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Introduction .................................................................................................................................................. 2
Strategies .................................................................................................................................................. 2
Active Strategy ...................................................................................................................................... 2
Passive Strategy .................................................................................................................................... 2
State of Economies ................................................................................................................................... 2
Chinese Bonds as Passive Behavior....................................................................................................... 2
U.S Bonds Market ................................................................................................................................. 2
Analysis ......................................................................................................................................................... 3
Chinese Mangers Analytical approaches .................................................................................................. 3
Bottom-up, fundamental credit analysis .............................................................................................. 3
Policy risk analysis ................................................................................................................................. 3
Active Managers analytical approaches ................................................................................................... 3
Fundamental research, quantitative analysis, and trading expertise: ................................................. 3
Additional tools to generate excess returns and manage risk.............................................................. 3
Comparison ................................................................................................................................................... 4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................................... 5
Bibliography .................................................................................................................................................. 6
Introduction
This report is the result of a comparative study and analysis of two different bond investing
strategies in two different set of economies.
Strategies
Active Strategy
Experienced active managers, supported by research and trading experts, seek to earn “excess
returns” (returns greater than those of the benchmark index). In simple words Active fund
managers are those who try to beat market in term of return. Active managers can consider a
much broader spectrum of potential investments, and can act on informed assessments and
market outlooks, constructing a portfolio that may differ from that of a passive strategy.
Passive Strategy
passive investment strategies seek only to match a benchmark index, by attempting to mirror the
characteristics of the underlying index and by generally limiting the field of potential investments to
securities that meet the index’s inclusion criteria.
State of Economies
Comparison
Chinese Bonds (A Passive) US Bonds (A Active)
China doesn’t allow foreign credit rating Credit rating agencies like S&P, Moody’s
agencies to operate directly in mainland are very influencing in us market. They
China. Many of the established local rating truly represent the volatility and this is
agencies are founded as joint ventures with how they get advantage and earn excess
the “big three” (S&P, Moody’s, and Fitch). return over market
So these agencies don’t represent the true
picture in front of investor.
Statistics show that US coupon rate is
Interest Rate generally known as coupon
about near to 2% max. this will generate
rate in bound market is very high in china
behavior of active manager to buy and sell
near about 7% in November 2014. This
the bonds.
also produce the behavior of holding
Conclusion
Before drawing conclusion which strategy is best for managers we will analyze where we are going
invest? And what is the current economy status. Country like Pakistan which is known as emerging
market in world with future expected growth near to 5%. Before selecting best strategy for Pakistan we
need to analyze some factors that mostly influence the bound structure and its market value. Interest
Rate A major factor that affect the bond value. Currently Pakistan’s interest rate is about
approximately 7%. This is in decreasing trend from last 10 years. This indicates not to hold
bonds for a long time. Currency PKR is currently holding the depreciation behavior against major
currencies like U.S.D, G.B.P etc. That indicates investors again not to hold such bonds. We mentioned
Pakistan as a emerging market. The reason behind is some future projects like China Pakistan economic
corridor will help investors to gain high level of profit from buying today bonds and selling in future.
Some political risk also a major reasons for selecting active management strategy.
Bibliography
Ford O’Neil and Pramod Atluri. (2014). Why Bond Investors May Benefit from Actively Managed Mutual
Funds and ETFs. leadership series , p 1-8.
NBSPC. (2014). Chinese bonds: From passive to active investment. manulife Asset Management.