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HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY
ISSUE 1H 2010
Notes:
1 USD = 44.9630 INR
1 INR = 0.02224 USD
ISI Analytics
1. Industry Profile
1.1 Healthcare in Asia Pacific
Healthcare sector comprises of many healthcare revenue is also expected to grow
segments, which include hospitals, medical to 40% by the end of 2015. Strong economic
infrastructure, medical devices, clinical trials, recovery in Asian countries like India and
outsourcing, telemedicine, and health China, rising investment in hospital
insurance. The global economic slowdown infrastructure and healthcare facilities by
has affected many segments of the global companies are among the positive
economy. However, as comparison, the factors.
healthcare sector has outperformed the
broader market. According to the World Health Organization
(WHO), private per capita expenditures on
Such phenomena is more significant in Asia health increased by more than 15% in the
Pacific as the meltdown of the economy has last 5 years in emerging markets such as
not hit the Asia Pacific region as severely as Malaysia, Vietnam, Indonesia and India.
in the developed countries such as the US Moreover, based on medical claims analysis,
and Europe. Moreover, amidst the crisis, premium costs in Asia will double in the next
Asia Pacific was the gainer as healthcare five years. Healthcare spending in Asia
companies in developed countries are under Pacific have been encouraging. In 2009,
remarkable cost pressures. The recovery of majority of healthcare spending was
the markets, especially the strong growth in attributed by spending on treatment, which
Asia has been identified as the main driver of was as high as 85% of the total healthcare
healthcare industry. spending in Asia Pacific.
Alongside with the recovery of various The rising number of aging population and
markets since the end of 2009, Asia has the growth of chronic diseases in Asia had
become an important market for healthcare changed the trend and growth of healthcare
besides serving as an outsourcing hub. industry. Such trend is more significant in
Mergers and acquisitions are falling apart in Japan as the aging population (over 60 years
the West but Asia is expecting restructuring old) is expected to mark about 42% of the
of its markets. In January 2010, Frost & country population by the end of this year.
Sullivan had forecasted that the region's Japan’s population also tops the list with
healthcare market is set to reach new over 40% of its population having 1 or more
heights of USD 276 billion this year, from chronic diseases in Asia.
USD 246 billion in 2009, up by 12.2%. Asia
Pacific's current contribution of 24% of global
US
17%
45% Japan
25%
13% EU
Emerging Markets
Source: WHO
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2010 Estimated
2009
2008
3 5
5
100% 8
14
90%
80%
70%
60% 85 77 65
50%
40%
30%
20%
10 12 16
10%
0%
2009
Monitor Treat 2015 Diagnose 2020
Predict
Source: WHO
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India ranks 171 out of the 175 countries in year and 700 million people have no access
the world for public healthcare spending. to specialist care as 80% of specialists are
India only spends 5.2% of the GDP on located in urban areas. According to the
healthcare where 4.3% is contributed by the Economic Survey 2009-10, only 13% of the
private sector while the government rural population has access to a primary
continues to spend only 0.9% on public healthcare centre with 33% having access to
healthcare. There has been growth in GDP a sub-centre, 9.6% to a hospital and 28.3%
but there exists no increase in healthcare to a dispensary or clinic. The World Bank
spending. While the economic growth index has estimated that 21% of communicable
of the country is moving forward, the diseases in India are water-related which is
wellness index is dipping. The inadequate in line with the World Health Organization’s
public healthcare spending has forced public estimates that overall disease burden would
to depend on private sector. fall by 15% with improved access to clean
water and sanitation facilities.
Private sector healthcare valued at USD 22
billion in 2009 and is anticipated to reach In recent times, India has eradicated mass
USD 45 billion by 2012 at 27% CAGR. famines however the country still suffers
Hospital industry has also been estimated to from high levels of malnutrition and disease
reach USD 54.7 billion by 2012, representing especially in rural areas. However, at the
more than 70% of healthcare sector same time, India's health care system also
revenues. The low insurance penetration includes entities that meet or exceed
rate in India would mean people have to fork international quality standards. The medical
out of their resources for healthcare services. tourism business in India has been growing
Over the years, there has been marginal in recent years and as such India is a
increase in public health spending with popular destination for medical tourists who
National Rural Health Mission. However, it is receive effective medical treatment at lower
important for the government to play a bigger costs than in developed countries. Health
role to increase health budget and use the provision is challenging due to the costs
allocated budget efficiently in public health required as well as various social, cultural,
while simultaneously building the healthcare political and economic conditions.
capacity of the state.
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Nursing Homes
30 11 40 19
2015 Mid-tier
Top-tier
26 14 26 34
2005
Government
Hospitals
0 20 40 60 80 100
%
Centre
Insurance 12%
3%
Source: CEIC
Physicians (per ’000) India has 6 doctors for every 10,000 people 141
141
Nurses (per ’000) India has 8 nurses for every 10,000 people 132
132
Govt. Share of Heath Exp. 17% of Total Healthcare Expenditure is by Governm ent 190
190
Source: WHO
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In mid 80’s most of the hospitals in India nurses and para professionals. The
were owned by the government and existence of policy regulations and the
treatment was free of cost. The establishment of public private partnerships
implementation of the health policy in 1983 are solutions to the problem of manpower
had encouraged private sector to participate shortage to propel the growing healthcare
in healthcare delivery. Therefore, with private industry. India is now looking at establishing
sector participation, various private entities academic medical centers (AMCs) for the
have blossomed in India of which 97% are in delivery of higher quality care with leading
the unorganized sector and some are still not examples such as The Manipal Group & All
registered. Such establishment has called for India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS)
the provisions for regulations, standards and which have been set up.
accreditation. Through 1986–1996, growth in
the private sector surpassed that in the
1.4 National Rural Health Mission
public sector by a wide margin as the private
(NRHM) 2005-2012
sector is a preferred choice compared to
public healthcare due to greater perception The National Rural Health Mission 2005-
of ‘assurance’ in minds of the Indian 2012 aims to provide effective healthcare to
consumer. rural population throughout the country,
especially in the 18 special focused states,
The Indian healthcare industry is seen to be which have weak public health indicators or
growing at a rapid pace and is expected to weak infrastructure. The Mission is a
become a USD 280 billion industry by 2020. commitment of the India government to
According to the Investment Commission of increase public spending on healthcare from
India, the healthcare sector has experienced the current 0.9% of GDP to 2-3% of GDP in
phenomenal growth of 12% per annum in the the near future. The government seeks to
last 4 years. Rising income levels and a undertake positive correction of the health
growing elderly population are the driving system to enable it to effectively handle
factors of such growth. In addition, changing increased allocations as promised under the
demographics, disease profiles and the shift National Common Minimum Programme and
from chronic to lifestyle diseases in the promote policies to strengthen public health
country has led to the increased spending on management and service delivery in the
healthcare delivery. Despite having centers country.
of excellence in healthcare delivery, these
facilities are limited and are inadequate. Moreover, the Mission also emphasizes on
provision of a female health activist in each
In order to meet manpower shortages and be village, strengthening of the rural hospital for
on par with the world standards, India would effective curative care and made measurable
require up to USD 20 billion investments and accountable to the community through
over the next 5 years. It has been estimated Indian Public Health Standards (IPHS); and
that 40% of the primary health centers in integration of vertical Health & Family
India are understaffed. According to WHO’s Welfare Programmes and Funds for optimal
statistics, there are over 250 medical utilization of funds and infrastructure and
colleges in the modern system of medicine strengthening delivery of primary healthcare.
and over 400 in the Indian system of It also targets to improve access of rural
medicine and homeopathy (ISM&H) and people, especially poor women and children,
India produces over 250,000 doctors to equitable, affordable, accountable and
annually in the modern system of medicine effective primary healthcare.
and a similar number of ISM&H practitioners,
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In mid 80’s healthcare services in India was The existence of healthcare insurance has
free of charge as it was state owned. made healthcare more affordable for people
However, with the establishment of private and reduces out of pocket (OOP) expenses.
medical centre and increasing cost for Around 70% of India’s healthcare
medical treatment, the need for health expenditure is financed out of pocket. This
insurance has gained to be more significant limits the propensity of Indians to spend on
and important in India. healthcare particularly in lower and middle
income group which comprises around 95%
The Indian healthcare insurance industry of population. Since expenditure is mainly
was worth INR 51.25 billion in 2008 with a out of individual’s pocket, incremental
compounded annual growth rate of about spending on healthcare is determined largely
37% spanning 2002-2008. Based on the by incremental changes in income level.
initial statistics for the year 2009-10 (year Therefore, with better penetration of health
ending 31st March 2010), Health insurance insurance, access to higher cost health
industry has touched INR 81 billion, up by intervention becomes affordable at smaller
23% from the previous year. Overall general costs.
insurance industry has shown growth of 10%
for the year and health portfolio has Besides, the tie-up of hospitals with
contributed to the overall growth of the insurance to provide cashless and
general insurance industry. convenient services has encouraged Indians
to opt for health insurance for affordable and
Penetration rate of health insurance in India improved services in time of contingency.
was merely around 2% of the total Employers are also increasingly subsidizing
population, and the number of people being their employees’ health costs through direct
insured is expected to surge with 20% of the arrangements with medical providers.
population is estimated to be insured with Increasing penetration medical insurance
health insurance by 2015. The number of would result in higher demand for premium
people covered under health insurance plans healthcare services in India.
has steadily increased from 4-5 million in
2001 to over 17 million in 2006, making
health insurance industry the fastest growing
segment in non life insurance.
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90,000
80,000
70,000
INR Million
60,000
50,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
60
50
Million Person
CAGR: 15%
40
30
20
10
0
2006 2015
Insured as %
~ 2% ~ 5%
of Population
Demographic and population growth will the near future. The Institute of Economic
support the performance of health insurance Growth has expected the age group ranging
in India. India is home to one-sixth of the from15-64 to grow by 11%, which will also
world’s population occupying less than 3% of support health insurance growth in tandem.
the world’s area. The population in India
stood at 1.17 billion in 2009 and according to As income rises and the number of available
the projection by the US Bureau, India’s financing options in terms of health
population is estimated to reach 1.33 billion insurance policies increase, consumers
in 10 years time. There is ample potential in become more engaged in making informed
health insurance as population increases in decisions about their health and are well
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aware of the costs associated with those need to be far sighted to map out a
decisions. In order to remain competitive, comprehensive healthcare plan to cater for
healthcare providers are now improving their the growing population in the near future.
operational efficiency and enhancing patients Moreover, the rising fraction of the aging
experience overall. population would also increase the demand
for healthcare. As projected, the number of
The increase number of population would citizen between 15-64 years old will increase
also translate into higher demand of by 10.9% in 2010 compared to year 2005.
healthcare services and facilities to meet the
needs of its citizens. The government would
1,281.9
1,250 1,236.3
1,251.7
1,205.1
1,220.8
1,200
1,189.2
1,150
1,100
2010/11
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
2015/16
2016/17
2017/18
2018/19
Under 15 years old 15-64 years old 65+ years old Total
Year
(million person) (million person) (million person) (million person)
2000 361 604 45 1,010
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2.3 Healthcare Investments and billion for additional 1.75 million beds by
Shortage of Medical Practitioner 2025, compared to its present capacity of
about 1.22 million beds to meet the projected
The rewarding healthcare sector has been demand and maintain the ratio of bed-to-
attracting huge investments from domestic population at 1.9:1,000.
players as well as financial investors and
private equity (PE) firms. PE funds are In line with the concern of insufficient
estimated to invest at least USD 1 billion in manpower, India is now looking at
the healthcare sector over the next five establishing academic medical centers
years. (AMCs) for the delivery of higher quality care
with leading examples of The Manipal Group
Health care facilities and personnel & All India Institute of Medical Sciences
increased substantially between the early (AIIMS) which had been established to laud
1950s and early 1980s. The number of the government effort.
population has always outpaced the number
of licensed medical practitioners with 3 The density of doctors per 10,000 population
medical practitioner per 10,000 individuals in India is 6 while the world average is 13.
compared to 1.4 doctors per 1000 people in There could be a shortfall of over 450,000
China. In 1991 there were approximately ten doctors in the year 2012. While the shortfall
hospital beds per 10,000 individuals. of physician is great, the shortfall for nurses
Realizing the huge need gap in terms of is even more remarkable. Density of nurses
availability of number of hospital beds per per 10,000 population is 13 in India while
1000 population and the need of medical world average is 28 and it has been
practitioners, the government has embarked projected that at least 350,000 nurses are
on improving the sector. required for primary and secondary care by
the year of 2015.
In India, the current ratio of beds per
thousand persons is a mere 1.03 (well below Benefits and lucrative monetary returns
the WHO norms) compared to an average offered in developed countries have led to
ratio of 4.3 for developing countries like emigration of such healthcare professionals.
China, Korea, and Thailand, and in the best This phenomenon is one of the main reasons
circumstances, it is projected to reach 1.85 for domestic shortage. According to official
per thousand persons by 2012. It is statistics, 60,000 Indian physicians have
estimated that over a million beds have to be been estimated to be working in developed
added to attain this 1.85 ratio, which countries such as USA, UK and Australia.
translates into a total investment of USD 78
billion in health infrastructure. India will
require an estimated investment of USD 74
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The significant and growing role of the infrastructure (excluding land) is projected to
private sector in healthcare delivery and total rise only marginally, by 0.12% of GDP.
healthcare expenditures are the current Government investments is expected to
trends of the healthcare industry. In 2007-08, meet only 12% of the huge investment
public health expenditure in India accounted required in the healthcare sector, with the
for less than 1% of the country’s GDP remaining balance of the investment
compared to 3% of GDP for developing requirements to be provided by private
countries and 5% for high income countries. entities to conclude the significant role of
private sector for future growth of India’s
Private healthcare sector in India had healthcare sector.
accounted for over 75% of the total
healthcare expenditure in India and is one of As India advances and improves its socio
the largest in the world. In the Indian’s land, economy, the overall income of its population
it has been estimated that 60% of hospitals, rises. The rise of personal disposable
75% of dispensaries, and 80% of all qualified income at large among the Indians has also
doctors are in the private sector. However, served as an influencing factor to stimulate
private healthcare delivery is highly healthcare spending as it become more
fragmented with over 90% of private affordable. Personal disposable income of
healthcare being serviced by the 2008/09 had increased drastically by about
unorganized sector. Of all the private 71% from the figure in 2004-05.
hospitals, 2 to 3% of hospitals are 200-bed
plus, 6-7% are 100-200 bed size hospitals, Moreover, with the increasing number of
and the majority of 80% of private sector financing options such as health insurance
hospitals are very small, less than 30 beds. policies available, consumers become more
engaged and are well aware of the costs
According to the Studies by the Central associated in healthcare. The increasing
Bureau of Health Intelligence, majority of demand for high quality and efficient
Indians trust and visit private healthcare healthcare system has urged the players in
despite a higher average cost of USD 4.3 the market, being the public or private sector
compared to USD 2.7 in government owned to improve operational and management
healthcare centres. Only a small portion of efficiency to provide patients with overall
23.5% of urban residents and 30.6% of rural better and enhanced services and
residents choose government facilities. The experience to remain competitive in the
low percentage of public healthcare demand market.
is a reflection of the common lack of
confidence and bureaucracy in the public
healthcare system. The setback of public
healthcare has stimulated growth for private
healthcare.
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40 35
35
30
30
25
25
20
20
15
15
10 10
5 5
0 0
2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09
Source: CEIC
The growing demand and the huge hospital in Chennai, corporate hospital
investment needs in the healthcare sector chains are now present in every metropolitan
have garnered increasing interest among area. Besides India, corporate hospitals have
foreign players and non resident Indians to also been expanded in USA, Australia,
venture into the Indian healthcare market. Europe and also in a few emerging countries
such as China and South Africa.
The development of healthcare industry had
also led to growing interest among domestic The rising presence of corporate players and
and international financial institutions, private foreign investors in India’s healthcare sector
equity funds, venture capitalists, and banks may bring about implications for the
to explore investment opportunities across a healthcare system at large. The emergence
wide range of segments of healthcare such of corporate hospitals or foreign funding and
as drugs and pharmaceuticals, medical tie ups in the hospital segment can have are
devices, hospitals and etc. In the hospitals expected to improve physical infrastructure,
and medical devices segment alone, at least standards, quality of healthcare, technology,
20 international players have been and delivery systems and processes along
highlighted to compete to have a share on with spill over benefits in areas such as
the Indian healthcare market. medical devices, pharmaceuticals,
outsourcing, and research and development.
Foreign players usually enter the market
through joint ventures with Indian companies The existence of foreign players may
and also through technology and training translate into higher costs of healthcare and
collaborations to get a fair share of the greater segmentation between the public and
market. private health sectors. Therefore, the
governed body needs to examine the extent
Over the years, corporate hospital chains like of the presence of foreign players in selected
Fortis Healthcare, Wockhardt Hospitals and segments of India’s healthcare sector to
Apollo Hospitals have done remarkable ensure the benefits of the Indians are taken
expansion in India. After more than 25 years care of.
since Apollo Hospitals established its 1st
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Health tourism happens when a patient months of 2009 and the number would
travels to another country for medical increase by 22% to 25% in the coming years.
treatment in order to save costs, or get
treatment faster or even to avail of better With growing number of hospitals are
medical facilities. compliant with international quality
standards- Joint Commission International
Medical tourism is a growing sector and India JCI accreditations, outside the US, concerns
is becoming a hub for medical tourists on safety and quality of care are becoming
seeking quality healthcare at an affordable less of an issue for those choosing to travel
cost and the sector is expected to for medical treatment at an affordable cost.
experience an annual growth rate of 30%,
making it an INR 95 billion industry by 2015, In the past, the growth potential of medical
according to The Associated Chambers of travel industry in India has been hindered by
Commerce and Industry of India capacity and infrastructure constraints but
(ASSOCHAM). that situation is now changing with strong
economic progress in India. Currently, India
In 2008, the size of the industry stood at INR provides world-class medical facilities with
15 billion and about 4,500,000 foreigners hospitals and specialized multi-specialty
had sought medical treatment in India in health centres which range from cosmetic
2008 with Singapore not too far behind. The surgery, dental care, heart surgeries and
chamber had also mentioned that the cost of coronary bypass.
surgery in India is one-tenth of what it is in
the US and Western Europe or even less. As medical tourism grows, hospitals groups
like The Global Hospitals Group, MIOT
India has long been a favored medical Hospitals, Fortis Healthcare, Apollo
destination for foreign patients, particularly Hospitals, Max Hospitals, Dharamshila
from the US. For instance, the cost of a knee Cancer Hospital and Research Centre have
replacement procedure is nearly INR 1.5 since increased their presence in
million in the US while it would only cost international market.
around INR 0.25 million even in the most
upscale hospital in India. Taking A good chunk of Apollo’s nearly 4,000
transportation costs into account, it is patients, including corporate executives,
estimated that India’s healthcare costs would were from the US while nearly half of Fortis’
still be up to 60% less than in the US. international patients arrived from the US.
Competitive factor such as common Besides the tie-ups, the ballooning costs of
communication language also drives the health insurance and consequent shrinking
growth rate of the medical tourism. executive insurance coverage levels in the
US, particularly after the recession have
The most popular treatments sought in India definitely helped to enhanced India’s medical
by medical tourists are alternative medicine, tourism sector. The south Indian city of
bone-marrow transplant, cardiac bypass, eye Chennai has also been declared as India's
surgery and hip replacement. India is known Health Capital, by reaping in 45% of health
in particular for heart surgery, hip resurfacing tourists overseas and 30-40% of domestic
and other areas of advanced medicine. health tourists while cities such as Mumbai
and Delhi are in stages to transform into
About 18 thousands foreigners visited India world-class medical hub.
for treatment in the first eight and half
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The company reported gross revenue of growth of 29%. Profit after tax for the year
INR14.8 billion for the year ended 31 March had also increased by 16% to INR 1.18
2009, compared to INR 11.52 billion in the billion compared to INR 1.02 billion in the
previous year, which was an impressive previous year.
2009
2008
2007
2006
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of the current fiscal. The hospital spreads percentage to total income rose to 17.34% of
over an area of approximately 7.34 acres of the total income as compared to 11.27% in
land and will have about 258 beds in 1st the previous fiscal. Improvement was mainly
phase and offers super-specialty healthcare attributable improved cost management and
services in Cardiac Sciences, Orthopedics, optimization initiatives. The Company also
Neuro-Sciences, Renal care, Mother and turned profitable for the first time since its
Child care and Gastroenterology. inception by returning a net profit of INR
208.2 million compared to a loss of INR
For the financial year ended on 31 March 554.8 million in the previous fiscal, which
2009, Fortis Healthcare has registered total was a remarkable improvement.
income of INR 6.59 billion, which was 20%
higher than the previous year’s total income
of INR 5.48 billion. The EBITDA as a
600
400
200
0
-200 2008 2009
-400
-600
-800
Incorporated in 1985, Max Healthcare Ltd. MHC hospitals had performed over 450 open
currently has six super-speciality and multi- heart surgeries, 2,000 angioplasties and
speciality hospitals and two speciality 4,130 angiographies in 2008-2009 in addition
medical centres located in the National to the over 2,150 ortho-surgeries, 870 neuro-
Capital Region (NCR). Max Healthcare’s surgeries and 15,390 other surgeries and
commitment of medical and service procedures. Moreover, the average number
excellence, patient care, scientific of operational beds had increased from 662
knowledge, research and medical education, in the financial year of 2007-08 to 712 in
has enabled Max Healthcare to emerge as 2008-09. The average occupancy rate was
one of the country's leading healthcare 65% and average length of stay maintained
service providers. Moreover, Max Healthcare at 3.3 days. The number of patient episodes
also has collaboration with Singapore had also risen by almost 19% to over 1.9
General Hospital in the areas of medical million in 2008-09.
practices, nursing, paramedical, research
and training.
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Max Healthcare is expanding and upgrading history. Revenue had grown by nearly 13%
its existing facilities as well as extending its to INR 4.23 billion in 2008- 09. During the
footprint to other cities in North India. It is year ended 31 March 2009, profit before tax
also panning to increase its capacity to (PBT) of MHC had increased over nine times
around 1,800 beds by 2011. MHC is not only over 2007-08 to INR 0.32 billion in its
expanding further in the NCR region but also account. Profit after tax (PAT) made a
widen its operations to other parts of India. remarkable comeback and stood at INR 0.48
The 100 bed Max Hospital at Dehradun will billion in 2008-09, against a net loss of INR
become operational by first quarter of 2011. 40 million in 2007-08. MHC is striving to
Max Healthcare has also been allotted land meet its expansions on time, meeting its
by Government of Punjab under a public- growth targets, offering greater patient care
private partnership arrangement to set up and facilities, and generating superior
200 bed super-specialty hospitals at shareholder returns in the future.
Bhatinda and Mohali.
2008 2009
Outpatient Outpatient
22% 23% Inpatient
Inpatient
78% 77%
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3.2 Comparative Matrix
Mar '08 Mar '09 Mar '08 Mar '09 Mar '08 Mar '09
Operating Profit (INR Crs) 176.57 221.76 70.98 43.52 11.44 10.62
Net Profit (INR Crs) 101.8 118.07 61.9 21.83 2.68 (6.98)
Gross Profit Margin (%) 12.44 12.19 16.92 7.87 0.49 (0.52)
Net Profit Margin (%) 8.9 7.98 16.67 5.25 1.41 (3.57)
Debt Equity Ratio (Times) 0.25 0.33 0.15 0.05 0.27 0.38
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Strengths Weaknesses
Opportunities Threats
Rise in incidence of lifestyle related health problems Foreign competitors are also expanding presence
and the trend would trigger a need for more number by acquiring/ partnering with existing smaller
of tertiary care hospitals to cater to the demand hospitals to establish more competitive market
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Fortis Healthcare
Strengths Weaknesses
Opportunities Threats
Rise in incidence of lifestyle related health problems Shortage of skilled and trained manpower and
and the trend would trigger a need for more number integration of new facilities and teams into existing
of tertiary care hospitals to cater to the demand network
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Max Healthcare
Strengths Weaknesses
Opportunities Threats
Demand leads supply and there exist considerably Competition from other Indian and foreign players
shortage of quality healthcare services including new entrants in the healthcare sector
The research report is based on material compiled from data considered to be reliable at the time of
writing. However, information and opinions expressed will be subject to change without notice. We do
not accept any liability directly or indirectly that may arise from investment decision-making based on
this report.
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