke in operation and blown fuses. Of the 26 outage
incidents, 15 were caused by tap changers on single-phase units. The tap changers that have
failed in this period have not indicated a common manufacturer design defect. However, as
outlined in subsection 2.2.3, mechanically ganged tap changers are vulnerable to
deterioration and mal-operation.

Forced and fault outage performance


The following charts in Figures 6 and 7 show the forced and fault outages of transformers
over the period from 2006/07 to 2011/12. The population of single-phase transformer banks
and three-phase transformer banks was approximately equal over the period, with 3 phase
transformers just outnumbering single-phase transformer banks by 2011/12. Figure 6 shows
the relatively poor performance of single-phase transformer banks.

8
The majority of the failure modes were dielectric failures under impulse, or mechanical and electrical failure on
through-fault. These failures occurred with little or no prior warning. Routine power transformer condition assessment
techniques would not have predicted most of these failures.

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POWER TRANSFORMER - FORCED AND FAULT OUTAGE


SINGLE PHASE THREE PHASE
0.16
0.14
OUTAGES PER BANK

0.12
0.10
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0.00
06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12

9
Figure 6: Power Transformers – Forced/Fault Outages

The causes of the forced and fault outages are set out in Figure 7.

POWER TRANSFORMER - FORCED AND FAULT OUTAGE CAUSES


EQUIPMENT FAILURE AGEING /FAIR WEAR AND TEAR
BIRDS /DROPPINGS OTHER
40

35

30

25

20

15

10

0
06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12

10
Figure 7: Power Transformers – Fault Causes

The forced and fault outage rate of single-phase transformers is significantly higher than that
for the three-phase transformers. The leading causes of outages differ significantly. Faults
and failures of tap changers are the most significant cause of the poor performance of
single-phase transformer banks. The root causes of tap changer related failures are age
related deterioration and inadequate design. The majority of the ‘other’ outage causes in
2010/11 and 2011/12 were caused by Bucholz trips due to the Christchurch earthquakes and
aftershocks.

9
Historic population data (used to normalise outage numbers) derived from current fleet data and population figures
published in 2009.
10
This data includes outages affecting all ‘power’ and ‘other’ transformers. Note this data is not normalised.

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2.3.2 Performance and Cost Benchmarking
We have been involved in the International Transmission Operations & Maintenance Study
(ITOMS) since 1994. This study involves performance and maintenance cost comparisons
(including reliability) between 27 transmission utilities from North America, Europe, Asia,
Australia and New Zealand and provides a useful opportunity for us to compare
performance and identify opportunities for improvement.
While comparisons need to be treated with care (given different country-specific
characteristics that are not normalised for), ITOMS results below provide a good general
indication of our performance and maintenance costs compared to overseas electricity
networks.

Outage performance
Figure 8 and 9 (taken from the ITOMS 2011 benchmarking round) show transformer forced
and fault outages (per unadjusted transformer) for 100 kV–199 kV and 200+ kV
transformers. Our total forced and fault outage rate for 110 kV and 220 kV transformers is
significantly above the average rate of the ITOMS 2011 benchmark group. We are
represented by the ‘K’ marker in each figure.

Figure 8: International Comparison of 100 kV–199 kV Transformer Performance

Figure 9: International Comparison of 200+ kV Transformer Performance

The average forced and fault outage rates reported in the ITOMS 2011 results are
approximately 3.5% each year for 100 kV–199 kV and 5% for 200+ kV transformers. We
would need to reduce the present forced and fault outage rates for transformers
substantially, just to be an average performer in this study.
The main cause of our poor performance was equipment failure due mainly to minor
equipment malfunctions (for example, a pressure relief device junction box was severely
corroded and caused a trip). Equipment faults were responsible for 48% of transformer
forced and fault outages in the study. The remaining forced and fault outages include
Buchholz relay trips during the Christchurch February 2011 earthquakes and aftershocks.
Table 8 compares the forced and fault outage rate performance reported by participants in
the ITOMS 2011 study against our performance (in events per 100 each year).

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ITOMS Best
Voltage ITOMS Average Transpower Average
Performer
100 kV–199 kV 0 3.4 6.6
200+ kV 0.37 5 12
Table 8: Forced and Fault Outage Rate against Benchmark Average

Cost performance
The following Figures from the ITOMS 2011 benchmarking round show composite service
level and cost for 100 kV–199 kV and 200 + kV transformers. We are represented by the ‘K’
marker. The vertical axis represents the spectrum of forced and fault outage performance,
from 0 (worst performer), to 2 (best performer).

Figure 10: 100-199 kV Transformers – Performance and Cost (ITOMS 2011)

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Figure 11: 200+ kV Transformers – Performance and Cost (ITOMS 2011)

We are observed to be in the ‘higher-cost, lower-performer’ quadrant for all voltage classes.
Benchmarking results between 2005 and 2011, show that the maintenance spend for 110 kV
and 220 kV transformers has remained about the same since 2005. Over the same period,
our unplanned outage rates for 220 kV transformers is generally trending upwards, but the
110 kV transformers outage rates has decreased since 2005. While the increasing outage
rates for 220 kV transformers can be partly attributed to anomalies such as the Christchurch
earthquakes, there is a clear need to improve reliability. We would need to reduce our
outage rates by more than 50% just to be an average performer.
Approximately 60% of all the forced/fault outages (disregarding anomalies11) over the last
20 years are attributed to minor equipment malfunction/failure which does not cause
damage or prolonged outages. While we are working to reduce these minor failure rates, we
are also concerned with the risk of major failures that could cause significant damage and
prolonged outages, with significant risk of interruptions to customers. The main cause for
major failures are the bushings, windings and tap changers.

2.3.3 Safety and Environmental Performance


Subsection 2.2.1 described safety and environmental issues related to power transformers.
This subsection reports on their actual safety and environmental performance.

Safety
We are committed to providing employees and service providers with a safe and positive
working environment, and minimising risks to the public. An explosive failure of an oil filled

11
These anomalies include incidents involving animals, droppings, lightning strikes and earthquakes.

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power transformer may endanger personnel and the public from flying porcelain, oily blast
and fire. Fire walls are being erected around a few power transformers that may present
high risk to personnel and to adjacent plant and buildings. In the last few years, three safety
incidents associated with power transformers were recorded:
 in 2009, human error resulted in a finger injury while turning a transformer wheel
 human error resulted in a near-miss incident in January 2013 when a staff member
slipped while servicing a transformer
 in February 2013, human error resulted in a small oil leak from a transformer. No
injuries were reported.

Environmental
In the last few years, the following environmental incidents were recorded:
 in 2012, Benmore T2 lost approximately 360 litres of transformer oil into the
Benmore tailrace (the cause was a leaking heat exchanger and both heat exchangers
were repaired)
 as reported above in safety incidents, there was a small oil leak from a transformer at
Southdown (the leak was quickly contained).
Minor oil leaks that are fully contained by our bunding and interception systems are not
specifically reported.

2.3.4 Risks and Issues


This section briefly discusses risks and issues related to managing the current population of
power transformers. The proposed strategies to mitigate the risks below are presented in
chapter 4.

Maintenance costs and reliability of aged single-phase transformers


The ageing fleet of single-phase transformers have increased maintenance requirements and
reliability risks, compared to the modern equivalent three-phase transformer:
 the three single-phase units each have individual tanks, and therefore three times the
number of flanges, seals, instruments, and so on, of a three-phase transformer
 experience shows that routine maintenance and repair costs for the average bank of
single-phase transformers are about twice that of the equivalent three-phase
transformer
 single-phase tap changer drive mechanisms typically experience significant wear,
leading to issues with tap changer reliability
 moisture ingress into old bushings caused by age-related deterioration of the old
bushings leads to corrosion and oil leaks, and increased risks of major failure
 the original bushings of single-phase transformers do not meet our current seismic
strength requirements, and are vulnerable to failure in a major event.

Deteriorating condition
Power transformers deteriorate with age; particularly their cellulose insulation and
insulating oil which are affected by heat, moisture, acids and the compounds generated by
the deterioration of the cellulose, oil and internal coatings (such as varnishes, sealants and

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glue). As a consequence of the deterioration of mechanical and electrical strength of the
solid insulating materials, the transformer has a reduced ability to withstand the forces
generated by high through-fault currents and switching surges.
If the asset health of the transformer fleet deteriorates over time, there is a risk of that
transformer failure rates will be higher.

High fault levels and switching surges


High fault and switching surge currents cause undesirable effects on transformers such as
loosening of the windings and leads, movement of the conductors, tearing of the cellulose
insulation and consequent reductions in electrical clearances and possible flashovers. While
most transformers are designed to withstand the expected fault level, exposure to a number
of large through-faults shortens the life of a transformer. It can be difficult to measure the
extent of these transients and to model the effect they may have on an aged transformer.

Seismic design capability


Many of the older power transformers, although fitted with seismic restraints, do not
comply with our latest seismic design requirements. These older transformers are expected
to withstand a moderate seismic event, but failure may occur for earthquakes within the
current design standard.

Fleet diversity
As mentioned in subsection 2.1.2, our transformers are diverse in design and manufacture.
This creates issues for maintenance, especially with the transformer tap changers where
unique and specialist knowledge may be required for each different make and model.
Historically, we have held training sessions for our maintenance service providers and we
will continue doing this to retain the knowledge and skills in the industry.

Failure modes
Significant power transformer failures fall into five general categories:
 winding failures
 tap changer failures
 failures due to excessive moisture levels in oil
 bushing failures
 control and instrumentation system failures.
Winding failures
The windings of heavily loaded power transformers deteriorate due to thermal ageing which
breaks down the internal cellulose insulation, releasing moisture into the transformer oil.
This reduces the internal dielectric strength and increases the risk of electrical failure. The
thermal ageing of the internal cellulose insulation also causes shrinkage which weakens the
mechanical strength of windings and increases the risk of failure under short-circuit through-
fault conditions.
While the consequences of thermal ageing apply to some extent to transformers on our
network, our transmission transformers are not usually heavily loaded. As a result, their
windings are not usually at significant risk of failure from load-related thermal ageing.

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The history of major winding failures of transformers on our network since 1978 shows that
the main causes of these failures were defects in design and manufacture, rather than
thermal ageing.
The experience of transformer failures on our network can be used to draw inferences about
the risks of other transformers of identical or similar design/manufacture purchased at the
same time. Our assessment is that, in general, all transformers on our network purchased in
the 1970s and 1980s are of inadequate design and manufacture, and are at risk of suffering
winding failure.
At present, 28 units purchased during this period have elevated Dissolved Gas Analysis
(DGA) levels in their insulating oil that are indicative of an incipient12 fault. The gases are
generated by the deterioration of the insulation and oil as a result of electric discharge
and/or overheating. These units require close, ongoing scrutiny. A significant increase in one
or more of the combustible gases triggers further tests, the fitting of continuous monitors,
and an internal inspection and repair if required.
Tap changer failures
Tap changer failures have a more complex failure pattern than winding failures. Tap changer
failures depend not only upon the quality of original design and manufacture, but also on
how many times the tap changers have operated, their loading conditions during operation
and how well they have been maintained.
There have been problems with the manually operated mechanisms resulting in misaligned
contacts, leading to burnt contacts, gassing in the oil, and the actual tap position not
agreeing with the tap position indicator.
The design of on-load tap changers has changed considerably over the years with some of
the older units being unidirectional. For example, the power transfer of older units can only
be from the primary to the secondary winding and, unlike modern tap changers, they cannot
be operated with a reverse power flow from the secondary to the primary winding.
The older on-load tap changers require more frequent maintenance compared with modern
units. Major services of older units are required at 5,000 or less operations, compared with
modern units that only need to be serviced at 50,000 operations or more. The older units
are the major cause of forced and fault outages of power transformers, particularly single-
phase banks, because of their design and manufacture as well as their condition.
There are many different makes, types and models of on-load tap changers, requiring an
extensive range of maintenance skills that the service providers generally do not have.
Overseas specialists have been engaged to carry out major repairs and servicing of some of
the modern tap changers.
A number of years ago, a tap changer manufacturer’s representative carried out a series of
nationwide one-day courses for our service providers on the function, operation and
maintenance of on-load tap changers. Unfortunately our service providers have relatively
high staff turnover and this knowledge has slowly dissipated. Loss of skills from the industry
and lack of actual practical experience in working with tap changers may become a further
factor leading to deterioration in the performance of older, maintenance-intensive tap
changers.
While the more modern tap changers on three-phase transformers have provided
reasonable reliability in the past, overseas evidence indicates that faults can occur. We have
12
An incipient fault is one that may cause the transformer windings to fail.

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experienced performance issues with a number of tap changers installed on three-phase
transformers over the last 2 to 3 years. The types of issues being experienced are problems
with the motor control cubicles and external drive shaft systems which are deteriorating and
require regular maintenance. In some cases it is considered that we need to replace these
units.
Modern tap changers require manufacturer updates periodically (some of which are issued
in response to observations from failures). Yet the communication from the original
manufacturer of the need for these updates has been inconsistent. Many of these updates
will only occur if the original tap changer manufacturer is used to undertake maintenance.
We have recently become aware of important updates required on a number of tap
changers. A programme of work to implement the priority updates is commencing during
the RCP1 period and will continue through RCP2.
The strategy to address the risk of failure of all existing and new tap changers is presented in
subsections 4.2.1, 0, and 4.5.1.
Moisture levels in oil
Transformer oil has two functions, one as an insulator and the other as a coolant. The quality
of the oil has to be maintained to a high level, to ensure insulation strength. As the oil ages,
the degradation products from thermal, chemical reactions and moisture within the
transformer will degrade the oil and further accelerate the degradation of the insulation.
This will shorten the life of the transformer.
The release of moisture into the transformer oil due to cellulose breakdown reduces the
safe maximum load that the transformer can carry without the risk of sudden failure of
insulation, caused by air bubbles or free water formation during cool down after high load
periods. Electrical insulation failure in these circumstances typically causes severe damage to
the transformer windings.
With modern transformer designs, electrical clearances are reduced and the insulating
materials and fluids are subject to higher electrical stresses than in the older transformers,
(for example, the minimum insulating strength of oil required for older transformers is
30 kV, while in modern transformers it is 50 kV). With these higher electrical stresses in
modern transformers, it is necessary to ensure that the insulating oil is dry (very low water
content) to prevent any electrical discharges occurring in the oil or oil impregnated
insulation.
We test the oil periodically to ensure it is dry, but this test is temperature dependent. The
insulation contains most of the moisture in the transformer and this migrates between the
insulation and oil depending on the temperature of the transformer (for example, as the
temperature rises the oil migrates from the insulation and into the oil). If the insulation is
very wet (>5%) and the transformer is fully loaded or overloaded, the oil may become
saturated with water leading to consequential flashover and a major failure.
We currently undertake yearly monitoring of the moisture in oil levels and pay particular
attention to the moisture levels in modern three-phase transformers. To date, the moisture
levels in the modern three-phase transformers are acceptable.
Bushing failures
The risk of bushing failures depends not only on the quality of original design and
manufacture but also the environmental conditions where the bushings have been installed
and how well they have been maintained. Moisture ingress due to weather-related

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degradation around moisture seals is a particular cause of bushing failures. Generally,
bushings have a shorter life than the main internal components of power transformers.
The strategies to address the failure risk of all existing and new bushings is presented in
section 4.4 and subsection 4.2.2
Control and instrumentation systems
Defects in transformer control and instrumentation systems have been a significant cause of
transformer forced and fault outages.
Transformer control and monitoring systems on most older transformers have already been
replaced as a part of the historic transformer overhaul programme. The scope of work
typically included replacing the old mercury/reed switch Bucholz (Gas/oil operated) relays
with aseismic units, to avoid false operation during a seismic event.
Many older oil and winding temperature thermometers were inaccurate or faulty and were
replaced with modern temperature monitors.
The remaining ageing control systems present a significant risk of causing forced and fault
outages if no action is taken. Our strategy for managing this risk is outlined in
subsection 4.5.1.

Transformers with corrosive sulphur


The refining processes used to manufacture transformer oil have changed significantly over
the past 30 years. This has changed the constituents and characteristics of the oil.
Certain sulphur compounds in transformer oil can react with the copper (that is, windings
and busbars) or silver, causing metallic corrosion. This creates fine deposits that embed
within the paper insulation. The metallic deposits are conductive and, as a result, create a
conductive path that in turn lowers the dielectric strength of the paper insulation.
International experience has shown a number of documented cases of transformer failures
that are believed to be due to corrosive sulphur compounds contained in transformer oils.
The transformer oil industry now believes it has solved the issue as a result of changes to oil
refining processes. All transformers we have purchased since around 2007 have been tested
for corrosive sulphur to confirm none is present.
Transformers purchased between 2000 and 2006 are considered to be most at risk,
following the failure of transformers manufactured in the early 2000s. Tests of corrosive
sulphur in oil can be completed to assess the extent of the problem in each transformer.
However, it is difficult to predict whether a transformer will fail because of corrosive
sulphur. Latest international advice indicates that the transformers most at risk are units
that are either highly loaded (resulting in moderate to high internal oil temperatures), or
units with a lack of oxygen in the oil.
In 2009, we tested 13 transformers for the presence of corrosive sulphur (focusing on units
of high importance), and found evidence in 7 of them. International expert opinion remains
divided on the relationship between the extent of corrosive sulphur and the risk of a
transformer failure. We have not yet taken any specific steps to mitigate the risk that may
be caused by corrosive sulphur within these 7 transformers.
Three of the seven transformers found with corrosive sulphur are of most concern, because
of the severity of the corrosive sulphur and the criticality of the transformers. Our strategy
for dealing with these three transformers is set out in subsection 4.5.1.

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Fire risks
Transformer fire is a very low probability event, but the consequences are severe. Typical
installation arrangements for single-phase transformers are at increased risk because a fire
will spread quickly between the units and adjacent banks and equipment. There is less of a
risk of fire spread with modern three-phase units because the installation is designed to
incorporate fire walls or is spaced at greater distances.
In general, our policy is to install fire walls to provide protection against the effects of
transformer fire on adjacent equipment, where there is insufficient separation distance.
Firewalls not only protect adjacent transformers but also disconnectors, circuit breakers, bus
support posts, voltage transformers, current transformers and buildings. The highest risks
associated with transformer fire are in situations where two adjacent transformers provide
N-1 security for customer load. The installation of fire walls is aimed at preventing sustained
interruptions to customers, as well as saving other primary plant.
However, the retrofitting of fire walls between units of single phase banks is impractical, and
in some cases, the retrofitting of fire walls between complete banks of single phase
transformers is also impractical.
Oil filled power transformers are typically installed in a bunded area which will catch any
spilled oil and drain it into a tank extinguishing the burning oil. An oil fire in the bunded area
may take days to extinguish and can damage nearby equipment. Some older installations
have several banks of single-phase transformers all installed in a single bunded area, leading
to increased risk of fire spread and consequential damage.
New transformer installations can be provided with a range of risk mitigations that will help
manage the consequences of fire. Yet there are limited risk mitigations can be successfully
applied to the legacy population, particularly for single-phase transformer banks.

Lack of on-load tap changing capability


Many older single-phase transformers only have off-load tap selectors. The lack of on-load
tap changing capability on these transformers has led to the need for dispensations from
asset compliance requirements under the Electricity Industry Participation Code.
Transformers without on-load tap changers create constraints on the acceptable operating
range of primary system voltage that are much tighter than would be the case with on-load
tap changer transformer. In some locations, these constraints limit the flexibility of the
System Operator in managing the system, or are projected to do so, with future load growth.
These constraints can result in increased costs of operating the power system, particularly in
the provision of additional reactive support.
In some cases, the lack of on-load tap changer capability at a GXP leads to requirements for
short outages for temporary changes to off-load tap settings, prior to the removal from
service of a transmission circuit. This may be required by the System Operator to ensure
voltage remains within the target range during the transmission circuit outage. Changing the
off-load tap setting requires attendance on site.
Transmission circuits may be removed from service on a daily basis over an extended period
to enable major programmes of transmission line work, and this can lead to daily
requirements for changes to off-load tap settings. The attendance on site at the start and
end of each day is costly, and the frequent operation of the off-load tap selectors can lead to
unreliability. It also increases the exposure to the risk of HEIs.

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Double contingency events
The most serious risk arising from a major failure of a three-phase power transformer is that
a further failure occurs in the (typically) single remaining transformer before work can be
completed to restore security. Such double contingency events can lead to extended
interruptions to customers that cannot be quickly resolved.
Major internal repairs of three-phase transformers can take 6 to 18 months to complete,
and the lead time for transformer procurement is 12 to 24 months.
If the failure of the first unit involves an electrical fault, the remaining transformer may be
severely stressed by the passage of the fault current. In addition to the fault stress, the
remaining transformer in service will also be loaded with the full substation load. While the
transformer is rated for the full substation load, this may lead to increased ageing of the
transformer components or increased generation of dissolved gasses.
Supply transformer installations are typically a pair of identical transformers. Double-
contingency events may arise from a common cause.
Other less severe double-contingency events include the failure of a transformer during a
planned outage of a parallel transformer, leading to loss of supply until the parallel
transformer can be restored to service.

Asset knowledge
Asset knowledge is a critical input into asset management decisions. While our basic
transformer asset knowledge, such as the transformer age, make/model and external
condition is currently sufficient, there are some areas where we can improve. The following
are some asset knowledge issues we have identified.
 A portion of our asset management database is currently decentralised. In particular,
transformer test results, condition assessment reports and detailed maintenance
records are stored electronically in a variety of locations and are not always readily
accessible.
 Some transformer test results, such as DGA, are well maintained in the asset
management database, but there is a need to further capture SFRA, winding,
bushing, tap changer, control system and furans test results.
 We do not currently have a formal record of the volumes of oil used in topping up oil
levels in transformers.
 Asset information is currently deficient for auxiliary equipment. This includes the
makes and models, condition and age of pressure relief devices, cubicles and so on.
Transformers are also bespoke items and many parts and auxiliary equipment are not
common/standardised.
 Our data-gathering requirements need improvement to ensure that our various
service providers take a consistent approach to the coding and recording of asset
data.
 Photographic evidence of the external condition of the transformer is currently
lacking, so the condition is difficult to assess without specifically engaging the
maintenance service provider on site.
Our strategy for improving asset knowledge is set out in subsection 4.7.1.

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3 OBJECTIVES
Chapter 3 sets out asset management related objectives for the power transformer asset
fleet. As described in section 1.4, these objectives have been aligned with our corporate and
asset management policies, and higher-level asset management objectives and targets.
The overarching vision for our power transformer assets is to improve the overall
performance of transformers taking into account network criticality. Further objectives have
been defined in the five following areas:
 Safety
 Service performance
 Cost performance
 New Zealand communities
 Asset management capability.
These objectives are set out below, while the strategies to achieve them are discussed in
chapter 4.

3.1 Safety
We are committed to becoming a leader in safety by achieving injury-free workplaces for our
employees and to mitigating risks to the general public. Safety is a fundamental
organisational value and we consider that all incidents are preventable.
Recognising the reduced level of control we have in relation to public safety, we will take all
practicable steps to ensure Grid assets do not present a risk of serious harm to any member
of the public or significant damage to property.

Safety Objectives for Power Transformers

- No injuries/fatalities resulting from explosive failure of power transformers.


- No injuries/fatalities resulting from working in confined spaces in power
transformers.
- No injuries/fatalities resulting from working at heights on a power transformer.
- No injuries/fatalities resulting from electrocution while working on power
transformers.

3.2 Service Performance


Ensuring appropriate levels of service performance is a key underlying objective for us. We
have specified service performance in terms of Grid Performance (reliability) and Asset
Performance (availability) in our Asset Management Strategy.
Grid performance objectives state that a set of measures are to be met for Grid Exit Points
(GXPs) based on the criticality of the connected load. In addition, asset performance
objectives linked to system availability have been defined. These high-level objectives are
supported by a number of fleet specific objectives, and we will work towards these being
formally linked in the future.

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Service Performance Objectives for Power Transformers

- The 10-year rolling average major failure rate to be less than 0.3% each year.
- The forced and fault outage rate to be less than 7% each year.13
- Restore security of supply within one calendar month of a major failure occurring.

3.3 Cost Performance


Effective asset management requires optimising lifecycle asset costs while managing risks
and maintaining performance. We are committed to implementing systems and decision-
making processes that allow us to effectively manage the full lifecycle costs of our assets.
We have defined cost performance objectives in our Asset Management Strategy, including
a commitment to make asset management decisions that minimise whole-of-life costs for
the asset fleet and for the transmission system overall.

Cost Performance Objectives for Power Transformers

- Minimise whole-of-life transformer cost by taking into account cost of losses.


- Minimise maintenance cost via standardisation of transformer componentry.
- Minimise maintenance cost by high standards of corrosion control specification.

3.4 New Zealand Communities


Asset management activities associated with the power transformer asset fleet have the
potential to impact on both the environment and on the day-to-day lives of various
stakeholders. Relationships with landowners, communities and customers are of great
importance to us and we are committed to using asset management approaches that
protect the natural environment. Overarching environmental objectives have been
developed as part of the Asset Management Strategy. These include a need to achieve
greater than 90% compliance with Resource Management Act (RMA) 1991 environmental
requirements of RMA consents within one month of notification.

New Zealand Communities Objectives for Power Transformers

- No significant oil spills into the environment.


- No significant spread of oil fires from power transformers.
- Ensure all new power transformer installations are noise compliant with local council
bylaws.
- Noise pollution for existing power transformer installations is effectively managed
and minimised.
- Minimise damage to third-party properties.

13
The average forced and fault outage rate is about 7.5% over the last 5 years (removing the Christchurch earthquake
events). Given the replacement rate of single-phase transformers over RCP2, a 7% rate is considered appropriate.

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3.5 Asset Management Capability
We aim to be recognised as a leading asset management company. To achieve this, we have
set out a number of maturity and capability related objectives. These objectives have been
grouped under a number of processes and disciplines that include:
 Risk Management
 Asset Knowledge
 Training and Competency
 Continual Improvement and Innovation.
The rest of this section discusses objectives in these areas relevant to the power transformer
fleet.

3.5.1 Risk Management


Understanding and managing asset-related risk is essential to successful asset management.
We currently use asset criticality and asset health as a proxies for a fully modelled asset risk
approach.
Asset criticality is a key element of many asset management systems. We are currently at an
early stage of developing and implementing our criticality framework (see subsection 2.2.2)
to support asset management decisions. As discussed in subsection 2.2.4, we have
developed an asset health model for the power transformers fleet, which is an important
determinant of replacement requirements.
We are currently at an early stage of developing and implementing the models as we work
towards formal and consistent integration of asset criticality into the asset management
framework.

Risk Management Objectives for Power Transformers

- Incorporate asset criticality in the prioritisation of transformer replacements.


- Increase the frequency of assessment for critical assets.
- Seek improvements in health for high priority transformers
- Continual improvement of the transformer Asset Health Indices (AHI) model.

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3.5.2 Asset Knowledge
We are committed to ensuring that our asset knowledge standards are well defined to
ensure good asset management decisions. Relevant asset knowledge comes from a variety
of sources, including experience from assets on the Grid, and information from the
manufacturers. This asset knowledge must be captured and recorded in such a way that it
can be conveniently accessed.

Asset Knowledge Objectives for Power Transformers

- Develop a transformer corrosion model.


- Develop a bushing overhaul/replacement model.
- Develop an on-load tap changer overhaul model.
- Accurate recording and frequent maintenance of asset information.

3.5.3 Training and Competency


We are committed to developing and retaining the right mix of talented, competent and
motivated staff to improve our asset management capability.

Training and Competency Objective for Power Transformers

- Engage overseas specialists to resolve issues with specific tap changer makes and
models.

3.5.4 Continual Improvement and Innovation


Continual improvement and innovation are important aspects of asset management. A large
source of continual improvement initiatives will be ongoing learning from our asset
management experience.

Continual Improvement and Innovation Objectives for Power Transformers

- Improve existing procedures and practices via the use of new materials, diagnostic
devices or techniques.
- Maintain awareness of good international procedures and practices in transformer
management, and evaluate new initiatives for possible adoption.

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4 STRATEGIES
Chapter 4 sets out the fleet specific strategies for the management of the power
transformer asset fleet. These strategies are designed to support the achievement of the
objectives in chapter 3. They reflect the characteristics, issues and risks identified in
chapter 2 and provide medium-term to long-term guidance and direction for asset
management decisions. The strategies are aligned with our lifecycle strategies below and the
chapter has been drafted to be read in conjunction with them:
 Planning Lifecycle Strategy
 Delivery Lifecycle Strategy
 Operations Lifecycle Strategy
 Maintenance Lifecycle Strategy
 Disposal Lifecycle Strategy
This chapter also discusses personnel and service provider capability related strategies which
cover asset knowledge, training and competence.

Scope of strategies
The strategies focus on expenditure that is planned to occur over the RCP2 period (2015–
2020), but also include expenditure from 1 July 2013 to the start of the RCP2 period and
some expenditure after the RCP2 period (where relevant). Capex planned for the RCP2
period is covered by the strategies in sections 4.1 and 4.2, while opex is covered by the
strategies in sections 4.3 to 4.6. The majority of capex relates to asset replacement, as
described in subsection 4.1.3.

4.1 Planning
This section describes the strategies for the Planning Lifecycle for the power transformer
asset fleet. It identifies where and how these strategies support the higher-level lifecycle
strategies and objectives for the overall fleet.

Planning activities
The planning lifecycle is primarily concerned with identifying the need to make capital
investments in the asset fleet. The main types of investment considered for this fleet are:
 enhancement and development
 replacement and refurbishment
 customer-driven projects
 spares acquisition.
We support these activities through a number of processes, including:
 Integrated Works Planning (IWP)
 cost estimation.

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Capital investment drivers
Categories of capital investment generally have specific drivers or triggers that are derived
from the state of the overall system or from individual power transformers. These drivers
include demand growth, safety, compliance with grid reliability standards, technology
change and failure risk (indicated by asset criticality and health measures).
The strategies below consider the long-term implications for these drivers as we extend our
planning horizon as part of our programme of asset management improvement.

4.1.1 Enhancement and Development


Commissioning of new or upgraded transformers is driven primarily by load growth
exceeding the capability of current assets.
Other important drivers for power transformer fleet investments include security of supply,
redundancy, and fleet standardisation. These are discussed in further detail below.

System growth

Ensure that the transformer fleet is managed to ensure compliance with grid
reliability standards in support of our objectives and procure and install new
transformers to enable system growth.

Our Annual Planning Report (APR) considers the latest generation and demand forecasts for
the upcoming 10-year period. During the planning process, we assess the capability of the
transmission network against these forecasts to identify the Grid investments needed to
meet the grid reliability standards, or which provide a net electricity market benefit. The APR
summarises planned and possible upgrades of interconnection and connection assets,
including power transformers.
For new or upgraded interconnection transformer assets with an expected cost greater than
$20m, a Major Capex proposal will be prepared and submitted for approval. For new or
upgraded interconnection transformer assets with an expected cost less than $20m, an
enhancement or development project is established under Base Capex. The process includes
consulting customers and applying investment tests.

4.1.2 Replacement and Refurbishment


This subsection describes replacement and refurbishment strategies for the power
transformer fleet. Replacement is expenditure to replace substantially all of an asset.
Refurbishment is expenditure on an asset that creates a material extension to the end of life
of the asset. It does not improve its attributes. This is distinct from maintenance work, which
is carried out to ensure that an asset is able to perform its designated function for its normal
life expectancy. Specific interventions have been defined for power transformer assets
based on an assessment of AHI and informed by relative criticality. These interventions and
their rationale are set out below.

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Replacement strategies
Power transformer replacements

Replace single-phase and three-phase transformers with more reliable new


three-phase units based on failure risk.

Our power transformer replacement strategy is to replace a number of transformers that


have been identified as requiring replacement during RCP2 primarily due to their relatively
high risk of failure as indicated by poor asset health. The main factors that have been
considered when assessing transformers for replacement are included in the power
transformers asset health model (see subsection 2.2.4). A broader qualitative description of
the risks and issues considered is provided in subsection 2.3.4. The identification of
transformers to be replaced has also included consideration of other factors, including
strategic timing such as undertaking a range of capital works simultaneously at one site
(such as the various projects planned for the Kinleith substation during RCP2).
Replacing these risk-prone transformers will result in reduced failures, outages,
maintenance costs, environmental impact, and safety risk.
Replacement economic justification
A high-level cost-benefit analysis has been conducted to estimate the economically optimal
age for replacement of a typical 220 kV single-phase transformer, and compare Net Present
Value (NPV) costs with a ‘run-to-failure’ strategy. This study is summarised in Appendix D.
The costs and benefits taken into account in the study include capital costs, maintenance
costs, transmission losses and unserved energy from major failures or repairable failures on
the parallel branch. The analysis shows that it is better to replace a transformer at a certain
age than to allow it to run to failure, even before the less easily quantified effects are
considered.
The predicted optimum age for replacement depends on the analysis assumptions, but is
around 60 years. This is similar to, or slightly higher than, the nominal life expectancy used in
other jurisdictions. The NPV of costs of the replacement policy are approximately 5% lower
than those of ‘run-to-failure’. The NPV and optimum age for replacement should be taken as
conservative because the less easily quantified risks all favour earlier replacement.
Prioritisation of transformer replacements
A broad risk management approach is required for making decisions about prioritising
transformer replacement. This should take into account system criticality, fleet-wide
experience, individual condition assessment information, GXP performance and availability
of matching spares. A fleet replacement plan has been developed that will schedule
replacement of transformers based on multiple criteria including:
 criticality
 asset health and the unit’s contribution to fleet AHI (that is, units with high moisture
and high loading, defective tap changers, defective bushing models, and so on)
 a focus on aged, single-phase transformers given their high maintenance costs and
relatively high forced and fault rates
 priority given to older 220 kV transformers given the higher likelihood for winding
failures from high-voltage stresses

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 spares coverage (that is, single-phase on site spare, three-phase strategic spare or
mobile substation)
 consideration of overall site strategy
 historic GXP performance and targets.
Programme cost
The costs of transformer replacement are estimated on a case-by-case basis using our
process for customised cost estimation. This approach is used rather than volumetric
forecasting because of the large-scale unit costs and because of the significant differences
between sites. Further details on the cost forecasting process are provided in subsection
4.1.5.
Our plan for the RCP2 period includes 28 single-phase transformer replacements and
2 three-phase transformer replacements. The total costs of transformer replacements are
estimated to be about $106.2m14 during the RCP2 period.
Impact of replacement strategy
Figure 12 shows the effect of the asset management plan15 on the forecast asset health of
the power transformer fleet.
The asset health is forecast to improve significantly over the period to 2020, with the
proportion of ‘Now Due’ reducing from 11% to 5%.

Figure 12: Transformers Forecast Asset Health

Benefits of modern three-phase transformers


Modern three-phase power transformers are manufactured based on computer aided
designs (CAD) that have been refined considerably in recent years with improved materials,
manufacturing processes and testing techniques. As a consequence, modern transformers
are considerably smaller, lighter, quieter and more efficient than their older counterparts.
They also have higher through-fault strength as CAD allow for significantly higher
electromagnetic forces (generated by fault currents) than that used in empirical designs.
Our strategy to replace poor performing units with new three-phase units that also improve
the environmental impact because three-phase transformers have less acoustic noise
emissions compared with their older single-phase equivalents. Newer transformers are also
less likely to leak oil.

14
See the Power Transformers Asset Management Plan for additional details.
15
This includes replacement, enhancement, development and divestment projects in the period 2013/14 to 2019/20.

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Refurbishment strategies
Transformer mid-life overhauls and refurbishment

Do not undertake mid-life transformer overhauls during the RCP2 period.

Transformer refurbishments or mid-life overhauls can be alternatives to capital


replacement.
As outlined in subsection 2.2.3, we have completed a programme of major overhauls on the
majority of our single-phase transformers. The main purpose of this programme was not to
achieve a material extension of the nominal life expectancy of the transformer,16 but rather
to reduce ongoing maintenance requirements, reduce the rate of forced and fault outages,
and mitigate some potentially serious modes of failure that could cause the transformer to
fail to achieve its nominal life expectancy.17 This overhaul programme is now essentially
complete.
There may be further scope to undertake refurbishment work that will achieve material life-
extension for some units in our ageing fleet. However, there a number of factors that need
careful consideration before we can make a refurbishment decision.
 The amount of extended transformer remaining life, should a refurbishment be
undertaken, is very difficult to determine with confidence.
 The original design of a transformer is an important factor, as the merits of
refurbishment depend on the robustness of the original design. It may not be
prudent to refurbish a transformer with latent design defects that could subsequently
cause an unexpected failure.
 Three-phase transformers are generally much bigger, contain more oil and are more
difficult and costly to transport than the older single-phase units. Depending on the
location of the transformer site, it may be very expensive to transport the unit to a
workshop for refurbishment.
 If the transformer is to be removed from site for an extended period, it will usually be
necessary to provide a temporary transformer to maintain security. The costs of
mobilising and installing a temporary transformer may be prohibitive.
 Establishing a standardised refurbishment programme is quite difficult as our
transformer fleet consists of ‘bespoke’ transformers.
Based on the considerations listed above, we have decided not to plan for any programme
of workshop-based transformer overhauls or refurbishment in the RCP2 period. Remedial
works will generally only be undertaken in-situ.

4.1.3 Customer Connections


In addition to enhancement and renewal works we also plan installations of transformers for
new or enhanced customer points of connection. These are subject to bilateral contracting
arrangements and are not, in general, funded through the regulatory regime. In this respect
our customers include:
16
A material extension to original design life expectancy is a requirement, if the work is to be classified as refurbishment
and treated as capex.
17
The overhaul programme delivered many improvements in performance, but was unable to address some of the
fundamental reliability risks and issues resulting from the basic design and manufacture of the units.

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 generation companies – those that inject energy into the Grid
 distributors – those that take energy off the Grid to distribute to consumers
 large industrial companies – those that take energy directly off the Grid.

Customer consultation

Communicate our transformer strategies with relevant customers to manage


life-time risk.

We have specified a number of standard transformers to be used in future replacement


works. If the use of these models presents issues for customers, the impacts (such as spares
holding and security requirements) will be discussed with customers during the consultation
process.

4.1.4 Integrated Works Planning


Our capital governance process – IWP – includes the creation of business cases that track
capital projects through three approval gates, with the scope and cost estimates becoming
more accurate as the project becomes more refined.
The IWP process integrates capex across a moving window of up to 10 years in the future.
This optimisation approach seeks to ensure that works are delivered and undertaken in an
efficient and timely manner. Planning of all power transformer works takes into
consideration relevant site strategies, required outages and resources, and any potential
synergies with other projects. In particular, when seeking to optimise power transformer
works we take the following factors into account:
 supply transformer replacement works are to be co-ordinated with 33 kV outdoor to
indoor switchgear conversion projects where practicable
 customer supply outages should be avoided/minimised (that is, provide interim
supply connections while assembling/building a new transformer or build the new
transformer on a greenfield location)
 coordinate transformer replacement work with major customer project works
 ensure network security is maintained taking into account other projects occurring at
the same time as the transformer replacement (we typically use a system project
overview process to identify security risks and conflicts)
 coordinate other protection upgrade work with transformer protection works (this
may potentially reduce outages).
Many older substations have three or more relatively low-rated power transformers in
parallel. When one or more of these are due for replacement, we consider whether or not to
replace them with two higher-rated power transformers.
Some transformer replacements identified as a result of the replacement strategy may be
implemented:
 via ‘customer-led’ supply point upgrades
 in response to load growth and the need to preserve N-1 security
 via approved major capital projects.

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The IWP process will ensure that these various investment streams are aligned using a
whole-of-site coordination and prioritisation approach.

Customer-initiated transformer replacements

Align customer-driven transformer replacements with condition-based


replacements as appropriate.

Customer-driven projects are subject to differing drivers that are not as predictable as other
transformer works. To accommodate customer requirements while balancing workload for
other transformer replacement projects, we will seek to align condition-based replacement
works with customer-driven transformer replacements to the extent practicable.

4.1.5 Cost Estimation


Cost estimation is a key stage of the capital investment process and forms a critical input
into planning and is required at various stages in the planning process. Historically, cost
estimates for power transformers were developed using proprietary systems. This has now
transitioned to our central cost estimation team, which uses the cost estimation tool
Transpower Enterprise Estimation System (TEES).
TEES is used to make initial high-level cost estimates using volumetric forecasting and to
record customised cost estimates for large individual projects. We have established
positions of Project Engineer and Project Cost Engineer, which will support the feedback
loop of pricing for capital works. We aim to achieve P50 cost estimates.18 The rationale
behind this aim and further detail regarding our cost estimation processes is provided in the
Planning Lifecycle Strategy.

P50 project cost estimation

Scope and estimate project works to a P50 confidence level (that is, the
estimate is based on a 50% probability that the cost will not be exceeded).

Transformer installations (whether greenfield or replacement works) will have elements that
are unique to each particular project. This reduces the extent to which historic project costs
can be relied on to forecast future projects. Transformer projects also involve relatively large
investments which if inaccurately estimated can lead to large cost overruns and delays.
Therefore the cost for each transformer replacement or new transformer has been
estimated individually, taking into account the specific context, risks, and requirements of
the transformer and the installation site using the customised cost estimation process.19
A key requirement for an accurate customised cost estimate is to establish a site-specific
scope of work. To determine the scope, a design layout drawing is developed for each
project. The likely location of the replacement transformer will be determined from a
desktop review of aerial photographs, site layout drawings, underground services drawings,
and available cable corridors for the new low-voltage cables. This assessment provides
reasonably accurate estimates for the numerous variable quantities of materials and work
(such as switchyard extension area, new fencing, new bay(s), power and control cabling,
outdoor junction boxes, oil containment, lighting, lightning poles, fire walls, and so on).

18
P50 means that there is a 50% probability of the actual cost being below the estimate.
19
This assessment is later refined via a Solution Study Report investigation that informs the BC3.

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One key challenge for cost estimating power transformer installations are the civil and
earthworks costs. There have been cases where the ground conditions were not expected to
be difficult until after the service providers began excavation. This risk can be mitigated by
geotechnical investigations, but cannot be removed completely. At this high-level cost
estimate stage, we take into account sites with historically known problematic ground
conditions and include a risk adjustment (discussed below) to mitigate the estimation risk.
Assumptions
With every new transformer installation, an appropriate size transformer is selected from a
set of 18 standard transformer sizes. Each new installation is priced to include earthing
transformers, neutral earthing resistors, local service transformers and auto changeover
schemes. Interconnector transformers are priced with the appropriate overhead conductor
and gantry quantities, while supply transformers are priced with low-voltage incomer cables
and associated accessories. The hardware cost is estimated based on prices from the current
transformer supply panel agreement.
Further assumptions in developing the estimates include:
 works will be priced based on the new transformer being built and pre-commissioned
with the existing transformer in service (that is, a new bay if required and associated
primary plant)
 transformer plinths/bunds will be to the current standard, and sized to take the
associated system spare transformer
 transformer low-voltage cables will be sized to match the full rating of the
transformer (and all new cables back to the indoor switchboard or existing outdoor
yard).
In addition to the primary equipment and construction costs, a number of additional factors
have the potential to impact the project cost. These include:
 consenting and environmental costs
 underground services (which may require relocation)
 number of outages expected (which may require additional outage planning and
switching costs).
These issues are considered for each individual site to assess whether they need to be
included.
Estimation sources
We currently use the TEES US cost estimation tool as a ‘price-book’ for individual costs and
unit rates. These component costs are based on historic, specific manufacturer quotes and
period supply cost data. The transformer plant and installation costs have been determined
by period supply contracts currently in place and historic installation costs respectively.
Historically, both these cost elements have been quite accurate. The civil and earthworks
costs are currently determined by a unit rate that has been extrapolated from historic costs.
Installation costs have been informed by similar previous projects, identified risks, and
updated with current budget prices from installation service providers and the specific
context of each transformer site. The main assumptions used for defining the scope of the
projects to estimate the costs are set out below.

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Risk adjustments

Reflect identified risks in expected cost for projects.

One key determinant of accurate cost estimates for capital projects is managing scope risk.
As part of its customised cost estimation process for transformers, we have developed a
specific risk estimation approach. We use this approach to determine the need for and
magnitude of any risk adjustments to be applied to individual cost items.
The cost items to be considered will vary by project given the specific site conditions and
equipment scope. In general, the main cost items that we risk adjust for include:
 cable lengths based on transformer position
 geotechnical/ground condition potential need for ground improvements, piling, and
so on
 excavation requirements and the potential for contaminated soil.
We have developed three typical scope ranges for each individual line item. Each range has
three estimates for the ‘Minimum’, ‘Most Likely’ and ‘Maximum’ value. Using these ranges,
we have derived a P50 estimate using a PERT20 distribution. The adjustment is based on
likely quantities, as scope has tended to be the most significant variance on this type of work
and we are reasonably comfortable with potential unit rate variances.
Further information on our approach to risk estimation is included in the Planning Lifecycle
Strategy.

4.2 Delivery
Once planning activities are completed, capex projects move into the Delivery Lifecycle.
Delivery activities are described in detail in the Delivery Lifecycle Strategy. The following
discussion focuses on delivery issues that are specific to the transformer fleet.

4.2.1 Design
Detailed design is undertaken during the delivery phase21 of the investment process by
design consultants from a pool of preferred specialist consultants. The consultants will take
the following six points into consideration.
 Transformers are very heavy pieces of equipment (can weigh up to 300 tons). The
foundation design must therefore take into account site specific ground conditions to
ensure ground settlement is not an issue. The foundation will also need to fully
comply with earthquake standards appropriate to the New Zealand environment,
which are higher than many other countries.
 It is critical that every effort is made to ensure that designs respond fully to the
environmental conditions, to avoid problems (such as corrosion) that can lead to oil
leaks, increased maintenance costs and premature end of life (or even failure).

20
Programme Evaluation and Review Technique – see the Planning Lifecycle Strategy for a discussion on how this has
been used.
21
While design activities are undertaken during the Planning Lifecycle, the majority of detailed design takes place as part
of the Delivery Lifecycle.

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 An assessment is required of the need for firewalls to be erected around
transformers where there is a fire risk to personnel and adjacent plant and
buildings.22
 We keep spare transformers in terms of the foundation design and primary
connections.
 We use standard transformer installation designs.
 Existing or new underground structures (such as cable tunnels and drainage) are
reinforced where transformer access is required over the underground structure.

Transformer specification

Standardise transformer specification to limit the diversity in the fleet.

Major power transformers are bespoke items, and there are typically only a few units
manufactured for each design. The wide diversity in the existing fleet is a significant driver of
increased maintenance cost and risk.
New transformers will be specified based on standard designs and footprints wherever
practical, and use standard components such as tap changers and bushings. Although
competition for the supply of transformers is required to maintain commercial tension, all
reasonable efforts must be made to limit diversity during the design process. Table 9 lists
the standard design ratings that we have adopted.
Function Voltage Ratio MVA Rating
Interconnecting 220/110/11 kV 250 150 100
220/66/11 kV 250 180
Supply 220/33 kV 120
(see note below) 220/11 kV *
110/33 kV 120 75/85 60 40
110/11 kV 20 10
66/11 kV 40
*Mainly for special industrial customers, rated as required
Table 9: Design Ratings – Power Transformers

Standard ratings were considered for all supply transformers, but because of customer
requirements and the low number of likely purchases we deemed it impractical to set
standard ratings for all future power transformers.
No standard 110/11 kV supply transformers over 20 MVA have been detailed because
transformers rated above this rating are customer specific due to such factors as fault-level
limitations within the customers networks.

Firewalls between existing power transformers

Where practicable, retrofit fire walls between closely spaced power


transformers rated 20 MVA or more with a criticality rating of ‘high’.

22
See Service Advisory TP.DS 61.06 SA1 – Firewalls for outdoor power transformers, dated 2 September 2011.

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We will retrofit firewall protection on some existing at-risk single-phase and three-phase
transformer installations. This requires a highly detailed examination of the physical spacing
in air between units, the foundation pad oil bunding of each unit, the common oil piping
shared between units, the shared oil interception facilities and the various shared power
cable trenches that may allow burning oil to flow from one unit to another in the event of a
single unit catching fire.
However, at some sites, the transformers are spaced so closely to each other, or to other
equipment, that it is difficult or impractical to install firewalls.
Fifteen sites with 43 existing transformer banks must have fire walls fitted. This work is due
to be completed during the RCP1 period.

Transformer site design

Future proof transformer site designs and layouts.

We will future proof transformer site designs and layouts by proactively considering likely
future requirements and current requirements. This may involve:
 ensuring the transformer bunded area has sufficient space to account for:
o future strategic spares and future larger transformers
o future firewalls that may be required
 site oil interception and containment systems are sufficient to contain oil for future
transformers.

On-line dissolved gas analysis monitoring

Provide online dissolved gas analysis monitoring equipment for all new
transformers with a criticality rating of ‘high’.

Experience in New Zealand and elsewhere has shown two main benefits of providing online
dissolved gas analysis.
 Online dissolved gas monitors can trigger a removal of a transformer in distress from
service before major failure occurs. There are clear operational and safety benefits in
being able to plan for urgent removal, rather than have a sudden forced outage
occur.
 In some cases, destructive power faults within the transformers may be avoided.
There are a number of points to consider before installing online dissolved gas monitoring
on the fleet. An online monitor can provide advanced warning of serious internal
deterioration. However, this warning may not necessarily provide a significant reduction in
the ultimate costs of the fault. Following the indication of serious internal defects emerging,
costly contingency measures, such as installing strategic spares, may still be required to
restore security.
Overall, there is limited value from widespread installation of online monitors to existing
transformers. Therefore, the installation of online monitors will be limited to all high-
criticality transformers and problematic transformers as required.

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4.2.2 Procurement
For more details of our general approach to procurement, see ‘The Sourcing, Supply &
Contracts Approach (2011)’ and the Delivery Lifecycle Strategy.
Procurement issues relevant to the power transformer fleet during the RCP2 period are set
out below.

Procurement risk

Mitigate risk in procurement through the detailed technical and economic


analysis of the tender and contract documentation.

The analysis of major power transformer failures over the past 30 years clearly indicates that
the root cause of failure is latent design and/or manufacturing errors. Theses failures have
generally occurred during the mid-life of the transformer. So it is essential that we take all
practical steps to mitigate risks at the procurement stage.
Power transformers cannot be considered as ‘ex-catalogue’ items. They are bespoke and
therefore considerable risk can arise with each design. The materials and manufacturing
methods used to build the transformer are also continuously evolving so that the
manufacturer can reduce or minimise costs – this builds in additional manufacturing risk
with every new power transformer purchased.
The present risk management practice for power transformers includes:
 purchase only from three pre-qualified power transformer suppliers with a proven
track record
 perform a design review at the manufacturer’s premises after award of a contract
(see specific strategy below)
 perform qualified inspection during key manufacturing stages and final factory
acceptance testing of the power transformer
 continually review and periodically audit the performance of the pre-qualified
suppliers
 continuously review the performance of the consultants and inspectors hired to
assist with the design review, manufacturing inspections and witnessing of final
factory acceptance testing.
All these risk mitigation activities should continue. The benefits of these activities include:
 reduced risk of factory test failures and delays prior to delivery to the site
 reduced risk of premature failures on site
 reduced maintenance requirements as the transformer ages
 better performance during emergency overload conditions and system faults
 higher asset utilisation potential over the life of the transformer.

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Component designs

Standardise component specification to limit diversity in the fleet.

Based on our historic failures and experience, there is a need to further specify the design
for individual components in a transformer. Transformer bushings and tap changers are the
main cause of transformer forced and fault outages. These two main components are
standardised for new transformer specifications and the rationale is described below:
Bushings
As identified in subsection 2.2.3, resin bonded paper bushings are not reliable and have a
high failure rate. This type of bushing is no longer used in modern transformer design. Resin
impregnated (RIP) bushings with silicone sheds were introduced in the early 2000s.
A RIP bushing uses resin impregnated paper as solid insulation and contains no oil. It
therefore presents a greatly reduced fire risk compared with previous oil filled technology.
The reliability of RIP bushings is good, based on international experience and our own short
experience, and they have recently been adopted as our standard requirement.
As described in subsection 2.2.1, bushings made of porcelain have a risk of ejecting sharp
pieces of porcelain in the event of a bushing failure. Our standard specification now requires
bushings using RIP and with silicone sheds.
Tap changers
As described in subsection 2.3.4, tap changer diversity is an issue in terms of requiring a vast
knowledge base for tap changer maintenance. The strategy to address this risk on all new
power transformers we have purchased is to accept a small number of standard type tap
changers from only the two best manufacturers in the world. These two manufacturers also
have a worldwide ability to service and repair their tap changers with their own skilled
personnel in the event of a failure at site.
Other components
Other transformer componentry we are standardising on are online DGA monitoring
equipment and using a particular manufacturer of high-quality oil pumps. The supporting
rationale is noted below.
 We have standardised online DGA monitoring equipment (including SCADA and
communications hardware) to reduce complications associated with different makes
and types.
 We have standardised on a particular manufacturer of high-quality oil pumps for all
our modern power transformers, because of the need for high reliability. Although oil
pumps are generally very reliable, standardisation will improve interchangeability in
the event of a fault.

Detailed design reviews

Ensure that design reviews are undertaken during design and manufacturing
processes.

Power transformers for transmission applications cannot be considered as ‘ex-catalogue’


items. They are customised, and therefore considerable risk can arise with each new design.
Even with a proven design, risk can arise in the manufacturing process if there are

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unacceptable departures from the design, or unsatisfactory materials are employed. Design
reviews make a significant contribution to managing the risk of major failure. Benefits of
design reviews include:
 minimising the risk and subsequent cost of electrical failures, either in factory testing
(leading to rework and delivery delays), or more seriously, major failures at site,
possibly leading to loss of supply to end consumers
 minimising accelerated degradation of oil and insulation, and reducing future
maintenance and repair costs
 allowing future operational overloading to be undertaken with confidence, and
providing maximum utilisation of the asset with minimal risk of premature failures
and problems resulting from such use.

4.2.3 Construction
The construction phase of an asset’s lifecycle is a significant determinant of quality and is
characterised by particular safety risks. So our project management of construction projects
is very important, and given substantial support and focus. To support the reduction of
construction risks, we maintain a ‘lessons learned’ register for all construction projects that
is fed back into how we manage future projects.
During the construction phase, it is standard practice for our project team to hold regular
meetings with the service provider (together with the design team as appropriate) to
address any construction issues and risks. Some of these issues and risks may need to be
considered before actual construction begins and are addressed as part of the initial
workshops. These workshops identify issues and risks associated with constructability,
environmental, Safety by Design, operation and any required outages.
These construction issues and risks will need to be covered off on a site-specific, basis but in
general may consider the following:
 transformer delivery to site – for example, temporarily widening roads for the
transformer trailer when you need to ensure roads and bridges can handle axle load
of transformer and truck, and checking clearances to transmission lines and road
access from port to substation
 construction access
 construction security – for example, temporary construction fences may need to be
erected to prevent theft of materials and equipment
 excavation – confirming that existing foundation capacities are not compromised by
the new excavation, and taking extra care when excavating around areas where
underground services are suspected to be not shown on maps or drawings
 proximity to live equipment during construction
 contingency planning is done throughout the whole construction process
 extreme weather conditions
 outage planning.

4.2.4 Commissioning
Commissioning is the process of bringing new or reinstalled equipment under the system
controller’s normal real-time operational control of the power system. A commissioning plan

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is prepared well in advance to draw together all the necessary resources and ensure the
system operator’s needs are met. Pre-commissioning checks and commissioning supervision
will help maintain a high success rate at commissioning.
Commissioning will often involve outages or system constraints to allow the project to be
brought online. This will be followed by further testing to check whether the completed
project is operating correctly.

Pre-commissioning testing

Test transformers prior to commissioning to ensure outage durations and


system implications are minimised.

Completion of all pre-operational tests of the transformer, accessories, and in particular the
cooling system, is essential as these items are critical components that allow the
transformer to operate correctly and safely while in service. The main items to be checked
prior to livening include:
 main transformer diagnostic tests: ratio tests, bushing power factor tests etc.
completed as per the manufacturers requirements and the service specification
SS.04.60
 transformer accessories checked and functional tests completed: checking of
Bucholz relay, pressure relief device, and so on
 cooling system operation: fans/pumps operate in ‘manual’ and ‘auto’
 electronic Winding Temperature Indicator (WTI): settings applied and WTI tested to
confirm correct winding temperature calculations and correctly starting/stopping the
fans/pumps.
 visual checks: sight checks of equipment (such as ensuring radiator valves are open,
and there are no oil leaks).

4.3 Operation
The Operation Lifecycle phase for asset management relates to planning and real-time
functions. Operational activities undertaken are described in detail in the Operations
Lifecycle Strategy. The following discussion focuses on operational issues that are specific to
transformer assets.

4.3.1 Outage Planning


Power system outages for scheduled maintenance, unscheduled maintenance, and
replacements must be planned meticulously to minimise disruption to customers.

Outage planning – power transformers

Plan and manage outages in a way that creates a safe environment for
employees while minimising the disruption for customers.

We coordinate with key stakeholders to ensure that any unavoidable system disruption and
outages are notified well in advance so affected parties can prepare. This aligns with our
service performance objectives.

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Mobile substations

Ensure mobile substation at N security sites can be deployed in a timely


manner.

The majority of sites are designed with N-1 security, and this allows outages to be arranged
for maintenance with reasonable flexibility. However, we also have a number of small
capacity N security sites.
Outage planning at the N security sites is often highly constrained, because an outage leads
to an interruption of supply to customers. To minimise impact on customers, maintenance
must be completed in a very short timeframe. This often results in only priority maintenance
being completed, and carries the risk of jobs being rushed.
Most N security sites have a primary operating voltage of 110 kV, but some sites operate at
N security at 220 kV, 66 kV and 33 kV.
To mitigate the difficulties of maintenance and replacement works at N security sites, we
have designed and built a 110/33-22-11 kV, 15 MVA mobile substation. This provides an
alternative means of supply that will allow for extended outages at the 110 kV primary
voltage N security sites.
Efficient placement and connection of the mobile substation requires enabling works at
some sites.
Subject to case-by-case agreement with the customer, we will undertake enabling works at
110 kV N security sites to allow prompt deployment of the mobile substation.

4.3.2 Contingency Planning


The transmission network provides a critical infrastructure service for New Zealand. Failure
of the transmission service leads to an immediate impact on end consumers and can result
in large costs of disruption to economic and social activity. Some transmission asset failures
can present serious safety hazards for employees and members of the public, or result in
environmental damage. So it is essential that we have plans in place for responding
promptly and effectively to transmission system incidents and emergency situations.
Contingency planning for power transformers focuses on reviewing and maintaining the
holdings of spares and to ensure an adequate level of emergency preparedness.
No provision in the power transformer spares strategy is made for:
 simultaneous failures of multiple transformers at one or more sites
 generic problems or unexpected increases in future failure rates.
Simultaneous failures of multiple transformers at one or more sites may happen during
infrequent but major events such as an earthquake or similar natural disaster. This is of
particular concern with banks of single-phase transformers as the spares are mostly installed
on-site, such that a major natural disaster could compromise the spares and the operational
units. Yet transformers are installed with seismic restraints that are designed for local site
conditions.
The priority for urgent response following a major catastrophe will be limited to immediately
restoring sufficient power for emergency services until such time an investigation has been
carried out to prioritise further areas for supply restoration.

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Security of supply restoration

Restore security of supply within one calendar month of a major failure


occurring.

Our objective for contingency planning is to be able to restore full security of supply within
one calendar month of the major failure of a power transformer.
We have a number of new three-phase spare transformers, dedicated spare transformers
for single-phase banks, and other used transformers that are potentially available as spares.
However, transporting and installing a spare transformer at sites not designed for the spare
transformer may present challenges because of the bespoke nature of most transformer
installations. The 1-month restoration target may be difficult to achieve at sites that require
a new foundation, controls, or bus work.
To ensure that the contingency planning target can be achieved, deployment plans are
required that set out the process and resources required to mobilise and install a spare
transformer. The highest priority requirements are for deployment plans for the dedicated
three-phase strategic spare transformers.
We will complete the preparation of deployment plans on a site-by-site basis, prioritised by
criticality.

Strategic spare transformers

Maintain a fleet of strategic spare transformers to provide coverage for the


three-phase transformer fleet.

We carry a range of strategic spare transformers to allow us to restore system security


following major failures. A summary of the strategic spares is given in Table 4 on page 11.
The ratings and numbers of strategic spare three-phase power transformers are based on
18 standard transformer designs. It is expected that approximately 70% of transformers
procured over the next 10 years will be standard transformers (subject to customer
requirements). The fleet of strategic three-phase spares now provides coverage for 98% of
our entire present and expected future three-phase transformer fleet. Some key issues
associated with the management of the spare transformers include:
 as the fleet becomes more standardised, over the long term the need for diverse
spares will reduce
 spares will be distributed based on the types and numbers of the transformers in the
region
 strategic three-phase transformer spares will be stored at transformer parks located
at Bunnythorpe and Islington
 other three-phase transformer spares will be stored at warehouses at Otahuhu,
Bunnythorpe and Addington
 site specific single and three-phase transformer spares will be stored on site.
The emergency installation of three-phase spare transformers at existing sites is not
necessarily straightforward because of the wide diversity of existing installation designs. A
move to standardise the transformer foundation pads to facilitate easy replacement is being
considered.

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New transformer installations will be designed so that the corresponding strategic spare unit
can fit onto the transformers replacement foundation pad if the need arises.
The make, type and ratings of on-load tap changers are extremely diverse and we have
implemented a policy to standardise tap changers. As the numbers grow, we will consider
purchasing a spare unit for the common types.

Replacement of strategic spares

Recover or initiate replacement of strategic spare within 2 years of


deployment.

When a strategic spare transformer is deployed, there is a significant increase in the risk
profile associated with all remaining transformers that were previously covered by the
deployed spare. The risk cover for the remaining power transformers should be restored as
soon as is reasonably practicable. Strategic spares will either be recovered within 2 years (via
repair or replacement of the original failed transformer), or, alternatively, we will procure a
replacement strategic spare.

4.4 Maintenance
We and our service providers carry out ongoing works to maintain assets in an appropriate
condition and to ensure that they operate as required. The maintenance undertaken seeks
to proactively manage failure risk as well as responding to actual failures as these occur. Our
approach to maintenance and the activities we undertake are described in detail in the
Maintenance Lifecycle Strategy.
We classify maintenance tasks into the following categories:
 preventive maintenance
- condition assessments
- servicing
 corrective maintenance
- fault response
- repairs
 maintenance projects.
The following discussion focuses on maintenance activities and associated strategies specific
to the power transformer fleet.

4.5 Preventive Maintenance


Preventive maintenance is work undertaken on a scheduled basis to ensure the continued
safety and integrity of assets and to compile condition information for subsequent analysis
and planning. Preventive maintenance is generally our most regular asset intervention, so it
is important in terms of providing feedback of information into the overall asset
management system. Being the most common physical interaction with assets, it is also a
potential source of safety incidents and human error. The main activities undertaken are
listed below.

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 Inspections: non-intrusive checks to confirm safety and integrity of assets, assess
fitness for service, and identify follow up work.
 Condition Assessments: activities performed to monitor asset condition or predict
the remaining life of the asset.
 Servicing: routine tasks performed on the asset to ensure asset condition is
maintained at an acceptable level.
We intend to implement the following preventive maintenance on our power transformer
fleet in support of our objectives stated in chapter 3.
The detailed maintenance tasks and schedules for power transformers are set out in Service
Specification SS 02.30.

Specific maintenance strategies

Include specific maintenance procedures in the maintenance documentation.

Our maintenance documentation is based on overseas standards and our own experience.
An outline of our standard service requirements is set out below:
Bushings
Oil-filled bushings aged 35 years or more are to be inspected yearly to see that the oil level is
within the operating range. The service provider shall also check the following, which shall
be repaired if required:
 oil quality
 oil seals
 oil sight glasses on oil filled bushings
 internal dielectric strength on all types of bushings
 condition of the exterior sheds on all types of bushings.
Bushing oil levels have been found to be below the operating range and not noticed because
of oil staining on the white background of the oil level sight glass. A more thorough
inspection will discern the difference between the oil level and the oil stain.
Bushing maintenance is required because the oil quality in oil filled bushings deteriorates
due to weather-related ageing of oil seals resulting in moisture ingress. The internal
dielectric strength of all types of bushings deteriorates due to moisture ingress, thermal
stress, electrical stress and age-related weakening of internal insulation materials. Tests of
the dielectric properties of bushings are undertaken every 4 years, to identify internal
deterioration. The dielectric condition of older bushings is a particular area of focus.
On-load tap changers
The on-load tap changers are to be serviced in line with our specified requirements that
supersede the manufacturer’s original recommended intervals and operations.
Our maintenance intervals have been selected to suit our own operational conditions. Our
strategy is to ensure that all internal maintenance and servicing of tap changers is carried
out by certified and fully trained personnel. The following aspects will be checked, and
repaired if necessary:
 tap changer contacts

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 drive mechanism
 control cubicle
 oil quality.
A certified and fully trained maintainer will service the tap changer completely, in line with
the manufacturers recommended procedures, and will modify or replace components
identified as suspect by the manufacturer.
The new vacuum contact type tap changers are low maintenance and very reliable, and
although more costly when compared with other tap changers should be considered for
high-operation situations.
Windings
Sweep frequency response analysis tests are carried out on all new transformers purchased
(as from 2009), at a mid-life inspection, and/or after being subjected to a major through-
fault, to determine if there has been a significant movement of the windings that may lead
to failure.
Transformer oil
The need to maintain oil quality in power transformers is outlined in subsection 2.3.4.
Oil within all power transformers is tested at least annually and more regularly on poor
performing transformers where there are deteriorating trends of DGA tests results or oil
electrical parameter test results.
A full review of all oil condition in power transformers is completed on an annual basis to
determine requirements for refurbishing or replacing oil.
Ancillary components
The ancillary components – particularly the monitors, indicators and protective devices –
deteriorate relatively rapidly compared to the power transformer, and consequently are
replaced once or twice in the life of the transformer. Modern transformers with forced
cooling run considerably hotter than older air-cooled units. It is important that the
temperature monitors and indicators, fans, pumps, and oil switches operate correctly,
otherwise the transformer will overheat, causing considerable degradation of the insulation
with subsequent loss of life. Mal-operation of ancillary equipment can also cause false
tripping.
The correct operation of these devices is checked during the 4-yearly inspections of the
transformer. The scope includes checks on oil temperature indicators, Buchholz relays, surge
devices, flow switches, relays, wiring, cubicles, and online monitors.
Power transformer spares
On-site and strategic-power transformer spares are maintained regularly to the same
standard as in-service transformers.

Safety during maintenance

Consider safety risks and mitigations when planning and carrying out
maintenance.

Maintaining power transformers involves a number of risks. The main risks and risk
mitigations to consider when planning and carrying out maintenance are:

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 protective gear is to be worn when working with large quantities of oil
 work at heights is a safety issue for transformers, because maintenance and repair
works are often carried out at the top of the transformer, a substantial height above
the ground. This risk has been reduced by installing fall arrest systems on all
transformers. The risk will be further reduced in the RCP2 period with increased
training and auditing of the use of the fall arrest systems when working on
transformers.

Corrosion assessment

Detect corrosion before it deteriorates to the point where oil leaks may occur
and corrosion is too deep to repair.

Corrosion is a significant problem with many power transformers. Painted metal surfaces
deteriorate due to weather conditions, and as a result of salt deposits and industrial
pollution. Gaskets providing oil seals between bolted joints wear out due to thermal ageing
and weather conditions.
Corrosion is an ongoing problem that varies with paint systems, climatic and regional
conditions.
We plan to improve the maintenance process by taking photographs of corrosion at the
yearly inspections and providing these together with a condition report for recording in our
maintenance management system. This will allow the corrosion to be assessed and repaired
at an appropriate time.
The photographs will show the extent and depth of corrosion, and together with our service
provider we will use these photographs to help determine when and how the transformer is
to be repaired.

4.5.1 Corrective Maintenance


Corrective maintenance includes unforeseen activities to restore an asset to service, make it
safe or secure, prevent imminent failure and address defects. It includes the required follow-
up action, even if this is scheduled some time after the initial need for action is identified.
These jobs are identified as a result of a fault or in the course of preventive work such as
inspections. Corrective works may be urgent, and not completed for a prolonged period,
may reduce network reliability.
Corrective maintenance has historically been categorised as repairs and fault (response)
activities. Repairs include the correction of defects identified during preventive
maintenance, and other additional predictive works driven by known model type issues and
investigations.23 Timely repairs reduce the risk of failure, improve redundancy and remove
system constraints by maximising the availability of assets. Activities include:
 Fault restoration: unscheduled work in response to repair a fault in equipment that
has safety, environmental or operational implications, including urgent dispatch to
collect more information
 Repairs: unforeseen tasks necessary to repair damage, prevent failure or rapid
degradation of equipment
23
Where the number of potential repairs is deemed sufficiently high, a Maintenance Project will be instigated to
undertake the repairs works.

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 Reactive Inspections: patrols or inspections used to check for public safety risks or
conditions not directly related to the fault in the event of failure.

Repairs
Transformer repairs include the correction of defects identified during preventive
maintenance or fault response and additional predictive works driven by failure mode and
effect analysis and investigations. High-quality repairs reduce the risk of future failure for in-
service assets; for out-of-service assets they improve redundancy and remove system
constraints by allowing the assets back into service.
We will make repairs to power transformers where a defect has been identified that could
potentially result in a failure, or when a failure has occurred. In both cases, the repairs are
carried out to support our service performance objectives. The general strategies for repairs
on power transformers are outlined in the rest of this subsection.

Corrosion control

Carry out corrosion control on transformers to mitigate corrosion-related


risks.

The paint and galvanising systems applied to power transformers are specified to be suitable
for severe environmental conditions, but cannot fully prevent deterioration or corrosion
developing over time. General deterioration of the protective coatings typically necessitates
repainting of a transformer two or three times in its lifetime.
The radiators in modern transformers are made of 1.6mm-thick galvanised mild steel and
corrosion of these will rapidly cause oil leaks. The corrosion also weakens the steel and in
the event of a rapid oil pressure rise, due to a through fault or oil pump starting, may burst
causing a major oil leak.
The original protective coatings of small ancillary equipment such as monitors are often not
in line with our current requirements. Significant corrosion can lead to risks of fault and
forced outages. Deterioration of ancillary equipment is usually addressed by replacement
rather than by painting.
We have identified a number of transformers as having corrosion problems requiring repair.
It is expected that at least five transformers a year will require corrosion control work.

Transformer component replacement or refurbishment

Replace poor condition and obsolete components.

During the life of the transformer the ancillary equipment degrades more quickly than the
main parts of the transformer. In most cases it is better to replace the ancillary equipment
rather than to repair it. The ancillary components to be repaired or replaced include:
 control systems and instrumentation
 porcelain bushings.
Control systems and Instrumentation
Control and instrumentation systems on a transformer typically require replacement within
the lifecycle of the main transformer. The scope of this equipment includes:

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 oil temperature indicators
 Buchholz relays
 surge devices
 flow switches
 relays
 wiring
 cubicles
 online monitors.
Our standard control systems include modern winding temperature indicators that are now
based on numerical processors. This type of monitor has been installed since 2000, and we
forecast a requirement to begin replacing them at the end of their expected lives from
around 2020.
Some transformers with older types of winding temperature indicator are still in service.
Currently, we expect to replace at least one winding temperature indicator system each
year. This work will be funded from the routine maintenance allowance.
Porcelain bushings
Bushings typically have a shorter service life expectancy than that of the main transformer.
Failures of transformer bushings present a serious safety risk because most bushings are
porcelain types. Explosive failure can result in sharp shards of porcelain being propelled a
considerable distance into the surrounding environment.
In 2011 we introduced a new standard specification for composite bushings, to eliminate the
risks associated with porcelain. Our policy is now to replace all defective bushings with the
new standard composite bushing, unless there is an identical and serviceable spare
available.
Yet replacing a bushing can be a complex task if no spare bushing of matching dimensions is
available. Retrofitting a modern equivalent bushing into an existing transformer may require
building and fitting a new bushing turret, and considering carefully internal clearances within
the transformer tank.

Oil treatment

Undertake oil treatment on transformers that give unsatisfactory oil tests


results.

We will maintain oil condition of the fleet by refurbishing or replacing oil as required. Oil in
poor condition may be treated in-situ or replaced with new oil or regenerated oil.
Regenerated oil is used oil that has been treated with a catalyst to restore it to a condition
that meets the IEC standard for unused oil.
The forecast expenditure is approximately $300,000 each year. This work will be funded
from the routine maintenance allowance.

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Critical transformers with high levels of corrosive sulphur in oil

Replace the oil in three critical transformers already identified with high
levels of corrosive sulphur, and assess the extent of the problem in other
potentially at-risk transformers.

The risk associated with corrosive sulphur in oil is outlined in subsection 2.3.4. The risk
cannot be completely eliminated without totally replacing the transformers or their
windings.
Options for partially mitigating the risk include replacing the oil, or processing the oil and
adding ‘metal passivators’. Early indications from international experience with the
passivation technique suggest that it is not effective. So we consider that, for now, replacing
the oil is the only appropriate solution.
Our strategy is that the oil in three transformers already identified with high levels of
corrosive sulphur will be replaced with regenerated oil between 2015 and 2017. These
transformers are at relatively high risk because they either have been highly loaded or have
the ability to be highly loaded (one of the pre-conditions of failure resulting from corrosive
sulphur). The transformers are:
 Penrose T11 (220/33 kV, 200 MVA, manufactured in 1999)
 Otahuhu T3 (220/110/11 kV, 250 MVA, manufactured in 2003)
 Otahuhu T5 (220/110/11 kV, 250 MVA, manufactured in 2000).
We will replace approximately 190,000 litres of oil. We will also carry out further tests to
establish the levels of corrosive sulphur in oil of all three-phase transformers purchased
between 1995 and 2008. These tests will be carried out on 60 transformers, and we
estimate that approximately 30 transformers will require a second test.

Online dissolved gas monitors

Retrofit online dissolved gas monitors on existing three-phase transformers


with gassing problems.

Transformers are DGA tested yearly and more frequently if excessive gassing is occurring.
Fitting online dissolved gas analysis monitors can help us understand how gassing
transformers are performing, and assist in any decision to remove the transformer from
service before it fails.
We have identified a total of 34 three-phase transformers that have excessive gassing: 28
are from the population manufactured before 1992. Two of the more recent units have been
fitted with online gas monitors, leaving potentially 32 transformers that may warrant the
installation of online dissolved gas monitors.
We plan to install online DGA monitors on the following four transformers over the RCP2
period:
 TAK T5
 TAK T8
 TKU T21
 TKU T22.

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These four transformers have been selected because of excessive gassing and their high
criticality. The remaining 28 transformers will be monitored by more frequent DGA tests.

4.5.2 Maintenance Projects


As discussed in subsection 2.2.5, maintenance projects typically consist of relatively high-
value planned repairs or replacements of components of larger assets. Maintenance projects
would not be expected to increase the original design life of the larger assets. Maintenance
jobs are typically run as a project where there are operational and financial efficiencies from
doing so. The drivers for maintenance projects include asset condition, mitigating safety and
environmental risks, and to improve performance.
We do not currently intend to undertake maintenance projects for the power transformer
fleet during the RCP2 period.

4.6 Disposal and Divestment


The disposal and divestment lifecycle phase includes the process from when planning for
disposal of an asset begins through to the point where we no longer own the asset.
Asset disposal includes the decommissioning of the asset, after which it may be sold as a
functioning asset, sold as scrap, disposed of to a waste management facility, or re-used by us
elsewhere as an in-service asset or a spare. Asset divestment involves the sale of the asset in
situ. Divestment often involves the sale of assets to customers, including electricity
distribution businesses and large electricity users.

4.6.1 Disposal
The implementation of asset disposal also has many similarities with capital projects,
including consideration of cost, safety, environmental impacts, and project management.
Aspects that are specific to successful disposal projects are site restoration and termination
of all support activities and planning.

Decommissioning and disposal process

Follow an appropriate disposal process where re-use is not appropriate.

Requirements for recovery and recycling/disposal work include safe work and site
management processes and appropriate probity and environmental responsibility of scrap
disposal processes.
Some decommissioned transformers are retained as spares for specific sites where there are
concerns about the condition of the existing units and they are not adequately covered by
general spares.
Yet most older transformers are scrapped and the oil sold for regeneration. The components
are mostly obsolete and have deteriorated to the point where they cannot be re-used.
The metal such as steel and copper is recovered, smelted and re-used.
Because of environmental risk issues, the oil is sold to a licensed oil dealer for regeneration
and re-use, as it is a valuable and diminishing product. The re-generated oil meets the
International Electrotechnical Commission’s requirements for unused insulating oil and is
considerably cheaper than unused oil.

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4.6.2 Divestment
Implementation of divestment is primarily the change of ownership, although we must also
remain aware of any safety and environmental issues and technical impacts on the Grid such
as a change in constraints and flexibility of Grid operation.

Asset transfers

Rationalise assets at the boundary through asset transfers to customers.

We are proceeding to transfer a number of assets at the fringes of the existing Grid to our
distribution business customers. This process is described fully in the Disposal and
Divestment Lifecycle Strategy.
The current plan for asset transfers will result in the power transformer assets noted in
Table 10 being transferred to customers in the RCP1 and RCP2 period.
Voltage 33 kV 66 kV 110 kV
Number 1 16 13
Table 10: Number of transformers being divested across RCP1 and RCP2 periods

The total number of transformer banks to be transferred represents 8% of the total


transformer fleet as at June 2013. Yet the impact on lower voltage transformers in the fleet
is significant. The transformers operating at 66 kV that are included in the asset transfers
represent 35% of that portion of the present fleet. In addition to some direct savings in
transformer maintenance costs, the asset transfer programme will remove some makes and
models of equipment from the fleet, and allow some rationalisation of spares and
maintenance procedures.

4.7 Asset Management Capability


This section describes the specific strategies for obtaining and maintaining capability in
managing and handling power transformers. These strategies provide medium-term to long-
term guidance and direction to ensure that asset managers and their staff have the required
capabilities in regard to fleet management.
We require our Grid assets and equipment to be managed, maintained, tested and operated
to high standards of skill, professionalism and safety, supported by high-quality asset
knowledge and risk management tools. This will ensure satisfactory and safe functioning of
the network while minimising whole-of-life costs.
The capability strategies are described under the following headings:
 Risk Management
 Asset Knowledge
 Training and Competence.

4.7.1 Risk Management


Our approach to risk management is central to our asset management decision making as
we weigh up the various costs and benefits of options such as replacement timing. We are
developing asset health and criticality models to improve and integrate our risk-based asset

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management. The strategies below discuss how we plan to progress this in regards to the
power transformer fleet.

Power transformers asset health model

Refine the power transformers asset health model.

Over RCP2 we will work to improve the power transformers asset health model to provide
better forecasts of future replacement requirements and to inform replacement
prioritisation. This may include:
 Applying a robust and systematic scoring system to the entire fleet based on
condition testing such as SFRA, DGA, Furans and/or oil moisture content testing
 being aware or notified of significant new risk issues, and incorporating these into the
asset health model (that is, utility peer alerts to specific design defects with certain
transformer makes/models)
 tap changer operation counts – forecast expected tap changer end of life based on
manufacturer recommended operation count limit and historic records of operations
 external condition modelling – model steel degradation based on corrosion zones and
frequency of maintenance/painting
 developing hazard functions for particular characteristics that affect asset health
 reviewing our model against international guidelines for asset health (CIGRE study
group is currently preparing a guideline for use).

4.7.2 Asset Knowledge


Robust asset knowledge is critical to good decision making for asset management. Asset
knowledge comes from a variety of sources, including overseas experiences, experience
from assets on our network, theoretical modelling, and information from the manufacturers.
This asset knowledge must be captured and recorded in such a way that it can be
conveniently accessed when future asset management decisions are made. A key part of
improving our asset knowledge is the commissioning of the new Asset Management
Information System (AMIS).

Knowledge of transformers

Improve the knowledge of existing transformers through accurate recording


and frequent maintenance of asset information.

Transformer asset knowledge is paramount in determining asset health, fault analysis, end
of life predictions and replacement decisions. As mentioned in subsection 2.3.4, transformer
asset knowledge is currently decentralised and while the information we currently have is
generally sufficient, there are efficiencies and improvements to be found.
The recent implementation of our new asset management information system (MAXIMO)
enables a number of business improvements in data gathering, storage and retrieval
processes. As part of these business improvement processes, we have prepared standard
maintenance procedures that will allow for more accurate recording and frequent
maintenance of asset information.

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For power transformers, we intend to further improve our asset knowledge by recording the
following information into a centralised database:
 external condition assessments – including any corrosion, bushing damage, leaking
terminals on pressure relays and oil leaks with photographic records during each
assessment
 main tank oil test results – including oil quality test reports, furans, corrosive sulphur,
oxidation stability tests and inhibitor tests
 tap changer oil tests
 tap changer operation counts – record operation counts at each station inspection
 SFRA test results (following system through-faults)
 electrical test results – winding tests, bushing tests, tap changer tests and control
system tests
 all maintenance fault repairs and test records – including tap changer (off-load and
on-load tap changers), winding faults, internal lead faults, CT faults, bushing faults,
control system faults and system through-faults.
 photographic evidence of the on-load tap changer drive cubicles and diverter
switches to be recorded in the database during maintenance.
As mentioned in subsection 4.5.1, the transformers with gassing issues have already been
identified and online DGA monitors will be installed on four of these transformers. The
existing online DGA monitors are connected to the SCADA system the data is easily
retrievable.

4.7.3 Training and Competence


Our overarching strategy for maintaining and improving worker competence can be
summarised as follows:
 all persons (our employees, service providers and sub-contractors) working on our
assets must be properly trained and currently competent for the tasks they
undertake
 all maintenance service providers must comply with the competency criteria set out
in the relevant Service Specification.
 employers must manage the currency of competencies of their workers for the work
they undertake to the appropriate requirements of the relevant Service
Specification.
We have three service specifications that define the competency requirements for working
on power transformers:
 TP.SS 06.23 Minimum competencies for power system equipment operation
 TP.SS 06.21 Minimum competencies for substations maintenance and testing
 TP.SS 06.25 Minimum requirements for Transpower field work.
We must maintain a minimum baseline of skilled workforce: engineers and site works
operators who understand the physical assets.

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Capability for major repairs

Ensure a continued capability within New Zealand for major repairs of power
transformers.

One of the benefits of the historic programme of transformer overhauls was that it provided
three workshops and trained staff to undertake investigation of transformer faults and carry
out major repairs. The overhaul programme has now come to an end, and some of the
skilled personnel involved in this work are no longer available. This has affected our ability to
undertake major invasive repairs of power transformers in New Zealand.
The history of transformer faults and failures shows that some serious internal defects in
transformers are economic to repair. Recent examples of economic repair of serious internal
defects include the Clyde 3-phase 220/33 kV transformer, and a Waitaki single-phase
220/110 kV interconnecting transformer.
We need to preserve a credible capability in New Zealand to undertake major internal
repairs of power transformers, where this is economic. This capability is required based on:
 the expected future failure rate from internal causes
 the likelihood that a proportion of internal faults will be economically viable to repair
 the potential for some invasive repairs to be conducted on site, providing that
appropriately skilled personnel are available
 the likelihood that some invasive repairs will require the transformer to be relocated
from site to a controlled workshop environment
 the high cost of replacement transformers
 the lead time for replacing major power transformers.
A number of three-phase units with elevated gassing may require invasive inspection and
repair in future. We also expect that some future transformer winding failures may be
economic to repair locally, compared with replacing the transformer or sending it overseas
for repair.
Maintaining some form of transformer major repair capability in New Zealand will, under
appropriate circumstances:
 enable timely and cost-effective repairs on site (where feasible)
 reduce the need to deploy strategic spares to restore security
 reduce the period of time that strategic spares are deployed at sites
 reduce the need for faulty transformers to be replaced, or to be sent overseas for
repair.
We will review our ongoing requirements, and define the minimum baseline capability that
we require in future for undertaking invasive repairs.

Tap Changer training

Establish specific targeted training for tap changer maintenance and repair.

We will run tap changer training for those service providers who work on tap changers.

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Tap changer maintenance has a particularly high rate of HEIs after tap changers are
reassembled incorrectly. By focusing on such common errors, training is likely to
substantially improve performance.

4.8 Summary of RCP2 Fleet Strategies


Our individual strategies for the fleet of power transformer assets are summarised below for
each lifecycle stage.

Planning
Enhancement and Ensure that the transformer fleet is managed to ensure compliance with Grid reliability standards in
Development support of our objectives and procure and install new transformers to enable system growth.
Replace single-phase and three-phase transformers with more reliable new three-phase units based on
failure risk.
Replacement and
Refurbishment Do not undertake mid-life transformer overhauls and during the RCP2 period.
Communicate our transformer strategies with relevant customers to manage life-time risk.
Integrated Works
Align customer driven transformer replacements with condition-based policy replacements as appropriate.
Planning
Scope and estimate project works to a P50 confidence level (that is, the estimate is based on a 50%
Cost Estimation probability that the cost will not be exceeded).
Reflect identified risks in expected cost for projects.

Delivery
Standardise transformer specification to limit the diversity in the fleet.
Where practicable, retrofit fire walls between closely spaced power transformers rated 20 MVA or more
with a criticality rating of ‘high’.
Design
Future proof transformer site designs and layouts.
Provide online dissolved gas analysis monitoring equipment for all new transformers with a criticality
rating of ‘high’.
Mitigate risk in procurement through the detailed technical and economic analysis of the tender and
contract documentation.
Procurement
Standardise component specification to limit diversity in the fleet.
Ensure that design reviews are undertaken during design and manufacturing processes.
Test transformers prior to commissioning to ensure outage durations and system implications are
Commissioning
minimised.

Operation
Plan and manage outages in a way that creates a safe environment for employees while minimising the
Outage Planning disruption for customers.
Ensure mobile substation at N security sites can be deployed in a timely manner.
Restore security of supply within one calendar month of a major failure occurring.
Contingency
Maintain a fleet of strategic spare transformers to provide coverage for the three-phase transformer fleet.
Planning
Recover or initiate replacement of strategic spare within 2 years of deployment.

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Maintenance
Include specific maintenance procedures in the maintenance documentation.
Preventive Consider safety risks and mitigations when planning and carrying out maintenance.
Maintenance
Detect corrosion before it deteriorates to the point where oil leaks may occur and corrosion is too deep to
repair.
Carry out corrosion control on transformers to mitigate corrosion-related risks.
Replace poor condition and obsolete components.
Corrective Undertake oil treatment on transformers that give unsatisfactory oil tests results.
Maintenance
Replace the oil in three critical transformers already identified with high levels of corrosive sulphur, and
assess the extent of the problem in other potentially at-risk transformers.
Retrofit online dissolved gas monitors on existing three-phase transformers with gassing problems.

Disposal and Divestment


Asset Disposals Follow an appropriate disposal process where re-use is not appropriate.
Divestments Rationalise assets at the boundary through asset transfers to customers.

Capability
Risk Management Refine the power transformers asset health model.
Improve the knowledge of existing transformers through accurate recording and frequent maintenance of
Asset knowledge
asset information.

Training and Ensure a continued capability within New Zealand for major repairs of power transformers.
Competence Establish specific targeted training for tap changer maintenance and repair.

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Appendices

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A POWER TRANSFORMER IMAGES


Figure 13 is a photo of a typical single-phase installation.

Figure 13: Typical single-phase transformer installation


A traverser track is provided, allowing individual units to be readily moved and exchanged
using a transport trolley. In the event of a major failure of a single unit, the outage time
required to remove the failed unit and install the spare unit is approximately 12 hours.
Figure 14 is a photo of a typical 3-phase installation.

Figure 14: Typical 3-phase transformer installation


The physical arrangement of the transformer in this example has been optimised for the
particular site or design. There are considerable differences in physical arrangement
between transformers of similar rating from different manufacturers, and for different
projects. There is little or no direct interchangeability.

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B ADDITIONAL COSTING INFORMATION


Other equipment and works
 HV AIS Surge Arresters will be installed on all new transformers.
 LV AIS Surge Arresters will be installed on all new transformers that have AIS
bushings.
 Costs shall be included for connecting the new transformer bund to the existing oil
containment/separation system. If the existing system is inadequate, then costs shall
be included to bring it up to current standards.
 An assessment will be made of the requirement for fire walls, and costs included.
 If the transformer protection is due for replacement within 5 years of the transformer
replacement, then the transformer protection will be brought forward and replaced
at the same time as the transformer (and the protection costs included in the
transformer customised cost estimation).
 If the local service transformer(s) are located in the existing transformer bunds, costs
will be included to replace them based on current standards.
 If the transformer being replaced already has an NER fitted, a new NER will be
installed on the new transformer.
 Costs will be included to install NER’s on the transformers where they are not already
installed.
 If the location of the new transformer requires the existing fence to be extended
and/or new access roads creating, costs will be included for the associated works.
 Costs will be included for draining and removing the existing transformer, plus
associated redundant primary equipment (CB/CT/DS)
 Demolition costs will be included for removing the redundant transformer plinth and
bund, and for reinstating gravel.
 Costs will be included for transporting the old transformer and associated primary
plant back to our nearest store.
 Demolition costs will be included for removing the plinths from the associated
redundant primary equipment (CB/CT/DS) and costs included for reinstating gravel.

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C ADDITIONAL BENCHMARKING RESULTS

Average age comparisons


The following two figures taken from the ITOMS 2011 international benchmarking round
compare the average age of transformer fleets. The majority of our transformers fall into the
category of < 100 MVA. We are represented by the letter ‘K’.
Figure 15 indicates that the average age of our fleet of power transformers is about 10 years
older than the average of all the participants in the study.

Figure 15: International Comparison < 100 MVA Transformer Age (ITOMS 2011)

Figure 16: International Comparison - 100-350 MVA Transformer Age (ITOMS 2011)

Maintenance cost comparisons


The following two figures taken from the ITOMS 2011 international benchmarking round
compare the average maintenance expenditure on transformers. The scope of maintenance
for the purposes of this study includes all routine diagnostic testing and servicing, and
reactive work including repairs.
The results indicate that our maintenance costs are significantly higher than the average of
the study participants, for both voltage classes.

Figure 17: International Comparison – 100 kV–199 kV Transformer Maintenance Costs (ITOMS 2011)

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Figure 18: International Comparison – 200+ kV Transformer Maintenance Costs (ITOMS 2011)

Performance summary comparisons


ITOMS data is normalised by various factors and comparisons need to be treated with care.
However, the total forced and fault outage rate of 110 kV and 220 kV transformers is
considerably worse than the average of the ITOMS 2011 benchmark group.
The graphs in Figure 19 and 20 provide international comparisons of the maintenance cost
and the performance of transformers.

Figure 19: 100 kV–199 kV Transformers – International Comparison


of Performance and Maintenance Cost (ITOMS 2011)

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Figure 20: 200+ kV Transformers – International Comparison


of Performance and Maintenance Cost (ITOMS 2011)

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D TRANSFORMER ASSET STRATEGY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS, 2010

Executive summary
This document outlines a high-level cost-benefit analysis that we have conducted to
estimate the optimal retirement age of a typical 220 kV transformer and compare with a
‘run to failure’ strategy.
One important assumption in the analysis is that the range of measures described in the
Asset Strategy will reduce the failure rates for new transformers. This document discusses
the economic case for further reducing the overall failure rate by retiring transformers,
eliminating the older units with the higher failure rates.
The costs and benefits taken into account include capital costs; maintenance costs and
transmission losses, both of which are reduced for modern three-phase transformers; direct
costs of major failures; and unserved energy from parallel major failures or repairable
failures on the parallel branch.
Other effects are more difficult to quantify and have not been taken into account. They
include reputational and environmental risks; the impact of diminished industry, business
and community confidence on the national economy; the (very low) risk of fire; short
outages and risks involved with off-load tap changers; and problems associated with spares
for older transformers.
The analysis shows that it is better to replace a transformer at a certain age than to allow it
to run to failure, even before the less easily quantified effects are considered. The predicted
optimum age for replacement depends on the analysis assumptions but is around 60 years
old. The NPV of costs of the replacement policy are approximately 5% lower than those of
‘run to failure’. Both these figures should be taken as conservative because the less easily
quantified effects all favour replacement.
The greatest increased benefit of a replacement strategy comes from the lower probability
of parallel major failures and the consequent lower probability of extensive loss of supply.
Because parallel major failures would be a high impact low probability (HILP) event, both the
probability and the duration of the outage are difficult to estimate, but it is reassuring to see
that the predicted optimum replacement age is similar to, or slightly higher than, the
regulatory life used in other jurisdictions.
D1 Introduction
The analysis is a statistical Net Present Value calculation on a typical 220 kV transformer
position, with the probabilities of the transformer failure at various times taken into
account.
The sections that follow are:
 typical transformer assumptions – the size, loading and losses of the typical
transformer
 failures – a detailed discussion of the assumptions behind the major and minor failure
rates
 economic assumptions – the economic parameters required for the calculation
 lifecycle costs – capital and maintenance costs of a typical transformer as well as
salvage value
 results.

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D2 Typical transformer assumptions


In the study we have kept the analysis as generic as possible, focusing on a typical existing
220 kV single-phase transformer bank and its replacement with a new three-phase
transformer.
D2.1 Size
The existing fleet of 220 kV single-phase transformer banks has the distribution of sizes
shown in Table 11. We have used a size of 100 MVA, the median, as typical.

Size (MVA of bank) Number

50 17
60 2
100 4
120 8
160 2
200 10
210 2
Total 45
Table 11: Distribution of sizes of 220 kV single-phase bank transformers
D2.2 Loading
Most 220 kV transformers are in N-1 configurations, either multiple supply transformers at
the same substation (for example, Penrose), or providing multiple entry points to a lower
voltage network (for example, Halfway Bush and Roxburgh). As most of these are in N-1
pairs, rather than larger groups, the peak loading is often less than 50%. We have chosen
30% as an estimate of the peak loading.
D2.3 Losses
Transformers dissipate energy via heating of the iron core, which is approximately
independent of the load (so-called ‘iron’ or ‘no load’ losses) and via heating of the copper
windings, which is approximately proportional to the current squared (‘copper’ or ‘load’
losses).
Copper losses have not changed with advances in transformer technology and remain
approximately 4 kW/MVA at full loading Iron losses have decreased significantly, as Figure
21 shows. From approximately 1.25 kW/MVA for single-phase transformers manufactured in
the 1960s, iron losses have reduced to 0.4 kW/MVA for modern three-phase replacements.

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No Load Losses of Transpower Transformers

5.00

4.50

4.00
No load losses kW/MVA

3.50

3.00

2.50

2.00

1.50

1.00

0.50

0.00
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Year of Manufacture

Figure 21: Iron Losses


D3 Failures
Major (catastrophic) failures and their causes are discussed in some detail in the Asset
Strategy. With the assumption that the transformer is in an N-1 configuration, a single major
failure does not result in loss of supply. However, parallel major failures could have serious
consequences – 100 MW or more of load unsupplied for up to a month. All resources would
be mobilised to fix the problem, but in practice there might not be any solution faster than
installing a spare.
Minor failures on the branch parallel to a major failure are also significant, but to a lesser
extent. Parallel minor failures are extremely unlikely (assuming there is no common cause)
and will be ignored.
D3.1 Time dependence
The time dependence of the major failure rate can be estimated by considering the failure
history and the expected effects of new policies.
Major failures in our fleet since 1978 are listed in Appendix E of the Fleet Strategy. The
historic failure rate by transformer age decade is shown in the black line in Figure 22, with
the dashed lines as error bounds. The function increases with time as is expected. The error
bounds are wider for older transformers as there have been fewer surviving to a greater age.

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Failure Rate for Transformers: Entire Fleet and HV = 220 kV


2

1.8 History: All


History: Error Bounds
1.6 History: Error Bounds
History: HV = 220 kV
Failure Rate, % per annum

1.4 Target

1.2

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
years

Figure 22: Failure Rate

The failure rate for 220 kV transformers only is plotted as the red line in the same figure. As
the red line is outside the error bounds of the black line in the first and fourth decades, we
can conclude that 220 kV transformers aged 0 to 10 years and 30 to 40 years have more
major failures than transformers of the same age but lower voltage. For ages 10 to 30 the
position is less clear – 220 kV units perform worse than average but not significantly in a
statistical sense. For ages greater than 40, there are too few data points for any inferences
to be made.
In contrast to the clear distinction between 220 kV and < 220 kV transformers, there is no
evidence that single-phase banks have different failure rates from three-phase transformers.
Nor is there any evidence that more recently manufactured transformers perform better. So
the primary motivation for replacing single-phase banks with three-phase transformers is to
reduce the failure rate through operating newer transformers.
The overall average failure rate is the average of the black line, weighted by the number of
transformer-years of each age in the data. It is approximately 0.4% each year.
Many of the early failures are from only a small number of types. Many may stem from the
historic ‘least cost’ procurement policy in the 1960s–1980s. We expect that major failures
will be rarer as a consequence of our improved specification and procurement process. The
Fleet Strategy presents strategies that will be used to bring the failure rate down as much as
possible.
The blue line in Figure 22 represents a failure rate per age that these strategies should
produce. It asks for a considerable reduction in failures in the second and third decades.

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The target for the fleet is 0.3% a year for major failures – a significant but not unachievable
reduction.
The values on the blue line will be assumed for new transformers in the remainder of this
study. Existing transformers will be assumed to follow the black line
It is more difficult to estimate failure rates for later dates, but we assume the values
included in Table 12.
Tabulated in Table 12 are the corresponding values of the reliability function representing
the fraction surviving to the end of each decade.

Existing Transformers New Transformers

Failure Rate Reliability at end Failure Rate Reliability at end of


Age (Years)
(% p.a.) of period (% p.a.) period
0-10 0.3 0.97 0.25 0.98
10-20 0.1 0.96 0.24 0.95
20-30 0.1 0.95 0.37 0.92
30-40 0.54 0.9 0.69 0.86
40-50 0.93 0.82 0.57 0.81
50-60 1.3 0.72 0.95 0.74
60-70 2.34 0.57 2.55 0.57
70-80 3.05 0.42 3.05 0.42
80-90 4.42 0.27 4.42 0.27
90-100 8.11 0.12 8.11 0.12
100-110 10.99 0.04 10.99 0.04
110-120 Large 0 Large 0
Table 12: Failure rates and reliability factors

D3.2 Replacement timing


The time to replace a transformer after major failure depends on various factors including
 whether an on-site spare exists
 existence and location of an off-site spare
 ordering time of a new transformer
 difficulty of configuring the pad and connection for a new transformer
 substation access.
For this typical transformer analysis we assume 30 days are required, in line with the
strategic spares programme. For a first failure of an existing single-phase bank, this could be
a considerable over-estimate (if on-site spare is available) or under-estimate (if no matching
spare is available at all), but we expect that it will be a reasonable estimate on average.
D3.3 Parallel major failure
As most 220 kV transformers are installed in parallel pairs, a single failure will not result in a
loss of supply. Yet failure of the parallel unit, before the first can be replaced, represents a
significant risk. The asset strategy notes that near-coincident failures of parallel transformers
do occur. Of the 30 major failures in the history, 3 were parallel failures within a year and 1

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(the failure of the two Whakatu 220/33 kV transformers 22 days apart at age 4 years in
1984), occurred within 30 days. There have also been several near misses.
From this admittedly very sparse history, we conservatively estimate the probability of the
second major failure, before a spare is in place to cover for the first, at 1-in-50 major
failures.
For this analysis we assume that the time with both transformers out is half the replacement
time, or 15 days, and that the load lost averages 60 MW, twice the assumed single
transformer load.
Parallel major failures are clearly High Impact Low Probability (HILP) events. The
probabilities and costs of such events are very difficult to estimate, and a risk-neutral cost-
benefit approach may not be the best method of including them. It can be argued that such
an approach tends to under-value the severity of the potential events. With this caveat, we
consider the values here reasonable in these circumstances
D3.4 Parallel minor failure
If a transformer is out due to a major failure, then the supply is vulnerable to the failure of
any asset on the parallel branch. Based on analysis of transformer branches, we estimate the
probability of branch failure at 70% each year and the average outage duration at 23 hours.
The duration is from the mean of all minor outages, capped at 15 days for the average time
of replacing the first transformer.
D3.5 Failures at a transformer device position
There is an important distinction between the failure rate for an individual transformer and
that for a transformer device position. If the transformer installed in a position has a major
failure then it must be replaced. So, through time, more than one transformer may occupy
the same position. It is the costs associated with a device position that must be compared
between strategies. The mathematical relationship between the individual transformer
failure rate and position failure rate is discussed in Appendix D9.
D4 Economic assumptions
Valuing the cost of outages requires a value of lost load (VOLL). We use the Grid investment
test24 (GIT) value of $20,000 first used in 2004 which gives $23,000 inflating to 2009 at 3%.
The discount rate for NPV calculations is 7% (real), also from the GIT. A ‘public good
infrastructure’ rate of 4% is included as a sensitivity.
Valuing of losses requires a cost of the extra energy that is lost. The quantity to use is the
long run marginal cost of generation, which is in the region of $80/MWh.
D5 Lifecycle costs
The cost of a new ‘typical’ transformer is estimated at $4m. Failed transformers can be sold
for scrap for approximately $50,000 for each single-phase unit or $100,000 for each three-
phase unit.
Maintenance costs are approximately $13,000 for each single-phase unit and $16,000 for
each three-phase unit.

24
Electricity Governance Rules, Schedule F4, Grid Investment Test at
http://www.electricitycommission.govt.nz/pdfs/rulesandregs/rules/rulespdf/PartFSectionIIIScheduleF4-
gridinvestmenttest-17Jan08.pdf

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When a major failure does occur there is the direct cost of moving equipment, draining and
filling transformers, connections, and so on. A conservative estimate of the cost is $500,000.
D6 Results
The numbers below represent the average costs for the next 60 years on a per transformer
position basis under the strategies of ‘run to failure’ and ‘replace at age 60’, for a
transformer currently 40 years old.

‘Run to failure’ ‘Replace at age 60’

60 year cost 60 year NPV 60 year cost 60 year NPV


($,000s) ($,000s) ($,000s) ($,000s)
Capital
- policy replacement $0 $0 $3,310 $850
- replacement after $4,560 $630 $1,270 $360
major failure
Maintenance $1,830 $510 $1,390 $460
Losses $5,440 $1,490 $4,310 $1,360
Major Failures
- direct costs $590 $80 $160 $50
- parallel major failure $11,830 $1,640 $3,290 $920
- minor failures on $2,130 $300 $570 $170
parallel branch
Total $26,380 $4,650 $14,300 $4,170
Table 13: NPV of costs

The analysis shows that it is better to replace a transformer at a certain age than to allow it
to run to failure, even before the less easily quantified effects are considered. The predicted
optimum age for replacement depends on the analysis assumptions but is around 60 years
old. The NPV of costs of the replacement policy are approximately 6% lower than those of
‘run to failure’.
The table shows that an expected reduction in the number of major failures, and the
consequent direct costs, replacement cost and parallel failure risk, is the greatest benefit of
replacement.
The failure costs in the table depend on assumed probabilities of major failure, which are
greater for older transformers.
Figure 23 shows the NPV of the replacement policy as a function of the replacement age.
The asymptote is the limit as the replacement age tends to infinity (that is, the NPV of ‘run
to failure’).

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NPV of Typical Transformer Position Costs vs. Replacement Age

$5,000,000

$4,800,000 Replace at age x


Run to failure
$4,600,000

$4,400,000

$4,200,000

$4,000,000

$3,800,000

$3,600,000

$3,400,000

$3,200,000

$3,000,000

0
40

42

44

46

48

50

52

54

56

58

60

62

64

66

68

70

72

74

76

78

80

82

84

86

88

90

92

94

96

98
10
Age of Replacement of Transformers

Figure 23: NPV of costs

Replacing all transformers too early brings forward capital costs which outweigh any savings.
Not replacing them at all results in more major failure events. The best compromise for this
set of assumptions is replacement at 60 years of age.
D6.1 Sensitivities
We vary various parameters that could influence the result.

NPV saving over run to


Sensitivity Ideal retirement age
failure ($,000s)

Base Case 60 $480


Discount rate 4% 58 $1,870
VoLL doubled 56 $1,350
Parallel Major Failure
60 $1,210
Doubled
Parallel Major Failure
63 $130
Halved
Table 14: Sensitivity analysis

The sign of the NPV result is robust against these sensitivities, but the magnitude does vary.
The ideal retirement age is relatively stable.

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D6.2 Other jurisdictions


Information from other transmission owners and operators on the expectation of major
failures is difficult to find. Most publicly available literature focuses on post-mortems of
serious events and preventative measures. However SP AusNet25 does draw similar
conclusions on replacement, with an ‘allocated technical life’ of 40 to 60 years.
D6.3 Conclusions
Within the limitations of this analysis, and in particular the difficulties of estimating failure
rates, there is evidence that replacing 220 kV transformers at around 60 years of age will
save around 5% of the net NPV cost-benefit of operation over running to failure. The age of
replacement is robust against a range of sensitivities. The magnitude varies with the
sensitivities considered here, but the net benefit is always positive
Sixty years should be regarded as an over-estimate because of the difficulty quantifying
various effects not included in the analysis, all of which would favour earlier replacement,
and because of the HILP events involved.
D7 Failure rate calculations
There are three equivalent ways26 of describing the time to failure of an item
Probability density functions
The probability density function (pdf) for failures, f(t), is the probability of getting a failure at
time t for each transformer that starts at time 0. Every transformer eventually fails exactly
once so

 f  t  dt  1
0
(1)

Reliability function
The reliability or survivor function, R(t),

R  t   1   f  u  du
t
(2)
0

represents the chance of an item surviving to time t.

25
Electricity Transmission Regulatory Reset 2008/9-2013/14, Appendix E, Asset Management Strategy, SP AusNet,
Melbourne, 2007, page 66.
26
M Rausand and A Høyland, System Reliability Theory: Models, Statistical Methods and Applications, Wiley, 2004,
page 15.

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Failure rate
The failure rate, z(t) measures the probability of failure at time t per transformer in service
at time t. It is the quantity usually measured

failure probability
z t  
number surviving
f (t )
 (3)
R t 
f (t )
 t
1   f  u  du
0

failure probability
z t  
number surviving
f (t )

R t 
f (t )
 t
1   f  u  du
0 ( 3 ) inverts to
 t 
f  t   z  t  exp    z  u  du  (4)
 0 

The rate is calculated using the Kaplan-Meier estimate27 of the reliability function and then
R  t   1   f  u  du
t

converted to the failure rate using 0 ( 2 )and


 t

f  t   z  t  exp    z  u  du 
 0  ( 4 ). For the bounds we assume that z(t) follows a lognormal
distribution with variance given by standard likelihood methods28 and take a 95% confidence
interval of log(z(t)).
D8 Reliability functions of subclasses
The fleet of transformers is divided in two in several ways to test which variables have a
bearing on the probability of major failure. 220 kV units versus lower voltage units is
discussed in the main text.
Single-phase versus three-phase
Figure 24 shows the reliability functions for the two subgroups of single-phase and three-
phase transformers. Neither falls outside the bounds of the entire population estimate. The

27
E L Kaplan and P Meier, Nonparametric estimation from incomplete observations, J Amer. Statist. Assoc., 53, 457–81.
28
J Kalbfleisch and R Prentice, The Statistical Analysis of Failure Time Data, Wiley, 2002, page 17.

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only exception is for three-phase transformers over 40 years old of which there are very
few.
There is no evidence to suggest that three-phase transformers as a group have a different
major failure rate from single-phase transformers.

Survival Function for Transformers: Single Phase vs. 3 phase


1

0.95

0.9

0.85

0.8

0.75 All
Bounds
Bounds
0.7 3 Phase
Single Phase

0.65

0.6

0.55
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
No evidence of different failure rates, Single Phase vs. 3 Phase

Figure 24: Single-Phase versus Three-Phase reliability

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Pre-1975 versus Post-1975


To test the relationship between major failures and date of manufacture we split the fleet
into two parts, those installed before1975 and those installed in 1975. The date was chosen
based on evidence from Energy Australia that distribution transformers show a shift in
failure rate at this date. The results are shown in Figure 25. There is no evidence that more
recent manufacture makes a difference to the failure rate.

Survival Function for Transformers: Pre- vs. Post-1975 install


1

0.95

0.9

0.85

0.8

0.75 All
Bounds
Bounds
0.7
Pre 1975
Post 1975

0.65

0 10 20 30 40 50 60
No evidence of different failure rates, Pre- vs. Post-1975

Figure 25: Pre-1975 versus Post-1975 Reliability

D9 Position failure rate


The position failure rate is most easily expressed in terms of the individual unit failure
probability density function as distinct from the failure rate.
Define p(t ) as the position failure rate or pdf.29 The two are equivalent as the number
surviving is always 1 for a position. p(t ) has a term for failure of the first transformer bank;
plus a term for failure of the second transformer, which was installed new when the first
failed at some previous time; plus a term for failure of the third transformer, installed new
when the second failed, and so on. So, ignoring replacement times,

t t t'
p(t )  f1 (t )  
t ' 0
f3 (t  t ') f1 (t ')dt '   
t '0 t ''0
f 3 (t  t ') f 3 (t ' t '') f1 (t '')dt '' dt '  (5)

29
Strictly, p(t) is not a pdf as its time integral is greater than 1, but that is not important in this context.

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an infinite sum of self-convolutions, where f1  t  is the pdf for the existing single-phase
bank failures and f3  t  is the pdf for new three-phase transformer failures.

For times less than the average life of a transformer, the series in ( 5 ) converges rapidly as
many failures at the same position are unlikely. We have calculated the integrals by
discretising at a resolution of one year and truncated at the second term.

If there are closed forms available for f1  t  and f3  t  , then p(t ) may be calculable via
Laplace transforms as ( 5 ) and properties of the Laplace transform imply that

L  f1  t  , s
L  p  t  , s  (6)
1  L  f3  t  , s

where L  f  t  , s   f t  e
 st
dt is the Laplace transform operator. The most likely
t 0
forms for f1  t  and f3  t  fitted to data points are piecewise linear or a polynomial
 
restricted to [0, the maximum life]. In these cases L p  t  , s is a complicated expression
involving exponentials and rational functions and does not obviously lead to a useful form
for p(t ) .

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E POWER TRANSFORMER WINDING FAILURE HISTORY

Major failures are winding failures that require the transformer to be out of service for many months or up to two years while the transformer windings are
repaired or the entire transformer is replaced.
Age when
Manufacturing Failure
Device Voltage Phase Type Manufacturer failure Failure Cause Notes
year Year
occurred
Design/manufacturing
HEN T2 220/33 kV Single Supply IEL 1966 1980 14
error
Design/manufacturing
HEN T3 220/33 kV Single Supply IEL 1966 1998 32
error
Design/manufacturing
BPE T9 220/33 kV Single Supply English Electric 1954 1988 34
error
Design/manufacturing
STK T9 220/33 kV Single Supply CGE 1964 2003 39
error
Design/manufacturing
HAM T5 220/33 kV Single Supply Mitsubishi 1972 2006 34
error
On-load tap changer
PEN T8 220/33 kV Single Supply Tyree Aus 1976 2008 32 Design/manufacturing
error
Design/manufacturing
WHU T3 220/33 kV Three Supply Hawker Siddeley 1976 1984 8
error
Design/manufacturing
WHU T4 220/33 kV Three Supply Hawker Siddeley 1976 1984 8
error
WIL T3 220/33 kV Three Supply Mitsubishi 1980 2004 24 Manufacturing error
CYD T8 220/33 kV Three Supply Tyree Power 1987 2006 19 Water ingress
33 kV winding
LTN T2 220/33 kV Three Supply Hawker Siddeley 1976 2010 34 design/manufacturing
error
KAW T11 220/110 kV Three Interconnector Italtrafo 1979 1988 9 Design error
KAW T12 220/110 kV Three Interconnector Italtrafo 1979 1988 9 Design error

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Age when
Manufacturing Failure
Device Voltage Phase Type Manufacturer failure Failure Cause Notes
year Year
occurred
MDN T2 220/110 kV Three Interconnector Savigliano 1966 2007 41 Design error
220/110/11
PEN T10 Single Interconnector Savigliano 1973 1981 8 Design error
kV
220/110/11 Design/manufacturing
OTA T1 Single Interconnector Ferranti 1962 1996 34
kV error
220/110/11
HWB T4R Single Interconnector Savigliano 1966 2001 35 Design error
kV
220/110/11
HWB T4B Single Interconnector Savigliano 1966 2002 36 Design error
kV
The original unit was scrapped
220/110/11
HWB T4R Single Interconnector Savigliano 1966 2012 46 Design error and spare moved into position
kV
however this unit failed too.
220/66/11 Design/manufacturing
ISL T4 Single Interconnector Brown Boveri 1959 1981 22
kV error
220/66/11 Design/manufacturing
BRY T5 Single Interconnector CGE Canada 1959 1984 25
kV error
220/33/16 Incorrect tap changer
BEN T2R Single Interconnector CGE Canada 1965 1992 27
kV operation
220/33/16 Incorrect tap changer
BEN T2Y Single Interconnector CGE Canada 1965 1995 30
kV operation
TMN T5 220/55 kV Three* Traction OEL 1987 1990 3 Design error
Was repaired and failed a
TMN T5 220/55 kV Three* Traction OEL 1987 1993 6 Design error
second time.
BPE T15 220/55 kV Three* Traction OEL 1987 1993 6 Design error
TNG T3 220/55 kV Three* Traction OEL 1987 1995 8 Design error
Design/manufacturing
ARI T9 110/50 kV Single Interconnector ASEA 1952 1994 42
error
Earth Sticks left on 50 kV bus
EDG T2 110/50 kV Single Interconnector Ferranti 1953 1998 45 Operator error
accidentally
HEP T2R 110/33 kV Single Supply Parsons 1969 1981 12 Design error

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Age when
Manufacturing Failure
Device Voltage Phase Type Manufacturer failure Failure Cause Notes
year Year
occurred
Was repaired and failed a
HEP T2R 110/33 kV Single Supply Parsons 1969 1985 16 Design error
second time.
HEP T2Y 110/33 kV Single Supply Parsons 1969 2003 34 Design error
Design/manufacturing
MPE T2 110/33 KV Single Supply Mitsubishi 1972 1990 18
error
Design/manufacturing
KAW T1 110/11 kV Single Supply ASEA 1954 1990 36
error
Design/manufacturing
MTM T3 110/11 kV Single Supply Brush 1954 1997 43
error
KWA T2 110/11 kV Three Supply Siemens 1996 2008 12 Manufacturing error
KWA T3 110/11 kV Three Supply Siemens 2010 2010 0 Air ingress Air ingress during oil filling
Crompton Design/manufacturing
WPT T1 66/11 kV Three Supply 1954 1978 24
Greaves error
Metropolitan Design/manufacturing
UTK T1 66/11 kV Three Supply 1952 1994 42
Vickers error
Design/manufacturing
ADD T3 66/11 kV Single Supply ASEA 1948 1976 28
error
Metropolitan Design/manufacturing
ARI T10 50/11 kV Single Supply 1951 1978 27
Vickers error
Design/manufacturing
TUI T9 50/11 kV Single Supply English Electric 1952 1996 44
error
Design/manufacturing
WPW T2 11/11 kV Three Regulator English Electric 1950 1985 35
error

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F HISTORIC TRANSFORMER ‘MID-LIFE’ OVERHAULS


Since 1990, we have undertaken invasive maintenance and repairs on a large number of
single-phase transformers. This programme of work began with internal repairs on single-
phase interconnecting transformers at Benmore, where previous failures had indicated a
systemic problem with overheating winding connection leads.
The experience gained with this work led to a wider programme of invasive maintenance
and overhauls of ‘mid-life’ transformers, and three specialist service provider facilities were
established to undertake this work with workshops at Henderson, Bunnythorpe and
Islington.
The primary purpose of the work was to address emerging issues of corrosion and oil leaks,
and to dry out the transformer and re-clamp the windings. During this work some internal
defects such as burnt leads were also corrected.
The main purpose for this programme of work was to address a range of defects and
improve the likelihood that the transformers would achieve their originally intended design
life. This work is generally only carried out only where overhaul is economic compared with
replacement, taking into account the remaining life of the transformer before overall risk
factors or projected load growth would necessitate replacement.
The overhaul programme focused almost entirely on single-phase transformers. These
typically presented a more pressing case than the average three-phase transformer in terms
of oil condition, serious external corrosion and oil leaks. An operational spare unit is
available with most single-phase transformer installations, and this usually enabled all units
of a bank to be progressively overhauled by rotation of the spare unit.
In contrast, few three-phase transformers have undergone major overhaul. This is partly
because of the higher priority of single-phase transformers, but also because of the
unacceptable security risk created by removing the transformer from service for an
extended period for major overhaul, given that strategic spares have only recently been
available.
Over 300 transformers have been overhauled in the workshop based programme over the
past 11 years. The total costs of mid-life overhaul projects range from $2m to $4m each year
over this period.
The operational performance of overhauled transformers has been good, with only one
major failure occurring following overhaul. The work scope included transport to a specialist
workshop facility, followed by de-tanking, major overhaul and dryout.
By 2013, all the single-phase transformers that are the best candidates for the mid-life
overhaul programme will have been completed. The remaining single-phase transformers
are generally over 50 years old, and are not considered economically viable for such major
investment.

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