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Basel II and securitising bank holdings


of foreign currency government debt

Wassim N. Shahin and Elias El-Achkar



School of Business, Lebanese American University, P.O. Box 36, Byblos, Lebanon
tel: þ 961 9 547254; fax: þ 961 9 547256; e-mail: wshahin@lau.edu.lb

Wassim N. Shahin is Dean, School of dollarised debt in highly dollarised countries, the
Business, Lebanese American University, reduced ability of many countries to market debt
Byblos, Lebanon. internationally and for other relevant reasons. There-
fore, we present analysis that relies on the securitisa-
Elias El-Achkar is Director of Research, tion process to suggest a new proposal that has not
Association of Banks in Lebanon, Saifi, Beirut, been applied or practised yet, in which banks may not
Lebanon. have to raise a large amount of additional capital for
debt they subscribe to by securitising some of the
foreign currency government bonds held on their
ABSTRACT balance sheets.
The Basel II Accord on capital standard, which will Journal of Banking Regulation (2007) 8, 353–364.
take effect in 2007 in many countries, requires banks doi:10.1057/palgrave.jbr.2350053
to hold a larger amount of capital than was specified
in Basel I against their holdings of certain categories
of assets, one of which is foreign currency government
debt. The Accord impacts many countries but mostly INTRODUCTION
has major capital implications for around 110 The Basel II Accord on capital standard or the
countries with export credit arrangement risk scores Basel II capital adequacy framework is sup-
of category seven and category four to six, which are posed to take effect in 2007 in a large number
the highest risk scores applicable to nations in the of countries. This Accord requires banks to
Basel agreement. This paper examines one aspect of hold a larger amount of capital than was
the balance-sheet implications of the Basel II Accord specified in Basel I against their holdings of
concerning capital held by commercial banks against certain categories of assets, one of which is
their holdings of foreign currency government debt foreign currency government debt. This new
(Eurobonds) issued by their own governments. Basel regulatory framework has capital effects for
II attaches 150 per cent risk weight to this asset for banks in all countries. Since Basel II, however,
countries with classification risk of seven and 100 per ties credit risk weights to internal or external
cent for countries with classification risk of four to six. ratings, major capital implications arise for
Using a simplified numerical model applied on two around 110 countries with export credit
countries’ representatives of the two classification arrangement (ECA) risk scores of category
groups, the analysis shows a major necessary increase seven and category four to six, which are the
in capital to meet the requirements specified in Basel highest risk scores applicable to nations in the
II. This necessitates a bank balance sheet reshuffling Basel agreement.1
away from this asset into assets with lower risk Several studies have examined various
weights. Banks, however, have to continuously aspects of the implications of Basel II as will
subscribe to this asset due to the large amounts of be discussed in the next section. This paper

& 2007 Palgrave Macmillan Ltd, 1745-6452 $30.00 Vol. 8, 4 353–364 Journal of Banking Regulation 353
Basel II and securitising bank holdings of foreign currency government debt

examines one aspect of the balance-sheet held government debt becomes possible. In the
implications of the Basel II Accord concerning suggested scenario that has not been applied or
capital held by commercial banks against their practised yet, banks may not have to raise a
holdings of foreign currency government debt large amount of additional capital for debt they
(Eurobonds) issued by their own governments. subscribe to by securitising some of the foreign
Basel II attaches 150 per cent risk weight to this currency government bonds held on their
asset for countries with classification risk of balance sheets.
seven and 100 per cent for countries with The paper is organised as follows. The next
classification risk of four to six. Historically, section provides a brief overview of some of the
every downgrading of a country’s creditworthi- literature addressing Basel II and its implica-
ness by international private agencies as a result tions. The following section states and com-
of worsening public finances has been accom- pares the risk weights of foreign currency-held
panied by a rating downward of commercial debt in both the Basel I and the Basel II
banks issuing shares when these banks hold Accords and discusses the process of securitisa-
large amounts of foreign currency government tion in the new Accord. The succeeding
debt. It is believed that this debt carries foreign section relies on a numerical model showing
exchange risk, as the country is issuing it in a the level of additional capital necessary in the
currency other than its own, making the Basel II framework by applying the new rules
probability of default higher in case of to two countries each representing a different
domestic currency depreciation. Given this classification group, Lebanon (risk group of
fact, the new Accord implies that at a time seven) and Turkey (risk group of four to six).
when a country’s rating has been downgraded, The penultimate section provides the me-
its banks are required by regulators to provide chanics of the securitisation proposal and uses
additional capital against their holdings of its a numerical example on the same two
foreign currency debt when banks’ rating has countries showing the potential reduction in
also been reduced. Raising capital, as a result, the additional required capital if the securitisa-
may be very costly and difficult. Using tion process of foreign currency-held debt is to
numerical cases from two countries’ represen- be adopted as a new concept. The last section
tatives of the two classification groups (seven concludes with bank policy implications.
and four to six), the analysis shows the need for
a major increase in capital for both groups to LITERATURE REVIEW
meet the requirements specified in the new The purpose of this section is to fit the present
Basel II Accord. This necessitates a bank study in the context of the type of studies
balance sheet reshuffling away from this asset addressing the Basel II Capital Accord. These
into assets with lower risk weights. Banks, studies were at least of three types. The first
however, have to continuously subscribe to group includes various publications of the Basel
government debt in foreign currency based on Committee on Banking Supervision providing
the large amount of dollarised debt in highly detailed explanations of the key elements of the
dollarised countries.2 Domestic banks are also Accord such as the three pillars on minimum
the major subscribers to this debt due to the capital requirements, supervisory review and
reduced ability of many countries to market it market discipline, the three approaches for
internationally. In addition, countries often use calculating credit risk and operational risk, and
‘moral suasion’ to convince banks to hold it. the implementation of the new Accord.
Therefore, we present analysis that relies on the The second group of studies attempted at
securitisation process to suggest a new proposal explaining the various approaches, comparing
in which circumventing some additional capital the different rating programmes, delving
requirements (ACR) against foreign currency- further into the rationale and design of the

354 Journal of Banking Regulation Vol. 8, 4 353–364 & 2007 Palgrave Macmillan Ltd, 1745-6452 $30.00
Shahin and El-Achkar

revised capital standards, and studying some of capital is scarce relative to lending opportu-
the major differences between Basel I and Basel nities. Simulations are then conducted support-
II Capital Accords.3 ing the theoretical reasoning. These findings
The current study fits the third group of are in line with other studies that have
papers that addressed the impact of the new examined the pro-cyclicality of Basel II.5
Accord on the banking firm and the macro- Prescott examines the issue of auditing and
economy.4 To cite few examples, studies of this bank capital regulation. He bases his hypothesis
type have specifically examined the impact of on the premise in Basel II stipulating that banks
Basel II on risk allocation in the banking sector can use their internal rating systems to
and its implications for bank capital adequacy, determine the risk of an asset by estimating
the cyclical implications of the new capital several key numbers such as the probability of
standards, and auditing and bank capital default, the loss given default, the exposure at
regulation. Rime starts with the notion that default and asset maturity.
Basel II introduces two approaches for the Banks then rely on these numbers using a
calculation of credit risk: an internal ratings- regulatory formula to determine capital re-
based approach that will be used by large quirements. The author argues about the
sophisticated banks and a standardised approach incentives that banks have to report the true
used by smaller less-sophisticated ones. Then, risks of an asset. Therefore, he moves the focus
he uses a two-period model with two possible from pillar one of the proposal that is mainly
future states to analyse decisions facing low- concerned with setting the capital requirements
and high-risk borrowers. The results he reaches to pillar two that deals with supervisory review
show that because the two types of banks and uses models where regulatory audits affect
compete in the loan market, the new regula- the incentives for banks to send accurate
tory framework may induce smaller banks to reports. The author finds that stochastic
specialise in granting loans to high-risk bor- auditing strategies are more effective than
rowers and the larger banks to specialise in low- deterministic ones and that the frequency of
risk borrowers with an ambiguous effect on an audit should depend on the amount of
financial stability. capital banks hold.
Kashyap and Stein address one of the many This paper fits the third category of studies
concerns of the Basel II capital requirement, in that it examines the implications of the new
mainly its cyclical implications. The Accord is Accord on the banking firm. It, however,
believed to exacerbate business cycle fluctua- analyses a different issue dealing with the effect
tions by forcing a bank in an economic of the new capital standards on the banking
downturn to hold more capital against its firm’s balance sheet through its impact on
current loan portfolio as its existing nonde- foreign currency bank-held government debt.
faulted borrowers will be downgraded by credit In addition, it provides a new proposal to
risk models. Given the difficulty in raising buttress the consequences of the new regula-
additional capital in bad times, banks may cut tion on the amount of required additional
down on lending activities contributing to a capital.
worsening of the initial downturn. The authors
examine the cyclicality aspects of Basel II by RISK WEIGHTS OF FOREIGN
developing a conceptual framework question- CURRENCY-HELD DEBT AND
ing the optimality of the proposed regulations. SECURITISED ASSETS IN THE
Basel II is found to be sub-optimal by having a BASEL ACCORD
single time-invariant risk curve rather than a This section discusses the differences in the risk
family of risk curves with the capital charge weights attached to foreign currency govern-
being reduced when economy-wide bank ment debt held by banks in Basel I and Basel II

& 2007 Palgrave Macmillan Ltd, 1745-6452 $30.00 Vol. 8, 4 353–364 Journal of Banking Regulation 355
Basel II and securitising bank holdings of foreign currency government debt

and of the securitisation framework in the 12.5 (ie the reciprocal of the minimum capital
Capital Accord. Basel I Capital Accord (1988) ratio of 8 per cent) and adding the resulting
related capital to the different on-balance-sheet figures to the sum of risk-weighted assets for
asset and off-balance-sheet items or exposure of credit risk. The revised framework provided a
banks, weighted according to their relative risk number of options for determining the capital
(mainly in terms of credit risk). Five weights requirements for credit and operational risks,
were proposed: 0, 10, 20, 50 and 100 per cent. allowing banks and supervisors to select
Some flexibility was introduced in deciding on approaches that are most appropriate for their
which weight should apply to some types of operations and their financial market infra-
assets. In this paper, the attention is particularly structure. Basel II proposed to measure the
drawn on claims on central governments and credit risk either under the standardised
particularly those denominated in the foreign approach based on external credit assessment
currency and funded in that currency. It was of eligible institutions or under the internal
concluded in the Basel I Capital Accord that ratings-based approach, allowing banks to use
domestic supervisory authorities should be free their internal rating systems for credit risk
to apply a zero or a low weight to claims on subject to the explicit approval of supervisors.
governments if they desire to incorporate Under the standardised approach, claims on
interest rate risk, suggesting as an example a sovereigns (claims on governments) will be risk
10 per cent risk weight for all the securities weighted according to the credit assessment or
issued by governments or a 10 per cent risk country risk scores assigned by institutions such
weight for those securities maturing within less as Standard & Poor’s or ECAs whose assessment
than a year and 20 per cent for those with a is considered as the OECD methodology.6 This
maturity of one year and above. This structure latter establishes eight risk score categories for
holds for OECD countries and non-OECD these claims on governments from 0 to 7. ECA
countries, provided claims are denominated in risk scores of 0 and 1 will receive a risk weight
the national currency and funded by liabilities of 0 per cent, while countries with a score of
in the same currency. Therefore, this zero or 2 and 3 will have risk weights of 20 and 50 per
low weight to claims on governments did not cent, respectively. Those with risk scores from
incorporate the exchange rate risk. Although 4 to 6 will receive a risk weight of 100 per cent.
claims on central governments denominated in ECA risk score of 7 corresponds to a risk
national currency and funded in that currency weight of 150 per cent. At national discretion,
were given a risk weight of 0 per cent, claims however, a lower risk weight may be applied to
on central governments outside the OECD claims on sovereigns of incorporation denomi-
(unless denominated in national currency and nated in domestic currency and funded in that
funded in that currency) fell under the 100 per currency (ie having corresponding liabilities
cent risk weight category. denominated in the domestic currency).7
The Basel II Capital Accord in 2004 The implications of applying the new capital
retained key elements of the 1988 capital adequacy framework as far as claims on central
adequacy framework, including the require- governments are concerned are as follows.
ment for banks to hold capital equivalent to at Regarding claims on central government
least 8 per cent of their risk-weighted assets. denominated in domestic currency, countries
The calculation of minimum capital require- with a sovereign credit assessment risk of 20 per
ments is, however, for credit risk, operational cent (A to A) and above (below A) cannot
risk and trading book issues (including market anymore justify a zero-per cent weight (as it
risk). Further, the total risk-weighted assets are used to be under Basel I). This is particularly
determined by multiplying the capital require- true for countries with high sovereign risk
ments for market risk and operational risk by (100–150 per cent). Differently, under Basel I,

356 Journal of Banking Regulation Vol. 8, 4 353–364 & 2007 Palgrave Macmillan Ltd, 1745-6452 $30.00
Shahin and El-Achkar

the risk weight attributed to claims on the is an SPE (special purpose entity)and the
government in foreign currency is either a zero securitisation does not contain some additional
per cent (for OECD countries) or 100 per cent clauses allowing for alterations in the original
(for non-OECD countries). In applying Basel contract conditions. Underlying instruments
I, many countries did not adhere fully to this that can be securitised may include but are not
rule and attributed a risk weight that lies restricted to loans, commitments, asset-backed
between these two extremes. It is therefore and mortgage-backed securities, corporate
obvious that a higher sovereign risk rating bonds, equity securities and private equity
when moving from Basel I to Basel II entails investments.8
additional cost and vice versa. OECD countries The analysis in this paper assumes first that
that have an ECA risk score of 2 and above or these conditions are met and therefore excludes
alternatively a credit assessment of A þ and the securitised exposures from the calculation
below will incur additional cost, the size of of risk-weighted assets. Secondly, the paper
which will depend on their rating. Non- recommends securitising foreign currency
OECD countries with an ECA risk score of bank-held government bonds not specifically
7 or a credit assessment risk of 150 per cent addressed in Basel along lines similar
(over 70 countries) or alternatively having a to securitising corporate bonds and other
credit assessment of below B will also have to instruments.
meet ACR.
Therefore, countries with a sovereign credit ADDITIONAL CAPITAL IMPACT OF
assessment risk of 150 per cent must use this BANK-HELD FOREIGN CURRENCY
risk weight on claims on central government GOVERNMENT DEBT: A NUMERICAL
denominated in foreign currency instead of FRAMEWORK
previously using the 100 per cent risk weight. This section develops a model and then uses a
Countries with a risk score of 4–6 per cent numerical framework to examine the impact of
must use the 100 per cent risk weight on bank changing the risk weight of foreign currency-
foreign currency-held debt instead of using one held debt on bank capital.
that lies between 0 and 100 per cent. Countries
with sovereign credit assessment risk of below A simplified model
100 per cent can, however, benefit from using a According to the Basel Accord, minimum
lower risk weight on claims on central Capital Requirements can be specified as
government denominated in the foreign cur- follows:
rency (instead of previously using the 100 per kXmZ ð1Þ
cent risk weight).
As far as securitisation is concerned, banks where k is the total minimum capital required
must apply the securitisation framework for under Basel; m the minimum capital required as
determining regulatory capital requirements on a percentage of risk-weighted assets equal to 8
exposures arising from this process. An origi- per cent; Z the total risk-weighted assets
nating bank may, however, exclude securitised including balance-sheet- and off-balance-
exposures from the calculation of risk-weighted sheet-adjusted assets.
assets only if some conditions are met, such as Under Basel I,
the following: significant credit risk associated X
n X
m
with the securitised exposures has been trans- Z¼ Xi oi þ Gj nj ð2Þ
i¼1 j¼1
ferred to third parties, the transferor does not P
maintain effective or indirect control over the where ni¼ 1Xi oi is the sum of risk-weighted
transferred exposures, the securities issued are assets; Xi the set of assets items; oi the set of risk
not obligations to the transferor, the transferee weights attributed to each category of assets;

& 2007 Palgrave Macmillan Ltd, 1745-6452 $30.00 Vol. 8, 4 353–364 Journal of Banking Regulation 357
Basel II and securitising bank holdings of foreign currency government debt

Pm
j ¼ 1Gjnj the sum of risk-weighted off- Substituting (6) and (7) into (5) allows us to
balance-sheet activities; Gj the set of off- rewrite (5) as follows:
balance-sheet items adjusted by their conver- "
sion factors; nj the set of risk weights attributed kXm X1 ða1 ;OÞo1 ðb1 ; OÞþX2 ða2 ; OÞ
to each category of off-balance-sheet items.
Substituting (2) into (1) allows us to write9 #
X
m
" # o2 ðb2 ; OÞþXn ðan ;OÞon ðbn ;OÞ þ Gj Uj
Xn Xm
j¼1
kXm Xi oi þ Gj n j ð3Þ
i¼1 j¼1 ð8Þ
Given that we are examining the impact of a A change in the regulatory variable O affects
change in the risk weight attached to foreign the weight of a given asset and the demand for
currency
Pn bank-held debt, we spell-out this asset. Given that we are examining the
i ¼ 1xi oi that includes this asset and other change in this regulatory variable as specified in
assets. Basel II, we differentiate (8) with respect to O
Therefore, total bank assets and their to get:
weights are expressed as
dk=dOXm½X 01 o1 þ X1 o 01 þ X 02 o2
X1 o1 þ X2 o2 þ Xn on ð4Þ þ X2 o 02 þ X 0n on þ Xn o 0n
ð9Þ
Substituting (4) into (3), we get: Equation (9) shows how a change in the
" # regulatory variable affects asset demand and
X m
kXm X1 o1 þ X2 o2 þ Xn on þ Gj nj weight functions. This paper considers the
j¼1 impact of a change in the regulatory variable
ð5Þ concerning the risk weight attached to foreign
currency bank-held government debt on bank
Each of the assets Xi is a function of a set of capital. Let X1 represent this asset and o1 its
independent variables affecting asset demand weight. A simple numerical example holding
such as return differentials and a regulatory all other changes constant allows us to show the
variable under the direct control of the Basel importance of this impact on bank capital.
regulator. In addition, the weights oi are
expressed as functions of a set of independent Numerical country cases
variables such as the risk of each asset, country The model specified fits the standardised
risk and the same regulatory variable affecting approach rather than the foundations or the
asset demand equations. We specify each asset advanced internal ratings-based one as most of
demand and weight function as follows: the banks in countries with classification risks
of seven and four to six are relatively small and
Xi ¼ Xi ðai ; OÞ ð6Þ
unsophisticated banks compared to ones in the
G-10 countries with classification risks of two
oi ¼ oi ðbi ; OÞ ð7Þ
and three. Therefore, as the Basel documents
where ai is the vector of variables affecting asset and the literature of various central banks state,
demand. The components of each vector are relatively small and unsophisticated banks are
the same for all assets based on asset demand expected to use the standardised approach.
theory; bi the vector of variables affecting Rime (2005) bases his hypothesis on this
weight functions; O the Basel regulatory assumption. Our aim, in this section, is to
variable assumed to be under the direct control attempt and assess any potential ACR and
of the regulator. This variable is altered to therefore any additional cost of capital that
reflect a change in the Basel regulation. would arise from applying the risk weights of

358 Journal of Banking Regulation Vol. 8, 4 353–364 & 2007 Palgrave Macmillan Ltd, 1745-6452 $30.00
Shahin and El-Achkar

Basel II capital adequacy framework on the $703m (Table 1). This is based on December
portfolio of claims of banks on the government 2004 figures for claims on the government in
in foreign currencies. For the sake of argument foreign currency held by banks X1 ($8,792m)
and to show the severity of the new policy on and the latest sovereign credit risk rating for
bank capital given that banks do not initially Lebanon (150 per cent). Under Basel I,
react by altering their asset holdings, we Lebanon applied a sovereign credit risk weight
examine the amount of additional capital of 30–50 per cent on claims on the government
required only based on the change in the risk in foreign currency, but to be more conserva-
weight attached to foreign currency bank-held tive in our calculation we applied a 50 per cent
government debt. As a result, all terms in risk weight on all the portfolio of banks of such
Equation (9) are assumed to be equal to zero claims. Therefore, o10 is 100 per cent or is the
except for X1o10 . This term in Equation (10) difference between the new weight of 150 per
reflects the change in total capital necessary to cent and the previous weight of 50 per cent.
uphold the new weight given the amount of For the sake of showing the large size of this
foreign currency bank-held government debt figure, interestingly enough, the $703m ACR,
and other assets and weights. when expressed as a percentage of total assets of
the Lebanese banking sector, constituted
Let dk=dO ¼ mX1 o 01 ð10Þ
around 1.04 per cent, a ratio that much exceeds
We apply Equation (10) to the case of two the return on assets (ROA) for this sector (0.7
representative countries from different risk per cent) for the year 2003 (the latest available
groups, namely Lebanon and Turkey. Lebanon data). Further, the ACR constituted also 18.2
represents the group of countries with a risk per cent of the total capital accounts of banks as
classification of 7 commanding a sovereign of end 2004 and this ratio is in turn much
credit risk weight of 150 per cent on foreign above the 12.5 per cent return on equity
currency bank-held government debt under (ROE) for the year 2003. This would really
Basel II. Turkey represents the group of show how big is the additional capital cost of
countries with a risk score from 4 to 6 (Turkey applying Basel II capital adequacy framework
assigned 5) receiving a credit risk weight of 100 concerning bank-held government debt in
per cent.10 foreign currency.11
Given m ¼ 8 per cent in applying Equation Another case study is that of Turkey (a
(10) for Lebanon (a developing non-OECD developing OECD country). At the end of
country), it becomes clear that the ACR on 2003, commercial banks in Turkey had a
holding claims on the government in foreign $9,373m portfolio of claims on the government
currency for the Lebanese banking sector when in foreign currency or X1. The current
applying Basel II credit risk weights is around sovereign risk rating of Turkey is 100 per cent

Table 1 Additional capital requirements: Lebanon

Additional capital requirements (ACR)=mX1o10 =[(0.08)(8792)(1.50.5)] =$ 703m


ACR/total assets 703/67786 =1.04%
Return on assets (ROA) — (2003) =0.7%
ACR/total capital 703/3853 =18.2%
Return on equity (ROE) — (2003) =12.5%

Source: Monthly Bulletin, Central Bank of Lebanon, various issues.


Annual Report 2003, Association of Banks in Lebanon, 2004.

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Basel II and securitising bank holdings of foreign currency government debt

Table 2 Additional capital requirements: Turkey

Additional capital requirements (ACR)=mX1o10 =[(0.08)(9373)(1.0-0.0)] =$ 750m


ACR/total assets 750/171886 =0.44%
Return on assets (ROA) — 2003 =2.16%
Return on assets (ROA) — 2002 =0.9%
ACR/total capital 750/22501 =3.33%
Return on equity (ROE) — 2003 =16.48%
Return on equity (ROE) — 2002 =8.3%

Source: Banks in Turkey, 2003; The Banks Association of Turkey, June 2004.

under Basel II compared to zero per cent under This section provides a proposal to circumvent
Basel I making o10 ¼ 100 per cent. Thus the part of the impact of the new risk weight on
ACR or cost is $750m (Table 2). This bank capital.
constitutes around 0.44 per cent of total assets
of banks as of end of December 2003 compared Securitisation proposal
to an average ROA of 1.53 per cent for the The analysis is proposing removing some of the
years 2002–2003. Although the cost is much foreign currency government debt held by
less than that calculated for Lebanon, it is still banks from a typical bank’s balance sheet
considered large. The ACR to total capital was through securitisation to reduce risk-adjusted
3.33 per cent, also much less than the average assets and thus additional capital. The process is
ROE (12.4 per cent) for the years 2002–2003. in line with the early securitisation of bank
The cases of Lebanon and Turkey show the loans that became more common among banks
severity of the new rule governing the risk in response to the changing capital regulations
weight attached to foreign currency bank-held in the 1980s. Given the risky nature of loans,
government debt on additional bank capital. regulators in the United States and several other
This supports the case of asset reallocation as countries started requiring banks to hold
one way of reducing the impact on capital primary capital of at least 6 per cent against
and promotes the suggested proposal for loans and other balance-sheet assets. Since
securitisation as one of the means to reduce raising additional capital is costly, several banks
potential costs. started transferring the ownership of their loans
to an SPE to circumvent new capital require-
SECURITISING FOREIGN CURRENCY ments.12 In the same spirit of reducing capital
GOVERNMENT DEBT TO REDUCE cost, we propose securitising foreign currency
EXPOSURE TO BASEL II: A PROPOSAL bank-held government debt carrying a higher
FOR CONSIDERATION risk weight and, thus a higher capital cost under
Raising the risk weights of foreign currency the Basel II Accord as explained in the earlier
government debt for banks operating in sections of the paper. This proposal is not the
countries classified in high-risk categories of typical securitisation one based on pooling
seven and four to six will be causing a major assets with different risks and exposures to
impact on bank capital. The cases of two achieve many of the standard benefits of
representative countries shown in the previous securitisation. It involves aggregating and
section serve to highlight this impact. This securitising bonds with different coupon rates
necessitates a reconsideration of holding these and maturities for the purpose of reducing
assets and creates a need for asset allocation. capital costs only, as happened in the early

360 Journal of Banking Regulation Vol. 8, 4 353–364 & 2007 Palgrave Macmillan Ltd, 1745-6452 $30.00
Shahin and El-Achkar

Figure 1 Mechanics of securitisation proposal

securitisation process, and not specifically for the process by setting aside these assets (moving
the other advantages of securitisation. We can them off their balance sheets) and passing them
argue that the securitisation operation can be on to an SPE or issuer. This SPE takes owner-
designed to be as flexible as needed compared ship of the pooled bonds and issues securities or
to selling these bonds in a secondary market financial claims in the open market based on the
not necessarily characterised by depth, breadth value and the expected yield of the bonds. The
and resiliency. The newly issued securities asset-backed securities are sold to domestic and
could command flexibility and options regard- international investors. The funds from securities
ing face value, nature of interest rates, maturity, sale flow back to banks to be directed into other
option clauses and even early amortisation in balance-sheet activities that carry a risk weight
the case of downgrading the initial securitised lower than the one assigned to foreign currency
assets, making them highly attractive to poten- government debt. As in the rest of the
tial investors. This section discusses the me- securitisation literature, a trustee is appointed
chanics of the suggested securitisation proposal to ensure that the issuer or the SPE fulfills all the
of foreign currency government debt held by requirements of the transfer of assets to the pool
banks rather than of loans using a similar and provides all the services promised to
operational approach.13 investors including where stipulated fulfilling
The proposal is explained in Figure 1 and is any guarantees in case assets default. In addition,
described as follows. Securitising bank-held investors in these securities will receive added
foreign currency government debt requires a protection against default in the form of credit
group of banks to act together as originators of and liquidity guarantees supplied under contract

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Basel II and securitising bank holdings of foreign currency government debt

by one or more reputable international financial A numerical scenario


institutions commanding high credit rating. It is The purpose of this section is to show how
also to be mentioned that the countries issuing securitising some of the foreign currency bank-
Eurobonds command acceptable sovereign credit held government debt can reduce the previous
ratings allowing them to float, in international impact on bank capital highlighted in the
markets, foreign currency bonds underwritten previous analysis. Considering Equation (10),
by major international investment banks carry- our purpose is to show that given the new
ing investment grade AAA such as Goldman weights attached to all assets, reallocating assets
Sachs, BNP Parisbas and United Bank of through securitisation away from foreign cur-
Switzerland (UBS). Therefore, the risk of default rency government debt and reinvesting the
of assets underwritten by such investment banks proceeds into assets with lower risk weight
can be measured and managed even though it reduces the capital impact. In order to do so,
translates into a higher risk weight in compar- we rely on Equation (10) and reconsider the
ison to other bank balance-sheet assets. In change in the asset quantities subject to a
addition, foreign currency government bonds change in the regulatory variable given the new
constitute a part of government debt, with banks risk weights of Basel II (assuming the change in
holding a portion of this amount. Given also that weights is zero). Equation (10) is rewritten as:
banks securitise parts and not necessarily all of
their holdings as suggested in various numerical dK=dOXm½X 01 o1 þ X 02 o2
ð11Þ
scenarios, large and high-graded international
financial institutions should be able to guarantee For numerical convenience, assume two assets
the amount of securitised assets. The newly 1 and 2 (dropping Xnon) where the first asset is
issued securities would carry a return lower than foreign currency bank-held government debt
the initial yield on Eurobonds to reflect the with the second asset carrying a lower risk
reduction in risk resulting from the credit and weight than the first as is shown in Table 3 for
liquidity guarantees. Lebanon and Turkey. Let the bank securitise a
This proposal, beyond the capital reduction certain amount of the first asset. The potential
attached to the lower risk-adjusted assets, can gains or losses from securitisation in terms of
benefit banks in two additional ways related to risk reduction and less capital requirements are
minimum capital requirements. The first is an calculated using Equation (11). It would turn
upgrading of their ratings. In fact, every out that the higher the per cent of bank-held
downgrading of a country’s creditworthiness foreign currency bonds securitised with the
by international private agencies as a result of proceeds reinvested in other assets of lower risk
worsening public finances has been accompa- weights, the larger the gains.
nied by a rating downgrade of commercial In applying Equation (11) for Lebanon, we
banks holding foreign currency government assume that half of the claims on the govern-
debt as was stated earlier. Secondly, funds from ment in foreign currency are securitised (50 per
securities sale flow back to banks and could be cent) and the proceeds (same amount) are
invested partly in loans to the private sector or reinvested in assets carrying lower risk weights
any other asset carrying a lower risk weight than 150 per cent. Assume 50 and 100 per
than foreign currency government debt. These cent.14
loans, although in foreign currency and Let initial X1 ¼ $8,792m for Lebanon and
matched by liabilities in this currency, usually $9,373m for Turkey (same figures as in
command higher interest rates than Eurobonds previous section), and X10 ¼ X20 ¼ 50 per cent
yield and lower risk weights raising bank of the initial amount. The figure for X10 is
profitability and efficiency measures such as $4,396 for Lebanon and $4,687 for Turkey
the ROA. while X20 is $4,396 for Lebanon and $4,687 for

362 Journal of Banking Regulation Vol. 8, 4 353–364 & 2007 Palgrave Macmillan Ltd, 1745-6452 $30.00
Shahin and El-Achkar

Table 3 Potential reduction in additional required capital: Lebanon and Turkey

Potential reduction in additional required capital: Lebanon


Assumption: 50% of claims on government in FC are securitised and =0.08[(4396)(1.5)+(4396)(0.5)]
proceeds reinvested in 50% risk-weighted assets ACR=m[X10 o1+X20 o2] =$352m

Assumption: 50% of claims on government in FC are securitised and =0.08[(4396)(1.5)+(4396)(0.5)]


proceeds reinvested in 100% risk-weighted assets ACR==m[X10 o1+X20 o2] =$176m

Potential reduction in additional required capital: Turkey


Assumption: 50% of claims on government in FC are securitised and =0.08[(4687)(1)+(4687)(0.5)]
proceeds reinvested in 50% risk-weighted assets ACR=m[X10 o1+X20 o2] =$187m

Turkey. Let o1 ¼ 150 per cent, o2 ¼ 50 and because of the reliance of governments on
100 per cent, respectively. selling their debt to banks due to many reasons,
The same reasoning was also applied to are of which is their reduced ability to market it
Turkey. But because the current sovereign credit internationally. The paper presents a new
risk rating of Turkey falls between BB þ and B proposal that has not been applied or practised,
(ie risk weight of 100 per cent), the reinvestment yet that allows banks to buttress some of the
of proceeds has to be in 50 per cent risk- impacts of Basel II on ACR against foreign
weighted assets or below to make gains. The currency-held bonds. The new proposal that is
results in Table 3 illustrate the potential reduction assumed to meet the Basel conditions on
in the required additional capital. excluding securitised exposures from the calcu-
lation of risk-weighted assets calls for securitising
CONCLUDING REMARKS some of the foreign currency bank-held govern-
A literature has been emerging on the ment bonds. A framework is developed and a
implications of Basel II, which will be applied numerical scenario on reinvesting the securitisa-
in 2007, concerning explaining its key ele- tion proceeds in lower risk-weighted assets
ments, its various approaches, its rationale and shows the reduction in ACR for the two
design, and its impacts on banks and the representative countries considered earlier. This
macroeconomy. This paper contributes to the reduction is necessary as raising additional capital
existing studies by examining the implications may be very costly and difficult for banks at a
of changing the risk weight attached to bank time when their rating could be reduced due to
holdings of foreign currency government debt their holdings of additional foreign currency
on banks’ ACR. Using examples from two government debt.
representative countries with different risk
classification shows that the impact on addi-
tional capital requirement is rather large. This REFERENCES AND NOTES
(1) Country Risk Classification of the Partici-
may necessitate a reshuffling of various balance-
pants to the ‘Arrangement on Officially
sheet assets away from government debt
Supported Export Credits’ as of 29th April,
denominated in foreign currency towards assets 2005. Export Credit Arrangement web-page
with lower risk weights. Banks, however, have of the Trade Directorate, OECD’s website
to continuously subscribe to this asset based (www.oecd.org).
first on its high share in total government debt ECA risk scores:
due to the dollarised nature of various countries 0–1 2 countries
with high classification risk; and secondly, 2 21 countries

& 2007 Palgrave Macmillan Ltd, 1745-6452 $30.00 Vol. 8, 4 353–364 Journal of Banking Regulation 363
Basel II and securitising bank holdings of foreign currency government debt

3 13 countries and capital standards’, Basel Committee on


4–6 43 countries Banking Supervision’, (June 2004), pp. 113–136.
7 66 countries. (9) Basel II adds to Equation (3) capital require-
(2) Many of the countries falling into these two ments for operational risk and market
groups have highly dollarised deposits. Banks risk where (3) becomes:
as a result need to hold dollar denominated Pn Pm
assets to minimise currency risk. This is one kXm[g(ko+km)+ i=1Xi oi+ j=1Gjnj]
major reason why countries issue a large
portion of their debt in dollars given that where g is a constant equal to 12.5 per cent
banks are major subscribers to this debt. being the reciprocal of the minimum capital
Additional reasons are that governments issue ratio of 8 per cent, ko the capital requirement
debt in foreign currency at lower interest for operational risk and km the capital
rates (minimising debt cost) and for longer requirement for market risk.
maturities than debt in domestic currency as (10) See detailed explanations of various risk
subscribers fear domestic currency depreciation. weights in ‘Risk weights of foreign cur-
(3) See Cornford, A. (2000) ‘The Basel Com- rency-held debt and securitised assets in the
mittee’s proposals for revised capital stan- basel accord’ section. Countries with risk
dards: Rationale, design and possible classification of 1–3 are excluded from our
incidence’, United Nations Conference on analysis as they benefit from the new
Trade and Development, Geneva, G-24 regulation since they can now use a lower
Discussion Paper No. 3, May. Also see risk weight than 100 per cent used under
Jackson, P. (2002), ‘Bank capital: Basel II Basle 1. In addition, risk weights are 50 and
developments’ Financial Stability Review 20 per cent for countries with risk classifica-
(December), pp. 103–109. tion of 3 and 2, respectively. It would be hard
(4) See Kashyap, A. and Stein, J. (2004) ‘Cyclical to reinvest the proceeds of securitisation in
implications of the Basel II capital standards- assets carrying risk weights lower than 50 and
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (Quarter 1), 20 per cent.
pp. 18–30. Also see Prescott, E. (2004), (11) The comparison is just done to show the size
‘Auditing and bank capital regulation’, Economic of the additional required capital in compar-
Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond ison to the size of total assets and already
(Fall), pp. 47–63. Also see Rime, B. (2005), existing capital. The analysis does not state
‘Will Basle II lead to a specialisation of nor suggests that the additional required
unsophisticated banks on high-risk borrowers?’, capital eats the major part of ROA as
International Finance, Vol. 8, No. 1, pp. 29–55. additional capital is not a component of costs
(5) See Cosanday, D. and Wolf, U. (2002) but the cost of capital itself.
‘Avoiding pro-cyclicality’, RISK, (October), (12) See Emre Ergungor, O. (2003) ‘Securitiza-
pp. 520–521. Also see Purhonen, M. (2002), tion’, Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve
‘New evidence of IRB volatility,’ RISK Bank of Cleveland, August.
(March), pp. 521–525. (13) The analysis ignores the costs of the secur-
(6) See endnote 1. itisation process and various guarantees as
(7) A general overview of the credit risk-claims well as the gains and residual interest income
on sovereigns in Basel II is found in from it as such issues are not of relevance for
‘International convergence of capital mea- the topic under consideration.
surement and capital standards’, Basel Com- (14) As expected, the largest gains are associated
mittee on Banking Supervision’, (June 2004), with the securitisation of all the portfolio of
pp. 15–16. claims on government in foreign currency
(8) A general overview of the securitisation and the reinvestment of proceeds in a 50 per
framework in Basel II, is found in ‘Interna- cent credit risk-weighted asset. The potential
tional convergence of capital measurement gains are around $703m.

364 Journal of Banking Regulation Vol. 8, 4 353–364 & 2007 Palgrave Macmillan Ltd, 1745-6452 $30.00

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