Following the underdogs

How to win big $$ in baseball winning only 33% of the time!

Baseball is one of the easiest sports to make money at if you quit chasing away
your money playing favourites and start playing dogs...this system has made me
over 6-digits the last two years and will work if you follow my lead..........I will
explain how this works and will be somewhat lengthy but worth the reading.
First, please realize that there is way too much emphasis put on starting pitchers
in a game...why???...Simple, think about how many games are won in the 8th
and 9th innings when the starters are no longer around...enough said!
Second, use the simple mathematical formula by looking at any winning team in
the last 30 years, and you will find that even the very best teams hardly ever win
more that 67% of their games...A team that wins 100 games in a season still
loses 62! (38%)
Third, use the simple mathematical formula by looking at any of the worst teams
for the last 30 years, and you will find that even the very worst teams win at
least 55 games a year! (34%)
Yes, there are a few exceptions to the above but overall have stood the test of
time!
In other words, even the very best teams average losing 1 in every three games
and even the very worst teams average winning 1 in every 3 games. This will be
important later on.
What does all this mean underdog??? I will tell you now!
I call this feature Baseball the Underdog Way!

What I generally look for (with a multitude of variations) is a generally weaker

team playing on the road at a .500 or stronger opponent. What this guarantees
me is, that my weaker team will be an underdog for all games in the series. I AM
COUNTING ON MY WEAKER TEAM TO WIN AT LEAST 1 OF THE GAMES IN THE
SERIES. A series is usually 3 games but sometimes can be 4. Once your team
wins, you must stop and wait for the next series to begin!

Here is an example of a series:

Tampa Bay @ Ny Yankees

Game 1 NYY -200 Tampa +180

Game 2 NYY -180 Tampa +160
Game 3 NYY -230 Tampa +190

You may start with any bankroll that you wish...I personally will start with $7000.
Divide your starting bankroll by 7 (this example $1000). The reason that you
divide by 7 is that if you lose game 1, you double game 2 and if that loses, then
you double game 2 amount for game 3.
If you win the first game, stop--you made $1800
If you lose game one, double your bet for game 2 ($2000)
If you win, stop---you made series profit of $2200 ($3200 win for game 2 - game
1 loss of $1000).
If you lose game two, double the amount from game 2 ($4000)
If you win, stop---you made series profit of $4200 ($7200 win for game 3 - game
1 and 2 loss of $3000)
If you lose, sorry to you and me............I have done this for the past 3 years for
a total of 162 series---I have won 160 times and got swept all three games
twice...........that is some serious winnings.
I use a lot of various factors when choosing the series that I will play.... some of
those are as follows:

1) don’t play against a team on a winning streak of 3 or more games.

2) Don't play on a team that is on a losing streak of 3 or more.
3) Look at a teams road performance against opponent @ opponents
stadium.........some teams have remarkably good or bad history in certain
ballparks...I have found a lot of gems this way.
4) Is weather going to be a factor?? ---Yes, the weather. I don't worry about 1st
game weather only subsequent weather days.... because if one game gets
cancelled in your series, it may not be made up right away...I don’t worry about
game one, because if that game gets cancelled, then I cancel the series play and
wait for next.
5) In general, the team I am playing on, must be at least 4-6 in their last 10
games played and be at least a .400 team on the road or at least a .400 team
versus opponent.
6) In general, the team I am playing against must be no better than 6-4 in their
last 10 games played.
7) The team I am playing on, must have at least a .400 winning % versus the
opponent over the last 3 years.
8. As I stated before, these are general guidelines that I use but will very
depending on other criteria that may be relevant.

As a favour to all the guys in this forum, I will be posting these series plays every
time I am playing one...if you follow my lead, you will make a profit .........again,
I am 160-2 over the last 3 years doing this and have gobbled up plenty of profit
to show for it!

Make sure that when you bet on these games, that you use a sports book that
allows you to play "action goes" this simply means that if the game is played,
you have it...a lot of books use starting pitchers only. So if there is a late pitching
change, you have a "no action"