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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Contact:
Kevin Hill
hill@dubymcdowell.com
860.869.7239

BRICKLEY WITHIN 7; LARSON 52, BRICKLEY 45


Larson faces his toughest election in years

HARTFORD, CT (October 7, 2010) - Ann Brickley, Republican candidate for Connecticut’s 1st congressional district, is proving to be a formidable
opponent to the Democratic incumbent, U.S. Representative John Larson. Representative Larson has 51.8 percent lead over Brickley’s 44.7 percent,
in a poll released today.
The poll, commissioned by ctapitolreport.com and conducted by the Merriman River Group, surveyed 515 likely voters on October 3-5, 2010
with a margin of error of +/- 4.3 percentage points. Included in those surveyed, are 3.5 percent whom are still unsure of whom they will support in
the race.
“In the 1st district, Representative Larson is   facing his stiffest challenge yet as he seeks a seventh term and that for many voters, the
congressional race in their district this year is a referendum” says the poll’s Executive Director, Matthew Fitch. “While the old saying holds that all
politics is local, the poll numbers suggest that for many voters this year, this congressional race is a referendum on President Obama.”
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According to Fitch, “Voters who approve of Obama's job performance are supporting Larson by an 87-9 margin, while voters who disapprove
of the President's job performance are supporting Republican Anne Brickley by an 84-13 margin. Larson enjoys a 16.5 point lead, 56.5-40, among
female voters but men are more closely divided and are currently favoring Brickley by a 51-47 margin. With Obama's approval ratings a 50-50
proposition in the 1st district, Larson's challenge will be to make the election more than just an Obama referendum.”

A poll on Connecticut’s 4th congressional district will be released later today.

About CTCapitolReport.com
CT Capitol Report is published and edited by veteran political professional Tom Dudchik. Since its launch in 2009 its readership has grown
exponentially and it is widely considered the most comprehensive website for Connecticut political news.

About Merriman River Group

With offices in Hamden, CT and Los Angeles, CA, Merriman River Group is a full service consulting organization specializing in election
supervision and administration, public opinion research, and communication services. In 2010, Merriman River Group launched their NexGen IVR
polling system, which offers professional grade polling and analysis with reduced costs and faster completion time. NexGen IVR has been used in
public and private polling from New England to Hawaii this year, with accuracy far exceeding traditional polling methods. For more information on
Merriman River Group, please visit www.merrimanriver.com.

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CT 1st Congressional District
Margin of Error = 4.3%

Frequency Percent

Valid Congress:Brickley 230 44.7

Congress:Larson 267 51.8

Congress:Unsure 18 3.5

Total 515 100.0


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Congress * Gender Crosstabulation

Gender

Gender:Not
Gender:female Gender:male Reported Total

Congress Congress:Brickley Count 117 103 10 230

% within Gender 40.1% 50.7% 50.0% 44.7%

Congress:Larson Count 165 95 7 267

% within Gender 56.5% 46.8% 35.0% 51.8%

Congress:Unsure Count 10 5 3 18

% within Gender 3.4% 2.5% 15.0% 3.5%

Total Count 292 203 20 515

% within Gender 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%


Page 5

Gender * Congress Crosstabulation

Congress

Congress:Brickley Congress:Larson Congress:Unsure Total

Gender Gender:female Count 117 165 10 292

% within Congress 50.9% 61.8% 55.6% 56.7%

Gender:male Count 103 95 5 203

% within Congress 44.8% 35.6% 27.8% 39.4%

Gender:Not Reported Count 10 7 3 20

% within Congress 4.3% 2.6% 16.7% 3.9%

Total Count 230 267 18 515

% within Congress 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%


Page 6

Congress * Party Crosstabulation

Party

1. 2. 3. 99. Party:Not
Party:Democrat Party:Republican Party:Independent Reported Party:Unsure Total

Congress Congress:Brickley Count 37 95 76 21 1 230

% within Party 17.9% 84.1% 52.8% 44.7% 25.0% 44.7%

Congress:Larson Count 166 16 63 20 2 267

% within Party 80.2% 14.2% 43.8% 42.6% 50.0% 51.8%

Congress:Unsure Count 4 2 5 6 1 18

% within Party 1.9% 1.8% 3.5% 12.8% 25.0% 3.5%

Total Count 207 113 144 47 4 515

% within Party 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%


Page 7

Congress * Tea Party Crosstabulation

Tea Party

9. 99.TeaParty:Not
1. TeaParty:Yes 2. TeaParty:No TeaParty:Unsure Reported Total

Congress Congress:Brickley Count 61 127 23 19 230

% within Tea Party 79.2% 36.5% 51.1% 42.2% 44.7%

Congress:Larson Count 14 212 21 20 267

% within Tea Party 18.2% 60.9% 46.7% 44.4% 51.8%

Congress:Unsure Count 2 9 1 6 18

% within Tea Party 2.6% 2.6% 2.2% 13.3% 3.5%

Total Count 77 348 45 45 515

% within Tea Party 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%


Page 8

Congress * Obama Crosstabulation

Obama

1. 2. 3. 4.
Obama:Approve Obama:Approve Obama:Disapprove Obama:Disapprove 9.
strongly somewhat somewhat strongly Obama:Unsure Total

Congress Congress:Brickley Count 9 15 39 167 0 230

% within Obama 5.7% 14.6% 66.1% 89.8% .0% 44.7%

Congress:Larson Count 147 82 16 16 6 267

% within Obama 92.5% 79.6% 27.1% 8.6% 75.0% 51.8%

Congress:Unsure Count 3 6 4 3 2 18

% within Obama 1.9% 5.8% 6.8% 1.6% 25.0% 3.5%

Total Count 159 103 59 186 8 515

% within Obama 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%


Page 9

Congress * Obama_Short Crosstabulation

Obama_Short

Obama:Approve Obama:Disapprove Obama:Unsure Total

Congress Congress:Brickley Count 24 206 0 230

% within Obama_Short 9.2% 84.1% .0% 44.7%

Congress:Larson Count 229 32 6 267

% within Obama_Short 87.4% 13.1% 75.0% 51.8%

Congress:Unsure Count 9 7 2 18

% within Obama_Short 3.4% 2.9% 25.0% 3.5%

Total Count 262 245 8 515

% within Obama_Short 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%


Page 10

Obama * Congress Crosstabulation

Congress

Congress:Brickley Congress:Larson Congress:Unsure Total

Obama 1. Obama:Approve strongly Count 9 147 3 159

% within Congress 3.9% 55.1% 16.7% 30.9%

2. Obama:Approve Count 15 82 6 103


somewhat
% within Congress 6.5% 30.7% 33.3% 20.0%

3. Obama:Disapprove Count 39 16 4 59
somewhat
% within Congress 17.0% 6.0% 22.2% 11.5%

4. Obama:Disapprove Count 167 16 3 186


strongly
% within Congress 72.6% 6.0% 16.7% 36.1%

9. Obama:Unsure Count 0 6 2 8

% within Congress .0% 2.2% 11.1% 1.6%

Total Count 230 267 18 515

% within Congress 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%


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Obama_Short * Congress Crosstabulation

Congress

Congress:Brickley Congress:Larson Congress:Unsure Total

Obama_Short Obama:Approve Count 24 229 9 262

% within Congress 10.4% 85.8% 50.0% 50.9%

Obama:Disapprove Count 206 32 7 245

% within Congress 89.6% 12.0% 38.9% 47.6%

Obama:Unsure Count 0 6 2 8

% within Congress .0% 2.2% 11.1% 1.6%

Total Count 230 267 18 515

% within Congress 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

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