AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL

1965 0 0 12.9 21.9 8 0 3.8

1966 8.6 13.1 11.9 11.9 16.4 0 0
1967 13.3 23.4 13.6 9.4 11.9 3.9 11.8
1968 10.8 26.9 10.2 13 9.3 1.4 1.3
1969 13.1 24.1 10.8 21.8 1.5 6.3 0.3
1970 18.1 9.3 17.9 8.2 10.2 8.7 1.7
1971 10.7 29.6 27.8 12.1 3.4 3.2 6.6
1972 9.3 25.2 24.4 17.4 4.2 1.3 1.8
1973 22.9 16.2 11.2 15 10.7 5.4 3.3
1974 12.4 16.8 14.2 18.2 3.7 6.4 2.6
1975 20.4 20.8 37.7 30.1 9.9 3.5 3.9
1976 36.5 22.5 16 15.2 19.7 11.4 0.1
1977 40.5 20.1 29 22.9 11.6 2.4 7.1
1978 4.6 11.9 10 9.5 18.1 3.8 2
1979 20.6 10.5 28 5.8 5.2 1.8 3.9
1980 9.8 7.8 13.3 8.1 3 10.7 2.1
1981 21.4 23.1 39.3 12.2 4.9 2.3 2.6
1982 29.9 25.1 17.1 28.2 13.2 3.6 1.1
1983 19.4 28 28.1 16.8 8.2 4.7 6.5
1984 6.8 25.1 23.3 13.3 21.2 9.5 10.8
1985 7.7 7 11.2 11.9 19.8 0.4 3.4
1986 17 12 27.4 16.7 4.5 0.5 1
1987 12.5 14.9 9.6 17.2 2.8 2.6 4
1988 15.8 18.2 11 16 2.4 3.3 0
1989 14.7 30 13.5 16.6 15.5 4.8 1.4
1990 18 24.7 11.7 6.5 9.5 7.1 0.8
1991 10.4 29.7 20.5 19.4 7.1 0.3 0.4
1992 10.8 9.7 12 11.9 6.7 12.8 2.3
1993 9.2 13.9 20.6 12.8 8 1.5 3.3
1994 14.2 18.7 24.5 22.7 4.9 1.4 0
1995 8.3 19.3 16.4 20.6 3.9 1.3 7.8
1996 11.3 25.6 16.6 15.7 7.6 0.4 0.4
1997 16.3 16.3 7.1 8.3 7.5 6.6 0.2
1998 12.5 16.5 31.7 22.3 6.3 4.1 1.3
1999 15.9 38.8 13.5 10.4 13.9 6.4 11.6
2000 17.3 36.1 18.6 19.7 14.4 5.3 1.8
2001 27.6 17.7 28.2 14.3 14.7 1 6.9
2002 8.2 10.8 15.7 18.2 12.7 5.4 4.7
2003 18.7 18.4 20.1 8.8 6.7 7 1.6
2004 11.9 21.5 10.5 12.4 6.5 0.9 6
2005 20.2 10 19.7 10.8 3.6 3.5 0.3
2006 15.2 13.5 18.8 17 2.2 6.2 1.6
2007 15.6 6.8 25.4 21 5.2 1.4 3
2008 20.2 17.1 23.6 27 7.4 6 1.3
2009 21.9 16.4 20.5 17.8 18.2 9.1 5.3
2010 14.6 36.4 34 21.6 12.6 2.8 2.2
2011 14.9 16.4 25.5 22.4 9.7 0.4 5.1
2012 18 27.9 26.7 11.3 10.8 0.2 0
2013 11.7 13.1 35.3 15.9 10.2 4.5 2.5
2014 13.7 15.3 22.1 24.4 6.8 2.4 2
2015 23.3 14 25.4 11.9 19.5 2.3 3.2
AGO SET OCT NOV DIC MAX
0.01 10.5 38.8 11.8 10.3 38.8
0.7 5.1 10.4 10 3.7 16.4
2.5 11.5 21.4 9.6 8.6 23.4
4.7 18.3 14.8 29.5 15.4 29.5
0 9.2 0 17.9 42.4 42.4
2.5 7.6 26 15.3 8.4 26
3.3 9.5 19 7.6 14 29.6
11.5 0 10.3 19.9 10.6 25.2
5.2 20 9.8 11.7 12.9 22.9
9.7 8.5 20 10.3 17 20
5.6 10.9 14.6 18.4 0.3 37.7
2.8 3.9 8.8 24 12.8 36.5
0.1 6.6 10.6 12 11.3 40.5
3.8 8 5.9 12 14.8 18.1
7.3 9.4 10 7.5 17.2 28
2.3 2.2 28.8 16.7 19.2 28.8
4.8 8 15.2 11.9 29.5 39.3
6.4 7.6 18.5 20.7 30.5 30.5
1.2 8.9 18.9 6.8 29.8 29.8
13.9 16.5 16.3 27.6 23.5 27.6
5.9 13.3 16.2 5.4 8.3 19.8
5.1 1.1 11.6 11 8 27.4
10.1 9.8 12.8 24.3 18.2 24.3
0.4 5.4 10.5 11.2 11.9 18.2
2.8 11.5 20 16.3 1.1 30
6.2 13.2 14.6 20.5 25.4 25.4
0.3 3.7 9.7 9.3 18.7 29.7
3.8 10.5 17.7 7.9 6.7 17.7
1.9 22.5 17 20.2 13.9 22.5
0.2 3.1 8.7 21.3 28.5 28.5
6.1 3 16.1 19.5 16 20.6
6.4 3.7 13 35.1 10.5 35.1
0 7.6 10.2 27.6 23.8 27.6
3.5 4.6 17.7 14.6 9.8 31.7
0.5 21.8 14.3 18.6 13.1 38.8
5 10.9 3.3 17.9 20.4 36.1
0.01 5.7 14.7 20.3 15.9 28.2
3.4 7.7 22.3 16.8 10.6 22.3
6.1 8.9 19.2 17.1 20.8 20.8
10.2 4 9.5 28.1 22.7 28.1
3.5 14.3 9.3 11.6 15.3 20.2
5.4 10.2 4 20.6 12.3 20.6
4 10.2 19 15.7 16.7 25.4
4.8 11.6 10.8 19.7 0 27
 0.9 5.2 18.1 22.2 12.6 22.2
1.3 10.5 16.8 12.8 21.9 36.4
0.01 12.7 9.3 5.2 27.7 27.7
1.9 12.8 24.2 27.3 17.6 27.9
5.7 1.9 19.4 6.1 9.6 35.3
1.7 5.8 13.5 11.1 20.2 24.4
0.1 25.2 4.6 25.4
 CuadroN°17: Lluvias máximas (mm)
Duración en minutos
T
P.Max 24 horas
(años) 5 10 15 20 30 60

200 54.5 5.5 8.2 10.1 11.5 13.7 17.9

100 50.6 5.0 7.5 9.2 10.5 12.4 16.3
50 46.6 4.5 6.8 8.3 9.4 11.2 14.7
25 42.6 4.0 6.0 7.4 8.4 10.0 13.1
20 41.4 3.9 5.8 7.1 8.1 9.6 12.6
10 37.3 3.4 5.1 6.2 7.1 8.4 11.0
2 26.7 2.2 3.4 4.1 4.7 5.6 7.3
Fuente: Elaboración del autor aplicando el Modelo de Bell

Cuadro N°18: Intensidades máximas (mm/hora)

T Duración en minutos
P.Max
(años) 5 10 15 20 30 60
200 54.5 66.0 49.4 40.3 34.5 27.3 17.9 1
100 50.6 60.1 45.0 36.7 31.4 24.9 16.3 2
50 46.6 54.2 40.6 33.1 28.3 22.5 14.7 3
25 42.6 48.4 36.2 29.5 25.2 20.0 13.1 4
20 41.4 46.5 34.8 28.3 24.3 19.2 12.6 5
10 37.3 40.6 30.4 24.8 21.2 16.8 11.0 6
2 26.7 26.9 20.1 16.4 14.0 11.1 7.3 7
Fuente: Elaboración Propia 8
9
Cuadro N°19: Resultado del Análisis de Regresión: 10
Constante 1.791 Log K= 1.791 K= 61.74 11
Err. estándar de est.Y 0.017 m= 0.193 12
R cuadrada 0.988 n= 0.528 13
Núm. de obs. 42 I= 61.74T 0.193
14
Grado de libertad 39 Donde: t.0.527 15
Coeficiente(s) X 0.193 -0.528 T= años 16
Error estándar de coef. 0.006 0.000 t= minutos 17
Fuente: Elaboración del autor 18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
 Y X1 X2
log I LogT Logt
1.819544 2.301030 0.69897
1.693727 2.301030 1.000000
1.605305 2.301030 1.176091
1.537819 2.301030 1.301030
1.436163 2.301030 1.477121
1.252853 2.301030 1.778151
1.778874 2.000000 0.698970
1.653213 2.000000 1.000000
1.564666 2.000000 1.176091
1.496930 2.000000 1.301030
1.396199 2.000000 1.477121
1.212188 2.000000 1.778151
1.733999 1.698970 0.698970
1.608526 1.698970 1.000000
1.519828 1.698970 1.176091
1.451786 1.698970 1.301030
1.352183 1.698970 1.477121
1.167317 1.698970 1.778151
1.684845 1.397940 0.698970
1.558709 1.397940 1.000000
1.469822 1.397940 1.176091
1.401401 1.397940 1.301030
1.301030 1.397940 1.477121
1.117271 1.397940 1.778151
1.667453 1.301030 0.698970
1.541579 1.301030 1.000000
1.451786 1.301030 1.176091
1.385606 1.301030 1.301030
1.283301 1.301030 1.477121 Resumen
1.100371 1.301030 1.778151
1.608526 1.000000 0.698970 Estadísticas de la regresión
1.482874 1.000000 1.000000 Coeficiente de correlac 0.9941280883
1.394452 1.000000 1.176091 Coeficiente de determi 0.988290656
1.326336 1.000000 1.301030 R^2 ajustado 0.9876901768
1.225309 1.000000 1.477121 Error típico 0.024408367
1.041393 1.000000 1.778151 Observaciones 42
1.429752 0.301030 0.698970
1.303196 0.301030 1.000000 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
1.214844 0.301030 1.176091 Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
1.146128 0.301030 1.301030 Regresión 2 1.961074885
1.045323 0.301030 1.477121 Residuos 39 0.023234967
0.863323 0.301030 1.778151 Total 41 1.984309852

Coeficientes Error típico

Intercepción 1.790574189 0.016631804
Variable X 1 0.1929719674 0.006140912
Variable X 2 -0.5278147601 0.010995649
Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F
0.980537443 1645.83667098 2.1696267982E-38
0.000595768

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

107.6596518 7.105001E-50 1.7569331907 1.824215187 1.756933191 1.824215187
31.42399202 2.6070427E-29 0.1805508006 0.205393134 0.180550801 0.205393134
-48.0021465 2.6396419E-36 -0.5500555597 -0.50557396 -0.55005556 -0.50557396
Cuadro N°20: Intensidades máximas
I= K Tm
tn
K= 61.74
m= 0.193
n= 0.528
Duración Período de Retorno (Tr) en años
(min) 2 10 20
5 30.2 41.2 47.1
10 20.9 28.6 32.6
20 14.5 19.8 22.6
30 11.7 16.0 18.3
40 10.1 13.7 15.7
50 9.0 12.2 14.0
60 8.1 11.1 12.7
80 7.0 9.5 10.9
90 6.6 9.0 10.2
120 5.6 7.7 8.8
150 5.0 6.8 7.8
180 4.6 6.2 7.1
240 3.9 5.3 6.1
Fuente: Elaboración del autor
 Área Longitud Desnivel Pendiente Tiempo de concentración
N° Estructura
(m2) (km2) cauce (m) (m) (m/m) Kirpich
1 Zulema Arce 189.18 0.0001892 32.9 2.04 7.11 0.84
Fuente: Elaboración Propia

L1 6.74 32.5
L2 4.7 2
11.44 34.5
L1 5.5 36
L2 27.35 1.3
32.85 37.3
L1 7.28 32.5
L2 4 2
11.28 34.5
Tiempo de concentración (min)
VenTe Chow Promedio
0.57 0.70

Desnivel
2.1905 19.97
0.094
2.2845
1.98 7.11
0.35555
2.33555
2.366 21.68
0.08
2.446
 Coeficiente Intensidad Caudal Máxi
CENTRO
N° Estructura T. Concentr. (min) Area (Km2) escorrentía (mm/hora)
EDUCATIVO
(C)
I(T=10) (Lt/s)

3 Zulema Arce Para el area de drenaje 0.770 0.000189 0.98 110.5 5.6918