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limitations MSF, LAF, Repo, OMO, CRR, SLR, Revisited before upcoming Urjit
Article
Posted ByMrunalOn 30/01/2014 @ 7:13 pm In Economy | 283 Comments
1. Prologue
2. What is monetary policy?
3. Quantitative Tools
1. #1: Reserve Ratios (SLR and CRR)
2. #2: Open Market Operation (OMO)
3. #3: Policy Rate
4. Bank Rate
1. Liquidity Adjustment facility (LAF)
2. LAF Repo Rate
3. Marginal Standing facility (MSF)
4. Reverse repo Rate
5. Repo Rate in recent years:
4. Monetary Policy: limitations
5. Qualitative Tools
1. #1: Margin Requirements/ LTV
2. #2: Consumer credit regulation
3. #3: Selective credit control
4. #4: Moral Suasion
6. Monetary policy tools: Quantiative vs Qualitative
7. Appendix
1. #1: Why High SLR and High CRR are bad?
2. #2: Narsimhan (I) Committee 1991
3. #3: Narsimhan (II) Committee 1998
8. Mock Questions
Prologue
Next article is about RBI appointed Urjit Patel Committee on Monetary policy framework.
But before dwelling into that, we must recap the basic concepts of what is monetary policy: its tools and
limitations. Otherwise Urjit won’t make much sense.
Hence in a way, this whole article is a prologue to next article.
Suppose economy is showing inflationary trend. Prices of all goods and services are increasing day by
day.
How can RBI stop it using Reserve ratio as a tool?
In this case, RBI should RAISE the reserve ratios.
Observe:
Right now
People deposited total this much money in SBI (net demand & TIME
100 cr.
liabilities NDTL)
CRR (4%) [SBI has to keep this much cash aside for reserve] -4 cr
SLR (23%) [SBI has to invest this much money in RBI approved
-23 cr.
securities]
100-4-23=73
Money left with SBI
Cores.
Say RBI raises SRL to 40% and CRR to 15% then?
Originally 100 cr
SLR 40 -40
CRR 15 -15
Money left with SBI 45 cr.
You can see, when Rajan has raised reserve ratio, money with SBI is reduced (from 73 crores to just 45
crores.)
Imagine you’re a money lender. You’ve 100 crore rupees and you must make Rs.1 crore profit in a year.
Obviously, you should lend it @1% interest rate. (because 1% of 100 crore = 1 crore.)
But what if you’ve only 2 crore rupees, and you still want to make Rs.1 croer profit in a year?
Now you must lend it @50% interest rate. (because 50% of 2 cores = 1 crore.)
Observe that as money decreased (from 100 to 2), loan interest rate increased (from 1% to 50%).
Same happens when SBI is left with less money (after RBI increases reserve ratio).
Situation: Economy has inflationary trend. Prices of goods and services increasing every day.
Solution: RBI raised reserve ratio (CRR, SLR)
Result: SBI is left with less money to lend.
Consequences:
1. SBI raises its loan interest rate
2. Businessmen borrow less money from SBI
3. Businessmen donot start new business. Donot expand existing business
4. Result=Less jobs. Even existing employees discharged. If anyone remains in the job, he doesn’t get pay
raise. He starts cutting down unnecessary expenditure (e.g. buying two newspapers, getting his shirts
ironed, drinking tea @4PM in office and so on. Thus even paper-wall, dhobi, chai-walla- everyone’s
income reduced.)
5. Result= Less income (Because of above reasons)
6. Result= Less demand of goods and services (because less income).
7. Ultimately shopkeeper will bring down the prices to attract people into buying more things.
Thus inflation is reduced.
You may doubt- what about supply side bottlenecks, what about cost push and demand pull inflation :
I’m not going into all that details at the moment, else this article will become longer than five
kilometers.
During deflation, RBI will do the reverse. (i.e. RBI buys “Sabzi” from SBI). How will it stop deflation?
Think in your head.
Skip If you don’t know the answer, Just leave it instead of risking negative mark.
Attempt Correct answer is Opt C.
It means you’ve unsure of the answer. 50:50. So you mark the question number
Mark n
(say 45), at the back of your question paper. At the end of exam, if you’re left with
Review.
10-15 free minutes. You look at the question again, and try to solve it.
So, should you put above question in “mark n review”?
No.
Because it’s a definition based question. If you don’t know the definition of “OMO” you might tick a
wrong answer and fail. Most of the sincere players fail in prelims because of this reason. They push their
luck in negative marking to overcome an ‘imaginary’ cutoff and thus dig up their own grave. (especially
during last 10-15 minutes of the exam.)
Moral of the story: never put “fact/definition” type MCQs in Mark-n-Review.
Let’s solve a bit more complicated MCQ from 2012’s CSAT paper.
Q.Which of the following measures would result in an increase in the money supply in economy?
Focus on first statement “Purchase of government securities from public by central bank”: will it increase
money supply in the system?
Imagine Rajan puts an ad in newspaper: bring your Sabzi (vegetables), I’ll buy it. Junta gives him their
own veggies, Rajan gives them money. (a classic buy and sell).
Ultimate result: money supply increased in the system- because junta got the money. Meaning #1
definitely correct.
If you think it on technical terms. Central bank purchases government securities=OMO (Open market
operation), where money shifts hands from RBI to people.
Hence money supply increased. (In reality, money doesn’t go to ‘aam admi’ directly, but those bankers
and non-banking institutions who participate in OMO). Anyways, #1 is right, Eliminate choices that do
not have #1
a. Only 1
b. 2 and 4
c. 1 and 3
d. 2, 3 and 4
Now the final answer depends on whether statement #3 is right or wrong?
Statement #3 says “Borrowing by government from the central bank.” (So, will it increase money
supply?)
How does Government borrow from Central bank? Does Mohan just callup Rajan and demand 1 lakh
crores? No. Mohan will have to give Rajan that much government securities (vegetables) and Rajan will
give him cash.
Is money supply increased? Yes Mohan sold veggies to Rajan and got Money. Whenever Rajan buys
veggies and pays – the money supply is increased. (this is similar to Open Market operation)
Besides, Mohan can then use money to pay salaries of government staff, pay for rail-road-bridges and
other infrastructure projects, pay for MNREGA and so on. Therefore Answer C: 1 and 3 correct.
Counter- argument?
What if Rajan subsequently sells those (Mohan’s) securities to bankers. Then banker’s money reduced.
Hence #3 is wrong. Therefore final answer A only 1.
So, what’s the final answer: is it A or is it C?
Viewpoint 1: yes. Because bank can used it to expand loanable credit. (as explained in Money creation
topic in Class 12 NCERT Macroeconomics page 39 onwards).
Viewpoint 2: no. (Because Bank will have to put some money aside as CRR- so that much money is less
in the system.)
Either way it doesn’t change the answer. Because We know that statement 1 is definitely correct. And
there is no option where (1,2) are given simultaneously.
Anyways, Moving on…So far, RBI has two tools under monetary policy:
Bank Rate
When banks borrow long term funds from RBI. They’ve to pay this much interest rate to RBI. [Note:
different books give different explanation of Bank Rate. I’ve used NDTV’s definition]
At present, Bank rate= 9%
Collateral: nothing. (Bank can borrow money without pledging government securities to RBI)
Bank rate is not the main tool to control money supply these days.
Nowadays, RBI uses LAF Repo rate as the main tool, to control money supply.
Ok then What’s the use of Bank rate?
Penal rates are linked with Bank rate. For example, If a bank doesn’t maintain CRR, SLR as per the
prescribed limit.
Then RBI can impose penalty interest on such notorious bank.
At present, Penalty rate = Bank rate + 3% (or 5% in some cases)
Meaning if Bank rate = 9% then penalty rate=9+3=12%
Anyways, what if RBI wants to fight inflation using bank rate as a “tool”?
Obviously they should increase bank rate. That way it becomes harder (more expensive) for banks to
borrow from RBI.=> SBI increases its loan rates (to keep the profit margin same). Result?
If client borrows money from RBI (for short term) then client has to pay this much
Repo
interest rate to RBI. At present Repo is 8%. (article written on 29th Jan 2014)
If client lends money to RBI (for short term) then RBI has to pay this much
Reverse
interest rate to client. RBI doesn’t like headache. So they made a simple formula:
Repo
Reverse repo rate= Repo MINUS 1%=8-1=7%.
Collateral:
Problem with running a “adda/gambling-den” = sometimes client drinks too much desi liquor and passes
out on floor. Sometimes he even dies because of ‘hooch’. Sometimes police raids the den, and clients
run away with cash and register.
If such things happen, Rajan will be at loss. So, he demands “government securities” as collataral. So
even if client doesn’t repay money on time, Rajan can sell those securities (in open market operations)
and recover money.
SBI chairman Arundhati ma’m wants to borrow Rs.100 crore (for short term).
She gives her stash of government securities to Rajan.
Rajan gives her Rs.100 crore.
Madam Also signs an agreement
“I, Arundhati Bhattacharya, agree to buy same securities from Rajan, at 108 crores after 14 days.”
Notice that she has agreed to “re-purchase” same securities from Rajan. Therefore its called “Repo.”
And how much interest rate did she pay on this “loan”? [108-100]/100=8%. That’s our repo rate.
Important:
Recall that SBI also has to keep part of her money in RBI approved securities (under SLR).
So Madam cannot USE those government securities to borrow under Repo Rate from Rajan.
That leads to a new topic
Situation: Economy has inflationary trend. Prices of goods and services increasing every day.
Solution: Rajan increases “Repo rate”. (say from 7.75% to 8%).
Result: it becomes expensive for SBI to borrow from Rajan. They’ll increase their own rates as well.
Wait. How?
Just like how things roll in Onion biz.
If prices of Onion rise in Maharashtra’s wholesale yard (in Lasangaon), then immediately, retail veggie
@Ahmedabad will also raise their onion prices to keep the profit margin same.
Consequences:
1. SBI raises its loan interest rate (to keep profit margin same)
2. Businessmen borrow less money from SBI.
3. Businessmen donot start new business. Donot expand existing business.
4. Less jobs
5. Less income
6. Less demand
7. Ultimately shopkeeper will bring down the prices to attract people into buying more things.
Thus inflation is reduced.
Agreed that prices of onion, sugar, pulses and food are subject to vagaries of monsoon and black
marketeering. Rajan cannot do anything about it.
Agreed that crude oil prices are subject to rupee-Dollar exchange rate, external factors and
government’s de-regulation of their prices. Rajan doesn’t have much control over this.
But still even in the non-food, non-fuel type commodities- RBI’s monetary policies have failed to curb
inflation. WHY? Observe the following image.
Suppose Vijay Mallay got 100 crore loan from State Bank of India. If you trace the ‘source’ of that
money, it’ll turnout 60-70 crores came from bank’s savings account, fixed deposit etc. Rajan lends
money in repo rate –yes, but that doesn’t mean banks depend only on Rajan to arrange the cash for its
clients.
Suppose Rajan reduces repo rate from 8% to 5%. Banks are not legally required to reduce their loan
interest rates.
Because those common men are the main suppliers of money to SBI.
RBI is not the main supplier of money to SBI.
SBI will only change its base rate, when she feels necessary for its own profit / loss compared to its
competitors.
Does it mean Repo rate system is bogus and ineffective?
Not always.
In developing countries like India, most people park their money in only four things: savings account,
fixed deposit (FD), provident fund and LIC. We’ve mutual funds, we’ve NPS, we’ve ULIPs, we’ve Rajiv
Gandhi equity savings scheme –
but most people (particularly the older generation) feels insecure in into such new things. Therefore lot
of money flows into Savings accounts and fixed deposits= SBI’s main source of money.
But, In advanced economies, like USA, people don’t invest large portion their income in savings account
or FD. They’ve variety of investment options. So, for those American banks, their own Central bank (US
Feds) is a significant money supplier.
Hence US Feds’ monetary policy shows faster impact on their American Banks, THAN Rajan’s monetary
policy on Desi banks.
1. People don’t have many investment alternatives. Commercial banks have large deposits. Rajan is not
the main or even prominent money supplier for these banks. Whatever Rajan does, its effect will be felt
only after 6-8 months but by that time, new factors would cause another rise in inflation and Rajan will
have to start from scratch again.
2. Non-Monetized economy: in rural areas, many transactions are still of barter nature. (E.g. kiranawalla
cum middleman supplies seeds, pesticides, fertilizers- in exchange of share in farmer’s produce.)
3. Lack of financial inclusion. Since most people are not in the banking net. They rely on Shroffs and
moneylenders. Many of them circulate the black money of cops and politicians, and charge 36% interest
rate on loans. Rajan has no control over them.
4. Monsoon uncertainty, cyclone, flood, draughts and their effect on food production. Food inflation
=>newspaper walla, washerman, barber, car mechanic everyone will raise their service fees to
accommodate their raised cost of living. Rajan has no control over them.
5. Crude oil and gold import + negative effect when rupee weakens. Rajan can try to bring 1$=Rs.65 to
$1=63 Rs. But he has not enough forex reserves to bring $1=Rs.50.
6. Fiscal deficit, illogical schemes. e.g MNREGA worker digs a temporary road. After first rain, t he road is
wiped out= physical infrastructure added to economy… no. Wages raised…..yes. = this mismatch leads
to more inflation.
7. Subsidy leakage, Black money, underground economy.
8. And most importantly, because Rajan uses Multi-indicator approach, he focuses on WPI (minus food and
fuel). That’s why Urjit Patel recommends him to target CPI. More on that in next article.
So far, we learned that RBI has two sets of tools/instruments under monetary policy:
Increase downpayment from 30%=>50% (meaning bank can give less loan. Customer himself has to
arrange lot of money from his own pocket)
Rajan can make rule “banks cannot accept EMI less than 5000 on car loan.” Observe:
Case #1: 100 EMIs worth 1000 each = 1,00,000. (ignore interest rates)
In case #2: some of the lower-middleclass families may postpone their decision to purchase nano car
(Because they can’t afford higher EMIs.)
Result= less demand=>prices reduced. (indirectly- because car mechanics get less work, number-plate
painters get less orders etc. so they reduce fees to attract new clients and retain existing clients.)
Thus, Rajan can control money supply by changing downpayment and installment (EMI) rules.
#3: Selective credit control
Under this, Rajan can specifically instruct bankers not to give loans to traders of certain commodities
e.g. sugar, gur, edible oil etc.
even if the said trader is ready to mortgage his shares/bonds/factory/machine/vehicle anything.
this prevents speculations/ hoarding of commodities using money borrowed from banks.
#4: Moral Suasion
Here Rajan tries to persuade the bankers to do xyz thing. Example
1. Please reduce giving automobile loans- instead park your money in government securities. (above the
SLR requirements.)
2. I’ve reduced my repo rate, now you also reduce your base rate.
Rajan will try to influence those bankers via- direct meetings, conference, giving media statements,
giving speeches @public seminars, university convocations etc. (even where bankers are not present.)
He’ll do so, to build a public opinion, media opinion and influence those bankers by making them feel
‘guilty’.
Q. RBI Acts as banker’s bank. This would imply which of the following?
1. Other banks retain their deposits with RBI
2. RBI lends funds to commercial banks in the times of need.
3. RBI advises commercial banks on monetary matters.
Correct Statement
1. Only 2 and 3
2. Only 1 and 2
3. Only 1 and 3
4. 1, 2 and 3
Approach:
Whenever you face such 3 statement MCQ or 4 statement MCQ, Always use “elimination” method. First
you find out a statement that is definitely right or definitely wrong. In above case, we can see #2 is
definitely right. RBI lends funds to banks in the times of need (Repo, MSF)
1. Only 2 and 3
2. Only 1 and 2
3. Only 1 and 3
4. 1, 2 and 3
This did not help much. We still have three choices left. Observe statement #1: Other banks retain their
deposits with RBI. That is correct with respect to cash reserve ratio. CRR is one type of deposit that
banks make to RBI. (RBI doesn’t pay interest on it- that’s a different story).
Meaning #1 is also correct eliminate choices that donot have #1
1. Only 2 and 3
2. Only 1 and 2
3. Only 1 and 3
4. 1, 2 and 3
Only two choices left and the ultimate solution = is statement #3 is correct or not?
Viewpoint #1 Viewpoint #2
The statement says “RBI advises commercial banks on
monetary matters.”The word “advises” makes this
RBI does advice those banks. We
statement incorrect. Because RBI doesn’t “Advice” they
saw it under “Moral Suasion.”
just order the banks- be it SLR, CRR, PSL. RBI doesn’t
Therefore, Statement #3 is right.
advice, RBI gives orders and direction. Therefore
statement #3 is wrong.
Even if we accept that RBI “advices”, still the questions Money Banking and finance, E
asks what is implied by “RBI as Banker’s bank.” So, RBI Narayan Nadar (PHI publication).
advices “moral suasion” that is a monetary policy tool. He has specifically listed this
RBI’s not doing it as a “Banker” to those banks. Therefore, “Advice” function under
Statement #3 is definitely wrong. Banker’s bank topic.
Answer (B) Answer (D)
So, is it B or is it D? Final judge is UPSC.
They had uploaded CSAt-2012 official answer key on their site.
This question is Test Series A, Question #75 and its official answer is “D” = meaning all three
statements are correct.
If you face such MCQ in exam, what should be your approach?
Upto you. But if you start skipping all such question (OMO, Money supply,
Banker’s bank), because you’re completely unaware of those topics=that is not
Skip
pardonable.it shows you’re underprepared for this exam. You should either change
your study method or change the game- try for some easier exam.
This question is attemptable, if you don’t ‘nitpick’ over the word “advises” in third
Attempt
statement.
If you’ve thoroughly prepared the RBI’s monetary tools (both qualitative and
quantitative), you can solve it by applying concepts/principles- particularly the
Mark n
moral suasion thing. But if you’re still doubtful over whether #3 is right or wrong,
Review
then better skip. If you skip because you’re ‘doubtful’ = that is pardonable. But if
you skip because you’re completely unaware of this topic= non-bailable offense.
Appendix
These are the topics I wanted to discuss in the article, but they would break the flow of other topics.
Hence writing them @bottom:
1. High cost of credit (because bank will try to make maximum profit from those 27 crores- so bank will
charge very high interest rate on the business loans- to pay off for the staff salaries, branch office rents
and everything.)
2. Businessman cannot expand his business.
3. Less exports.
4. Less tax income for the government.
So in a way- that was also one of the factors leading to Balance of Payment crisis (and subsequently LPG
reforms.) You can read more about that in NCERT Class 11- chapter 2 and 3.
1. allow VRS in the banks so they can get rid of excessive staff.
2. Suggested additional Legal reforms for loan recovery. =>SARFAESI 2002.
3. Computerization, electronic fund transfer, legal framework => Payment and Settlement Act=>Retail
(ECS, NEFT, credit Card) + Wholesale (RTGS)
4. Permit new private /foreign banks. RBI invited license in 2001= Yes Bank and Kotak Mahindra got
licenses. 2013: RBI again invited applications for bank licenses.
[Note: list of recommendations not exhaustive, I’ve only highlighted important topics that show
‘evolution’ of banking sector in recent times.]
Mock Questions
1. With open market operations, RBI can
a. increase liquidity in the economy, but cannot decrease it
b. decrease liquidity in the economy, but cannot increase it
c. Can increase or decrease liquidity in the economy to control money supply.
d. None of above.
2. By which of the following methods, government can reduce money supply in the economy?
a. taxation
b. sale of securities to public
c. both A and B
d. neither A nor B
3. During the period of deflation
a. RBI should use dear money policy to combat it
b. Government should reduce its tax rates.
c. both A and B
d. Neither A nor B.
4. IF prices are lowered without causing unemployment, we call it:
a. stagflation
b. reflation
c. disflaction
d. Disinflation.
5. Which of the following contains correct set of quantitative instruments of monetary policy?
a. reserve ratio, bank rate, margin requirements
b. open market operations, margin requirements, regulation of consumer credit
c. cash reserve ratio, bank rate, open market operation
d. None of above
6. Which of the following contains correct set of qualitative instruments of monetary policy?
a. reserve ratio, bank rate, margin requirements
b. credit rationing, margin requirements, regulation of consumer credit
c. cash reserve ratio, bank rate, open market operation
d. None of above
Q7. To counter the effect of deflation, which of the following steps should RBI initiate?
1. decrease reserve ratios
2. buy government securities through open market operation
3. increase policy rate
Answer choices
a. only 1 and 2
b. only 2 and 3
c. only 1 and 3
d. 1, 2 and 3
Q8. To counter inflation, which of the following steps should RBI initiate?
1. Increase reserve ratios
2. sell government securities through open market operation
3. Increase policy rate
Answer choices
a. only 1 and 2
b. only 2 and 3
c. only 1 and 3
d. 1, 2 and 3
Q9. Which of the following may cause deflation in the economy?
1. RBI raises policy rate
2. RBI raises cash reserve ratio
3. RBI sells securities
Choices:
a. only 1 and 2
b. only 2 and 3
c. only 1 and 3
d. all 1,2 and 3
Q10. Money supply in the economy, is affected by
1. Cheap money policy and dear money policy.
2. Open market operation and Moral Suasion.
3. Consumer credit regulation and loan to value ratio.
Choices:
a. only 1 and 2
b. only 2 and 3
c. only 1 and 3
d. all 1, 2 and 3
Q11. An increase in SLR
1. will restrict the expansion of bank’s credit
2. will increase bank’s investment in safe securities
3. will ensure solvency of the banks
choices:
a. only 1 and 2
b. only 2 and 3
c. only 1 and 3
d. all 1,2 and 3
Mains/interview type questions- after we check Urjit Patel’s recommendations on strengthening
monetary policy.
Hints
1. can increase by buying, can decrease by selling
2. both [or only B, depending on how UPSC examiner interprets the effect of taxation on money supply. In
one of the reputed book on Banking and finance, author Narayan Nadar claimed taxation can affect
money supply.]
3. dear money policy during deflation =adds insult to the injury of businessman. If government reduces
tax- then its revenue collection will drastically reduce. So both incorrect. [OR debatable- depending on
how UPSC examiner interprets the effect of taxation during deflation.]
4. directly given in the article.
5. see the last table in the article
6. see the last table in the article
7. observe the table before the topic “repo rate in recent years”
8. same as above
9. same as above
10. All correct. (Unless you nitpick and drag the logic too much.)