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BUSINESS WITH PERSONALITY

BUSINESS WITH PERSONALITY


HEDGE FUND
WHY IT IS ALL CHANGE AT WAR LOOMS
DEFENCE GIANT COBHAM REBEL FRENCH
MEPS AIM TO
WE SPEAK TO ITS NEW BOSS P22 BEEF UP RULES P3
Issue 1,230 Wednesday 29 September 2010 www.cityam.com FREE

ED MILIBAND: I’M Posen: We


need QE to
NO UNION PUPPET start again


UK ECONOMY
BY JESSICA MEAD
POLITICS QUANTITATIVE EASING (QE) must be

BY DAVID CROW restarted if Britain is to avoid persist-


ent high unemployment and eco-
ED Miliband yesterday tried to dis- nomic stagnation, Bank of England
tance himself from the unions who Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)
funded and supported his leadership member Adam Posen said yesterday.
campaign, insisting he would not sup- In a speech delivered in Hull yester-
port a wave of public sector strikes. day, Posen was the first MPC member
In his first major speech as Labour to call explicitly for a second round of
leader, Miliband warned trade unions QE. His comments put him on a colli-
that “irresponsible” industrial action sion course with fellow policymaker
would alienate the public. Andrew Sentance, who has been call-
He said: “I have no truck, and you ing for higher interest rates since
should have no truck, with overblown June.
rhetoric about waves of irresponsible Posen argued: “It is right for both
strikes. The public won’t support long-term stability and short-term per-
them. I won’t support them. And you formance for central banks to do
shouldn’t support them either.” more now.”
Union leaders in the conference hall He warned that policymakers’ mis-
looked distinctly unimpressed at the placed fears of inflation should not
remarks, although they later tried to lead them to settle for weak growth:
shake them off. “The risks that I believe we face now
Miliband, who won the Labour lead- Ed Miliband has attacked high pay in the private sector Picture: GETTY are the far more serious ones of sus-
ership by mopping up union support, tained low growth turning into a self-
used his speech to appeal to the centre attacked “big business” and criticised company in this country.” us one he’d support. It’s now clear that fulfilling prophecy, and/or inducing a
ground. high levels of remuneration. The new Graeme Leach, chief economist at he’s a man without a plan.” political reaction that could under-
“Red Ed? Come off it. Let’s start to Labour leader also backed a higher the Institute of Directors, said he Ed Miliband’s speech is likely to be mine our long-run stability and pros-
have a grown up debate in this coun- bank levy, a living wage of at least £7 detected a “drift away from New overshadowed if elder brother David perity.”
try about… what kind of country we and new regulations for those employ- Labour’s efforts to talk up a pro-enter- stands down from frontline politics, as Posen has not yet voted for further
want to leave for our kids,” he said. ing agency workers. prise agenda”. expected, later today. monetary loosening and said that his
His measured approach earned a Miliband said: “What does it say And the Tories attacked Miliband’s David Miliband, who narrowly vote at the next meeting was not a
cautious thumbs-up from employers’ about the values of our society, what failure to set out a clear plan for reduc- missed out in the race to be Labour foregone conclusion.
organisation the CBI. “He stressed that have we become, that a banker can ing Britain’s yawning £158bn budget leader, appeared furious at his younger “Although we find Mr Posen’s analy-
Labour must win back fiscal credibili- earn in a day what a care worker can deficit. sibling’s insistence that the Iraq war sis sobering and plausible, we believe
ty… and that it must build prosperity, earn in a year? Conservative party chairman was wrong. He was seen turning to it will take further downside news on
as well as distribute it,” said director “I say: responsibility in this country Baroness Warsi said: “Ed Miliband Harriet Harman, deputy leader, who the economy if a majority of MPC
general Richard Lambert. shouldn’t just be about what you can promised to tell us how he’d tackle the was applauding the Iraq comments, members is to support a QE exten-
But others were quick to dismiss get away with. And that applies to deficit. Instead, he spent today listing and saying “you voted for it – why are sion,” said Barclays Capital’s Simon
Miliband as anti-business, after he every chief executive of every major all the cuts he’d oppose but didn’t give you clapping?” ANALYSIS:P8-9 Hayes. P15: ECONOMICS

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02/08/10 – 29/08/10 is 93,782
2 News CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010

Never trust UK economic statistics NEWS | IN BRIEF


Nomura banker joins Occitan
Occitan Capital Partners, the new
London-based hedge fund launched by
original story was that the growth party leader; the overwhelming was one of the few who spotted the two former Goldman Sachs bankers, has
spike was due to unsustainable stock- majority of the population would flaws in Brown’s system of misregula- appointed former Nomura banker John
building and government spending, undoubtedly agree. Yet that is a bla- tion; as he put it yesterday, the City Candillier as its new chief executive. The
and that investment was collapsing. tant falsification of history. There was was more (but worse) regulated in appointment comes just before the
The new story is rather different. an explosion in rules, regulations and 2007 than it was in 1997. He deserves fund’s official launch in November.
Rather than collapsing 2.4 per cent, regulators covering financial services to be quoted in full: “Brown set up an Occitan was set up by former Goldman
investment surged 1.2 per cent. over the past 15 years, many of them independent banking regulator, kept Sachs traders, Herve Gallo and Thomas
Instead of contributing one percent- global – but the regulations addressed the Bank of England involved, and de Gardiel-Thoron, in the summer.
EDITOR’S LETTER age point of the growth, stock build- the wrong areas, were obsessed with made the chancellor the chief regula- Candillier, who was head of distribution
ing accounted for a sensible 0.4 box ticking, missed the real risks and tor of the whole structure. He intro- for continental Europe at Nomura,
ALLISTER HEATH percentage points. It was not all good actually encouraged banks to engage duced extensive mortgage regulation worked with Gallo at Lehman Brothers.
news: because real income is falling, in dangerous practices while discour- which regulated the wrong
IT is becoming impossible to decipher and consumer spending rose 0.7 per aging safe ones. Some parts of the things….and failed to stop the worst FSA fines and bans ex-broker
what is happening to the economy, for cent, the household savings ratio fell financial world were largely unregu- mortgage crisis in history… All his reg- The Financial Services Authority (FSA)
one simple reason: the data is of terri- substantially. But the morality of the lated; other parts were hyper-regulat- ulators, far greater in number and bet- yesterday said that it had fined Fabio
ble quality. Take yesterday’s revised tale is simple: don’t take data at face ed; the whole architecture was backed ter paid than in the 1990s, got the Massimo De Biase, a former cash equi-
second quarter GDP figures, value. It keeps getting revised, often by the implicit guarantee of the state main judgment call wrong. They did ties broker, £252,239 for acting improp-
unchanged at 1.2 per cent growth. But drastically so. Rely instead on gut and taxpayer, meaning that it was a not control cash and capital sensibly, erly at the same time banning him from
their composition has been complete- instinct, surveys and multiple data rigged, rather than a truly free, mar- and allowed a boom. They then con- working in the financial services sector
ly revamped from when the first edi- sources. The sceptics are always right. ket. Miliband, who has an MSc in eco- trolled money too fiercely, and on the grounds that he is not fit to do so.
tion of the figures were released a few nomics from the London School of brought on a bigger bust.” There are De Biase, formerly a broker with TFS
weeks ago; they now paint a far better A FEW DO GET IT Economics, should know better. others in the Tory party who under- Derivatives, received part of his pay in
picture of the recovery’s sustainabili- ONE of the many myths of the reces- While the Tory establishment failed stand this well and yet are not in gov- commission when he won broking busi-
ty, as I suspected they would. sion is that finance was entirely to oppose Gordon Brown’s destructive ernment, including Sajid Javid, ness. The FSA said between January
The reams of analysis produced by unregulated prior to the crisis. Ed reforms, some individual parliamen- Andrea Leadsom, Steve Baker, Michael 2008 and September 2009, De Biase
the City and the media have, once Miliband claimed as much yesterday tarians saw the writing on the wall Fallon and others. They deserve a big- paid kickbacks to AKO Capital trader,
again, turned out to be worthless. The in his inaugural speech as Labour early on. John Redwood, the Tory MP, ger voice. allister.heath@cityam.com Anjam Ahmad in return for business.

7th Floor, Centurion House,


24 Monument Street, London, EC3R 8AJ
Tel: 020 7015 1200 Fax: 020 7283 5334
Auditor calls
for shake up
Email: news@cityam.com www.cityam.com
Editorial
Editor Allister Heath
Deputy Editor David Hellier
News Editor Ben Griffiths
Night Editor Katie Hope
Associate Editor David Crow
ACCOUNTANCY The accounting firm has called on

Business Features Editor Marc Sidwell


Lifestyle Editor Zoe Strimpel BY EMMA SADOWSKI the government to establish an over- Incoming BP boss Bob Dudley starts the senior post on Friday
Art Director Darren Soulsby sight body that would implement

BP to sell $3.5bn in bonds


Pictures Alex Ridley GRANT Thornton, the fifth largest limits to the number of large UK com-
audit firm, has urged the govern- panies any one firm could audit.
Commercial ment to review the market share held It has also said that regulators
Sales Director Jeremy Slattery by the big four accounting firms in a should suggest to large corporates
Commercial Director Harry Owen bid to reduce threats to the financial that they hand more audit work over
Head of Distribution Nick Owen markets should one of them fail. to the smaller firms.
In a submission to the House of The House of Lords economic GAS AND OIL between $2bn and $3bn from the

Distribution helpline Lords’ inquiry into auditors, and as affairs select committee is currently bond sale, but due to over-subscrip-
If you have any comments about the distribution BY EMMA SADOWSKI
of City A.M. Please ring 0207 015 1230, or email reported by the Financial Times, investigation the audit profession, tion, that figure has risen to $3.5bn.
distribution@cityam.com Grant Thornton has said that finan- including competition concerns over BP signalled a return to “business-as- A $2bn, five-year tranche was
cial markets would be significantly the market dominance held by the usual” after the Gulf of Mexico offered at 1.95 percentage points over
Editorial Statement impacted should either PwC, big four accounting firms. tragedy, with plans to sell up to similar-maturity Treasurys and a
This newspaper adheres to the system of Deloitte, KPMG or Ernst & Young col- $3.5bn (£2.2bn) in new bonds just $1.5bn chunk of 10-year bonds was
self-regulation overseen by the Press Complaints lapse as they audit the majority of Ed Nusbaum’s firm three days before Bob Dudley is set to offered at 2.10 percentage points over
Commission. The PCC takes complaints about the FTSE 100 companies. take over the chief executive post. Treasurys. Barclays Capital, BNP
editorial content of publications under the Editor’s Grant Thornton says
Code of Practice, a copy of which can be found at Grant Thornton, led by chief execu- The oil major’s funding arm, BP Paribas, Royal Bank of Scotland,
www.pcc.org.uk tive Ed Nusbaum, said in the submis- limits should be in Capital Markets, is selling five and Citigroup and Mizhuo Securities are
Printed by Newsfax International,
sion that the collapse of any of the place on the number of ten-year bonds, the first such sale leading on the bond sale.
Beam Reach 5 Business Park, largest accountants was a “tangible large clients at big four. since August 2009 when it sold $2bn. The bond sale is the first since last
Marsh Way, Rainham, Essex, RM13 8RS rather than a purely academic risk”. BP had originally intended to raise August.

WHAT THE OTHER PAPERS SAY THIS MORNING


LAW FIRM FACES PROBE OVER WEB
PIRACY LEAK
A law firm that has built its business
FOX SAVAGES TREASURY ON DEFENCE on pursuing illegal file-sharers is fac- FRENCH INVESTIGATE RYANAIR IN AOL MERGER WAS 'THE BIGGEST MIS- UNION OPPOSES WAL-MART DEAL IN
CUTS ing investigation by UK data protec- MARSEILLES JOBS DISPUTE TAKE IN CORPORATE HISTORY' SOUTH AFRICA
Liam Fox, the defence secretary, has tion officials after the personal Ryanair has been placed under for- Jeff Bewkes, the chairman and chief South Africa’s largest labor group
launched a big assault on the details of thousands of people it mal investigation by a French judge executive of Time Warner, has accept- came out against Wal-Mart’s $4.6bn
Treasury’s attempt to slash his depart- accused of piracy were published on suspicion of flouting France’s cost- ed that Time Warner’s merger with offer to buy Massmart Holdings. The
ment’s budget, warning that “dracon- online. Acting on behalf of content ly and protective labour laws by AOL was “the biggest mistake in cor- Western Cape provincial arm of the
ian” cuts to military spending cannot owners, ACS:Law has sent letters employing staff at its base in porate history”, but said it had helped Congress of South African Trade
be implemented without “grave con- demanding settlements running into Marseilles on Irish work contracts. the company focus on its strengths. Unions said Tuesday it was alarmed
sequences” for the Conservative party hundreds of pounds to UK broadband The airline responded to the latest Mr Bewkes said he had learned post- that Massmart is considering an offer
and the government. In a head-on customers. move in its dispute with the French demerger that “the recipe for success” from the Bentonville, Ark., retail
attack on chancellor George authorities by reiterating a threat to of any company is “you have to know giant to take over one of the country’s
Osborne’s call for cuts of up 20 per GOME VOTE TO SPARK NEW POWER close its Marseilles operation. what you are”. “key strategic national companies.”
cent in the Ministry of Defence budg- STRUGGLE
et, Mr Fox has told David Cameron The battle for control of Gome DOZENS OF SUB-STANDARD CARE VIRGIN BEATS SKY TO 3D SERVICE UK'S IMMIGRATION RULES SLAMMED
that he refuses to back any substan- Electrical Appliances Holding, one of HOMES CLOSED LAUNCH Large corporations and other employ-
tial reduction in funding for the China’s largest electronics retailers, is Almost 100 care homes and home- Virgin has launched a 3D Movies On ers are turning up the heat on the UK
armed forces. set to rumble on after its jailed help services in England have been Demand channel, three days ahead of government as it finalizes new immi-
founder blocked the company from shut down or closed voluntarily in Sky’s own 3D channel going live. gration rules that industry says
MEDVEDEV SACKS MOSCOW MAYOR issuing new shares that would have the past year because of poorly Virgin’s 3D Movies On Demand serv- would restrict their ability to recruit
Dmitry Medvedev, Russia’s president, diluted his stake. In a packed special trained staff and substandard treat- ice has gone live and can be accessed key talent. Firms that have expressed
took the risky move of sacking Yuri general meeting on Tuesday Gome ment of residents. Bullying of by consumers who have a Virgin HD concern include GlaxoSmithKline,
Luzhkov, the Moscow mayor, one of shareholders voted in favour to patients, poor management of drugs plus set-top box, a 3D-ready TV and a International Business Machines,
the few remaining powerful politi- revoke the company’s “general man- and staff shortages were among the pair of 3D glasses. The movies will be General Electric, JP Morgan Chase
cians independent of the Kremlin. date”. problems that prompted action. available on a pay-per-view basis. and Deutsche Bank.
CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010 News 3

Olympic boss named as new


Network Rail chief executive
Rail chief executive Iain Coucher, top of his £613,000 salary.

TRANSPORT
BY EMMA SADOWSKI who will depart from the rail infra- Meanwhile, it is thought that
structure group at the end of next Higgins beat more than 500 appli-
DAVID Higgins is to become the next month. cants for the top post.
chief executive of Network Rail, it was Coucher’s departure was Prior to the five years he spent at
confirmed yesterday. announced in June and was followed the ODA, Higgins served as chief exec-
Higgins, who is currently top boss by a raft of controversy at Network utive of English Partnerships for two
of the Olympic Delivery Authority Rail after it emerged that the group’s years and seven years as group chief
(ODA) is to quit his role and move to top managers were this year awarded at Lend Lease.
Network Rail at the start of February bonuses and incentive payments Higgins will be replaced in
next year. totalling more than £2.2m. Coucher February by ODA’s director of
He will succeed outgoing Network is set to recieve a £641,000 bonus on finance, Dennis Hone. ODA boss David Higgins leaves the Olympics group after five years Picture: PA

Rebel MEPs
try to beef up
hedgie laws
in months of negotiations over the

REGULATION
BY MARION DAKERS directive.
Kamall told City A.M. yesterday the
NEW EUROPEAN rules on hedge breakaway group might have enough
funds and private equity groups were support to stop further progress. “The
in disarray yesterday after French French are trying to undermine the
MEPs claimed they could scupper the Belgian presidency and form a block-
regime’s passage into law. ing minority, and they claimed
Talks on the Alternative tonight to have done so.”
Investment Fund Management The acting EU finance minister,
Directive (AIFMD) came close to agree- Belgium’s Didier Reynders, said yes-
ing a final draft in Brussels on terday he realised the crackdown did
Monday, but yesterday dissenting not command the support of every
politicians scrambled to arrange member state, but said he will not
covert one-to-one meetings with force through the current proposals.
other MEPs to talk them into tough- The UK, which is home to 80 per
ening up the rules. cent of Europe’s hedge funds, has
The French have not revealed the backed the introduction of a passport
full text of their proposal. However, system.
several sources said the rebels aim to Andrew Baker, chief executive of
abolish a planned “passport” for the Alternative Investment
hedge funds, which would require Management Association, said yester-
some non-EU funds to meet trans- day: “The French proposal could be
parency standards to trade here, and calamitous for European investors
replace it with a stricter, universal who could be prevented from invest-
benchmark. ing in funds or managers outside the
“It felt a bit like when a phone com- EU, and non-EU hedge fund managers
pany calls you up with a great new who would find it very difficult to
deal, but then they won’t tell you any access the European market. This
of the details,” said Conservative MEP would be a profoundly protectionist
Syed Kamall, who has been involved move.”

DE Shaw slashes its headcount


by 10pc as investors lose faith
imise value for our investors over the

HEDGE FUNDS
long-term.”
DE SHAW, one of the world’s largest At the start of the month, DE Shaw
hedge fund managers, is to cut its managed around $21bn (£13.2bn)
global headcount by 10 per cent. across its funds.
The cuts, which equate to roughly The New York based firm, however,
150 jobs, are the largest in the firm’s has suffered from roughly $7bn in
history and are expected to signifi- redemptions made during the last
cantly impact its London and New few months.
York offices. The cuts comes after one of the
DE Shaw’s decision to scale back on worst periods for the hedge fund sec-
staff numbers came as part of a tor.
lengthy review by the fund manager’s DE Shaw, which was founded in
senior staff after it suffered from a 1988 by David Shaw, currently
large outflow of investors this year. employs 1,500 people in the US, UK,
A statement from the group said: Europe, Middle East and Asia.
“The DE Shaw group has taken steps Shaw no longer manages the day-
to strengthen our business and max- to-day functions of the firm.
4 News CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010

David Davis to
Paragon set call for faith in
for a return the free market

to buy-to-let
POLITICS


PROMINENT backbench Conservative
MP David Davis will today sound a ral-
lying call to an audience of 150 City
and political leaders, calling on them
to reinvigorate Britain’s faith in capi-
talism and private wealth creation.

HOUSING going to keep growing as the popula- Davis will be speaking at the London
BY VICTORIA BATES tion rises.” Forum, hosted by pro-market think
Paragon has secured a new ware- tanks the Legatum Institute and the
PARAGON, the buy-to-let mortgage house debt funding facility with Stephen Hester spoke at the BoA Merrill Lynch conference yesterday Picture: GETTY US American Enterprise Institute. He
provider, has returned to new lending Macquarie. will tell the gathering, to include fig-

Hester: Banks to impose


after pulling out two years ago due to “Our model is to finance ourselves ures from Goldman Sachs, easyJet and
the global economic turmoil. via the securitisation markets, which the American and German embassies,
Paragon chief executive Nigel went through a very disrupted period that a downbeat message of deficit
Terrington said the company would through the credit crisis,” Terrington reduction and public sector job cuts

strict self limits on capital


specifically target professional land- said. “But today, we’re seeing it per- will not be enough to win over voters.
lords – an area of the market which it forming at a better level than at any Instead, he will say that cuts must
believes is underserved by buy-to-let time since 2007. The core of the mar- be allied with deregulation to jump-
lenders. ket is now dominated by traditional start Britain’s competitiveness: “We
Terrington said there were two pri- long-only bond investors, who under- need to create more entrepreneurs –
mary reasons for Paragon’s decision stand the market thoroughly and people who will risk their money and
to return to lending at the current aren’t highly leveraged.” BANKING ing a “one-off golden pot” to emerge their reputation on a wealth-creating

time, namely very high levels of ten- Paragon hopes to build its book BY VICTORIA BATES from the banking industry as organi- idea.” Davis is known as a flag-bearer
ant demand in the UK and a more sta- back up to the kind of market share it sations release capital right down to for the right wing of his party, having
ble funding environment. had before the crisis – around 10 per ROYAL Bank of Scotland chief execu- the bare minimum set by regulators served as the Tories’ shadow home sec-
Tenant demand is being driven by cent, or £1bn, by the end of next year. tive Stephen Hester yesterday sig- and leverage up as far as possible. retary under Michael Howard.
weakness in the wider housing mar- Paragon struck out at the previous nalled his faith in the banking sector “I think that’s unlikely,” Hester In a veiled reference to the
ket, difficulty in securing mortgages government, saying specialist lenders to act prudently in setting rigorous said. “It’s certainly unlikely from an Conservatives’ Liberal Democrat allies,
for first-time buyers, and high levels suffered when big banks were shored capital standards for itself above and RBS standpoint.” he will warn that “foolish friends are
of demand from immigrants, up in the crisis. beyond the scope of regulatory The RBS boss added that he even more dangerous than deadly ene-
Terrington said. “Buy-to-let is an increasingly impor- requirements. believed current changes to regula- mies” and will tell the government to
“Fourteen per cent of all properties tant part of the UK housing market Hester, speaking yesterday at a con- tion are falling in “sensible territory”. stand firm on cuts in the face of a com-
in the UK are privately rented,” he and competition is vital for a healthy ference organised by Bank of America “The extremes are being cut off,” ing “storm of protest” from unions,
added. “That’s a figure that is only and vibrant market,” Terrington said. Merrill Lynch, said he was not expect- he said. activists and media critics.
EUR/USD
1 pip,1% deposit
and no re-quotes.

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CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010 News 7

Ireland finds that less bad isn’t good enough


coalition government has a ruling last week that a default on senior tries and particularly Ireland”. Hardly remains in greater question. According
majority of just six seats, and must debt was “unthinkable”. But the Irish surprising, but powerful nonetheless. to the European Economy Statistical
hope that tomorrow’s numbers will Independent reported yesterday that It’s certainly true that whatever the Annex, Ireland’s deficit may be high
restore some calm if a tough budget it had learned senior bondholders figures announced tomorrow the but its debt to GDP ratio in spring 2010
promising further public sector cuts would see their debt honoured, con- Anglo Irish bill will help push the was 77.3 per cent, lower than the UK’s
in December is to remain on track. tradicting Moody’s take. We shall Irish deficit higher, up to around a at 79.1 per cent and utterly different
With the yield spread between 10- soon find out who is right. quarter of GDP. Still, it is worth bear- from the Greek ratio of 124.9 per cent
year Irish government bonds and Either way, Ireland’s problems are ing in mind that Ireland’s weaknesses or the Italian ratio of 118.2 per cent.
COMMENT German bunds reaching 4.5 percent- straightforward. David Haugh, have much to do with the brutal Still, as Haugh, Ollivaud and Turner
MARC SIDWELL age points yesterday, what can we see
in Ireland’s fundamentals to help sep-
Patrice Ollivaud and David Turner, in
a 2009 working paper for the OECD,
impact of the financial crisis and less
to do with persistent economic fail-
also point out, the relationship
between fiscal performance and bond
arate uncertainty feeding on uncer- find that a main driver of Ireland’s ings. Carlos Caceres, Vincenzo Guzzo yield spreads appears to be non-linear,

T
HE Irish parliament reconvenes tainty from justified caution? bond spread against the bund was and Miguel Segoviano, in a 2010 IMF with incremental deteriorations in fis-
today after its summer recess Some of the fears already seem a lit- the sharp relative deterioration of working paper, point out that coun- cal performance bringing ever larger
under distinctly chilly condi- tle overdone. Moody’s decision to Ireland’s fiscal position from June tries hit hard by the crisis like Ireland increases in the spread. Financial mar-
tions. The markets have spent downgrade Anglo Irish senior subor- 2007 to June 2009. They note “an were replaced as the greater source of ket reaction constrains fiscal policy
the week growing ever more anxious dinated debt by three notches on increase in expected fiscal deficits is contagion and default risk by coun- more than ever, a lesson that all
about tomorrow’s news on the costs Monday was a rejection of finance likely playing a large role in the tries like Portugal, Greece and Spain, economies need to remember, not just
of restructuring Anglo Irish Bank. The minister Brian Lenihan’s comment increase in spreads across all coun- where long-term fiscal sustainability Ireland.

Anglo Irish fears escalate Ratings agencies under scrutiny


as penalties for mistakes mulled
Anglo Irish Bank, set to be unveiled bunds hit a euro lifetime high of 475

WORLD ECONOMY
BY HARRY BANKS tomorrow, was more than €35bn basis points yesterday, meaning it costs


(£30bn), the country would face Dublin some 4.75 percentage points WORLD ECONOMY Reynders, the finance minister of act-
IRELAND’S borrowing costs hit a another downgrade on its debt rat- more than Berlin to borrow funds. ing EU president Belgium, said: “It
record high yesterday after two credit ing. And the cost of insuring Irish sover- EUROPEAN Union (EU) finance minis- must be possible to penalise. If after
rating agencies warned its debt is at Rival ratings agency Fitch was also eign debt against default soared to a ters will discuss this week how they some weeks or months it is possible
risk of further downgrades, com- cautious. “I cannot pretend that the record 519 bps from 488.5 at might penalise rating agencies that to say it (a downgrade) was a wrong
pounding political jitters over a budg- current rating is totally secure,” Chris Monday’s New York close, according pass inappropriately harsh judgment signal, what is the responsibility of
et that could break a shaky Pryce, a senior analyst with Fitch, to data monitor CMA. on countries, a senior EU politician the rating agency?
government. said. The Irish government yesterday said yesterday. “It is quite difficult to say that
The anxiety was sparked by warn- The premium investors demand to confirmed that it will do “whatever it Building on remarks that he wants there is no responsibility if it is possi-
ings from ratings agency Standard & hold 10-year Irish government bonds takes” to support the Irish financial a new EU markets watchdog to be ble to prove it was a wrong analysis, a
Poor’s that if government support for rather than benchmark German industry. able to fine rating agencies, Didier wrong signal.”
8 Miliband speech

Red Ed? Come


off it: A pitch
for the centre
spoke with pride of a failing local
school that improved after it was
taken over by an academy sponsor;
promised to be tough on crime; and
admitted the party had lost its reputa-
tion for economic credibility by con-
ceding he had to win it back. On the
deficit, however, he prevaricated, giv-
ing just mealy-mouthed support for
DAVID CROW former chancellor Alistair Darling’s
POLITICAL EDITOR’S ANALYSIS plan to halve it in four years.

E
D Miliband’s inaugural leaders’ HOME TRUTHS
speech will not be remembered “I was elected to be leader, and lead I
for its rhetorical flair. There was will,” Miliband told the delegates, pep-
none of the barrister’s flourish pering his speech with hard truths for
that characterised Tony Blair’s excel- the right and left of the party. The
lent performances. For all its talk of shadow cabinet sat in stony silence as
optimism, it lacked the hopeful orato- he said they were wrong to go to war
ry that Barack Obama offered the US in Iraq while the union barons looked
electorate in 2008. When David incredulous as he distanced himself
Cameron gave his first conference from their calls for strikes. Labour
speech, the Tory party knew they had would have cut jobs in the public sec-
a leader for keeps, but Labour is still tor if they had won power he said,
unsure. It was overly long, with a few meaning he cannot oppose every
too many gaffes. The jokes were barely redundancy. The infirm and disabled
passable, delivered by a man who must be protected, but the able must
knows little about comic timing. work, he added, using exactly the
This was not a washout, however – same language employed by the coali-
far from it. Labour’s new leader did tion. Tory welfare secretary Iain
exactly what he needed to. Miliband, Duncan Smith, a bête noire of the left,
virtually unknown off the got the nearest thing to a vote of confi-
Westminster stage, had to give the dence that a leader of the opposition
public a sense of himself. The passages can give to a government minister. He

m today on his parents’ persecution at the is the first Labour leader in recent

tarts 10 a hands of the Nazis were useful in pro-


viding a political back story, some-
times to admit the party failed its
working class members with its han-

s thing he did far more successfully


than Gordon Brown (no mean feat
when your father was a Marxist intel-
dling of mass EU immigration.
Miliband’s version of the centre
ground differs from Tony Blair’s and
lectual, not a protestant minister). David Cameron’s, however. This was a
Still, it’s hard to plead strong family speech for the “mainstream majority”,
ties when you’ve just knifed your elder people on low and middle incomes –
brother in the back. not middle England. Aspirational vot-
ers in the South and East Anglia – the
BIG BAD BUSINESS very people who deliver general elec-
He managed to articulate what he tion victories – will not be impressed.
stands for more clearly than Cameron As a politician who learnt his trade
did in the election campaign, with his at the feet of one Gordon Brown, the
talk of the “Big Society”, a concept that speech would have been incomplete
continues to puzzle voters. There is no without those famous dividing lines.
Offers are limited; once they’ve gone, they’ve gone. 24 hour sale starts at 10am on Wednesday 29th September and finishes 10am Thursday 30th September 2010.
Prices correct at time of going to print, subject to availability and conditions. 50% off hotels: based on selected hotels + dates only. Kenya deal: Price includes flights, doubt that Miliband’s leadership will Although he barely acknowledged the
take the party leftwards. He champi- deficit – the political issue du jour – he

@
13 nights accommodation and based on 2 sharing in October 2010. Rome deal: Price includes flights, 2 nights accommodation and based on 2 sharing in October 2010.
lastminute.com acts as an agent for ATOL protected operators. See www.lastminute.com for full terms and conditions.
oned the low-paid, but had only accu- promised a strategy for growth, a rea-
sations and recriminations for son to be optimistic. Fiscally irresponsi-
highly-remunerated bankers and com- ble but politically shrewd, this tactic
pany executives. Small firms and will work. Miliband will try to paint
entrepreneurs are Labour’s friends, he coalition ministers as grey, autocratic
said, but big business is not. It is simply cutters without vision: “You were the
impossible to imagine these senti- optimists once but now all you offer is
ments from Messrs Mandelson, Blair a miserable, pessimistic view of what
and even Brown, but we live in quite we can achieve.”
different times. Envy is back. Prime Minister Brown – the Tories’
The speech was firmly pitched at biggest electoral asset – has gone.

www.cityam.com the centre ground, however, or at least


Miliband’s version of it. Red Ed? “Come
off it,” retorted the new leader. He
Miliband, for all his flaws, is a more
serious opponent. They write him off
at their peril. david.crow@cityam.com
Miliband speech 9

Ed Miliband
tried to distance
himself from the
trade unions

Picture:GETTY

“Mr Cameron:
you were the
optimist once.
But now all
you offer is a
miserable,
pessimistic
view of what
we can
achieve.”

GRAEME LEACH | INSTITUTE OF DIRECTORS

“ Ed Miliband says that he wants Labour to be the ‘party of


enterprise and small business’. How are these sentiments reconcil-
able with a commitment to new employment regulations for agency
workers and a large hike in the minimum wage? Both measures
would hurt small and large businesses, not support them. It is early


days, but we detect a drift away from New Labour’s efforts to
talk up a pro-enterprise agenda.

RICHARD LAMBERT | CBI

“ The message of this speech is that Ed Miliband wants to


position himself on the centre ground of politics. He stressed that
Labour must win back fiscal credibility by the next election and that
it must build prosperity, as well as distribute it. Companies will
worry about some of the issues he raised. For example, the living


wage, agency workers and the bank levy. But he was careful

@
not to get into detail.

PAUL KENNY | GMB UNION

“ It was a fantastic and inspiring speech. No one can be


in any doubt that the Labour Party has a new, real leader in
touch with people – a new generation is in town. The speech
provides a first glimpse for the British people of a great new


leader, who is humble, honest, dignified and is not afraid to take
on vested interests of all kind for a better Britain. www.cityam.com
The Capitalist
10 CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010
EDITED BY
VICTORIA BATES
GOT A STORY? EMAIL
thecapitalist@cityam.com

CITY SET TO “The annual


election of the
APPOINT Lord Mayor
takes place
ITS LATEST today –
LORD MAYOR though the
result’s almost The Apprentice’s Lord Sugar, Brady and Hewer

IT’S ALL change for the City in the tradi- a foregone series of the BBC’s Apprentice were
tional sense this week, with the annual revealed. The hopefuls, who are out to
election of the Lord Mayor taking place conclusion” impress Alan, Lord Sugar, long-time advis-
later on today. er Nick Hewer and West Ham vice-chair-
As is the way with these things, the man Karren Brady in the sixth series of
result of the “election” is almost a fore- the show, are a diverse bunch.
gone conclusion before it’s even begun, They include a former Royal Marine,
since the City of London’s senatorial Christopher Farrell; the youngest ever can-
group, the Court of Aldermen, has didate, 21-year-old entrepreneur Stuart
already published its favoured candidate – Baggs; a former PR executive, Alex Epstein;
this year, Alderman Michael Bear. and three past and present investment
Bear, currently working as a regenera- This year’s Lord out. might take up in earnest in the future, bankers, including ex-JP Morgan staffer
tion director at property group Mayor Nick Anstee in Yesterday, the future hopefuls for the since only those who have previously Chris Bates.
Hammerson, is up against David Wootton his ceremonial garb, position also got their stint in the lime- served as a sheriff can become Lord Mayor.
and Roger Gifford in the election, which, and (inset) his proba- light after Alderman Fiona Woolf and Woolf, a high-flying lawyer at CMS
as you’d expect, takes the form of a drawn-
out ceremonial process. The candidates
ble successor Michael
Bear
Richard Sermon took over as the two new
Sheriffs of London. In that role, they’re
Cameron McKenna, would be in scant
company if she does eventually manage
HOOK, LINE AND SINKER
The financial world’s providing a lucrative
are required to parade before the gath- tasked with supporting the Lord Mayor in that feat – there has only ever been one spell for Hollywood at the moment, what
ered liverymen, who then vote on them promoting the Square Mile and wider UK woman Lord Mayor, Dame Mary with Wall Street 2: Money Never Sleeps
via the time-honoured tradition of calling financial services sector – a role either Donaldson, elected in 1983. and the upcoming Client 9: The Rise and
Fall of Eliot Spitzer, coming to screens in
November.
SLIPPERY SUCKERS The former New York governor’s fall
Oysters may be delicious, but as anyone from grace is documented in all its lurid
who’s ever tried will know, the slippery lit- glory, from his war on Wall Street to the
tle blighters are a devil to open up. sudden revelation of his dalliances with
That’s why Green’s restaurant on high-class hookers. (“When you’re sending
Cornhill is challenging City workers to get a girl for $30,000 a night, it doesn’t feel
stuck in at its first ever amateur like prostitution,” says one representative
Oyster Opening of the agency Spitzer used, in the trailer
Championships this evening which has just been released on the inter-
– with a bottle of champagne net.) Book your cinema date, pronto...
and £200 dinner voucher as
the star prize.
Tickets to the event –
where competitors need
BLOOD BATTLE
A gruesome-looking photograph lands on
to open and present 12 The Capitalist’s desk, showing a man with
oysters as fast as possible, his shirt covered in blood, sporting an
having been given “train- impressive bruise across his left eye. I hear
ing” beforehand – cost the poor chap wasn’t the victim of a ruth-
£14.50, including a glass of less street gang, though, but a cricket ball
wine or beer, canapés and – Alastair Clayton, a director of gold com-
three oysters. May the best pany Ortac Resources, had been playing
man – or woman – win. for Hanson Capital chief investment offi-
cer Edward Collins’ team in a tournament
in the South of France when a rogue deliv-
SUGAR PUFF ery hit him in the face.
Speaking of competi- Fortunately, our man wasn’t seriously
tions, there was a scram- harmed – and went on to hit a four off the
ble to take a peek yesterday last ball of the semi-final to win the game
as the candidates for the latest for the team. What a trooper.

CITY EYE

A pair of City gents take time out to have a rest as they get their loafers polished into tip-top condition.
Picture: Micha Theiner/City A.M.
CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010 News 11

IoD slates regulation plan


made no “sense to leave the UKLA ed different regulatory challenges


REGULATION
separate from the body [the and required a different approach.
BY MATTHEW WEST Consumer Markets and Protection Meanwhile, one City insider told
THE Institute of Directors (IoD) yester- Authority (CPMA)] responsible for the City A.M. yesterday that he believed
day became the latest organisation to regulation and supervision of whole- the CBI was close to also coming out
join the London Stock Exchange (LSE) sale capital markets.” in support of the LSE’s position over
in opposing the merger of the The IoD also raised concerns about the FRC and UKLA proposals, having
Financial Reporting Council and the the “logic” of combining the regula- been persuaded by the LSE of the
UK Listing Authority (UKLA). tion of wholesale and retail financial faults in the plan.
In a statement, Miles Templeman, services under the umbrella of the The source added the FRC was itself
IoD director general Miles Templeman opposes the merger Picture: REUTERS director-general of the IoD, said it CPMA. It added both markets present- lukewarm over the the proposals.

L'Oréal may Morgan Stan


launch rival puts hold on
Culver bid recruitment


CONSUMER BANKING
BY STEVE DINNEEN BY MATTHEW WEST
UNILEVER could find itself embroiled US investment bank Morgan Stanley
in a multi-billion dollar bidding war has frozen all recruitment for the
for hair care specialist Alberto Culver. remainder of the year, it said yester-
Analysts were yesterday bracing day, offering no guarantees over
themselves for a rival bid for the firm, when it would begin hiring again.
with L’Oreal said to be the most likely The bank, which employs around
candidate. German consumer goods 5,000 people in the UK, sought to
giant Henkel is also thought to be quell fears of job losses, saying
considering its position. although it had stopped recruiting it
JP Morgan analyst John Faucher had no plans for large-scale redun-
said in a note that “the market seems dancies.
to be expecting another bid, as the But when asked when it expected
stock is trading through the bid... We to begin hiring again a spokesman for
think a counter-bid is not impossible.” Morgan Stanley said: “We will revise
And a note by RBS analyst Julian the situation in the first quarter. I
Hardwick said: “We expect a positive can’t guarantee to you now that we
response to this deal, tempered only will begin hiring in the new year but
by concern that L'Oreal could counter we have a hiring freeze in place until
bid, particularly given the underper- the end of the year.”
formance since the second quarter The investment bank said poor
results.” trading volumes in the third quarter
Unilever said on Monday it will buy contributed to the decision to freeze
US hair and skin care specialist staff recruitment, amid persisting
Alberto Culver, the firm behind uncertainty over global recovery.
household brands such as V05 and However, the bank added that it
TRESemme, in a deal worth $3.7bn was fairly typical for investment
(£2.34bn). banks to slacken off recruitment in
It is understood the bid has been the fourth quarter.
recommended to shareholders and One City insider added: “People
that a £125m break-clause will come just don’t recruit at this time of year.
into play if either party pulls out of Why would you recruit someone in
the deal. According to Bank of October when they are not going to
America analyst Nico Lambrechts: be able to start until January or
“The existence of a break clause February and then you’ll have to pay
between Unilever and the board them an annual bonus for work they
could make a counterbid more com- haven’t done for you?”
plex but not impossible.” The recruitment freeze comes a
If the Unilever deal goes through it day after Royal Bank of Scotland
will follow a yet-to-be completed deal announced a further 500 redundan-
to buy Sara Lee’s body care division cies among back-office staff in its
for $1.3bn. The firm’s largest value investment division. It is a month
acquisition was the massive $20.3bn since Barclays Capital announced up
acquisition of Bestfoods in 2000. to 400 redundancies and Credit
The deal would bolster Unilever’s Suisse said it was shedding 75 staff.
flagging hair care sales in its core US Meanwhile, in the US, Bank of
market. In the last year Alberto Culver America has made around three per
generated sales of $1.6bn and earn- cent of its workforce redundant,
ings of $250m. amounting to several hundred jobs.

Boeing wins a $5.3bn US Navy contract Hunt relaxes media rules


frames designed for electronic attack Afghanistan. are outdated. We want to deregulate as

AVIATION

POLITICS
BY HARRY BANKS to the Navy from 2012 through 2015. Boeing said the agreement would much as possible.”
The Pentagon said the multiyear generate more than $600m in savings BY DAVID CROW But industry executives said the
BOEING has finalised a $5.3bn agreement was on fixed-price terms, by allowing Boeing and its suppliers CULTURE secretary Jeremy Hunt yes- move was unlikely to lead to a wave of
(£3.4bn) four-year agreement with the with an incentive fee – terms that will to plan further ahead and buy materi- terday outlined plans to scrap cross- consolidation in the local media sector.
US Navy to build 124 F/A-18 fighter limit the government's liability in the als in bulk, making production more media ownership rules. Rob Woodward, chief executive of
jets and electronic attack planes, a event of any cost overruns. efficient than under a single-year con- The changes mean that holders of STV, told City A.M.: “Removing unneces-
deal creatin savings of over $600m. Boeing also won a $249m contract tract. Channel 3 licences like ITV, STV and sary restrictions has to be a good thing,
The deal, announced yesterday by for logistics support for the F/A-18 The contract is based on a price of UTV will also be able to own regional but I’m not sure it will lead to a huge
Boeing and the Pentagon, calls for the fighters, which operate worldwide about $42.7m per airplane, excluding papers without restrictions. amount of change. I’m not sure that
company to deliver 66 F/A-18 “Super from the decks of 11 Navy aircraft car- their engines and other government- An aide to Hunt said: “We’re basical- regional press and holders of Channel
Hornet” fighters and 58 EA-18G air- riers --- including ongoing missions in furnished equipment. ly clearing the decks. The regulations 3 licences are a good mix.”
12 News CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010

IRN-BRU PUTS FIZZ IN AG BARR PROFIT NEWS | IN BRIEF


Jacques Vert sales on the rise
Jacques Vert’s like-for-like sales rose 3.6
per cent for the first 22 weeks of its
financial year. The womenswear group,
which includes the Jacques Vert,
Windsmoor, Planet and Precis chains,
said that gross margin over the period
was in line with expectations, but slight-
ly lower than last year. In a statement
co-inciding with thecompany’s AGM
yesterday chairman Steve Bodger said:
“The new autumn 2010 season collec-
tons have been positively received by
our customers. However, it is still early
in the season and we retain our cautious
outlook for the remainder of this finan-
cial year.”

Aston Martin UK’s coolest brand


Sports car maker Aston Martin is the
coolest brand in Britain, according to a
survey. Renowned for making vehicles
driven by James Bond, it came top of
the annual poll, reclaiming the number
one spot from Apple’s iPhone which
came second. Apple's iPod was named
third coolest, followed by Blackberry
and stereo and TV maker Bang &
Olufsen. The survey was run by The
Center for Brand Analysis which creates
IRN-BRU maker AG Barr has seen its profit and revenues fizz in the first half league tables based on the opinions of
and is planning to sell more drinks south of the border through advertising marketing experts, business profession-
campaigns. The Scottish drinks firm saw pre-tax profit rise 18.8 per cent to als and thousands of British consumers.
£16m from £13.5m the year before. Chief executive Roger White (pictured) said: Key factors in the selection process
“In Scotland Irn-Bru is drunk by everyone and we would like to see more people included, style, innovation, desirability
further south drinking it. Our Rubicon juices are also doing very well.” and originality.

Thomas Cook sees


dip trigger job cuts
CONSUMER Cup and the ash cloud crisis also 2010/11 bookings, up 13 per cent in

BY JOHN DUNNE hit traveller numbers. the UK over the last month and up
Thomas Cook chief executive four per cent cumulatively.
TOUR operator Thomas Cook yes- Manny Fontenla-Novoa confirmed Average selling prices of the compa-

The Halifax Reward terday warned of job cuts as it pre-


pares for “substantial” cost savings.
The group said it would be look-
there would be job losses, but said
it was too early to reveal numbers.
He said: “The review is looking at
ny’s holidays have risen one per
cent, it said.

Current Account. ing at its UK workforce of between


13,000 and 15,000 staff and suppli-
everything from the bottom up
and top down. Of course that
ANALYSIS l Thomas Cook
200 p 172.40
ers as a cuts package was drawn up. includes staff, but also suppliers 28Sep
Thomas Cook said it had been and our overhead structures.”
Make the jump to simple, forced into the measures as govern-
ment spending cuts loom.
Thomas Cook was also hit by
technical difficulties among its
190

great value banking. An estimated £10m hole in the


company’s profits was caused by
strike and ash cloud disruption.
100-strong aircraft fleet during the
peak August holiday season, which
it said would impact underlying
180

Consumers have also been tight- operating profits.


At Halifax we like to look after our customers. ening their belts as the public sec- However, the company said it 170
tor faces a cull while the World was seeing encouraging winter 7 Jul 27 Jul 16 Aug 6 Sep 24 Sep
That’s why our Reward Current Account gives you
£5 each month. And moving to us is easy, our
Switching Team take care of everything for you.
To get your fiver just pay in £1,000 each month.
To find out more, pop into branch, call us
An Indian summer is looming: Now
on 0845 122 1425 or visit halifax.co.uk
is the right time to climb aboard
I
NVESTORS have lost patience cent. And Thomas Cook’s latest relatively successful with departed
in trusting Thomas Cook to disappointment comes from a load factor, a measure of how full
deliver an Indian summer. technical hitch – problems with the group’s planes were, still high
Yesterday’s £10m downgrade aircraft in August meant that last- at 94 per cent and while £390m in
to full-year profits comes fast on minute replacements had to be full-year pre-tax profits is lower
top of August’s profit warning, hired expensively – and should be than the £420m expected, consen-
and sent investors scurrying for a one-off. sus expectations were only £30m
warmer climes. The shares’ 6.3 per And if chief executive’s Manny higher before the volcanic ash-
cent fall to 171.7p means they now Fontenla-Novoa’s claim that trad- cloud emerged.
stand at their lowest point since ing conditions this year have been Analysts believe a fair share
December 2008, and are trading at worse than after the 9/11 terror- price lies around 250p – now
just 6.6 times 2011 earnings, much ism attacks, then the fact that could be the right time to pick
cheaper than peer Tui which bookings for next summer are up them up at rock bottom.
Pay in £1,000 each calendar month to receive £5 (net)/£6.25 (gross) monthly. Reward paid net of income tax (at
trades at 8.9 times earnings. nine per cent, with average selling
Yet Thomas Cook offers a prices up four per cent indicates
the rate specified by law, currently 20%). Higher rate tax payers may need to pay additional tax on the reward
Call us, go online or visit one of our branches for more information on all fees and interest rates. Available only to
personal customers, aged 18 or over and who are resident in the UK. Halifax is a division of Bank of Scotland plc
prospective dividend yield of 6.6
per cent, compared to Tui’s 5.4 per
that the only way from here is up.
The 2010 summer season was
BOTTOMLINE
Registered in Scotland No. SC327000. Registered Office: The Mound, Edinburgh EH1 1YZ. Analysis by Katie Hope
CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010 Consumer News 13

JJB discounts send


share price down
RETAIL Analysts said the promotions Chief executive Keith Jones, who

BY JOHN DUNNE could hit profit margins and JJB warned in May it would take three
shares, which have been struggling years to turn the business around,
JJB SPORTS saw is shares slide yes- to recover since the group narrowly said he expected a full-year adjusted
terday after it admitted it would be missed falling into administration operating loss within analysts’ exist-
forced to step up promotions in the last year. ing forecast range of £20m to £30m.
face of the gloomy consumer envi- Singer analyst Matthew
ronment. McEachran said: “In light of the ANALYSIS l JJB Sports
The retailer said tough times worse trading and margin invest- p
required slashing prices – but the ment we expect forecasts to come 9.55
14 28 Sep
stock plummeted after the under pressure with losses now
announcement closing 14.6 per likely in the all-important second-
cent lower at 9.4p. half period.”
The 249-store-group said sales at JJB made an operating loss 12
stores open at least a year rose 18 before one-off items of £22.5m
per cent from 2 August to 29 from its ongoing business in the
August, but that growth slowed to six months ended 1 August, up 10
six per cent from 30 August to 26 from a loss of £42.5m the same
September. time last year. 7 Jul 16 Aug 15 Sep

Travel cover market slow


What is driving this surge in Of those who have annual trip
travel insurance cancellations? travel insurance, 34 per cent own
A new insurance report from packaged accounts; of those who
YouGov SixthSense shows that poli- opt for single trip travel insurance,
cy-holders are most likely to cite only six per cent own a packaged
“coverage-related” reasons (69 per account.
cent) for policy cancellation rather Seizing upon the increased
than cost (23 per cent), suggesting media focus on the issue of travel
BRANDINDEX that they manage to achieve a com- insurance, the level of coverage is
parable level of cover elsewhere. destined to become a greater sell-
STEPHAN SHAKESPEARE Such consumer behavior could be ing point for packaged accounts.
attributed to the increased pres- This summer, Nationwide

T
HE need for comprehensive ence of current account providers announced it was to revamp its
travel insurance has been in the travel insurance market. FlexAccount, and now offers annu-
highlighted this year by the Current account providers al multi-trip European travel insur-
Icelandic volcanic eruption increasingly include annual travel ance to customers aged up to 65
and the travel chaos that ensued. insurance as part of their packaged who fund it with at least £750 each
The plight of Britons without ade- accounts, thereby making stand- month.
quate coverage – often examined in
gruesome detail by the press this
alone travel policies redundant for
their customers.
Stephan Shakespeare is founder and
chief executive of YouGov. The Halifax Reward
summer – has meant that we are
more wary of the need for better
safeguards when going abroad.
ANALYSIS l Reasons for insurance policy cancellation
Private Medical Insurance (PMI)
Credit card or loan PPI
35%
45%
58%
52%
7%
2%
Current Account.
Despite these developments, fig- Pet Insurance 45% 47% 4%
ures show that of all categories of
insurance, annual travel policies
are the most likely to have been
Income Protection (IP)
Combined home
Standalone contents
53%
61%
61%
47%
32%
34%
7%
5%
Make the jump to simple,
cancelled in the last two years. The
chart shows that of those who said
Mortgage PPI
Motor third party only
Travel insurance (annual cover)
Standalone buildings
63%
65%
69%
69%
36%
30%
23%
25%
9%
1%
5%

6%
great value banking.
they have cancelled an annual trav- Motor comprehensive 70% 22% 8%
el policy at some point in the past, Travel insurance (single trip) 72% 23% 5%
two-thirds did so during the reces- 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 With our simple, straightforward overdraft fees it’s easy
Cover related Cost Related Other
sion. to work out how much using your overdraft will cost;
s¬a¬FOR¬EACH¬DAY¬YOU¬USE¬YOUR¬ARRANGED¬OVERDRAFT¬ON¬
¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬

Game Group to close 85 AMOUNTS¬UP¬TO¬AND¬INCLUDING¬a ¬¬


¬ ¬ ¬
¬
¬
¬
AMOUNTS¬OF¬OVER¬a 
¬ ¬ ¬
¬
¬
¬
¬¬
s¬a¬FOR¬EACH¬DAY¬YOU¬USE¬YOUR¬ARRANGED¬OVERDRAFT¬ON¬
¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬

UK stores as sales plunge


s¬a¬FOR¬EACH¬DAY¬YOU¬USE¬AN¬UNARRANGED¬OVERDRAFT
¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬
s¬!S¬WE¬CHARGE¬FEES¬ON¬THIS¬ACCOUNT¬INSTEAD¬
¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬
of interest, the typical rate is 0% EAR.
!ND¬THATS¬IT¬.O¬INTEREST¬TO¬PAY¬.O¬SET¬UP¬FEE¬
¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬
!ND¬NO¬COST¬WHEN¬YOU¬DONT¬USE¬IT¬
¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬
RETAIL it warning in June, made an under- market slumped 17.1 per cent in

lying pre-tax loss of £18.8m in the the first-half. It said like-for-like )F¬ONLY¬ALL¬OVERDRAFTS¬WERE¬SO¬SIMPLE¬
¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬ ¬
BY HARRY BANKS
six months to 31 July. sales were down ten per cent in the
COMPUTER games retailer Game That compared with forecasts for 34 weeks to 25 September. To find out more, pop
swung to a worse-than-expected a loss of £10-£15.5m and a profit of Shares in Game had already lost into branch, call us
first-half loss as it cut prices to hold £14.5m a year ago. nearly two-thirds of their value on 0845 122 1425
market share, and said new tech- Revenue fell 9.6 per cent to over the last year.
nology products will take time to £625m, with sales at stores open at But new chief executive Ian or visit halifax.co.uk
benefit its results. least a year down 10.9 per cent. Shepherd said new motion sensi-
Game, which trades from over The sales fall reflected a sharp tive games could turn things
1,300 outlets in nine European decline in the PC and video games around. “They are innovation and
countries and Australia, said 85 market globally as well as intense this is a market that thrives and
UK stores would close because of competition from supermarkets grows on innovation,” he said. Call us, go online or visit one of our branches for more information on all fees and interest rates. EAR is the equivalent annual
difficult trading. and online operators. Game said its online offer would rate. This is the actual annual interest rate for an overdraft. It does not take into account fees and charges. Overdrafts are
The retailer, having issued a prof- Game said the overall British help fuel improvements. repayable on demand. Available only to personal customers, aged 18 or over and who are resident in the UK. Halifax is a
division of Bank of Scotland plc. Registered in Scotland No. SC327000. Registered Office: The Mound, Edinburgh EH1 1YZ.
14 News CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010

Withdrawals
still a drag on
Man’s profits Man Group chief
executive Peter
Clarke took over

HEDGE FUNDS cent last year, has bucked up to report from Stanley Fink
BY VICTORIA BATES gains of 7.6 per cent over the past 12 three years ago
months, clients are still largely below
THE WORLD’S biggest listed hedge the “high water mark” above which
fund, Man Group, has clocked up an Man can charge performance fees.
eighth consecutive quarter of net
withdrawals, as an improved per-
Funds under management are
expected to stand at $39.5bn at the
ANALYST VIEWS: WHAT IS THE OUTLOOK FOR MAN GROUP? By Victoria Bates
formance from its flagship AHL fund end of September, $1bn higher than
failed to stem the outflow of private at the end of June, thanks to positive
client money. currency effects. DAVID MCCANN | NUMIS NIC CLARKE | CHARLES STANLEY

“ “
Man, which in May agreed to buy Man’s acquisition of GLG will com-
GLG Partners in a $1.6bn (£1.01bn) plete in mid-October, helping the
deal, recorded net outflows of $600m group to diversify away from its Flows, performance and fees were This is the eighth quarter in a row of net
in the three months to the end of reliance on AHL, which lagged far weaker than expected in the first half, but we client withdrawals, as investors continue to react
September, though the rate of with- behind its peers last year. remain positive on the stock as we believe the to the poor performance of AHL in 2009.
drawals slowed from the first quarter. combined Man/GLG could become one of the However, AHL has performed well compared to
Institutions regained confidence in ANALYSIS l Man Group 214.70 most powerful forces in both product and distri- the markets this year and the acquisition of GLG

” ”
Man over the quarter, injecting a net 250 P 28Sep bution in the alternatives space, in which should offer Man a broader range of prod-
$0.1bn of money, but that was offset we expect structural growth in the future. ucts to market when the deal is completed.
by private investors pulling $700m of 240
cash from the firm’s funds.
230
Man expects pre-tax profit for the
half year to September to come in at JONATHAN JACKSON | KILLIK & CO


220
$215m, 19.8 per cent below the sec-
ond half of the prior year, due to a dip
210 We believe the long-term proposition of alternative investment strategies is positive. The performance of Man’s AHL


in net management fees and minimal
performance fees. Though the per- fund has improved and, in time, this will lead to the generation of high margin performance fees and growth in assets under man-
200
formance of AHL, which lost 16 per 7 Jul 27 Jul 16 Aug 6 Sep 24 Sep agement.The acquisition of GLG provides the opportunity to make greater use of the group’s spare capacity in distribution.
CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010 News 15

High street sales jump


ANALYSIS l Household saving rate
16

14

12

10
umes were greater than a year earlier remained firm in the third quarter,

Source: Capital Economics


UK ECONOMY %
thanks to the bank holiday weekend, and is supportive of the view that con- 8
BY JESSICA MEAD the final discounting in the summer sumer demand is solid, notwithstand-
THE British high street enjoyed a sur- sales, and the launch of autumn fash- ing concerns about government cuts,” 6
prisingly healthy September, accord- ion ranges. said Barclays Capital’s Simon Hayes. 4
ing to the CBI’s distributive trades Household consumption growth Retailers remained as optimistic
survey with the balance of retailers gave GDP growth a major boost in the about the outlook for October but 2
reporting that sales were higher com- second quarter, with the headline some economists warned that house-
pared to a year earlier rising to the growth figure confirmed at 1.2 per holds could not finance consumption 0
highest level since May 2004. cent yesterday. “The CBI survey sug- by running down the amount they
-2
A net 49 per cent said that sales vol- gests that retail spending has save forever. 63 67 71 75 79 83 87 91 95 99 03 07

Germany’s US remains
consumers downbeat
optimistic t
n a s ” on economy
ro
m i se
,

oi pre
d
es:
e p

p S nd
ic


EUROPEAN ECONOMY US ECONOMY
W i
jor
BY JESSICA MEAD BY HARRY BANKS
GERMAN consumers are at their most
confident in three years with further
optimism expected next month
thanks to the continued economic
recovery, falling unemployment fig-
ures and only moderate inflationary
pressures, market research firm GfK
said yesterday.
“1 on
thes

F
e

T
m

10
SE St
a

y 3 0
US CONSUMER confidence fell to its
lowest level since February in
September, underscoring lingering
worries about the strength of the eco-
nomic recovery, while home prices
dipped in July.
The Conference Board’s index of
consumer attitudes fell to 48.5 in

all an
This month, the consumer confi- September from a revised 53.2 in
dence indicator jumped 6.9 points to August, hit by a weak labour market
53.5, the highest level for around W rm 40 and business conditions. This was the

Ge nce
three years. Expectations for the over- lowest level in seven months.
all economy and personal income The report also showed inflation
have increased significantly, while expectations eased with one year
a
Fr
propensity to buy is at a good level. inflation expectations downto 4.9 per
GfK said that German citizens also cent from 5 per cent the previous
believe that the domestic economy month. “With unemployment at a 26-
will remain on track for recovery year high and confidence among con-
despite an expected slowdown in sumers remaining weak, this decline
growth in the third quarter. “The in sentiment will give the Fed a
decisive factor in the strong senti- stronger reason to increase stimulus
ment among consumers is the in November,” said Kathy Lien, direc-
extremely positive development of tor of currency research at GFT in
the employment market,” it said. New York.
“If the environment continues to Meanwhile, the S&P/Case Shiller
develop in a similarly positive man- composite index of 20 metropolitan
ner over the coming months and the areas, also published yesterday,
consumer climate enjoys further declined 0.1 per cent in July from
stimulation, private consumption June on a seasonally adjusted basis.
will perform better than originally The dip followed a 0.2 per cent June
forecast by GfK, with growth of up to rise, which was revised down from a
0.5 per cent rather than stagnation as 0.3 per cent increase. Prices remain
a realistic possibility,” it added. 27.9 per cent below the peak set in
ING economist Carsten Brzeski mid-2006 but are still some seven per
said: “After almost a lost decade for cent above the trough that was hit in
German consumption, caused by flat April 2009. The data is the latest in a
real wages, high unemployment and www.cityindex.co.uk slew of poor US housing market fig-
pre-cautionary saving, a trend rever- ures and point to further falls.
sal is materialising and growth
impediments are becoming growth
0845 077 1178 ING’s Teunis Brosens said: “Home
sales collapsed in July following the
drivers.” 1 point spreads available during our market hours only. expiry of the homebuyer tax credit.
In a separate report, German head- While demand evaporated, supply
line inflation accelerated slightly in Spreads lowered on our rolling and daily future spread bet markets. barely budged. In this environment,
September, with the year-on-year rate price declines are all but inevitable.
rising to 1.3 per cent from one per Spread betting can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit. With demand low and a still substan-
cent in August. This was as a result of tial supply overhang, further price
base effects from food and oil and the slippage is highly likely in the coming
monthly rate fell 0.1 per cent. months.”

Bank lender Takefuji files for bankruptcy


bank, said it had filed with a Tokyo “We made the decision to file

BANKING
BY HARRY BANKS court for protection from creditors, because we were clearly in a situation
citing interest reimbursements, were we were going to default,”
TAKEFUJI said it filed for bankruptcy tighter lending rules and harsh com- Yoshida said at a press briefing in
yesterday owing $5.1bn (£3.2bn), mak- petition. Tokyo.
ing it the biggest Japanese consumer The lender’s president, Akira “It became clear we could not go
lender to fail since a court ruling in Kiyokawa, and executive vice presi- on,” he added.
2006 forced the industry to repay bor- dent Takeru Takei, son of the compa- Takefuji and other consumer
rowers for excessive interest charges. ny’s founder Yasuo Takei, resigned lenders have struggled to survive after
Takefuji, which had been consid- following the court filing. Japanese courts ruled in 2006 that
ered at risk of failing as it lacked the Director Junichi Yoshida, replaces they had charged too much interest
Takefuji president Akira Kiyokawa has resigned following the court ruling Picture: GETTY financial backing of a big Japanese Kiyokawa as Takefuji’s boss. and had to repay borrowers.
CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010 News 17

T-Mobile and
Germany outlines GOOGLE MOBILE TO BRING MOST REVENUE
Orange venture
new landesbank ahead of plan
consolidation plan


TELECOMS
BY STEVE DINNEEN
EVERYTHING Everywhere, the newly
formed entity following the joint ven-
ture of T-Mobile and Orange, said it
WORLD ECONOMY euros of state aid in bailouts. has completed its merger integration

BY HARRY BANKS Kampeter said Berlin had agreed ahead of plan.


with the landesbank owners -- repre- It outlined ambitious plans to con-
GERMANY drew up a framework for sented by finance ministers of the solidate its position as the biggest net-
how to consolidate its troubled pub- regional states and heads of savings work provider in the UK
lic-sector landesbanks but made little banks organisations -- on four criteria. The firm announced in its second
headway, agreeing to meet again on Consolidation should make busi- quarter results it has grown its con-
the matter in November. ness sense, satisfy European Union tract customer base by 8.6 per cent
A meeting between Berlin and regulatory requirements, achieve year on year. It said Ebitda for the sec-
regional owners of landesbanks yes- political consensus and protect tax- ond quarter was £309m, with revenue
terday was a constructive start to con- payers’ money, he said. growing one per cent.
solidation talks but all options Berlin is seen as having little influ- Chief executive Tom Alexander
remain open, said deputy finance ence on the regional, independent said: “Everything Everywhere has
minister Steffen Kampeter. landesbanks, but could help moder- made rapid progress in the six
“All participants committed them- ate between them and encourage months since incorporation, with a
selves to increasing efficiency in this swift reforms by offering financial strong leadership team in place and a
sector,” he said. incentives. clear strategy based on transforming
The landesbanks account for nearly “A few concrete proposals were dis- the market through network leader-
a fifth of banking market share in cussed,” said Kampeter, adding these ship.
Europe’s largest economy, yet are were a potential merger between GOOGLE expects mobile searches to generate most of its revenue eventually, but it could “We have identified in excess of
seen as the weak link in the sector. WestLB and BayernLB, or between take a long time despite growing at a rapid clip, said chief executive Eric Schmidt £3.5bn of synergies, allowing us to
Several were hammered in the finan- WestLB, Helaba and possibly another (above) yesterday. Searches made on Android-based smartphones and other mobile further invest in our networks and
cial crisis and required billions of candidate. devices are growing but will remain immaterial to its bottom line for some time, he said. building our customer offer.”

Chile quake claims


wreck Lloyd’s profit
INSURANCE stood at 98.7 per cent of premiums in the wake of the drop in per-

BY MARION DAKERS for the period, up from 91.6 per formance.


cent a year ago. “We are not bullish on the UK.
INSURANCE market Lloyd’s of Lloyd’s finance director Luke We are considering moving into
London blamed its 52 per cent Savage said insurance prices emerging markets, as we are still
drop in profit yesterday on a spate looked set to keep falling, and nervous that there will be a double
of disasters including the most of the syndicates operating dip recession – the US recovery is
Deepwater Horizon oil spill and in the market would probably still very fragile and it’s the same
the Chilean earthquake. respond by writing less business here,” he told City A.M.
Lloyd’s posted a pre-tax profit of next year. Central assets at the group,
£628m for the first half of 2010, “In an environment of slowly which act as a form of capital
down from £1.32bn a year earlier. declining rates, people are going to buffer for member insurers, rose
Lloyd’s insurers including be slowly reining in the amount of to a record £2.23bn in June, up
Catlin, Amlin and Hiscox premium they write,” he said. from £2bn a year earlier.
absorbed claims in excess of Lloyd’s generated much of its Savage said preparations for the
£100m each for the disasters, profit instead from investments, new Solvency II insurance capital
which added 17 per cent to the though it reported a 15 per cent rules are progressing as planned,
group’s accident ratio and meant drop in returns for the six months and that the group is on course to
the group paid out more than it to the end of June. spend between £200m and £250m
earned in premiums. Savage said the group was re- on altering its structure before the
The group’s total claims ratio examining its investment strategy regime comes into effect in 2013.

ANALYSIS l Global causes for insurance claims


1. EARTHQUAKE
Chile
27 February $1.4bn

2. DEEPWATER
HORIZON OIL SPILL
Gulf of Mexico
20 April
3.
$300m to $600m
2. 5.
3. SNOWSTORMS
USA
4. January $72m

4. ABAN PEARL
1.
GAS RIG ACCIDENT
Venezuela
13 May $50m

5. AFRIQIYAH
AIRWAYS PLANE
CRASH
Libya
12 May $47m
18 Media News CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010

ITV offloads
TIME LINE |
ITV UNDER ARCHIE NORMAN

● August 2009
ITV sells its stake in Friends Reunited,

50pc stake in
for which it paid £150m, for just
£25m.
● November 2009
The broadcaster hires former Asda chief
executive and Conservative MP Archie

Screenvision
Norman as its new chairman. The
appointment of high-profile business fig-
ure Norman brings an end to a two-
month search for a successor to Michael
Grade.
● January 2010
It is announced Crozier will leave the
MEDIA The money generated by the Royal Mail later in 2010 to become the


BY STEVE DINNEEN Screenvision sale, which is still subject next permanent chief executive of ITV.
to US anti-trust clearance, will be used ● April 2010
ITV has offloaded its 50 per cent stake to pay down the broadcaster’s net Adam Crozier takes the reins at strug-
in cinema advertiser Screenvision to debt. The firm has already paid down gling ITV, which is still reeling from the
US private equity fund Shamrock £175m of its debt pile in the last six worst advertising drought in decades.
Capital for $80m (£50m). months. ● August 2010
ITV chief executive Adam Crozier ITV reported a £97m first half profit ITV reports encouraging figures after
called the deal an “important step” for after limping to a £105m loss in the making a loss in the first half of 2009.
the firm as it works to consolidate its first half of 2009. Crozier says the beleaguered broadcast-
broadcasting empire. ANALYSIS l ITV 58.80 er – which saw its share price fall
He said the deal fits into ITV’s 28Sep
“transformation plan to focus the busi- 60 P almost 85 per cent during the advertis-
ness on its core objectives of UK multi- 58 ing drought between June 2007 and
platform broadcasting and global 56
April 2009 – can bounce back under his
content”. leadership.
54
The move is part of a wider sale of ● September 2010
52
non-core assets, including disposal of Crozier offloads Screenvision to a US
its 25 per cent stake in Friends 50 private equity vehicle for $80m as he
Reunited to DC Thompson subsidiary 48 focuses on ITV’s core broadcasting
Brightsolid for £25m and its stake in 46 operations.
ITV chief Adam Crozier said the firm is paying off its debt Picture: Micha Theiner/ CITY AM Liverpool Football Club for £15.75m. 7 Jul 27 Jul 16 Aug 6 Sep 24 Sep

DMGT sees jump in market STEPHEN


DAINTITH

DMGT
including business unit finance, corpo-
rate accounting, general accounting,
credit, internal audit and tax as well
as corporate technology and general

share as its CFO stands down


services.
Before Dow Jones, Daintith was
chief financial officer of News
International, joining the British news-
paper arm of Rupert Murdoch’s News
DAILY Mail & General Trust’s long- Corp in 2005.
standing finance director Peter Before that, he was with British
MEDIA Williams will retire after 19 years in American Tobacco where he held sev-

BY STEVE DINNEEN For the year to the end of August pickup in demand for jobs before the job. He will be replaced by Dow eral executive positions since joining in
underlying, or like-for-like, revenues we’re really on solid ground again.” Jones’s chief financial officer Stephen 1996. He was the managing director
DAILY Mail & General Trust (DMGT) at Associated Newspapers were up DMGT said it expects to report Daintith in March. of the company’s Swiss unit in 2004
received a welcome boost from its three per cent with circulation rev- exceptional gains of about £60m in Daintith, 46, has a wealth of experi- after two years as managing director
flagship Daily Mail newspaper yester- enues two per cent down year-on-year. its full-year results for the year to 3 ence in the field. He has been with in Bangladesh. He also served as a
day, which reported robust trading Total underlying ad revenues were up October. On average, analysts expect news agency Dow Jones for two finance director in Pakistan from
amid a gain in market share. six per cent for the period. DMGT to report pre-tax profits of years, serving in the firm’s New York 2000, and prior to this in South Africa
DMGT said that advertising rev- The company’s regional arm £240m for 2010. office from April 2008. as a finance director and strategic
enues at its national newspaper divi- Northcliffe Media, which owns more The firm also announced its stal- In January he was also appointed planning and business development
sion have risen by 13 per cent than 100 papers, reported that total wart finance director Peter Williams chief operating officer of the firm, manager.
year-on-year in the past three months. revenues fell six per cent for the 11 will step down in March. Williams whilst remaining as chief financial offi- He led internal audits at Forte after
Print revenues at Associated months to the end of August. has been with DMGT since 1982 and cer. graduating from Leeds University as
Newspapers, home to the Daily Mail Chief executive Martin Morgan was has held the position since 1991. He At the firm he was responsible for an accountant and working for
and Mail on Sunday, are up 10 per cautious despite the positive update. will be replaced by Dow Jones chief the company's finance functions, PriceWaterhouse.
cent thanks to the rise in display ads. He said: “We’ve really got to see a financial officer Stephen Daintith.

Roast New Season Grouse


with a glass of
Justerini & Brooks Red Burgundy
Game dish of
the year
Restaurant
Magazine 2008
£27.50
Boisdale of Bishopsgate The Lamb at Hindon
Reservations on 020 7283 1763 Reservations on 01747 820 573
Boisdale of Belgravia Subject to availability from
Reservations on 020 7730 6922 17th August until 30th September
CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010 Focus on RIM’s Playbook 19

BATTLE OF THE TITANS: PLAYBOOK VERSUS IPAD


PLAYBOOK IPAD

Screen 7-inch multi touch 9.7-inch multi touch


Resolution 1024 x 600 1024 x 768
Thickness 9.7mm 12mm
Weight 0.9lbs 1.5lbs
Camera Front and rear facing No
Operating system BlackBerry Tablet OS iOS 4   
Processor dual-core 1GHz A4 single-core 1GHz
RAM 1GB 256MB
Supports Flash Yes No
The new Supports HTML5 Yes Yes
Playbook was
unveiled on Wi-fi Yes Yes
Monday.
Picture: GETTY 3G or 4G connectivity No Yes

RIM goes toe-to-toe


with Apple’s iPad
The Playbook looks At first glance, it looks like it
can. Its processor and RAM are
enthusiastic, saying: “We believe
the Playbook is well suited for
great but can it both superior, despite its smaller
size. This would seem to be good
enterprise, but could be far less suc-
cessful with consumers.” The mar-
compete with the iPad?, news for users dealing with a lot of
video or multi-tasking between
ket seems to have reacted with a
similar degree of scepticism, with
asks Steve Dinneen. apps. It has been positioned closer
to BlackBerry’s core enterprise
RIM’s stock falling yesterday.
The Canadian firm lacks the cult
market, rather than the consumer- following of Apple and cannot hope

B
LACKBERRY maker Research facing iPad, which could reel in the to emulate its rival’s overnight suc-
In Motion (RIM) finally massive following the smartphone cess, especially given its Playbook is
launched its much anticipat- commands. competing in a market with two
ed tablet PC this week. Goldman Sachs issued a cau- other lauded devices – the iPad and
In his keynote speech, chief exec- tiously optimistic note yesterday in Samgung’s Galaxy Tab. However, if
utive Mike Lazaridis shied away which it said: “RIM’s Playbook it can win over business users it
from direct comparisons with tablet surprised us by being posi- could be a sleeper success.
Apple. That, however, hasn’t tioned for enterprise and by having Pricing is likely to be the key and
stopped the technology world from a robust set of specs. This could Lazaridis has hinted the device will
staring straight at the elephant in allow RIM to offer a differentiated undercut the iPad, with figures yet
the room: can the Playbook com- product to the iPad.” to be unveiled. This fight is far from
pete with the iPad? But Morgan Stanley was less decided.

CITY VIEWS: WHICH DEVICE DO YOU THINK WILL WIN THE


TABLET WARS? Interviews by Matthew West

ALEX GADEMANN | SARAH RICKWOOD | GRANT ROBERTSON|


FOREX.COM AVIVA LIBERTY LIVING

I already own an iPad. It was I have a Blackberry and iPhone You get the Apple fanboys who
the first time I bought an apple but I feel the iPhone is easier to will buy anything that has the
and I bought it use so I would Apple logo
because of the probably look stuck on it, but
novelty. If you for an iPad over if people can
put me in the the Blackberry. produce the
same place If it was cheap- right device at
with the two er I would look the right price
products I at the pros and and make it a
would definitely cons and bit more open
look at what maybe go with source that
Blackberry has the Blackberry. could change
to offer. things.
20 News CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010

BHP pulls out of Falklands JV Air traffic growth slows


“Falkland Oil and Gas believes, secure a deepwater rig to resume
down as economies stall

OIL AND GAS


based on the drilling results from the drilling in the northern licences as
BY VICTORIA BATES Toroa well analysed to date, that soon as possible,” Falkland Oil and
SHARES in Falkland Oil and Gas lost these licences are still prospective,” Gas chief executive Tim Bushell said. demand that we saw earlier this year


AVIATION
over a fifth of their value in a single the company said in a statement. The setback for the company came are behind us. The slowdown of
day yesterday after the oil and gas In a further blow to the Aim-listed after rival Rockhopper Exploration GROWTH in air traffic slowed notice- demand (growth) in August is consis-
explorer said BHP Billiton had pulled firm, it admitted that the next phase discovered substantial reserves of oil ably in August as this year’s rebound tent with our forecast for a tougher
out of a joint venture drilling project of drilling at its northern licence area at its own North Falklands basin proj- from the economic downturn lost end to 2010 as government stimulus
in the Falkland Islands. is increasingly unlikely to commence ect, sending the shares leaping to an steam, the International Air monies run out without having gen-
Falkland Oil and Gas said BHP had before the end of the year, though the all-time high. Transport Association(IATA) said yes- erated significant improvements in
elected not to enter the second phase Falkland Islands government has However, the extent of available terday. employment,” said IATA director gen-
of drilling on its southern licence agreed to extend the first phase of the resources in the region is still far Passenger traffic in August was 6.4 eral and CEO Giovanni Bisignani.
area, adding that the company will licences by a year. from clear and drilling has led to per cent higher than a year earlier, Slower demand growth in the sec-
take back the oil giant’s current 51 “We welcome the Falkland Islands protests in Argentina, which claims against a 9.5 per cent year-on-year ond half of 2010 was expected to con-
per cent interest in the project. government’s understanding in sovereignty over the islands it calls increase in July, and freight traffic tinue into next year, IATA said.
It will now continue work on the agreeing to extend the licence terms. the Malvinas. was 19.6 per cent higher in August, In August, global passenger traffic
second phase of the project alone, We intend to continue actively Argentina fought a war with down from a 23.0 per cent increase in was two per cent above pre-recession
aiming to drill a single exploration exploring the southern licences and Britain after briefly taking possession July, IATA said in its monthly report. levels of early 2008. International
well by 2015. with our joint venture partner, to of the islands in 1982. “The rapid improvements in cargo traffic was up three per cent.

Michelin aims BEST OF THE BROKERS

260
ANALYSIS l Carphone Warehouse
p
260.00
ANALYSIS l Songbird
156
p
151.00
28 Sep
ANALYSIS l Wolseley
1550
p
1,493.00
28 Sep

to raise £1bn
28 Sep
240 152 1450

220 148
1350

200

in growth bid
144
1250
180 140
28 Jun 16 Jul 5 Aug 25 Aug 15 Sep 28 Jun 16 Jul 5 Aug 25 Aug 15 Sep 28 Jun 16 Jul 5 Aug 25 Aug 15 Sep

CARPHONE WAREHOUSE SONGBIRD WOLSELEY


RBS initiates coverage with a “sell” rating Evolution Securities rates the property Seymour Pierce has downgraded the sup-
and a target price of 180p. The broker group a “buy” with a target price of 160p. port services group to “underperform”

INDUSTRIAL
of one new factory per year in extra believes the company’s mature core retail The broker believes near-term capital with a £13.50 target price. The broker
BY HARRY BANKS capacity in the coming years, he said. operation depends too much on competing growth will be limited, but a strong devel- believes a further restructuring is unlikely
FRENCH tyremaker Michelin has Michelin is already due to open in the crowded smartphone market. RBS opment pipeline offers medium-term asset in the short-term. Instead, it says, 2011 will
unveiled a deeply discounted €1.2 bn three new factories in 2012.
(£1.02bn) rights issue to fund growth The company said it would achieve predicts profits of more than ten per cent value growth. Evo says it expects the firm be shaped by the depressed state of the
in booming emerging markets and “significantly positive” free cash flow below consensus estimates, with earnings to minimise development risk by securing economy and consumer confidence,
set new long-term sales and profit in 2010-2015 and would keep its divi- per share in 2012 forecast at 13.5p. pre-lets before commencing construction. prompting a downgrade.
goals. dend payout ratio at around 30 per
Michelin said yesterday it was now cent over that period.
targeting operating profit before non- Michelin set a subscription price of To appear in Best of the Brokers email your research to notes@cityam.com
recurring items clearly above €2bn by €45 per share for the capital increase

Aegon makes more cuts to UK business


2015, a 25 per cent increase in sales and said investors were entitled to
volumes by 2015, and a 50 per cent buy two new shares for every 11 they
rise in volumes by 2020. held.
Managing partner Michel Rollier Citigroup has been taken on by
confirmed 2010 targets set in July for Michelin to advise on the issue.
positive free cash flow, an operating
margin close to nine per cent, and an ANALYSIS l Michelin The divisions currently employ 89 Aegon earlier this month

INSURANCE
increase of more than 10 per cent in 66
€ 58.60 people in London and Cheshire, but announced a reorganisation of its
sales volumes. 28 Sep DUTCH insurer Aegon will close two the firm said it would not decide on British sales division, which will cost
Fellow managing partner Jean- 64 more operations in the UK and cut job cuts until it had consulted with 106 jobs. The firm said in yesterday’s
Dominique Senard said sales would 62
jobs to improve profitability in its trade unions. statement that more senior roles
probably grow 10-12 per cent this fourth-largest market. A spokesperson for the company face the chop in its surviving UK
year. 60 Aegon, which warned in June it could not say how much the closures business, which includes life insur-
Senard said the company saw 45 58
planned to cut 25 per cent of its would save the company, but said ance and protection operations and
per cent of sales coming from emerg- British costs in the coming year, said that before today’s announcement Guardian Financial Services.
ing markets by 2020, compared with 56 it will close its third-party pension the firm had made £22m savings out Aegon is one of the top life insur-
an estimated 33 per cent this year. administration and employee bene- of a £80m target before the end of ers in the United States, where it
The group would need the equivalent 7 Jul 27 Jul 16 Aug 3 Sep 23 Sep fits software businesses. 2011. owns Transamerica.

CITY MOVES | WHO’S SWITCHING JOBS Edited by Victoria Bates in association with

A chartered accountant and former Prior to joining Nationwide,


Insurance Institute of London investment banker, Sebba has been at Eversheds Humphries held the same position for
The IIL has elected Stephen Catlin, the chief Net-a-Porter since 2003, prior to which The law firm has expanded its shipping the retail operations of HBOS and, up
executive of the Catlin Group, as its new presi- he was finance director at Video practice with the appointment of senior until April 2007, ran her own HR con-
dent, taking over from Willis group president Networks and Golden Rose associate Terry O’Regan to establish a sulting firm advising clients such as
Grahame Millwater. Catlin, who founded the Communications. new international trade team. Amex, Dell, ING, Vodafone and Thames
insurer in 1984, has also previously served as O’Regan joins from Kuwait Water.
chairman of the Lloyd’s Market Association and Syndicate Asset Management Petroleum Corporation, where he was
a member of the Lloyd’s Franchise Board. The fund management group has the senior legal adviser providing Premier Asset Management
In addition, the IIL appointed Marsh UK appointed David de Winton to its sub- advice on the English law aspects of the The asset manager has appointed Chris
chief executive Martin South as its new deputy sidiary Savoy Investment Management. sale and delivery of Kuwait’s crude oil Norsworthy as a regional investment
president. De Winton joins Savoy as an invest- and petroleum products. sales manager for south east England.
ment manager from Charles Stanley, Norsworthy was most recently
where he co-managed a mature discre- Aldermore regional sales director at Close Finsbury
LMS Capital Porter, has joined the board of private tionary client base in excess of £100m. The banking start-up has hired Ali Asset Management and, prior to that,
Mark Sebba, the chief executive of lux- equity group LMS Capital as a non- Prior to that, he worked at stockbroker Humphries from Nationwide Building head of UK sales at Sarasin Investment
ury online womenwear retailer Net-a- executive director. Killik & Co between 1998 and 2006. Society as its new head of HR. Management.

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CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010 News 21

Centrica takes
Close upbeat on Connaught’s
as loan book gas safety arm

boosts profit
PROPERTY


THE OWNER of British Gas has
bought a chunk of Connaught’s sur-
viving business and taken on 600
employees, the energy giant
announced yesterday.
Centrica paid £11.2m yesterday for

BANKING The group’s core tier one capital the gas and electrical safety branch of
BY HARRY BANKS adequacy ratio dipped 0.9 percentage Connaught Compliance, one of the
points from a year ago to 13.9 per cent few parts of the firm to escape admin-
MERCHANT bank Close Brothers but it said a modest improvement in istration. It has also bought
posted a seven per cent rise in under- economic conditions saw a reduction Connaught’s training academy in
lying profits yesterday on the back of in loan impairment losses as a per- south Wales.
a 23 per cent rise in its loan book and centage of the average loan book to British Gas said the move gives it a
said it expects further growth in lend- 2.4 per cent from 2.6 per cent at the platform to develop its business ener-
ing this year. end of July 2009. gy services. “It is great news for the
The group said its underlying oper- The securities division saw a nine people at Connaught, its customers
ating profit rose by £7.6m to £121.3m per cent drop in its operating profit and for British Gas Business’s existing
in the year to 31 July, before impair- to £59.3m, with the reduction attrib- customers,” said Kanat Emiroglu,
ments totalling £21.5m related to a uted to a sharp fall in profits at deriv- managing director of British Gas
revaluation of two investment assets atives trader Mako. The final dividend Business.
and a writedown on its asset manage- was maintained at 25.5p a share. The company did not look at the
ment business, which is being other branches of Connaught
restructured.
ANALYSIS l Close Brothers Compliance, which will continue to
730P
But the banking division business 720.50 operate as a standalone firm with
contributed an adjusted operating 28Sep 1,300 employees after agreeing fur-
profit of £79.5m, up 47 per cent as it 710
ther funding with lenders.
expanded its reach in retail and com- Morgan Sindall is still in talks with
mercial lending. local authorities to take over 93 of
“Although all lending has been 690 Connaught’s social housing con-
down, there have been opportunities tracts, after agreeing to take on the
for specialist lenders like ourselves to work ealier this month. Several coun-
step up,” chief executive Preben 670 cils have expressed concern that the
Prebensen said, adding he expected deal could breach EU procurement
growth in the loan book to continue. 7 Jul 27 Jul 16 Aug 6 Sep 24 Sep Things are looking up for Close chief executive Preben Prebensen law.
22 News WORDS BY ROGER BAIRD CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010

The defence industry boss who is


reshaping his firm for new realities
Cobham’s boss will
sell poor units, buy
better ones and
improve plants over
the next five years

F
OR Cobham’s chief executive Andy
Stevens, life is measured out in five-
year plans. The head of the FTSE 100
defence company first joined the
business in 2003 as head of its aerospace
division and played a key role in the 2005
strategic review that “took a root a branch
look at our operations and decided to sim-
plify the business.”
When the amiable Tipton-born engineer
took over from former chief executive
Allan Cook in January, he decided it was
time to take another hard look at the busi-
ness. He brought back consultants
McKinsey, who had worked on the last five- ANALYSIS l Cobham
year plan. Stevens also called back Peter 280 P 230.50p
Raby, who had been running a Cobham 28Sep
regional unit, and who joined the Dorset-
based firm from McKinsey after the last 260
review, to head office.
Raby was given the – somewhat grand – 240
title of director of excellence in delivery to
push through the current programme.
220
The result – perhaps unsurprisingly – is
the firm’s “Excellence in Delivery” review,
announced in August alongside the firm’s 200
Nov 09 Jan 10 Mar May Jul Sep
half-year results.
The plan breaks down into two broad
areas.
The company, valued at a cool £2.7bn, three of its four divisions. Cobham’s standards. As 62 per cent of the firm’s sales He says: “The cuts in the UK will be seri-
plans to sell up to 15 per cent of its hard- Units may be sold in its defence systems chief executive comes from the US, Steven adds that “the ous, but we have three ongoing contracts
ware businesses, and it will streamline its department, which makes up half of the Andy Stevens in the majority” of his supersites will be based in with the government – the Eurofighter
80 plants around the world, focusing on firm’s sales. Or disposals may come at its boardroom of the America. and electronic warfare and helicopter pilot
eight to 12. avionics and surveillance division, or its firm’s London office, Plants will close, says Stevens, but he has training – and we feel these will survive
In the meantime, the business that pio- mission systems business. All these units just off Park Lane no real idea how many at this stage. He the cuts.”
neered air-to-air refuelling, and was found- make high tech communications and sur- adds that by the end of the three-year fac- But Stevens does not think Cobham’s
ed by British entrepreneur Sir Alan veillance equipment that integrate into tory programme in 2013, he expects to run of medium-sized and bolt-on acquisi-
Cobham in 1934, will continue to acquire military projects like the Eurofighter or Picture: save between £60m and £80m annually. tions – 50 in the last nine years – is over
units funded by its £1bn war chest. commercial ventures like the Airbus A380. Micha Theiner Stevens was right to take another look at even in this age of austerity.
“We are pushing on with what we start- Its fourth division, aviation services, is /City A.M. Cobham’s operations because the finan- Its most recent sizable deal was the
ed in 2005,” says a talkative Stevens, speak- mainly a training unit. cial crisis was beginning to penetrate acquisition of the radio business of US
ing in a soft Birmingham accent in the Stevens says: “The type of units that will defence spending, even though its main firm M/A-COM from Tyco Electronics for
London office of the firm, just off Park be sold are ones that have become com- customer, the US government, is engaged $425m in cash in May 2008.
Lane. modity businesses, where the margins are in two wars – Iraq and Afghanistan. And Stevens expects to make deals over
“We always knew that once the business lower.” Cobham in recent years had reported the coming year.
got to sales of around £2bn and grew Across Cobham the business operates on double-digit profit rises on the back of He says: “We constantly track a range of
north of 70 plants it would be time to look a healthy 16 to 18 per cent margin, the America’s war effort. But in August it post- companies. Many of the smaller ones are
at how we would shape it for the next five kind of profitability that many other firms ed a modest two per cent rise in pre-tax family owned and margins and profits are
years.” in other industries can only dream of. profit, excluding one-time items, of not the only thing that motivates them to
Cobham is looking to sell around 15 per But Stevens adds: “But these are not dis- £145m, on sales up only one per cent at sell. Part of my job is to remain close to the
cent of its hardware businesses across tressed businesses. This is not a fire sale. £963m. heads of these companies and always keep
We plan to sell a number of units over the Stevens blames the slowdown in US mil- talking to them. So when they want to sell,
next two years assuming the conditions itary expenditure – it spends $700bn they sell to us.”
CV | ANDY STEVENS are right. If not we will keep hold of them (£443bn) on its annual defence budget (big- Stevens is buoyed by the fact that since
until the market picks up.” ger than the next 19 nations put together) 9/11 warfare has moved in favour of the
However, Stevens adds that the firm sent – for Cobham’s sluggish financial per- light high-tech boxes that Cobham makes.
Age: 54 out books of information on a number of formance. He says: “The market has been He says: “Over the last ten years and
units last month and already a few have slowing for the last 18 months, and I think going forward, there will be less tanks
Work: Left school at 16 to become an “moved pretty far down the line.” He it will take another 18 for it to gain real made, less manned aircraft and less ships.
engineer. Qualified as a chartered engi- expects to have made one or two sales by traction again.” “What governments want more of is
neer at Dowty Group and subsequently Christmas.
The company, which employs 12,000
“US The Cobham chief adds: “What has been
happening is that procurement officers
sensors that bring voice, video and other
data immediately from the battlefield to
became chief operating officer of Messier
Dowty International. staff over 80 sites across the world, also
plans to streamline its operations over the
government are delaying spending after US defence sec-
retary Robert Gates has talked about want-
decision makers. We have invested heavily
in this area, because we can’t see that this
Joined Rolls-Royce as managing director,
Defence Aerospace. Joined Cobham in next three years.
Stevens says: “We do a lot of good work
procurement ing value for money. Procurement officers
are now getting auditors to go over deals
need will go away.”
Over the last five years Stevens says the
2003 as managing director of Aerospace
Systems. Became chief executive in at our plants, but sometimes we are guilty
of reinventing the wheel. Sometimes
officers are that they would normally have signed off.
And departments are now salami slicing
firm has grown and boosted its brand
recognition.
January 2010. plants work in a silo. We want to standard-
ise production much more, which we
delaying orders. Where normally they would have
ordered 100 units of something, they will
But over the next five he wants to see
the firm unify its manufacturing process-
Family: Married, two daughters think will also bring customers better qual-
ity products in a faster time period.”
spending take 20 and wait and see how long they
can get away with this.”
ing, keep up its collaboration with larger
players such as the UK’s BAE Systems and
Lives: Cheltenham The Cobham boss wants to concentrate
up to 80 per cent of production across just
and salami The UK’s £38bn defence budget is also
headed for cuts of up to 33 per cent in real
Europe’s EADS, and continue to look for
high margin acquisition targets.
Hobbies: Drives a Maserati Quattroporte.
Also enjoys walking, landscape gardening
eight to 12 plants. He plans to name his
favoured factories at the end of November,
slicing terms over the next few year, to be
finalised in the government’s October
Cost-cutting is tough, but predicting
global geopolitics is even harder. Cobham’s
and travel . and will then pour up to £150m of new
investment into them to raise production
orders.” comprehensive spending review, but
Stevens is less concerned about this.
investors will be hoping that Stevens pulls
all of this off.
Markets&Investment 23

LONDON’S TOP 250 Trade these shares from £1.50 with Interactive Investor - www.iii.co.uk
Company Name Closing Price Price Change 52wk High 52wk low Company Name Closing Price Price Change 52wk High 52wk low Company Name Closing Price Price Change 52wk High 52wk low Company Name Closing Price Price Change 52wk High 52wk low
(p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p)
3i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .287.00 +0.50 310.00 246.90 Compass . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .541.00 +2.50 574.50 353.30 Jupiter Fnd Mgmt . . . . . . . . . . . .260.50 +8.60 263.00 180.00 Sage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .280.00 +13.70 281.00 208.20
3i Infrastructure . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113.90 +0.10 115.00 97.00 Cookson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .512.50 +1.50 616.00 347.60 Kazakhmys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1460.00* +18.00 1634.00 955.00 Sainsbury(J) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .393.00 +2.70 395.60 307.60
A.B. Foods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1061.00 — 1096.00 790.00 Croda Intl . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1488.00* +30.00 1529.00 637.00 Kesa Electricals . . . . . . . . . . . . .147.00* +2.80 162.00 98.45 Schroders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1446.00 +10.00 1454.00 1055.00
Aberdeen Asset Man . . . . . . . . . .161.60 +0.60 163.20 111.00 Daily Mail ‘A’ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .517.50 –7.50 539.00 381.00 Kingfisher . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .233.80 +1.30 255.00 196.50 Schroders N/V. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1174.00 +9.00 1187.00 864.00
Admiral. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1625.00 +2.00 1686.00 1003.00 Dana Petroleum . . . . . . . . . . . .1800.00 –1.00 1817.00 968.50 Ladbrokes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .137.00* –1.40 166.62 114.60 Scot. & Sthrn Energy. . . . . . . . .1131.00 +6.00 1206.00 357.50
Aegis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .122.30 –1.10 137.30 103.10 Davis Service . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .400.00* –4.90 442.30 356.00 Lamprell . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .341.00* –1.00 349.90 157.30
Afren . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .109.00 –1.30 111.10 73.00 Debenhams . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .66.90 +0.60 90.00 51.95 Lancashire Hldgs . . . . . . . . . . . .560.50* –3.00 567.50 416.70 Scottish Mortgage. . . . . . . . . . . .630.50 — 637.50 475.00
African Barr Gold . . . . . . . . . . . .589.00* +10.50 685.00 520.50 Derwent London . . . . . . . . . . . .1522.00 — 1562.00 1174.00 Land Securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . .639.50* –2.00 743.50 543.00 SEGRO . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .268.60* +1.10 389.90 244.00
Aggreko . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1550.00* +14.00 1639.00 664.50 Dexion Absolute . . . . . . . . . . . . .140.10 –0.70 148.00 128.60 Legal & General . . . . . . . . . . . . .103.90* — 105.00 69.05 Serco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .619.00* –2.00 656.50 485.60
Alliance Trust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .334.00 +0.20 352.70 292.80 Diageo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1095.00* –5.00 1176.00 930.50 Lloyds Banking Gp . . . . . . . . . . . .75.25 –0.59 79.15 45.30 Severn Trent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1328.00 –2.00 1404.00 939.50
AMEC . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .986.00 +0.50 1002.00 724.50 Dimension Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119.60 +0.10 125.50 60.80 Logica . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .125.70* –0.50 149.10 100.80 Shaftesbury . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .444.90 –0.60 456.00 348.00
Amlin . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .401.30* +6.30 437.60 350.80 Dixons Retail . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25.13 +0.26 39.75 23.07 London Stk Exchange . . . . . . . . .699.00 –7.50 949.50 540.50 Shire. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1477.00* +19.00 1532.00 999.00
Anglo American . . . . . . . . . . . .2551.00 +20.00 3015.50 1846.50 Domino’s Pizza . . . . . . . . . . . . . .471.90 +1.40 482.00 273.10 Lonmin . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1678.00 –14.00 2198.00 1344.00 Smith & Nephew . . . . . . . . . . . . .564.50 –5.00 700.50 525.50
Antofagasta . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1220.00* +25.00 1222.00 699.50 Drax . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .401.50 +1.10 479.30 321.50 Man . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .214.10 –5.20 373.60 199.60 Smith(Ds) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .153.90 +0.60 156.00 102.90
Aquarius Platinum . . . . . . . . . . .339.20* –1.10 490.00 211.50 Dunelm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .387.50 –0.40 438.40 303.00 Marks & Spencer. . . . . . . . . . . . .384.30 +5.50 412.70 321.90 Smiths . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1214.00 +7.00 1253.00 814.00
ARM Holdings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .404.30* –5.20 419.50 134.40 Easyjet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .365.30 –9.80 499.90 339.80 Meggitt . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .299.20* –1.00 331.00 220.10 SOCO Intl . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .433.60 –1.70 510.00 380.60
Ashmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .334.00 –1.10 338.00 215.00 Edinburgh Inv Tst . . . . . . . . . . . .423.20 –0.80 436.00 338.00 Melrose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .274.60* +5.20 278.60 160.00 Spectris . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1060.00 +17.00 1074.00 653.00
Astrazeneca . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3300.00 +20.00 3389.50 2668.00 Electrocomponents . . . . . . . . . . .238.90 +7.20 246.30 142.90 Mercantile IT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .967.00 +2.00 1002.00 822.50
Atkins(Ws) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .750.50 +5.50 801.00 532.50 EnQuest . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116.70 –0.10 125.90 87.35 Michael Page Intl. . . . . . . . . . . . .455.80* +1.10 470.70 314.40 Spirax-Sarco Eng . . . . . . . . . . .1803.00 +13.00 1817.00 1005.00
Autonomy Corp . . . . . . . . . . . .1806.00 +6.00 2012.00 1278.00 Essar Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .452.70 +14.20 475.90 358.50 Micro Focus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .367.80* –17.40 550.00 272.20 Spirent Comms . . . . . . . . . . . . . .139.00 — 145.10 84.35
Aveva . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1467.00 +12.00 1487.00 856.50 Eurasian Nat Res . . . . . . . . . . . .900.50* –6.50 1276.00 781.00 Millen & Copthorne . . . . . . . . . . .520.50* –7.00 547.00 321.40 Sports Direct Intl . . . . . . . . . . . . .137.80 +6.10 139.40 89.85
Aviva . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .396.20* –2.50 474.00 290.20 Euromoney Inst Inv . . . . . . . . . . .613.50 — 630.00 338.00 Misys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .290.00 +0.60 295.80 192.60 SSL Intl . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1158.00 +1.00 1190.00 616.00
Babcock International . . . . . . . . .551.50 –2.50 660.50 489.00 Experian . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .685.00 +3.50 686.50 516.50 Mitchells & Butlers . . . . . . . . . . .295.20 –1.10 343.90 228.30 St James’s Place . . . . . . . . . . . . .289.60 +1.30 296.90 203.40
BAE Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .338.30 –8.10 389.90 288.10 Ferrexpo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .294.30 +1.10 396.20 138.00 MITIE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .199.10 +0.10 257.00 187.80 Stagecoach. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .185.10 +0.50 204.90 137.00
Balfour Beatty . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .262.60 –6.80 304.80 228.60 FirstGroup . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .349.60 +1.00 442.80 331.20 Mondi . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .512.50 +8.00 519.00 300.70 Standard Chartered . . . . . . . . . .1896.50* –14.00 1946.00 1366.50
Barclays . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .309.05 –1.70 394.25 253.40 Foreign & Col Inv Tst. . . . . . . . . .284.20 –0.90 297.20 248.70 Monks Inv Tst . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .313.00 –4.00 324.80 265.00 Standard Life . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .230.60* –0.50 237.00 170.00
Barratt Development . . . . . . . . . .101.40 –2.60 178.75 89.10 Fresnillo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1233.00 +8.00 1240.00 647.00 Morrison Wm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .304.20 +2.50 307.10 255.00 SuperGrp . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1200.00 –23.00 1312.00 499.00
BBA Aviation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .191.10* +0.60 220.00 145.90 G4S . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .252.40* –0.50 285.70 217.70 Murray Intl Tst . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .879.00 — 907.50 720.00 TalkTalk . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .147.60 –1.90 150.50 106.60
Bellway. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .586.00 –7.50 848.50 510.00 Genesis Emerging Mkts Fd . . . . .503.00 –3.00 511.50 370.00 National Express. . . . . . . . . . . . .238.80 +0.30 258.60 155.86 Talvivaara Mining . . . . . . . . . . . .489.20 +17.20 501.50 341.40
Berkeley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .841.50 +23.00 949.50 735.00 GKN . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .164.20* –0.80 172.60 100.40 National Grid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .547.00 +4.00 607.65 474.80 Tate & Lyle . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .473.60 +5.30 509.00 388.00
BG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1152.00 –14.00 1248.00 966.90 GlaxoSmithKline . . . . . . . . . . . .1265.00* –7.50 1347.00 1088.00 Next . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2230.00 +30.00 2360.00 1726.00
BHP Billiton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2030.00* +20.00 2346.00 1583.50 Great Portland Estates . . . . . . . .343.30 +3.90 346.60 236.60 Northumbrian Water . . . . . . . . . .338.30 +2.90 353.00 225.20 Taylor Wimpey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .28.87 –0.02 46.34 24.29
BlackRock Mining . . . . . . . . . . . .624.50 –2.50 654.50 474.00 Greene King . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .413.80 –8.10 484.00 372.50 Ocado Grp . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .134.70 –2.10 169.00 132.00 Telecity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .527.00 –5.50 546.00 311.30
BlueBay . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .346.00 –1.10 393.00 251.00 Halfords . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .446.20 +6.20 562.50 339.40 Old Mutual . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .139.30 +1.00 140.50 94.75 Templeton Emrg Mkts . . . . . . . . .607.50 –2.50 614.00 449.00
Bluecrest Allblue GBP . . . . . . . . .169.00 — 169.00 144.40 Halma . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .309.60 +4.10 320.50 210.30 Partygaming . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .279.30 –0.80 339.70 205.80 Tesco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .432.30 –1.70 454.90 368.40
Booker . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .47.92 –0.47 49.99 37.50 Hammerson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .395.00* –8.60 460.30 332.20 Pearson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .990.00 +5.00 1069.00 751.50 Thomas Cook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .171.70* –11.60 277.20 167.50
BP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .405.15 +1.25 658.20 296.00 Hargreaves Lansdown . . . . . . . .441.10* +6.10 478.00 259.40 Pennon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .586.50* +5.50 616.50 440.40 Travis Perkins . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .847.00 +7.00 915.00 647.50
Brit Insurance . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1027.00 –1.00 1045.00 709.00 Hays . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112.70 +1.20 119.00 82.50 Persimmon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .404.40 –0.10 520.00 335.90 TUI Travel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .218.40* –2.80 313.90 189.20
British Airways . . . . . . . . . . . . . .245.20 +1.60 255.80 172.40 Henderson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .126.20 +2.70 157.80 112.10 Petrofac . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1388.00* –3.00 1446.00 900.00 Tullett Prebon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .406.90 +0.70 436.20 261.20
British Amer. Tob . . . . . . . . . . .2381.50* –13.50 2439.00 1832.00 Heritage Oil. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .301.50 –2.30 585.00 296.90 Petropavlovsk . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1191.00 –35.00 1370.00 834.00 Tullow Oil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1283.00 –12.00 1375.00 979.50
British Empire Tst . . . . . . . . . . . .459.10 –2.50 467.90 338.50 Hikma Pharma . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 711.50* –7.50 813.00 445.00 Phoenix Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . .683.00* +3.00 775.00 550.50 UK Commercial Prop. . . . . . . . . . .78.60 –0.55 84.90 69.30
British Land . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .471.80 –0.40 515.00 416.00 Hiscox . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .359.30* –5.60 371.60 299.60 Premier Farnell . . . . . . . . . . . . . .259.20* +1.10 272.60 140.60 Ultra Electronics . . . . . . . . . . . .1739.00 +17.00 1774.00 1198.00
Britvic. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .483.40 +7.80 518.00 340.00 Hochschild Mining . . . . . . . . . . .445.00 — 449.90 220.00 Premier Oil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1658.00 — 1703.00 984.00 Unilever . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1835.00 +19.00 2024.00 1662.00
Brown(N.) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .238.20 +1.10 284.30 204.80 Home Retail . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .207.40 –0.80 326.30 204.10 Provident Financial . . . . . . . . . . .829.50 +9.50 986.00 795.00
BSkyB . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .708.00 –2.00 732.00 521.00 Homeserve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .480.10 +1.70 502.00 435.40 Prudential . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .637.50 +22.00 665.00 475.70 United Utilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . .571.50 –0.50 620.00 429.00
BT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .140.50 –0.20 151.00 108.40 HSBC Hldgs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .659.50* –1.40 766.80 595.20 PZ Cussons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .369.30* +5.30 382.70 231.70 Utd Business Media . . . . . . . . . .621.50* –3.00 656.50 408.30
Bunzl . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .763.50 +3.00 784.50 613.50 Hunting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .621.50 –1.00 659.50 429.10 Qinetiq . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .109.40 –2.80 179.10 103.50 Vedanta Resources . . . . . . . . . .2261.00 –31.00 2967.00 1795.00
Burberry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1002.00 +4.00 1007.00 483.90 ICAP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .434.60 +1.90 478.30 291.70 Randgold Resources. . . . . . . . .6510.00 +140.00 6620.00 3930.00 Victrex . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1286.00 +20.00 1320.00 726.50
Cable & Wire Comms . . . . . . . . . .59.10 –0.05 150.00 53.00 IG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .508.00* +4.50 532.00 291.00 Reckitt Benckiser . . . . . . . . . . .3504.00* –11.00 3667.00 2945.00 Vodafone . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .158.40 –0.65 164.95 126.50
Cable & Wire Wwide . . . . . . . . . . .74.80 +0.25 94.80 60.05 Imagination Tech Gp . . . . . . . . . .386.10 –2.20 399.00 154.00 Reed Elsevier . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .539.50 +4.00 566.00 454.60 Weir . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1403.00 –2.00 1459.00 635.00
Cairn Energy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .460.10 –4.20 497.60 306.80 IMI . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .762.50* –2.50 786.00 410.00 Regus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .77.65* +0.15 125.50 64.05 Wellstream Hldgs . . . . . . . . . . . .760.00* –15.00 810.00 429.70
Caledonia Invs . . . . . . . . . . . . .1628.00 +3.00 1759.00 1496.00 Imperial Tobacco. . . . . . . . . . . .1905.00 –18.00 2159.00 1728.00 Renishaw . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1028.00* –11.00 1048.00 479.00 WH Smith . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .450.00 +0.10 551.00 392.20
Capita . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .771.00* +5.00 829.50 693.00 Inchcape. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .307.20 –0.40 347.00 235.00 Rentokil Initial . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .103.80 +1.30 140.20 91.15 Whitbread . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1625.00 –3.00 1650.00 1141.00
Capital & Counties . . . . . . . . . . .133.40 +0.90 137.50 99.60 Informa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .424.30 +3.40 439.40 263.30 Resolution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .244.20* +8.30 264.80 220.10 William Hill . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .170.00 –2.40 217.80 160.50
Capital Shopping Centres . . . . . .373.00 +3.00 533.50 300.10 Inmarsat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .680.50 –8.00 831.00 526.00 Rexam . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .310.00* +0.50 348.80 253.40 Witan Inv Tst . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .464.00 +0.70 487.00 396.30
Carillion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .319.10* +1.50 361.90 263.90 Intercontl Hotels . . . . . . . . . . . . 1142.00* +9.00 1244.00 762.50 Rightmove . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .732.50 –2.50 796.50 456.90
Carnival . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2497.00 +12.00 2937.00 1876.00 Intermediate Capital . . . . . . . . . .301.10 +2.70 308.30 233.50 Rio Tinto . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3751.00 +47.50 4104.00 2435.00 Wolseley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1495.00 –25.00 1742.00 1155.00
Catlin . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .339.10 –2.00 394.60 303.20 Intertek . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1820.00 +7.00 1863.00 1136.00 RIT Capital Partners . . . . . . . . . 1110.00 –8.00 1215.00 940.00 Wood Group (John). . . . . . . . . . .426.00 –4.30 432.80 279.60
Centamin Egypt . . . . . . . . . . . . .177.40 –4.60 194.40 92.00 Intl Personal Fin . . . . . . . . . . . . .277.50* –0.60 283.00 137.00 Rolls Royce . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .591.50 +2.50 631.50 434.50 WPP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .716.50 –3.50 744.00 520.50
Centrica . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .328.10 +0.60 347.00 236.30 Intl Power . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .385.80 –1.20 396.80 248.20 Rotork . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1728.00 +12.00 1732.00 1095.00 Xstrata . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1249.00* +28.50 1344.50 815.00
Charter Intl . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .687.50 +4.00 855.50 563.50 Invensys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .297.50 +3.10 350.30 224.90 Royal Bank Of Scot . . . . . . . . . . . .48.05 –0.76 58.95 28.25 LONDON TOP 250 BY MARKET CAPITALISATION
Chemring . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2992.00 –8.00 3711.00 2365.00 Investec . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .503.50 +3.50 565.00 411.50 Royal Dutch Shell A . . . . . . . . .1914.00 +3.00 2068.50 1621.00
Close Bros . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .723.50 –3.50 806.50 657.00 ITV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .58.80 +0.10 71.75 41.04 Royal Dutch Shell B . . . . . . . . .1856.00 +7.00 1997.50 1550.00 * Ex-Dividend † Suspended
Cobham . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .233.00 –0.40 278.60 205.50 Jardine Lloyd Thompson. . . . . . .580.00* +8.00 604.50 420.70 RSA Insurance . . . . . . . . . . . . . .131.10* +0.50 142.00 114.10
COLT Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .122.10 –0.20 144.20 107.70 Johnson Matthey . . . . . . . . . . .1776.00 +16.00 1814.00 1302.00 SABMiller . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2012.50 –0.50 2090.00 1450.00 www.interactivedata.com

Mining lifts Latecomers


FTSE while run to join
banks drag stock rally
THELONDON THENEW YORK
REPORT REPORT
B
RITAIN’S top share index closed

U
slightly higher yesterday as S stocks rose yesterday as late-
stronger mining stocks offset comers jumped onto the
falls from banks still dogged by September bandwagon, buying
investor concerns over sovereign debt. up sectors that have outper-
The FTSE 100 closed 5.02 points, or formed during the month.
0.1 per cent, higher at 5,578.44 in skit- The S&P 500 has risen 9.4 per cent
tish trading, with the index having so far in September, historically the
dipped as low as 5,506.07. worst month for stocks.
Miners were in demand, boosted by The Dow Jones industrial average
firmer copper as the dollar fell after Risk-sensitive banks exerted down- ond quarter of 2010 and first-quarter heavy loser, shedding 2.4 per cent gained 46.10 points, or 0.43 per cent,
unexpectedly weak consumer confi- ward pressure on the index, with the growth was revised slightly higher, after it said clients had pulled out to end at 10,858.14. The Standard &
dence data from the United States. sector off 0.5 per cent. the Office for National Statistics said. assets for an eighth straight quarter. Poor’s 500 Index rose 5.54 points, or
Randgold Resources was among “The economic data across the And British retail sales rose much 0.49 per cent, to 1,147.70. The Nasdaq
the top blue-chip risers, up 2.2 per western world is so contradictory more than expected – at their fastest ANALYSIS l FTSE Composite Index advanced 9.82
cent, as gold hit a record high. still,” Jim Wood-Smith, head of pace in over six years – in September, 5,800 5,578.44 points, or 0.41 per cent, to 2,379.59.
Concerns about the debt situation research at Williams de Broe, said. a survey by the Confederation of 28 Sep With only two days left in
in peripheral Eurozone countries “There’s not enough bad news to British Industry showed. 5,600 September, the Dow is up 8.4 per cent
kept investors wary, but these fears persuade the bulls that the double- The Bank of England should start 5,400 for the month.
were offset by data showing Britain’s dip is going to come, and there’s not pumping more money into the econ- Only 7.63bn shares traded on the
recovery is on track and retail sales enough good news to persuade the omy in order to prevent Britain 5,200 NYSE, Amex and Nasdaq.
were stronger than forecast. bears that 2011 is going to be any bet- falling into the same kind of slump 5,000 Advancing stocks outnumbered
Standard & Poor’s warned it may ter, so we’re stuck in limbo at the Japan did in the 1990s, Monetary declining ones on the NYSE by a ratio
cut Ireland’s credit rating if the coun- moment.” Policy Committee member Adam 4,800 of about seven to three. On the
try poured more than €35bn into Britain’s economy grew at its Posen said. 4,600
Nasdaq, two stocks rose for every one
Anglo Irish Bank. fastest pace in nine years in the sec- Hedge fund firm Man Group was a 28 Jun 16 Jul 5 Aug 25 Aug 15 Sep that fell.
24 Markets & Investment | Foreign Exchange CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010

EURO-DOLLAR
TRADE IS AN Brazil’s central banker
UGLY CONTEST
BORIS SCHLOSSBERG
denies a currency war
DIRECTOR OF CURRENCY RESEARCH, GFT
But devaluations will
L
ET’S just retrace Tuesday’s euro-dollar
price movements. First, the pair rallied in
early Asian trade when a Wall Street
cause real problems,
Journal article reported that the Fed is
considering a quasi-permanent QE policy, rais-
reports Jessica Mead
ing fears that the central bank will eventually

B
monetise more than a trillion worth of US debt. RAZIL’S central bank president
Then, before anyone had a chance to take a Henrique Meirelles yesterday
breath, the pair tumbled on rumours that warned that there is a serious prob-
Moody’s would soon downgrade Spain’s AAA lem of competitive currency devalu-
rating by possibly two notches. After consoli- ation among central banks but refused to
dating for less than an hour at $1.3400, the join the Brazilian finance minister Guido
euro once again raced back to $1.3500 as an Mantega in saying that an international
ex-Chinese central bank advisor Yu Yongding currency war had broken out.
said China is worried about the safety of the Speaking to journalists at the Brazilian
dollar, only to fall once again after chancellor ambassador’s Mayfair residence, Meirelles
Merkel said that Germany would not agree to said countries should not have to pay the
an extension of Eurozone rescue measures. price for weaker currencies elsewhere,
Confused? You are not alone. In the euro- whether it was caused by the economic sit-
dollar trade, market sentiment quickly lurches uation or by specific measures to retain
from shunning one currency to despising the competitiveness. “We can’t have some
other. Yet away from the intra-day noise it is countries having their currencies weak-
important to understand that trade in the pair ened. We are going to have a few countries
is driven by two competing considerations. On pay the price for that. There is a very seri-
the one hand the market is worried about sov- ous problem which should be addressed,”
ereign debt issues in Europe and the chance he said. He added that discussion should
that the union could fragment if Greece and probably take place at the G20 meeting, to
Ireland are unable to restructure their debts. be held in Seoul in November.
On the other, the threat of never-ending QE On Monday, Guido Mantega said we are
raises the spectre of serious dilution for the dol- in the midst of an international currency
lar and the possibility of high inflation as for- war. South Korea, Japan and Taiwan have
eign buyers reduce demand for US debt, all recently intervened in currency mar-
forcing the Fed to hike rates to attract capital. kets to make their currencies cheaper and
At present the market appears to be less safeguard their economic strength.
concerned with the sovereign debt fears in the Politicians, who face a general election
Eurozone than the dilutive prospects of the on Sunday, are desperately trying to Henrique Meirelles
Fed’s QE2 program. Still, it is difficult to deter- appease suffering exporters which have Picture: Micha
mine how this scenario will resolve itself. been stung by a four-month rally in the Theiner/City A.M.
Therefore I prefer to sidestep the whole affair Brazilian real against the US dollar. This
for now and focus on other currencies such as has been caused by foreign investment as
the Swiss franc and the Australian dollar. well as speculative foreign exchange
After all, there is a reason why euro-dollar inflows seeking high yield. The real has upward pressure from here will provoke rather than a relapse to non-market friend-
trade has been dubbed the “ugly contest”. strengthened some 10 per cent against the an increasingly strong response from the ly practices.” Meirelles said it remained an
Boris Schlossberg and Kathy Lien are direc- dollar since mid-May and 33 per cent since authorities. What’s more, the heavy costs open possibility that the Brazilian govern-
tors of currency research at GFT. Read com- the start of December 2008. of sterilising intervention in the foreign ment would raise taxes on capital inflows
mentary at www.GFTUK.com/commentary or Many emerging market economies, both exchange market suggests that policymak- but added that the decision rested with
e-mail borisandkathy@gftuk.com. in Asia and Latin America, have been seek- ers may rely on less conventional methods the finance minister. Last October the gov-
ing to prevent their currencies from appre- to tame the currency. In short, capital con- ernment imposed a 2 per cent tax on for-
ciating in order to mitigate large-scale trols are moving back onto the agenda.” eign purchases of equities and bonds.
capital inflows and to avoid asset bubbles But investors would be wrong to see this Meirelles refused to be drawn on what
from emerging. Although the Brazilian as Brazil moving away from market-friend- he thought was an ideal value for the real.
authorities have recently intervened in the ly policies, Shearing points out. “Brazil will Shearing believes that the fair value is
spot FX markets by buying up to $1bn a remain dependent on capital inflows to around $1.80-$1.90. But with high interest
day, they have stopped short of unconven- fund its huge investment needs. In this rates, a booming economy and competitive
tional intervention to weaken the real, says context, the debate over capital controls currency devaluation, it may be some time
Neil Shearing at Capital Economics. should be welcomed as a sign of an increas- before Meirelles and his colleagues suc-
But he adds: “It seems that any further ingly mature approach to policymaking ceed in returning the real to fair value.

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CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010 Investment | Foreign Exchange 25

THE
Yen to stay still TIPSTER
GOOD DATA
SUPPORTS
despite Japan’s STERLING

T
HERE has been a slew of good news for
sterling: the UK’s second quarter GDP

FX intervention growth rate posted a nine-year-high


and retail sales figures have bounded
higher too. The pound could finally be back in
reach of the big $1.6000 level, which hasn’t
been seen sensibly since January. The current
IG Index price on cable is $1.5885-$1.5887.
The greenback lost significant ground
US quantitative easing sets the tone for safe against the Swiss franc in the early part of
last week but the pair now seems to have
haven currency pairs, says Donata Huggins reached a plateau. Central bank intervention
has been ongoing for some months but
there's speculation that there could be a

E
XPECTATIONS of further Japanese dollars, so they have put them in euros. move through the all-time lows of
stimulus are high. Many believe that The euro is a sort of default currency.” SFr0.9648. There is a risk that this could
the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will decide to Since May the euro has moved sideways destabilise the Swiss economy. However, for
pump $55bn into the flagging econo- against the yen (see chart below). as long as investors are looking to switch out
my next week. Those looking to the Bank’s Considering that Greece’s sovereign debt of euros, the Swiss Franc will hold significant
meeting for a shake up in the dollar and crisis and last week’s Irish bank down- draw. The current IG Index price on dollar-
euro against the yen are likely to be left grade fell during this period, the stability Swiss franc is SFr0.9851-SFr0.9853.
wanting. of the euro-yen has been impressive. For Following Japanese intervention, the dol-
Firstly, traders should not be so sure this reason Mellor predicts greater down- lar reached a high of ¥86.19 against the yen.
that Japan will actually introduce further side for dollar-yen than euro-yen in the Since then it has been weakening and
quantitative easing (QE). On Wednesday, next few quarters. He says: “The only thing rumours of further quantitative easing have
the governor of the BoJ, Masaaki stopping the euro going up in the near- been circulating. If the yen were to slide
Shirakawa, said that while QE has helped term is nervousness over certain levels.” below ¥84 this could increase the likelihood
stabilise financial systems in Japan in the In fact, Mellor believes that currency tributes to the devaluation of the dollar, Japanese intervention of further intervention and see the dollar
past, it has only had a limited impact on trends at the moment have little to do the dynamic between the euro-yen and will be small scale strengthen again. Cantor Index offers dol-
boosting the economy. Analysts are specu- with the underlying economies: “Nobody dollar-yen – regardless of the proposed lar-yen daily at ¥84.12-¥84.14.
lating that this could mean that the BoJ really knows what’s driving the currencies Japanese QE – is likely to remain broadly Picture: GETTY Australian dollar-US dollar has appreci-
will seek alternative solutions to QE. at the moment so technical analysis has the same. ated some 800 basis points since the begin-
But even if the BoJ goes ahead with QE, taken over.” That is, the psychological ning of the month as the US dollar has been
$55bn is not actually a lot of money in impact of certain numbers are governing ANALYSIS l The performance of the euro against the yen over hammered and commodity currencies are in
terms of an economy the size of Japan. where investors are putting their money. ¥ the last six months demand. Australian dollar-US dollar has
Neil Mellor of The Bank of New York For example, he thinks that we will only 125
taken out the previous resistance around
Mellon says “The Japanese stimulus would start to see changes in euro-yen if Irish US$0.9360 all the way to a new 26-month
have to be far larger to make waves”, and credit default swaps hit above 500 basis high of US$0.9682. As tempting as it may
that currency traders should be more points. 120 look to sell short it could be a dangerous play
interested in the impact of the US’s QE Even if Japanese QE makes a substantial given the momentum behind the pair. It
programme when looking for changes in impact on the Japanese economy, curren- might be worth waiting to see if it reaches
dollar-yen and euro-yen. cy experts such as Ian Stannard of BNP 115 the US$0.98 level – the highs of July 2008 –
Existing US QE has already had an Paribas think that the result could be before looking to sell this pair. Spread Co
impact by diluting the strength of the dol- increased investment in Japan, which offers a spread on Australian dollar-US dol-
110
lar. Mellor says much of the recent trends would keep the yen broadly in the same lar of US$0.9676–US$0.9678.
in currencies have been the result of this: range against the dollar and the euro.
“People need to do something with their So for as long as American QE con- Apr 2010 May 2010 Jun 2010 Jul 2010 Aug 2010 Sep 2010 Donata Huggins

FOREX ANALYST PICKS


FOREX STRATEGIST FOREX STRATEGIST FOREX STRATEGIST
JOEL KRUGER JOHN KICKLIGHTER ILYA SPIVAK

My pick: Buy dollar-Swiss franc at SFr0.9885 My pick: Pending market moves, long euro-yen above ¥114.25 My pick: Short euro-dollar pending the market
Expertise: Classic technical analysis Expertise: Fundamental and technical analysis with risk management Expertise: Global macro, classic technical analysis
Average time frame of trades: 1 week-6 months Average time frame of trades: 1 day to 1 week Average time frame of trades: 1 week-6 months
Setbacks have finally stalled out ahead of the critical record lows from With a time frame of only a week, we don’t have the opportunity to posi- Euro-dollar ended last week just below major resistance at $1.3510, the
2008 by SFr0.9645, with the market finding a bottom in the SFr0.9700s tion for larger reversals and have to instead position ourselves counter to 50 per cent Fibonacci retracement of the Nov to June fall. Prices put in
ahead of the latest minor bounce. Short-term and medium-term studies fundamental developments. This is not a position I like to be in. Euro-yen a shooting star candlestick pattern, hinting a reversal is ahead. Negative
are looking quite stretched and longer-term cyclical studies warn of a could be a pair that is well positioned regardless. Under constant threat of RSI divergence bolsters the case for a downside scenario. I will enter
major bottom. This sets up the potential for a reversal, with a break and Bank of Japan intervention and an upcoming EU debt rollover, I will be short following confirmation on a daily close below $1.34 on the current
close back above SFr0.9880 to confirm bias and accelerate gains. Buy at looking for a close above ¥114.25 for entry with a 150 point stop and first candle, which would give a bearish evening star candlestick as well as
SFr0.9885 with an objective of SFr1.0500 and a stop at SFr0.9585. target. the bottom of a rising channel set from the start of September.
26 Investment | Fund Management CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010

The African consumer will


AFRICAN EQUITY
FUNDS

drive growth beyond mining NEPTUNE AFRICA FUND


Launched less than a month ago, this open-
ended offering from Neptune Investment
Low valuations and Management is managed by South Africa-
based Shelley Kuhn. It aims to generate capi-
steady expansion are tal growth by investing mainly in companies
in Africa or companies transacting a signifi-
cant proportion of their business on the
bringing investors to African continent; it will comprise up to 50
stocks. Although the fund is able to invest
the final frontier, across the whole continent, at least half will
be invested in South African equities, in the-
writes Juliet Samuel ory to minimise the volatility and enhance
the liquidity of the fund. Besides South
Africa, larger weightings are expected in

T
HE time of Africa is coming,” says Nigeria, Egypt and Kenya. There is an initial
Renaissance Asset Managers’ Plamen charge of 5 per cent and the annual manage-
Monovski. His firm has just launched ment fee totals 1.85 per cent. For institution-
two new equity funds that give access al investors with a minimum investment of
to African stocks (one pan-African, one sub- £10m, the annual fee is 1.35 per cent.
Saharan) and to say he is bullish on the con-
tinent would be an understatement.
He argues that with stock so cheap and
foreign direct investment pouring into
Africa, now is the time to buy: “To discover
a market with such potential, where valua-
tions are very low and yet it’s somewhat de-
correlated with global growth, it’s like JULIUS BAER EF NORTHERN AFRICA
finding the philosopher’s stone,” says This Luxembourg-domiciled Sicav was
Monovski, Renaissance Asset Managers’ launched in September 2007 and focuses
chief investment officer. exclusively on North African companies. It
The funds’ launch reflects that Africa’s combines a bottom up stock selection
growth story is becoming increasingly process and a top-down country and sector
accessible to non-specialist investors. North analysis. The fund is a blend of growth and
and South Africa have long been targets for value and is designed to be high risk and suit-
high-return investment but, from being the able for long-term investors so those who do
exclusive preserve of adventurous private not want to accept this level of risk and
equity investors and national governments, volatility should look elsewhere. Its biggest
sub-Saharan Africa is now joining the party. weighting is to Egypt (37.8 per cent) followed
The IMF forecasts growth of 4.5 per cent by Sub-Saharan Africa (24.9 per cent). A
for Ghana next year, 6.2 per cent for third of the portfolio is exposed to financial
Tanzania and 7 per cent for Nigeria for stocks and materials account for 27 per cent.
example, and predicts that such levels of Cash currently makes up 3.8 per cent of the
growth will be sustained, or accelerate, over holdings. It has a total expense ratio of 2.51
the coming years. per cent and a management fee of 1.6 per
And sub-Saharan growth is not just cent. Year-to-date, the fund has gained 20.33
about natural resources. Both Renaissance per cent.
funds, for example, are primarily a play on
consumer demand and infrastructure,
with 60-70 per cent of their assets invested
in these areas. Monovski says: “The con- farmland and related businesses like fer- experience doing business in Africa. Dua, Afra Mall, Sudan’s
sumer elsewhere is very expensive, but tiliser and machinery producers. for example, insists on going to meet the first mall
here, we’re talking about 6-8 times price-to- Monovski says that this building interest management of any company in which he
earnings ratio. So you get access to a large in the African consumer is in part due to invests, while Renaissance’s Africa fund Picture: GETTY
consumer pool and you don’t pay very the financial crisis. “In a period when the managers have managed funds on the con- JP MORGAN AFRICA EQUITY FUND
much for it.” majority of the world saw GDP decline and tinent since 2005. Launched in May 2008, this Luxembourg
Charlemagne Capital’s Sharat Dua is sim- commodity prices fall, Africa as a whole As for liquidity issues, investors should Sicav is managed by Sonal Pandit and Oleg
ilarly enthused about the rise of African grew 3 per cent. Everyone realised there not expect to move in and out of African Biryulyov and has $252.4m in assets. It aims
consumption. In particular, he is invested was a domestic driver of demand.” stocks as they can in more advanced to provide long-term capital growth by invest-
in Zambian company Zambeef, which aims But there are still sceptics. Courtiers emerging markets. But for the right size ing in a portfolio of African companies. It has
to become Africa’s largest protein-producer. Investment Services’ Gary Reynolds is con- of fund and timescale – over years, not outperformed the benchmark (MSCI
“As the economy grows and incomes rise, vinced that statistical analysis shows that months – there is growing liquidity in Emerging and Frontier Markets Africa Index)
ordinary Zambians will start to display the risks of investing in many African coun- the larger markets. Monovski highlights since June 2009 but in the last three months
greater choice in their consumption habits, tries are not worth the benefits. He plotted that Nigeria’s stock market, for example, has underperformed. Although the fund has
for example spending more on food. GDP per capita against countries’ scores in can easily turn over $20m-$25m “on a nearly 40 per cent of its assets in South Africa,
Currently, in South Africa, per capita chick- the World Economic Forum’s global com- good day”. the benchmark has 87 per cent. It is over-
en consumption is 20 kilos per annum. In petitiveness report and concludes: “Africa is Even considering the risks, therefore, weight both Nigeria and Egypt. Although four
Zambia it is only two kilos per annum.” virtually uninvestible.” This is in part due to there should be room for African stocks in of the five biggest holdings are financials or
In addition to this growing wealth, says political risk and lack of transparency and a portfolio targeting high returns. The telecoms, it is underweight both these sectors
Silver Street Capital’s Gary Vaughan-Smith, in part due to liquidity concerns. investment world is now used to talking and is overweight consumer staples and dis-
the continent’s burgeoning population and While many countries have made signif- about the Chinese and the Brazilian con- cretionary. The initial charge is 5 per cent and
urbanisation should ensure that food pro- icant progress in improving their gover- sumer. Over the next decade, we will also the annual fee is 1.5 per cent. But when the
duction is in high demand. Silver Street’s nance, investors would still be best-advised become accustomed to considering the fund return exceeds the benchmark return,
agricultural private equity fund targets to stick with fund managers who have demands of the African consumer. there is a performance fee of 10 per cent.

FUND MANAGEMENT NEWS


BY JULIET SAMUEL
PICTET LAUNCHES LONG-SHORT ASIA FUND HIGH INFLOWS TO ASIA FUNDS SCHRODERS’ FUND GETS ELITE RATING
Pictet funds, the fund distribution arm of pri- Data from EPFR Global shows that the week Morningstar, the fund research firm, has
vate Swiss bank Pictet & Cie, has launched a ending 22 September saw a 15-month high in upgraded its ratings for the Schroder
long-short UCITS III-compliant Asia fund. It inflows into Asia ex-Japan equity funds as Japan Alpha Plus fund to elite, its highest
will be managed be Lan Wang Simond and investors fled funds with exposure to the US possible rating. It is only awarded to funds
seeks to capture Chinese growth while min- and Europe. Pacific equity funds had their that the firm believes can consistently outper-
imising losses during periods of high volatility best week for nearly four months, with overall form their peers for years to come.
and reducing correlation to the broader mar- emerging market fund inflows hitting Morningstar’s Mark Laidlaw said: “Schroder
ket. It will aim to derive at least 30 per cent $3.38bn. In terms of asset classes, bond funds Japan Alpha Plus isn’t your typical Japan
of its earnings from the greater China region. were popular, swelling by $4.8bn, while equi- equity fund, but we think it’s one of the best.
Lan says: “By using hedging and short selling ty funds expanded $3.3bn. But while bond Nathan Gibbs runs a concentrated go-any-
techniques we are able to manage impacts funds are up $306bn year-to-date, equity where portfolio of 30-35 names across the
from falling markets and offer investors an funds are still down $37bn, reflecting an ane- market cap spectrum, searching out compa-
Pictet’s new China fund aims to reduce volatility Picture: GETTY improved risk-return profile.” mic attitude to risk. nies that he sees as undervalued.”
CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010 City Focus | Law 27

LLPs are not as safe as you might think


In Limited Liability Partnerships
junior members can have the
same responsibilities as partners

JAMES MATHER

T
HE LIMITED Liability Partnership
vehicle is now a decade old, but its
uptake has reportedly surged amid
economic hard times. Members of
insolvent LLPs are certainly better off
than their counterparts in insolvent part-
nerships, who must routinely dig into
their own pockets to meet creditors’
claims. This summer, though, saw the
first high-profile collapse of an LLP – that
of the law firm, Halliwells – and the jury
is still out on whether this was the
Lehman Brothers or just the Northern
Rock of the legal services market. Either
way, the limits to limited liability for
members of LLPs in all sectors look set to
be thoroughly tested before this recession about (although those with specific man- over the general creditors, but the High Protected? Maybe not a stake in the LLP’s profits. All, though,
is out. agement responsibilities will be the most Court nonetheless blessed the “necessary have a potential liability for its losses, in
What LLP members may not realise is exposed). All members, too, may poten- evil” involved. The reason was that the Picture: GETTY spite of the limited liability epithet. The
that, under insolvency law, even the most tially have to repay any money received sale of the business could not otherwise unavoidable potential liabilities attached
junior of them is treated much like a com- from the LLP – including salary and prof- proceed. If the guarantees survived, the to membership place a heavy onus on
pany director. In larger firms, that can it share – within the two years before it guarantors would have faced personal sound governance within the LLP.
work harshly. Junior members are often was wound up, a rule without equivalent bankruptcy, and they could not practice In boom times, this was easier to
kept out of the loop of decision-making. for companies. as solicitors. Their business would then ignore. The widespread transition from
Under the terms of the members’ agree- Even in large LLPs, personal guarantees evaporate. traditional partnership to LLP helped
ment, they might even be barred from from members for the LLP’s debts are This decision reprieved the individuals encourage a greater concentration of
receiving information about the LLP. also widespread and likely to be called concerned, but may prove a curse for decision-making in professional service
When they were promoted into the mem- upon if the LLP fails. If the LLP takes steps LLPs. Banks who thought they had the firms. These times of bust will underscore
bership, they were rarely in a position to to reduce these members’ liabilities comfort of personal guarantees independ- the dangers for LLP members of trusting
negotiate over the small print. But the when in financial difficulty, their lawful- ently of the value of the business may in too much to others.
law still expects them to look out for the ness is likely to be challenged. The diffi- practice be forced to elect between the James Mather is a barrister practising at Serle
interests of the LLP’s creditors when insol- culty is that it will involve preferring two. Inevitably, the guarantees and securi- Court, Lincoln’s Inn. jmather@serlecourt.co.uk
vency beckons. these creditors’ interests over the inter- ty called for to support future lending
You cannot be a “sleeping director” of a ests of creditors generally, which cannot will become more exacting as a result.
company and you cannot be a “sleeping be done. As a shareholder of a company, it is pos- All of a failed LLP’s members could potentially
member” of an LLP. If the LLP should have In the case of Halliwells, parts of the sible to enjoy the benefits of ownership
ceased to trade earlier than it did, all business were sold to other firms and the without bearing the responsibilities of have to pay back all salary and profit share
members are potentially liable to make proceeds used to release some members’ management. In an LLP, there is no such
good the loss to creditors where they personal bank guarantees. This undoubt- thing as care-free ownership. Not all paid for the two years before it was wound up
should have done more to bring this edly preferred these members’ interests members are equal and not all even have

requirement to maintain a liquidity 4 reforms (CRD4 reforms) are implement-

Banking regulations cushion made up of high-quality sover-


eign debt and corporate bonds, with
applicable cuts, to allow banks to sur-
vive acute stress scenarios lasting one
month.
These requirements may not look that
ed. There is a definite move toward full
harmonisation of rules within Europe
and it is becoming more difficult to gold-
plate. We should expect the UK to fall in
line with the rest of Europe when CRD4 is
implemented.

won’t bring stability high. However, the costs of meeting them


will be, which will impact on the avail-
ability and costs of lending.
The long transitional periods are unfor-
tunate and it is conceivable that there
may be another crisis before the reforms
are implemented – as well as a danger
A concern for Europe is that all the pro-
posals for reform are amendments to the
Basel Accord, which is a voluntary accord
– and therefore does not have any teeth.
As the accord and amendments to it are
made mandatory in the EU for all banks
and investment firms, it is important that
Discretionary nature of reforms and countries’ inability that the laws will become fragmented in
the interim.
all the G20 countries commit to imple-
menting the reforms within the dead-
to overrule Europe mean financial rules are ineffective Germany has won a 10-year transitional
period to meet the requirements due to
lines; otherwise competition will be
adversely affected in the EU.
the fact that its “silent participations” While the US has committed to the
would no longer be able to be used to reforms and the Basel III reforms are
in November 2010 and to take effect from meet the test. It is likely that without this either set out or provided for in the Dodd
1 January 2013 – albeit with long transi- transitional period, Germany would not Frank Act, there is concern with Asia, as
tional periods. have signed up to the proposals. Japan and China did not implement the
Under the reforms, banks will now Basel II reforms and Singapore is not a
need to hold up to 4.5 per cent core tier FATTER CUSHION member of the G20.
one capital made up of shares and The UK wanted higher capital require- The leverage ratio, capital require-
retained earnings by 2015, and a cushion ments from the reforms and has stated ments and capital cushions in the
of up to 2.5 per cent (up to 7 per cent in that it intends to impose the full 2.5 per reforms should all help to prevent anoth-
JACQUI HATFIELD total) between 2016 and 2019. Significant
banks will need to hold more capital,
cent cushion, as well as higher capital
requirements than those proposed by the
er crisis; however, it is important that all
the G20 countries move together in order
thought to be around 10 per cent core tier Basel Committee. to provide a global solution to what is a

T
HE BASEL III reforms have now one. In addition to being potentially harm- global crisis and to prevent regulatory
been formally endorsed by the Also included in the reforms is a lever- ful to competition, it is questionable arbitrage.
Group of Governors and Heads of age ratio of 3 per cent of unweighted whether the UK will be able to impose Jacqui Hatfield is a partner and head of the
Supervision of the G20 countries. assets imposed to prevent excessive trad- higher capital requirements than Basel financial services advisory group at Reed Smith
The aim is for the proposals to be agreed ing (a test phase will end in 2017) and a when the Capital Requirements Directive LLP. Jhatfield@ReedSmith.com
Lifestyle
28 CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010
WORDS BY
| Motoring RYAN BORROFF

It shrieks and

Fast
&
speeds like a
Ferrari. But
surprise: the Skoda
Fabia is an

furious
economical little
hatchback

I
T’S ALWAYS a little strange when
you get the impression you’re driv-
ing a Ferrari when you’re really hit-
ting 40mph in a small hatchback.
Powering along the north Kent coast in
the Fabia vRS, towards a particularly
excellent gastro pub, the car shrieked
and howled so loudly you’d think there
was a V12 under the bonnet.
But the Skoda Fabia vRS has the power
to back it up, in this case VW’s excellent
1.4 TSI engine which has won so many
awards it’s a wonder the bonnet isn’t see-
through. The engine has a supercharger
for low engine speeds and a turbocharger
for higher ones which translates into a
great deal of power, 180bhp in fact – yet
the car still remains economical. It’s a
feisty little beast, surprising you with
acceleration that feels so spritely you
need to be measured the first few times
you do a parallel park. It’s swift to move
through the auto 7-speed DSG gearbox
and if you feel like you want to get a bit
more hands-on when you’re hitting
country road corners, there are some
rally-style paddle shifters behind the
leather steering wheel. The suspension
has had a makeover which includes low-
ering the car and tautening the ride from
the standard Fabia. The result is that the
Fabia vRS darts around corners quite
happily.
In fact, this hot hatch version of the
Fabia has a lot of features inspired by THE FACTS:
Skoda’s S2000 rally car, including rear SKODA FABIA VRS
and front spoilers, tinted rear windows,
17-inch alloys, red brake callipers and optional Bluetooth was really easy to use ble. Another Lilliputian surprise was the PRICE: £15,700
twin exhausts, plus a leather covered and for £220, a bit of a must-have, or at skinny cupholders – as if you’re only ever 0-60MPH: 7.3secs
handbrake, gearknob and steering wheel. least, a why-not. The screen was a treat going to drink Red Bull when you’re cruis- TOP SPEED: 139mph
This means that the Fabia – which is a too, with very pleasing lime green fea- ing in this car – although maybe that’s
small, boxy, unglamorous compact – has tures tastefully laid out and nice intuitive the case for the target driver of a Fabia CO2 G/KM: 148g/km
improved looks all round in vRS guise. buttons to help you select your radio sta- vRS. MPG COMBINED: 45.6mpg
With the contrast roof it’s obviously pret- tion, amongst other things. The Skoda Fabia vRS feels well built,
ty eye-catching, three friends – albeit
with untrained eyes – mistakenly likened
The car mainly disappointed in the
places where it felt small, like the boot,
performs well and its undoubtedly great
value for money. But more importantly
THE VERDICT:
the car to a MINI, which has got to be a which would have accommodated a suc- it’s fast, a bit lary and great fun to drive
DESIGN hhiii
pretty flattering comparison. cinct shop from Waitrose but was a real and it gives rivals – like the Polo GTI,
PERFORMANCE hhhii
In-car gadgetry was unexpectedly squeeze for a family overnighter, even Citroen DS Sport and Seat Ibiza Cupra – a
PRACTICALITY hhiii
excellent for a car of this segment; though we’d travelled as lightly as possi- run for their money.
VALUE FOR MONEY hhhhi

CAR TALK BY RYAN BORROFF

The facts:
you can afford a Mercedes
The figures:
mercedes-benz.co.uk/offers
For more information on our tailor-made
packages or to book a test drive, visit us online.

FERRARI SLEEKEST YET PORSCHE’S THREE-DOOR COUPE VAUXHALL’S HOT NEW ASTRA
This is Ferrari's strictly limited edition (pre If you think the Porsche Cayenne Turbo is a lit- Is this the new Vauxhall Astra VXR? It’s cer-
sold-out) SA Aperta – to be launched at the tle too pedestrian for your needs, take a look tainly Vauxhall's new three-door Astra com-
Paris Motor Show. Ferrari will build only 80 at this bad boy. Merdad Cars is unveiling its ing next year. It’s also a phenomenally good
SA Apertas in homage to Italian design house new three-door Cayenne 902 Coupe at looker, proving Vauxhall design continues to
Pininfarina, which is 80 this year. The V12- November's MPH show. The car boasts come on in leaps and bounds – note the
powered roadster sits lower to the ground 750BHP and can reach 0-60 in just 4.4 sec- “surface entertainment” on its flanks. When
than other Ferrari models and has a light soft onds. It offers a host of “improvements” – it goes on sale next year the hot hatch VXR
top and low-slung windscreen to ensure the including the loss of a couple of doors. is rumoured to offer power as high as
best aerodynamic performance yet. www.mphshow.co.uk 300hp.
CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010 Lifestyle | TV& Games 29

BBC1 BBC2 ITV1 CHANNEL4 CH FIVE TV PICK


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6.55pm Party Political Roadshow 6.55pm Party Political 7pm Channel 4 News 7pm Five News at 7
Broadcast 7pm Start Your Own School: Broadcast 7.55pm 4thought.tv 7.30pm Highland Emergency;
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The SAS Championship. Psychic Sally: On the Road 12.10am RuPaul’s Drag Race Raging Planet Sell Me the Answer by builder whom she paid £50,000.

COFFEE BREAK
Copyright Puzzle Press Ltd, www.puzzlepress.co.uk

QUICK CROSSWORD
    

SUDOKU KAKURO
10 34 7 9 36 6 8 14  
28 12

10 27
Place the numbers from 1 to 9 in each empty cell so that each 23
row, each column and each 3x3 block contains all the numbers Fill the grid so that each block 9 9
3 37 5 14
from 1 to 9 to solve this tricky Sudoku puzzle. adds up to the total in the box 7 21 13
  
above or to the left of it. 13 18
You can only use the digits 1-9 45
   and you must not use the 15 4    
same digit twice in a block. 6 12 24 16 16
     The same digit may occur 45

  more than once in a row or


column, but it must be in a
13
8
10
21
12
  
11 13
  separate block.
17 10 10 11 
14 11
     29 30
 

  ACROSS DOWN
1 Relating to birds (5) 1 State in north-
 
     WORDWHEEL R C
4 Juvenility (5)
7 Threaded (4)
eastern India (5)
2 Dreadful, terrible (5)
Using only the letters in the Wordwheel, you have 9 Dignity, esteem for one’s 3 And not (3)
   ten minutes to find as many words as possible,
D E own person (4-7) 4 Affirmative
none of which may be plurals, foreign words or
proper nouns. Each word must be of three letters R 10 Marine fish widely
caught for food (6)
answer (3)
5 Not consumed (7)
LAST ISSUE’S or more, all must contain the central letter and
letters can only be used once in every word. There
F U 12 Corrode, as with acid (4) 6 Come out of
SOLUTIONS KAKURO is at least one nine-letter word in the wheel.
T A 13 Flesh used as food (4) an egg (5)
8 Large entrance or
14 ___-Herzegovina,
QUICK CROSSWORD 2 3 5 1 4 1 European country (6) reception room (9)

) ( 7 ( 6 $ 3 $ 5 7
8 4 7 2 5 9 6 SUDOKU          17 Painful inflammation of 11 Apprentice (7)
5 8 6 9 7 9 8
( 2 $ 5 (
3 1 9 6 8 3 7 9
         the upper throat (11) 13 Anthem (5)
1 ) , / 7 + , ( 6 7         
1 2 8 1 6 6 ( 1 2 8 4 2 1 7
         20 Adolescent (4) 15 French river (5)
( & $ , 5 2 1 4 3 2 7 1
         21 Divisions of the 16 Illegal setting
/ 8 / 8
3
9
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30 Sport CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010

Results
UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE GROUP E
Basle.................................(1) 1 Bayern Munich ..............(0) 2
Frei 17 Schweinsteiger 56 (pen), 89
Att: 40,000
Sorry Saracens sweat on ERC decision
Roma................................(0) 2 CFR Cluj-Napoca ...........(0) 1
Mexes 69 Rada 78 unlikely to be enough to avoid a Germany on a team-building trip pre-arranged squad function was
Borriello 71 Att: 40,000 EXCLUSIVE
£4,250 fine from European Rugby of the kind that the club place entirely the club’s decision, and noth-
P W D L F A GD Pts BY FRANK DALLERES
Bayern Munich 2 2 0 0 4 1 3 6 Cup, however, who expressed their great importance on. ing to do with Steve. Nobody can
Roma 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3 SARACENS say they are yet to hear disappointment at the player’s City A.M. understands that doubt the professionalism and com-
CFR Cluj-Napoca 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3 from Heineken Cup chiefs after cap- absence from Monday’s event. although the visit to Munich mitment of perhaps the most pro-
Basle 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0 tain Steve Borthwick controversially Yet a club spokesman told City A.M. was arranged three months ago, fessional and committed player in
GROUP F skipped the competition’s launch in last night that no contact had been Saracens knew of the Heineken the country. The clash of dates was
Chelsea...........................(2) 2 Marseille............................(0) 0 order to join his team-mates at the made by ERC. It is thought they may Cup launch eight weeks ago. unfortunate but, at the 11th hour,
Terry 7
Anelka 28 (pen) Att: 40,675 Munich beer festival. now wait until November before However, club chiefs left it late we rationally decided it was
Spartak Moscow.....(1) 3 MSK Zilina.........................(0) 0 The Premiership club yesterday meeting to discuss the matter. before deciding Borthwick’s more important for our captain
Ari 34, 61 issued a public apology, insisting the Former England captain presence at the bonding exer- to take part in a long-arranged
Ibson 89 Att: 33,124 decision had been taken by manage- Borthwick, right, was the only repre- cise was paramount. and highly significant squad
P W D L F A GD Pts
Chelsea 2 2 0 0 6 1 5 6 ment rather than Borthwick himself sentative of the 12 teams not to Chief executive Edward event than to attend a press confer-
S Moscow 2 2 0 0 4 0 4 6 and reaffirming their “total commit- attend the appointment in Cardiff. Griffiths said: “The decision that ence where he was not nominated
Marseille 2 0 0 2 0 3 -3 0 ment” to the tournament. That looks Instead he was with his squad in Steve Borthwick should attend a to be formally interviewed.”
MSK Zilina 2 0 0 2 1 7 -6 0
GROUP G
Ajax...................................(1) 1 AC Milan..............................(1) 1

Harrington’s
El Hamdaoui 23 Ibrahimovic 37
Att: 50,000
Auxerre .........................(0) 0 Real Madrid......................(0) 1
Att: 24,900 Di Maria 81
P W D L F A GD Pts
Real Madrid 2 2 0 0 3 0 3 6
AC Milan 2 1 1 0 3 1 2 4

eagles cheer
Ajax 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
Auxerre 2 0 0 2 0 3 -3 0
GROUP H
Braga...............................(0) 0 Shakhtar Donetsk.......(0) 3
Luiz Adriano 56, 72
Att: 25,000 Douglas Costa 90 (pen)
Partizan Belgrade...(1) 1 Arsenal.................................(1) 3

Montgomerie
Cleo 33 (pen) Arshavin 15
Chamakh 71
Att: 25,000 Squillaci 82
P W D L F A GD Pts
Arsenal 2 2 0 0 9 1 8 6
S Donetsk 2 2 0 0 4 0 4 6
P Belgrade 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
Braga 2 0 0 2 0 9 -9 0
NPOWER CHAMPIONSHIP
Burnley...........................(2) 4 Hull .........................................(0) 0 do and that’s why he was picked.

Cardiff............................(0) 0 Crystal Palace ................(0) 0 GOLF


Coventry........................(1) 2 Doncaster...........................(1) 1 BY FRANK DALLERES “He’s had three eagles already. He’s
Derby................................(1) 3 Middlesbrough...............(1) 1 playing the best golf of my team. He’s
Leeds ...............................(4) 4 Preston................................(2) 6 EUROPE captain Colin Montgomerie a world player, he’s won three major
Norwich..........................(1) 4 Leicester .............................(1) 3 insists Padraig Harrington’s sparkling championships and the stature of the
Nottm For.....................(0) 1 Sheff Utd.............................(1) 1
Portsmouth ................(0) 3 Bristol City........................(0) 1 form in practice has already justified guy is second to none within our
QPR ...................................(0) 0 Millwall ...............................(0) 0 his contentious selection. team.”
Reading..........................(0) 1 Ipswich...............................(0) 0 Harrington hit three eagles yester- Harrington hinted he may be find-
Scunthorpe.................(0) 0 Barnsley..............................(0) 0 day at Celtic Manor as both teams ing form just in time to face the
Watford.........................(0) 2 Swansea .............................(2) 3 began their final preparations for this United States when he carded a 64 at
week’s eagerly-anticipated contest. the Vivendi Cup in Paris on Sunday –
TODAY’S DIARY Such form represents a huge improve- the best closing round.
(Football 7.45pm unless stated)
ment on his indifferent performanc- And it seems Lee Westwood, anoth-
UEFA Champions Lge
Group A es this year, which meant he failed to er player on whom much depends
Inter Milan v Werder Bremen .............................................................................. qualify automatically for the team. but who comes into the match with-
Tottenham v FC Twente............................................................................................ But Montgomerie has taken out form, is also rediscovering his
Group B Harrington to Wales as one of his touch, after shooting three birdies in
Hapoel Tel-Aviv v Lyon .............................................................................................. wildcard picks, provoking much his first four practice holes. A torn
Schalke 04 v Benfica ................................................................................................ debate, and says he has already out- calf muscle has kept Westwood out of
Group C
Rangers v Bursaspor..................................................................................................
shone his colleagues. action since early August, but
Valencia v Man Utd .................................................................................................... “There are reasons why Padraig Montgomerie added: “I know it
Group D Harrington was picked and judge me means very little on Tuesday, but it’s
Panathinaikos v FC Copenhagen .......................................................................... about that selection on 4 October and always good for one’s self-esteem to
Rubin Kazan v Barcelona (5.30) .......................................................................... not on 26 September,” said start off that way. He’s not played in
Montgomerie. “I feel the criticism six or seven weeks and he starts rip-
SPORTS EDITOR JON COUCH was very unjustified to be honest. I ping the ball like he is, so I’m very
email sport@cityam.com know what Padraig Harrington can excited for Lee Westwood this week.” Harrington (left) was a wildcard pick of Montgomerie’s (right). Picture: ACTION IMAGES

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CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010 Sport | Football 31

Chelsea ease
way back into
winning habit
of the group,” said Terry.
CHELSEA 2 “In the second half we had a few
chances to make it three or four. We
didn’t start the brightest in the sec-
MARSEILLE 0 ond half but we stayed solid and kept
a clean sheet.
“With Sunday in mind we maybe
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

took our foot off the gas a little bit,


saving a bit of energy for the week-
CHELSEA captain John Terry admit- end. We’d have liked to have got a
ted his relief after helping the Blues third and killed the game off but they
bounce back from successive defeats had a lot of possession.”
to maintain their 100 per cent Carlo Ancelotti’s men had ample
European record. chance to increase their haul, Florent
It took Terry just seven minutes to Malouda firing over before half-time
ease any nerves around Stamford and Alex, with a 35-yard free-kick,
Bridge, the centre-back meeting Gael and Michael Essien both hitting the
Kakuta’s corner with a faint toe-poke post.
that crept in at the near post. But they rarely looked in danger Anelka (left) scored from the spot after Stephane Mbia handballed. Picture: ACTION IMAGES
Three points were all but safe
before the half-hour when Nicolas
after Terry met a right-wing corner
from 19-year-old Kakuta, preferred
GROUP F
TEAM PLD W D L F A PTS
Anelka nonchalantly converted a over Daniel Sturridge with Didier
penalty after Stephane Mbia had been Drogba suspended. Mbia was Chelsea 2 2 0 0 6 1 6
punished for handball. aggrieved to be penalised for hand-
S Moscow 2 2 0 0 4 0 6
“We’d had two losses which is very ball but Anelka showed no mercy,
unusual for us, so we’re pleased to calmly slotting low to the right to get Marseille 2 0 0 2 0 3 0
pick up three points, keep a clean Chelsea back to winning ways ahead
sheet and extend that lead at the top of Sunday’s visit of Arsenal. MSK Zilina 2 0 0 2 1 7 0

England blow as Rooney is


ruled out for three weeks
injury. Rooney’s setback is a blow to because Wayne has done quite well
VALENCIA Ferguson ahead of tonight’s Group with his recovery from injury in
C trip to Valencia, with evergreen the past. It is a straightforward
duo Paul Scholes and Ryan Giggs ankle injury. And it is not the same
MANCHESTER UTD also missing against the Spanish one he did in Munich [in last year’s
ITV1, ko 7.45pm league leaders. Champions League quarter-final].”
But the development will also Ferguson could recall England

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE severely affect the plans of England captain Rio Ferdinand as he goes in
BY FRANK DALLERES head coach Fabio Capello, who now search of his first win in this sea-
faces a major forward shortage for son’s competition, having rested
ENGLAND will be without striker the Euro 2012 qualifier on 12 the defender for the 2-2 draw at
Wayne Rooney against Montenegro October, having already seen Bolton on Sunday.
next month after Manchester Jermain Defoe and Bobby Zamora Midfielder Scholes, who has been
United manager Sir Alex Ferguson ruled out. among United’s most effective play-
revealed he needs up to three “It will be two to three weeks,” ers this term, is expected to be out
weeks to recover from an ankle said Ferguson. “But it depends for 10 days with a calf problem.

Redknapp tips Bale for top but faces


defensive headache for Twente visit
has carried last season’s scintillat- and Michael Dawson out, meaning
TOTTENHAM ing form into the current cam- Sebastien Bassong will be part-
paign and will be expected to pose nered by either Ledley King or erst-
much of the Spurs threat when while full-back Vedran Corluka.
FC TWENTE Dutch champions FC Twente arrive And he admits he is also struggling
Sky Sports 2, ko 7.45pm at White Hart Lane tonight. to balance European and domestic
“I think in years to come, he’ll be commitments, having won just

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE the best left-back anywhere,” said twice in six Premier League games.
BY FRANK DALLERES Redknapp. “But he’s also a great “The biggest problem you have is
left-sided player and it suits me to probably getting the players up for
TOTTENHAM manager Harry play him wide left most of the time league games after the Champions
Redknapp expects Gareth Bale to because [Benoit] Assou-Ekotto is League,” he added. “You have to jug-
become the world’s best left-back – also a top, top-class left-back.” gle around your team and when
but is happy to wait while he ter- Redknapp has a defensive injury you keep changing your team, it
rorises defences himself. Bale, 21, crisis, with both William Gallas makes it difficult to get continuity.”
Sport
32 CITYA.M. 29 SEPTEMBER 2010

BLUES CRUISE
TERRY ON TARGET AS
CHELSEA EASE PAST
MARSEILLE: PAGE 31

You’ve lost
Arsenal shine your aura,
as lights fail McIlroy
tells Woods
in Belgrade


GOLF
BY FRANK DALLERES
straight away after a big disappoint-
PARTIZAN 1 ment against West Brom. It puts us
in a good position confidence wise,”
RYDER CUP newcomer Rory McIlroy
last night fanned the flames ahead of
said Wenger. this week’s contest by declaring that
ARSENAL 3 “Fabianski had a good game, we
have seen the player tonight who we
America’s Tiger Woods has lost his
“aura”.
see in training. He had a faultless United States captain Corey Pavin
game. I know it is in him.” has warned McIlroy he risks goading

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
BY FRANK DALLERES On the power cut, Wenger added: the best out of world No1 Woods, who
“I thought it would be terrible to go is without a top-three finish in what
ARSENAL manager Arsene Wenger home and not play. When they asked has been a traumatic year.
hailed his team after they overcame if I wanted to play with one corner Northern Irishman McIlroy, 21,
floodlight failure, a boisterous off, I said yes.” raised eyebrows last month when he
crowd and two penalties to plunder Wenger would not be drawn on said any of Europe’s team would
maximum points with a nervy whether Fabianski would retain the “fancy their chances” against him at
Champions League triumph in gloves for Sunday’s crunch trip to Celtic Manor.
Belgrade. Chelsea, and said it was too early to But the debutant yesterday main-
A power cut plunged dressing judge the fitness of captain Cesc tained his confident stance and
rooms into darkness before kick-off Fabregas. brushed aside Pavin’s suggestion his
and threatened to postpone the They will have Wilshere, however, comments would only serve to moti-
game, but play commenced with the who set up Arshavin’s 15th-minute vate Woods.
stadium only partially illuminated strike with an instinctive backheel. “Before I met him, you feel as if he’s
and the Gunners were soon in front. Arshavin’s lob was then hooked off superhuman,” said McIlroy of Woods.
Goals from Andrey Arshavin, the line, while he and Rosicky might “But once you meet him you realise
Marouane Chamakh and a first for both have extended the visitors’ lead he’s a normal guy and works hard on
Sebastien Squillaci secured three before Denilson was ruled to have his game and gets the most out of it.
points, but 10-man Partizan were
level at one stage through Cleo’s
handballed and Cleo sent Fabianski
the wrong way with a penalty. GROUP H “But after the last 18 months, I sup-
pose a little bit of that aura is probably
penalty and had another chance Arsenal should have retaken the TEAM PLD W D L F A PTS gone.
from the spot late on. lead 10 minutes after half-time when “I said this week and last week: I
Arsenal 2 2 0 0 9 1 6
Stand-in goalkeeper Lukasz Chamakh tumbled and Marko don’t mind who; I just want to win
Fabianski saved that penalty and Jovanovic was dismissed, but S Donetsk 1 2 0 0 4 0 6 points for the team. If that’s against
enjoyed a confidence-boosting per- Arshavin’s spot-kick was saved. Tiger or Phil [Mickelson] or Steve
formance, while teenage midfielder But with 20 minutes left Chamakh Partizan 1 0 0 2 0 4 0 Stricker or Hunter Mahan or whoever,
Jack Wilshere dazzled again as headed in Rosicky’s cross at the sec- Braga 1 0 0 2 0 9 0 you just want to go out there and try
Wenger’s side bounced back from ond attempt and Squillaci then nod- to play as best you can. I feel if I play to
Saturday’s defeat. ded his first for the club, before my potential, I’ll win a few points.”
“For us it was important to win Fabianski saved Cleo’s penalty. Arshavin (left) scored Arsenal’s first but later missed form the spot. Picture: ACTION IMAGES HARRINGTON CHEERS MONTY: P30

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