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SECED/EEFIT Meeting
April 30, 2014
Ibbi Almufti
Acknowledgments
Ron Alameida Laurence Kornfield Stuart Inglis Nick O’Riordan
San Francisco Dept. of Public Works Special Assistant to City of SF Risk Consultant, Arup Geotechnical Engineer, Arup
Prof. Mary Comerio Prof. Steve Mahin Laurie Johnson Katherine Shelton
UC Berkeley UC Berkeley Laurie Johnson Consulting First Republic Bank
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Our challenge
“the true costs of a disaster are felt most acutely at community level”
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• © PETER YANEV
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Performance Expectation for RC Tall Buildings in
San Francisco
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Performance Expectation for RC Tall Buildings in
San Francisco
Loss drivers
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Central Business District
was closed for more than
2 years.
• © TIM MOTE
• © TIM MOTE
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Royal Commission Conclusions
• “...it would not be sensible, in our opinion, to conclude that the
performance of buildings in the February earthquake demonstrates a need
for wholesale change.”
• “…the objective should be incremental improvement, rather than a change
of direction, and the necessary improvements can be incorporated within
the framework of the present rules.”
• “However, once the objective of life-safety is achieved, the question of the
extent to which buildings should be designed to avoid damage is a social
and economic one, and the answer depends on choices that society as a
whole must make.”
• “In the circumstances, our concept of “best practice” is one that reflects the
existing objective of life-safety, and looks to ensure that building damage is
minimized within the limits established by the existing knowledge about
earthquake risk and our understanding of the cost implications of more
onerous requirements.”
• “Any other approach would be a radical change that we do not consider
would be justified by the experience of the Canterbury earthquakes.”
• © TIM MOTE
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Other consequences – loss of
culture, sense of community,
and quality of life
• © TIM MOTE
A framework to implement
“resilience-based earthquake
design” for achieving ‘beyond-
code’ resilience objectives.
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REDi Resilience Objectives
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Defining Post-Earthquake Recovery States
Re-occupancy
Functionality
Full recovery
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Paths to Re-occupancy and Functional Recovery if
Building Undamaged
Utilities Restored
Functional
or Back-up
Systems Recovery
Re-occupancy
Earthquake
Occurs
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Paths to Re-occupancy and Functional Recovery if
Building Damaged
Functional
Utilities Restored
or Back-up Recovery
Systems
Re-occupancy
Earthquake
Earthquake
Occurs
Occurs
$$$
Building
Inspection Engineers Permitting
Repairs
Contractors
Long-lead
Items
Impeding Factors
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REDi Roadmap to Resilience
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Guiding Principles
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FEMA-based Earthquake Loss Assessment
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Fragility Curves
Partitions
DS1:
Cracking
DS2:
Crushing
DS3:
Warping
of studs
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Consequence Functions
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Confidence Levels for Earthquake Losses
100%
90%
80%
70%
Confidence Level
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
0.1 Financial Loss
1 $14M
10 $29M
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Improvement of FEMA Method for Downtime
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“Repair Classes”
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Impeding Factors to Recovery
Earthquake
Occurs
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Impeding Factors to Recovery
Earthquake
Occurs
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Utility Restoration Curves
Earthquake
Occurs
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Site-specific Utility Restoration Curves for SF
Earthquake
Occurs
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Performance Expectation for
REDi-designed Tall Buildings in SF
• Immediate re-occupancy
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Performance Expectation for
REDi-designed Tall Buildings in SF
How?
• Innovative structural
• $5.8M to repair cosmetic damage system
(~3.5% of building value) • Enhanced partition
connections
• Immediate re-occupancy • More displacement-
tolerant façade system
• Functionality is achieved within • Stronger elevator
1 month guiderails
• MEP equipment
functioning
• Contingency plans
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But that must cost a fortune!?
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Potential Incentives
Increased rental premiums for resilient buildings –
approximately 5% to 10%
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Potential Incentives
• Governments: zoning flexibility, expedited
permits, etc
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Project Example
• Downtown SF
• 55 stories, 800’ tall
• Mixed-use
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Earthquake Hazard in SF Bay Area
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Tall Building Performance-based Design Guidelines
(PEER TBI)
• SF required for most tall
buildings
• Requires code-equivalent
performance (i.e. “life-
safety” and “collapse
prevention”)
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First REDi “Gold” Building
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Structural Design
2.2.4 - Minimize Structural Damage
The superstructure (and foundations) are
designed to remain essentially elastic (e.g.
cracking allowed) for the demands in 2.2.2
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Reduced Earthquake Demands
Kinematic response
Free-field response
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Non-structural Enhancements
2.3.1 - Minimize Non-structural Damage
For non-structural components…design
the anchorage to remain essentially elastic
and design the components to
accommodate relative displacements with
minimal (aesthetic only) damage.
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Improved Partition Connection Performance
Standard
Partition
Improved
Partition
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Viable Alternative?
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Functional MEP Systems
2.3.2 - Equipment Functionality
Mechanical and electrical equipment,
back-up systems, or any other mission-
critical components…to remain operable
in the design level earthquake.
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Façades 700
Elevation (ft)
effective in preventing air and water 400
intrusion.
300
200
100
0
0.00% 0.20% 0.40% 0.60%
Drifts (%)
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Elevators
2.5.3 - Elevators
Elevator design meets the California Office
of Statewide Health Planning and
Development (OSHPD)…
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Expected Cost Implications to Achieve REDi Gold
Enhancement Cost above Baseline
Essentially elastic structure using innovative seismic None
features
Enhanced partition connections ~5% premium
Displacement-tolerant façade system None
Stronger elevator guiderails to meet CA hospital $63k to upgrade S1
requirements
Seismically-certified MEP equipment ?
Essentially elastic component anchorage Nominal
Contingency planning: $15k/yr
- Retain professional for post-EQ inspection
- Train facility manager to certify elevator
Recommendations for tenant fit-out contracts: None
- Anchor heavy and mission-critical contents
- Improved partitions
- Food and water
Observation of non-structural component installation $50k
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Seismic Peer Review None
Lessons (being) learned
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REDi Guidelines available for download
www.arup.com/publications
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