NY-11

2018 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTION

Survey conducted June 20 through June 21, 2018. 703 likely 2018 Republican Primary Election voters
participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2018
Republican Primary Election. Margin of Error is +/-3.7% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not
always equal 100% due to rounding.

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Q1: What is your opinion of Donald Trump?

Favorable: 83%
Unfavorable: 11%
No opinion: 6%

Q2: What is your opinion of Dan Donovan?

Favorable: 55%
Unfavorable: 26%
No opinion: 19%

Q3: What is your opinion of Michael Grimm?

Favorable: 45%
Unfavorable: 37%
No opinion: 18%

Q4: Candidates in the June 26th Republican Primary Election for United States Congress are Dan
Donovan and Michael Grimm. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?

Dan Donovan: 47%

Michael Grimm: 40%
Undecided: 13%

Q5: Thinking about the various types of voters in the Republican Party, which type of Republican do you
consider yourself to be? Traditional/Establishment, Christian Conservative, Libertarian, a Trump
Republican, or Tea Party?

Traditional/Establishment: 24%
Christian Conservative: 21%
Libertarian: 8%
Trump Republican: 40%
Tea Party: 4%
Other: 3%

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Q1: What is your opinion of Donald Trump?

Column % Brooklyn Staten Island

Favorable 81% 84%
Unfavorable 14% 10%
No opinion 5% 6%
Table 1. Q1 by Borough

Column % Traditional Christian Libertarian Trump Tea Party Other

Favorable 72% 85% 64% 96% 92% 27%
Unfavorable 20% 8% 21% 2% 3% 59%
No opinion 8% 7% 14% 2% 5% 14%
Table 2. Q1 by TYPE OF GOP

Column % Female Male

Favorable 83% 83%
Unfavorable 9% 13%
No opinion 7% 4%
Table 3. Q1 by GENDER

Column % Conservative Moderate Liberal

Favorable 92% 71% 41%
Unfavorable 3% 20% 59%
No opinion 5% 9% 0%
Table 4. Q1 by IDEOLOGY

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Q2: What is your opinion of Dan Donovan?

Column % Brooklyn Staten Island

Favorable 59% 53%
Unfavorable 22% 28%
No opinion 19% 19%
Table 5. Q2 by Borough

Column % Traditional Christian Libertarian Trump Tea Party Other

Favorable 62% 54% 53% 54% 42% 45%
Unfavorable 18% 25% 28% 31% 46% 13%
No opinion 20% 21% 18% 15% 12% 42%
Table 6. Q2 by TYPE OF GOP

Column % Female Male

Favorable 57% 53%
Unfavorable 26% 27%
No opinion 18% 20%
Table 7. Q2 by GENDER

Column % Conservative Moderate Liberal

Favorable 53% 59% 49%
Unfavorable 28% 24% 25%
No opinion 19% 17% 26%
Table 8. Q2 by IDEOLOGY

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Q3: What is your opinion of Michael Grimm?

Column % Brooklyn Staten Island

Favorable 33% 49%
Unfavorable 42% 34%
No opinion 25% 16%
Table 9. Q3 by Borough

Column % Traditional Christian Libertarian Trump Tea Party Other

Favorable 36% 38% 47% 50% 77% 39%
Unfavorable 50% 33% 40% 31% 20% 39%
No opinion 15% 28% 12% 18% 3% 22%
Table 10. Q3 by TYPE OF GOP

Column % Female Male

Favorable 46% 44%
Unfavorable 35% 38%
No opinion 19% 18%
Table 11. Q3 by GENDER

Column % Conservative Moderate Liberal

Favorable 47% 43% 25%
Unfavorable 33% 41% 58%
No opinion 20% 16% 17%
Table 12. Q3 by IDEOLOGY

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Q4: Candidates in the June 26th Republican Primary Election for United States Congress are Dan
Donovan and Michael Grimm. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?

Column % Brooklyn Staten Island

Dan Donovan 59% 47%
Michael Grimm 26% 39%
Undecided 15% 14%
Table 13. Q4 by Borough

Column % Traditional Christian Libertarian Trump Tea Party Other

Dan Donovan 55% 49% 45% 44% 28% 32%
Michael Grimm 32% 41% 38% 45% 55% 29%
Undecided 13% 10% 17% 11% 17% 39%
Table 14. Q4 by TYPE OF GOP

Column % Female Male

Dan Donovan 48% 45%
Michael Grimm 39% 41%
Undecided 13% 14%
Table 15. Q4 by GENDER

Column % Conservative Moderate Liberal

Dan Donovan 44% 50% 56%
Michael Grimm 44% 34% 22%
Undecided 12% 16% 22%
Table 16. Q4 by IDEOLOGY

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 DEMOGRAPHICS

BOROUGH
%
BROOKLYN 28%
STATEN ISLAND 72%

GENDER
%
Female 50%
Male 50%

IDEOLOGY
%
Conservative 65%
Moderate 32%
Liberal 3%

AGE
%
18-29 5%
30-39 8%
40-49 14%
50-69 43%
70+ 30%

1251 NW Briarcliff Pkwy ∙ Kansas City, Missouri 64116 ∙ 816-407-1222

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