You are on page 1of 8

7/9/2018 Democrat Mike Levin has initial edge in 49th Congressional District poll – Mike Levin for Congress

Democrat Mike Levin has initial edge in
49th Congressional District poll
Published by Mike Levin on July 9, 2018

 

Democrat Mike Levin has initial edge in 49th Congressional District poll

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE 6/9/18
Contact: Parke Skelton (626) 535-9616

https://mikelevin.org/democrat-mike-levin-has-initial-edge-in-49th-congressional-district-poll/ 1/8
7/9/2018 Democrat Mike Levin has initial edge in 49th Congressional District poll – Mike Levin for Congress

Democrat Mike Levin has the early edge in California’s 49th Congressional District over Republican
Diane Harkey.  Levin initially leads Harkey by 44 percent to 41 percent, and by 49 percent to 46
percent when we include those who lean toward a candidate. 

The telephone survey was conducted June 24 through 27 by The Feldman Group, Inc., for the Levin
campaign and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.  The universe was voters who
participated in 2016 or in any election since then and screened for likely participation in the November
2018 election.  The base sample was 400 but the survey also included an oversample of 200 voters
who declined to state a party preference or are registered in a minor party.  The oversample was then
down weighted to re ect its correct proportion of the electorate.  The margin of error was +/- 4.6%.    

Even at this early stage, voters in the 49th CD are highly polarized with few who are both undecided
and without partisan leanings.  However, a total of 31 percent of voters are either undecided or
uncertain of their choice making early communication to Democrats and voters who decline to state a
party preference (DTS) imperative. Levin is well-known and well-liked among Democrats who
participated in June primary but less known among those who did not do so and less known among
DTS voters.  As both candidates have potential negatives, early communication to shore up Levin’s
base is imperative.

Voters are looking for a candidate to work across party lines on behalf of local interests (52 percent)
over a candidate who will shake up Washington and change Congress (36 percent).  Voters here also
do not want the election to be about President Donald Trump.  While 40 percent say their attitudes
toward Trump – on both sides – are the most important consideration in their decision, most do not
say so, including an even larger proportion of DTS voters.

Levin’s environmental record is an important positive for him.  Slowing climate change is a high
priority to Democratic and DTS voters and Levin has a longstanding commitment to environmental
issues.  Environmental issues are critical locally in this coastal district.  Additionally, both K-12 and
higher education issues and health care are on voters’ agenda.

Levin’s edge is likely to depend on turnout as much as on persuasion.  The 49th CD has a 5-point
Republican over Democratic advantage in registration.  Levin is carrying DTS voters, and especially
younger DTS voters who lean Democratic.  Their level of participation and that of the district’s small
communities of color will be important in maintaining the Levin edge.

Categories: CAMPAIGN

  

https://mikelevin.org/democrat-mike-levin-has-initial-edge-in-49th-congressional-district-poll/ 2/8
7/9/2018 Democrat Mike Levin has initial edge in 49th Congressional District poll – Mike Levin for Congress

Leave a Reply

Name *

Email *

Website

What's on your mind?

Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment.

POST COMMENT

Related Posts

https://mikelevin.org/democrat-mike-levin-has-initial-edge-in-49th-congressional-district-poll/ 3/8
7/9/2018 Democrat Mike Levin has initial edge in 49th Congressional District poll – Mike Levin for Congress

CAMPAIGN

Diane Harkey.  An extremist on immigration.
Diane Harkey.  An extremist on immigration. Proposed State Immigration Police Force. Supported enacting
bill modeled on Arizona’s SB1070. Congressional candidate Diane Harkey has repeatedly proven herself to
be on the radical fringe in the nation’s Read more…

https://mikelevin.org/democrat-mike-levin-has-initial-edge-in-49th-congressional-district-poll/ 4/8
7/9/2018 Democrat Mike Levin has initial edge in 49th Congressional District poll – Mike Levin for Congress

CAMPAIGN

Mike Levin Surges Ahead in California’s 49th District
Democratic Poll: Mike Levin Ahead in California’s 49th District Levin and Republican Diane Harkey are top
two in survey Source: Roll Call June 1, 2018 A Democratic poll shows a tight contest with attorney Mike
Levin narrowly Read more…

https://mikelevin.org/democrat-mike-levin-has-initial-edge-in-49th-congressional-district-poll/ 5/8
7/9/2018 Democrat Mike Levin has initial edge in 49th Congressional District poll – Mike Levin for Congress

CAMPAIGN

California League of Conservation Voters statement rejecting false attacks
against Democrat Mike Levin
The California League of Conservation Voters strongly rejects the claims made by candidate Paul Kerr in
attacking our endorsed candidate Mike Levin in CA49. Kerr is unfair and uninformed to mischaracterize
Mike Levin’s exemplary work Read more…

Contribute

D O N AT E N O W

Contact

Tel: (760) 566-6113

Media Inquiries:
https://mikelevin.org/democrat-mike-levin-has-initial-edge-in-49th-congressional-district-poll/ 6/8
7/9/2018 Democrat Mike Levin has initial edge in 49th Congressional District poll – Mike Levin for Congress

adam@mikelevin.org

Mailing Address:
P.O. Box 2112
Capistrano Beach, CA 92624

Orange County O ce:
942 Calle Negocio, Suite 300
San Clemente, CA 92673

Tweets

Tweets by @MikeLevinCA
Mike Levin
@MikeLevinCA
The first General Election poll shows we have the early lead on our Republican opponent.

This poll is further evidence that voters in #CA49 are ready for new leadership in Congress and want to
put local needs back at the top of the agenda. mikelevin.org/democrat-mike-…

Embed View on Twitter



Upcoming Events

San Diego Pride Parade
July 14 @ 11:00 am - 1:00 pm

https://mikelevin.org/democrat-mike-levin-has-initial-edge-in-49th-congressional-district-poll/ 7/8
7/9/2018 Democrat Mike Levin has initial edge in 49th Congressional District poll – Mike Levin for Congress

View All Events

Paid for by Mike Levin for Congress

DONATE ABOUT VOLUNTEER PRIORITIES ENDORSEMENTS LATEST NEWS ENGLISH

https://mikelevin.org/democrat-mike-levin-has-initial-edge-in-49th-congressional-district-poll/ 8/8