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COVER ARTICLE 6
Is Flipkart-
Walmart Deal
Legally
Tenable
Dr. Ashwani Mahajan
Vol-23, No. 6
Jyeshtha-Ashadha 2075 June 2018
1 Cover Page
EDITOR
2. Cover Inside Page
Ajey Bharti
09 COVER STORY-II
ASSOCIATE-EDITOR
Walmart enters in Indian Retail Market
Dr. Phool Chand
........................................................................ Anil Javalekar
PRINTED AND PUBLISHED BY: 13 FOCUS
Ishwardas Mahajan on behalf of Swadeshi
Natural farming is the future. Andhra shows the way.
Jagaran Samiti, 'Dharmakshetra', Sector-8,
R.K. Puram, New Delhi-22, ................................................................... Devinder Sharma
15 ISSUE
COVER & PAGE DESIGNING
Sudama Bhardwaj The Rupee is in for trouble
EDITORIAL OFFICE
....................................................... Dr. Bharat Jhunjhunwala
'Dharmakshetra' Sector-8, Babu Genu Marg. 17 ANALYSIS
R.K. Puram, N. D.-22 Oil, USD surge lead to wage, farm crisis; Tax rule change can
E-MAIL : swadeshipatrika@rediffmail.com boost business: ESCAP
WEBSITE : www.swadeshionline.in
......................................................................... Shivaji Sarkar
19 PERSPECTIVE
LETTERS 3 Rohingya: A threat to Jammu
.......................................................................... Sandhya Jain
21 AGRICULTURE
NEWS 34 A victory for ‘seed freedom’
....................................................................... Vandana Shiva
23 OPINION
Gender Parity in India- The Need & The Way Forward
................................................... (CA) MR Ranjit Karthikeyan
25 VIEW POINT
Legal Entitlements For Farmers – Is There A Political Will?
................................................................... Kavitha Kuruganti
28 PRESSING ISSUE
Venezuela in Shambles: Lessons for the World
.................................................................. Swadeshi Samvad
31 SWADESHI ACTIVITY
Request to initiate investigation in Walmart’s acquisition of Flip-
kart Group of Companies
are peace loving and keep their distance from the people of other
communities, as they are too shy. The major occupations of these
tribes are agriculture, hunting and fishing. Men usually wear loin
cloths and women drape long stretches of cotton fabric around
them. Women are adorned with jewelry in the form of bangles, India is a land of plenty inhibited
armlets, bracelets, necklaces, rings, and hairpins usually made of by poverty; India has an enthral-
silver, aluminum, and brass. The ritual of tattooing is also preva- ling, uplifting civilization that
lent among tribal women folk. sparkles not only in our mag-
– Namita Swain, Odisha nificent art, but also in the enor-
mous creativity and humanity
EDITORIAL OFFICE
of our daily life in city & village.
SWADESHI PATRIKA
Pranab Mukherjee
‘Dharmakshetra’, Sector-8, Rama Krishna Puram, New Delhi-22 Former President, Bharat
4
E Controversies Plague 15th Finance Commission
D Generally recommendations of any Finance Commission become a subject matter of discussion; however
I 15th Finance Commission which has recently been constituted by the government is gathering heat even before
it could start its work itself, because of its 'Terms of Reference'. It is notable that N.K. Singh has been nominated
as the Chairman of the 15th Finance Commission. As per the constitution of India, a Finance Commission is
T constituted to recommend about the devolution of resources between the Union (central) government and state
governments, by way recommending sharing of union taxes; between the union and states and among states.
O Constitution makers divided the taxation powers between union, states and local bodies on the basis of conve-
nience of taxation and not on the basis of their respective requirement. Therefore, a provision of Finance Com-
R mission was made in the constitution, such that after every five years, Finance Commission would recommend
about the devolution of resources between union and states by way of division of central taxes and also grant in
I aidmakefromrecommendations
union to states. The Finance Commission is constituted after every five years by the government to
for next five years. 15th Finance Commission recommendation would be applicable
A a subject matter of debate. However, in case of 15th Finance Commission this debate has turned soar. Some
from 2020 to 2025. Whenever a new Finance Commission is constituted, its terms of reference have always been
L terms of reference of 15th Finance Commission have particularly made some states governments, especially non-
BJP ruled states unhappy. Terms of reference state, "The commission may also examine whether revenue deficit
grants be provided at all." Fearing, probable financial loss, these states are seeking deletion of this sentence. This
fear is not unfounded, because with this the revenue deficit grant for states may end. The Finance Commission
has also been asked to have regard to "The impact on the fiscal situation of the Union Government of substantially
enhanced tax devolution to States following recommendation of the 14th Finance Commission, coupled with the
continuing imperative of the national development programme including New India-2022". The state govern-
ments are fearing that due to this direction, Finance Commission may reduce the share of state government in
central taxes. It is notable that due to the recommendation of 14th Finance Commission, raising states' share to 42
percent, states have benefitted enormously. However, this has geopardised the central budget.
Finance Commission has also been directed to take into consideration "The impact of the GST, including
payment of compensation for possible loss of revenues for 5 years, and abolition of a number of casses, earmark-
ing thereof for compensation and other structural reforms programme, on the finances of Centre and States." For
obvious reasons state governments want to delete this sentence also from the terms of references. In the last so
many Finance Commissions, they were directed to make use of 1971 census for the purpose of distribution of
resources amongst different states. This time the President of India has put this condition of using 2011 census
data for the purpose. Against this, several state governments from southern states have complained that this
would hurt their interests. It is notable that since 1971 southern states have been able to check population growth,
whereas in most of the other states this has not been the case. Since southern states have non-BJP governments,
they feel that this condition has been imposed to benefit the northern states. Whatever may be the said about the
intention of the union government, we cannot question the legitimacy of using latest census data. One can easily
understand that states with more population need more resources for provision of better facilities to take their
people out of poverty. Though, opposition ruled states have been vehemently demanding tweaking of terms of
reference of the Finance Commission, Union Government does not seem to be making a consideration for the
same. We must understand that, Finance Commission is a constitutional body has always been above politics,
recommendations of which are fully honoured by the government, without questioning the implication of the
same. Similarly, no cognizance is taken of the demand for change in the terms of reference. It is believed that the
financial relation between the union and the states is like a tug of war, where state governments always try to get
more resources in the form of share in taxes and also grants. However, on the other hand intention of the union
government is always to give less to the states. This tug of war is not only between the union and the states, it's
also amongst different states. As every state wants that it gets bigger chunk of the share of the states. The Finance
Commission is expected to use its prudence while making its recommendations within the limits of the terms of
reference. Let's wait and watch, how the Finance Commission under N.K. Singh balances this tug of war.
5
COVER STORY
STORY
W
e have witnessed a deal recently which has created a storm in India and
anxiety in the world, a deal between Flipkart Ltd., Singapore and Wal-
mart for acquisition of Flipkart, a top e-commerce company, which
has been working in the guise of a platform company and Walmart, the largest
Flipkart has been multi-brand retailer having retail stores spread over many countries. It is notable
operating by that this company has been trying to enter India to expand its business in world's
circumventing one of the most important emerging economies with a huge and ever growing
middle class. It has been under criticism for its illegal attempts many years ago,
laws and when it came to light that the company bribed Indian opinion and policy makers
therefore even in the name of educating them to facilitate their entry into India.
will sale of Flipkart Pvt Ltd, Singapore(cleverly structured and stationed at Singapore,
business the fact while doing business in India), has been valued at nearly 21 billion US dollar. It is
remains the same. notable that apart from the promoters Bansal Brothers, who own 11.1 percent
What we need is shares of this company, rest of the shares are owned by various foreign entities.
an effective In this deal 60 percent of the shares would go to the Walmart, which is an inter-
national retail giant, for a total consideration of 14 billion US dollars, and Wal-
regulatory system
mart will further infuse 2.2 billion US dollars as equity, which would enhance the
to curb rampant equity of Walmart to 77 percent. By virtue its three-fourth majority, Walmart will
flouting of rules. henceforth enjoy absolute decision making power in the company. This deal has
Dr. Ashwani been opposed by many organisations. And it is their belief that this deal has been
Mahajan made by circumventing the laws and is also not only unethical but against the
6
COVER STORY
STORY
Lastly world’s giant Walmart’s has acquired 77 per cent stake in India’s largest
online marketplace and its deal with flip kart can be said as the world’s biggest e-
commerce deal. This can also be termed as the failure of Indian policies that are
not helping Indian start-ups and local entrepreneurs to stand with international
competition. This reminds us the coca cola deal in 1993 with Indian Parle Bisleri
acquiring brands like Thums-Up, Limca, Gold Spot and Maazaso to enter back
in Indian market. The entry of Walmart in Indian retail trade is the story of so
called globalisation and world trade competition realities where giant kills the
small and win the battle of profit monopolies. For Indian people and India econ-
omy, this is a great defeat of swadeshi movement and swadeshi Government.
True, online share of retail market is increasing, and, high-end urban consumer
may benefit from the processof globalisation. But in the process, the small self-
sustaining Indian entrepreneurial sector islosing its survival battle. India is still a
country of small unorganised entrepreneurs and business community which cre-
ates large scale self-employment opportunities and destabilising this sector of
small entrepreneurs may cost heavily to Indian economy in future.
Walmart is retail giant
Walmart is an American multinational retail corporation that operates a chain
of hypermarkets, discount department stores, grocery stores etc. As of Janu-
ary 31, 2018, Walmart’s international operations were in 26 countries outside the
United States. Walmart has pursued globalisation aggressively since its first move
across the border in 1991. Walmart has expanded its international business mainly
Walmart has
aggressively
expanded its
international
business through
acquisition of
local entities. It is
illusory that all
consumers would
benefit as their
data profile would
limit their choice
of goods and
services.
Anil Javalekar
9
COVER STORY
STORY
through acquisition of local enti- Indian retail trade and online ping and entry of Walmart is that
ties. Walmart entered Canada marketing consumer is benefited by a wider
through an acquisition of a poorly Online retail in India is esti- choice of goods and services that
performing player, Woolco. For its mated to grow over 1,200% to to at low prices. This is illusory as
entry into Mexico, Walmart took a $200 billion (Rs13,30,550 crore) by all consumers are being tracked and
different route of 50-50 joint ven- 2026, up from $15 billion in 2016, their data profile is collected so to
ture with Cifra, Mexico’s largest according to a recent report by fi- target the consumer so to limit
retailer. The entry into Brazil was nancial services firm Morgan Stan- their choice. Consumer will loose
also accomplished through a joint ley. As per report, only around the price advantage also in the pro-
venture - with Lojas Americana, a 14% of India’s internet users shop cess. Instead, companies charge
local retailer. It chose to enter Ar- online and it will change.By 2026, higher price once they know the
gentina through a wholly owned Morgan Stanley expects India to consumer’s choice. As is known,
subsidiary. It acquired the Wertkauf have 475 million online shoppers, profile data is now shared and
hypermarket chain of 21 stores, up from 60 million in 2016. Mo- choices are tracked and this help
one of the most profitable hyper- bile phones, electronics, and appar- companies to get every details of
market chains in Germany though el are currently the most popular consumer. It is important to un-
sold out later. Walmart entered the derstand that markets could poten-
U.K. market in June 1999 by ac- Indian retails the tially become extremely fragment-
quiring ASDA Group PLC, Brit- largest employment ed, such that consumers’ choices
ain’s third-largest food retailer. In will be strictly limited to the offer-
2002 Walmart set foot in Japan
provide after
ings that have been selected accord-
with the purchase of a 6 percent agriculture, employing ing to their data profiles. As any
stake in the 371-store Seiyuchain 40 million people student of economics understands,
and gradually made it a wholly most-of them being this kind of situation decreases
owned subsidiary in June 2008. In overall welfare, because every con-
March 2004, Walmart bought a self-employment are
sumer will be forced to pay the
118-store supermarket chain, Bom- engaged in trade along maximum of what they are will-
preco, in north-eastern Brazil. In with their families & ing to spend for each good or ser-
2005 Walmart successfully entered
South American countries with the
hence some 120 vice they purchase.
purchase of a 331/3 percent in- million people depend Retail trade is important for
terest in Central American Retail on this sector. Indians
Holding Company (CARHCO). Indian retail is the largest em-
In 2009 Walmart acquired a ma- segments for online shoppers in ployment provider after agricul-
jority stake of D&S (short for Dis- India. But going forward, grocer- ture, employing an estimated 40
tribución y Servicio) 224-store ies, personal and beauty products, million people. In contrast, the
chain in Chile. Since 2009, Walmart furniture, and food delivery will world’s largest retail chain, Wal-
has set up more than 10 wholly also have a larger number of tak- mart, employs just five lakh per-
owned subsidiaries in Chinese cit- ers. Given the potentials, several sons. Moreover, being self-em-
ies and provinces. In India, Walmart global companies are trying to tap ployed, most of them are engaged
teamed up with Bharti Enterprises the market. India has already be- in the trade along with their fami-
to open cash-and-carry operations. come a battleground for Ameri- lies, and so the work and livelihood
The company’s portfolio ranges ca’s largest online retailer, Amazon, of some 120 million people de-
from superstores in the U.S. to pend on this sector. India’s $350
and China’s biggest retailer, Aliba-
neighbourhood markets in Brazil, billion retail sector is composed of
ba. Now there will be Walmart.
bodegas in Mexico, the ASDA su- small family-run ventures, with or-
permarket chain in Britain, and Ja- Consumer benefits are illu- ganised chains accounting for less
pan’s nationwide network of Seiyu sory than 5 percent of sales.Indian re-
shops. One point made online shop- tail contributes over 14 per cent of
10
COVER STORY
STORY
India’s GDP, while the share of all to the small entrepreneurs. There- tal inflow clearer can be policies to
companies in the BSE 500 Index fore, Indian foreign trade policies attract foreign corporate and com-
put together is some 4 per cent. cannot simply be left to world eco- panies and positive will be the im-
Therefore, Indian retail sector im- nomic players which are more in- pact on Indian economy. The en-
portant to Indians and cannot be terested in expanding and monop- try of Walmart giant has the capi-
ignored. olising opportunities for their prof- tal and technology apart from op-
its than help Indian increase their erational economy and efficiency
Foreign trade affects us all that help it to finish small compet-
income.
Foreign trade affects all sec- itors. Japan has intensely protect-
First Indian national commit-
tors and therefore need a cautious ed its retailing, which is also family
ment is of self-reliance and second
approach. India is a country of and community-led and social cap-
to protect the interests of small
small entrepreneurs, small traders ital-driven.
people and small sectors. None
and small agriculturists with small In contrast, countries such as
should be sacrificed for illusory
income and small needs. They make China, Malaysia and Thailand,
trade expansion and foreign capi-
their survival by serving local mar- which opened their retail sector to
tal inflow.
kets within their capabilities. Ex- FDI only in the recent past, have
posing them to high technology India should learn from oth- retracted and enacted new laws to
and internationally competitive er countries check the prolific growth of for-
market players cannot be the pri- Indian retail tradeis not a sim- eign malls and hypermarkets to
ority. Nor is the priority to increase ple business of profit but a sur- control their ill-effects on the econ-
their income to the income level vival kit for Indian small families omy and employment. India need
of richest in the world. Indian do- and need to be saved from large to take lessons from other coun-
mestic markets are sufficient to corporate and their trade practic- tries and their experiences protect
help many of Indian sectors sur- es. Therefore, clearer the identifi- the interests of its entrepreneurs
vive and grow with good income cation of sectors for foreign capi- and consumers. ❑❑
SWADESHI P ATRIKA
Voice of Real Economy
Dedicated to Swadeshi Movement in all its dimensions;
Battles threats to the economic sovereignty of the nation; and
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11
COVER STORY
STORY
For start-ups all over India, though, I am afraid that this deal, which rewards the founders of
Flipkart and its VC investors for building a money-losing, cash-burning machine, will feed bad
behaviour. Young companies will go for growth, and still more growth, paying little attention to
pathways to profitability or building viable businesses, hoping to be Flipkarted. Venture capitalists
will play more pricing games, paying prices for these money losers that have no basis in fundamen-
tals, but justifying them by arguing that they will be Walmarted. In the meantime, if you are an
investor who cares about value, I would suggest that you buy some popcorn, and enjoy the enter-
tainment. It will be fun, while it lasts! - Ashwath Damodaran (Professor of Finance at the Stern School of Business at NYU.)
12
FOCUS
T he evidence is all there. With soil fertility declining; excessive mining of ground
water sucking aquifers dry; and chemical inputs, including pesticides, becom-
ing extremely pervasive in environment, the entire food chain has been contami-
nated. As soils become sick, and erosion takes a heavy toll leading to more deser-
tification, crop productivity is stagnating thereby resulting in more chemicals be-
ing pumped to produce the same harvest. A former Director General of Indian
Council for Agricultural Research had rightly said: “In 1980s, farmers used to
produce 50Kg of wheat by using 1 kg of fertilisers. Now farmers are producing
only 8 Kg by using 1 kg of fertiliser”,
As farmlands become more toxic, and with modern agriculture becoming a
major contributor to Greenhouse Gas Emissions leading to climate aberrations,
a startling study has gone unnoticed. Three quarters of flying insects in a nature
reserve in Germany have vanished in past 25 years, says a study by the University
of Sussex. While the alarming decline in population of honeybees had raised
international concerns, that 75 per cent insect population has disappeared and
that too inside a nature reserve raises the warning of an ‘ecological Armageddon’.
This is happening at a time when not only in Maharashtra, Punjab, Gujarat, and
Andhra Pradesh in India, the dreaded bollworm pests on cotton have become
resistant to genetically modified cotton in America too. From Carolina to Texas,
bollworm insects have renewed their attack on cotton.
While Green Revolution has already run out of steam, leaving behind a trail
of misery, the catastrophic consequences manifest in the form of farm suicides.
With input costs growing, and farm gate prices remaining almost stagnant, if not
declining, farmer’s income is swiftly on the downward slide. In America, hun-
dreds of dairy farms have closed down in the past 4 years. In Europe, many
This is how
ghanajeevamrutham
is made. It is solid
jeevaamrutham
which is to be
spread into the
soil, and provides
life to soil.
Devinder Sharma
13
Focus
farms would be unprofitable if posing a roadmap (not one, but a his plans to “step up efforts to es-
European subsidies were to be re- plethora of similar privates-sector tablish a legal and policy framework
moved. In France, farmers’ mutual driven blueprints). Business leaders ... that facilitates green, low-carbon,
insurance association (MSA) believes from 17 private companies had and circular development,” to “pro-
that in 2016 “a majority of farmers announced at the 2009 World Eco- mote afforestation,” “strengthen
earned less than Euro 350 a nomic Forum the launch of a glo- wetland conservation and restora-
month”. In India, as per the gov- bal initiative — New Vision for tion” and “take tough steps to stop
ernment’s own Economic Survey Agriculture — that sets ambitious and punish all activities that dam-
2016, the average income of a targets for increasing food pro- age the environment.” He has called
farming family in 17 states, which duction by 20 percent, decreasing for 21st century to be the beginning
means nearly half the country, has greenhouse gas emissions per ton of an ‘ecological civilisation’.
been computed at a paltry Rs 20,000 by 20 percent, and reducing rural Back home, as we get half
a year. Another study by Niti Aayog poverty by 20 percent every de- way through 2018, the script for
tells that real farm incomes have cade. The 17 agribusiness giants an ecologically sustainable agricul-
remained virtually stagnated in the include Archer Daniels Midland, ture, which brings back the smile
five year period, 2011 to 2016. BASF, Bunge Limited, Cargill, on the face of farmers, without
And yet more of the same is Coca-Cola, DuPont, General Mills, leaving any scar on the environ-
being pushed as the solution. De- ment, is being rewritten. Andhra
spite all the laudable objectives, the Andhra Pradesh by Pradesh has launched a massive
world is almost at a tripping point increasing crop programme to promote natural
as the International Panel on Cli- productivity without farming. Called Rythu Sadhikara
mate Change had warned us a few Samstha, this programme aims to
years ago. ‘Business as usual’ is not
using chemical bring 5 lakh farmers in all the 13
the right way forward, we are re- fertiliser & pesticides, districts during the period 2017-
peatedly told. But despite warning, has increase the net 2022 to adopt natural farming
there is no policy change that actu- income of farmers. practices. I recently visited a num-
ally keeps environment protection ber of villages in Kurnool district
as a non-negotiable. Even the re- Why not other states to meet some farmers who have
port of the International Assess- can do the same like moved away from chemical agri-
ment for Agricultural Knowledge, Andhra Pradesh. culture to natural farming practic-
Science and Technology for De- es. I was amazed to learn that crop
velopment (IAASTD), which was Kraft Foods, Metro AG, Monsan- yields are increasing across all crops.
ratified during an intergovernmen- to Company, Nestlé, PepsiCo, In groundnut, yields have gone up
tal plenary in Johannesburg, April SABMiller, Syngenta, Unilever, by 35 per cent; Cotton productiv-
7-12, 2008, and had called for a Wal-Mart, and Yara International. ity has increased by 11 per cent;
shift towards sustainable agriculture In other words, the more the world Chilli by 34 per cent; brinjal by 69
has been lying in limbo ever since. tries to change, the more things per cent; and paddy by 10 to 12
Every disaster is an opportu- remain the same. per cent. So far, 1.63 lakh farmers
nity. But it invariably ends up as an In these difficult times, it is have switched to natural farming.
opportunity for business. The rhet- heartening to see the Chinese Presi- If crop productivity can increase
oric has been the same and the so- dent Xi Jinping acknowledging the without using chemical fertiliser
lutions have remained the same ecological crisis the world faces. and pesticides; if the net income
too: more aggressive push for in- Addressing the National Congress in the hands of farmers goes up
dustrial agriculture. Just to illustrate, of the Communist Party in Beijing considerably; and if natural farm-
to ensure that the world does not last October, he acknowledged ing ushers in a climate resilient ag-
witness a repeat of the 2008 food that”Any harm we inflict on nature riculture, I see no reason why oth-
crisis — when 37 countries faced will eventually return to haunt us… er states cannot emulate the pio-
food riots — the international this is a reality we have to face,” and neering efforts being made by
community has been swift in pro- then went tospecify in more detail Andhra Pradesh. ❑❑
14
ISSUE
15
Issue
ports have not increased? Reason level continues unabated and may The unavailability of truly “ed-
is that the cost of production is even have increased. The NDA ucated” workers, the load of cor-
high in India. For example a T- Government has not implemented ruption, the delays in judiciary and
Shirt made in India may cost Rs any systemic measures to stamp out the low labour productivity are
200 while a T-Shirt of the same corruption at the lower levels. A contributing to high cost of pro-
quality may cost Rs 150 in China. Bengaluru-based exporter of auto duction in India. Thus our export-
Our T-Shirt manufacturer will not parts said that the NDA Govern- ers are being priced out of the glo-
be able to export in such a situa- ment has made a rule that requires bal markets, we are earning fewer
tion. On the other hand, our re- the exporter to provide a certificate dollars from exports and the ru-
tailers would like to buy imported form a Chartered Accountant with pee is sliding.
T-Shirts from China. every consignment. The time taken We should not take the up-
The NDA Government has to establish an inter-state power swing in corporate earnings as an
made huge improvement in infra- transmission line, or to settle a case indicator of good health of our
structure. Highways are being built in the High Courts or the Supreme economy. Demonetization and
at a rapid pace. There is improve- Court—which are in the domain of GST have made it difficult for small
ment in the rail infrastructure. The the Central Government—remains businesses to survive. The market
spread of internet has taken place unchanged. The time taken to ob- has been taken over entirely by large
due to the expansion of mobile tain a driver’s license or an electrici- corporations. The cable manufac-
telephony. This improvement in turer cited above also said that his
infrastructure has reduced the cost The rupee may rise if sales constituted one-half each to
of production. The slow growth the small traders and large Original
of our exports, therefore, cannot
we shift from Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs)
be blamed on the poor infrastruc- manufacturing to before Demonetization and GST.
ture. So what is leading to high cost Now 90 percent of the sales are
of production in India?
services which may taking place to OEMs. The revival
Mr. Michael Sneyd, global head lead to low demand of profits of the corporate sector
of foreign exchange strategy at of oil and hence will is, therefore, the flip side of decline
BNP Paribas has mentioned edu- in production from small industries.
cation, ease of business and labour put some restriction We need to take deep steps
productivity as the other reasons for on the outflow of to rectify the situation. One, we
high cost of production in India. must improve our education sys-
Our education system continues to rupee. tem, implement systemic measures
be dominated by Government to stamp out corruption at the low-
Universities which have become ty connection—which are in the er levels, reduce delays in the judi-
certificate printing machines. The domain of the State Govern- ciary and simplify labour laws in
graduates do not have the basic skills ments—also remains unchanged. favour of labour productivity.
to engage in productive employ- The third factor contributing Two, we must shift from manu-
ment. Their focus is to obtain a to the high cost of production is facturing to services. The require-
government job which does not low labour productivity. One man- ment of energy per Rupee of
require high productivity. There- ufacturer of cables said that the GDP is about 10 times in manu-
fore, we have large numbers of wages in India are comparable to facturing as compared with servic-
educated unemployed coexisting those in China but the output per es like software production and
with a shortage of employable can- worker in China is nearly double medical transcription. That will re-
didates. The second factor is con- that of India. Indian Labour Laws duce the requirement of energy and
tinued unease of doing business. are so much tilted towards pro- our demand for oil. The Rupee will
Corruption at higher levels has been viding protection to the workers continue to slide of we do not take
much controlled in the last four that it is impossible for an indus- these measures. ❑❑
years of the NDA Government. trialist to extract high productivity The author is formerly Professor of Economics at IIM
However, corruption at the ground from them. Bengaluru.
16
ANALYSIS
Currently, the
international
situation such as
high oil prices and
rupee depreciated
may remain the
problem but still
India can remain
the engine of
growth.
Shivaji Sarkar
17
Analysis
rise in 2018 at 2.9 percent and in like Malaysia, Thailand, South Ko- ing sector, it has to amend its pol-
2019 at 2.7 percent. The euro zone rea and China face financial vulner- icies and let the deposits not be
will grow 2.4 percent this year be- ability in the wake of rising private subjected to TDS.
fore falling to 2 percent in 2019. debt resulting in asset price correc- It will boost the banks, econ-
The ESCAP projects 0.4 per- tions, says ESCAP. It may impact omy, reduce government burden
cent growth for Asia-Pacific, hav- projected Indian investments in on avoidable costs, processes, and
ing 53 states with 60 percent of building roads in Myanmar and litigation. Since the introduction of
world population, at 5.8 percent south-east Asia. TDS on bank deposits, reviews and
in 2017 against 5.4 percent in 2016. India was hedged as commer- litigation have increased. If it is
India and China lead the growth cial lending rates were not lowered done away with individual and
and Russian Federation having because of banking sector prob- bank liquidity is set rise, the gov-
come out of recession on oil price lems, ESCAP says. So rising deposit ernment finances are bound to
recovery may add to the cushion. rates would not be much of a prob- improve with higher consumption,
But 2018 growth in Asia-Pacific is lem for Indian businesses and tax realization and better ease of
set to fall to 5.5 percent as in half would help individual savers. doing business. Similarly, many un-
the countries consumption of the While ESCAP has stressed on necessary recently introduced bank-
bottom 40 percent grows at a further tax widening and increases, ing procedures also have to be sim-
slower pace. As real wages are not plified. For a few rogues all bank
rising by rising productivity, con- As per ESCAP, clients should not be punished. Tax
sumption would be led with debt macro-prudential procedures and banking should cre-
and cause financial vulnerabilities. ate a friendly approach to the gov-
Social inequalities are also set measures do away ernment in the run up to 2019 polls.
to rise with higher inflation as with financial excess. The ESCAP also suggests
economies would be operating ‘macro-prudential’ measures to do
below their potential hit by low
Hence it will reduce away with financial (tax) excess.
wage and job growth. Though e- systematic risks and These, it says, reduce systemic risks
commerce may meet demand at safeguard stability of and safeguard stability of financial
lower costs, automation may fur- (banking and revenue) system and
ther lower wages. The working financial system and markets. It sees problem in India’s
classes in the region are in for big markets. Rs 9.5 trillion NPAs caused by cor-
trouble. It may be an uphill task to porate leverage. Its oblique sugges-
contain social discontent. it has not stated how rising taxes tion is not to hit the ‘micro’ indi-
Trade barriers and harsh US add to citizen’s woes as it is infla- viduals - citizens of institutions.
measures are likely to further disrupt tionary and increase in government Another aspect that has to be
cross-border production networks. expenditures. It leads to a concern taken care of is the surging deficits
This may affect not only trade but of povertisation of the transitional, of the Indian state governments.
also long-term investments. Even middle, class, says Jaimini Bhagwati, The centre’s deficit, it finds, is con-
short-term investments like the RBI chair professor, ICRIER and trolled and overall debt is one of
withdrawals by foreign portfolio former joint secretary in finance the lowest at 60 percent compared
investors from Indian market may ministry. Head of ESCAP South to Japan’s of above 20 percent.
cause forex problems to be fur- and South-West Asia Rupa Chan- It finds strengths in Indian
ther fueled by rising import bills da says the tax increase measurers economy but calls for fine tuning
for crude and other goods. Ex- also leads to problem of attitudes to make the trajectory smoother
ports rises would be moderate & (tax-terror) of tax officers. and faster. The international situa-
are unlikely to offset the forex. If the government wants de- tion – oil prices and dollar – would
A repeat of 1997-98 Asian fi- posits, that had fallen because of remain problem but with some ease
nancial crisis is forecast. It may lowering of interest rates and tax- of methods and trust in citizens,
have adverse impact on the India’s ing individual banks deposits, to Indian can remain the engine of
Look East Policy as the countries rise, improve health of the bank- world growth. ❑❑
18
PERSPECTIVE
19
Perspective
schools in some localities to admit anmar Army. In the refugee camps, that while conditions in Bangladesh
Bangladeshi and Rohingya children, Hindu women were forced to refugee camps were tough, Hindu
who comprise 80 percent of the break their bangles, read namaz, refugees were worst hit. Many
student body. wear burqas, and convert. They wanted refuge in India.
Rohingyas are active in Ta- sought shelter near two temples at By the end of September
blighi activities through local Ukhia in Cox’s Bazar. The Hindus 2017, when matters subsided, the
mosques in Jammu (as in Chennai said they were attacked by Rohing- Myanmar Government urged Hin-
and Hyderabad). Security agencies yas and feared to return to Myan- du refugees who fled to Bang-
suspect them of having links with mar as several members of their ladesh to return, and assured that
the Islamic State, Lashkar-e-Tayye- families had been slaughtered and they would be taken care of in Sit-
ba, Al Qaeda and Pakistan’s Inter- their homes burnt down. In Oc- twe, capital of Rakhine State. So
Services Intelligence (ISI) agency. tober 2017, Bangladesh arrested 22 far, there has been no response to
In fact, Rakhine (Arakan) is becom- Rohingya Muslims posing as refu- this plea and it seems unlikely that
ing an important node of the glo- gees, but who were linked to the Hindus would return to Rakhine.
bal jihadist movement and is be- massacre of Hindus in Myanmar. The enmity between Myanmar’s
ing funded by organisations in Sau- majority Buddhists and Rohingyas,
di Arabia and Pakistan. Rohingyas In October 2017, most of whom are denied citizen-
are linked to the Bangladesh Isla- ship on grounds of being British
mi Chhatrashibir of Bangladesh Bangladesh arrested imports from the region now
Jamaat-e-Islami. They are involved 22 Rohingya Muslims known as Bangladesh, has flared
in unsavoury activities such as traf- up intermittently since 1948 when
ficking girls from Myanmar and
posing as refuses, but Burma (Myanmar) became inde-
selling drugs. who were linked to pendent. But what happened to the
Given the inexcusable sympa- miniscule Hindu community was
thy for the infiltrators in some well-
the massacre of genocide.
heeled sections of society, it is Hindus in Myanmar Rohingyas are known to have
worth recollecting how they burst and trained by settled in Jammu, Hyderabad,
into the international limelight. Stra- Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Delhi-
tegic analyst Brahma Chellaney Pakistan’s ISI. NCR and Rajasthan. However, in
observes that Rohingyas were April, Gorkha Janmukti Morcha
among the first groups in Asia to They were reportedly trained by leader Bimal Gurung alleged that
be radicalised by the British Raj and Pakistan’s ISI. Rohingyas were being settled in
to demand partition; they tried to The Jerusalem Post was the Darjeeling and Kalimpong districts
expel Burma’s Buddhist population only international media to assert of the Gorkhaland region of West
north of Arakan (170-odd miles) that while it was true that the My- Bengal, as part of a sinister con-
to join East Pakistan. anmar Army had begun ethnic spiracy to alter the demography
The current crisis began on cleansing of Rohingyas after the and marginalise the native Gorkhas,
August 25, 2017, when the Arakan ARSA assault on police posts, the superseding national interests for
Rohingya Salvation Army attacked ethnic cleansing of Hindus in Ara- vote-bank politics. Gorkhaland,
police posts in Maungdaw, Myan- kan (‘Rohingya Hindus’) could not which borders Nepal, Bhutan, Ti-
mar; over 100 people died. The ji- be ignored. Even while fighting the bet and Bangladesh, is politically
hadis also attacked the Hindu mi- Army, jihadi groups were entering sensitive and any “replacement” of
nority in Rakhine; over 500 were Hindu areas and “stabbing, shoot- the population, as warned by Ma-
slaughtered; the Army later found ing and raping the residents”. One rine Le Pen, could have a deleteri-
mass graves with Hindu bodies. survivor reported that the terror- ous impact on the nation. A solu-
Many Hindu families fled to ists would dig three holes — one tion to the Rohingya threat is an
Bangladesh to escape, but were to dump the bodies of women, urgent imperative. ❑❑
again persecuted by the 4.5 lakh one for children and one for men; (The writer is Senior Fellow, Nehru Memorial Museum and
Rohingya Muslims fleeing the My- all overflowed. The paper noted Library; the views expressed are personal)
20
AGRICULTURE
21
Agriculture
corporate profits. The alternative Monsanto has collected illegal sovereignty, farmers’ rights and
worldview is based on the recog- royalties as “technology fees” since public order. Some judges don’t lie.
nition of the self-organising and self- 1992, driving farmers into debt, The courts have maintained
making nature of life forms, includ- even suicide. Most of the 300,000 that seeds fall within the exclusion
ing seeds of humans sharing the farmer suicides in India since 1995 of Article 3(j), and Monsanto does
earth with the diversity of life forms when WTO came into force are not have a patent on Bt Cotton
and beings as an “earth family”. concentrated in the cotton belt. seeds. The courts also upheld the
The duty to save seeds and When India amended its Indian company Nuzeevedu’s
defend seed freedom — Bija Patent Act, scientifically based safe- claim that seeds are protected by
Swaraj — is an ethical and ecolog- guards consistent with TRIPS were the Plant Variety Protection and
ical imperative. This is why I found- introduced. Article 3 defines what Farmers Rights Act, and Monsan-
ed Navdanya and the global seed is not patentable subject matter. to should register under this law.
freedom movement and sow the Article 3(j) excludes from patent- I was appointed as a mem-
seeds of earth democracy — Va- ability “plants and animals in whole ber of the expert group set up by
sudhaiva Kutumkam. or in any part thereof other than the then agriculture minister to draft
Not all seeds are the same. micro-organisms but including the Plant Variety Protection and
There are varieties bred by farm- seeds, varieties, and species, and Farmers Rights Act 2001 to im-
ers, which are also called indige- essentially biological processes for plement the sui generic option in
nous varieties, native seeds and Article 27.3.b of TRIPS.
heritage seeds. These seeds are Monsanto has We introduced a clause on
“open pollinated”, which means “farmers’ rights”: A farmer shall
they are fertilised by pollinators collected illegal be deemed to be entitled to save,
through open pollination, and are royalties as use, sow, resow, exchange, share or
hence renewable. They can, there- sell his farm produce, including
fore, be saved. “technology fees” seed of a variety protected under
“Open pollinated seed” re- this law in the same way as he was
news itself. Farmers have always
since 1992, driving entitled before the coming into
saved seeds from their harvest to farmers into debt, force of this law.
grow the next crop. And while sav- Seed freedom enshrined in
ing seeds, they select and breed not
even suicide. India’s laws is the foundation of
just for taste but also for quality, swaraj in our times. Bija Swaraj is
diversity, resilience to pests and dis- production or propagation of vital to address the crisis of hunger,
eases as well as to droughts and plants and animals”. malnutrition and farmer suicides.
floods. But seed saving is seen as a Article 3(j) was used by the It’s vital to bring back taste,
problem by the agrichemical in- Indian patent office to reject a nutrition and quality in our food.
dustry, which started out as a war Monsanto patent on climate resil- It’s central to ending the vicious
industry and is now genetically ient seeds. and violent cycle of debt and sui-
modifying itself into biotechnolo- Monsanto tried to challenge cides. And without conservation
gy and the so-called life sciences Article 3(j) in the Delhi high court. and evolution of biodiversity of
industry. I had intervened in the high court our seeds, we will not be able to
Industry has transformed case on May 3, 2017, and on April adapt to climate change.
seed from being a self-organised 11, 2018, the high court announced The Delhi high court’s deci-
renewable resource into a non-re- a very significant decision in the sion upholding Article 3(j) is, there-
newable commodity to be bought context of the planet’s future, fore, of evolutionary significance
every year. Patents on seed are cen- farmers’ freedom, and freedom for the planet and for humanity. ❑❑
tral to the seed monopoly attempt- of society from corporate power.
Vandana Shiva trained as a physicist prior to
ing to be created. About 95 per The high court dismissed dedicating her life to the protection of India’s
cent cotton seed in India is now Monsanto’s case and upheld India’s biodiversity and food security. She is the author of
numerous books & the recipient of numerous awards.
controlled by Monsanto. sovereignty, India’s laws for seed
22
OPINION
23
Opinion
28% and about 66% of the labour lend a helping hand at home. there will automatically be an im-
is found to be unpaid. Yes, the The Government of India, is provement in diversity ratios.
guess is right – the household certainly putting efforts to bring Another area is vocational
chores, shopping, caring for fami- about a positive change not just by training to the girls having a focus
ly members and household travel. direct intervention in schemes like on the career can bring about a
Are we going to take our women Beti Bachao–Beti Padhavo. A study positive change in the employabil-
away from what they are doing report “Gender and Livelihoods ity of women, especially in small
right now and put them in a “gain- Impacts of Clean Cookstoves in towns and rural areas. Encourag-
ful employment” so that we gal- South Asia” by Global Alliance for ing the MSME sector especially
lop towards a multi-trillion dollar Clean Cookstoves conducted in “Women Owned Business Enter-
economy. However, there is some- May, 2015 in three states of India, prises” with better gender ratios will
thing to cheer about in the field of as well as Nepal and Bangladesh, lead to more women joining the
educational attainment. The over- found an average time-saving of workforce. Also, influencing the
all rank is a low 112 but one major 30 minutes to one hour ten min- corporate policy makers by creat-
achievement is the 1st rank in the utes per day through improved ing awareness to encourage employ-
Primary and Secondary Education cooking stoves, enabling women’s ers to proactively hire women.
enrollment. This certainly is a good increased involvement in social, McKinsey Global Institute in
start in empowering the future gen- its report titled “THE POWER OF
eration. Also, a credible perfor- Encouraging the PARITY– Advancing Women’s
mance in the Political Empower- MSME sector Equality in India” (Nov. 2015)
ment where India ranks 15. How- opined that to bring 68 million more
ever, the women account for less especially “Women women into the non-farm labour
than 20% of all ministerial jobs and Owned Business force over the next decade, India’s
parliamentary seats. policy makers, business leaders, and
Gender inequality is not only
Enterprises” with social-sector leaders need to focus
an important social issue but also a better gender ratios concerted action in eight areas:
critical economic challenge. If 1. Closing gender gaps in second-
women, who account for half the
will lead to more ary and tertiary education in In-
world’s working-age population, women joining the dia’s large states;
do not achieve their full economic workforce. 2. Lowering barriers to job creation;
potential, there will be a negative im- 3. Expanding skills training for
pact on the global economy. No economic and family activities. The women in key sectors;
government, be it state or central, importance of programmes like 4. Expanding the reach of finan-
can by itself bring long-lasting Pradhan Mantri Ujjwala Yojana cial and digital services to en-
change. Government authorities, the certainly impacted in bridging the able women entrepreneurs;
donor community, the private Gender Gap. 5. Stepping up gender diversity
sector and civil society need to The major area is the remov- policies and practices in private-
come together to act to close the al of social stigma. The awareness sector organisations;
gender gap, and a system of ac- campaign has to be by joining 6. Further strengthening legal pro-
countability should be put inplace hands with the Governement and visions for women and the en-
to record the aid they provide. the employers to root out the stig- forcement of laws;
More importantly, the men has to ma– or whatever is left of it – that 7. Improving infrastructure and
take up the matter more seriously surrounds the working women. services to address the high bur-
and work towards enabling the Once the belief that a woman’s den of routine domestic work,
women with a open mind and also place is at home is removed from childcare and elder care; and
share more responsibilities towards the minds of the masses and, con- 8. Reshaping deep-rooted atti-
the family. When she ventures out to versely, the participation of male tudes about the role of wom-
be a partner in earning income and family members in household en in work and in society.
creating wealth, he should be able to chores and child care improves, [Conitnued on page no. 26]
24
VIEW POINT
It is somehow intriguing that despite being active, visible and strong, farmers’
movements in India have not been able to secure any legal entitlements for the
farmers that they represent, against the usual demands that they place before
governments. Very often, their demands have been met by schemes or executive
orders in a good scenario, with Committees formed to look into the grievance in
the moderately-successful scenario and no positive response in the usual-case-
scenario. Contrast this with the successes of other people’s movements – for
women’s rights, for adivasi rights, for dalit rights, for the rights of the differently
abled, for right to information or right to education, or rural employment guar-
antee. In fact, even peasants’ movements some decades ago were successful in
getting statutes in their favour, during the land reforms in this country. It appears
that Indian farmers’ movements have been too trusting of the regimes in power.
Incidentally, this is the case even at the international level. It is only now that
the United Nations is debating a Declaration on the rights of peasants and other
people working in rural areas, under the Council for Human Rights (UNCHR)
which is limping forward slowly.
Against this backdrop, the current struggle by farmers, under the broad
umbrella of All India Kisan Sangharsh Coordination Committee (AIKSCC), to
secure two legislations for themselves wherein would be embedded legal entitle-
MSP should be ments against indebtedness, against unremunerative prices and against lack of
implemented support in case of disasters, assumes great historical significance.
effectively &
efficiently
throughout India.
Moreover, the
Court has also put
out a directive
that suggests that
a legal status
should be
provided to MSP
through a suitable
legislation for its
proper
implementation.
Kavitha
Kuruganti
25
View Point
Soon after the Mandsaur fir- ant farmers, adivasi farmers, small some of its Working Group mem-
ing incident against the spontane- and marginal holders, women bers and some legal experts to look
ous farmers’ uprising in Madhya farmers etc. A mutual shaping of carefully at all the comments re-
Pradesh (after a similar struggle in thinking and visioning is also a nat- ceived and revise the two Bills
Maharashtra), wherein 6 farmers ural consequence of such an un- comprehensively. The Bills have
were ruthlessly killed by the state usual formation. been finalised as “The Farmers’
police, some farmer leaders of the From October 2017, a pro- Right to Freedom from Indebted-
country began making the effort cess of creating statutory frame- ness Bill 2018 and “The Farmers’
to join hands for a joint struggle. works for the two demands of Right to Guaranteed Remunerative
When AIKSCC was formed in AIKSCC got initiated. In Novem- Minimum Support Prices for Ag-
July 2017, there were only a hand- ber 2017, in a historical Kisan Muk- ricultural Commodities Bill 2018".
ful of organisations which had re- ti Sansad on Parliament Street in On March 28th 2018, one
solved that they will put aside dif- an exclusive, all-women farmers’ more historical moment arrived
ferences if any and work on two parliament, the first drafts of two for this farmers’ movement. In the
commonly-agreed demands: loan Bills, named then as “The Farm- Constitution Club in the national
waiver and prices as recommend- ers’ Freedom from Debt Bill capital, leaders of various political
ed by the National Farmers’ Com- 2017" and “The Farmers’ (Right parties were invited to a Round
mission. Subsequent to the initia- to Assured Remunerative Price for Table by AIKSCC, to extend their
tion of the platform, Kisan Mukti Agricultural Produce) Bill 2017" support and solidarity to these two
Yatras were taken up in various were introduced and passed. Bills. A very large number of par-
regions of the country over the Subsequently, in scores of state ties, 21 of them, not only extend-
next few months, lasting till No- level and other meetings, public ed their support but have also
vember 2017. These Yatras not consultations with thousands of signed a formal resolution ad-
only refined the demands of AIK- farmers were organised making dressed to the Speaker of the Lok
SCC, but also brought in many the revisions of these Bills into a Sabha and Chairperson of Rajya
more new constituents. widely-informed process. There Sabha urging them to use the pow-
Today, 193 farm organisa- were numerous legal and agricul- ers vested in them to permit the
tions, small and big, representing tural experts who gave detailed Bills to be taken up for consider-
different categories of farmers are feedback, often clause-wise, on the ation and passing on an urgent and
part of the AIKSCC. This con- Bills circulated. priority basis. They resolved to sup-
glomeration of organisations also In the month of February and port the two Bills. Among the po-
has constituents who primarily raise March 2018, a small expert group litical parties which supported the
issues of agricultural workers, ten- was constituted by AIKSCC with two draft bills are NCP, JDU-S,
26
View Point
INC (Congress), CPI (M), RJD, country to secure in reality rights ensure that they are free from in-
BJD, Shiv Sena, Trinamool Con- that the Constitution of India had debtedness, that they are protect-
gress, AAP, RLD, Jammu and guaranteed for them. Farmers are ed from natural disasters and en-
Kashmir National Conference, asking for a special session of the suing losses, and that they get re-
Swabhimana Paksha,YSR Con- Parliament to discuss these Bills and munerative prices in a legally guar-
gress Party, TDP, TRS, Samajwadi pass them. They had to do this, anteed fashion for all the com-
Party, BSP, INLD, DMK, AIAD- given that the political system has modities that they produce.
MK, Janata Dal (S), Jharkhand Vi- failed to ensure basic entitlements As this article is being written,
kas Morcha and CPI. Importantly, for them for a dignified life and Uttarakhand High Court has di-
the parties went one step ahead and livelihood, even though farmers rected the Centre and the State
suggested that a joint team of the have more than fulfilled their re- Government to implement the
AIKSCC and the political parties sponsibility towards the country. broad recommendations of Swa-
study the Bills one more time, The country has food security and minathan Commission and to con-
clause-by-clause, to fine-tune them sovereignty. Industry and other sec- sider providing MSP at 3 times the
before submission as Private Mem- tors have been propped by invisi- C2 cost of production. The Court
bers’ Bill. ble subsidies and support that ag- has also put out a directive that
On 25th of April, senior riculture sector had lent them over suggests that a legal status should
leaders of 13 parties and 5 mem- the decades. It is time now that the be provided to MSP through a
bers of the Working Group of rest of the society and govern- suitable legislation. ❑❑
AIKSCC went through the two ments fulfil their obligation to Kavitha Kuruganti is an eminent social activist and is
associated with Alliance for Sustainable & Holistic
Bills carefully and finalised the Bills farmers. India needs to ensure that Agriculture (ASHA), a nation-wide alliance of
organisations working to improve farm livelihoods.
to be submitted by Mr Raju Shetti farmers get legal entitlements that
of Swabhimana Paksha in Lok [Conitnued from page no. 23]
Sabha and Mr. KK Ragesh of CPI-
M in Rajya Sabha. It appears that
the Rajya Sabha could see the Bills
Gender Parity in India ...
passed. It is now to be seen which
party or MP opposes these Bills if Women’s economic empow- leaders in all sectors.
they manage to first fulfil the pro- erment is not only a “women’s is- A New Normal for women
cedural challenges of being listed sue.” The Human Rights, Econom- occurs when behaviour and social
and discussed. Shiv Sena, an NDA ic Growth, Politics, Business and change take place at a significant
ally, has expressed its support to the Society at large should shoul- scale, creating conditions that help
the Bills. Will the ruling Bharatiya der its responsibility in creating a her to have agency and consequent-
Janata Party be able to ignore these gender equality. To achieve an in- ly become empowered.
Bills of, for and by farmers when clusive sustainable economic “Empowerment” means that
the demand is for the government growth of the nation it is impor- girls have agency — the ability to
to bring in these measures? tant that a peaceful, prosperous make decisions about their own
Meanwhile, on May 10th this and resilient community is built lives and to act on them — and
year, on the day India’s first War which can be achieved by higher that the environment around them
of Independence started (the be- productivity, profitability and allows them to exercise it. In turn,
ginning of the “Sepoy Mutiny” stakeholder trust. Above all, the this enables girls to be educated,
against the British Rule in 1857), in criminal justice system should come healthy, safe, and economically
hundreds of districts around the to her support and the Police force empowered.
country, thousands of farmers are has to provide justice, protection and For women to become em-
going to submit memoranda to the safety to the women so as to create powered, change must occur. This
LS Speaker and RS Chairperson a confidence for a harassment free change takes place on several lay-
through their District Collectors, work place. Supporting women’s ers and is driven by many influenc-
pointing out that these Bills have economic empowerment is there- es at once. ❑❑
been created by farmers of the fore a leadership imperative for all The author is Kerala State convenor of SJM
27
PRESSING ISSUE
Generally in developing coun- Share of agriculture in GDP is 3 the world. It is notable that India
tries, which include medium in- percent, while share of industry is which has been procuring a major
come and lower income develop- 17 percent. Venezuela used to be part of its oil requirements from
ing countries, per capita income has known for its electronic, automo- Iran and Venezuela, will find it dif-
been rising and there is an im- biles and beverages. ficult to continue with the same,
provement in the quality of life al- If we look at the shortcom- given economic sanctions imposed
most everywhere. Overall devel- ings of Venezuelan economy, we by US on these two countries.
opment is taking place due to im- find that it is not at all self reliant
Lessons for India and Rest
provement in literacy, health facili- in food. Since 2003, its food re-
of the World
ties and other civic facilities, infra- quirements have increased by 95
Though, conditions in Vene-
structure facilities etc. in these de- percent by 2012. However, its do-
zuela are distinctly different from
veloping countries. mestic production was very mea-
the other countries, as 80 percent
ger. Given its huge oil proceeds, it
Hyper Inflation of its GDP comes from crude
could manage to fulfill its food
Inflation is no new word in exports and ill conceived economic
and other requirements. However,
this world; however, in the last policies adopted by its government
excessive dependence on petro-
four years, inflation has crossed all are responsible for ongoing mess
leum has been its biggest weakness.
limits in Venezuela. Rate of infla- in the economy. However, we
In 1980s also, Venezuelan econo-
tion was 69 percent in 2014, 181 need to understand that the major
my had suffered due to worst oil
percent in 2015, 800 percent in reason for the woes of their peo-
glut (recession). Venezuela had ex-
2016 and 4000 percent in 2017. In ple has been shortage of food. In
perienced worst banking crisis in
such circumstances one doesn’t India we see some economists sug-
1996. However, uptrend in oil
find a price tag on the goods in gesting that we should not bother
prices post 2001, gave massive re-
shops, after every hour prices may much about our agriculture, as we
prieve to Venezuela. Economy
change. The currency in Venezuela can always import food required
improved, but politics spoiled the
has reached to such a state that the for our population. They say that
situation in the name of improv-
currency notes are being used to we are living in global village and
ing the conditions of poor, adopt-
make envelopes and bags. Nobody therefore we need not worry
ing socialist measures; which ulti-
believes the official exchange rate about self sufficiency in food, as
mately proved to be disastrous for
(announced by the government), this is a thing of the past. But we
the economy. To somehow man-
people have to shed more than one see that Venezuelan people exces-
age the poverty and hunger, Vene-
lakh Venezuelan currency (Bolivar) sively depend upon government
zuelan government did adopt
for one single US dollar. It is nota- subsidy and ration, because of
some measures, but situation in
ble that in 2013 the exchange rate shortage of food. Today due to
Venezuela shows that they have
between Bolivar and USD was 6.3 shortfall in government revenue,
proved to be utter failure. Because
Bolivar per USD. people there, are forced to live
of shortage of food and other es-
under the condition of poverty
Venezuelan Economy was sential products, standard of living
and hunger. Today India is almost
not weak earlier has been badly hit. Declining oil price
self sufficient in food, a merit
Before 2013 Venezuelan after 2013 have multiplied their
which we will have to maintain. We
economy was not like this. In 2013 woes. GDP started contracting
have to empower people by rais-
the per capita income in Venezuela while living standards were going
ing their income through gainful
was 17700 USD and accordingly down and crimes were going up.
employment, so that they are not
Venezuela was coming at 106 th Though, oil prices have start-
dependant on the government, ei-
position in the world. Now after ed rising once again, however, to
ther for employment or for food.
consistently contracting GDP over add insult to the injury, US has pro-
Any shortfall and mismanagement
the years, government has stopped posed economic sanctions against
of public exchequer may cause
publishing GDP data. It is notable Venezuela. Given these sanctions,
hardships for the citizens, as Vene-
that 80 percent of GDP in Vene- it would be difficult for Venezuela
zuelan are facing. ❑❑
zuela comes from petroleum. to sell its crude oil to the rest of
29
Swadeshi Activities
30
Swadeshi Activities
34
News
of preliminary bids for the stake sale in Air India ends
SJM urges PM to step in, halt
on May 31. A group of ministers, constituted to chalk
Walmart India entry out the strategy for the disinvestment had met here
Swadeshi Jagran Manch has written to Prime yesterday. The meeting was attending by Prabhu, Road
Minister Narendra Modi seeking his intervention to Transport Minister Nitin Gadkari and Railway Minis-
ensure there is no Walmart-Flipkart deal, stating that ter Piyush Goyal, who holds the additional charge of
any such deal will kill his ‘Make in India’ dream and finance. A separate review meeting surrounding the
hurt farmers and small businessmen. “Walmart is using disinvestment process was also understood to have
the ecommerce route to circumvent the rules to attack been chaired by the PMO.
Indian market” through a backdoor entry into multi- The government had on May 1 announced ex-
brand retail space, SJM said in its letter to the PM. En- tension of the deadline for submission of initial bids
try of the American retail giant, if it happens, “will for Air India stake sale till May 31 and issued a slew
eliminate the small and medium businesses, small shops, of clarifications on the divestment process, including
and opportunity to create more jobs”, it said. that individuals other than the airline employees are
SJM has also raised suspicion on Flipkart’s oper- barred from bidding. Coming out with a set of clar-
ations group companies, such as Flipkart India Pvt Ltd ifications in the form of 160 questions and respective
and Flipkart Internet Pvt Ltd. “It will be very dan- answers, the government also made it clear that it
gerous, if we allow them to raise funds, transfer as- would have the rights of a “minority shareholder”
sets, that too to a company like Walmart,” its letter with 24 per cent stake in Air India post disinvestment.
said. “There have been a series of complaints with Major private carriers such as IndiGo and Jet Air-
DIPP, Enforcement Directorate and RBI of violation ways have already announced to opt out of the disin-
of clarifications on FDI rules as stated in DIPP Press vestment process.
Note 3/2016, but surprisingly no action has been ini- https://www.businesstoday.in/pti-feed/most-respondents-agree-with-our-view-on-air-india-
disinvestment-sjm/story/277256.html
tiated them.”
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics-and-nation/sjm-urges-pm-to-step-in-halt-
walmart-india-entry/articleshow/64103466.cms No comprehensive dialogue with
Pakistan till it shuns terrorism:
Most respondents agree with
Sushma Swaraj
our view on Air India
disinvestment: SJM
SJM, which is preparing a report to suggest alter-
native ways to revive Air India, has said most of the
respondents in their inputs supported the Manch on
the disinvestment issue. A five-member team is pre-
paring a report to suggest alternative ways to revive
Air India as it has expressed its reservation over the There cannot be any comprehensive dialogue
current form of the disinvestment and has sought to with Pakistan till it shuns terrorism, External Affairs
explore other options. The report would be presented Minister Sushma Swaraj said, asserting talks were not
to Civil Aviation Minister Suresh Prabhu soon. The re- appropriate while people are dying on the border.
port would be considered before taking any call on “We are always ready for talks with Pakistan but
Air Indias disinvestment, sources had earlier told PTI. with a caveat that terror and talks cannot go togeth-
“We are overwhelmed with the responses to our er... There cannot be A comprehensive dialogue till
call for inputs on disinvestment of #AirIndia. Its very Pakistan shuns terror,” the minister said while address-
encouraging to see, most of respondents agree with ing a press conference at the completion offour years
our point of view,” SJM co-convenor Ashwini Ma- in power of the Narendra Modi-led government.
hajan tweeted. The tweet of Mahajan, who leads the “Jab seema par janaze uth rahe hon, to baatcheet
five member team, came in the backdrop of the gov- ki awaaz acchi nahi lagti (when people are dying on
ernment holding a series of meetings about the disin- the border, talk of dialogue is not appropriate,” she
vestment process even as the deadline for submission added. She was replying to a question on whether
35
News
India-Pakistan talks can take place after the general Plus there was a complete policy paralysis, the gov-
elections there. However, she admitted that the NSAs ernment was on standstill. With that kind of legacy, it
of India and Pakistan met to hold “talks on terror”. is quite miraculous that we have come to where we
The minister also hit out at Pakistan over its are at this moment in terms of macroeconomics,”
“Gilgit Baltistan Order 2018” relating to administra- Mr. Kumar told PTI in an interview.
tive control over Gilgit-Baltistan, saying Pakistan al- He further said that inflation is down now, for-
ways “distorts history”. eign exchange reserves are high, fiscal deficit is in con-
“Pakistan tries to teach us history and geogra- trol and growth has accelerated. This government has
phy. It is one country which does not believe in rule also made growth hugely inclusive, he added. “...in
of law and I would just say one thing to their answer terms of the macroeconomics conditions we have
‘look who’s talking’, Swaraj asserted. achieved what would have been very difficult for any-
Pakistan’s Cabinet on May 21 approved Gilgit- body to have thought that this is possible,” he said.
Baltistan Order 2018 which was also endorsed by the Mr. Kumar admitted, however, that some areas
assembly of the region. The order is being seen as to concern still remain. “For example NPAs of banks
Islamabad’s efforts towards incorporating the disput- are still high, the current account deficit (CAD) has
ed region as its fifth province. India summoned Paki- not improved much, but it is still better than 2014,”
stan’s Deputy High Commissioner Syed Haider Shah in he said. “Oil prices, which had given us comfort, have
New Delhi and lodged a strong protest over Islama- increased, which means that we will have to look at
bad’s latest move, saying any action to alter the status macroeconomics all over again to make sure that we
of any part of the territory under its “forcible and can sustain and maintain growth rate, which I think
illegal occupation” has no legal basis. Pakistan termed we will be able to do,” he added.
India’s claim over Jammu and Kashmir as “spurious” Mr. Kumar also emphasised on the need to look
and said it contradicts everything from history to the at corporate governance in the banking sector to im-
situation on the ground. prove investment flows. He expressed the hope that
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics-and-nation/no-comprehensive-dialogue- headline inflation won’t go up and core inflation will
with-pakistan-till-it-shuns-terrorism-sushma-swaraj/articleshow/64354745.cms
remain subdued. Replying to a query on the farm sec-
All macroeconomic parameters tor, he pitched for involvement private traders in pro-
curing crops from farmers. “I think that would be
improved in last 4 years: NITI Aayog fiscally much more prudent and doable option, if we
can implement it well,” Mr. Kumar suggested.
http://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/all-macroeconomic-parameters-improved-in-
last-four-years-niti-aayog/article24005211.ece
36
News
secrets. As part of the proposed deal, public sector also an important crude oil supplier to India. In March,
unit Bharat Electronics Limited will supply cameras Venezuelan Foreign Minister Jorge Arreaza said his
manufactured by Prama Hikvision India Private Lim- country wants India to buy its oil in Indian currency.
ited. The company, according to one of its senior https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/oil-and-gas/venezuela-willing-to-accept-oil-
payments-from-india-in-rupees-envoy/64281757
employee, is a subsidiary of the Chinese state-owned
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology. Over 2,100 companies settle Rs
In its defence, the Delhi government has claimed
that the Delhi Metro Rail Corporation and the De-
83,000 crore bank dues
fence Research and Development Organisation have
procured cameras from Hikvision in the past.
https://swarajyamag.com/insta/chinese-firm-chosen-by-kejriwal-government-to-supply-cctvs-
for-delhi-on-us-security-threat-radar
37
News