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马来西亚
RHB Research
技术分析 Institute Sdn Bhd
A member of the
RHB Banking Group
Company No: 233327 -M
每日交投策略
MARKET DATELINE
2010 年 10 月 6 日
市场技术解读
短期交投情绪已再度转俏…
图 1∶
∶富时大马综合指数(
富时大马综合指数(FBM KLCI)(
)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 2∶
∶富时大马综合指数(
富时大马综合指数(单日线图)
单日线图)
本地股市的交投指引∶
♦ 随着数码网络(Digi)开盘时立即回弹并推动其它蓝筹股走高,这成功带动马股周二迅速从前一日的跌势中复苏。
♦ 大部分区域股市在收盘时起落参半,基于投资者消化有关日本出人意表地调低利率和隔夜美国股市收低的消息。日本银行
(Bank Of Japan)将隔夜利率从之前的 0.10%,降低至 0.0% 至 0.10% 之间。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 不过,鉴于动力解读好坏参半,加上交投量也缓和下来,它必须在今日进一步取得更多确认讯号。
♦ 否则的话,它将伺机在靠近 10 日移动平均线筑起一道基础。
Page 1 of 6
请仔细阅读位于本报告尾页的重要披露(
请仔细阅读位于本报告尾页的重要披露( IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES)
2010 年 10 月 6 日
每日交投策略∶
每日交投策略∶
♦ 虽然好坏参半的动力解读或会导致市场谨慎,但如果它能趁着隔夜华尔街股市的涨势而于今日取得一根确认性阳烛的话,那
么它将放眼进一步反弹至 9 月的 1,479.59 点高点。
表 1 ∶每日统计 表 2∶
∶主要海外指数及原产品
9月 9月 10 月 10 月 10 月 变动 变动
收盘
股市摘要 29 日 30 日 1日 4日 5日 本地主要指数 (点) (%))
上升股 富时大马综合指数 1,472.19 9.92 0.7
430 329 422 501 319
下跌股 富时大马 100 指数 9,663.24 53.39 0.6
283 399 327 295 411
平盘 富时大马创业板 3,975.44 -3.92 -0.1
306 280 267 258 290
无交易 各大海外指数
330 346 338 299 337
道琼斯工商指数 10,944.72 193.45 1.8
市场资本 纳斯达克指数 2,399.83 55.31 2.4
总成交量 标准与普尔 500 1,160.75 23.72 2.1
(百万股) 905 1,052 974 1,369 986
伦敦金融时报指数 5,635.76 79.79 1.4
总成交值 恒生指数 22,639.14 20.48 0.1
(百万令吉) 1,449 1,718 1,469 1,707 1,505 雅加达综合指数 3,591.70 22.20 0.6
东京日经 225 指数 9,518.76 137.70 1.5
首尔综合指数 1,878.94 -0.35 0.0
外汇 上海综合指数 休市 休市
2,655.66
令吉兑美元 3.0835 3.0835 3.0855 3.0910 3.0963 曼谷综合指数 969.28 5.06 0.5
新加坡海峡时报指数 3,162.36 4.91 0.2
资料来源∶RHBInvest &彭博社( Bloomberg)
台湾加权指数 8,200.43 -45.67 -0.6
印度 Sensex 指数 20,407.71 -68.02 -0.3
主要原产品
纽约商品交易所
(NYMEX)原油期货
(每桶/美元) 82.82 1.35 1.7
MDEX 原棕油 – 第 3
个月 (每公吨/令吉) 2,705.00 39.00 1.5
美国利率 目前 最新
10 年 9 月
隔夜联邦基金利率 0-0.25% 无变动
21 日
下个联邦公开市场操作
2010 年 11 月 2 日-3 日
委员会(FOMC)会议
Page 2 of 6
2010 年 10 月 6 日
图 3∶
∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(
)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 4∶
∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(
)(单日线图
)(单日线图)
单日线图)
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 一如现货市场强力反弹一样,吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)周二从前日的临尾卖压中大力回弹。
♦ 加上短期动力指标也转升,图表显示即日将会出现更多复苏走势。
♦ 为了恢复之前的多头涨势,它必须完全破除 1,485.5 点。
♦ 简言之,任何复苏的尝试将取决于它能否守在 10 日移动平均线以上。如果它能做到,这将会重新启动之前的涨势。
每日交投策略∶
每日交投策略∶
♦ 随着它昨日以一根阳烛突破前日的阴烛,FKLI 今日已准备扩大其反弹。
表 3∶∶吉隆坡综合期货指数
吉隆坡综合期货指数(
坡综合期货指数(FKLI))收盘
月份)
月份
FKLI (月份 变动
合约 开盘 最高 最低 收盘 (点) 结算 成交量 未平仓宗数
10 年 10 月 1467.50 1476.50 1466.50 1475.50 11.00 1475.00 3979 21201
10 年 11 月 1469.00 1476.00 1468.00 1475.00 11.00 1475.00 103 59
10 年 12 月 1473.00 1475.00 1467.50 1474.50 10.50 1474.50 48 392
11 年 3 月 1474.00 1495.00 1469.50 1470.50 5.50 1473.50 8 142
Page 3 of 6
2010 年 10 月 6 日
图 5∶
∶美国道琼斯工商指数(
美国道琼斯工商指数(DJIA)
)(日线图
日线图)
日线图 图 6∶
∶美国纳斯达克指数(
美国纳斯达克指数( Nasdaq)
)(日线图
日线图)
日线图
美国股市的交投指引∶
美国股市的交投指引∶
♦ 由于市场憧憬全球中央银行将推出另一轮经济振兴措施,激励了美股周二恢复涨势,而飙升至将近 5 个月的高峰。
♦ 结果,投资者推高了股票和原产品,包括原油和黄金价格。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
Page 4 of 6
2010 年 10 月 6 日
每日技术焦点∶
每日技术焦点∶
图 7∶
∶ 马化国际(
马化国际( Mulpha)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 8∶
∶ 马化国际(
马化国际(单日线图)
单日线图)
♦ 不过,它近来成功发动一轮技术反弹,而沿着 10 日移动平均线趋升。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 10 日移动平均线(
日移动平均线(10-day SMA): RM0.414
♦ 40 日移动平均线(
日移动平均线(40-day SMA): RM0.4092
Page 5 of 6
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
This report has been prepared by RHB Research Institute Sdn Bhd (RHBRI) and is for private circulation only to clients of RHBRI and RHB Investment Bank Berhad
(previously known as RHB Sakura Merchant Bankers Berhad). It is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. The
opinions and information contained herein are based on generally available data believed to be reliable and are subject to change without notice, and may differ or
be contrary to opinions expressed by other business units within the RHB Group as a result of using different assumptions and criteria. This report is not to be
construed as an offer, invitation or solicitation to buy or sell the securities covered herein. RHBRI does not warrant the accuracy of anything stated herein in any
manner whatsoever and no reliance upon such statement by anyone shall give rise to any claim whatsoever against RHBRI. RHBRI and/or its associated persons
may from time to time have an interest in the securities mentioned by this report.
This report does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives
of persons who receive it. The securities discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors. RHBRI recommends that investors independently evaluate
particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. The appropriateness of a particular investment or
strategy will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. Neither RHBRI, RHB Group nor any of its affiliates, employees or agents accepts
any liability for any loss or damage arising out of the use of all or any part of this report.
RHBRI and the Connected Persons (the “RHB Group”) are engaged in securities trading, securities brokerage, banking and financing activities as well as providing
investment banking and financial advisory services. In the ordinary course of its trading, brokerage, banking and financing activities, any member of the RHB
Group may at any time hold positions, and may trade or otherwise effect transactions, for its own account or the accounts of customers, in debt or equity
securities or loans of any company that may be involved in this transaction.
“Connected Persons” means any holding company of RHBRI, the subsidiaries and subsidiary undertaking of such a holding company and the respective directors,
officers, employees and agents of each of them. Investors should assume that the “Connected Persons” are seeking or will seek investment banking or other
services from the companies in which the securities have been discussed/covered by RHBRI in this report or in RHBRI’s previous reports.
This report has been prepared by the research personnel of RHBRI. Facts and views presented in this report have not been reviewed by, and may not reflect
information known to, professionals in other business areas of the “Connected Persons,” including investment banking personnel.
The research analysts, economists or research associates principally responsible for the preparation of this research report have received compensation based
upon various factors, including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors and firm revenues.
Technical Recommendation:
Trading Buy = Short-term positive opportunity spotted. It is an aggressive trading recommendation with a book to sellers’ price for short-term technical upside.
Bargain Buy = Short-term positive but technical signals have yet to trigger a rally. Traders can park and queue for their desired entry level within a small range.
Buy on Weakness = Short- to Medium-term positiveness anticipated, but technical readings are still negative. Traders can pick-up the stock for future rally.
Sell on Strength = Short-term momentum still positive, Traders are advice to lock in profit base on current strength.
Take Profit = Short-term target achieved. Traders are advice to exit before the technical readings turn bearish.
Avoid = Risky situation in the short-term and high volatility expected on the share price. Traders’ best strategy is staying away until it stabilises.
Technical recommendations are generally short-term in nature and may differ from RHBRI’s equity fundamental view and recommendation on the same company.
RHBRI is a participant of the CMDF-Bursa Research Scheme and will receive compensation for the participation. Additional information on recommended
securities, subject to the duties of confidentiality, will be made available upon request.
This report may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, without the written permission of RHBRI and RHBRI accepts no liability whatsoever for the
actions of third parties in this respect.
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