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Contact:
Kevin Hill
hill@dubymcdowell.com
860.869.7239
HARTFORD, CT (October 7, 2010) - Ann Brickley, Republican candidate for Connecticut’s 1st congressional district, is proving to be a formidable
opponent to the Democratic incumbent, U.S. Representative John Larson. Representative Larson has 51.8 percent lead over Brickley’s 44.7 percent,
in a poll released today.
The poll, commissioned by ctapitolreport.com and conducted by the Merriman River Group, surveyed 515 likely voters on October 3-5, 2010
with a margin of error of +/- 4.3 percentage points. Included in those surveyed, are 3.5 percent whom are still unsure of whom they will support in
the race.
“In the 1st district, Representative Larson is
facing his stiffest challenge yet as he seeks a seventh term and that for many voters, the
congressional race in their district this year is a referendum” says the poll’s Executive Director, Matthew Fitch. “While the old saying holds that all
politics is local, the poll numbers suggest that for many voters this year, this congressional race is a referendum on President Obama.”
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According to Fitch, “Voters who approve of Obama's job performance are supporting Larson by an 87-9 margin, while voters who disapprove
of the President's job performance are supporting Republican Anne Brickley by an 84-13 margin. Larson enjoys a 16.5 point lead, 56.5-40, among
female voters but men are more closely divided and are currently favoring Brickley by a 51-47 margin. With Obama's approval ratings a 50-50
proposition in the 1st district, Larson's challenge will be to make the election more than just an Obama referendum.”
About CTCapitolReport.com
CT Capitol Report is published and edited by veteran political professional Tom Dudchik. Since its launch in 2009 its readership has grown
exponentially and it is widely considered the most comprehensive website for Connecticut political news.
With offices in Hamden, CT and Los Angeles, CA, Merriman River Group is a full service consulting organization specializing in election
supervision and administration, public opinion research, and communication services. In 2010, Merriman River Group launched their NexGen IVR
polling system, which offers professional grade polling and analysis with reduced costs and faster completion time. NexGen IVR has been used in
public and private polling from New England to Hawaii this year, with accuracy far exceeding traditional polling methods. For more information on
Merriman River Group, please visit www.merrimanriver.com.
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CT 1st Congressional District
Margin of Error = 4.3%
Frequency Percent
Congress:Unsure 18 3.5
Gender
Gender:Not
Gender:female Gender:male Reported Total
Congress:Unsure Count 10 5 3 18
Congress
Party
1. 2. 3. 99. Party:Not
Party:Democrat Party:Republican Party:Independent Reported Party:Unsure Total
Congress:Unsure Count 4 2 5 6 1 18
Tea Party
9. 99.TeaParty:Not
1. TeaParty:Yes 2. TeaParty:No TeaParty:Unsure Reported Total
Congress:Unsure Count 2 9 1 6 18
Obama
1. 2. 3. 4.
Obama:Approve Obama:Approve Obama:Disapprove Obama:Disapprove 9.
strongly somewhat somewhat strongly Obama:Unsure Total
Congress:Unsure Count 3 6 4 3 2 18
Obama_Short
Congress:Unsure Count 9 7 2 18
Congress
3. Obama:Disapprove Count 39 16 4 59
somewhat
% within Congress 17.0% 6.0% 22.2% 11.5%
9. Obama:Unsure Count 0 6 2 8
Congress
Obama:Unsure Count 0 6 2 8