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Low Risk: SCORE less than 1% and free of qualifiers Source: European Guidelines on CVD Prevention in Clinical Practice (Version 2012)
© European Society of Cardiology - DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/EHS092
www.escardio.org/EACPR
E uropean SCORE C harts
Relative Risk
HOW DO I ASSESS RISK? Note that a low total cardiovascular risk in a young person may conceal a
The «Priorities» section indicates that certain subject declare themselves to be at very high or high risk without requiring the use a chart such as SCORE (Systematic COronary high relative risk; this may be explained to the person by using the relative
Risk Evaluation), which is designed for use in apparently healthy individuals. These are those with known CVD, type 2 diabetes or type 1 diabetes with target organ damage risk chart. As the person ages, a high relative risk will translate into a high total
and those with moderate to severe CKD (all very high risk), and those with markedly elevated single risk factors (high risk). Such individuals require immediate attention to risk. More intensive lifestyle advice will be needed in such persons.
all risk factors. For others, the SCORELow
chartsrisk
may be used to assign them to the appropriate risk category. This chart refers to relative risk, not percentage risk, so that a person in the top
Countries Chart right corner is at 12 times higher risk than a person in the bottom left corner.
Women Men Women
Women Men Another approach to explaining risk to younger persons is to use cardiovascular
LOW RISK COUNTRIES non-smoker Smoker Age non-smoker Smoker HIGH RISK COUNTRIES Non-smoker
non-smoker Smoker
Age non-smoker Smoker risk age.
180 4 5 6 6 7 9 9 11 12 14 8 9 10 12 14 15 17 20 23 26 180
180 7 78 9 10 12
89 13 15 17 19 22 14 16 19 22 26 26 30 35 41 47 non-Smoker Smoker
Pressure (mmHg)
160 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 8 10 5 6 7 8 10 10 12 14 16 19 160
160 5 55 6 7 8
56 9 10 12 13 16 9 11 13 15 16 18 21 25 29 34
For example, in the high risk chart, a 40 year
Systolic Blood
180 3 3 4 5 6 6 7 8 10 12
140 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 65 4 4 5 6 7 7 8 9 11 13 140
140 3 33 4 5 6
34 6 7 8 9 11 65 6 8 9 11 13 13 15 17 20 24
© ESC 2012
160 2 3 3 4 4 4 5 6 7 8
120 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 2 3 3 4 5 5 5 6 8 9 120
120 2 22 3 3 4
23 4 5 5 6 7 4 5 6 7 9 9 10 12 14 17 old male hypertensive smoker has a risk of 140 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 5 6
180 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 13 15 18 180 4 44 45
180 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 13 9 11 13 15 18 18 21 24 28 33 4%, which is the same as a 65 year old with 120 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 4
4 5 6 7 8 4 5 6 7 8
160 2
140 1
2 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 9
60
3 4 5 5 6 7 8 9 11 13 160 3 33 333 4
160
140 2 22 22
140 2 3
5
3
5 6 7 8
3 4 5 5 6
9
60
6
4
7
5
9 10 12
6 7 9
12 14 17 20 24
8 10 12 14 17
no risk factors, so that his risk age is 65. This
1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 9 150 200 250 300
120 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 6 120 1 11 12
120 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 3 3 4 5 6 6 7 8 10 12 can be reduced by reducing his risk factors. Cholesterol (mmol/L)
mg/dL
180 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 8 10 12 180 2 22 23
180 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 6 7 8 10 12 12 13 16 19 22
SCORE 160 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 SCORE 160 1 12 22
160 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 4 5 6 7 8 8 9 11 13 16 Risk estimation using SCORE: Qualifiers
140 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 55 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 5 6 140 1 11 11
140 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 55 3 3 4 5 6 5 6 8 9 11
15% and over 15% and over
10% - 14%
120 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 10% - 14%
120 1 11 11
120 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 5 6 8 • The charts should be used in the light of the clinician’s knowledge and
Systolic blood pressure (mmHg)
pressure (mmHg)
5% -
3% -
9%
4% 180 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 5 6 7
5% -
3% -
9%
4% 180 1 11 11
180 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 5 6 7 7 8 10 12 14 judgement, especially with regard to local conditions.
2% 160 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 5 2% 160 1 11 11
160 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 3 3 4 5 5 6 7 8 10
• As with all risk estimation systems, risk will be over-estimated in countries
blood pressure
1% 140 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 50 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 1% 140 0 01 11
140 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 50 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 5 6 7
< 1% 120 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 < 1% 120 0 00 01
120 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 5 with a falling CVD mortality rate, and under estimated if it is rising.
• At any given age, risk appears lower for women than men. However,
Systolic blood
180 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 180 0 00 00
180 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 4
2012ESC
10-year risk of 10-year risk of
160 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 160 0 00 00
160 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3
inspection of the charts shows that their risk is merely deferred by 10 years,
© ESC 2012
Systolic
2007
fatal CVD in 140 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 fatal CVD in 140 0 00 00
140 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
with a 60 year old woman resembling a 50 year old man in terms of risk.
©©ESC
120 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 120 0 00 00
120 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
populations at populations at