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MICHIGAN STATEWIDE GENERAL ELECTION VOTER SURVEY

WDIV/DETROIT NEWS
600 SAMPLE

SEPTEMBER 9, 2018

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 1


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page Topic

2 Methodology

3 Key Findings

18 Aggregate Survey Results

35 Cross-tabulation Report

METHODOLOGY

The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a Michigan statewide survey of November 2018 likely general election voters. The 600
sample, live operator telephone survey was conducted on September 5-7, 2018 and has a margin of error of +/-4.0% with a 95% level
of confidence. 64.0% of respondents were contacted via landline telephone. 36.0% of respondents were contacted via cell phone
telephone. This survey was commissioned by WDIV Local 4 and the Detroit News.

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 2


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
KEY FINDINGS

Lay of the Land

 By a margin of 38.2% right – 48.2% wrong, Michigan voters believe the nation is on the wrong track by a 10-point margin.

o Independent voters believe the nation is on the wrong track by a margin of 28.5% right track/ 46.3% wrong track.
o 78% of Republican voters believe the nation is on the right track. 80.0% of Democratic voters believe Michigan is on
the wrong track.
o In January 2018, voters said the nation was on the wrong track by a margin of 33%-54%.

 But by a margin of 46.0%-40.0%, Michigan voters believe the state is on the right track.

o Independent voters believe Michigan is on the right track by a margin of 50.4%-34.1%, a 16.3% margin.
o In January 2018, voters said Michigan was on the right track by a narrow margin of 41.0%-37.3%.

 49.8% of Michigan voters continue to believe Detroit is on the right track, while only 20.1% believe Detroit is on the wrong
track.

o Party affiliation provides no statistically significant differences in how Detroit is viewed.


o Out-state voters believe Detroit is on the right track by a margin of 30.8%-24.4%. But voters in Metro Detroit believe
Detroit is on the right track by a overwhelming margin of 68.3% right track to 15.9% wrong track. Metro Detroit
voters are strongly bullish on Detroit. (In January 2018, Metro Detroit voters said Detroit was on the right track by a
margin of 64.7%-15.7%.)

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 3


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
 Voters were asked in an open ended question what the most important issue was facing their community:

o 16.8% jobs and the economy


o 12.8% roads and bridges
o 8.2% crime and drugs
o 6.2% poor leadership/ divided government
o 5.2% availability of health care
o 4.8% education quality
o 4.3% water and sewer infrastructure
o 4.2% education funding
o 3.7% high cost of living/ homelessness
o 3.5% morality and social issues
o 2.7% immigration
o 2.5% environmental issues
o All other issues came in with less than 2.5% of respondents mentioning it.

 Voters were asked if they approve or disapprove of the job being done by Governor Rick Snyder. Voters are split 46.0%
approve to 46.6% disapprove of his performance.

o By a margin of 50.4%-40.6%, Independent voters approve of Governor Snyder’s performance.

 Voters were asked to think back to 2010 and asked if things in Michigan had gotten better, worse, or stayed the same.

 55.9% of voters believe things in Michigan are better than 2010.


 18.6% believe things are worse.
 And 22.5% believe things in Michigan are about the same.

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 4


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
Historic Motivation to Vote in November: Voters at 9.4 in Motivation

 Voters were asked on a one to ten scale, how motivated they were to cast a ballot in the November election. The higher the
number, the greater the motivation. Voters are motivated at a historically high 9.4 on a 10.0 point scale. Voters across all
demographic groups are extremely motivated to vote.

 The chart below provides context into how unusual this motivation to vote is. We compared motivation to vote by party for
the past three elections compared to this November. Voters are substantially more motivated to vote than even during the
October 2012 period. Their motivation is in stark contrast to the particularly low levels of motivation in the 2016 election – of
particular note is the motivation compared to 2016 of Independents and Leaning Democratic voters.

Party Affiliation October 2012 October 2014 October 2016 September 2018
Strong Democratic 8.3 7.0 6.7 9.5
Lean Democratic 7.7 6.4 4.7 9.5
Independent 7.0 5.9 5.6 9.1
Lean Republican 7.5 6.2 6.2 9.2
Strong Republican 8.5 6.9 6.5 9.4

Generic Ballot Test: +12.2% Democratic

 Voters were asked if the election were held today, would they generally vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic
candidate for State Representative. By a margin of 46.1%-33.9%, voters chose the generic Democratic candidate over the
generic Republican candidate – a lead of 12.2% for the Democratic candidate. In January 2018, the generic Democratic
candidate had a 10.8% lead in the generic ballot test. [NOTE: The survey was +6.1% Democratic. Democrats are over-
performing their base vote by 6.1%.]

o Independent voters chose the generic Democratic candidate over the Republican by a margin of 28.5%-11.4% -- a
17.1% lead for the Democratic candidate. In January 2018, Independents gave the generic Democratic candidate a
9.6% lead. Independent voters are breaking sharply for the Democratic candidate. (In October 2016, the generic GOP
candidate had a six-point lead among Independents on the generic ballot test.)

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 5


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
 Men choose the generic Democratic candidate by a margin of 43.2%-40.1% -- a three point lead.

 But women choose the generic Democratic candidate by a margin of 48.7%-28.0% -- a 20.7% lead among women. This is a
four-point increase since January 2018.

 The chart below compares the generic ballot test by gender and outstate vs Metro Detroit. Republicans hold a lead among out
state men, but hold large leads among all other voters. In particular, Democrats hold a 33.7% advantage among Metro
Detroit women. College educated women give Democrats a 25.3% advantage on the generic ballot test.

Gender/ Region Democratic Republican Difference


Outstate Men 33.6% 47.9% +14.3% GOP
Metro Detroit Men 52.7% 32.4% +20.3% DEM
Outstate Women 43.1% 34.6% +8.5% DEM
Metro Detroit Women 54.0% 21.7% +33.7% DEM

All About Trump: 56.6% Continue to View Him Unfavorably

 Voters view Donald Trump unfavorably by a margin of 37.0% favorable to 56.6% unfavorable. These numbers remain
unchanged from January 2018.

o Independent voters view Donald Trump unfavorably by a margin of 26.0%-56.9%.

 Independent men view Trump unfavorably by a margin of 20.8%-54.2%.


 Independent women view Trump unfavorably by a margin of 29.3%-58.7%.

o Men view Trump unfavorably by a margin of 40.1%-50.7%.

o But women view Trump unfavorably by a whopping margin of 34.1%-62.1%.

 The chart below compares Trump favorable/unfavorable by gender and outstate vs Metro Detroit. Only outstate men hold
Trump narrowly favorable. All other groups view Trump unfavorably. But 68.3% of Metro Detroit women view Trump
unfavorably.

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 6


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
Gender/Region Favorable Unfavorable Difference
Outstate Men 45.2% 43.2% +2.0%
Metro Detroit Men 35.1% 58.1% -23.0%
Outstate Women 40.5% 55.6% -15.1%
Metro Detroit Women 28.0% 68.3% -40.3%

 But while voters view Trump unfavorably, voters disapprove of the job he is doing by a margin of 44.3% approve to 51.1%
disapprove.

o While 25.5% strongly approve of Donald Trump’s performance, 44.2% strongly disapprove of Trump’s
performance.

 While President Trump’s favorable/unfavorable has remain unchanged, his job approval has climbed from 39.5% to 44.3%
since January 2018 – an improvement of 4.8% points.

 Voters were asked if President Trump’s performance would or would not be a major factor in how they vote this November.
67.9% of voters said President Trump WOULD play a major factor in how they voted this November.

o 40.6% of voters plan to vote to oppose Trump.


o 27.3% of voters plan to vote to support Trump.
o 28.8% of voters said Trump would not be a major factor.

 But when you compare how people view Donald Trump compared to how they plan to vote in the generic ballot test, it is clear
that how voters view Donald Trump drives their position on the generic ballot test. The problem for Republicans is that far
more voters have an unfavorable impression of Donald Trump.

View on Trump Democrat Republican


Trump Favorable 3.1% 79.6%
Trump Unfavorable 75.6% 5.5%
Trump No Opinion 24.2% 24.2%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 7


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
 The chart below compares Trump’s favorable/unfavorable by voters’ primary source of news media:

Trump Impression Local News FOX CNN/MSNBC Networks Radio Newspapers


Favorable 33.7% 76.1% 12.5% 23.1% 33.3% 18.8%
Unfavorable 57.1% 17.9% 83.8% 71.8% 57.8% 73.9%

Devos Versus Granholm

 Democrats are using Betsy Devos in their messaging. Republicans are using Jennifer Granholm in their messaging. Voters
were asked their opinions of both women.

 Jennifer Granholm has 95% name identification breaking 41.1% favorable to 41.0% unfavorable.

o Independents narrowly have an unfavorable impression of Jennifer Granholm by a margin of 32.5%-38.2%


o Strong Republican voters have a sharply unfavorable impression of Granholm by a margin of 17.5%-74.1%.

 Betsy DeVos has 90.5% name identification breaking 22.4% favorable to 50.7% unfavorable.

o Independents have a sharply negative impression of Betsy Devos by a margin of 11.4%-51.2%.


o Even 33.3% of Leaning Republican voters and 18.2% of Strong Republican voters have an unfavorable impression of
Betsy Devos.

 Voters were asked if they approve or disapprove of the job being done by Betsy Devos as US Secretary of Education. Voters
disapprove of Betsy Devos’ performance by a margin of 24.4% approve to 60.2% disapprove. 50.3% of Michigan voters
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE of Betsy Devos’ performance.

o Independent voters disapprove of Betsy Devos’ performance by a margin of 17.0%-62.6%. 51.2% of Independents
strongly disapprove of Betsy Devos’ performance.

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 8


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
Governor’s Race: Whitmer Holds Large 13.7% Point Lead

 Bill Schuette has 88.4% name identification breaking 26.2% favorable to 41.3% unfavorable. Bill Schuette’s name
identification is under water by 14.1%.

o Independents have an unfavorable opinion of Bill Schuette with only 18.7% viewing him favorably while 37.4% view
him unfavorably. Schuette is viewed unfavorably by independent voters by a 2-1 margin.

 Gretchen Whitmer has 80.9% name identification breaking 39.3% favorable to 19.1% unfavorable.

o Independents have a favorable opinion of Gretchen Whitmer with 35.0% viewing her favorably and 14.6% viewing her
unfavorably.

 When asked which candidate they would support for Governor, Whitmer leads Schuette 49.8%-36.1%. 4.1% of voters would
go to Third Party candidates. Only 10.0% of voters remain undecided.

o With a 13.7%-point lead, Whitmer could afford to lose the remaining 10% of undecided voters and still win if she holds
her current voters.
o The race is tied in out-state with Whitmer at 42.8% and Schuette at 42.5%. But in Metro Detroit, Whitmer wallops
Schuette by a margin of 56.6%-29.8% -- a 26.8% lead.
o Whitmer leads among Independent voters by a margin of 39.0%-25.2% -- a 13.8% lead.

o Whitmer leads among men 46.3%-39.8% -- a 6.5% lead. But Whitmer holds a lead of 53.2%-32.5% among women –
a lead of 20.7%. The chart below compares genders by region showing Whitmer leading by 33% among Metro Detroit
women. Schuette only leads among out state men.

Gender/ Region Whitmer Schuette Difference


Outstate Men 37.7% 45.2% +7.5 Schuette
Metro Detroit Men 54.7% 34.4% +20.3% Whitmer
Outstate Women 47.7% 39.8% +7.9% Whitmer
Metro Detroit Women 58.4% 25.4% +33.0% Whitmer

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 9


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
o Schuette only leads among men with a high school education at 47.6%-36.1%. Whitmer leads among men with
some post high education by a margin of 50.0%-36.1% and among college educated men 48.4%-38.4%.

o Whitmer leads women of all education levels. Whitmer leads among women with a high school education 52.1%-
36.7%. She leads among women with some post high school education by a margin of 47.7%-36.3%. But she holds a
lead among college educated women 56.5%-28.6%.

o Among voters over 65 years old, Whitmer leads 52.9%-35.0% -- a 27.9% lead.

US Senate Race: Stabenow Cruising To Re-Election/ Up by 22.9%

 Debbie Stabenow has 97.7% name identification breaking 54.3% favorable to 31.1% unfavorable.

o Among independent voters Stabenow is viewed 56.9% favorable to 17.9% unfavorable

 John James has 54.3% name identification breaking 20.9% favorable to 15.5% unfavorable.

o Independent voters have an unfavorable view of James by a margin of 8.9% favorable to 13.0% unfavorable.

 Voters were asked if they approve or disapprove of the job being done by Debbie Stabenow as United States Senator. Voters
approve of Stabenow’s performance by a margin of 54.0% approve to 30.9% disapprove.

o Independent voters approve of her performance by a margin of 56.1% approve to 17.1% disapprove.

 In a head to head matchup, Stabenow is cruising to re-election with 55.5% of voters supporting Stabenow compared to only
32.6% supporting James. Stabenow holds a 22.9% lead. More importantly, incumbent Stabenow appears well above the
50% threshold against James.

o Stabenow leads in out-state by a margin of 49.1%-36.5%, a 12.6% lead.


o Stabenow leads among Independent voters 54.5%-13.1% -- a lead of 41.4%.
o Stabenow leads in Metro Detroit by a margin of 61.5%-28.8%, a staggering 32.7% lead.
o Stabenow leads among men 51.7%-38.4% and among women 58.9%-27.0% -- a 38.2% lead with women.
Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 10
WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
Attorney General: Nessel Leads Leonard by 12.9%

 Dana Nessel has 17.1% name identification breaking 5.1% favorable to 3.0% unfavorable. Nessel has minimal name
identification.

 Tom Leonard has 23.0% name identification breaking 3.3% favorable to 5.1% unfavorable. Leonard also has minimal name
identification.

 In a head to head matchup, Nessel leads 42.3%-29.4% -- a lead of 12.9%. Third party candidates get 4.6% and 23.7% of
voters remain undecided.

 The chart below compares the race by party affiliation. Nessel has nearly united support of Strong and Leaning Democratic
voters, while Leonard appears to have more work to do among Leaning Republican voters.

Party Affiliation Nessel Leonard Undecided


Strong Democratic 84.6% 2.8% 9.8%
Lean Democratic 70.2% 2.1% 25.5%
Independent 26.8% 11.3% 55.3%
Lean Republican 3.7% 55.6% 33.3%
Strong Republican 4.9% 79.0% 11.2%

Perhaps most noticeable is that Nessel holds a 15.5% lead among Independent voters with a large 55.3% of Independents
undecided.

 When you look at Trump favorable/unfavorable, the generic ballot test, the Governor’s Race, and the US Senate race, it is clear
the Republican candidate faces the same challenge of Independent voters automatically shifting to the Democratic column.

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 11


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
Secretary of State: Benson Leads by 15.2%

 Jocelyn Benson has 18.7% name identification breaking 5.3% favorable to 2.5% unfavorable. Benson has minimal name
identification.

 Mary Treder Lang has 14.3% name identification breaking 2.6% favorable to 2.5% unfavorable. Like Benson, Lang has
minimal name identification.

 In a head to head matchup, Benson leads 43.7%-28.5% -- a lead of 15.2%. Third party candidates get 5.2%. 22.5% of voters
remain undecided.

 The chart below compares the race by party affiliation. As with the Attorney General race, Strong and Leaning Democratic
voters are united behind their candidate. Strong Republicans are behind their nominee. But 37.0% of leaning Republican
voters remain undecided. And Benson holds a 12.9% lead among Independent voters.

Party Affiliation Benson Lang Undecided


Strong Democratic 87.8% 1.9% 7.5%
Lean Democratic 70.2% 0.0% 23.4%
Independent 28.4% 15.5% 48.8%
Lean Republican 4.9% 49.4% 37.0%
Strong Republican 4.2% 76.9% 14.0%

Ballot Proposals: Pot Positioned for Win; Redistricting Proposal Muddled Support

 By a margin of 56.2%-38.0%, Michigan voters support legalizing recreational marijuana. Only 5.8% of voters remain
undecided. These numbers have remained consistent for the past two years. [Note: Official ballot language was not yet
available.]

o The chart below compares the proposal’s support by party affiliation. Unlike other proposals, there is no sharp
opposition by party affiliation. Republicans and Independents are split on the proposal, while Democratic voters
strongly support it.

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 12


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
Party Affiliation Support Oppose
Strong Democratic 71.1% 24.3%
Lean Democratic 70.3% 17.0%
Independent 47.1% 45.5%
Lean Republican 49.4% 49.4%
Strong Republican 41.3% 52.5%

o The more statistically significant demographic appears to be age. Only voters over the age of 65 are sharply opposed to
the marijuana proposal.

Age Support Oppose


18-29 79.2% 19.5%
30-39 71.6% 21.5%
40-49 57.0% 39.0%
50-64 52.4% 40.6%
65+ 37.1% 55.7%

 By a margin of 37.8%-31.4%, a plurality of Michigan voters narrowly support a constitutional amendment that would create an
Independent Redistricting Commission to handle redrawing legislative and congressional district boundaries. 30.8% of voters
remain undecided. [Note: Official ballot language was not yet available.]

o There are stark differences on the redistricting proposal by party affiliation. Strong Republican voters are sharply
opposed to the constitutional amendment. Leaning Republican and Independent voters are split, with Democratic
voters in support of the proposal But this constitutional amendment is NOT in the upper fifties as is historically
required at the start of a campaign to be positioned for passage.

Party Affiliation Support Oppose


Strong Democratic 48.6% 28.0%
Lean Democratic 55.4% 17.0%
Independent 36.6% 33.3%
Lean Republican 33.4% 33.3%
Strong Republican 19.6% 38.5%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 13


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
Voters Split on Kavanaugh Appointment

 By a margin of 36.3%-38.8%, Michigan voters are statistically split on the appointment of Brett Kavanaugh to the US Supreme
Court. 24.8% of voters remain undecided.

o The chart below compares support for the Kavanaugh appointment by party affiliation.

Party Affiliation Support Oppose


Strong Democratic 12.1% 70.1%
Lean Democratic 10.6% 65.9%
Independent 30.0% 33.3%
Lean Republican 71.6% 8.7%
Strong Republican 66.4% 4.9%

Voters Strongly Behind Mueller Investigation By 2-1 Margin

 By a margin of 62.7%-31.3%, Michigan voters support the Mueller investigation – 46.4% of Michigan voters strongly support
the Mueller investigation.

 51.3% say the Mueller investigation is fair. 31.9% say the investigation is rigged. 16.9% do not know.

o The chart below compares this question by party affiliation. Only Republican voters believe the investigation is rigged.

Party Affiliation Fair Rigged


Strong Democratic 76.6% 11.7%
Lean Democratic 87.2% 6.4%
Independent 52.0% 23.6%
Lean Republican 27.2% 53.1%
Strong Republican 14.7% 65.7%

 Voters who get their primary news from FOX disproportionately believe the Mueller investigation is rigged. The chart below
compares positions by primary source of news.

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 14


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
Mueller Views Local TV FOX CNN/MSNBC Networks Radio Newspapers
Fair 51.5% 14.9% 81.3% 61.5% 51.1% 63.8%
Rigged 27.0% 70.1% 11.3% 15.4% 26.7% 23.2%

No Support for Regulating Search Engines

 Voters were asked if they support or oppose regulating search engines to make sure positive stories about the Trump
Administration are more highly placed on searches. Voters reject this idea by a margin of 24.5% support to 55.4% oppose.
47.0% of voters strongly oppose this idea.

o The chart below compares this question by party affiliation. Only Strong Republican voters support this idea.

Party Affiliation Support Oppose


Strong Democratic 15.8% 65.4%
Lean Democratic 12.7% 80.9%
Independent 23.6% 57.0%
Lean Republican 28.4% 49.4%
Strong Republican 39.9% 34.3%

 The chart below compares positions on this issue by primary source of news. Again, Fox News viewers are disproportionately
in support of this idea compared to those that watch other sources of news.

Regulation of Search
Engines Local TV FOX CNN/MSNBC Networks Radio Newspapers
Support 28.3% 41.8% 23.8% 6.2% 13.3% 15.9%
Oppose 44.7% 31.4% 65.1% 79.5% 64.5% 66.6%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 15


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
Michigan Voters Oppose Trump on Trade Sanctions

 Voters were asked if they support or oppose President Trump’s imposition of trade sanctions on other countries. By a margin
of 40.8%-50.0%, Michigan voters oppose the trade sanctions. While 26.5% strongly support the sanctions, 38.2% strongly
oppose the sanctions.

 Republicans are now the state’s strongest advocates of trade sanctions.

Party Affiliation Support Oppose


Strong Democratic 11.2% 72.8%
Lean Democratic 19.2% 72.4%
Independent 36.3% 49.5%
Lean Republican 63.0% 22.2%
Strong Republican 83.2% 9.8%

 74.6% of FOX viewers support the President’s trade sanctions.

Republicans Believe Media Is The Enemy of the People

 By a margin of 29.8% agree to 64.4% disagree, Michigan voters sharply disagree with President Trump that the media is the
enemy of the people.

The chart below breaks down the question by party affiliation. Strong Republican voters overwhelmingly agree that the
media is the enemy of the people.

Party Affiliation Agree Disagree


Strong Democratic 5.6% 92.5%
Lean Democratic 0.0% 99.0%
Independent 26.8% 65.9%
Lean Republican 51.8% 40.7%
Strong Republican 65.8% 23.8%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 16


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
The chart below compares positions on whether the media is the enemy of the people by primary source of news. Only FOX
viewers believe the media is the enemy of the people.

Position Local TV FOX CNN/MSNBC Networks Radio Newspapers


Yes, Enemy 30.7% 55.2% 5.1% 25.7% 26.7% 14.5%
No, Not Enemy 62.0% 40.3% 92.5% 71.8% 64.4% 78.3%

40.8% Support Impeachment Hearings

 By a margin of 40.8%-49.1%, Michigan voters oppose impeachment hearings against President Trump. But 40.8% of voters
now support impeachment hearings.

o Independent voters are opposed to impeachment hearings by a margin of 33.5% support to 49.6% opposed.

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 17


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
MICHIGAN STATEWIDE SURVEY
POST LABOR DAY SURVEY/ SEPTEMBER 2018

Hello, my name is __________. I’m not selling anything. I’m doing a survey of voters in our community. It should take
approximately ten minutes.

A. Are you registered to vote at the address I am calling?

1. Yes…..CONTINUE 100.0%
2. No….TERMINATE

B. Thinking about the General Election on November 6th of this year, would you say are definitely going to vote, probably going
to vote, probably not going to vote, or definitely not going to vote?

1. Definitely going to vote….CONTINUE 87.0%


2. Probably going to vote….CONTINUE 13.0%
3. Probably not going to vote….TERMINATE
4. Definitely not going to vote….TERMINATE

0. And could you tell me in what county you vote in?

1. UP/North 13.0%
2. West 11.2%
3. Southwest 8.3%
4. Mid Michigan 8.7%
5. East Central 7.7%
6. Oakland 13.2%
7. Macomb 8.5%
8. Wayne 11.7%
9. City of Detroit 6.7%
10. Remainder of Detroit MSA 11.2%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 18


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
1. CODE:

1. Outstate (UP/North, West, Southwest, Mid, East Central) 49.2%


2. Metro Detroit
(Oakland, Macomb, Wayne, Detroit, Detroit MSA) 50.8%

2. Generally speaking, do you think the nation is on the right track of would you say the nation is on the wrong track?

1. Right track 38.2%


2. Wrong track 48.2%
3. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 13.7%

3. And what about Michigan, do you think things in Michigan are on the right track or would you say they have gotten off on the
wrong track?

1. Right Track 46.0%


2. Wrong Track 40.0%
3. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 14.0%

4. And do you think things in Detroit are on the right track or would you say they have gotten off on the wrong track?

1. Right track 49.8%


2. Wrong track 20.1%
3. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 30.1%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 19


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
5. And what would you say is the most important issue facing our community right now?

And what would you say is the most important issue facing
our community right now? Number Percent
Jobs and the Economy 101 16.8 %
Roads and Bridges 77 12.8 %
Water and Sewer Infrastructure 26 4.3 %
Government Spending 14 2.3 %
High Taxes 13 2.2 %
Education Quality 29 4.8 %
Education Funding 25 4.2 %
Auto Insurance Rates 14 2.3 %
Crime and Drugs 49 8.2 %
Poor Leadership/ Divided Politics 37 6.2 %
Immigration 16 2.7 %
Community Development 9 1.5 %
Availability of Health Care 31 5.2 %
Environmental Issues 15 2.5 %
Morality and Social issues 21 3.5 %
Racism/ Racial Inequality 5 0.8 %
High Cost of Living/ Homelessness 22 3.7 %
Poor Public Transportation 3 0.5 %
Misc 0 0.0 %
Don't know/ Refused/ Nothing 93 15.5 %
Total 600 100.0 %

6. If the election for State House was held today, generally speaking would you say you would vote for the [ROTATE]
Democratic candidate or would you vote for the Republican candidate?

1. Democratic 46.1%
2. Republican 33.9%
3. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 19.2%
4. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.8%

I am going to read you the names of several people you might have heard of. For each, please tell me if you have a favorable or
unfavorable impression of that person.

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 20


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
7. Donald Trump NAME ID: 99.0%

1. Heard, favorable 37.0%


2. Heard, unfavorable 56.6%
3. Heard, no opinion 5.4%
4. Never heard of 0.0%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused 1.0%

8. Bill Schuette NAME ID: 88.4%

1. Heard, favorable 26.2%


2. Heard, unfavorable 41.3%
3. Heard, no opinion 20.9%
4. Never heard of 10.9%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused 0.8%

9. Gretchen Whitmer NAME ID: 80.9%

1. Heard, favorable 39.3%


2. Heard, unfavorable 19.1%
3. Heard, no opinion 22.5%
4. Never heard of 17.6%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused 1.5%

10. Garlin Gilchrest NAME ID: 28.1%

1. Heard, favorable 9.2%


2. Heard, unfavorable 4.1%
3. Heard, no opinion 14.8%
4. Never heard of 69.2%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused 2.6%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 21


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
11. Lisa Posthumous Lyons NAME ID: 31.5%

1. Heard, favorable 7.1%


2. Heard, unfavorable 6.3%
3. Heard, no opinion 18.1%
4. Never heard of 66.8%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused 1.8%

12. Debbie Stabenow NAME ID: 97.7%

1. Heard, favorable 54.3%


2. Heard, unfavorable 31.1%
3. Heard, no opinion 12.3%
4. Never heard of 2.3%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused 0.0%

13. John James NAME ID: 54.3%

1. Heard, favorable 20.9%


2. Heard, unfavorable 15.5%
3. Heard, no opinion 17.9%
4. Never heard of 44.1%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused 1.6%

14. Tom Leonard NAME ID: 23.0%

1. Heard, favorable 3.3%


2. Heard, unfavorable 5.1%
3. Heard, no opinion 14.6%
4. Never heard of 74.7%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused 2.3%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 22


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
15. Dana Nessel NAME ID: 17.1%

1. Heard, favorable 5.1%


2. Heard, unfavorable 3.0%
3. Heard, no opinion 9.0%
4. Never heard of 79.8%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused 3.1%

16. Jocelyn Benson NAME ID: 18.7%

1. Heard, favorable 5.3%


2. Heard, unfavorable 2.5%
3. Heard, no opinion 10.9%
4. Never heard of 78.3%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused 3.1%

17. Mary Treder Lang NAME ID: 14.3%

1. Heard, favorable 2.6%


2. Heard, unfavorable 2.5%
3. Heard, no opinion 9.2%
4. Never heard of 82.9%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused 2.8%

18. Jennifer Granholm NAME ID: 95.4%

1. Heard, favorable 41.1%


2. Heard, unfavorable 41.0%
3. Heard, no opinion 13.3%
4. Never heard of 3.9%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused 0.7%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 23


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
19. Rick Snyder NAME ID: 99.0%

1. Heard, favorable 39.8%


2. Heard, unfavorable 46.2%
3. Heard, no opinion 13.0%
4. Never heard of 0.7%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused 0.3%

20. Betsy DeVos NAME ID: 90.5%

1. Heard, favorable 22.4%


2. Heard, unfavorable 50.7%
3. Heard, no opinion 17.4%
4. Never heard of 8.1%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused 1.5%

21. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States? ASK: WOULD
THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

1. Strongly approve 25.5% APPROVE: 44.3%


2. Somewhat approve 18.8%
3. Somewhat disapprove 6.9%
4. Strongly disapprove 44.2% DISAPPROVE: 51.1%
5. Neither/ Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 4.6%

22. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Debbie Stabenow as United States Senator? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

1. Strongly approve 26.5% APPROVE 54.0%


2. Somewhat approve 27.5%
3. Somewhat disapprove 14.1%
4. Strongly disapprove 16.8% DISAPPROVE 30.9%
5. Neither/ Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 15.1%
Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 24
WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
23. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Rick Snyder as Governor of Michigan? ASK: WOULD THAT BE
STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

1. Strongly approve 16.6% APPROVE 46.0%


2. Somewhat approve 29.4%
3. Somewhat disapprove 18.1%
4. Strongly disapprove 28.5% DISAPPROVE 46.6%
5. Neither/ Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 7.4%

24. Do you approve or disapprove the job being done by Betsy DeVos as US Secretary of Education? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

1. Strongly approve 10.7% APPROVE 24.4%


2. Somewhat approve 13.7%
3. Somewhat disapprove 9.9%
4. Strongly disapprove 50.3% DISAPPROVE 60.2%
5. Neither/ Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 15.5%

25. Thinking back eight years to 2010, do you think things in Michigan have gotten better than they were eight years ago, things
have gotten worse than they were eight years ago, or would you say things are about the same as they were eight years ago?

1. Better 55.9%
2. Worse 18.6%
3. About the same 22.5%
4. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 3.0%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 25


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
26. If the election for United States Senator were held today and [ROTATE] John James
was the Republican candidates, Debbie Stabenow was the Democratic candidate, George Huffman was the US Taxpayers
candidate, Marcia Squier was the Green candidate, and John Howard Wilhelm was the Natural Law candidate, who would you
vote for to be Michigan’s United State Senator? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?

1. Stabenow/ Democratic 51.2% STABENOW 55.5%


2. Lean Stabenow 4.3%
3. James/ Republican 29.6% JAMES 32.6%
4. Lean James 3.0%
5. Huffman/ US Taxpayers 0.3% THIRD PARTY: 2.0%
6. Squier/ Green 1.0%
7. Wilhelm/ Natural Law 0.7%
8. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 10.0% UNDECIDED 10.0%

27. If the election for Michigan Governor were held today and [ROTATE] Gretchen Whitmer was the Democratic candidate, Bill
Schuette was the Republican candidate, Bill Gelineau was the Libertarian candidate, Todd Schleiger was the US Taxpayers
candidate, Jennifer Kurland was the Green candidate, and Keith Butkovich was the Natural Law candidate, who would you
vote for to be Governor? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?

1. Whitmer/ Democratic 46.2% WHITMER 49.8%


2. Lean Whitmer 3.6%
3. Schuette/ Republican 31.3% SCHUETTE 36.1%
4. Lean Schuette 4.8%
5. Gelineau/ Libertarian 2.3% THIRD PARTY: 4.1%
6. Schleiger/ US Taxpayers 0.5%
7. Kurland/ Green 0.8%
8. Butkovich / Natural Law 0.5%
9. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 10.0% UNDECIDED: 10.0%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 26


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
28. If the election for Michigan Attorney General were held today and [ROTATE] Tom Leonard was the Republican candidate,
Dana Nessel was the Democratic candidate, Gerald Van Sickle was the US Taxpayers candidate, and Lisa Lane Gioia was the
Libertarian candidate, who would you vote for to be Michigan’s Attorney General? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH
WAY DO YOU LEAN?

1. Nessel/ Democratic 38.8% NESSEL: 42.3%


2. Lean Nessel 3.5%
3. Leonard/ Republican 25.8% LEONARD: 29.4%
4. Lean Leonard 3.6%
5. Gioia/ Libertairan 3.3% THIRD PARTY: 4.6%
6. Van Sickle/ US Taxpayers 1.3%
7. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 23.7% UNDECIDED: 23.7%

29. If the election for Secretary of State were held today and [ROTATE] Jocelyn Benson was the Democratic candidate, Mary
Treder Lang was the Republican candidate, Gregory Scott Stempfle was the Libertarian candidate, and Robert Gale was the
US Taxpayers candidate, who would you vote for to be Michigan’s Secretary of State? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH
WAY DO YOU LEAN?

1. Benson/ Democratic 39.8% BENSON 43.7%


2. Lean Benson 3.9%
3. Lang/ Republican 26.0% LANG 28.5%
4. Lean Lang 2.5%
5. Stempfle/ Libertarian 3.9% THIRD PARTY: 5.2%
6. Gale/ US Taxpayers 1.3%
7. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 22.5% UNDECIDED: 22.5%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 27


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
30. Michigan voters will decide several ballot proposals on Election Day. Would you say you support or oppose a proposal to
legalize recreational marijuana in Michigan? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST
SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

1. Strongly support 37.8% SUPPORT: 56.2%


2. Somewhat support 18.4%
3. Somewhat oppose 8.2% OPPOSE: 38.0%
4. Strongly oppose 29.8%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 5.8% UNDECIDED: 5.8%

31. And would you say you support or oppose an amendment to Michigan’s Constitution that would create an Independent
Redistricting Commission to be in charge of redrawing Michigan’s legislative and congressional district boundaries. ASK:
WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

1. Strongly support 22.7% SUPPORT 37.8%


2. Somewhat support 15.1%
3. Somewhat oppose 11.2% OPPOSE 31.4%
4. Strongly oppose 20.2%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 30.8% UNDECIDED: 30.8%

32. Do you support or oppose the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to the United States Supreme Court? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

1. Strongly Support 22.5% SUPPORT 36.3%


2. Somewhat Support 13.8%
3. Somewhat Oppose 10.5% OPPOSE: 38.8%
4. Strongly Oppose 28.3%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 24.8% UNDECIDED: 24.8%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 28


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
33. Do you support or oppose the investigation being conducted by Robert Mueller into Russian meddling in the 2016 election?
ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

1. Strongly Support 46.4% SUPPORT 62.7%


2. Somewhat Support 16.3%
3. Somewhat Oppose 6.3% OPPOSE: 31.3%
4. Strongly Oppose 25.0%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 6.1% UNDECIDED 6.1%

34. And would you say the investigation is fair or would you say the investigation is rigged?

1. Fair 51.3%
2. Rigged 31.9%
3. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 16.9%

35. Do you support or oppose regulating internet search engines like Google to make sure that positive stories about the Trump
Administration are more highly placed in internet searches?
ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

1. Strongly support 13.3% SUPPORT 24.5%


2. Somewhat support 11.2%
3. Somewhat oppose 8.4%
4. Strongly oppose 47.0% OPPOSE 55.4%
5. Neither support, nor oppose…DO NOT OFFER 12.8% NEITHER 12.8%
6. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 7.2% UNDECICDED 7.2%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 29


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
36. Do you support or oppose President Trump’s imposition of trade sanctions on other countries? ASK: WOULD THAT BE
STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

1. Strongly support 26.5% SUPPORT 40.8%


2. Somewhat support 14.3%
3. Somewhat oppose 11.8% OPPOSE 50.0%
4. Strongly oppose 38.2%
5. Neither support, nor oppose…DO NOT OFFER 5.6% NEITHER 5.6%
6. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 3.6% UNDECIDED 3.6%

37. Would you agree or disagree with President Trump that the media are the enemy of the people? ASK: WOULD THAT BE
STRONGLY AGREE/DISAGREE OR JUST SOMEWHAT AGREE/DISAGREE?

1. Strongly agree 18.6% AGREE 29.8%


2. Somewhat agree 11.2%
3. Somewhat disagree 11.8% DISAGREE 64.4%
4. Strongly disagree 52.6%
5. Neither agree, nor disagree 3.9% NEITHER 3.9%
6. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.8% UNDECIDED 1.8%

38. Would you say that President Trump’s performance in office will or will not be a major factor in how you vote this November?
IF YES, ASK: AND WILL YOU BE VOTING TO SUPPORT PRESIDENT TRUMP OR WILL YOU BE VOTING TO
OPPOSE PRESIDENT TRUMP?

1. Yes, Support Trump 27.3%


2. Yes, Oppose Trump 40.6%
3. No, Will Not Be a Major Factor 28.8%
4. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 3.3%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 30


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
39. Do you support or oppose the House of Representative bringing impeachment proceedings against President Trump? ASK:
WOULD YOU STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

1. Strongly support 30.9% SUPPORT 40.8%


2. Somewhat support 9.9%
3. Somewhat oppose 11.8%
4. Strongly oppose 37.3% OPPOSE 49.1%
5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 10.0% UNDECIDED 10.0%

Now, just a few questions for statistical purposes.

40. Generally speaking, would you say you tend to vote mostly for Republican candidates, do you vote mostly for Democratic
candidates, or would you say that you vote equally for both Republican and Democratic candidates? IF VOTE EQUALLY
ASK: WOULD YOU SAY YOU LEAN MORE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY OR MORE TO THE REPUBLICAN
PARTY, OR WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE AN INDEPENDENT VOTER?

1. Strong Democratic….MOVE TO Q42 35.2% DEMOCRATIC 42.9%


2. Lean Democratic…MOVE TO Q42 7.7%
3. Independent….MOVE TO Q43 20.2% INDEPENDENT 20.2%
4. Lean Republican….MOVE TO Q41 13.3%
5. Strong Republican….MOVE TO Q41 23.5% REPULICAN 36.8%
6. Other/Refused/ Don’t Know…DO NOT OFFER/ MOVE TO Q43 0.0%

41. And would you say you are more a support of Donald Trump or more a supporter of the Republican Party?

1. Donald Trump 46.0%


2. Republican Party 42.9%
3. Both…DO NOT OFFER 8.0%
4. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 3.1%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 31


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
42. And would you say you were more a supporter or Hillary Clinton or more a supporter of Bernie Sanders?

1. Hillary Clinton 44.8%


2. Bernie Sanders 43.3%
3. Both ….DO NOT OFFER 6.5%
4. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 5.4%

43. Do you or does any member of your family belong to a labor union or teachers association?

1. Yes 35.0%
2. No 64.0%
3. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.0%

44. And on a scale of one to ten, with one being very low and ten being very high, how motivated are you to vote in this
November’s election? You can name any number from one to ten.
SCORE: 9.4
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 DK/Ref
0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 2.0% 1.8% 4.8% 9.9% 7.1% 73.7% 0.0%

45. What would be the last year of schooling you completed?

1. High School Graduate or less 21.7%


2. Vocational Training/ Some Community College/ Some Coll26.3%
3. College Graduate 51.5%
4. Don’t Know/ Refused 0.5%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 32


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
46. Could you please tell me in what year you were born?

1. 18-29 (1989-2000) 12.7%


2. 30-39 (1979-1988) 16.8%
3. 40-49 (1969-1978) 16.4%
4. 50-64 (1954-1968) 30.8%
5. 65+ (1953 and before) 23.0%
6. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 0.3%

47. And where would you say you primarily get your POLITICAL news?

1. Local television news 26.2%


2. Fox News 12.3%
3. CNN/MSNBC 13.0%
4. Networks (ABC/CBS/NBC) 6.6%
5. Radio 7.9%
6. Newspapers and newspaper websites 11.0%
7. Social media like Facebook and Twitter 6.7%
8. Political websites like Breitbart, the Huffington Post
or the Drudge Report 7.6%
9. Other__________________________________________ 4.4%
10. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 4.3%

48. And what is your race or ethnic background?

1. Caucasian 77.8%
2. African American 11.3%
3. Hispanic/Puerto Rican/ Mexican American 1.6%
4. Asian 1.5%
5. Mixed Race…DO NOT OFFER 2.3%
6. Native American 1.3%
7. Other/ Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 4.1%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 33


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
49. Gender: BY OBSERVATION

1. Male 48.0%
2. Female 52.0%

50. TELEPHONE

1. Cell 36.3%
2. Landline 63.7%

51. This survey was commissioned by the news media. Occasionally, they choose to talk to several participants of the survey.
Can we release your name and telephone to them if they want to talk to you? Or would you prefer that your opinions remain
confidential? IF YES, ASK:

AND CAN YOU CONFIRM YOUR NAME? _______________________________

WRITE IN TELEPHONE NUMBER ______________________________________

AND CAN WE RELEASE YOUR RESPONSES OR WOULD YOU PREFER THAT YOUR RESPONSES REMAIN
CONFIDENTIAL?

1. Yes, release responses.


2. No, responses remain confidential.

Thank you. That completes our survey.

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 34


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
2. Generally speaking, do you think the nation is on the right track of would you say the nation is on the wrong track?

Right Wrong
Metro 33.7% 55.7%
Out State 42.8% 40.5%

Strong Dem 7.9% 82.2%


Lean Dem 10.6% 78.7%
Independent 28.5% 46.3%
Lean GOP 74.1% 12.3%
Strong GOP 80.4% 9.1%

Male 43.5% 44.9%


Female 33.1% 51.3%

Union 37.6% 49.8%


Non Union 38.6% 47.3%

18-29 28.6% 54.5%


30-39 38.2% 42.2%
40-49 43.0% 43.0%
50-64 42.8% 47.6%
65+ 34.3% 53.6%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 35


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
3. And what about Michigan, do you think things in Michigan are on the right track or would you say they have gotten off on the
wrong track?

Right Wrong
Metro 44.0% 41.7%
Out State 48.2% 38.1%

Strong Dem 19.2% 63.1%


Lean Dem 31.9% 55.3%
Independent 50.4% 34.1%
Lean GOP 69.1% 16.0%
Strong GOP 74.1% 18.9%

Male 48.6% 39.1%


Female 43.6% 40.8%

Union 39.9% 46.5%


Non Union 49.6% 36.8%

18-29 40.3% 40.3%


30-39 46.1% 41.2%
40-49 54.0% 35.0%
50-64 49.2% 40.6%
65+ 39.3% 42.1%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 36


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
4. And do you think things in Detroit are on the right track or would you say they have gotten off on the wrong track?

Right Wrong
Metro 68.3% 15.9%
Out State 30.8% 24.4%

Strong Dem 55.1% 16.8%


Lean Dem 51.1% 17.9%
Independent 42.3% 26.0%
Lean GOP 48.1% 16.0%
Strong GOP 49.0% 23.1%

Male 54.1% 18.4%


Female 45.9% 21.7%

Union 55.4% 14.6%


Non Union 46.8% 23.1%

18-29 53.2% 22.1%


30-39 45.1% 14.7%
40-49 46.0% 23.0%
50-64 52.9% 20.3%
65+ 50.7% 20.0%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 37


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
6. If the election for State House was held today, generally speaking would you say you would vote for the [ROTATE]
Democratic candidate or would you vote for the Republican candidate?

Dem GOP
Metro 53.4% 26.9%
Out State 38.5% 41.1%

Strong Dem 93.5% 2.3%


Lean Dem 76.6% 4.3%
Independent 28.5% 11.4%
Lean GOP 3.7% 70.4%
Strong GOP 4.2% 89.5%

Male 43.2% 40.1%


Female 48.7% 28.0%

Union 47.9% 31.0%


Non Union 45.8% 35.0%

18-29 50.6% 31.2%


30-39 42.2% 34.3%
40-49 43.0% 37.0%
50-64 45.5% 33.7%
65+ 49.3% 32.9%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 38


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
7. Donald Trump

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Metro 31.4% 63.4% 4.5% 0.0%
Out State 42.8% 49.5% 6.4% 0.0%

Strong Dem 4.2% 92.1% 1.9% 0.0%


Lean Dem 4.3% 89.4% 6.4% 0.0%
Independent 26.0% 56.9% 15.4% 0.0%
Lean GOP 74.1% 25.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Strong GOP 85.3% 9.8% 4.9% 0.0%

Male 40.1% 50.7% 7.8% 0.0%


Female 34.1% 62.1% 3.2% 0.0%

Union 33.8% 57.7% 7.5% 0.0%


Non Union 38.3% 56.3% 4.4% 0.0%

18-29 28.6% 67.5% 3.9% 0.0%


30-39 40.2% 52.9% 6.9% 0.0%
40-49 39.0% 52.0% 9.0% 0.0%
50-64 38.5% 56.7% 3.7% 0.0%
65+ 35.7% 56.4% 5.0% 0.0%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 39


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
8. Bill Schuette

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Metro 22.7% 43.7% 22.7% 10.4%
Out State 29.8% 38.8% 19.1% 11.4%

Strong Dem 5.6% 66.8% 16.4% 9.8%


Lean Dem 8.5% 61.7% 17.0% 12.8%
Independent 18.7% 37.4% 27.6% 14.6%
Lean GOP 44.4% 17.3% 24.7% 13.6%
Strong GOP 58.7% 13.3% 21.09% 7.0%

Male 29.3% 40.5% 21.1% 8.8%


Female 23.2% 42.0% 20.7% 12.7%

Union 21.6% 45.5% 21.1% 10.3%


Non Union 28.3% 39.3% 20.8% 11.1%

18-29 13.0% 29.9% 27.3% 28.6%


30-39 10.8% 39.2% 29.4% 19.6%
40-49 30.0% 35.0% 30.0% 5.0%
50-64 33.7% 46.5% 12.8% 6.4%
65+ 31.4% 46.4% 15.7% 5.0%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 40


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
9. Gretchen Whitmer

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Metro 43.7% 18.1% 21.7% 16.2%
Out State 34.8% 20.1% 23.4% 19.1%

Strong Dem 66.4% 4.7% 18.7% 8.4%


Lean Dem 66.0% 2.1% 14.9% 17.0%
Independent 35.0% 14.6% 28.5% 19.5%
Lean GOP 8.6% 39.5% 27.2% 23.5%
Strong GOP 11.2% 38.5% 23.1% 26.6%

Male 37.4% 19.0% 24.1% 18.0%


Female 41.1% 19.1% 21.0% 17.2%

Union 45.5% 15.0% 21.1% 15.5%


Non Union 36.5% 21.1% 23.1% 18.5%

18-29 35.1% 7.8% 22.1% 35.1%


30-39 31.4% 14.7% 30.4% 21.6%
40-49 36.0% 23.0% 20.0% 21.0%
50-64 44.4% 26.2% 19.8% 8.6%
65+ 42.9% 16.4% 22.9% 14.3%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 41


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
10. Garlin Gilchrest

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Metro 11.7% 5.8% 16.2% 64.4%
Out State 6.7% 2.3% 13.4% 74.2%

Strong Dem 15.9% 0.5% 15.4% 63.6%


Lean Dem 14.9% 2.1% 25.5% 55.3%
Independent 8.9% 5.7% 11.4% 71.5%
Lean GOP 1.2% 7.4% 14.8% 75.3%
Strong GOP 2.1% 7.0% 13.3% 76.9%

Male 9.5% 5.4% 16.0% 66.7%


Female 8.9% 2.9% 13.7% 71.7%

Union 10.8% 4.2% 16.9% 64.8%


Non Union 8.5% 4.1% 13.4% 71.7%

18-29 9.1% 2.6% 9.1% 77.9%


30-39 8.8% 5.9% 13.7% 71.6%
40-49 7.0% 4.0% 20.0% 69.0%
50-64 10.7% 5.3% 14.4% 66.3%
65+ 9.3% 2.1% 15.7% 67.1%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 42


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
11. Lisa Posthumous Lyons

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Metro 5.8% 6.1% 15.2% 71.5%
Out State 8.4% 6.4% 21.1% 61.9%

Strong Dem 7.9% 8.4% 17.3% 63.1%


Lean Dem 8.5% 6.4% 25.5% 57.4%
Independent 4.1% 5.7% 16.3% 73.2%
Lean GOP 6.2% 2.5% 14.8% 75.3%
Strong GOP 8.4% 5.6% 20.3% 65.0%

Male 6.8% 5.8% 21.8% 63.9%


Female 7.3% 6.7% 14.6% 69.4%

Union 6.6% 7.5% 15.5% 67.6%


Non Union 7.5% 5.7% 19.5% 66.1%

18-29 6.5% 2.6% 10.4% 80.5%


30-39 3.9% 4.9% 16.7% 74.5%
40-49 6.0% 5.0% 24.0% 65.0%
50-64 9.6% 8.0% 18.7% 61.0%
65+ 7.1% 7.9% 17.9% 63.6%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 43


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
12. Debbie Stabenow

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Metro 56.3% 26.9% 14.2% 2.6%
Out State 52.2% 35.5% 10.4% 2.0%

Strong Dem 82.2% 7.9% 8.9% 0.9%


Lean Dem 76.6% 10.6% 8.5% 4.3%
Independent 56.9% 17.9% 22.8% 2.4%
Lean GOP 35.8% 48.1% 9.9% 6.2%
Strong GOP 13.3% 74.1% 11.2% 1.4%

Male 50.0% 37.8% 9.2% 3.1%


Female 58.3% 24.8% 15.3% 1.6%

Union 56.3% 29.1% 13.1% 1.4%


Non Union 53.5% 31.9% 11.8% 2.8%

18-29 39.0% 26.0% 20.8% 14.3%


30-39 48.0% 33.3% 16.7% 2.0%
40-49 51.0% 35.0% 13.0% 1.0%
50-64 57.8% 33.2% 9.1% 0.0%
65+ 65.0% 26.4% 8.6% 0.0%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 44


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
13. John James

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Metro 22.0% 18.1% 18.1% 40.8%
Out State 19.7% 12.7% 17.7% 47.5%

Strong Dem 6.1% 26.2% 15.4% 49.1%


Lean Dem 4.3% 29.8% 31.9% 34.0%
Independent 8.9% 13.0% 27.6% 48.8%
Lean GOP 42.0% 3.7% 14.8% 39.5%
Strong GOP 46.9% 3.5% 10.5% 38.5%

Male 24.1% 15.3% 16.0% 42.9%


Female 17.8% 15.6% 19.7% 45.2%

Union 16.9% 15.0% 20.2% 45.1%


Non Union 22.6% 15.9% 17.0% 43.4%

18-29 14.3% 11.7% 7.8% 66.2%


30-39 16.7% 11.8% 19.6% 52.0%
40-49 19.0% 14.0% 16.0% 51.0%
50-64 25.1% 19.3% 19.8% 33.7%
65+ 23.6% 16.4% 20.7% 35.7%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 45


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
14. Tom Leonard

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Metro 2.3% 3.9% 15.9% 76.4%
Out State 4.3% 6.4% 13.4% 72.9%

Strong Dem 3.3% 6.5% 12.1% 74.3%


Lean Dem 0.0% 6.4% 23.4% 66.0%
Independent 4.1% 4.9% 17.1% 73.2%
Lean GOP 1.2% 3.7% 17.3% 77.8%
Strong GOP 4.9% 3.5% 11.9% 77.6%

Male 3.7% 6.1% 16.0% 72.4%


Female 2.9% 4.1% 13.4% 76.8%

Union 3.3% 8.5% 13.1% 72.3%


Non Union 3.3% 3.3% 15.7% 75.6%

18-29 3.9% 3.9% 14.3% 76.6%


30-39 2.0% 5.9% 15.7% 75.5%
40-49 5.0% 3.0% 16.0% 76.0%
50-64 2.7% 6.4% 16.6% 70.6%
65+ 3.6% 5.0% 10.7% 77.9%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 46


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
15. Dana Nessel

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Metro 6.5% 2.9% 9.7% 79.6%
Out State 3.7% 3.0% 8.4% 79.9%

Strong Dem 9.3% 2.8% 9.8% 74.3%


Lean Dem 12.8% 0.0% 6.4% 76.6%
Independent 2.4% 4.9% 10.6% 78.9%
Lean GOP 1.2% 0.0% 7.4% 88.9%
Strong GOP 0.7% 4.2% 8.4% 84.6%

Male 5.1% 2.7% 8.5% 80.3%


Female 5.1% 3.2% 9.6% 79.3%

Union 6.6% 3.8% 11.3% 75.6%


Non Union 4.4% 2.6% 8.0% 81.7%

18-29 5.2% 3.9% 9.1% 80.5%


30-39 5.9% 2.0% 5.9% 85.3%
40-49 4.0% 0.0% 11.0% 83.0%
50-64 5.3% 4.8% 8.6% 77.5%
65+ 5.0% 2.9% 10.7% 76.4%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 47


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
16. Jocelyn Benson

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Metro 6.8% 1.9% 10.4% 79.3%
Out State 3.7% 3.0% 11.4% 77.3%

Strong Dem 9.3% 2.3% 10.7% 73.4%


Lean Dem 8.5% 0.0% 17.0% 70.2%
Independent 4.1% 3.3% 10.6% 78.9%
Lean GOP 1.2% 0.0% 12.3% 84.0%
Strong GOP 1.4% 4.2% 8.4% 84.6%

Male 5.8% 2.4% 11.6% 77.2%


Female 4.8% 2.5% 10.2% 79.3%

Union 6.6% 0.9% 12.7% 76.5%


Non Union 4.6% 3.3% 10.0% 78.9%

18-29 7.8% 2.6% 9.1% 80.5%


30-39 2.0% 1.0% 15.7% 80.4%
40-49 4.0% 1.0% 13.0% 79.0%
50-64 6.4% 3.7% 10.2% 75.4%
65+ 5.7% 2.9% 7.9% 79.3%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 48


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
17. Mary Treder Lang

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Metro 3.2% 1.6% 9.4% 84.1%
Out State 2.0% 3.3% 9.0% 81.6%

Strong Dem 4.7% 3.3% 8.9% 79.4%


Lean Dem 4.3% 2.1% 10.6% 78.7%
Independent 1.6% 2.4% 12.2% 79.7%
Lean GOP 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 92.6%
Strong GOP 1.4% 2.8% 7.7% 86.7%

Male 1.7% 3.7% 10.2% 82.0%


Female 3.5% 1.3% 8.3% 83.8%

Union 3.3% 2.8% 8.5% 82.6%


Non Union 2.3% 2.3% 9.8% 82.8%

18-29 5.2% 1.3% 6.5% 87.0%


30-39 2.0% 2.9% 7.8% 86.3%
40-49 2.0% 0.0% 7.0% 90.0%
50-64 3.2% 3.7% 11.2% 77.5%
65+ 1.4% 2.9% 10.7% 80.7%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 49


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
18. Jennifer Granholm

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Metro 43.4% 37.2% 14.9% 3.9%
Out State 38.8% 44.8% 11.7% 4.0%

Strong Dem 68.2% 16.8% 11.7% 2.3%


Lean Dem 51.1% 27.7% 19.1% 2.1%
Independent 32.5% 38.2% 22.8% 4.9%
Lean GOP 18.5% 58.0% 16.0% 7.4%
Strong GOP 17.5% 74.1% 4.2% 4.2%

Male 39.1% 44.9% 10.5% 4.8%


Female 43.0% 37.3% 15.9% 3.2%

Union 44.6% 42.3% 10.3% 2.3%


Non Union 39.6% 39.6% 15.2% 4.9%

18-29 39.0% 29.9% 19.5% 10.4%


30-39 40.2% 41.2% 14.7% 3.9%
40-49 42.0% 36.0% 20.0% 2.0%
50-64 38.5% 50.8% 8.0% 2.1%
65+ 45.7% 37.9% 10.7% 4.3%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 50


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
19. Rick Snyder

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Metro 36.6% 51.1% 11.7% 0.3%
Out State 43.1% 41.1% 14.4% 1.0%

Strong Dem 17.3% 73.4% 8.9% 0.5%


Lean Dem 31.9% 53.2% 12.8% 0.0%
Independent 37.4% 39.8% 20.3% 2.4%
Lean GOP 55.6% 23.5% 19.8% 0.0%
Strong GOP 69.2% 21.7% 9.1% 0.0%

Male 40.5% 44.6% 14.6% 0.3%


Female 39.2% 47.8% 11.5% 1.0%

Union 30.0% 56.8% 11.3% 1.4%


Non Union 44.5% 40.9% 14.1% 0.3%

18-29 33.8% 45.5% 20.8% 0.0%


30-39 27.5% 52.9% 18.6% 1.0%
40-49 48.0% 40.0% 11.0% 1.0%
50-64 41.7% 47.1% 9.6% 0.5%
65+ 43.6% 45.0% 10.7% 0.7%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 51


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
20. Betsy DeVos

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard


Metro 20.4% 52.4% 17.2% 9.1%
Out State 24.4% 48.8% 17.7% 7.0%

Strong Dem 11.7% 72.0% 9.3% 6.1%


Lean Dem 6.4% 80.9% 6.4% 2.1%
Independent 11.4% 51.2% 24.4% 11.4%
Lean GOP 29.6% 33.3% 32.1% 4.9%
Strong GOP 49.0% 18.2% 18.9% 11.9%

Male 27.2% 52.0% 12.9% 6.5%


Female 17.8% 49.4% 21.7% 9.6%

Union 18.3% 55.9% 15.0% 9.4%


Non Union 24.7% 48.1% 18.3% 7.5%

18-29 11.7% 64.9% 15.6% 7.8%


30-39 10.8% 54.9% 22.5% 11.8%
40-49 29.0% 45.0% 21.0% 4.0%
50-64 28.3% 48.1% 13.4% 8.0%
65+ 24.3% 47.1% 17.1% 8.6%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 52


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
21. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States? ASK: WOULD
THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly


Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove
Metro 22.0% 15.2% 8.7% 49.2%
Out State 29.1% 22.4% 5.0% 39.1%

Strong Dem 2.8% 6.5% 5.6% 82.7%


Lean Dem 2.1% 4.3% 10.6% 80.9%
Independent 17.1% 24.4% 14.6% 33.3%
Lean GOP 46.9% 30.9% 7.4% 9.9%
Strong GOP 62.2% 30.1% 0.7% 3.5%

Male 26.2% 25.2% 8.2% 36.7%


Female 24.8% 12.7% 5.7% 51.3%

Union 23.5% 21.1% 4.2% 46.0%


Non Union 26.2% 17.5% 8.2% 44.0%

18-29 7.8% 27.3% 7.8% 50.6%


30-39 18.6% 27.5% 9.8% 40.2%
40-49 22.0% 30.0% 6.0% 36.0%
50-64 32.6% 11.8% 5.3% 47.1%
65+ 32.9% 9.3% 7.1% 45.7%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 53


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
22. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Debbie Stabenow as United States Senator? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly


Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove
Metro 28.8% 27.5% 12.6% 17.2%
Out State 24.1% 27.4% 15.7% 16.4%

Strong Dem 46.7% 28.5% 7.9% 5.6%


Lean Dem 34.0% 42.6% 6.4% 2.1%
Independent 26.8% 29.3% 10.6% 6.5%
Lean GOP 4.9% 37.0% 24.7% 19.8%
Strong GOP 5.6% 14.0% 23.1% 45.5%

Male 23.5% 27.9% 13.6% 20.7%


Female 29.3% 27.1% 14.6% 13.1%

Union 30.5% 28.2% 14.6% 13.6%


Non Union 24.7% 27.0% 14.1% 18.0%

18-29 6.5% 26.0% 16.9% 15.6%


30-39 10.8% 34.3% 16.7% 17.6%
40-49 23.0% 29.0% 12.0% 18.0%
50-64 35.8% 26.2% 11.2% 19.3%
65+ 39.3% 23.6% 16.4% 12.1%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 54


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
23. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Rick Snyder as Governor of Michigan? ASK: WOULD THAT BE
STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly


Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove
Metro 15.2% 29.1% 20.1% 29.8%
Out State 18.1% 29.8% 16.1% 27.1%

Strong Dem 3.3% 15.9% 20.6% 52.3%


Lean Dem 8.5% 31.9% 17.0% 34.0%
Independent 17.1% 33.3% 20.3% 20.3%
Lean GOP 21.0% 39.5% 22.2% 8.6%
Strong GOP 36.4% 39.9% 10.5% 9.1%

Male 16.3% 32.7% 18.7% 24.8%


Female 16.9% 26.4% 17.5% 31.8%

Union 11.7% 24.9% 17.4% 40.4%


Non Union 18.8% 32.1% 18.5% 22.4%

18-29 6.5% 29.9% 22.1% 31.2%


30-39 10.8% 24.5% 19.6% 34.3%
40-49 21.0% 36.0% 17.0% 23.0%
50-64 17.1% 32.6% 15.5% 27.3%
65+ 22.1% 24.3% 19.3% 27.9%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 55


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
24. Do you approve or disapprove the job being done by Betsy DeVos as US Secretary of Education? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly


Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove
Metro 8.1% 14.6% 9.4% 54.0%
Out State 13.4% 12.7% 10.4% 46.5%

Strong Dem 2.3% 6.1% 5.6% 77.1%


Lean Dem 6.4% 2.1% 14.9% 70.2%
Independent 2.4% 14.6% 11.4% 51.2%
Lean GOP 16.0% 19.8% 22.2% 27.2%
Strong GOP 28.7% 24.5% 6.3% 16.1%

Male 14.6% 12.6% 10.2% 50.3%


Female 7.0% 14.6% 9.6% 50.3%

Union 6.6% 11.3% 7.0% 57.3%


Non Union 13.1% 14.1% 11.6% 46.8%

18-29 2.6% 7.8% 14.3% 63.6%


30-39 2.9% 12.7% 14.7% 56.9%
40-49 12.0% 16.0% 13.0% 44.0%
50-64 14.4% 16.0% 6.4% 47.6%
65+ 15.0% 12.9% 6.4% 46.4%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 56


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
25. Thinking back eight years to 2010, do you think things in Michigan have gotten better than they were eight years ago, things
have gotten worse than they were eight years ago, or would you say things are about the same as they were eight years ago?

Better Worse Same


Metro 57.3% 18.4% 20.7%
Out State 54.5% 18.7% 24.4%

Strong Dem 36.4% 32.2% 26.6%


Lean Dem 38.3% 29.8% 29.8%
Independent 53.7% 16.3% 27.6%
Lean GOP 70.4% 7.4% 21.0%
Strong GOP 84.6% 2.8% 10.5%

Male 60.9% 16.0% 20.7%


Female 51.3% 21.0% 24.2%

Union 53.5% 20.7% 21.1%


Non Union 56.8% 17.5% 23.7%

18-29 54.5% 11.7% 24.7%


30-39 61.8% 17.6% 17.6%
40-49 57.0% 19.0% 21.0%
50-64 59.9% 19.3% 19.3%
65+ 47.1% 21.4% 30.0%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 57


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
26. If the election for United States Senator were held today and [ROTATE] John James
was the Republican candidates, Debbie Stabenow was the Democratic candidate, George Huffman was the US Taxpayers
candidate, Marcia Squier was the Green candidate, and John Howard Wilhelm was the Natural Law candidate, who would you
vote for to be Michigan’s United State Senator? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?

Stabenow Lean James Lean Undecided


Metro 57.3% 4.2% 26.5% 2.3% 7.4%
Out State 44.8% 4.3% 32.8% 3.7% 12.7%

Strong Dem 86.9% 6.1% 1.9% 0.5% 3.7%


Lean Dem 83.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.0% 6.4%
Independent 49.6% 4.9% 9.8% 3.3% 29.3%
Lean GOP 17.3% 2.5% 59.3% 4.9% 13.6%
Strong GOP 7.7% 2.1% 80.4% 6.3% 2.1%

Male 48.0% 3.7% 35.0% 3.4% 7.5%


Female 54.1% 4.8% 24.5% 2.5% 12.4%

Union 54.9% 4.2% 27.2% 2.3% 9.4%


Non Union 49.6% 4.4% 30.3% 3.3% 10.5%

18-29 48.1% 6.5% 23.4% 7.8% 11.7%


30-39 36.3% 7.8% 30.4% 2.9% 16.7%
40-49 49.0% 5.0% 33.0% 2.0% 10.0%
50-64 55.6% 2.7% 31.6% 2.7% 7.0%
65+ 60.0% 1.4% 27.9% 1.4% 7.9%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 58


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
27. If the election for Michigan Governor were held today and [ROTATE] Gretchen Whitmer was the Democratic candidate, Bill
Schuette was the Republican candidate, Bill Gelineau was the Libertarian candidate, Todd Schleiger was the US Taxpayers
candidate, Jennifer Kurland was the Green candidate, and Keith Butkovich was the Natural Law candidate, who would you
vote for to be Governor? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?

Whitmer Lean Schuette Lean Undecided


Metro 52.4% 4.2% 24.3% 5.5% 9.4%
Out State 39.8% 3.0% 38.5% 4.0% 10.7%

Strong Dem 88.3% 5.1% 2.8% 0.0% 2.3%


Lean Dem 78.7% 4.3% 4.3% 2.1% 2.1%
Independent 33.3% 5.7% 21.1% 4.1% 29.3%
Lean GOP 8.6% 0.0% 53.1% 16.0% 16.0%
Strong GOP 4.9% 1.4% 79.0% 7.0% 4.2%

Male 43.9% 2.4% 35.4% 4.4% 7.5%


Female 48.4% 4.8% 27.4% 5.1% 12.4%

Union 48.8% 4.2% 25.4% 5.2% 11.3%


Non Union 45.2% 3.3% 34.2% 4.4% 9.5%

18-29 44.2% 5.2% 27.3% 6.5% 6.5%


30-39 39.2% 4.9% 25.5% 8.8% 13.7%
40-49 43.0% 4.0% 36.0% 4.0% 11.0%
50-64 49.7% 2.7% 34.2% 2.1% 9.1%
65+ 50.0% 2.9% 30.0% 5.0% 10.0%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 59


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
28. If the election for Michigan Attorney General were held today and [ROTATE] Tom Leonard was the Republican candidate,
Dana Nessel was the Democratic candidate, Gerald Van Sickle was the US Taxpayers candidate, and Lisa Lane Gioia was the
Libertarian candidate, who would you vote for to be Michigan’s Attorney General? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH
WAY DO YOU LEAN?

Nessel Lean Leonard Lean Undecided


Metro 46.6% 3.9% 21.4% 4.2% 20.1%
Out State 30.8% 3.0% 30.4% 3.0% 27.4%

Strong Dem 79.0% 5.6% 2.8% 0.0% 9.8%


Lean Dem 61.7% 8.5% 2.1% 0.0% 25.5%
Independent 24.4% 2.4% 8.9% 2.4% 55.3%
Lean GOP 2.5% 1.2% 45.7% 9.9% 33.3%
Strong GOP 4.2% 0.7% 71.3% 7.7% 11.2%

Male 35.7% 3.1% 30.3% 3.7% 21.1%


Female 41.7% 3.8% 21.7% 3.5% 26.1%

Union 42.3% 4.2% 18.8% 4.2% 23.9%


Non Union 37.5% 3.1% 29.6% 2.8% 23.4%

18-29 36.4% 7.8% 23.4% 2.6% 19.5%


30-39 32.4% 4.9% 26.5% 2.0% 28.4%
40-49 34.0% 4.0% 31.0% 5.0% 22.0%
50-64 41.2% 1.6% 26.2% 4.3% 22.5%
65+ 45.0% 2.1% 22.1% 3.6% 25.7%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 60


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
29. If the election for Secretary of State were held today and [ROTATE] Jocelyn Benson was the Democratic candidate, Mary
Treder Lang was the Republican candidate, Gregory Scott Stempfle was the Libertarian candidate, and Robert Gale was the
US Taxpayers candidate, who would you vote for to be Michgian’s Secretary of State? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH
WAY DO YOU LEAN?

Benson Lean Lang Lean Undecided


Metro 46.3% 3.9% 21.4% 1.6% 21.7%
Out State 33.1% 4.0% 30.8% 3.3% 23.4%

Strong Dem 81.3% 6.5% 1.9% 0.0% 7.5%


Lean Dem 57.4% 12.8% 0.0% 0.0% 23.4%
Independent 26.0% 2.4% 12.2% 3.3% 48.8%
Lean GOP 3.7% 1.2% 42.0% 7.4% 37.0%
Strong GOP 4.2% 0.0% 73.4% 3.5% 14.0%

Male 35.4% 4.4% 29.3% 3.1% 19.4%


Female 43.9% 3.5% 22.9% 1.9% 25.5%

Union 44.6% 4.2% 20.2% 3.8% 20.7%


Non Union 37.8% 3.9% 29.3% 1.8% 22.9%

18-29 40.3% 7.8% 23.4% 1.3% 20.8%


30-39 34.3% 3.9% 21.6% 7.8% 21.6%
40-49 32.0% 5.0% 30.0% 1.0% 25.0%
50-64 43.9% 2.7% 27.8% 1.1% 21.4%
65+ 43.6% 2.9% 25.0% 2.1% 24.3%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 61


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
30. Michigan voters will decide several ballot proposals on Election Day. Would you say you support or oppose a proposal to
legalize recreational marijuana in Michigan? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST
SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly


Support Support Oppose Oppose
Metro 38.8% 18.8% 7.4% 29.8%
Out State 36.8% 18.1% 9.0% 29.8%

Strong Dem 54.7% 16.4% 5.6% 18.7%


Lean Dem 42.6% 27.7% 8.5% 8.5%
Independent 26.0% 21.1% 8.1% 37.4%
Lean GOP 24.7% 24.7% 13.6% 35.8%
Strong GOP 28.7% 12.6% 9.1% 43.4%

Male 40.5% 22.1% 9.2% 25.5%


Female 35.4% 15.0% 7.3% 33.8%

Union 41.8% 20.7% 7.0% 25.4%


Non Union 35.7% 17.2% 9.0% 31.9%

18-29 59.7% 19.5% 7.8% 11.7%


30-39 51.0% 20.6% 7.8% 13.7%
40-49 42.0% 15.0% 13.0% 26.0%
50-64 36.4% 16.0% 4.8% 35.8%
65+ 15.7% 21.4% 10.0% 45.7%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 62


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
31. And would you say you support or oppose an amendment to Michigan’s Constitution that would create an Independent
Redistricting Commission to be in charge of redrawing Michigan’s legislative and congressional district boundaries. ASK:
WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly


Support Support Oppose Oppose
Metro 21.7% 17.2% 12.3% 18.4%
Out State 23.7% 13.0% 10.0% 22.1%

Strong Dem 33.6% 15.0% 9.3% 18.7%


Lean Dem 42.6% 12.8% 6.4% 10.6%
Independent 22.0% 14.6% 14.6% 18.7%
Lean GOP 13.6% 19.8% 12.3% 21.0%
Strong GOP 5.6% 14.0% 11.9% 26.6%

Male 25.9% 18.4% 9.2% 18.7%


Female 19.7% 12.1% 13.1% 21.7%

Union 23.9% 15.5% 13.6% 16.9%


Non Union 22.1% 14.9% 10.0% 22.1%

18-29 22.1% 15.6% 13.0% 13.0%


30-39 24.5% 18.6% 12.7% 13.7%
40-49 26.0% 14.0% 4.0% 19.0%
50-64 19.8% 16.0% 13.4% 24.6%
65+ 23.6% 12.1% 11.4% 24.3%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 63


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
32. Do you support or oppose the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to the United States Supreme Court? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly


Support Support Oppose Oppose
Metro 18.1% 12.9% 13.9% 32.0%
Out State 27.1% 14.7% 7.0% 24.4%

Strong Dem 2.8% 9.3% 14.5% 55.6%


Lean Dem 2.1% 8.5% 25.5% 40.4%
Independent 15.4% 14.6% 14.6% 18.7%
Lean GOP 42.0% 29.6% 2.5% 6.2%
Strong GOP 53.8% 12.6% 0.7% 4.2%

Male 25.2% 15.0% 9.9% 26.9%


Female 20.1% 12.7% 11.1% 29.6%

Union 20.2% 12.2% 9.4% 32.9%


Non Union 23.4% 14.7% 11.3% 26.0%

18-29 9.1% 19.5% 14.3% 19.5%


30-39 6.9% 18.6% 14.7% 21.6%
40-49 25.0% 15.0% 3.0% 23.0%
50-64 26.7% 13.9% 12.3% 33.2%
65+ 33.6% 6.4% 8.6% 35.0%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 64


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
33. Do you support or oppose the investigation being conducted by Robert Mueller into Russian meddling in the 2016 election?
ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly


Support Support Oppose Oppose
Metro 51.5% 17.5% 5.5% 19.7%
Out State 41.1% 15.1% 7.0% 30.4%

Strong Dem 75.7% 13.1% 2.3% 4.2%


Lean Dem 76.6% 21.3% 2.1% 0.0%
Independent 43.9% 26.8% 6.5% 16.3%
Lean GOP 17.3% 18.5% 11.1% 45.7%
Strong GOP 11.2% 9.1% 10.5% 60.1%

Male 44.6% 15.0% 7.1% 28.6%


Female 48.1% 17.5% 5.4% 21.7%

Union 50.2% 15.0% 6.1% 23.9%


Non Union 44.5% 17.2% 6.4% 25.2%

18-29 54.5% 20.8% 3.9% 13.0%


30-39 44.1% 23.5% 5.9% 19.6%
40-49 42.0% 15.0% 9.0% 25.0%
50-64 46.0% 15.0% 5.3% 29.9%
65+ 47.1% 11.4% 7.1% 28.6%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 65


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
34. And would you say the investigation is fair or would you say the investigation is rigged?

Fair Rigged
Metro 55.0% 26.9%
Out State 47.5% 37.1%

Strong Dem 76.6% 11.7%


Lean Dem 87.2% 6.4%
Independent 52.0% 23.6%
Lean GOP 27.2% 53.1%
Strong GOP 14.7% 65.7%

Male 51.7% 34.4%


Female 51.0% 29.6%

Union 49.3% 31.5%


Non Union 52.7% 32.1%

18-29 59.7% 22.1%


30-39 50.0% 26.5%
40-49 44.0% 39.0%
50-64 52.9% 30.5%
65+ 50.7% 37.9%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 66


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
35. Do you support or oppose regulating internet search engines like Google to make sure that positive stories about the Trump
Administration are more highly placed in internet searches?
ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly


Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove
Metro 12.6% 11.0% 9.4% 49.8%
Out State 14.0% 11.4% 7.4% 44.1%

Strong Dem 7.9% 7.9% 6.5% 58.9%


Lean Dem 2.1% 10.6% 6.4% 74.5%
Independent 10.6% 13.0% 9.8% 47.2%
Lean GOP 21.0% 7.4% 7.4% 42.0%
Strong GOP 23.1% 16.8% 11.2% 23.1%

Male 12.9% 11.2% 7.8% 49.3%


Female 13.7% 11.1% 8.9% 44.9%

Union 13.1% 12.2% 10.8% 45.1%


Non Union 13.6% 10.8% 7.2% 48.1%

18-29 13.0% 9.1% 9.1% 66.2%


30-39 4.9% 8.8% 7.8% 62.7%
40-49 9.0% 13.0% 7.0% 51.0%
50-64 17.6% 10.7% 11.2% 40.6%
65+ 17.1% 13.6% 5.7% 31.4%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 67


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
36. Do you support or oppose President Trump’s imposition of trade sanctions on other countries? ASK: WOULD THAT BE
STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly


Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove
Metro 21.4% 16.2% 13.6% 42.4%
Out State 31.8% 12.4% 10.0% 33.8%

Strong Dem 5.6% 5.6% 15.0% 67.8%


Lean Dem 4.3% 14.9% 12.8% 59.6%
Independent 17.9% 18.7% 15.4% 34.1%
Lean GOP 42.0% 21.0% 13.6% 8.6%
Strong GOP 63.6% 19.6% 2.8% 7.0%

Male 29.6% 16.3% 10.2% 37.1%


Female 23.6% 12.4% 13.4% 39.2%

Union 28.2% 16.4% 7.0% 39.4%


Non Union 25.4% 12.9% 14.1% 38.0%

18-29 11.7% 15.6% 11.7% 50.6%


30-39 20.6% 17.6% 14.7% 36.3%
40-49 35.0% 14.0% 15.0% 29.0%
50-64 29.4% 17.6% 9.6% 37.4%
65+ 29.3% 7.1% 10.7% 40.0%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 68


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
37. Would you agree or disagree with President Trump that the media are the enemy of the people? ASK: WOULD THAT BE
STRONGLY AGREE/DISAGREE OR JUST SOMEWHAT AGREE/DISAGREE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly


Agree Agree Disagree Disagree
Metro 15.5% 9.7% 11.7% 58.3%
Out State 21.7% 12.7% 12.0% 46.8%

Strong Dem 2.8% 2.8% 7.5% 85.0%


Lean Dem 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 89.4%
Independent 13.8% 13.0% 17.1% 48.8%
Lean GOP 35.8% 16.0% 16.0% 24.7%
Strong GOP 42.7% 23.1% 12.6% 11.2%

Male 19.0% 10.9% 14.3% 48.3%


Female 18.2% 11.5% 9.6% 56.7%

Union 20.2% 10.3% 7.0% 55.9%


Non Union 17.5% 11.6% 14.7% 51.2%

18-29 15.6% 18.2% 10.4% 53.2%


30-39 19.6% 11.8% 14.7% 46.1%
40-49 12.0% 15.0% 19.0% 50.0%
50-64 21.4% 9.6% 8.6% 56.1%
65+ 20.7% 6.4% 10.0% 53.6%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 69


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
38. Would you say that President Trump’s performance in office will or will not be a major factor in how you vote this November?
IF YES, ASK: AND WILL YOU BE VOTING TO SUPPORT PRESIDENT TRUMP OR WILL YOU BE VOTING TO
OPPOSE PRESIDENT TRUMP?

Yes, Support Yes, Oppose Not a Major Factor


Metro 22.3% 46.3% 29.8%
Out State 32.4% 34.8% 27.8%

Strong Dem 5.6% 75.7% 16.4%


Lean Dem 2.1% 72.3% 25.5%
Independent 22.8% 33.3% 39.0%
Lean GOP 45.7% 8.6% 35.8%
Strong GOP 61.5% 2.1% 35.7%

Male 29.3% 35.7% 31.3%


Female 25.5% 45.2% 26.4%

Union 26.8% 41.8% 27.7%


Non Union 27.2% 40.4% 29.3%

18-29 19.5% 46.8% 28.6%


30-39 21.6% 40.2% 33.3%
40-49 26.0% 27.0% 44.0%
50-64 30.5% 44.9% 23.0%
65+ 32.9% 42.1% 22.1%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 70


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
39. Do you support or oppose the House of Representative bringing impeachment proceedings against President Trump? ASK:
WOULD YOU STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly


Support Support Oppose Oppose
Metro 33.7% 12.3% 14.2% 29.1%
Out State 28.1% 7.4% 9.4% 45.8%

Strong Dem 61.2% 14.0% 8.9% 6.5%


Lean Dem 42.6% 21.3% 12.8% 6.4%
Independent 23.6% 8.9% 18.7% 30.9%
Lean GOP 2.5% 7.4% 23.5% 61.7%
Strong GOP 4.2% 2.1% 3.5% 85.3%

Male 26.2% 9.5% 12.9% 41.5%


Female 35.4% 10.2% 10.8% 33.4%

Union 34.3% 10.3% 9.4% 36.6%


Non Union 29.0% 9.8% 13.1% 37.5%

18-29 39.0% 18.2% 18.2% 15.6%


30-39 29.4% 9.8% 13.7% 38.2%
40-49 27.0% 10.0% 7.0% 47.0%
50-64 33.2% 7.0% 12.3% 38.5%
65+ 27.9% 9.3% 10.0% 40.0%

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 71


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018
44. And on a scale of one to ten, with one being very low and ten being very high, how motivated are you to vote in this
November’s election?

SCORE
Metro 9.5
Out State 9.3

Strong Dem 9.5


Lean Dem 9.5
Independent 9.1
Lean GOP 9.2
Strong GOP 9.4

Male 9.2
Female 9.5

Union 9.3
Non Union 9.4

18-29 8.8
30-39 9.0
40-49 9.2
50-64 9.5
65+ 9.8

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 72


WDIV/ Detroit News
Glengariff Group, Inc.
September10, 2018