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reality for each customer, then you have to let advertising and its impact on price sensitivity.
them supply their own (and hope that they’re Final price decisions must take into account how
willing to share it with you). Another crucial
question to ask yourself is: can respondents
aggressive a marketing campaign you are pre-
pared to mount -- particularly for novel prod-
HOW TO DESIGN AND IMPLEMENT
accurately assess price-value based on a product ucts whose benefits are not yet easily under-
concept or simple prototype? If not, you may stood by consumers and whose price-value re- SUCCESSFUL PRICING RESEARCH
need to conduct in-home or in-office trial -- quires sustained promotional efforts to convey.
particularly for repeat purchase items like
On balance, good pricing research sets realistic
consumer package goods or – conversely – high
expectations and blends art with science. The
COUNSEL & CAVEATS FROM THE TRENCHES
ticket and complex items like software or other
results should never be regarded as the
systems innovations. We’ve produced some
definitive basis for making a price decision but
very elaborate demo diskettes and videos to
rather, as one ingredient -- one important in- I often confess to clients who inquire about
convey the spirit of complex new systems. SUSAN SCHWARTZ McDONALD
gredient, certainly -- in the intellectual mix. I
President and CEO price sensitivity measurement that I have deep
counsel clients to recall that this is a social
It is also worth pondering the magnitude of National Analysts reservations about it. I tell them that it’s one of
science, with all the poetry that implies, and not the areas in marketing research where our
demand overstatement. Overstatement is less of
a science -- which means that sound pricing tools and techniques seem often to fail us -- or,
a concern if your objective is pricing rather than decisions must remain exquisitely sensitive to
absolute forecasting -- but it can be a worry if at least, to seem especially disadvantaged --
the industry and the market context. Data are
the level of overstatement isn’t comparable at all because price is so emotionally and intellectu-
never a substitute for judgment and neither ally charged a concept for both the buyer and
price points: Are people more likely to over- should they be used as an excuse to dismiss
state demand at low prices than high ones? I'm the marketer. To arrive at some meaningful
intuition. It is not enough to discover from your
convinced that this is a real problem, by the assessment of perceived price-value, one has
research that you can charge $25,000 a year for a
way, but I'm not sure how to resolve it. A wor- to leap over two hurdles: first, the challenge of
therapy; you must also be prepared to consider requiring people to make a trustworthy pre-
thy topic of research for the academicians in the whether there may be penalties to pay down the
audience, perhaps. diction about their purchase decisions; and
road once your customers have new options to
second, the unreasonableness of expecting
entertain and can exact retribution for ex-
Another issue to deliberate is the impact of people to compute and signal a tolerance for
tortionate pricing in years past. varying levels of expenditure in a way that is
promotional spending levels on price sensi-
tivity. We have developed demand models that Pricing research is a compass, not an automatic both self-aware and candid. Still, as one client
incorporate promotion response in various navigational system. Expect it to provide worth- reminded me long ago: Either I guess alone ...
industries, but we have been less attentive to the while guidance but not irrefutable answers, and or I guess with your help. And when it was
impact of promotion on price sensitivity per se. be prepared to select different tools from your put like that to me, I realized that my alle-
Notably by promotion, I am referring not only pricing kit for different marketing problems. giance lay on the side of imperfect research
to discounts and coupons -- which, of course, One size, one tool definitely does not fit all. when the alternative was clearly no research at
effectively alter price. I am speaking as well of Good luck in your pricing adventures. all.

I think all of us treat pricing research as a kind


šl› of due diligence, recognizing that sometimes,
National Analysts, Inc. is a research and consulting organization providing marketing guidance to corporations in a range of all we have to offer our clients is a consci-
industries and product categories. Originally established as an independent entity in 1943, National Analysts was acquired by
Booz•Allen & Hamilton Inc., the international management and technology consulting firm, in 1970. In 1992, National entious, well-documented guess. If this
Analysts once again became an independent, privately-owned company with a continuing focus on marketing research and seems a nihilistic note on which to address
consulting the professional pricing society, let me say
Throughout its long history, National Analysts has addressed a wide range of business problems, earning a reputation for simply that I am here to counsel realistic ex-
methodological innovation and unusual success in handling challenging and complex assignments. It is distinguished by a pectations and, in general, to make the case
unique balance of research and consulting resources, and a professional staff whose methodological skills are complemented that high tech doesn’t necessarily equate to
by depth of market knowledge and Industry experience.
This is the transcript of a presentation de- high levels of pricing confidence.
NATIONAL ANALYSTS livered at the Professional Pricing Society’s
1835 Market Street Sixth Annual Pricing Conference Pricing is, in my experience, a sort of in-
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19103-2984 (October 1995 ◆ Chicago, Illinois). tellectual negotiating process tied closely to
Tel: (215) 496-6800 ◆ Fax: (215) 496-6801
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product positioning. From the very first, you that may blunt or qualify the value of a product There is no single approach that makes sense for REMINDER: THERE IS A PLACE IN PRICING RESEARCH
are asking consumers one of several things: improvement. In the pharmaceutical arena, for all markets and research problems. Factors to FOR THE SOFT CURVES OF QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS
whether the extra value they will receive is example, improved efficacy may bring with it consider in framing the question include the
substantial enough to justify a premium; or, as more toxic side effects. Some early color nature of the purchase decision -- is it a major, QUALITATIVE PRICE SENSITIVITY CURVE
the case may be, whether the product deficit printers were slower to print and quicker to jam. infrequent purchase, for example, or a recurrent, 5
warrants some pricing concession; or indeed, And an instant camera is still generally not the low budget acquisition? Also important is the 4
whether a discount per se is sufficient to secure weapon of choice for more artistic photogra- decision context and the nature of the com-
market advantage, all other things being equal. phers. Even so, I get a little anxious when my petition: Are there varied options with which 3
(Of course, all other things rarely are equal clients ask to test a pricing range that encom- the product competes and are those options 2
since, if nothing else, inertia makes some passes a 25% discount and a 50% premium. I subject to frequent pricing variations? Is the 1
products more equal than others.) call that prurient interest, not due diligence. product thoroughly defined and immutable, or
0
will respondents perceive that they require $100 $200 $300 $400
THESE QUESTIONS PRESUME AN INGOING MARKET
PRICE SENSITIVITY MEASUREMENT STRATEGY AND A FRAME OF VALUE REFERENCE some hands-on experience before making a
commitment?
n “Asks permission” to charge higher prices for n Marketers usually recognize (or sense) at the Qualitative research can, on occasion, stand in
added value without loss of sales outset whether they have an improved product,
a parity product, or a disadvantaged one In general, I urge clients and questionnaire for quantitative research -- when, for example,
or
architects to structure the question in ways that there aren't enough heads to count in the
n Seeks confirmation that discount pricing will n They also tend to know the benchmarks and con-
increase, not depress, revenues (i.e., is not a text for evaluation -- even for truly novel products feel most comfortable and realistic for re- marketplace or the product is really a "deal"
gratuitous concession) spondents. Of course, if you offer people the that’s simply too complex to define as a single
l Price-value of competing products
or opportunity to state a probability of purchase, product or service and too varied to con-
l Price-value of alternative technologies
n Seeks reassurance that the discount is an adequate you must have ready an algorithm for con- ceptualize at a series of discrete price points.
l Cost/penalty to customer of doing/buying
concession, in light of product “deficits”
nothing at all verting those probability scores to projected
purchase decisions in order to compute your … QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS
revenues. It goes without saying that the bot-
In any case, the way you conceive the pricing Pricing research should be thought of more as tom line in pricing analysis is the projected n Before you count heads …
question in your head presumes an ingoing calibration than discovery. It is, ideally, a vehi- revenue stream at any given price. Some sur- l Am I testing the right prices?

marketing strategy and a frame of value refer- cle to confirm: “Are my assumptions about the rogate measure or forecast of demand is the key to l Am I testiing the right product?

ence that tells you what price ballpark you are in. basic product positioning correct?” How much that calculation. l Am I testing with the true decision-makers?

extra value do I deliver, and to whom? How much l What is the decision context?
(e.g., Do my buyers know prices?)
Marketers usually know, or at least sense, at the price incentive must I give to compensate for
Throughout this discussion, I have made n In lieu of counting heads …
outset whether, in general terms, they have an recognized shortcomings -- or for the luxury of
nihilistic reference to some of the pitfalls one l When aren’t there enough heads to count
improved product, a parity product, or a dis- being just like those who preceded me? (<200 customers)?
can encounter in the course of doing pric-
advantaged one. And they also tend to know l When the “deal” is too complex to capture as a set
the context and the relevant benchmarks for It’s also a vehicle for identifying any emerging ing research, but the careful listener will of discrete points
evaluation, even if the product is an innovative changes in the market context that are note that many -- certainly not all of them, but
one. For example, anti-lock brake systems are a threatening to alter the frame of value reference. many -- can be negotiated with some success
clear improvement over conventional brakes. A This last issue deserves a quick comment be- if the proper groundwork is laid. Before you I want to leave you, in this same cautionary
once-a-day drug is preferable to a three times cause a change in the frame of reference is pre- trouble to count heads, it is critically important spirit, with some things to explore when you
per day drug. And cappuccino is worth more cisely what happened to all my clients in the to do the necessary qualitative reconnaissance. embark on qualitative research or you search
than your ordinary cuppa jo -- at least I think so, pharmaceutical industry who experienced a Qualitative research will help ensure that you your own understanding of the marketplace for
although I suppose there are segments that may paradigm shift (forgive the phrase) from what are in the right ballpark with your prices guidance in design. Ask yourself: Do cus-
not share my addiction. But, in general, after seemed like the decadent, permissive luxury of and your customers. (Are you contemplating tomers know the prices of competing products?
investing time and money in development, you cost-plus pricing to the more austere draconian the right range of points and are the people If they don't yet, but you believe that they
have, or should have, a feel for where you are on rule of pharmacoeconomic outcomes. Once able you are talking to even likely to consider your would in a real world purchase venue, then you
that pricing curve -- the neighborhood, if not the to command a premium for convenience, or product?) Equally important, qualitative may need to supply them. But remember,
precise street. even for novelty alone, the drug companies are research helps to define the decision con- educate them only up to the point that you
now selling to institutional decision-makers who text, by revealing, for example, whether buy- believe mimics reality. Don't over-educate
In all fairness, however, progress does not al- ask only: Does it save money? And second, does ers understand the product category, re- them. In that same spirit, consider whether you
ways proceed in a straight line, and there are it improve outcomes ... thus saving money. cognize and conceptualize competitive prod- are, in fact, capable of supplying the correct
sometimes little tradeoffs in product design The drug industry is engaged in the truly unique ucts, etc. pricing context. If there is a different pricing
10 3

of price (and may, in fact, pay different prices, It places price in a total context of demand enterprise of having to prove the life-saving quently removed from the marketplace by a few
depending on how and where they shop), it’s drivers and helps us to determine how im- value of its products via unpredictable outcomes layers of responsibility, and sometimes even by
usually preferable to provide the information if portant price truly is relative to other product studies that may take many years to complete. a few continents. That political agenda, by the
we are in doubt, rather than leave the matter attributes. In fact, by varying those other at- Failing that, they’re having to attach an eco- way -- the search for empirical proof that a new
open. Remember that research respondents are tributes, conjoint tends to obscure or camouflage nomic value to soft, subjective product benefits product or a new technology can’t command the
never quite like actual purchasers; among other our focus on price and can thus reduce some of like quality of life. This can really be a margin everyone is hoping for -- that’s often
things, they are usually less well-educated about the hypersensitivity or distortion we associate nightmare for companies who must begin the how we come to have sensitivity curves strad-
the options they will encounter in the real world with comparative measurement. Generally, we rudiments of a pricing process long before they dling price points from the sublime to the ri-
because they haven’t necessarily put in all the sometimes go so far as to utilize a conjoint know whether or not they even have a mar- diculous -- you know: the 30% discount to the
leg work to arrive at an informed decision. design to measure price sensitivity -- merely for ketable product. 50% premium. Conscientious marketers want to
the purpose of deflecting attention from the be prepared to field any price question their
COMPARATIVE MEASUREMENT CAN TAKE SEVERAL
pricing component of the analysis -- even when
The drug industry is a rather dramatic example managers might pose, sometimes at the risk of
FORMS we’re quite persuaded that we know what our
of upheaval -- but other industries and product compromising the validity of the data they col-
n Fixed product in isolation: “Would you buy a Ford Taurus
product looks like. In all fairness, however, I
at $X… at $Y?” should point out that as useful, and as slick, as categories contend with less volatile disruptions lect by pursuing too many, or too diverse, a set
l Leaves competitive context vague and undefined
conjoint can be, it, too, has the potential to and cultural rule changes all the time. Right now, of price options.
l Fixes product; varies price
distort price sensitivity by conveying the full Ford is offering Probes and Mustangs at dis-
n Product-brand tradeoffs: “Would you buy a Ford Taurus While it’s hard to argue against what I’ve called
at $X if a Honda Civic is $Y?” range of price options at the outset. The counter- count prices to clear the lots, but they’re finding
l Varies prices and brands in a defined market context
argument is that because other product features that they don’t need to yield an inch on the prurient pricing interest without sounding like a
n Conjoint and other tradeoff techniques: “Would you buy a
are also varying at the same time, respondents Explorer. Why? I’m convinced it’s because the prude, there really are some instances when
Ford Taurus with leather seats at $Y if a Honda Civic is
$Q?” … etc.? are not usually being asked to rate their interest Baby Boomers now have teenage kids who didn’t pricing research is gratuitous. Examples include
l Treats price as one of several demand drivers
in the same product at markedly different prices. get to play with war toys and tanks as children, categories like cereal, where price decisions
l Establishes price utility for each
l Obscures (or mutes) focus on price and whose hormones now throb to the siren call involve splitting hairs (or grains) and pennies,
l Supports new product design efforts
Of course, just as there are different ways of of all-terrain vehicles. (I would have sold my and where market experience or econometric
structuring the task, there are different ways of soul for a Mustang way back when. Go figure.) data are worth more than primary research.
The nuances of real world deliberation are posing the purchase question. We can ask Obviously, the easier it is to lower the price or
sometimes better captured in a conjoint design, people to make a discrete choice: Which of these pursue price-promotions after-the-fact, the less
where we treat price as one of several demand products will you buy at these price points? Or KEY OBJECTIVES FOR PRICING RESEARCH, THEN, crucial the initial pricing decision really is.
can we ask them to estimate a probability of ARE CONFIRMATION AND CALIBRATION
drivers and we develop utilities for each vari- Arguably, you’d prefer to get it right the first
able, including price. Just a quick primer for purchase at any given price point. Alternately, time, but we all recognize that “getting it right”
anyone new to the concept: conjoint analysis when the purchase occasions are frequent and n Are my assumptions about the basic product
positioning correct? may actually take more than just a survey. And
treats products as bundles of attributes which repetitive -- for example, drug prescriptions or in fact, there are times when nothing short of
can be systematically manipulated. Respon- soft drink purchases -- we can ask respondents n How much extra value do I deliver?
test market experience can tell you how buyers
dents are asked to rate various permutations, or to allocate usage volume across a series of products n How much price incentive must I give to or users will judge the sustained value of a new
product bundles, and then -- based on the vari- or brands. And finally, as I mentioned earlier, we compensate for shortcomings -- or for parity? product through multiple uses and environ-
ability in these scores -- we are able to draw in- can require people to declare a maximum
n Are there emerging changes in the market context mental adaptations. It’s hard to predict whether
ferences about the importance of each attribute, acceptable price, if our focus is primarily on or culture that may be altering the frame of they’ll really want to pay a regular premium for
as well as the appeal of each attribute level. In price-valuation with little or no interest in reference?
certain items until the novelty wears off.
automobiles, for example, we might test attrib- forecasting demand.
utes such as seat upholstery, anti-lock brakes, The problem is even more challenging when
JUST AS THERE ARE DIFFERENT WAYS OF STRUC-
CD-player, or price; we can determine the im- Arguably, price is one of the most important people simply can’t grasp or relate to the prod-
TURING THE TASK, THERE ARE DIFFERENT WAYS OF
portance of each one as a driver of demand by POSING THE PURCHASE QUESTION … decisions a marketer ever makes. Yet the very ucts being offered. Today’s cyber-surfers (and
observing what happens to respondent ratings first question you have to pose in contemplating especially those too timid to even put a toe in
or judgments when those attribute levels are n Which of these products will you buy? pricing research is whether or not to actually the water) can’t really tell us yet how much
systematically varied -- that is, for example, n How likely are you to purchase each of these?
bother. Not every pricing decision requires various on-line services are really worth to
when we change price from one level to another marketing research per se -- or at least not pri- them; business decision-makers contemplating
or we replace cloth upholstery with leather. n What is the maximum you will spend to obtain this mary market research. Arguably, in fact, much the price-value of new network options and
product? of the pricing research we do is conducted for other advanced connectivity features are equally
Conjoint analysis has some very nice features, … Consider which approach is most reasonable essentially political reasons; not so much to hard-pressed to apply known valuation principles.
including its role in supporting new product de- for respondents givien the information available
to them, the decision context and the type and educate or inform the product management
sign efforts and its capacity to simulate demand magnitude of the purchase team as to validate their decisions and persuade For similar reasons, even our clients in those
for attribute bundles we haven’t explicitly tested. or disabuse senior management -- who are fre- innovation-driven industries sometimes struggle
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to find even the pricing ballpark much less If pricing research is more or less useful, one can buy” question, forcing people to provide ceiling price either. Allowing people the free-
home plate. Unfortunately, then, pricing re- argue that sometimes it is flatly irrelevant. My their own valuation, using price as a metric. dom to set zero, or some unrealistically low
search in an evolving or emerging category can favorite kind of irrelevant pricing research is There is something appealingly "real" and number as a purchase price, produces a pricing
become controversial: One either defers it al- research conducted to establish the price-value forthcoming about this kind of question. Col- function which, in my view, is stretched thin to
together or prepares to do it over and over -- of a product or service among customers who lusively, it asks: What do you, as a consumer, the point of irrelevance.
regularly and often, like dental prophylaxis -- are disinterested at any price. That may sound believe that this product is really worth to you?
until the market stabilizes. like the kind of bush league error no one makes This has proven helpful when our clients are Because comparative measurement is the most
but, on the contrary, people occasionally attempt truly unable to define a sensible range for common of techniques in one form or another, it
THE FIRST QUESTION TO ASK IN CONTEMPLATING to run before they can walk, propelling them- complex innovations, although un-checked, it justifies a more detailed discussion about the
PRICING RESEARCH IS WHETHER TO BOTHER?
selves headlong into pricing research before places too much freedom in the hands of options available to those who use it. A com-
n Elaborate pricing research may actually be un-
they have established that, indeed, they are customers who are often equally disadvantaged. parative task can be structured in several dif-
necessary in a well-charted category, especially if ... fixing their sights on the appropriate customer ferent ways. First, you can ask consumers to
l Potential price variations are subtle group. make a price-value judgment about a product
RESEARCHERS SOMETIMES “SEEK REFUGE” IN
l Econometric data and market experience are reliable
DECLARATIVE APPROACHES in isolation. The simple example noted here,
The temptation to pursue price rather than Would you buy a Ford Taurus at $18,000?,
compass points
simply interest as an object of inquiry is Advantages Disadvantages
appears to leave the competitive context vague
l Price promotions are an easy option -- or a requirement
sometimes irresistible. I can recall one focus and undefined. It fixes the product and varies
l Buyers cannot make reliable assessments or group many years ago with a bunch of truck l
l Buyers themselves define or
predictions of product value enumerate value the price, begging the question of what other
drivers who were assembled to give us their options are available to the respondent and
reactions to several appliances meant to be run l Establishes price ceiliing l Reduces consensus or
what they might cost. In a marketplace in which
for each customer data convergence
off cigarette lighters. After the drivers in the there are no other competitive options -- or con-
It’s also been my experience that formal pricing l Uses price as a metric for
room flatly declared that they had neither the purchase interest, often versely, those options are well-understood and
research is of limited value in a category where confusing “willingness to
space in their cabs for the prototype, nor the out- essentially stable -- it might be legitimate to pose
there are already algorithms in place for assess- buy” with “perceived value”
ing price-value -- typically, cases where a prod- lets to run it, I received a scribbled message from the problem in this fashion, but it is usually
uct is designed to replace or obviate processes, my viewers behind the one-way mirror. Can
inappropriately simplistic.
people, or other products at some calculable you guess what it said? ... ”Ask them what they'd
cost savings. If you know anyone who has pay for it.” The ultimate intellectual hiccough. In setting price groundrules, unfortunately, the We know, in fact, that purchase decisions are
ever had a gall bladder removed and been declarative measurement principle -- though generally made in a rich, often fluid context, and
home in just a day or two thanks to scope A similar thing happened recently when a
seductive -- is not without its deficits. First, it it’s usually more realistic to pose the problem in
surgery, you can imagine how the resulting company expressed interest in asking primary
produces a scatter plot rather than a price sensi- a way that (1) makes the context explicit and (2)
cost saving gives rise to a sort of formula that care physicians the price-value of a new therapy
tivity curve, since it elicits a smaller number of examines the price-brand interactions. We can
can be used to calculate an acceptable annual to be labeled for an obscure disease that those
physicians do not generally treat. The moral: judgments or observations for each price in pose a series of market scenarios by giving sets
price ceiling for laparoscopic instruments. what is a theoretically larger set of points. Be- of competitive products -- each at designated
Pricing research is, in fact, more important Before we embark on the costly rigors of
quantitative pricing research, it's generally a cause those points are self-defined, there is less prices -- and then invite respondents to choose a
when we want to impose a premium for inno-
good idea to assure ourselves that we have consensus or convergence in the data. preferred product from each of the sets. For
vation but we are not sure what monetary
value people will attach to convenience, com- targeted an audience whose price-value as- example, if a Taurus is available at $18,000, a
fort or even life-extension. sessments are truly worth soliciting. Another related shortcoming is the fact that in Camry at $16,000, and a Civic at $17,000, which
using price as a kind of metric for purchase would you buy? These brand-price interaction
interest, we’re confusing willingness to buy with scenarios can be handled in several different
WHETHER TO BOTHER PRICING DYSFUNCTION
judgments of value. If we ask someone what he ways and some researchers have given pro-
believes a product is worth, it’s not quite the same prietary names to theirs, but the basic concept is
n Formal pricing research may be of limited value in as asking whether or not he would actually buy essentially the same. The market scenario ap-
a category or industry where known “algorithms”
it at that price. Nor does it tell us the likelihood proach tends to be a more realistic way of
for assessing price-value are already in place ...
that he would buy it at a slightly higher price. If framing the problem -- so long as the relevant op-
Product is designed to replace or obviate tions are represented -- and it solves one critical
instead we ask someone, what is the maximum
process, people, or other products at some
calculable cost savings price at which he would buy a particular item, deficiency of many pricing designs by explicitly
Yes, I understand ... but if you did have a driver’s we can assume there is no real likelihood of defining the comparative pricing context.
n And, it may be moot in cases where we can easily license, and you did want to buy a car, and you did
establish lack of interest at any price
purchase above the ceiling -- but it can’t neces-
consider a sport utility vehicle, how likely would you
be to pay $800 for the Eddie Bauer model? sarily be assumed that the customer would While it’s certainly true that consumers make
actually buy it at, or even below, the stipulated some real life decisions without full knowledge
8 5

Monadic measurement is, however, a statistical contingencies. This is more often the case in Once we’ve decided that we have sensible find that my customers are hard-pressed to give
luxury. It requires a larger sample and thus, a technology-driven industries where we can pricing questions to ask and we know who to me feedback because they themselves are not
larger budget. And where the universe of de- engineer a variety of different capabilities or direct them at, the next issue for us to quite sure what they are paying for competitive
cision-makers is relatively small, monadic innovations and/or we may not know the contemplate is: agents -- particularly if those drugs are supplied
designs are, frankly, not an option, even where contours of a new product until the conclusion by manufacturers who bundle them with other
money is no object. Because monadic samples of lengthy clinical trials. What are the risks? I think all of us are in- products. The background noise on pricing rises
tend to be smaller, the result is an increase in trinsically suspicious of pricing research because to the level of a dull roar when we take into ac-
the sampling error around our estimates and The downside of comparative measure-ment is there is something just a little adversarial -- or count the inclusion of "value-added" -- read: free
reduction in statistical reliability. In fact, monadic the fact that often -- though not always -- our perhaps sadistic -- in it. The fact that it appears -- services, which represent de facto discounts
designs can produce what look like “irrational” measurement goals are transparent to the to enlist the cooperation of customers in an on one or more of the products in the bundle.
price curves because of slight response varia- respondent, and measurement sensitivity can be attempt to wring more money from their wallets
tions across groups that are attributable to sam- inflated by the conspicuous presentation of seems almost to violate the first amendment THE SECOND QUESTION TO ASK IN CONTEMPLATING
pling error. In this essentially flat curve on the different price points. This is certainly the case right against self-incrimination. And indeed, we PRICING RESEARCH IS: WHAT ARE THE RISKS?
slide (produced by testing each price with a dif- in simple comparative measurement schemes do try to structure these exercises so that people
n Pricing research may be dangerously unreliable in
ferent subgroup), it appears as if people prefer where we ask people to evaluate two or three can't rig the game against us in self-defense. But a market where ...
to pay $75 than to pay $50 for the same product, successive price points. Arguably, if all you are we can't usually be coy enough, and under some l A small number of savvy professional buyers seek
but in fact, all three estimates fall within the manipulating is price, it is best to begin with the extreme circumstances, the process can take on to influence research outcomes through “pricing
same confidence interval. Curves like these are a kind of futile self-defeating quality, as when dialogue”
highest point and move progressively down the
esthetically and psychologically displeasing to scale rather than up, because there’s a rapid a small number of savvy professional buyers l ”Price” is variable (i.e., driven by “contracting”), and
different prices are negotiated for different buyers
management; they require some explanation learning effect and people will be reluctant to seek to actively influence the research outcome and segments
and indeed, if the sample design isn’t ade- convey interest in a product once they believe it through "pricing dialogue." Two can play the l Price of individual items or components in a port-
quately powered (that is, the cell sizes are too can be bought for less. Even so, one can argue game. folio is obscured by contractual bundling
small), the resulting measurement is arguably that no matter how you sequence your price
hyposensitive. points, the second judgment is always distorted This phenomenon occurs quite frequently in
by the first, and that the third (or any judgment highly leveraged markets, where a remarkably The process becomes yet more complex, and our
Comparative testing of one flavor or another -- thereafter) may not be trustworthy at all. small number of purchasers can call quite a few attempts at research more hazardous, when we
and there are several -- is far more common- of the shots. What adds to the complexity in find ourselves dealing with multiple decision-
place than monadic because marketers do not COMPARATIVE TESTING IS COMMONPLACE BECAUSE markets like these is the fact that there really is makers whose roles and interactions are unclear
always have the budget or the latitude for mo- MARKETERS DO NOT ALWAYS HAVE THE BUDGET OR no single published price. In these settings,
THE LATITUDE FOR MONADIC TESTS and subject to change or variation. When we
nadic tests. With the license to secure more price is not a discrete point -- or even a fixed conduct pricing research in the drug industry,
than one price judgment from any given Advantages Disadvantages starting point -- but rather, it’s a variable out- we first confront the fact that physicians prescribe
respondent, you can test a larger number of l Increases number of points
one can reasonably test ð
l Measurement goals are come of the negotiating process. That means it the drugs, patients buy the drugs, and insurance
transparent to respondent
price points and thus obtain a more sensitive more sensitive pricing function is difficult for you, as a marketer or a researcher,
l Larger sample increases sta- l Sensitivity is inflated by companies or managed care plans reimburse for
and robust pricing function, with less need for tistical confidence process and price options to ever map the pricing landscape. If you don't
them (if the patient is covered.) So who, in fact,
interpolation and less concern about irrational l Permits use of other more know precisely what a customer is actually
versatile methods (like
paying for his system, it’s hard to know what his is at the controls here? Certainly we worry
curves. (We can still get irrational functions be- conjoint)
acceptance or rejection of a given price point about our big customers, the managed care
cause people sometimes distrust a lower price, l Especially useful when prod-
uct itself is still undefined,
really means. We have seen clients think they plans who pay for drugs by the gross. So we go
but when it happens in a comparative design, it and numerous pricing con-
tingencies are required
were offering a discount only to discover to them for permission, as it were, to charge a pre-
is an authentic phenomenon, not an artifact of
sampling error.) belatedly that they didn't understand enough mium -- having first checked with physicians,
about the actual prices in the marketplace to usually to ensure that they will care to prescribe
Exasperated by the limits and constraints of both
Comparative designs also permit the use of know how a discount would be defined. the drug at any price. The managed care folks,
comparative and monadic design, researchers
other, more versatile methods. For example, sometimes seek refuge in what I like to call meanwhile, are trying to reconcile their own
conjoint analysis -- which really requires a large declarative approaches. In this third type of The process is further complicated by the fact profitability requirements with the preferences
number of judgments in series -- is a special case study, respondents are exposed to a product that when many goods or services are being of the patients they serve. But the patient doesn’t
of comparative measurement. As I suspect most profile and asked to declare a price that they offered by a single supplier, the price of in- necessarily get a chance to state, or even form,
of you know, conjoint analysis is particularly perceive to be acceptable or realistic -- or the dividual items or components in a portfolio is those preferences because when you join a
useful when the product itself is undefined and maximum that they would pay. What attracts obscured by contractual bundling. If, for ex- healthcare plan, you check that privilege at the
we need to solicit pricing judgments for a series some researchers to this approach is that it ample, I am a drug manufacturer who wants to door .... Well, sort of, except that sometimes we
of hypothetical product designs or marketing seems to deflect attention from the "would you know how to price a new drug for asthma, I may do ask patients their opinion on price in the belief
6 7

that, just maybe, we can take to the airways glare of public, or semi-public opinion, with all good idea to decide which objective is more people to evaluate Product A first at one price
with direct-to-consumer promotion or public kinds of potential for backlash and fallout. important to you and which one should and then again at a second price -- whether or
relations campaigns and force patient in- Word about your objectives and your price therefore have the right to set the terms of the not they are also asked to or evaluate a com-
volvement. points can spread through the community when research. I can’t be specific in my counsel petitive Product B.
you solicit respondents on the Internet only to without being oppressively tactical but a good
So pricing research in today’s health care find that these people commune fast and consultant will encourage you to state your VIRTUALLY ALL PRICING STUDIES FALL INTO ONE OF
environment often requires at least three on furiously with one another. And at hypothetical priorities. ESSENTIALLY THREE CATEGORIES
a match. And if I tell you that even this price points of $12,000 per year for a heroic
depiction is a stunning oversimplification of the therapy, everyone from patients to stock THE NEXT QUESTION TO ASK: Pricing Research
IS THE GOAL A DEMAND FORECAST, A PRICING Techniques
problem and the process, you’ll quickly under- analysts may be abuzz. DECISION ... OR JUST POSITIONING?
stand why pricing research in healthcare has
n Demand forecasting and pricing research often
become one of the most complex enterprises march together Monadic Comparative Declarative
... WHAT ARE THE RISKS?
I’ve ever seen, requiring plebiscites with patients, l Since price is a demand driver, there is no sensible
Measurement Measurement Measurement

physicians, pharmacists, insurers -- you name measurement of demand without it


n Conversely, it can also be unreliable when it targets Each respondent Each respondent Each respondent
it. And since no group is clearly in charge, the customers who are price-ignorant -- a common
n Even so, what passes as pricing research is often
reacts to one, and reacts to two or volunteers a max-
really positioning or product design research in drag
process of integrating the data to arrive at some problem, particularly in rapidly evolving markets only one, price more price points imum (or “accept-
l ”Applause meter” for gauging response to various point able”) price
meaningful decision across all segments and with complex product bundles features
insurance scenarios is extraordinarily difficult. n It may actually damage company/product image in n Consider your priorities: The fine points of research
Those of you in the audience who can define a market environment where the very act of pricing method are often dictated by emphasis on one goal I want to be forthright in stating a personal
or the other
your customers clearly are truly among the research may seeem exploitative prejudice of mine right up front. In an ideal
blessed. l ”Break-through” cure for fatal disease world, we would always -- or nearly always --
l Community of networked customers Having said quite a few dire things about the rely on monadic tests for pricing research. The
Professional buyers can be challenging to deal perils of pricing, I owe you some explicit and reason I prefer them (at least in theory) is based
with but it is equally difficult to conduct valid constructive how-to’s if I am to sing for my primarily on the risks of showing our hand by
research at the other end of the spectrum -- that Even once you’re persuaded that pricing re- lunch this afternoon. The first to point out is exposing respondents to more than one price.
search is, in fact, more useful to you than it is that good pricing research follows the same ba- As soon as they become aware of our objective,
is, where customers are not price-expert but
dangerous, there are a few other questions to be sic principles as good market research general- they are likely to second-guess the process,
price-ignorant. Consumers who are asked to
resolved. Consider, first, what is your objective: ly: You want to be sure that you use sound prin- demonstrating greater price sensitivity than we
calculate the price-value for brand new
Is it a demand forecast, a pricing decision, or is it ciples of survey sampling and then craft a thought- might otherwise see. Comparative measure-
telephone or computer services will be hard-
essentially just positioning? These aren’t always ful, unambiguous instrument of measurement. ment is, in general, a more sensitive -- arguably
pressed to help you -- not only because they do distinctions with a difference because all three Unfortunately, pricing research is not like taking
not necessarily understand the value of your a more hypersensitive -- gauge of just about
are often closely intertwined. Since price is a key air or soil samples. The very act of measuring anything than monadic testing because it poses
product but equally important, because they do demand driver, we cannot, pursue a sensible price sensitivity can cultivate or distort it.
not fully understand the cost of the existing options that might not otherwise be visible.
measurement of demand without stipulating a Under ideal circumstances, we would never cue
products it will replace or compete with. price point. And conversely, it is difficult to Virtually all pricing research designs fall into
customers about our pricing objectives or an-
conduct meaningful pricing research without one of essentially three types: monadic mea-
nounce more than one of the price contingencies
As a matter of interest, we are encountering a incorporating some measure of demand as a surement, comparative measurement, and what
I like to call declarative measurement. we are considering.
new kind of pricing research risk in this age of dependent variable. That is not to say that pric-
tight-knit electronic communities: the risk of in- ing research always produces a trustworthy,
flaming community sensibilities by the very act In monadic designs, each respondent is exposed MONADIC TESTING IS THE THEORETICAL IDEAL
absolute measure of demand or that the two can
of testing prices. For example, if we were to be made to serve the same masters without to one, and only one, price point for any given
consider testing prices for a new drug among compromise, but it’s generally advisable to try product. In comparative designs, each respon- Advantages Disadvantages
AIDS patients -- a population known for its un- for integration. dent is asked to react to two or more prices. l Least “reactive” or pro- l Requires larger sample,
vocative -- respondent larger budget
usual proactivity and the understandable incli- And in declarative designs, each respondent is is unaware of price test- l Increases sampling er-
asked (for one or more than one product) to ing and oblivious to
nation to speak out or penalize companies they Pricing research and positioning research also other price options
ror, reduces statistical
reliability
feel have exploited their plight. Notably, however, march in tandem -- or should -- but, the inter- volunteer his or her own price -- one that is
there are many other national and international dependence is often ignored or overlooked, as if maximum and/or reasonable, acceptable, etc. l Less risk of “leaving l Can produce “irrational”
money on the table” curves
patient groups yoked by computer, and the one could somehow isolate defining product Note that comparative testing is not to be con-
process of soliciting their opinions about the price benefits from the premium one pays to secure fused with a design that asks customers to
of new therapies is frequently a sort of "goldfish them. Again, while it’s possible to pursue price choose between Product A at one price and $25 $50 $75

bowl" research conducted unwittingly in the and positioning simultaneously, it is generally a Product B at another. Comparative testing asks
6 7

that, just maybe, we can take to the airways glare of public, or semi-public opinion, with all good idea to decide which objective is more people to evaluate Product A first at one price
with direct-to-consumer promotion or public kinds of potential for backlash and fallout. important to you and which one should and then again at a second price -- whether or
relations campaigns and force patient in- Word about your objectives and your price therefore have the right to set the terms of the not they are also asked to or evaluate a com-
volvement. points can spread through the community when research. I can’t be specific in my counsel petitive Product B.
you solicit respondents on the Internet only to without being oppressively tactical but a good
So pricing research in today’s health care find that these people commune fast and consultant will encourage you to state your VIRTUALLY ALL PRICING STUDIES FALL INTO ONE OF
environment often requires at least three on furiously with one another. And at hypothetical priorities. ESSENTIALLY THREE CATEGORIES
a match. And if I tell you that even this price points of $12,000 per year for a heroic
depiction is a stunning oversimplification of the therapy, everyone from patients to stock THE NEXT QUESTION TO ASK: Pricing Research
IS THE GOAL A DEMAND FORECAST, A PRICING Techniques
problem and the process, you’ll quickly under- analysts may be abuzz. DECISION ... OR JUST POSITIONING?
stand why pricing research in healthcare has
n Demand forecasting and pricing research often
become one of the most complex enterprises march together Monadic Comparative Declarative
... WHAT ARE THE RISKS?
I’ve ever seen, requiring plebiscites with patients, l Since price is a demand driver, there is no sensible
Measurement Measurement Measurement

physicians, pharmacists, insurers -- you name measurement of demand without it


n Conversely, it can also be unreliable when it targets Each respondent Each respondent Each respondent
it. And since no group is clearly in charge, the customers who are price-ignorant -- a common
n Even so, what passes as pricing research is often
reacts to one, and reacts to two or volunteers a max-
really positioning or product design research in drag
process of integrating the data to arrive at some problem, particularly in rapidly evolving markets only one, price more price points imum (or “accept-
l ”Applause meter” for gauging response to various point able”) price
meaningful decision across all segments and with complex product bundles features
insurance scenarios is extraordinarily difficult. n It may actually damage company/product image in n Consider your priorities: The fine points of research
Those of you in the audience who can define a market environment where the very act of pricing method are often dictated by emphasis on one goal I want to be forthright in stating a personal
or the other
your customers clearly are truly among the research may seeem exploitative prejudice of mine right up front. In an ideal
blessed. l ”Break-through” cure for fatal disease world, we would always -- or nearly always --
l Community of networked customers Having said quite a few dire things about the rely on monadic tests for pricing research. The
Professional buyers can be challenging to deal perils of pricing, I owe you some explicit and reason I prefer them (at least in theory) is based
with but it is equally difficult to conduct valid constructive how-to’s if I am to sing for my primarily on the risks of showing our hand by
research at the other end of the spectrum -- that Even once you’re persuaded that pricing re- lunch this afternoon. The first to point out is exposing respondents to more than one price.
search is, in fact, more useful to you than it is that good pricing research follows the same ba- As soon as they become aware of our objective,
is, where customers are not price-expert but
dangerous, there are a few other questions to be sic principles as good market research general- they are likely to second-guess the process,
price-ignorant. Consumers who are asked to
resolved. Consider, first, what is your objective: ly: You want to be sure that you use sound prin- demonstrating greater price sensitivity than we
calculate the price-value for brand new
Is it a demand forecast, a pricing decision, or is it ciples of survey sampling and then craft a thought- might otherwise see. Comparative measure-
telephone or computer services will be hard-
essentially just positioning? These aren’t always ful, unambiguous instrument of measurement. ment is, in general, a more sensitive -- arguably
pressed to help you -- not only because they do distinctions with a difference because all three Unfortunately, pricing research is not like taking
not necessarily understand the value of your a more hypersensitive -- gauge of just about
are often closely intertwined. Since price is a key air or soil samples. The very act of measuring anything than monadic testing because it poses
product but equally important, because they do demand driver, we cannot, pursue a sensible price sensitivity can cultivate or distort it.
not fully understand the cost of the existing options that might not otherwise be visible.
measurement of demand without stipulating a Under ideal circumstances, we would never cue
products it will replace or compete with. price point. And conversely, it is difficult to Virtually all pricing research designs fall into
customers about our pricing objectives or an-
conduct meaningful pricing research without one of essentially three types: monadic mea-
nounce more than one of the price contingencies
As a matter of interest, we are encountering a incorporating some measure of demand as a surement, comparative measurement, and what
I like to call declarative measurement. we are considering.
new kind of pricing research risk in this age of dependent variable. That is not to say that pric-
tight-knit electronic communities: the risk of in- ing research always produces a trustworthy,
flaming community sensibilities by the very act In monadic designs, each respondent is exposed MONADIC TESTING IS THE THEORETICAL IDEAL
absolute measure of demand or that the two can
of testing prices. For example, if we were to be made to serve the same masters without to one, and only one, price point for any given
consider testing prices for a new drug among compromise, but it’s generally advisable to try product. In comparative designs, each respon- Advantages Disadvantages
AIDS patients -- a population known for its un- for integration. dent is asked to react to two or more prices. l Least “reactive” or pro- l Requires larger sample,
vocative -- respondent larger budget
usual proactivity and the understandable incli- And in declarative designs, each respondent is is unaware of price test- l Increases sampling er-
asked (for one or more than one product) to ing and oblivious to
nation to speak out or penalize companies they Pricing research and positioning research also other price options
ror, reduces statistical
reliability
feel have exploited their plight. Notably, however, march in tandem -- or should -- but, the inter- volunteer his or her own price -- one that is
there are many other national and international dependence is often ignored or overlooked, as if maximum and/or reasonable, acceptable, etc. l Less risk of “leaving l Can produce “irrational”
money on the table” curves
patient groups yoked by computer, and the one could somehow isolate defining product Note that comparative testing is not to be con-
process of soliciting their opinions about the price benefits from the premium one pays to secure fused with a design that asks customers to
of new therapies is frequently a sort of "goldfish them. Again, while it’s possible to pursue price choose between Product A at one price and $25 $50 $75

bowl" research conducted unwittingly in the and positioning simultaneously, it is generally a Product B at another. Comparative testing asks
8 5

Monadic measurement is, however, a statistical contingencies. This is more often the case in Once we’ve decided that we have sensible find that my customers are hard-pressed to give
luxury. It requires a larger sample and thus, a technology-driven industries where we can pricing questions to ask and we know who to me feedback because they themselves are not
larger budget. And where the universe of de- engineer a variety of different capabilities or direct them at, the next issue for us to quite sure what they are paying for competitive
cision-makers is relatively small, monadic innovations and/or we may not know the contemplate is: agents -- particularly if those drugs are supplied
designs are, frankly, not an option, even where contours of a new product until the conclusion by manufacturers who bundle them with other
money is no object. Because monadic samples of lengthy clinical trials. What are the risks? I think all of us are in- products. The background noise on pricing rises
tend to be smaller, the result is an increase in trinsically suspicious of pricing research because to the level of a dull roar when we take into ac-
the sampling error around our estimates and The downside of comparative measure-ment is there is something just a little adversarial -- or count the inclusion of "value-added" -- read: free
reduction in statistical reliability. In fact, monadic the fact that often -- though not always -- our perhaps sadistic -- in it. The fact that it appears -- services, which represent de facto discounts
designs can produce what look like “irrational” measurement goals are transparent to the to enlist the cooperation of customers in an on one or more of the products in the bundle.
price curves because of slight response varia- respondent, and measurement sensitivity can be attempt to wring more money from their wallets
tions across groups that are attributable to sam- inflated by the conspicuous presentation of seems almost to violate the first amendment THE SECOND QUESTION TO ASK IN CONTEMPLATING
pling error. In this essentially flat curve on the different price points. This is certainly the case right against self-incrimination. And indeed, we PRICING RESEARCH IS: WHAT ARE THE RISKS?
slide (produced by testing each price with a dif- in simple comparative measurement schemes do try to structure these exercises so that people
n Pricing research may be dangerously unreliable in
ferent subgroup), it appears as if people prefer where we ask people to evaluate two or three can't rig the game against us in self-defense. But a market where ...
to pay $75 than to pay $50 for the same product, successive price points. Arguably, if all you are we can't usually be coy enough, and under some l A small number of savvy professional buyers seek
but in fact, all three estimates fall within the manipulating is price, it is best to begin with the extreme circumstances, the process can take on to influence research outcomes through “pricing
same confidence interval. Curves like these are a kind of futile self-defeating quality, as when dialogue”
highest point and move progressively down the
esthetically and psychologically displeasing to scale rather than up, because there’s a rapid a small number of savvy professional buyers l ”Price” is variable (i.e., driven by “contracting”), and
different prices are negotiated for different buyers
management; they require some explanation learning effect and people will be reluctant to seek to actively influence the research outcome and segments
and indeed, if the sample design isn’t ade- convey interest in a product once they believe it through "pricing dialogue." Two can play the l Price of individual items or components in a port-
quately powered (that is, the cell sizes are too can be bought for less. Even so, one can argue game. folio is obscured by contractual bundling
small), the resulting measurement is arguably that no matter how you sequence your price
hyposensitive. points, the second judgment is always distorted This phenomenon occurs quite frequently in
by the first, and that the third (or any judgment highly leveraged markets, where a remarkably The process becomes yet more complex, and our
Comparative testing of one flavor or another -- thereafter) may not be trustworthy at all. small number of purchasers can call quite a few attempts at research more hazardous, when we
and there are several -- is far more common- of the shots. What adds to the complexity in find ourselves dealing with multiple decision-
place than monadic because marketers do not COMPARATIVE TESTING IS COMMONPLACE BECAUSE markets like these is the fact that there really is makers whose roles and interactions are unclear
always have the budget or the latitude for mo- MARKETERS DO NOT ALWAYS HAVE THE BUDGET OR no single published price. In these settings,
THE LATITUDE FOR MONADIC TESTS and subject to change or variation. When we
nadic tests. With the license to secure more price is not a discrete point -- or even a fixed conduct pricing research in the drug industry,
than one price judgment from any given Advantages Disadvantages starting point -- but rather, it’s a variable out- we first confront the fact that physicians prescribe
respondent, you can test a larger number of l Increases number of points
one can reasonably test ð
l Measurement goals are come of the negotiating process. That means it the drugs, patients buy the drugs, and insurance
transparent to respondent
price points and thus obtain a more sensitive more sensitive pricing function is difficult for you, as a marketer or a researcher,
l Larger sample increases sta- l Sensitivity is inflated by companies or managed care plans reimburse for
and robust pricing function, with less need for tistical confidence process and price options to ever map the pricing landscape. If you don't
them (if the patient is covered.) So who, in fact,
interpolation and less concern about irrational l Permits use of other more know precisely what a customer is actually
versatile methods (like
paying for his system, it’s hard to know what his is at the controls here? Certainly we worry
curves. (We can still get irrational functions be- conjoint)
acceptance or rejection of a given price point about our big customers, the managed care
cause people sometimes distrust a lower price, l Especially useful when prod-
uct itself is still undefined,
really means. We have seen clients think they plans who pay for drugs by the gross. So we go
but when it happens in a comparative design, it and numerous pricing con-
tingencies are required
were offering a discount only to discover to them for permission, as it were, to charge a pre-
is an authentic phenomenon, not an artifact of
sampling error.) belatedly that they didn't understand enough mium -- having first checked with physicians,
about the actual prices in the marketplace to usually to ensure that they will care to prescribe
Exasperated by the limits and constraints of both
Comparative designs also permit the use of know how a discount would be defined. the drug at any price. The managed care folks,
comparative and monadic design, researchers
other, more versatile methods. For example, sometimes seek refuge in what I like to call meanwhile, are trying to reconcile their own
conjoint analysis -- which really requires a large declarative approaches. In this third type of The process is further complicated by the fact profitability requirements with the preferences
number of judgments in series -- is a special case study, respondents are exposed to a product that when many goods or services are being of the patients they serve. But the patient doesn’t
of comparative measurement. As I suspect most profile and asked to declare a price that they offered by a single supplier, the price of in- necessarily get a chance to state, or even form,
of you know, conjoint analysis is particularly perceive to be acceptable or realistic -- or the dividual items or components in a portfolio is those preferences because when you join a
useful when the product itself is undefined and maximum that they would pay. What attracts obscured by contractual bundling. If, for ex- healthcare plan, you check that privilege at the
we need to solicit pricing judgments for a series some researchers to this approach is that it ample, I am a drug manufacturer who wants to door .... Well, sort of, except that sometimes we
of hypothetical product designs or marketing seems to deflect attention from the "would you know how to price a new drug for asthma, I may do ask patients their opinion on price in the belief
4 9

to find even the pricing ballpark much less If pricing research is more or less useful, one can buy” question, forcing people to provide ceiling price either. Allowing people the free-
home plate. Unfortunately, then, pricing re- argue that sometimes it is flatly irrelevant. My their own valuation, using price as a metric. dom to set zero, or some unrealistically low
search in an evolving or emerging category can favorite kind of irrelevant pricing research is There is something appealingly "real" and number as a purchase price, produces a pricing
become controversial: One either defers it al- research conducted to establish the price-value forthcoming about this kind of question. Col- function which, in my view, is stretched thin to
together or prepares to do it over and over -- of a product or service among customers who lusively, it asks: What do you, as a consumer, the point of irrelevance.
regularly and often, like dental prophylaxis -- are disinterested at any price. That may sound believe that this product is really worth to you?
until the market stabilizes. like the kind of bush league error no one makes This has proven helpful when our clients are Because comparative measurement is the most
but, on the contrary, people occasionally attempt truly unable to define a sensible range for common of techniques in one form or another, it
THE FIRST QUESTION TO ASK IN CONTEMPLATING to run before they can walk, propelling them- complex innovations, although un-checked, it justifies a more detailed discussion about the
PRICING RESEARCH IS WHETHER TO BOTHER?
selves headlong into pricing research before places too much freedom in the hands of options available to those who use it. A com-
n Elaborate pricing research may actually be un-
they have established that, indeed, they are customers who are often equally disadvantaged. parative task can be structured in several dif-
necessary in a well-charted category, especially if ... fixing their sights on the appropriate customer ferent ways. First, you can ask consumers to
l Potential price variations are subtle group. make a price-value judgment about a product
RESEARCHERS SOMETIMES “SEEK REFUGE” IN
l Econometric data and market experience are reliable
DECLARATIVE APPROACHES in isolation. The simple example noted here,
The temptation to pursue price rather than Would you buy a Ford Taurus at $18,000?,
compass points
simply interest as an object of inquiry is Advantages Disadvantages
appears to leave the competitive context vague
l Price promotions are an easy option -- or a requirement
sometimes irresistible. I can recall one focus and undefined. It fixes the product and varies
l Buyers cannot make reliable assessments or group many years ago with a bunch of truck l
l Buyers themselves define or
predictions of product value enumerate value the price, begging the question of what other
drivers who were assembled to give us their options are available to the respondent and
reactions to several appliances meant to be run l Establishes price ceiliing l Reduces consensus or
what they might cost. In a marketplace in which
for each customer data convergence
off cigarette lighters. After the drivers in the there are no other competitive options -- or con-
It’s also been my experience that formal pricing l Uses price as a metric for
room flatly declared that they had neither the purchase interest, often versely, those options are well-understood and
research is of limited value in a category where confusing “willingness to
space in their cabs for the prototype, nor the out- essentially stable -- it might be legitimate to pose
there are already algorithms in place for assess- buy” with “perceived value”
ing price-value -- typically, cases where a prod- lets to run it, I received a scribbled message from the problem in this fashion, but it is usually
uct is designed to replace or obviate processes, my viewers behind the one-way mirror. Can
inappropriately simplistic.
people, or other products at some calculable you guess what it said? ... ”Ask them what they'd
cost savings. If you know anyone who has pay for it.” The ultimate intellectual hiccough. In setting price groundrules, unfortunately, the We know, in fact, that purchase decisions are
ever had a gall bladder removed and been declarative measurement principle -- though generally made in a rich, often fluid context, and
home in just a day or two thanks to scope A similar thing happened recently when a
seductive -- is not without its deficits. First, it it’s usually more realistic to pose the problem in
surgery, you can imagine how the resulting company expressed interest in asking primary
produces a scatter plot rather than a price sensi- a way that (1) makes the context explicit and (2)
cost saving gives rise to a sort of formula that care physicians the price-value of a new therapy
tivity curve, since it elicits a smaller number of examines the price-brand interactions. We can
can be used to calculate an acceptable annual to be labeled for an obscure disease that those
physicians do not generally treat. The moral: judgments or observations for each price in pose a series of market scenarios by giving sets
price ceiling for laparoscopic instruments. what is a theoretically larger set of points. Be- of competitive products -- each at designated
Pricing research is, in fact, more important Before we embark on the costly rigors of
quantitative pricing research, it's generally a cause those points are self-defined, there is less prices -- and then invite respondents to choose a
when we want to impose a premium for inno-
good idea to assure ourselves that we have consensus or convergence in the data. preferred product from each of the sets. For
vation but we are not sure what monetary
value people will attach to convenience, com- targeted an audience whose price-value as- example, if a Taurus is available at $18,000, a
fort or even life-extension. sessments are truly worth soliciting. Another related shortcoming is the fact that in Camry at $16,000, and a Civic at $17,000, which
using price as a kind of metric for purchase would you buy? These brand-price interaction
interest, we’re confusing willingness to buy with scenarios can be handled in several different
WHETHER TO BOTHER PRICING DYSFUNCTION
judgments of value. If we ask someone what he ways and some researchers have given pro-
believes a product is worth, it’s not quite the same prietary names to theirs, but the basic concept is
n Formal pricing research may be of limited value in as asking whether or not he would actually buy essentially the same. The market scenario ap-
a category or industry where known “algorithms”
it at that price. Nor does it tell us the likelihood proach tends to be a more realistic way of
for assessing price-value are already in place ...
that he would buy it at a slightly higher price. If framing the problem -- so long as the relevant op-
Product is designed to replace or obviate tions are represented -- and it solves one critical
instead we ask someone, what is the maximum
process, people, or other products at some
calculable cost savings price at which he would buy a particular item, deficiency of many pricing designs by explicitly
Yes, I understand ... but if you did have a driver’s we can assume there is no real likelihood of defining the comparative pricing context.
n And, it may be moot in cases where we can easily license, and you did want to buy a car, and you did
establish lack of interest at any price
purchase above the ceiling -- but it can’t neces-
consider a sport utility vehicle, how likely would you
be to pay $800 for the Eddie Bauer model? sarily be assumed that the customer would While it’s certainly true that consumers make
actually buy it at, or even below, the stipulated some real life decisions without full knowledge
10 3

of price (and may, in fact, pay different prices, It places price in a total context of demand enterprise of having to prove the life-saving quently removed from the marketplace by a few
depending on how and where they shop), it’s drivers and helps us to determine how im- value of its products via unpredictable outcomes layers of responsibility, and sometimes even by
usually preferable to provide the information if portant price truly is relative to other product studies that may take many years to complete. a few continents. That political agenda, by the
we are in doubt, rather than leave the matter attributes. In fact, by varying those other at- Failing that, they’re having to attach an eco- way -- the search for empirical proof that a new
open. Remember that research respondents are tributes, conjoint tends to obscure or camouflage nomic value to soft, subjective product benefits product or a new technology can’t command the
never quite like actual purchasers; among other our focus on price and can thus reduce some of like quality of life. This can really be a margin everyone is hoping for -- that’s often
things, they are usually less well-educated about the hypersensitivity or distortion we associate nightmare for companies who must begin the how we come to have sensitivity curves strad-
the options they will encounter in the real world with comparative measurement. Generally, we rudiments of a pricing process long before they dling price points from the sublime to the ri-
because they haven’t necessarily put in all the sometimes go so far as to utilize a conjoint know whether or not they even have a mar- diculous -- you know: the 30% discount to the
leg work to arrive at an informed decision. design to measure price sensitivity -- merely for ketable product. 50% premium. Conscientious marketers want to
the purpose of deflecting attention from the be prepared to field any price question their
COMPARATIVE MEASUREMENT CAN TAKE SEVERAL
pricing component of the analysis -- even when
The drug industry is a rather dramatic example managers might pose, sometimes at the risk of
FORMS we’re quite persuaded that we know what our
of upheaval -- but other industries and product compromising the validity of the data they col-
n Fixed product in isolation: “Would you buy a Ford Taurus
product looks like. In all fairness, however, I
at $X… at $Y?” should point out that as useful, and as slick, as categories contend with less volatile disruptions lect by pursuing too many, or too diverse, a set
l Leaves competitive context vague and undefined
conjoint can be, it, too, has the potential to and cultural rule changes all the time. Right now, of price options.
l Fixes product; varies price
distort price sensitivity by conveying the full Ford is offering Probes and Mustangs at dis-
n Product-brand tradeoffs: “Would you buy a Ford Taurus While it’s hard to argue against what I’ve called
at $X if a Honda Civic is $Y?” range of price options at the outset. The counter- count prices to clear the lots, but they’re finding
l Varies prices and brands in a defined market context
argument is that because other product features that they don’t need to yield an inch on the prurient pricing interest without sounding like a
n Conjoint and other tradeoff techniques: “Would you buy a
are also varying at the same time, respondents Explorer. Why? I’m convinced it’s because the prude, there really are some instances when
Ford Taurus with leather seats at $Y if a Honda Civic is
$Q?” … etc.? are not usually being asked to rate their interest Baby Boomers now have teenage kids who didn’t pricing research is gratuitous. Examples include
l Treats price as one of several demand drivers
in the same product at markedly different prices. get to play with war toys and tanks as children, categories like cereal, where price decisions
l Establishes price utility for each
l Obscures (or mutes) focus on price and whose hormones now throb to the siren call involve splitting hairs (or grains) and pennies,
l Supports new product design efforts
Of course, just as there are different ways of of all-terrain vehicles. (I would have sold my and where market experience or econometric
structuring the task, there are different ways of soul for a Mustang way back when. Go figure.) data are worth more than primary research.
The nuances of real world deliberation are posing the purchase question. We can ask Obviously, the easier it is to lower the price or
sometimes better captured in a conjoint design, people to make a discrete choice: Which of these pursue price-promotions after-the-fact, the less
where we treat price as one of several demand products will you buy at these price points? Or KEY OBJECTIVES FOR PRICING RESEARCH, THEN, crucial the initial pricing decision really is.
can we ask them to estimate a probability of ARE CONFIRMATION AND CALIBRATION
drivers and we develop utilities for each vari- Arguably, you’d prefer to get it right the first
able, including price. Just a quick primer for purchase at any given price point. Alternately, time, but we all recognize that “getting it right”
anyone new to the concept: conjoint analysis when the purchase occasions are frequent and n Are my assumptions about the basic product
positioning correct? may actually take more than just a survey. And
treats products as bundles of attributes which repetitive -- for example, drug prescriptions or in fact, there are times when nothing short of
can be systematically manipulated. Respon- soft drink purchases -- we can ask respondents n How much extra value do I deliver?
test market experience can tell you how buyers
dents are asked to rate various permutations, or to allocate usage volume across a series of products n How much price incentive must I give to or users will judge the sustained value of a new
product bundles, and then -- based on the vari- or brands. And finally, as I mentioned earlier, we compensate for shortcomings -- or for parity? product through multiple uses and environ-
ability in these scores -- we are able to draw in- can require people to declare a maximum
n Are there emerging changes in the market context mental adaptations. It’s hard to predict whether
ferences about the importance of each attribute, acceptable price, if our focus is primarily on or culture that may be altering the frame of they’ll really want to pay a regular premium for
as well as the appeal of each attribute level. In price-valuation with little or no interest in reference?
certain items until the novelty wears off.
automobiles, for example, we might test attrib- forecasting demand.
utes such as seat upholstery, anti-lock brakes, The problem is even more challenging when
JUST AS THERE ARE DIFFERENT WAYS OF STRUC-
CD-player, or price; we can determine the im- Arguably, price is one of the most important people simply can’t grasp or relate to the prod-
TURING THE TASK, THERE ARE DIFFERENT WAYS OF
portance of each one as a driver of demand by POSING THE PURCHASE QUESTION … decisions a marketer ever makes. Yet the very ucts being offered. Today’s cyber-surfers (and
observing what happens to respondent ratings first question you have to pose in contemplating especially those too timid to even put a toe in
or judgments when those attribute levels are n Which of these products will you buy? pricing research is whether or not to actually the water) can’t really tell us yet how much
systematically varied -- that is, for example, n How likely are you to purchase each of these?
bother. Not every pricing decision requires various on-line services are really worth to
when we change price from one level to another marketing research per se -- or at least not pri- them; business decision-makers contemplating
or we replace cloth upholstery with leather. n What is the maximum you will spend to obtain this mary market research. Arguably, in fact, much the price-value of new network options and
product? of the pricing research we do is conducted for other advanced connectivity features are equally
Conjoint analysis has some very nice features, … Consider which approach is most reasonable essentially political reasons; not so much to hard-pressed to apply known valuation principles.
including its role in supporting new product de- for respondents givien the information available
to them, the decision context and the type and educate or inform the product management
sign efforts and its capacity to simulate demand magnitude of the purchase team as to validate their decisions and persuade For similar reasons, even our clients in those
for attribute bundles we haven’t explicitly tested. or disabuse senior management -- who are fre- innovation-driven industries sometimes struggle
2 11

product positioning. From the very first, you that may blunt or qualify the value of a product There is no single approach that makes sense for REMINDER: THERE IS A PLACE IN PRICING RESEARCH
are asking consumers one of several things: improvement. In the pharmaceutical arena, for all markets and research problems. Factors to FOR THE SOFT CURVES OF QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS
whether the extra value they will receive is example, improved efficacy may bring with it consider in framing the question include the
substantial enough to justify a premium; or, as more toxic side effects. Some early color nature of the purchase decision -- is it a major, QUALITATIVE PRICE SENSITIVITY CURVE
the case may be, whether the product deficit printers were slower to print and quicker to jam. infrequent purchase, for example, or a recurrent, 5
warrants some pricing concession; or indeed, And an instant camera is still generally not the low budget acquisition? Also important is the 4
whether a discount per se is sufficient to secure weapon of choice for more artistic photogra- decision context and the nature of the com-
market advantage, all other things being equal. phers. Even so, I get a little anxious when my petition: Are there varied options with which 3
(Of course, all other things rarely are equal clients ask to test a pricing range that encom- the product competes and are those options 2
since, if nothing else, inertia makes some passes a 25% discount and a 50% premium. I subject to frequent pricing variations? Is the 1
products more equal than others.) call that prurient interest, not due diligence. product thoroughly defined and immutable, or
0
will respondents perceive that they require $100 $200 $300 $400
THESE QUESTIONS PRESUME AN INGOING MARKET
PRICE SENSITIVITY MEASUREMENT STRATEGY AND A FRAME OF VALUE REFERENCE some hands-on experience before making a
commitment?
n “Asks permission” to charge higher prices for n Marketers usually recognize (or sense) at the Qualitative research can, on occasion, stand in
added value without loss of sales outset whether they have an improved product,
a parity product, or a disadvantaged one In general, I urge clients and questionnaire for quantitative research -- when, for example,
or
architects to structure the question in ways that there aren't enough heads to count in the
n Seeks confirmation that discount pricing will n They also tend to know the benchmarks and con-
increase, not depress, revenues (i.e., is not a text for evaluation -- even for truly novel products feel most comfortable and realistic for re- marketplace or the product is really a "deal"
gratuitous concession) spondents. Of course, if you offer people the that’s simply too complex to define as a single
l Price-value of competing products
or opportunity to state a probability of purchase, product or service and too varied to con-
l Price-value of alternative technologies
n Seeks reassurance that the discount is an adequate you must have ready an algorithm for con- ceptualize at a series of discrete price points.
l Cost/penalty to customer of doing/buying
concession, in light of product “deficits”
nothing at all verting those probability scores to projected
purchase decisions in order to compute your … QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS
revenues. It goes without saying that the bot-
In any case, the way you conceive the pricing Pricing research should be thought of more as tom line in pricing analysis is the projected n Before you count heads …
question in your head presumes an ingoing calibration than discovery. It is, ideally, a vehi- revenue stream at any given price. Some sur- l Am I testing the right prices?

marketing strategy and a frame of value refer- cle to confirm: “Are my assumptions about the rogate measure or forecast of demand is the key to l Am I testiing the right product?

ence that tells you what price ballpark you are in. basic product positioning correct?” How much that calculation. l Am I testing with the true decision-makers?

extra value do I deliver, and to whom? How much l What is the decision context?
(e.g., Do my buyers know prices?)
Marketers usually know, or at least sense, at the price incentive must I give to compensate for
Throughout this discussion, I have made n In lieu of counting heads …
outset whether, in general terms, they have an recognized shortcomings -- or for the luxury of
nihilistic reference to some of the pitfalls one l When aren’t there enough heads to count
improved product, a parity product, or a dis- being just like those who preceded me? (<200 customers)?
can encounter in the course of doing pric-
advantaged one. And they also tend to know l When the “deal” is too complex to capture as a set
the context and the relevant benchmarks for It’s also a vehicle for identifying any emerging ing research, but the careful listener will of discrete points
evaluation, even if the product is an innovative changes in the market context that are note that many -- certainly not all of them, but
one. For example, anti-lock brake systems are a threatening to alter the frame of value reference. many -- can be negotiated with some success
clear improvement over conventional brakes. A This last issue deserves a quick comment be- if the proper groundwork is laid. Before you I want to leave you, in this same cautionary
once-a-day drug is preferable to a three times cause a change in the frame of reference is pre- trouble to count heads, it is critically important spirit, with some things to explore when you
per day drug. And cappuccino is worth more cisely what happened to all my clients in the to do the necessary qualitative reconnaissance. embark on qualitative research or you search
than your ordinary cuppa jo -- at least I think so, pharmaceutical industry who experienced a Qualitative research will help ensure that you your own understanding of the marketplace for
although I suppose there are segments that may paradigm shift (forgive the phrase) from what are in the right ballpark with your prices guidance in design. Ask yourself: Do cus-
not share my addiction. But, in general, after seemed like the decadent, permissive luxury of and your customers. (Are you contemplating tomers know the prices of competing products?
investing time and money in development, you cost-plus pricing to the more austere draconian the right range of points and are the people If they don't yet, but you believe that they
have, or should have, a feel for where you are on rule of pharmacoeconomic outcomes. Once able you are talking to even likely to consider your would in a real world purchase venue, then you
that pricing curve -- the neighborhood, if not the to command a premium for convenience, or product?) Equally important, qualitative may need to supply them. But remember,
precise street. even for novelty alone, the drug companies are research helps to define the decision con- educate them only up to the point that you
now selling to institutional decision-makers who text, by revealing, for example, whether buy- believe mimics reality. Don't over-educate
In all fairness, however, progress does not al- ask only: Does it save money? And second, does ers understand the product category, re- them. In that same spirit, consider whether you
ways proceed in a straight line, and there are it improve outcomes ... thus saving money. cognize and conceptualize competitive prod- are, in fact, capable of supplying the correct
sometimes little tradeoffs in product design The drug industry is engaged in the truly unique ucts, etc. pricing context. If there is a different pricing
12

reality for each customer, then you have to let advertising and its impact on price sensitivity.
them supply their own (and hope that they’re Final price decisions must take into account how
willing to share it with you). Another crucial
question to ask yourself is: can respondents
aggressive a marketing campaign you are pre-
pared to mount -- particularly for novel prod-
HOW TO DESIGN AND IMPLEMENT
accurately assess price-value based on a product ucts whose benefits are not yet easily under-
concept or simple prototype? If not, you may stood by consumers and whose price-value re- SUCCESSFUL PRICING RESEARCH
need to conduct in-home or in-office trial -- quires sustained promotional efforts to convey.
particularly for repeat purchase items like
On balance, good pricing research sets realistic
consumer package goods or – conversely – high
expectations and blends art with science. The
COUNSEL & CAVEATS FROM THE TRENCHES
ticket and complex items like software or other
results should never be regarded as the
systems innovations. We’ve produced some
definitive basis for making a price decision but
very elaborate demo diskettes and videos to
rather, as one ingredient -- one important in- I often confess to clients who inquire about
convey the spirit of complex new systems. SUSAN SCHWARTZ McDONALD
gredient, certainly -- in the intellectual mix. I
President and CEO price sensitivity measurement that I have deep
counsel clients to recall that this is a social
It is also worth pondering the magnitude of National Analysts reservations about it. I tell them that it’s one of
science, with all the poetry that implies, and not the areas in marketing research where our
demand overstatement. Overstatement is less of
a science -- which means that sound pricing tools and techniques seem often to fail us -- or,
a concern if your objective is pricing rather than decisions must remain exquisitely sensitive to
absolute forecasting -- but it can be a worry if at least, to seem especially disadvantaged --
the industry and the market context. Data are
the level of overstatement isn’t comparable at all because price is so emotionally and intellectu-
never a substitute for judgment and neither ally charged a concept for both the buyer and
price points: Are people more likely to over- should they be used as an excuse to dismiss
state demand at low prices than high ones? I'm the marketer. To arrive at some meaningful
intuition. It is not enough to discover from your
convinced that this is a real problem, by the assessment of perceived price-value, one has
research that you can charge $25,000 a year for a
way, but I'm not sure how to resolve it. A wor- to leap over two hurdles: first, the challenge of
therapy; you must also be prepared to consider requiring people to make a trustworthy pre-
thy topic of research for the academicians in the whether there may be penalties to pay down the
audience, perhaps. diction about their purchase decisions; and
road once your customers have new options to
second, the unreasonableness of expecting
entertain and can exact retribution for ex-
Another issue to deliberate is the impact of people to compute and signal a tolerance for
tortionate pricing in years past. varying levels of expenditure in a way that is
promotional spending levels on price sensi-
tivity. We have developed demand models that Pricing research is a compass, not an automatic both self-aware and candid. Still, as one client
incorporate promotion response in various navigational system. Expect it to provide worth- reminded me long ago: Either I guess alone ...
industries, but we have been less attentive to the while guidance but not irrefutable answers, and or I guess with your help. And when it was
impact of promotion on price sensitivity per se. be prepared to select different tools from your put like that to me, I realized that my alle-
Notably by promotion, I am referring not only pricing kit for different marketing problems. giance lay on the side of imperfect research
to discounts and coupons -- which, of course, One size, one tool definitely does not fit all. when the alternative was clearly no research at
effectively alter price. I am speaking as well of Good luck in your pricing adventures. all.

I think all of us treat pricing research as a kind


šl› of due diligence, recognizing that sometimes,
National Analysts, Inc. is a research and consulting organization providing marketing guidance to corporations in a range of all we have to offer our clients is a consci-
industries and product categories. Originally established as an independent entity in 1943, National Analysts was acquired by
Booz•Allen & Hamilton Inc., the international management and technology consulting firm, in 1970. In 1992, National entious, well-documented guess. If this
Analysts once again became an independent, privately-owned company with a continuing focus on marketing research and seems a nihilistic note on which to address
consulting the professional pricing society, let me say
Throughout its long history, National Analysts has addressed a wide range of business problems, earning a reputation for simply that I am here to counsel realistic ex-
methodological innovation and unusual success in handling challenging and complex assignments. It is distinguished by a pectations and, in general, to make the case
unique balance of research and consulting resources, and a professional staff whose methodological skills are complemented that high tech doesn’t necessarily equate to
by depth of market knowledge and Industry experience.
This is the transcript of a presentation de- high levels of pricing confidence.
NATIONAL ANALYSTS livered at the Professional Pricing Society’s
1835 Market Street Sixth Annual Pricing Conference Pricing is, in my experience, a sort of in-
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19103-2984 (October 1995 ◆ Chicago, Illinois). tellectual negotiating process tied closely to
Tel: (215) 496-6800 ◆ Fax: (215) 496-6801

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