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Background. Despite the availability of antitoxin and antibiotics, the mortality rate for diphtheria remains
high, mostly because of cardiac complications.
Methods. During 1 year, 154 Vietnamese children with diphtheria admitted to a referral hospital were studied
prospectively with clinical examination, including a simple pseudomembrane score, 12-lead and 24-hour electro-
cardiography, measurement of serum cardiac enzyme levels, and estimation of troponin T levels.
Results. Thirteen children had diphtheritic cardiomyopathy on admission, and 19 developed it subsequently.
Twelve children (8%) died. The combination of pseudomembrane score of 12 and bull neck predicted the de-
velopment of diphtheritic cardiomyopathy, with a positive predictive value of 83% and a negative predictive value
of 93%. Administration of 24-hour electrocardiography on admission improved the ability to predict diphtheritic
cardiomyopathy by 57%. Fatal outcome was best predicted by the combination of myocarditis on admission and
a pseudomembrane score of 12. Of the cardiac enzyme levels measured, an elevated aspartate aminotransferase
level was the best predictor. The presence of troponin T identified additional children with subclinical cardiac
damage.
Conclusions. The development of diphtheritic cardiomyopathy can be predicted by means of simple measures.
Diphtheria remains an important cause of child mor- chemical measurements [6–9]. These studies found that
tality in developing countries. The mortality rate is still the development of severe conduction defects on the
∼10% and has changed little over the past 100 years 12-lead electrocardiograph were associated with a poor
[1]. Acute mortality is due to toxin-mediated diphthe- prognosis. We have recently reported on the prognostic
ritic cardiomyopathy, suffocation by the pseudomem- utility of 24-h electrocardiography [5] and have shown
brane, disseminated intravascular coagulation, and that, in some cases of diphtheritic cardiomyopathy, in-
renal failure [2, 3]. The incidence of diphtheritic car- tervention with temporary cardiac pacemaker may im-
diomyopathy following diphtheria is 10%–20%, and prove the outcome [10]. The ability to predict from
the associated mortality is ∼50% [4]. Clinical signs of simple and readily available measures whether myo-
diphtheritic cardiomyopathy become apparent by the carditis will develop would aid in triage and clinical
end of week 2 of infection but, in severe cases, may be management. We therefore conducted a prospective
a presenting feature [5]. Most of the large series de- study of newer diagnostic tools to assess clinical and
scribing the clinical and electrocardiographic features
laboratory findings that might predict the development
of diphtheria were reported 160 years ago, before the
of diphtheritic cardiomyopathy and poor outcome.
availability of modern electrocardiographic and bio-
Received 20 February 2004; accepted 29 June 2004; electronically published 8 Patients. The study was conducted at the Centre for
November 2004. Tropical Diseases (a referral center for patients with
Reprints or correspondence: Dr. Rachel Kneen, Roald Dahl EEG Unit, Royal
Liverpool Children’s NHS Trust, Alder Hey, Liverpool L12 2AP, United Kingdom diphtheria from Southern Vietnam), Ho Chi Minh City,
(rachel.kneen@blueyonder.co.uk). Vietnam. The study was approved by the center’s Sci-
Clinical Infectious Diseases 2004; 39:1591–8
2004 by the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved.
entific and Ethical Committee, and informed consent
1058-4838/2004/3911-0006$15.00 was obtained. Consecutive children (age, !17 years)
Children with
fatal cases Survivors
Feature (n p 12) (n p 142) OR (95% CI) P
Male sex 5 (42) 84 (59) 0.49 (0.13–1.84) .24
Age, median years (range) 7.5 (1.75–12) 5 (0.75–14) NA .08
Duration of illness, median days (range) 4.5 (3–12) 3 (1–20) NA .017
Rural residence 12 (100) 49 (35) NA !.0001
Sore throat 12 (100) 126 (89) NA .25
Cough 5 (42) 74 (52) 0.66 (0.17–2.45) .16
Malaise 8 (67) 62 (44) 2.58 (0.66–10.75) .22
Nasal discharge 5 (42) 44 (31) 1.59 (0.41–6) .32
Hoarse voice 10 (83) 38 (27) 13.68 (2.63–95.09) .0001
Facial or neck swelling 11 (92) 27 (19) 46.85 (5.8–1012.7) !.0001
Full primary diphtheria toxoid
immunization 0 35 (25) NA .04
Pretreatment with antibiotics 7 (58) 69 (49) 0.68 (0.18–2.52) .7
Received antitoxin before day 3 of illness 0 35 (25) NA .04
Admission temperature, median C (range) 37.5 (37–39.5) 38.2 (37–40.8) NA .01
Bull neck 12 (100) 22 (15) NA !.0001
Bleeding tendency 9 (75) 12 (8) 32.5 (6.7–178.8) !.0001
Stridor requiring tracheotomy 6 (50) 6 (4) 22.67 (4.67–117.15) !.0001
Diphtheritic cardiomyopathy at hospital
admission 10 (83) 3 (2) 231.7 (27.8–2811.5) !.0001
Clostridium diphtheriae isolated 11 (92) 23 (16) 56.9 (16.9–1237.3) !.0001
NOTE. Data are no. (%) of patients, unless otherwise indicated. NA, not applicable.
severity score of “severe” (tables 1 and 2). Forty-nine children fatal outcome (table 4). In a multiple logistic regression model,
(32%) had copious clear or blood-tinged nasal discharge, with the combination of bull neck and pseudomembrane admission
pseudomembrane visible in the nares (figure 3). Twelve of 31 score of 12 gave the best predictor of the development of diph-
patients with a pseudomembrane score of 12 died, compared theritic cardiomyopathy, correctly identifying 10 of 19 patients
with none of those with a lower pseudomembrane score (P ! who developed it and 120 of 122 patients who did not (sen-
.0001). In a multiple logistic regression model, the combination sitivity, 53%; specificity, 98%; PPV, 83%; NPV, 93%; OR, 31.6;
of the presence of diphtheritic cardiomyopathy at hospital ad- 95% CI, 5.9–306; P ! .0001). Among the 20 survivors of diph-
mission and a pseudomembrane score of 12 proved the best theritic cardiomyopathy, symptoms or abnormal clinical car-
predictor of fatal outcome, correctly identifying 10 of 12 fatal diac findings remained present for median of 10 days (range,
cases (sensitivity, 83%; specificity, 100%; PPV, 100%; NPV, 3–35 days).
99%; OR, 232; 95% CI, 35–1150; P ! .0001). The 28 children with symptomatic diphtheritic cardiomy-
Renal complications. Oliguric renal failure developed in opathy typically were tired and listless, looked pale and clammy,
all patients who died. The serum creatinine level on admission and had decreased appetite or vomiting. Frequent findings of
(corrected for age and sex) was more likely to be elevated in physical examinations included tachypnea, hepatomegaly, quiet
fatal cases (16 nonfatal cases vs. 11 fatal cases; OR, 86.6; 95% heart sounds, signs of cardiac enlargement, tachycardia, pal-
CI, 10.3–1916.8; P ! .0001) (table 3). Therefore, elevated serum pable ectopic beats, irregularly irregular heart beat, gallop
creatinine levels at admission predicted fatal outcome with a rhythm, new murmurs, poor peripheral perfusion, widening of
sensitivity of 92%, a specificity of 89%, a PPV of 41%, and an pulse pressure, and in severe cases, hypotension. Patients with
NPV of 99%.
Diphtheritic cardiomyopathy. Thirty-two children (21%)
developed either symptomatic or asymptomatic diphtheritic
cardiomyopathy: 13 (41%) had evidence of diphtheritic car-
diomyopathy at hospital admission, and 19 (59%) developed
diphtheritic cardiomyopathy subsequently. Twenty-eight pa-
tients with diphtheritic cardiomyopathy were symptomatic, but
4 remained asymptomatic (with cardiac rhythm abnormalities
as the only manifestation). Twelve children (37.5%) with diph-
theritic cardiomyopathy died. The median time from onset of
the infection to the manifestations of diphtheritic cardiomy-
opathy was shorter in fatal cases (5 days [range, 3–12 days] vs.
8 days [range, 2–20 days]; P p .03 ). In fatal cases, the median
time to death from the onset of the illness was 10 days (range,
4–24 days). For the 19 children who developed diphtheritic
cardiomyopathy after admission, the examination findings that Figure 3. An 8-year-old boy with diphtheria presenting with nasal
predicted its development were similar to those that predicted pseudomembrane and serous nasal discharge on day 5 of illness.
Children with
Survivors fatal cases
Laboratory value (n p 142) (n p 12) P
Creatinine, mg/dL 0.65 (0.28–1.42) 1.35 (0.9–2.0) !.0001
WBC count, ⫻109 cells/L 16.1 (6.4–34) 12 (12–26.3) .02
Platelet count, ⫻109 platelets/L 170 (108–200) 180 (102–290) .6
Creatinine phosphokinase, IU/L 81.5 (23–2196) 292 (99–3934) .0001
Lactate dehydrogenase, IU/L 278 (74–1303) 386 (253–802) .01
Aspartate aminotransferase, IU/L 37 (12–286) 119 (47–370) !.0001
Cardiac troponin T, ng/mL 0 (0–0.07) 0.09 (0–0.2) !.0001
severe cases developed signs and chest radiographic abnor- made for 79 patients. Seventy children (89%) had abnormalities
malities consistent with pulmonary edema. detected on their first 24-h electrocardiograph. At the time of
Admission 12-lead electrocardiography findings. Abnor- their first 24-h electrocardiographic recording, 13 children had
malities of heart rate or rhythm occurred in all 32 children diphtheritic cardiomyopathy (symptomatic or asymptomatic),
with diphtheritic cardiomyopathy. Initial 12-lead electrocar- and all had abnormalities detected. Among the remaining 66
diographic abnormalities associated with a fatal outcome were children, results of 24-h electrocardiography at admission were
complete heart block (P ! .05 ) and ischemic changes (P ! .01), normal for 47 (71%), if sinus tachycardia is accepted as a variant
whereas sinus tachycardia was associated with a good outcome of normal, and 1 of these children subsequently developed
(P ! .01) (table 5). diphtheritic cardiomyopathy. Nineteen children had abnormal
Fatal cases. All patients with fatal cases died of diphtheritic 24-h electrocardiographic results at admission, and 11 of these
cardiomyopathy. They all developed worsening heart failure subsequently developed diphtheritic cardiomyopathy (OR,
and died during a cardiac arrest. Two children developed per- 63.3; 95% CI, 6.6–1507.2; P ! .0001). Thus, the presence of an
sistent ventricular tachycardia 2 and 4 h before death. The abnormality other than sinus tachycardia on a 24-h electro-
development of complete heart block occurred in 9 cases; all cardiograph at admission predicted the development of diph-
were fatal. In 4 patients, complete heart block developed sud- theritic cardiomyopathy with a sensitivity of 92%, a specificity
denly and was the first electrocardiographic abnormality, but of 85%, a PPV of 58%, and an NPV of 98%. Only 7 of these
in 5, complete heart block followed other electrocardiographic children were already predicted to develop diphtheritic cardio-
abnormalities and was an agonal finding. Four patients (3 with myopathy by clinical predictors. Thus, 24-h electrocardiogra-
fatal cases) had a temporary cardiac pacemaker inserted (be- phy improved our ability to predict diphtheritic cardiomyop-
tween days 7 and 11) as part of a prospective trial [10]. athy by 57%.
Twenty-four-hour electrocardiography results. A total of Serial 24-h electrocardiography was performed for 39 pa-
125 continuous 24-h electrocardiographic recordings were tients (32 had 2 recordings and 7 had 3 recordings). For 13
Table 4. Predictors for the development of diphtheritic cardiomyopathy after hospital ad-
mission among 141 children with diphtheria.
NOTE. Data are no. (%) of patients. Thirteen children with diphtheritic cardiomyopathy at presentation are
excluded.