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How Well do Skinfold Equations Predict Percent


Body Fat in Elite Soccer Players?

Article in International Journal of Sports Medicine · April 2009


DOI: 10.1055/s-0029-1202353 · Source: PubMed

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Training & Testing 607

How Well do Skinfold Equations Predict Percent Body


Fat in Elite Soccer Players?

Authors T. Reilly1, K. George1, M. Marfell-Jones2, M. Scott1, L. Sutton1, J. A. Wallace3


1
Affiliations Research Institute for Sport & Exercise Sciences, Liverpool John Moores University, Liverpool, United Kingdom
2
Department of Health Sciences, Universal College of Learning, Palmerston North, New Zealand
3
Department of Sport and Exercise Science, Aberystwyth University, Aberystwyth, United Kingdom

Key words Abstract to determine a novel soccer-specific equation.

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●▶ adiposity & All players had a reference estimate of percent
●▶ BMI
The use of generic equations for estimating per- fat by dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA).
●▶ DXA
cent body fat from skinfold thicknesses can be The existing skinfold equations differed from
●▶ fat patterning
criticised when applied to specific sports. The the DXA-referenced values by varying degrees,
●▶ skinfold
present aims were to compare existing methods the equation of Withers et al. (1987) demon-
of using skinfold data and to derive an equation strating the lowest bias and highest relationship
for predicting body fat values in professional soc- and agreement with DXA. Regression analysis
cer players. Forty-five professional soccer players resulted in an equation incorporating anterior
(24.2 ± 5.0 years; 82.0 ± 8.5 kg; 1.82 ± 0.07 m) par- thigh, abdominal, triceps and medial calf sites,
ticipated. Skinfold thicknesses were assessed at accounting for 78.4 % variance in DXA criterion
eight sites for the application of existing predic- values.
tion equations. Skinfold data were also utilised

Introduction who may display extremes of body composition


& and fat distribution. In particular, the density of
The assessment of body composition, and specifi- the fat-free mass is assumed to be constant, as is
cally percent body fat, is regularly undertaken the density of the fat-free mass compartment.
when high-performance athletes are being moni- Athletes tend to have a larger muscle mass and a
accepted after revision tored as they progress through their seasonal fit- higher bone density than normal, a trend which
January 19, 2009
ness goals. Most athletes attempt to reduce would affect these assumptions [10]. These defi-
adiposity levels alongside improving their fit- ciencies have led to the use of dual-energy X-ray
Bibliography
ness, although there are no defined optimal val- absorptiometry (DXA), or multi-compartment
DOI 10.1055/s-0029-1202353
Published online: ues for specific sports, apart from reference models frequently including DXA, as a reference
March 19, 2009 figures provided from descriptive data for per- method for assessment of body composition.
Int J Sports Med 2009; 30: cent body fat. Reliance on such databases, how- Whilst remaining a clinical and experimental
607–613 © Georg Thieme ever, can be fraught with error when the tool, DXA is a promising candidate in any
Verlag KG Stuttgart · New York observations are made on different groups of comparison of methods for analysis of body com-
ISSN 0172-4622
varying fitness levels and at different phases of position.
preparation for the competitive season [10]. Skinfold thicknesses have long been utilised to
Correspondence
Additionally, a major source of error may arise predict body fat, with in excess of one hundred
L. Sutton
Department of Sport and from the method employed to obtain the data equations being reported for this purpose. Such
Exercise Science that provide an estimate of body fat mass. Fur- use, however, has been criticised due its depend-
Liverpool John Moores Uni- ther, the utilisation of generic databases and pre- ence on the quantitative assumptions associated
versity diction models may introduce appreciable error. with hydrodensitometry, the means by which
Henry Cotton Building The validity of existing predictive formulae for the equations were validated [6], as well as the
Liverpool
estimating whole-body fat mass has been estab- problems associated with the choice of equation
United Kingdom
L3 2ET
lished using hydrodensitometry. Though this [26]. Nevertheless, the assessment of skinfolds
Tel.: + 151/231/43 19 method has been long regarded as the best alter- (SKF) is widely adopted when monitoring changes
Fax: + 151/231/43 53 native to a ‘gold standard’, the assumptions in in body composition due to training or dietary
L.Sutton@2003.ljmu.ac.uk densitometry may not hold true for elite athletes interventions, and is suitable for field contexts

Reilly T et al. Skinfold Equations for Elite Soccer Players … Int J Sports Med 2009; 30: 607–613
608 Training & Testing

with athletes in training camps and sports clubs. For many years, abdominal, anterior thigh and medial calf) were marked and
the most common approach was to determine the skinfold thick- measured. Data were collected by two ISAK Criterion Anthro-
ness at four sites: biceps, triceps, subscapular and iliac crest [9]. pometrists. Duplicate measurements were obtained from each
This concentration on upper-body sites only, however, is unrep- site and a third measure was triggered if the technical error of
resentative of the body as a whole and is theoretically problem- measurement advised by ISAK was exceeded. Harpenden skin-
atic in athletes who train the lower limbs. The concerns led Reilly fold callipers (Cranlea, Birmingham, UK) were used in collection
et al. [16] to recommend the use of summed skinfolds (ΣSKF) in of data.
regular assessments, including five skinfold sites – the four loca- A new prediction equation was derived from the data obtained
tions used by Durnin and Womersley [9] plus the anterior from the 45 soccer players. A series of existing equations was
thigh. applied to the dataset to estimate percent body fat: Durnin and
Whilst equations are available for estimating percent body fat in Womersley [9]; Lohman [12]; Withers et al. [26] (The equation
the general population, little attention has been directed towards of Withers et al. [ %BF = 495/(1.0988–0.0004*Σ7) − 450] was
the generation of sports-specific equations. Errors in applying derived from the 1987 dataset, but not published in full in the
generic equations are likely due to the specificity of sports caus- original study; the Σ7 is all sites, minus the iliac crest); and Eston
ing a distinct fat patterning and the narrow range of adiposity to and co-workers’ Σ2 and Σ6SKF [11]. Where body density was cal-
be expected at the elite level. This homogeneity is promoted in culated from a formula, the formula of Siri [19] was used to esti-
sports such as professional soccer (association football), where mate percent body fat. The Σ4SKF [9], the British Olympic
individuals function within a team unit and participate mostly Association’s Σ5SKF [16], the Σ8SKF (sum of all measured skinfold
in common training practices. Soccer is the most popular sport sites) and the body mass index (BMI) were employed as predic-
worldwide, with 205 national associations affiliated to the inter- tors of adiposity.

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national governing body and around 240 million active partici-
pants. Since assessment of body composition is a routine feature Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry
of monitoring competitive soccer players, the need for a dedi- All 45 participants underwent measurement of percent body fat
cated equation to estimate percent body fat of participants is ( %BF) by DXA (Hologic QDR Series Discovery A, Bedford, MA).
apparent. The aims of this study were to: 1) Compare existing The adult whole-body fan-beam mode (QDR for Windows Ver-
methods of using skinfold data with a DXA assessment; and 2) sion 12:4:3) was used according to standard protocol. All par-
Derive a ‘novel’ equation for predicting body fat values in elite ticipants were asked about current injuries, orthopaedic pins or
soccer players. implants, and then to remove any jewellery and other metal
objects from their person. The participants assumed a station-
ary, supine position on the bed, with hands level with the hips
Methods and feet slightly apart. Total scan time was approximately three
& minutes. Each scan was performed and analysed by the same
Participants investigator.
In total, 45 male professional soccer players from three Premier
League clubs agreed to participate in the study. The majority of Statistical analysis
the data were collected prior to the commencement of the com- Assessment of residuals using the Shapiro-Wilk test revealed a
petitive season. The mean ± SD age, mass and height were violation of the assumption of normality in the raw skinfold
24.2 ± 5.0 years, 82.0 ± 8.5 kg and 1.82 ± 0.07 m, respectively. Data data; therefore, Spearman’s rho was used in establishing the
from all 45 participants were used to assess the different meth- relationships between DXA values and skinfold thickness values.
ods of predicting percent body fat or adiposity and to generate a The technical error of measurement of each anthropometrist
soccer-specific skinfold equation. The participants could be was calculated. Summed skinfold values and predicted percent
regarded as highly trained at the time of observation. Written fat values did not violate the assumption of normality of distri-
informed consent was received from all players prior to testing. bution. Existing skinfold equations were compared through the
Ethics approval for this study was obtained from the Institution’s assessment of bias, correlations and limits of agreement. When
Research Ethics Committee. assessing agreement, data showed heteroscedasticity and, as
log-transformation had an adverse effect on the normality of
Research design distribution and did not remove fully the relationship between
Assessments were conducted according to the anthropometric the differences and the size of the measurement, a regression-
profile recommended by the International Society for the based approach was used to calculate 95 % limits of agreement.
Advancement of Kinanthropometry (ISAK [13]). All of the par- With this approach, the relationship between the difference and
ticipants were further assessed using DXA. The skinfold data the magnitude is accounted for by modelling the variability in
were applied to a number of existing methods commonly the SD of the difference directly as a function of the level of the
reported in the literature for the prediction of adiposity and per- measurement using linear regression [2]. Relationships between
cent body fat, and comparisons were made with DXA values. A DXA and BMI and the ΣSKF methods were determined using Pear-
new prediction equation was derived from the skinfold and the son’s correlation coefficient with 95 % confidence intervals. Step-
DXA data using multiple regression analysis. wise multiple regression analysis was performed using the
skinfold and DXA data, from which a ‘novel’ soccer-specific pre-
Anthropometry diction equation was derived. Data for the regression analysis
Height (stretched stature), mass and skinfold measurements conformed to the assumptions of homoscedasticity, independ-
were taken according to standard procedures used by ISAK [13]. ent and normally distributed errors, and no multicollinearity.
Body mass index (BMI) was calculated and eight skinfold thick- Statistical analyses were conducted with SPSS for Windows ver-
nesses (triceps, biceps, subscapular, iliac crest, supraspinale,

Reilly T et al. Skinfold Equations for Elite Soccer Players … Int J Sports Med 2009; 30: 607–613
Training & Testing 609

Table 1 Technical error of measurement for skinfold measurements.

Anthropometrist 1 Anthropometrist 2
TEM % TEM %
triceps 0.15 1.96 0.08 1.51
subscapular 0.13 1.76 0.13 1.77
biceps 0.07 1.83 0.14 3.99
iliac crest 0.21 1.42 0.16 1.95
supraspinale 0.15 2.00 0.20 3.35
abdominal 0.33 2.10 0.15 1.64
anterior thigh 0.24 2.26 0.19 2.76
medial calf 0.16 2.37 0.13 2.97
TEM = technical error of measurement

Table 2 The relationships between the different skinfold sites and percent Table 3 Relationships between DXA-derived body fat values and i) existing
body fat by DXA in professional soccer players (n = 45). equations for the prediction of percent body fat and ii) prediction of adiposity
by BMI and the ΣSKF method in professional soccer players (n = 45).
DXA rs 95 % CI
triceps 0.64 0.45–0.77 DXA r 95 % CI
subscapular 0.40 0.15–0.60 i) Durnin and Womersley (1974) 0.83 0.70–0.90

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biceps 0.39 0.15–0.59 Lohman (1981) 0.83 0.72–0.91
iliac crest 0.60 0.40–0.74 Withers et al. (1998) 0.88 0.80–0.94
supraspinale 0.51 0.29–0.68 Eston et al. (2005) Σ2 0.85 0.74–0.92
abdominal 0.62 0.43–0.76 Eston et al. (2005) Σ6 0.86 0.76–0.92
anterior thigh 0.63 0.45–0.77 ii) BMI 0.19 − 0.07–0.43
medial calf 0.52 0.30–0.68 Σ4SKF (triceps, subscapular, triceps, iliac crest) 0.80 0.68–0.88
CI = confidence interval Σ4SKF (thigh, abdominal, triceps, calf) 0.88 0.81–0.93
Σ5SKF 0.84 0.74–0.90
Σ8SKF 0.88 0.80–0.92
sion 14 (SPSS, Chicago, IL); an alpha-level of .05 was used for all BMI = body mass index; CI = confidence intervals
significance tests. Σ5SKF = biceps, subscapular, triceps, iliac crest, anterior thigh; Σ8SKF = biceps, sub-
scapular, triceps, iliac crest, supraspinale, abdominal, anterior thigh, medial calf.

Results and Womersley [9]) agreement with DXA are displayed in


& ●▶ Figs. 1, 2, respectively. The remaining existing equations all

The technical error of measurement expressed as an absolute showed similar trends to ● ▶ Figs. 1, 2, with regression-based

value and percentage value for the two anthropometrists is 95 % limits of agreement ranges between 4.7 % and 5.4 % (● ▶ Table

shown in ● ▶ Table 1. The coefficient of variation for DXA relative 4).


body fat values within the laboratory is 1.25 %. The gradient of the line depicting the predicted difference
The mean total percent body fat ( %BF) from the DXA method for between %BF obtained by DXA and the equation of Withers et al.
the professional soccer players was 11.2 ± 1.8 %. The relationship [26] indicates reduced accuracy at the extremes of body fat
between each skinfold site and DXA-derived %BF is shown in within the present sample, with the equation slightly underesti-
●▶ Table 2. mating those with very low %BF and overestimating those with
All of the skinfold equations showed strong, positive correlations relatively high %BF. The present reference %BF results derived
with DXA (● ▶ Table 3). The highest correlation was shown by the using DXA range from 7.9 % to 14.3 %. In a practical sense, for an
equation of Withers et al. [26]; however, caution must be exer- average %BF of 7.9 %, there is a bias of − 1.9 %BF between DXA and
cised when comparing correlation coefficients, given the rela- the equation of Withers et al. [26], whilst for an average %BF of
tively wide ranges and overlap between the 95 % confidence 14.3 %, assuming DXA to be the ‘true’ value, the equation appears
intervals. The sum of the four sites used in the ‘novel’ equation to overestimate %BF by 1.6 %. The 95 % limits of agreement
(anterior thigh, abdominal, triceps and medial calf) showed a between methods cover a range of 4.4 % body fat (● ▶ Fig. 1).

strong correlation with DXA reference %BF, and was greater than The predicted difference () between %BF obtained by DXA and
that of the traditional Σ4SKF [9]. Again, it is difficult to draw firm predicted by the equation of Durnin and Womersley [9] indi-
conclusions due to the width of the 95 % confidence intervals. cates low bias at the lower end of the range of %BF found in the
There was no significant correlation between BMI and refer- professional soccer players, but reduced accuracy the higher
ence %BF values (p = 0.201). the %BF (●▶ Fig. 2), with the skinfold equation producing higher

The agreement between the different skinfold equations and values than DXA. In a practical sense, the predicted difference
DXA-derived %BF was assessed using a regression-based between the methods would be only 0.2 % for players with an
approach. Although sloping, the range between the upper and average %BF of 7.9 %, but at the other end of the range, the equa-
lower regression-based limits of agreement remains the same tion of Durnin and Womersley [9] would appear to overesti-
across the increases in %BF. The mean difference between meth- mate %BF by 4.0 %. The 95 % limits of agreement are wider than
ods and the 95 % limits of agreement varied depending on the those in ●▶ Fig. 1, indicating a lower agreement between meth-

average %BF. For comparative purposes, the two skinfold equa- ods (the limits demonstrating the interval within which 95 % of
tions showing the best (Withers et al. [26]) and worst (Durnin the differences between DXA and skinfold methods would be

Reilly T et al. Skinfold Equations for Elite Soccer Players … Int J Sports Med 2009; 30: 607–613
610 Training & Testing

Fig. 1 Difference in percent body fat and


regression-based 95 % limits of agreement for
DXA and the skinfold equation of Withers et al.
[26] in professional soccer players (n = 45).
ULOA = upper limit of agreement; LLOA = lower
limit of agreement; D̂ = predicted mean difference
between methods.

Fig. 2 Difference in percent body fat and


regression-based 95 % limits of agreement for
DXA and the skinfold equation of Durnin and
Womersley [9] in professional soccer players
(n = 45). ULOA = upper limit of agreement;

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LLOA = lower limit of agreement; D̂ = predicted
mean difference between methods.

Table 4 Agreement between DXA-determined percent body fat and values given by skinfold equations for professional soccer players (n = 45).

Gradient Intercept SD of residuals 95 % rLoA range


Durnin and Womersley (1974) 0.65 − 5.34 1.44 5.6
Lohman (1981) 0.73 − 7.81 1.39 5.4
Withers et al. (1998) 0.54 − 6.15 1.11 4.4
Eston et al. (2005) Σ2 0.57 − 4.19 1.22 4.8
Eston et al. (2005) Σ6 0.49 − 4.76 1.20 4.7
rLoA = regression-based limits of agreement
(see ●
▶ Figs. 1, 2 for a graphical representation)

expected to lie). The coefficients from the analysis of agreement sample. Of the existing formulae, the seven-site skinfold equa-
between the remaining equations and DXA are provided in tion of Withers et al. [26] proved to be the most accurate and
●▶ Table 4. highly correlated with DXA-derived %BF. The skinfold data were
The combination of anterior thigh, abdominal, triceps and also used to derive a ‘novel’ soccer-specific skinfold equation.
medial calf sites selected by the stepwise procedure explained The equation of Stein [20] was used to indicate how well the
78.4 % variance in DXA total %BF. The new formula produced derived equation should predict %BF using other samples from
was: the same population. The resulting adjusted R2 value predicts
%BF = 5.174 + (0.124 × thigh) + (0.147 × abdominal) + (0.196 × trice that if the ‘novel’ equation were applied to completely different
ps) + (0.130 × calf) samples from the same population, on average it would account
The equation of Stein [20] was employed to estimate the average for 73.2 % variance in %BF. This value indicates potentially good
cross-validation predictive power. The adjusted R2 value was predictive power for the equation in any subsequent cross-vali-
found to be 0.732. dation studies. More extensive validation work with elite soccer
players is warranted, as the parsimonious use of four skinfold
sites would provide a great advantage in the field-based assess-
Discussion ment of %BF in soccer players. The equation of Withers et al. [26]
& employs seven skinfold sites. The use of only four sites, without
The skinfold formulae compared in this study showed similar any significant loss in predictive accuracy, would represent an
relationships, but varied in terms of their bias and agreement important economical use of available time, particularly when
with DXA. The equations all overestimated %BF to varying assessments are made on entire squads of players. Therefore,
degrees at the higher end of the body fat range in the present

Reilly T et al. Skinfold Equations for Elite Soccer Players … Int J Sports Med 2009; 30: 607–613
Training & Testing 611

Table 5 Reported values for percent body fat for elite soccer players estimated by means of generalised skinfold equations. Means ± SD are cited.

Source N Age (years) Competitive level Occasion %BF


Al Hazzaa et al. (2001) 23 25.2 ± 2.3 Saudi professionals Mid-season 12.3 ± 2.7
Bury et al. (1998) 15 24.2 ± 2.6 Belgian professionals Mid-season 7.9 ± 1.6
Casajus (2001) 15 26.3 ± 3.1 Spanish professionals Mid-season 8.2 ± 0.9
Dunbar and Power (1995) 18 22.5 ± 3.6 English professional Mid-season 12.6 ± 2.9
Mujika et al. (2000) 17 20.3 ± 1.4 Spanish professionals End of season 7.9 ± 1.6
Rienzi et al. (2000) 11 26.2 ± 4.0 South American internationals Copa de America finals 11.6 ± 3.3
Strudwick et al. (2002) 19 22.0 ± 2.0 English Premier League Mid-season 11.2 ± 1.8
Tiryaki et al. (1995) 16 18.0–30.0 Turkish Div. 1 Mid-season 7.6 ± 0.7
16 18.0–30.0 Turkish Div. 2 7.1 ± 0.4
16 18.0–30.0 Turkish Div. 3 7.2 ± 0.5
White et al. (1988) 27 26.0 ± 4.8 Top English League Pre-season 19.3 ± 0.6

future validation work in which the ‘novel’ equation is applied to previously in the lower limbs and lumbar spine [4]. Similarly, the
professional soccer players is recommended. mineral-free compartment of the fat-free mass is not constant
Previous research in which DXA has been employed to model across the body, given that soccer players show a more pro-
body composition has shown that elite, highly-trained soccer nounced muscular development in the lower body, in particular
players differ from their non-athlete counterparts in both seg- the hip flexors, quadriceps, hamstrings and ankle flexors [15].

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mental and total body composition [4, 27, 28]. Assuming an ade- Dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry and other indirect techniques
quate diet, development of bone and muscle mass would be derived from this method are not affected by this limitation. The
anticipated, given the physical demands and loading patterns on equation of Withers et al. [26] and the ‘novel’ equation both
the soccer player during training and competition, and the accu- incorporate sites from the abdomen and lower body, whereas
mulation of body fat should be limited [18]. These findings sug- some generalised equations, such as that of Durnin and Womer-
gest that anthropometric equations generated using data from sley [9], only include sites located above the hip. In an assess-
the general population may not be appropriate, or at least intro- ment of various skinfold sites, Eston et al. [11] found the anterior
duce more error in estimation aside from the measurement con- thigh to have the highest single-skinfold correlation with DXA-
text and the technical skills of the operator. Both operators in the determined body fat and the combination of the thigh and calf
present study had demonstrated technical error of measure- skinfolds explained more variance in percent fat than Durnin
ment well within the highest standards of ISAK [13]. The fact and Womersley’s Σ4SKF. The authors concluded that lower-body
that the existing skinfold equations were generated by different skinfold sites are more highly related to percent fat in healthy
anthropometrists, and that some of the original generalised individuals than are upper-body sites.
equations were derived from data collected over 30 years ago on The ‘novel’ equation was derived from data collected from pro-
heterogeneous groups, may serve to increase the bias of the fessional soccer players, all within a narrow range of adiposity,
older equations in the comparisons made with the present using a three-compartment model of body composition, and
study. explained a large proportion of the variability in DXA-derived %BF.
With the exception of the equation of Withers et al. [26], the These factors provide a good basis for further investigation of
application of generalised skinfold equations to professional the soccer-specific equation, which uses the same number of
soccer groups cannot be regarded as adequate, as the assess- sites as the equation of Durnin and Womersley [9], but accounts
ment of bias and modelling of differences between methods in for fat patterning in the upper and lower body. Validation would
the present study showed an unacceptable high overestimation be required using a different sample of players from the same
of %BF, especially towards the higher end of the range of %BF in population, in order to test the validity of the ‘novel’ equation
professional soccer players, and relatively wide limits of agree- and whether it provides much of an advantage over the seven-
ment. Discrepancies with generalised equations prompt ques- site equation of Withers et al. [26] when used in soccer players.
tions about the currency of some %BF values reported in the A limitation of the ‘novel’ equation is that it does not account for
literature for elite players (●
▶ Table 5). Many conventional equa- error from including different racial groups in the sample. Nei-
tions tend to be derived from reference body density and fat val- ther does it account for age, although the age range in elite pro-
ues obtained by the traditional hydrodensitometry method. The fessional soccer is rather narrow. The recommendation of Cohen
two-compartment (fat and fat-free) hydrodensitometry model et al. [7] of a cases-to-variable ratio of 40 to one for stepwise
of body composition is subject to a number of assumptions, procedures could not be observed due to the limited sample
many of which may be violated in athletic populations. It is available and difficulties in recruiting soccer players of a similar
assumed that the density of the fat-free mass is constant both calibre. If this principle were applied, the inclusion of each inde-
between and within individuals. In addition to differing from pendent variable would require the recruitment of over half of
non-soccer players, body composition is found to vary within the playing squad in the English Premier League, La Liga in Spain
the individual soccer player, according to body region and stage or Serie A in Italy, for example. An even larger sample would be
of season [10]. Changes in bone mass due to physical activity are required for additional cross-validation to be carried out; there-
site-specific, meaning adaptations occur in the areas at which fore, the generalisability of the ‘novel’ equation was not tested in
increased loading and mechanical strain occurs [23]. Due to the the present study.
loading pattern and lower-body dominance of soccer, it would The use of summed skinfolds for monitoring changes in adipos-
therefore be expected that the density of the lower-body min- ity regularly during the season and in field-based circumstances
eral compartment increases in soccer players, as has been found was vindicated. The correlation analyses in the present study

Reilly T et al. Skinfold Equations for Elite Soccer Players … Int J Sports Med 2009; 30: 607–613
612 Training & Testing

showed the Σ5SKF recommended by Reilly et al. [16] for British References
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