0 оценок0% нашли этот документ полезным (0 голосов)
19 просмотров1 страница
This document discusses regression analysis, a common forecasting method that establishes relationships between dependent and independent variables like demand, income, and prices. A regression equation is derived assuming a linear relationship in the form of Y=A+BX, which can be used to estimate demand given values of independent variables. The method produces reliable results by using causal relationships, explains economic phenomena, and forecasts magnitude of change, but requires complex calculations, time, and estimating values of causal variables.
This document discusses regression analysis, a common forecasting method that establishes relationships between dependent and independent variables like demand, income, and prices. A regression equation is derived assuming a linear relationship in the form of Y=A+BX, which can be used to estimate demand given values of independent variables. The method produces reliable results by using causal relationships, explains economic phenomena, and forecasts magnitude of change, but requires complex calculations, time, and estimating values of causal variables.
This document discusses regression analysis, a common forecasting method that establishes relationships between dependent and independent variables like demand, income, and prices. A regression equation is derived assuming a linear relationship in the form of Y=A+BX, which can be used to estimate demand given values of independent variables. The method produces reliable results by using causal relationships, explains economic phenomena, and forecasts magnitude of change, but requires complex calculations, time, and estimating values of causal variables.
This is a very common method of forecasting demand. Under this
method a relationship is established between quantity demanded (dependent variable) and independent variables such as income, price of the good, prices of the related goods, etc. Once the relationship is established, we derive regression equation assuming relationship to be linear. The equation will be of the form Y = A+ BX. There could also be a curvy linear relationship between dependent and independent variables. Once the regression equation is derived the value of Y,i.e, quantity demanded can be estimated for any given value of X.
Advantages of Regression Method
1) As the method is based on causal relationships, it produces reliable and accurate results. 2) Besides generating the forecast, it also explains the economic phenomenon. 3)It is neither as subjective as the qualitative techniques nor as mechanistic as the quantitative ones 4) This method not only forecasts the direction but also the magnitude of the change. 5) The method is quite consistent.
Disadvantages of Regression Method
1)The method uses complex calculations. 2) It is costly and time consuming, 3) It requires the use of some other forecasting technique for estimating the value of the causal variables.
Mental Math: How to Develop a Mind for Numbers, Rapid Calculations and Creative Math Tricks (Including Special Speed Math for SAT, GMAT and GRE Students)