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5 INTRO TO MACROECON
Macroeconomics
● focuses on the determinants of total national output
● Aggregate - Sums
● Aggregate Behavior
○ behavior of all households and firms together
● Sticky Prices
○ prices that do not always adjust rapidly to maintain equality between quantity
supplied and quantity demanded
1. Output Growth
2. Unemployment
3. Inflation and Deflation
1. Output Growth
● Business Cycle
○ cycle of short-term ups and downs in the economy
● Aggregate Output
○ total quantity of goods and services produced in an economy in a given period
● Recessions
○ period during which aggregate output declines
○ 2 Consecutive Quarters
○ Depression
■ prolonged and deep recession
● Expansion/Boom
○ period in the business cycle from a trough up to a peak during which output and
employment grow
● Contraction/Recession/Slump
○ period in the business cycle from a peak down to a trough during which output
and employment fall
2. Unemployment
● Unemployment Rate
○ percentage of the labor force that is unemployed
○ unemployment rate is usually closely related to the economy’s aggregate output
● Monetary Policy
○ tools used by the Federal Reserve to control the quantity of money, which in turn
affects interest rates
History of Macroecon
● GREAT DEPRESSION
○ had the largest and longest aggregate output contraction in the twentieth century
in the United States
○ John Maynard Keynes
■ governments could intervene in the economy and affect the level of
output and employment
○ Fine-Tuning
■ used by Walter Heller to refer to the government’s role in regulating
inflation and unemployment
○ Stagflation
■ situation of both high inflation and high unemployment, slow or negative
output growth
○ Through the late 1960s, it was believed that the government could “fine-tune”the
economy to keep it running on an even keel at all times. The poor economic
performance of the 1970s, however, showed that fine-tuning does not always
work.
○ Since 1970,the U.S.economy has seen five recessions and two periods of high
inflation.
Intermediate Goods
● produced by one firm for use in further processing by another firm
Value Added
● difference between the value of goods as they leave a stage of production and the cost
of the goods as they entered that stage
Exclusion of used goods and paper transactions
● Old output is not counted in current GDP because it was already counted when it was
produced
● Sales of stocks and bonds are not counted in GD
○ Nothing to do with current production
○ But fee to broker is counted in GDP
Calculating GDP
1. Expenditure Approach
a. method of computing GDP that measures the total amount spent on all final
goods and services during a given period (add up total amount spent)
2. Income Approach
a. measures the income—wages, rents, interest, and profits— received by all
factors of production in producing final goods and services (add up total income)
EXPENDITURE APPROACH
● GDP = C + I + G + (EX-IM)
INCOME APPROACH
● NATIONAL INCOME
○ income earned by the factors of production owned by a country’s citizens
○ 8 items
■ Compensation of Employees
■ Proprietor's Income
■ Rental Income
■ Corporate Profits
■ Net Interest
■ Indirect taxes - subsidiaries
■ Net business transfer payments
■ Surplus of government enterprises
● Compensation of Employees
○ Includes wages, salaries, and various supplements—employer contributions to
social insurance and pension funds
● Proprietor’s Income
○ income of unincorporated businesses
● Rental Income
○ income received by property owners in the form of rent
● Corporate Profits
○ income of corporations
● Net Interest
○ interest paid by business
● PERSONAL INCOME
○ total income of households before paying personal income taxes.
○ Does not contain retained earnings (retained earnings are part of national income
but not personal income)
● DISPOSABLE INCOME
○ The amount of income that households have to spend or save is called
disposable personal income, or after-tax income.
○ It is equal to personal income minus personal income taxes.
● PERSONAL SAVING
○ The amount of disposable personal income left after total personal spending is
personal saving
● PERSONAL SAVING RATE
○ percentage of disposable personal income saved
Unemployment
Unemployed
o a person must be 15 (16 US) years old or older
o available for work
o have made specific efforts to find work during the previous 4 weeks
Not in the Labor Force
o not looking for work because he or she does not want a job or has given up
looking
o full-time students, retirees, individuals in institutions, those staying home to take
care of children, and discouraged job seekers.
o 15 y/o minimum to be considered part of labor force (16 US)
Labor Force
o Number of people employed plus the number of people unemployed
Frictional Unemployment
The portion of unemployment due to the normal turnover in the labor market
The frictional unemployment rate can never be zero
denote short-run job/skill-matching problems ,problems that last a few weeks
Structural Unemployment
Similar to frictional
denotes longer-run adjustment problems—those that tend to last for years
Cyclical Unemployment
Any unemployment that is above frictional plus structural
INFLATION
Output growth is the growth rate of the output of the entire economy.
Per-capita output growth is the growth rate of output per person in the economy.
Productivity growth is thus the growth rate of output per worker.
○ C = a + bY
■ C - aggregate consumption
■ Y - aggregate income
■ a - constant
● Minimum nutritional requirement/day
■ b- slope
● rise/run
● Change in consumption/Change in income
● ΔC/ ΔY
○ AGGREGATE SAVING
■ difference between aggregate income and aggregate consumption:
■ Income is either saved or consumed.
■ Saving = Investing
■ Savings = Income - Consumption
■ S ≡ Y-C
■ ≡ (identity)
■ Aggregate Savings = Aggregate Income (Y) - Aggregate Consumption (C)
○ MARGINAL PROPENSITY TO SAVE (MPS)
■ fraction of a change in income that is saved
■ MPS = ΔSAVINGS/ ΔY
■ Slope of saving function
○ GDP = C + I + G + X
■ I: Investments in Private Sector
○ Equilibrium: Y = C + Inv
■ Inventory buildup
Equilibrium
Disequilibrium
○ S=I
● Adjustment to Equilibrium
○ When firms try to keep their inventories intact by increasing production, this will
generate more income in the economy as a whole
○ adjustment process will continue as long as output (income) is below planned
aggregate expenditure
● THE MULTIPLIER
○ ratio of the change in the equilibrium level of output to a change in some
exogenous variable
○ EXOGENOUS VARIABLE
■ variable that is assumed not to depend on the state of the economy
○ The size of the multiplier depends on the slope of the planned aggregate
expenditure line. The steeper the slope of this line, the greater the change in
output for a given change in investment
■ The greater the MPC, the greater the multiplier
○ Multiplier = 1/1-MPC
● FISCAL POLICY
○ government’s spending and taxing behavior
■ Purchases of Goods and Services
■ Taxes
■ Transfer Payments
● MONETARY POLICY
○ Money Supply
● GOVERNMENT PURCHASES (G), NET TAXES (T), AND DISPOSABLE INCOME (Yd)
○ Net Taxes
■ Taxes paid by firms and households to the government minus transfer
payments made to households by the government
○ Government Purchases of Goods and Services (G)
○ Budget Deficit
■ G (government spending) – T (taxes)
■ If G > T, government sells bonds or t-bills
■ A part of household saving goes to the government
● MULTIPLIERS
○ Government Spending Multiplier
○ Tax Multiplier
○ Balanced-budget multiplier
○ GOVERNMENT SPENDING MULTIPLIER ≡ 1/MPS
■ ratio of the change in the equilibrium level of output to a change in
government spending
○ TAX MULTIPLIER
■ ratio of change in the equilibrium level of output to a change in taxes
■ Tax Multiplier ≡ -(MPC/MPS)
○ BALANCED-BUDGET MULTIPLIER
■ ratio of change in the equilibrium level of output to a change in
government spending where the change in government spending is
balanced by a change in taxes so as not to create any deficit
■ balanced-budget multiplier ≡ 1
FEDERAL BUDGET
● Political Document that dispenses favors to certain groups or regions and places
burdens (taxes) on others
● Reflection of Goals the government wants to achieve
● Embodiment of some beliefs about how (if at all) the government should manage the
macroeconomy
● Automatic Stabilizers
○ Revenue and expenditure items in the federal budget that automatically
change with the state of the economy in such a way as to stabilize GDP
● Automatic Destabilizers
○ Inflation
● Fiscal Drag
○ negative effect on the economy that occurs when average tax rates
increase because taxpayers have moved into higher income brackets
during an expansion
● Full-Employment Budget
○ What the federal budget would be if the economy were producing at the
full-employment level of output
● Structural Deficit
○ deficit that remains at full employment
● Cyclical Deficit
○ deficit that occurs because of a downturn in the business cycle
MONEY
● Barter
● medium of exchange, or means of payment
○ What sellers generally accept and buyers generally use to pay for goods and
services
STORE OF VALUE
● asset that can be used to transport purchasing power from one time period to another
UNIT OF ACCOUNT
● standard unit that provides a consistent way of quoting prices
● LEGAL TENDER
○ Money that a government has required to be accepted in settlement of debts
● CURRENCY DEBASEMENT
○ decrease in the value of money that occurs when its supply is increased
rapidly
○ Currency in Circulation
■ Physical currency held in our pockets
○ Arranged by accessibility
○ Near Monies
■ Close substitutes for transactions money, such as savings accounts and
money market accounts
PH
● M1 or Narrow Money
○ Same definition
● M2 or Broad Money
○ M1 + Peso Savings Accounts + Time Deposits (peso)
● Reserves
○ Deposits that a bank has at the federal reserve bank plus its cash on hand
● Required Reserve Ratio
○ percentage of its total deposits that a bank must keep as reserves at the Federal
Reserve
● Excess Reserves
○ difference between a bank’s actual reserves and its required reserves
○ excess reserves≡ actual reserves - required reserves
● Money Multiplier
○ Multiple by which deposits can increase for every dollar increase in reserves;
○ 1/required reserve ratio
● DISCOUNT RATE
○ interest rate that banks pay to the Fed to borrow from it
● Banks raise funding through:
○ Common Stock
○ Preferred Stock
○ Bond Issuances
○ Interbank Lending or Borrowing
■ Overnight lending
○ Central Bank Borrowing or Lending
○ Repurchase Agreement