EXCERPT

IDC Excerpt: Worldwide Database Management Systems

2009-2013 Forecast and 2008 Vendor Shares
Carl W. Olofson

IN THIS EXCERPT
This Excerpt is taken from the IDC Market Analysis, Worldwide Database
Management Systems 2009-2013 Forecast and 2008 Vendor Shares, by Carl
www.idc.com

Olofson (document # 219232). Content is taken from the Situation Overview and
Future Outlook. Also included are Tables 3 and 6 as well as Figures 6 and 12.

SITUATION OVERVIEW
F.508.935.4015

Overall Performance of Leading Vendors in 2008

Table 3 displays 2006–2008 worldwide revenue and 2008 growth and market share
for relational database management systems vendors. Oracle once again dominated
P.508.872.8200

the RDBMS market in 2008, with a 43.5% share of the revenue. IBM and Microsoft,
however, both grew well, taking a little share from the market leader. Sybase also
grew well, fueled by continuing strong momentum for its columnar RDBMS, Sybase
IQ, as well as a strong recommitment of its user base to the flagship RDBMS, Sybase
ASE. Data warehousing also fueled growth for another columnar DBMS vendor,
Global Headquarters: 5 Speen Street Framingham, MA 01701 USA

Vertica, as well as for the RDBMS appliance vendor Netezza.

TABLE 3

Worldwide Relational Database Management Systems Revenue by Vendor, 2006–

2008 ($M)

2006 2007 2008 2008 Share (%) 2008 Growth (%)

Oracle 7,166.3 8,161.4 8,901.3 43.5 9.1

IBM 3,500.9 3,966.1 4,442.0 21.7 12.0

Microsoft 3,052.0 3,478.0 4,000.0 19.5 15.0

Teradata 558.0 630.0 653.6 3.2 3.7

Sybase 492.2 546.1 617.5 3.0 13.1

Progress Software Corp. 237.5 245.9 238.3 1.2 -3.1

Fujitsu 197.3 181.7 205.6 1.0 13.1

Filing Information: October 2009, IDC #219232E

: Excerpt
 TABLE 3

Worldwide Relational Database Management Systems Revenue by Vendor, 2006–

2008 ($M)

2006 2007 2008 2008 Share (%) 2008 Growth (%)

SAS 132.9 141.2 109.5 0.5 -22.5

Netezza Corp. 44.1 70.3 109.1 0.5 55.2

Hitachi 66.9 62.0 70.9 0.3 14.4

Subtotal 15,448.1 17,482.8 19,347.9 94.5 10.7

Other 931.6 1,019.3 1,134.4 5.5 11.0

Total 16,379.7 18,502.0 20,479.3 100.0 10.7

Source: IDC, June 2009

Overall Performance by Operating Environment in 2008

Windows took the largest share of RDBMS revenue in the operating environment
segment in 2008 (see Figure 6). Unix maintains a strong second position, though its
share is gradually eroding as a result of ongoing Linux migrations.

FIGURE 6

Worldwide Relational Database Management Systems Revenue

Share by Operating Environment, 2008

Other (2.8%)
Mainframe (8.2%)
Linux/other open
source (8.6%)

Windows 32 and
64 (43.5%)

Unix (36.9%)

Total = $20.5B

Source: IDC, June 2009

2 #219232E ©2009 IDC

FUTURE OUTLOOK

Relational Database Management Systems Forecast, 2009–2013

Worldwide

IDC's estimate of the growth of the relational database management systems markets
through 2013 is presented in Table 6. The first two years of the forecast period are
expected to be fairly soft (2.1% and 5.2%, respectively), but by 2013, growth will have
nearly returned to form. The reason this market is not expected to return to double-
digit year-over-year growth is that by the end of the forecast period, new licensing and
delivery models are likely to have a depressing effect on the market, which will last for
several years until the market has corrected average price points for RDBMS
software. As a result, the five-year CAGR is projected at 6.7%.

TABLE 6

Worldwide Relational Database Management Systems Revenue by Region and

Operating Environment, 2008–2013 ($M)

2008 2013
Share Share 2008–2013
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (%) (%) CAGR (%)

Geographic
region

Americas 9,651.7 10,082.0 10,802.6 11,879.6 13,167.4 14,451.4 47.1 51.1 8.4

EMEA 7,590.3 7,766.6 8,035.8 8,503.3 9,258.3 10,066.9 37.1 35.6 5.8

Asia/Pacific 3,237.2 3,060.2 3,163.7 3,332.0 3,530.7 3,740.3 15.8 13.2 2.9

Total 20,479.3 20,908.8 22,002.1 23,715.0 25,956.4 28,258.7 100.0 100.0 6.7

Operating
environment

Mainframe 1,680.5 1,722.7 1,767.5 1,845.4 1,942.2 2,038.5 8.2 7.2 3.9

Unix 7,547.4 6,951.5 6,850.0 6,764.4 6,663.1 6,407.8 36.9 22.7 -3.2

Linux/other 1,754.9 2,068.8 2,481.4 3,042.1 3,773.9 4,565.9 8.6 16.2 21.1
open source

Windows 32 8,910.6 9,658.6 10,465.3 11,702.7 13,296.9 15,029.1 43.5 53.2 11.0
and 64

Other 585.9 507.2 438.0 360.4 280.3 217.4 2.9 0.8 -18.0

©2009 IDC #219232E 3

 TABLE 6

Worldwide Relational Database Management Systems Revenue by Region and

Operating Environment, 2008–2013 ($M)

2008 2013
Share Share 2008–2013
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (%) (%) CAGR (%)

Total 20,479.3 20,908.8 22,002.1 23,714.9 25,956.4 28,258.7 100.0 100.0 6.7

Growth (%) 10.7 2.1 5.2 7.8 9.5 8.9

Source: IDC, June 2009

By Operating Environment

This study represents IDC's operating environment forecast for the relational
database management systems market through 2013. For the revenue forecast for
the database management systems market, segmented by operating environment,
refer back to Table 6; revenue for 2008 and 2013 is illustrated in Figure 12. As usual,
Linux will be the fastest-growing platform, taking its share from Unix. This is because
most Linux installations are expected to be migrations from Unix, or new installations
at sites that would otherwise be Unix sites. Windows will maintain its dominance,
growing its share almost 10 points to 53.2% of the total market by 2013.

FIGURE 12

Worldwide Relational Database Management Systems Revenue

by Operating Environment, 2008 and 2013

Windows 32 and 64

Unix

Linux/other open source

Mainframe

Other

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
($B)

2008
2013

Source: IDC, June 2009

4 #219232E ©2009 IDC

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©2009 IDC #219232E 5