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R. Lal
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
The Ohio State University
Columbus, Ohio 43210 USA
The Carbon Civilization
Story, 2008
The Energy Cost
Increase in oil price by $1/barrel means
additional $7.4 billion cost to the car-
driven culture of the U.S.
World Population Growth and
CO2 Emissions
7 400
Global population
CO2 (ppm)
340
4
310
3
2 280
1 250
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
Yea
Population growth and CO2
emissions in China
Population
CO2 Emission (Million metric ton, Tg/yr)
CO2
Emissions
Population (millions)
Years
Population growth and CO2
emissions in India
Population
CO2 Emission (Million metric
CO2
Emissions
Population
(millions)
ton, Tg/yr)
Years
Energy Use and CO2 Emission
a. 1 MWh of energy = 0.14-0.28 Mg C
b. Total emissions:
I. Between 1850 and 2000 = 300 Pg
II. Between 2000 and 2100 = 950-2195 Pg
c. Rate of emission:
I. 1990 = 5.5 Pg/yr
II. 2100 = 20-35 Pg/yr
Global Carbon Budget
Parameter 1980’s 1990’s 2000’s
-----------------Pg C/yr-------------------
I. Sources
•Fossil Fuel Combustion 5.5 6.3 7.6
•Land Use Conversion 1.6 1.6 1.8
TOTAL 7.1 7.9 9.4
II. Known Sinks
•Atmosphere 3.2 3.3 4.1
•Ocean 2.0 2.3 2.2
•Land 0.5 0.7 0.7
TOTAL 5.7 6.3 7.0
III. Fugitive CO2 1.4 1.6 2.4
IV. CO2 ppm 360s 370s 380s
Fossil Fuel Combustion and
Atmospheric CO2
• 4 Pg of fossil C combustion = 1ppm of CO2 in
the atmosphere
Geologic
Pool Fossil Fuel
Combustion
7.5 Pg/yr Atmospheric
Anthropogenic Enrichment
Emissions 4.1 Pg/yr
9.4 Pg/yr
Terrestrial Deforestation
Pool Soil Cultivation
1.9 Pg/yr
Terrestrial Sequestration
Uses of Crop/Agricultural Residues
Burning/
Biochar
Retention Incorp-
on orating
Soil
Mulching
(NT)
Manure
Manage-
Agricultural ment
Stall
Residues
Fodder Feeding
Grazing
Traditional
Fuel Co-
Fuel Modern Combustion
Fuel Cellulosic
Ethanol
Managing Crop Residues for
Carbon Sequestration
Soil Humification
Application 10-15%
Carbon
Sequestration Off-Setting
With Crop Biofuel Emissions
Residue
Management
Burial •Energy Cost
Under of Transport
Ocean •Erosion
•Loss of
Nutrients
CO2 Utilization and Recycling
Rather than treating it as a waste (garbage) to
be disposed of underground or under the
ocean, industrially emitted CO2 is a resource
and an important raw material for:
(i) chemical and biological products
(bio-economy)
(ii) Photosynthetic products
(terrestrial/marine biosphere)
Residence Time in Soil
Atmospheric
C pool =
760 Pg
(+ 3.5 Pg yr-1)
Link between
terrestrial and
atmospheric C pool
Terrestrial C Pool
= 2860 Pg
+ 2-4 Pg C/yr
SOC = 1550 Pg
SIC = 750 Pg
Biotic Pool = 560 Pg
(-1.6 Pg yr–1)
Adverse Impacts of Depletion of Soil Organic Matter on
Soil Quality and Ancillary Ecosystem Services
Managing soil organic matter as the key to soil, air, and water quality
(Redrawn from Andrews et al., 2006)
Estimates of Global and
Regional Potential of Soil C
Sequestration
1. World: 0.6 - 1.2 Pg C yr-1
2. USA: 144 - 432 Tg C yr-1
3. India: 40 - 50 Tg C yr-1
4. Iceland: 1.2 - 1.6 Tg C yr-1
5. Brazil: 40 - 60 Tg C yr-1
6. Western Europe: 70 - 190 Tg C
yr-1
Terrestrial Carbon Sink
Capacity
Prehistoric C loss = 320 Pg (Ruddiman, 2003)
Loss since 1850 = 136 Pg (IPCC, 2000)
Total loss = 456 Pg = 114 ppm CO2
(Boeckert, 2007)
Assuming recovery of 40-50% = 45-55 ppm
(50 ppm)
Soil C Dynamics
Innovative
land use technology II
conversion
subsistence Innovative
farming, adoption of technology I
none or low new
100 equilibrium RMPs
off-farm
input, soil Maximum
soil C sink
Relative Magnitude of SOC Pool
capacity
degradation potential
80
Rate ∆Y Attainable
potential
60
∆X
40 Accelerated erosion
20
0
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
Time (Yrs)
Fig. 3 A schematic of the soil C dynamics upon conversion from a natural to agricultural
ecosystem, and subsequent adoption of recommended management practices
(RMPs). In most cases, the maximum potential equals the magnitude of historic C
loss. Only in some soil-specific situations, the adoption of RMPs can increase SOC
pool above that of the natural system. An example of this is acid savanna soils of
South America (Llanos, Cerrados) where alleviation of soil-related constraints can
drastically enhance the SOC pool.
Production Agriculture:
A Success Story
Agronomic
Pedosphere Biosphere
Production
Linked Cycles in the Soil-Plant-
Atmosphere Continuum
Soil
Water Cycle
KEY PROCESSES
(SSSA, 1992)
Linked Cycles in the Soil-
Plant-Atmosphere
Continuum
Soil
Water Cycle
KEY PROCESSES
(SSSA, 1992)
Strategies for Soil C Sequestration
Soil
Aggregation
No-till
NPP
Residence
Analysis
Root INM
Turnover
Microbial
Processes
Life Cycle
Analysis
Water/Soil
Humification Conservation
Nutrient
Cycling
Depth
Distribution Cover
Cropping
Illuviation Soil
Quality
Complex
Coupled
Systems
Cycling
Unfertilized
Crop Yield
∆ Yield
SOC Pool SOC Pool
U.S. and Global Energy
Needs
• 1 Quad = 1015 BTU
• Current U.S. Energy Consumption = 100 Quads/yr
• Projected Increase in Demand = 1.5%/yr in the
U.S.
• World Energy Consumption = 400 Quads/yr
• Projected Increase in Demand = 2.5%/yr
Biofuels From Crop Residue
• Modern agriculture can generate = 10 Mg/ha of biomass
• Biomass energy value = 16x106BTU/Mg
• Tal cereal residue produced in the U.S. = 350 Tg/yr
• Gross biofuel energy value of residues = 6 Quads/yr
• Net energy value = 3 Quads/yr
• Energy Value of 33% of the residue = 1 Quad/yr
Algae
Algae
Ethanol
Nutrient-
Biodiesel Residues Enriched &
Biochar/
Biochemicals Compost
Cellulosic ethanol
CO2 evolution
Decomposition of lignin and cellulose
Microbial Processes
Sugar Fermentation
Grain-based
ethanol
Energy Efficiency vs. Residue
Removal
• Meeting 1% of energy needs can
seriously jeopardize nations/world soil
and water resources
• Improving energy use efficiency can
reduce demand by 20-30%
Carbon Debt Upon Conversion of Native Ecosystems to
Biofuel Plantations (Fargione et al., 2008)
Former Biofuel Carbon Debt Debt Annual Time to
Ecosystem (Mg C/ha) Allocated to Payment Repay C
Biofuel (Mg C/ha/yr) Debt (yr)
Soil Biomass Total (%)
Tropical Palm Biodiesel 55 135 190 87 1.9 86
Rainforest
Peatland Palm Biodiesel 218 135 353 87 1.9 423
Rainforest
Tropical Soybean Biodiesel 65 135 200 39 0.25 319
Rainforest
Cerrado Sugarcane 31 14 45 100 2.7 17
Wooded Ethanol
Cerrado Soybean Biodiesel 22 1 23 39 0.25 37
Woodland
Central Corn Ethanol 34 3 37 83 0.33 93
Grassland
Abandoned Corn Ethanol 18 1 19 83 0.33 48
Cropland
Abandoned Corn Ethanol 2 - 2 100 1.2 1
Cropland
Marginal Prairie Biomass 0 0 0 100 2.1 No debt
Cropland Ethanol
The Economist $ food index
1845-50-100
2000
1500
1000
500
100
0
1850 1900 50 2007
Economist, 2007
Estimates of Under-Nourished People
(FAO, 2006)
Region Population % of Total
(106)
India 212 24.8
Sub-Saharan Africa 206 24.1
Asia/Pacific 162 19.0
China 150 17.6
Latin America/Caribbean 52 6.1
Near East/North Africa 38 4.4
Transition Countries 9 1.1
Industrialized Countries 9 1.1
TOTAL 854 100
Developing Countries 820 96.1
Estimates of Under-Nourished
People (FAO, 2006)
1%
1% India
4%
SSA
6%
26%
Asia/Pacific
18% China
Latin
America/Caribbean
Near East/North
Africa
25% Transition Countries
19%
Industrialized
Countries
Mean Crop Yield in India, Kenya and
Developed Countries (FAO, 2005)
Crop Yield (kg/ha)
Ethiopia India Developed
Countries
Rice 1872 3284 6810
Wheat 1469 2601 3110
Maize 2006 1907 8340
Sorghum 1455 797 3910
Cowpea 730 332 1790
Chickpea 1026 814 7980
Areas where
current population
exceeds potential
agricultural capacity
Economics of Residue Removal for Biofuel
Estimated Increase in Food Production
in Africa by Increase in SOC Pool by
1 Mg C/ha/yr (Lal, 2006)
Total Annual Increase
Type
(106 Mg/yr)
Roots and
3.0 - 6.2
Tubers
Indiscriminate removal
of crop residue is taking soil
for granted and treating it as
dirt.
From Vedas
Sanskrit Scripture 1500 BC
The Balancing Act
“We may utilize the gifts of Nature just
as we choose, but in Her books, the
debits are always equal to the credits.”
…M.K. Gandhi