Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Competence to develop:
Topics to develop:
The academic course consists of three (3) academic credits, whose field of training is the
discipline and has a professional nature- elective in the program of industrial engineering
that offer the UNAD; in addition, it is theoretical. After you understand and internalize the
knowledge of the three preliminary courses of operations research (linear programming
methods deterministic, probabilistic methods) and the support in the acquired knowledge
in statistics and probability and Statistical Inference, the student is able to start the course
of decision theory, where it seeks to understand the methods, operations and definitions
on the different techniques of application in the decisions that depend on the type and
quality of the information obtained.
Phase 2 - Solve problems by applying the algorithms of the Unit 1, taking into account
the following steps:
Stage 6. Individual activity: Individual review of the activity guide and bibliographical
references required and complementary for the development of the activity.
Group activities:
Stage 7. Discussion and analysis of the problems raised, revision of the algorithms to be
applied and development of the activities proposed in the Collaborative Learning
Environment.
Note: Collaborative activities must be developed individually to meet all the problems
solved, the team discusses, corrects, consolidates and presents the contributions of all
the participants in the activity. To divide among the members of the collaborative groups
the proposed problems is not a methodology of the course, as the qualification will be
done according to the contributions presented individually.
Stage 8. Development of practical activities, use of Excel Solver. Review of the guides in
the Practical Learning Environment
Stage 10. Consolidation of the final work and rise in the Evaluation and Monitoring
Environment.
Activities to develop
Stage 7. The team should use the knowledge they already have, the details of the
problems that are proposed and that will be discussed for its subsequent resolution. It
outlines the possible algorithms that will need to solve each of the proposed problems of
decision making under a certainty environment. Generate a list of response methods
group, then solve them according to the following indications of the problem:
Teratex, a textile company that has a productive experience in the foreign market of 25
years, must decide if it manufactures a new product in its main plant, or if on the contrary
the purchase from an external supplier. The profits depend on the demand of the product.
The table shows projected profits, in millions of dollars.
Teratextyl, a textile company that has a productive experience in the foreign market of
30 years, must decide if it manufactures a new product in its main plant, or if on the
contrary the purchase from an external supplier. The profits depend on the demand of
the product. The table shows projected profits, in millions of dollars.
According to the corresponding information in Table 1 and the Predicted Value of Perfect
Information (EVPI) theory, the Expected Value of Sample Information (EVMI) and Decision
Trees, respond:
a. Use EVPI to determine if the company should try to get a better estimate of the
demand.
According to the corresponding information in Table 2 and the Predicted Value of Perfect
Information (EVPI) theory, the Expected Value of Sample Information (EVMI) and Decision
Trees, respond:
e. Use EVPI to determine if the company should try to get a better estimate of the
demand.
According to the corresponding information in Table 3 and the Predicted Value of Perfect
Information (EVPI) theory, the Expected Value of Sample Information (EVMI) and Decision
Trees, respond:
i. Use EVPI to determine if the company should try to get a better estimate of the
demand.
Step 8. Enter the Practical Environment, carefully review the Guide for the use of
educational resources, explore the use of Decision Making Under Risk to solve and analyze
the problems of the Expected value. This is a free application that allows educational use
only, although it is limited in variables and states, it is excellent to find the values defined
by the Expected value of perfect information.
PART 3. USE OF E-PORTFOLIO
Step 9. Individually fill out the e-portfolio journal, so that you can verify the registration
of your difficulties and strengths with the activity of the practical environment, recognizing
the contribution for your professional life the use of the algorithms of the course, which
is in the Evaluation and follow-up environment, to record what is identified in the e-
portfolio in the conclusions of the collaborative work that is found in the Collaborative
Learning environment and thus consolidate the definitive group work.
Step 10. The leader of the group should upload a single PDF file in the Evaluation and
Monitoring Environment, in the designated space called Phase 2. Collaborative Work 1.
Environment
Collaborative learning environment - Evaluation and monitoring
for the
environment
development
Individual:
None in this activity.
Collaborative:
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course.