The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author and do not necessarily reflect the

views or policies of the Asian Development

Bank Institute (ADBI), the Asian Development Bank (ADB), its Board of Directors, or the governments they represent. ADBI does not guarantee
the accuracy of the data included in this paper and accepts no responsibility for any consequences of their use. Terminology used may not
necessarily be consistent with ADB official terms.

“Future of the electricity production in Kazakhstan

based on fossil-fuel power plants”
Seminar on the Future of Energy Systems

prepared by: KAIRAT RAKHIMOV

KAZAKHSTAN

Tokyo, 2018
CONTENTS

1. Kazakhstan in facts

2. Energy outlook

3. Next steps
Kazakhstan - Heart of Eurasia
9th largest country in the world - 2,724,900 sq.km
Population: 18 million people

CO2 emissions per country (unit: Gt CO2)

Country 2015 2016
China 10,51 10,48
USA 5,11 5,01
Russia 1,7 1,66
Japan 1,25 1,24
Kazakhstan 0,23 0,23

CO2 emissions (unit: tonnes of CO2 per person CO2 emissions (unit: tonnes of CO2 per sq. km
Country 2015 2016 Country 2015 2016
China 7,49 7,43 China 1 094,9 1 091,8
USA 15,99 15,56 USA 536,79 526,29
Russia 11,80 11,54 Russia 99,26 96,93
Japan 9,81 9,7 Japan 3 308,3 3 281,9
Kazakhstan 12,85 12,89 Kazakhstan 84,4 84,4
Source: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, 2017
Natural Resources
Kazakhstan occupies 3d
Kazakhstan holds 30% of world resources of chromium ore, 25% of
manganese ore and 10% of iron ore. Copper, lead and zinc resources
place in terms of largest
constitute 10% and 13% of the world reserves, respectively.

reserves and 1t place in

terms of coal production
per capita

Source: MIT Center for Energy and Environmental Police Research

Oil and Gas reserves

Proved Oil reserves:

bln. barrels
Russia 103,2
Kazakhstan 30
Azerbaijan 7,0
Turkmenistan 0,6

Proved Gas reserves:

bln. m3
Russia 32,6
Turkmenistan 17,6
Kazakhstan 1,5
Azerbaijan 1,2

SOURCE: BP STATISTICAL REVIEW OF WORLD ENERGY 2015

Natural Gas consumption
ГАЗОПРОВОДЫ
Существующие
Eastern Российская
Петропавлов
ск Запланированные

Kazakhstan Федерация Карталы

Костана
й Кокчетав
Кокшетау
Бейнеу-Бозой-
Шымкент
Т/п Средняя Азия-
15% Александро Уральск
Оренбург
Орск Тобол
Костанай
Акмола
Астана Китай
Газоперерабатывающий
завод
Насосная станция
Карачаганак
в Гай АксайАктоб
Northern
ЗАПАДНЫЙ Торгай
КАЗАХСТАН е Караганда
Караганд Газодобывающий
Актобе
а регион
Города
Атырау Жанажольск

Kazakhstan ий ГПЗ

Джезказган
Семей Восточный
Казахстан

8%
Атырау
Кашаган
Бозой Кумкольский
Тенгиз ГПЗ Талдыкорган
Аральское Акшабулакск
Бейнеу море Амангельдински Алматы
Мангыстау Кызылорда ий ГПЗ
й ЗПГК
Хоргос
Узень Южный Джамбул
Казахстан
Казахски
й ГПЗ
Алматы
Узбекистан Бишкек
Western Азербайдж Туркменба
Наипски
й ГПЗ
Шымкент
Ташкент Кыргызста
н

Kazakhstan ан Баку ши Туркмениста

нАшхабад Таджикист
Китай

50% Каспийск
ое море
ан

Афганистан Пакистан

Источник: IHS Energy © 2015 IHS: 20303_W3B

Southern
Kazakhstan Only in 10 regions from 14 Natural gas
27%
can be distributed by gas pipelines.
35
Householders Trasportation
30

25 Agriculture Construction
Billion m3

20
Industry Electricity
15

10

SOURCE: HS ENERGY INSIGHT -

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Electricity sector
Power plants are
grouped in the
At 2017, the total Over 85% of all electricity
following categories:
installed capacity of the is produced by thermal
National, industrial
power plants in power plants (TPP).
and regional power
Kazakhstan is 22 055 A total of 70% of TPPs
plants
MW; use coal

Electric power is
produced by 112
power plants of
different forms of
ownership 1%
22%
Coal
22% Gas
55% Hydro
RES
Coal will remain important in energy consumption

SOURCE: HS ENERGY INSIGHT

Energy Policy of Kazakhstan Government

NEW MODEL COULD PROVIDE A

RELATIVELY PREDICTABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR ATTRACTING
NEW INVESTORS

FROM 2019
THE REVERSE PRICE AUCTION
CAPACITY MARKET FOR “OLD” AND “NEW” CAPACITY,
WHICH SHOULD PROVIDE
WITH SINGLE BUYER COMPETITION
MODEL
CAPACITY ADDITIONS COULD BE
INSTALLED WITH MORE EFFICIENT
GENERATING EQUIPMENT
Renewable energy sector

2017 2020
Energy Policy of Kazakhstan Government
TRANSPARENT AND CLEAR PROCESS OF
PROJECTS AND INVESTROS SELECTION
FROM 2018
AUCTION MECHANISM OF
SELECTION OF TECHNOLOGIES AND
RES PROJECTS SELECTION PROJECTS HAVING THE LEAST AFFECT ON
THE TARIFFS OF END CONSUMERS

CLEAR RESPONSIBILITIES OF MARKET

PARTICIPANTS IN GENERATION,
TRANSISSION AND CONSUMPTION OF
ELECTRICITY ENERGY